MLB Daily Notes - September 25th
A daily automated report of what happened yesterday in Major League Baseball, along with other recent trends and further analysis.
Here’s a list of the teams that are playing very important games this week (this is a copy and paste from the Starts & Sits article):
National League
Dodgers & Padres: Both have clinched the playoffs, but the Dodgers division lead is down to two games, and they are playing each other right now.
Mets, Diamondbacks, Braves: Just one game separates them, and there are two Wild Card spots open for them.
The Phillies have won their division, but they are tied with the Dodgers for that #1 seed. I’m not sure how motivating that is, but it would give you home field advantage in the NLCS. The Brewers could, in theory, still move up to the #1 or #2 seed, but they’re 2.5 games behind LA and Philly, so most likely they’re in the #3 seed.
American League
Yankees: They have a tiny bit more work to do to clinch the division, but effectively, they have won it. They are tussling with the Guardians for the #1 seed, so there’s still some motivation there.
Guardians: They’ve clinched the division, but they could take that top seed.
Tigers & Royals: They’re currently holding the final two Wild Card spots, and they are two games up on the Twins and 2.5 up on the Mariners. Both teams should be considered highly motivated.
Twins: They are two games back of two different teams. If they can pass up just one of them, they’re in the playoffs. High motivation.
Mariners: Same as the Twins, but they’re an extra half game back.
Red Sox: They’re 3.5 back, which is a huge gap with just four or five games left, but they’re not eliminated.
The Orioles are locked into the top Wild Card spot and the Astros are locked into the #3 seed as the division winner, so there’s not much reason for either team to push it.
My finals update is that my pitching dominated. It was beautiful.
Clint (my opponent) got another nice result from that Koch guy against the White Sox, but he also streamed in Brandon Pfaadt was had one of his bad starts.
Ohtani neither homered nor stole a base for me last night, completely unacceptable.
I have to get to some work meetings. Your streamer pitchers today:
Cody Bradford vs. OAK
Zack Littell vs. DET
Jose Suarez vs. CWS
Simeon Woods Richardson vs. MIA
Brady Basso vs. TEX
Hitter streamers (from bottom of this post):
Today's Hitter Streamer Picks
Ivan Herrera C (2.0% Owned): Projected 0.86R 0.18HR 0.75RBI 0.77SO 0.35BB 0.08SB 10.21FPts
Masyn Winn SS (38.0% Owned): Projected 0.82R 0.14HR 0.61RBI 0.67SO 0.25BB 0.11SB 9.37FPts
Joc Pederson OF (43.0% Owned): Projected 0.68R 0.19HR 0.72RBI 0.88SO 0.51BB 0.05SB 8.63FPts
Charlie Blackmon RF (6.0% Owned): Projected 0.77R 0.12HR 0.56RBI 0.73SO 0.39BB 0.06SB 8.56FPts
Jesus Sanchez CF (7.0% Owned): Projected 0.59R 0.18HR 0.63RBI 1.09SO 0.36BB 0.09SB 8.48FPts
Jordan Walker RF (26.0% Owned): Projected 0.66R 0.17HR 0.66RBI 0.72SO 0.25BB 0.06SB 8.46FPts
Brandon Lowe 2B (38.0% Owned): Projected 0.62R 0.2HR 0.55RBI 1.0SO 0.37BB 0.06SB 8.23FPts
Jose Tena SS (0.0% Owned): Projected 0.56R 0.11HR 0.6RBI 0.77SO 0.38BB 0.13SB 8.07FPts
Luis Garcia SS (1.0% Owned): Projected 0.54R 0.12HR 0.62RBI 0.49SO 0.27BB 0.12SB 8.05FPts
Michael Toglia RF (24.0% Owned): Projected 0.62R 0.19HR 0.62RBI 1.17SO 0.39BB 0.06SB 8.04FPts
Good luck today to everybody still in the hunt!
