MLB Daily Notes - September 26th
MLB Daily Notes - September 26th
A daily automated report of what happened yesterday in Major League Baseball, along with other recent trends and further analysis.
I’m in the writing mood this morning, but I still am at a loss for what to write about. Producer Lee brought up in our Slack group that Jose Ramirez is flirting with a 40-40 season, and that’s a bit surprising to hear. In these days of Aaron Judge scraping 60 homers, Shohei Ohtani’s 50-50, and all of these shiny new toys like Bobby Witt Jr., Gunnar Henderson, and Corbin Carroll, J-Ram has been been taken for granted. I’m not saying he’s been underrated or overlooked, but nobody has been gassing him up in the same way as these other guys. That’s what consistency will get you. We just come to expect 30-30 for J-Ram.
Jose Ramirez by Year
2016: 11 HR, 22 SB, .312 AVG
2017: 29 HR, 17 SB, .318 AVG
2018: 39 HR, 34 SB, .270 AVG
2019: 23 HR, 24 SB, .255 AVG
2021: 36 HR, 27 SB, .266 AVG
2022: 29 HR, 20 SB, .280 AVG
2023: 24 HR, 28 SB, .282 AVG
2024: 38 HR, 40 SB, .275 AVG
What a career, and this guy is still only 32. He’s younger than me. That lost 2020 season is a real pain in the ass to us data guys, by the way. I never know if I should include the stats when I do things like that or write them down but put an asterisk or something. The year is the reason that my MLB & MiLB Stats Dashboard does not go further back than 2021. Think of all of the minor league guys that had their careers ruined by that canceled season. Someone entering their age-24 minor league season with one last chance to prove it and get to the Majors, and then they have to sit for a year - and they come out on the other end flirting with being 26 and are much less of a priority to their organizations.
It could also be interesting to study the 2018 & 2019 MLB draft and see if those two classes end up having below-average success or below-average promotion rates. To get drafted and then immediately miss an entire season must have been tough. Although, checking the 2019 top-20 makes you not feel so worried about that:
2019 Draft:
1. Adley Rutschman
2. Bobby Witt Jr.
3. Andrew Vaughn
4. JJ Bleday
5. Riley Greene
6. CJ Abrams
7. Nick Lodolo
8. Josh Jung
9. Shea Langeliers
10. Hunter Bishop
11. Alek Manoah
12. Brett Baty
13. Keoni Cavaco
14. Bryson Stott
15. Will Wilson
16. Corbin Carroll
17. Jackson Rutledge
18. Quinn Priester
19. Zach Thompson
20. George Kirby
That’s a solid handful of All Stars already, and only 6-8 guys that haven’t had real success in the Majors to this point. So that’s good.
Your streamer options today:
David Festa vs. MIA
Michael Wacha vs. WSH
Walker Buehler vs. SD
Kumar Rocker vs. OAK
Aaron Civale vs. PIT
Kyle Gibson vs. COL
I don’t see much to like tomorrow, so I’d jump in on Festa or Wacha today - both of those guys are pitching in very important games against bad lineups.
I saw yesterday that Festa has one of the best K/9 rates in the league.
K/9 Leaders
80 innings minimum
Crochet 12.87
Snell 12.55
Skenes 11.47
Sale 11.40
Glasnow 11.28
Herz 11.08
S Gray 10.98
Flaherty 10.83
Ragans 10.77
Pivetta 10.75
K/9 matters to me because my home league uses K/9. I set that league up in 2007, so a lot of the original rules and categories are still in place. I wouldn’t set it up the same way today, but it’s what we’ve all known for almost two decades now so we’re hesitant to change anything.
For awhile, we didn’t even have the categories even. We had 7 hitting categories and 5 pitching categories; very silly stuff. We also had pitching home runs allowed as a category and hitter strikeouts. We’ve cleaned up the egregious things over the years. BUT HEY WHILE I’M TALKING ABOUT IT, here’s the update on the finals:
My team hit 19 homers and stole 15 bases last week while hitting .288, so we’re in a bit of a hangover phase, it seems. The good news is that Stupid Ass Clint isn’t making me pay for it.
I got six more scoreless innings from Kikuchi as he put a bow on his regular season. He’s been incredible with Houston:
10 GS, 60 IP, 5 W, 2.70 ERA, 0.93 WHIP, 31.8% K%, 5.9% BB%, 1.2 HR/9
He will head into free agency as a 33 year old. He’s past the time where he’d be set up to grab a huge payday, but this second-half should be rewarded pretty handsomely, especially given his strong overall numbers over the last three seasons:
84