Pitcher Reports
Algo SP Ranks - Yesterday
1. Justin Steele
2. Tarik Skubal
3. Nathan Eovaldi
4. Ryan Pepiot
5. Tanner Bibee
6. Logan Gilbert
7. Bailey Ober
8. Bowden Francis
9. Jack Kochanowicz
10. Michael McGreevy
11. Brandon Pfaadt
12. Ryan Feltner
13. Jonathan Cannon
14. Mitchell Parker
15. Cole Ragans
16. Spencer Schwellenbach
17. Clarke Schmidt
18. Luis Severino
19. Logan Webb
20. Landon Knack
21. Dean Kremer
22. Bailey Falter
23. Brayan Bello
24. Michael King
25. Mitch Spence
26. Carson Spiers
27. Framber Valdez
28. Ryan Weathers
Fantasy Points Leaders - Yesterday
1. Tarik Skubal (vs. TB): 31.95 Points
2. Tanner Bibee (vs. CIN): 28.15 Points
3. Jonathan Cannon (vs. LAA): 25.1 Points
4. Spencer Schwellenbach (vs. NYM): 23.35 Points
5. Jack Kochanowicz (vs. CWS): 21.95 Points
6. Cole Ragans (vs. WSH): 21.9 Points
7. Logan Webb (vs. ARI): 20.5 Points
8. Nathan Eovaldi (vs. OAK): 19.55 Points
9. Michael King (vs. LAD): 18.25 Points
10. Ryan Feltner (vs. STL): 17.3 Points
Whiffs Leaders - Yesterday
1. Logan Gilbert (SEA): 19 Whiffs (94 Pitches)
2. Nathan Eovaldi (TEX): 19 Whiffs (90 Pitches)
3. Tarik Skubal (DET): 18 Whiffs (103 Pitches)
4. Tanner Bibee (CLE): 16 Whiffs (88 Pitches)
5. Ryan Pepiot (TB): 15 Whiffs (86 Pitches)
6. Bailey Ober (MIN): 14 Whiffs (89 Pitches)
7. Kolby Allard (PHI): 12 Whiffs (71 Pitches)
8. Mason Montgomery (TB): 12 Whiffs (29 Pitches)
9. Clarke Schmidt (NYY): 12 Whiffs (100 Pitches)
10. Michael McGreevy (STL): 12 Whiffs (83 Pitches)
Strike% Leaders - Yesterday
1. Justin Steele (CHC): 59.7 Strike%, 19.4 Ball%
2. Ryan Pepiot (TB): 54.7 Strike%, 31.4 Ball%
3. Tarik Skubal (DET): 54.4 Strike%, 31.1 Ball%
4. Ryan Feltner (COL): 52.9 Strike%, 27.1 Ball%
5. Luis Severino (NYM): 52.8 Strike%, 31.5 Ball%
6. Clarke Schmidt (NYY): 50.0 Strike%, 37.0 Ball%
7. Michael McGreevy (STL): 49.4 Strike%, 34.9 Ball%
8. Bowden Francis (TOR): 49.3 Strike%, 32.4 Ball%
9. Mitchell Parker (WSH): 48.4 Strike%, 35.2 Ball%
10. Logan Webb (SF): 48.4 Strike%, 32.6 Ball%
11. Bailey Ober (MIN): 48.3 Strike%, 34.8 Ball%
12. Cole Ragans (KC): 48.3 Strike%, 36.0 Ball%
13. Kolby Allard (PHI): 47.9 Strike%, 35.2 Ball%
14. Bailey Falter (PIT): 47.8 Strike%, 34.8 Ball%
15. Jack Kochanowicz (LAA): 47.6 Strike%, 29.3 Ball%
Pitches/Out (POUT) Leaders - Yesterday
1. Jack Kochanowicz: 82 Pitches, 21 Outs, 3.9 POUT
2. Spencer Schwellenbach: 87 Pitches, 21 Outs, 4.14 POUT
3. Tanner Bibee: 88 Pitches, 21 Outs, 4.19 POUT
4. Jonathan Cannon: 78 Pitches, 18 Outs, 4.33 POUT
5. Nathan Eovaldi: 90 Pitches, 20 Outs, 4.5 POUT
6. Ryan Feltner: 85 Pitches, 18 Outs, 4.72 POUT
7. Bowden Francis: 71 Pitches, 15 Outs, 4.73 POUT
8. Tarik Skubal: 103 Pitches, 21 Outs, 4.9 POUT
9. Cole Ragans: 89 Pitches, 18 Outs, 4.94 POUT
10. Justin Steele: 62 Pitches, 12 Outs, 5.17 POUT
Velo Changes - Yesterday
Logan Gilbert's FF velo (16 pitches) UP 2.1mph to 98.2
Ryan Weathers's ST velo (16 pitches) UP 2.1mph to 83.9
Brandon Pfaadt's SI velo (15 pitches) UP 1.7mph to 95.2
Bailey Falter's SL velo (29 pitches) UP 1.6mph to 87.1
Jonathan Cannon's SI velo (23 pitches) DOWN -1.9mph to 91.4
Cole Ragans's FF velo (42 pitches) DOWN -2.4mph to 93.4
Cole Ragans's CH velo (22 pitches) DOWN -2.7mph to 82.7
Cole Ragans's SL velo (14 pitches) DOWN -2.7mph to 83.5
Pitch Mix Changes - Yesterday
Bailey Falter's SL usage (31.5%) up 10.5 points
Brandon Pfaadt's CH usage (22.6%) up 11.1 points
Brayan Bello's SI usage (49.3%) up 10.7 points
Carson Spiers's ST usage (37.7%) up 16.9 points
Dean Kremer's FS usage (24.1%) up 15.5 points
Logan Gilbert's SL usage (45.7%) up 14.8 points
Logan Webb's FC usage (21.1%) up 19.7 points
Luis Severino's ST usage (38.2%) up 24.0 points
Michael McGreevy's FF usage (36.1%) up 14.3 points
Mitchell Parker's CU usage (36.3%) up 11.3 points
Ryan Pepiot's FC usage (25.6%) up 21.2 points
Spencer Schwellenbach's FF usage (43.7%) up 14.6 points
Taijuan Walker's FF usage (30.9%) up 15.2 points
Pitch Mix Changes - Last 3 Starts
Sean Manaea Sinker: +30.2%
Mason Black Sweeper: -20.3%
Max Fried Sweeper: +20.1%
Yusei Kikuchi Slider: +18.9%
Luis Severino Sweeper: +18.6%
Garrett Crochet 4-Seam Fastball: -17.6%
Tylor Megill Sinker: +17.4%
Ben Lively 4-Seam Fastball: -17.1%
Shane Baz Slider: -16.4%
Ryan Feltner Slider: -16.0%
Yu Darvish Sweeper: +15.3%
Bailey Falter Slider: +15.3%
Ryan Pepiot Cutter: +14.8%
Bailey Ober Changeup: +14.7%
Logan Webb Cutter: +14.4%
Zach Eflin Sinker: -14.2%
Garrett Crochet Sinker: +14.1%
Jake Irvin Curveball: -13.9%
Jake Irvin Sinker: +13.7%
Ryan Feltner 4-Seam Fastball: +13.7%
Simeon Woods Richardson Curveball: +13.2%
Mason Black Slider: +13.2%
Yu Darvish Slider: -13.1%
Logan Webb Changeup: -13.0%
Spencer Schwellenbach 4-Seam Fastball: +12.7%
Bailey Ober 4-Seam Fastball: -12.7%
Ben Lively Sinker: +12.7%
Jared Jones Curveball: +12.2%
Austin Gomber Slider: +12.1%
Sean Manaea 4-Seam Fastball: -12.1%
Seth Lugo Cutter: +12.1%
Ronel Blanco Changeup: -12.1%
CSW% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Blake Snell - 71 TBF, 38.1% CSW%
Joe Musgrove - 67 TBF, 35.3% CSW%
Aaron Nola - 97 TBF, 34.1% CSW%
Logan Gilbert - 101 TBF, 33.9% CSW%
Sonny Gray - 74 TBF, 33.2% CSW%
Tarik Skubal - 90 TBF, 33.1% CSW%
Cristopher Sanchez - 99 TBF, 33.1% CSW%
Landen Roupp - 73 TBF, 32.8% CSW%
Nick Martinez - 92 TBF, 32.4% CSW%
Dean Kremer - 95 TBF, 32.2% CSW%
K% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Blake Snell - 71 TBF, 43.7% K%
Frankie Montas - 85 TBF, 37.6% K%
Joe Musgrove - 67 TBF, 35.8% K%
Matthew Boyd - 80 TBF, 32.5% K%
Sonny Gray - 74 TBF, 32.4% K%
Bailey Ober - 100 TBF, 32.0% K%
Logan Gilbert - 101 TBF, 31.7% K%
Zac Gallen - 86 TBF, 31.4% K%
Zack Wheeler - 99 TBF, 30.3% K%
Tarik Skubal - 90 TBF, 30.0% K%
K-BB% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Joe Musgrove - 67 TBF, 34.3% K-BB%
Blake Snell - 71 TBF, 33.8% K-BB%
Sonny Gray - 74 TBF, 28.4% K-BB%
Frankie Montas - 85 TBF, 28.2% K-BB%
Bailey Ober - 100 TBF, 28.0% K-BB%
Tarik Skubal - 90 TBF, 27.8% K-BB%
Logan Gilbert - 101 TBF, 26.7% K-BB%
Zack Wheeler - 99 TBF, 25.3% K-BB%
Nick Martinez - 92 TBF, 25.0% K-BB%
Yusei Kikuchi - 75 TBF, 22.7% K-BB%
GB% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Max Fried - 103 TBF, 69.1% GB%
Framber Valdez - 105 TBF, 68.9% GB%
Jose Quintana - 72 TBF, 63.0% GB%
Andre Pallante - 74 TBF, 61.7% GB%
Logan Gilbert - 101 TBF, 55.6% GB%
Logan Webb - 90 TBF, 54.5% GB%
Mitch Spence - 95 TBF, 54.1% GB%
Spencer Bivens - 65 TBF, 54.0% GB%
Cristopher Sanchez - 99 TBF, 53.7% GB%
Jack Kochanowicz - 100 TBF, 53.0% GB%
Magic Formula Qualifiers - Pitchers - Last 3 Weeks
Aaron Nola - 97 TBF, 28.9 K%, 7.2 BB%, 46.8% GB%
Joey Cantillo - 60 TBF, 36.7 K%, 6.7 BB%, 50.0% GB%
Logan Gilbert - 101 TBF, 31.7 K%, 5.0 BB%, 55.6% GB%
Nick Pivetta - 90 TBF, 27.8 K%, 7.8 BB%, 46.6% GB%
Paul Skenes - 64 TBF, 39.1 K%, 3.1 BB%, 69.4% GB%
Sean Manaea - 100 TBF, 29.0 K%, 7.0 BB%, 44.4% GB%
Tarik Skubal - 90 TBF, 30.0 K%, 2.2 BB%, 48.3% GB%
Tyler Holton - 45 TBF, 31.1 K%, 4.4 BB%, 62.1% GB%
Zack Wheeler - 99 TBF, 30.3 K%, 5.1 BB%, 46.9% GB%
SIERA vs. ERA Comp, Last 30 Days
Unluckiest
Brandon Pfaadt: 8.88 ERA, 3.26 SIERA
Zebby Matthews: 7.78 ERA, 3.27 SIERA
Justin Verlander: 10.07 ERA, 5.75 SIERA
Joey Estes: 7.89 ERA, 5.03 SIERA
Mitch Keller: 6.93 ERA, 4.18 SIERA
Miles Mikolas: 6.35 ERA, 3.7 SIERA
Taj Bradley: 6.57 ERA, 4.0 SIERA
Garrett Crochet: 4.05 ERA, 1.54 SIERA
Bailey Ober: 5.61 ERA, 3.18 SIERA
Frankie Montas: 5.81 ERA, 3.44 SIERA
Luckiest
Rhett Lowder: 1.4 ERA, 4.72 SIERA
Bowden Francis: 1.69 ERA, 4.45 SIERA
Corbin Burnes: 1.2 ERA, 3.84 SIERA
Michael King: 1.32 ERA, 3.8 SIERA
Jose Berrios: 1.38 ERA, 3.72 SIERA
Jameson Taillon: 1.99 ERA, 4.25 SIERA
Jack Kochanowicz: 2.27 ERA, 4.49 SIERA
Bryce Miller: 1.47 ERA, 3.67 SIERA
Chris Sale: 1.2 ERA, 3.14 SIERA
Framber Valdez: 1.36 ERA, 3.2 SIERA
Hot Pitcher Tracker - Last 3 Weeks vs. Career
Bryan Woo - +2.2% CSW%, -1.9 BB%
Carlos Rodon - +2.4% CSW%, -2.2 BB%
Blake Snell - +6.5% CSW%, -1.5 BB%
Austin Gomber - +3.9% CSW%, -3.4 BB%
Jonathan Cannon - +4.5% CSW%, -1.5 BB%
Joe Musgrove - +4.2% CSW%, -4.0 BB%
Nick Martinez - +4.7% CSW%, -5.3 BB%
Paul Skenes - +3.2% CSW%, -3.2 BB%
Zack Littell - +2.4% CSW%, -3.0 BB%
Ronel Blanco - +4.5% CSW%, -2.1 BB%
Sonny Gray - +4.4% CSW%, -2.6 BB%
Hogan Harris - +2.6% CSW%, -1.5 BB%
Hitter Reports
Multiple Barrels
Aaron Judge (NYY) 4 PA, 5 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
LaMonte Wade Jr. (SF) 5 PA, 6 Swings, 2 Barrels, 0 HR
Tyler Fitzgerald (SF) 5 PA, 11 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
New Max Launch Velos
Derek Hill, Yesterday: 111.3 Previous High: 110.3
Patrick Bailey, Yesterday: 110.1 Previous High: 109.7
Seiya Suzuki, Yesterday: 115.5 Previous High: 115.0
Hardest Hit Balls
Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) - 116.9mph - nan
Seiya Suzuki (CHC) - 115.5mph - double
Corbin Carroll (ARI) - 114.3mph - nan
Colton Cowser (BAL) - 113.6mph - home_run
Oneil Cruz (PIT) - 111.8mph - field_out
Royce Lewis (MIN) - 111.6mph - single
Michael Harris II (ATL) - 111.5mph - home_run
Derek Hill (MIA) - 111.3mph - single
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) - 110.4mph - double
Aaron Judge (NYY) - 110.4mph - home_run
Last 3 Weeks - wOBA vs. xwOBA Comparison
Top 10
Paul Goldschmidt - 70 PA, 0.254 wOBA, 0.363 xwOBA, 0.109 Diff
Alec Burleson - 67 PA, 0.209 wOBA, 0.298 xwOBA, 0.089 Diff
Jazz Chisholm - 72 PA, 0.225 wOBA, 0.314 xwOBA, 0.089 Diff
Anthony Volpe - 62 PA, 0.199 wOBA, 0.285 xwOBA, 0.086 Diff
Connor Norby - 78 PA, 0.311 wOBA, 0.391 xwOBA, 0.08 Diff
Jake Burger - 72 PA, 0.268 wOBA, 0.339 xwOBA, 0.071 Diff
Dylan Crews - 80 PA, 0.232 wOBA, 0.299 xwOBA, 0.067 Diff
Jarren Duran - 86 PA, 0.254 wOBA, 0.321 xwOBA, 0.067 Diff
Aaron Judge - 74 PA, 0.466 wOBA, 0.532 xwOBA, 0.066 Diff
Cedric Mullins II - 65 PA, 0.327 wOBA, 0.388 xwOBA, 0.061 Diff
Bottom 10
Victor Robles - 63 PA, 0.485 wOBA, 0.392 xwOBA, -0.093 Diff
Andrew Vaughn - 68 PA, 0.396 wOBA, 0.305 xwOBA, -0.091 Diff
Otto Lopez - 76 PA, 0.414 wOBA, 0.324 xwOBA, -0.09 Diff
Tommy Edman - 75 PA, 0.387 wOBA, 0.313 xwOBA, -0.074 Diff
Jake Fraley - 63 PA, 0.371 wOBA, 0.303 xwOBA, -0.068 Diff
Matt Olson - 80 PA, 0.47 wOBA, 0.403 xwOBA, -0.067 Diff
Brandon Marsh - 59 PA, 0.389 wOBA, 0.322 xwOBA, -0.067 Diff
Jose Iglesias - 69 PA, 0.418 wOBA, 0.352 xwOBA, -0.066 Diff
Gunnar Henderson - 77 PA, 0.413 wOBA, 0.348 xwOBA, -0.065 Diff
William Contreras - 60 PA, 0.429 wOBA, 0.365 xwOBA, -0.064 Diff
Last 3 Weeks - Brl% Leaders
Aaron Judge - 74 PA, 42 BIP, 12 Brls, 28.6 Brl%
Shohei Ohtani - 80 PA, 53 BIP, 15 Brls, 28.3 Brl%
Tyler O'Neill - 68 PA, 36 BIP, 10 Brls, 27.8 Brl%
Kyle Schwarber - 83 PA, 49 BIP, 13 Brls, 26.5 Brl%
Teoscar Hernandez - 52 PA, 27 BIP, 6 Brls, 22.2 Brl%
Triston Casas - 60 PA, 32 BIP, 7 Brls, 21.9 Brl%
Jorge Soler - 69 PA, 46 BIP, 10 Brls, 21.7 Brl%
Rhys Hoskins - 54 PA, 24 BIP, 5 Brls, 20.8 Brl%
Pavin Smith - 62 PA, 34 BIP, 7 Brls, 20.6 Brl%
Jonathan Aranda - 60 PA, 44 BIP, 9 Brls, 20.5 Brl%
Last 3 Weeks - xwOBA Leaders
Aaron Judge - 74 PA, 0.532 xwOBA
Shohei Ohtani - 80 PA, 0.499 xwOBA
Michael Harris II - 91 PA, 0.446 xwOBA
Jonathan Aranda - 60 PA, 0.442 xwOBA
Kyle Schwarber - 83 PA, 0.439 xwOBA
Nathaniel Lowe - 73 PA, 0.429 xwOBA
Ketel Marte - 63 PA, 0.428 xwOBA
Teoscar Hernandez - 52 PA, 0.428 xwOBA
Pavin Smith - 62 PA, 0.427 xwOBA
Juan Soto - 75 PA, 0.426 xwOBA
Last 3 Weeks - Contact% Leaders
Luis Arraez - 72 PA, 127 Swings, 95.3 Cont%
Alex Verdugo - 48 PA, 81 Swings, 91.4 Cont%
Nico Hoerner - 67 PA, 112 Swings, 91.1 Cont%
Geraldo Perdomo - 77 PA, 124 Swings, 88.7 Cont%
Alec Burleson - 67 PA, 123 Swings, 88.6 Cont%
Alex Bregman - 79 PA, 139 Swings, 88.5 Cont%
Alejandro Kirk - 61 PA, 113 Swings, 88.5 Cont%
Adley Rutschman - 68 PA, 122 Swings, 87.7 Cont%
Keibert Ruiz - 69 PA, 129 Swings, 87.6 Cont%
Ernie Clement - 70 PA, 111 Swings, 87.4 Cont%
Last 10 Days - SB Attempt Leaders
Shohei Ohtani - 7 Attempts (7 steals)
Xavier Edwards - 6 Attempts (4 steals)
Trea Turner - 6 Attempts (4 steals)
Jose Caballero - 6 Attempts (4 steals)
Corbin Carroll - 6 Attempts (5 steals)
Xander Bogaerts - 4 Attempts (3 steals)
Jake McCarthy - 4 Attempts (4 steals)
Brice Turang - 4 Attempts (4 steals)
Victor Robles - 4 Attempts (3 steals)
Bobby Witt Jr. - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Taylor Ward - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Leody Taveras - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Lawrence Butler - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Jazz Chisholm Jr. - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Jasson Dominguez - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
James Wood - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Connor Norby - 3 Attempts (1 steals)
Ceddanne Rafaela - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Mookie Betts - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Trevor Story - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Mike Siani - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Last 30 Days - SB Attempt Leaders
Victor Robles - 15 Attempts (14 steals)
Shohei Ohtani - 15 Attempts (15 steals)
Jazz Chisholm Jr. - 13 Attempts (11 steals)
Jose Ramirez - 12 Attempts (8 steals)
Jose Caballero - 12 Attempts (9 steals)
Corbin Carroll - 12 Attempts (11 steals)
Dylan Crews - 11 Attempts (9 steals)
Xavier Edwards - 10 Attempts (8 steals)
Brice Turang - 9 Attempts (9 steals)
Leody Taveras - 8 Attempts (7 steals)
Andres Gimenez - 8 Attempts (6 steals)
Josh Lowe - 8 Attempts (8 steals)
James Wood - 8 Attempts (7 steals)
Dairon Blanco - 8 Attempts (7 steals)
Maikel Garcia - 8 Attempts (7 steals)
Elly De La Cruz - 8 Attempts (4 steals)
Cedric Mullins - 8 Attempts (7 steals)
Nico Hoerner - 8 Attempts (6 steals)
Jake McCarthy - 8 Attempts (6 steals)
Magic Formula Qualifiers - Hitters - Last 3 Weeks
Bobby Witt Jr. - 73 PA, 13.7 K%, 16.1 Brl%
Jonathan Aranda - 60 PA, 16.7 K%, 20.5 Brl%
Matt Olson - 80 PA, 13.8 K%, 14.5 Brl%
Michael Harris II - 91 PA, 11.0 K%, 16.7 Brl%
Yordan Alvarez - 75 PA, 17.3 K%, 15.5 Brl%
Last 30 Days - xwOBA Improvers
Victor Robles - 90 PA, +0.107 xwOBA
Michael Harris II - 124 PA, +0.096 xwOBA
Matt Olson - 119 PA, +0.088 xwOBA
Eugenio Suarez - 116 PA, +0.083 xwOBA
Kerry Carpenter - 84 PA, +0.079 xwOBA
Miguel Rojas - 80 PA, +0.074 xwOBA
Cedric Mullins II - 98 PA, +0.07 xwOBA
Wyatt Langford - 110 PA, +0.068 xwOBA
Lawrence Butler - 110 PA, +0.061 xwOBA
Nick Castellanos - 115 PA, +0.061 xwOBA
Last 30 Days - Brl% Improvers
Shohei Ohtani - 122 PA, +10.9 Brl%
Tyler O'Neill - 104 PA, +9.9 Brl%
Michael Harris II - 124 PA, +8.9 Brl%
Ceddanne Rafaela - 82 PA, +8.8 Brl%
Wyatt Langford - 110 PA, +8.8 Brl%
Corbin Carroll - 126 PA, +8.7 Brl%
Kyle Schwarber - 126 PA, +7.4 Brl%
Jackson Chourio - 117 PA, +7.3 Brl%
Pete Alonso - 115 PA, +7.2 Brl%
Giancarlo Stanton - 89 PA, +6.8 Brl%
Last 30 Days - Cont% Improvers
Victor Robles - 90 PA, +8.8 Cont%
Bryce Harper - 122 PA, +8.6 Cont%
Matt Olson - 119 PA, +8.6 Cont%
Michael Busch - 99 PA, +8.3 Cont%
Jake McCarthy - 114 PA, +8.0 Cont%
Trevor Larnach - 82 PA, +7.9 Cont%
Heliot Ramos - 110 PA, +7.3 Cont%
Jonny DeLuca - 81 PA, +6.7 Cont%
Jurickson Profar - 112 PA, +6.5 Cont%
Alec Burleson - 108 PA, +6.4 Cont%
Last 30 Days - K% Improvers
Nick Gonzales - 100 PA, -10.6 K%
Matt Olson - 119 PA, -10.5 K%
Oneil Cruz - 106 PA, -10.0 K%
Victor Robles - 90 PA, -9.1 K%
Brenton Doyle - 84 PA, -8.7 K%
Michael Busch - 99 PA, -8.5 K%
Lawrence Butler - 110 PA, -6.6 K%
Heliot Ramos - 110 PA, -6.4 K%
Cal Raleigh - 124 PA, -6.3 K%
Jonny DeLuca - 81 PA, -6.2 K%
Hot Hitter Tracker - Last 7 vs. Career
Shohei Ohtani - +3.5% Contact%, +5.5 mph exit velo, -6.1 Chase%
Oneil Cruz - +12.3% Contact%, +5.2 mph exit velo, -7.7 Chase%
Andres Gimenez - +5.5% Contact%, +4.5 mph exit velo, -8.0 Chase%
Jake Meyers - +5.6% Contact%, +3.7 mph exit velo, -8.3 Chase%
Super Ultra Mega Hot Hitters - Last 15 Days
James Wood - 0.406 xwOBA, 15.8% Brl%, 78.2% Contact%, 16.9% Chase%, 22.4% K%
Juan Soto - 0.39 xwOBA, 15.2% Brl%, 79.8% Contact%, 19.0% Chase%, 22.2% K%
Ketel Marte - 0.461 xwOBA, 17.6% Brl%, 84.5% Contact%, 22.7% Chase%, 20.4% K%
Kyle Tucker - 0.402 xwOBA, 13.2% Brl%, 79.4% Contact%, 22.8% Chase%, 19.6% K%
Matt Olson - 0.435 xwOBA, 18.9% Brl%, 77.8% Contact%, 19.0% Chase%, 14.0% K%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. - 0.427 xwOBA, 13.0% Brl%, 84.6% Contact%, 23.3% Chase%, 10.7% K%
Cold Hitters - Last 2 Weeks
Grant McCray - 39.2% Whiff%, 76.0% Weak%, 0.963 Cold Rating
Mike Siani - 44.1% Whiff%, 72.2% Weak%, 0.947 Cold Rating
Brayan Rocchio - 32.9% Whiff%, 75.0% Weak%, 0.872 Cold Rating
Jesus Sanchez - 34.3% Whiff%, 70.4% Weak%, 0.865 Cold Rating
Brent Rooker - 40.0% Whiff%, 63.9% Weak%, 0.835 Cold Rating
Tyler Fitzgerald - 37.3% Whiff%, 65.0% Weak%, 0.83 Cold Rating
Austin Wells - 29.1% Whiff%, 87.5% Weak%, 0.825 Cold Rating
Jordan Walker - 29.3% Whiff%, 75.9% Weak%, 0.813 Cold Rating
Rafael Devers - 41.6% Whiff%, 62.5% Weak%, 0.811 Cold Rating
Connor Wong - 32.9% Whiff%, 68.0% Weak%, 0.8 Cold Rating
Schedules & Streamers
Toughest Upcoming Hitter Schedules - Next 7 Days
BOS - 119.4 Opposing SP Stuff+
CHC - 114.1 Opposing SP Stuff+
PIT - 114.0 Opposing SP Stuff+
LAA - 113.8 Opposing SP Stuff+
MIA - 108.9 Opposing SP Stuff+
Softest Upcoming Hitter Schedules - Next 7 Days
TEX - 76.9 Opposing SP Stuff+
KC - 82.3 Opposing SP Stuff+
ATL - 82.5 Opposing SP Stuff+
LAD - 83.7 Opposing SP Stuff+
COL - 84.2 Opposing SP Stuff+
Today's SP Streamer Picks
Cody Bradford (40.0% Owned): Projected 5.68IP 2.66ER 6.13SO 0.98BB 16.92FPts
Edward Cabrera (19.0% Owned): Projected 5.12IP 2.44ER 5.27SO 2.58BB 13.64FPts
Jose Suarez (1.0% Owned): Projected 5.04IP 2.27ER 4.76SO 1.7BB 13.62FPts
OPS Leaders - Last 2 Weeks - LOW OWNED HITTERS
Michael Conforto - 32 PA, 1.087 OPS
Tyrone Taylor - 30 PA, 1.082 OPS
Jason Heyward - 26 PA, 1.013 OPS
Jonathan Aranda - 28 PA, 1.011 OPS
Lenyn Sosa - 27 PA, 1.007 OPS
Jose Iglesias - 38 PA, 0.974 OPS
Ramon Laureano - 35 PA, 0.96 OPS
Jorge Polanco - 32 PA, 0.957 OPS
Jonah Bride - 34 PA, 0.953 OPS
Gio Urshela - 36 PA, 0.944 OPS
Today's Hitter Streamer Picks
Ivan Herrera C (2.0% Owned): Projected 0.86R 0.18HR 0.75RBI 0.77SO 0.35BB 0.08SB 10.21FPts
Masyn Winn SS (38.0% Owned): Projected 0.82R 0.14HR 0.61RBI 0.67SO 0.25BB 0.11SB 9.37FPts
Joc Pederson OF (43.0% Owned): Projected 0.68R 0.19HR 0.72RBI 0.88SO 0.51BB 0.05SB 8.63FPts
Charlie Blackmon RF (6.0% Owned): Projected 0.77R 0.12HR 0.56RBI 0.73SO 0.39BB 0.06SB 8.56FPts
Jesus Sanchez CF (7.0% Owned): Projected 0.59R 0.18HR 0.63RBI 1.09SO 0.36BB 0.09SB 8.48FPts
Jordan Walker RF (26.0% Owned): Projected 0.66R 0.17HR 0.66RBI 0.72SO 0.25BB 0.06SB 8.46FPts
Brandon Lowe 2B (38.0% Owned): Projected 0.62R 0.2HR 0.55RBI 1.0SO 0.37BB 0.06SB 8.23FPts
Jose Tena SS (0.0% Owned): Projected 0.56R 0.11HR 0.6RBI 0.77SO 0.38BB 0.13SB 8.07FPts
Luis Garcia SS (1.0% Owned): Projected 0.54R 0.12HR 0.62RBI 0.49SO 0.27BB 0.12SB 8.05FPts
Michael Toglia RF (24.0% Owned): Projected 0.62R 0.19HR 0.62RBI 1.17SO 0.39BB 0.06SB 8.04FPts
Become a paid sub today to get the rest of the daily notes. It’s just $9/month and you get everything I do. Check out the about page for more. 10% of your subscription goes to charitable organizations such as Samaritan’s Purse, a Christian humanitarian aid organization.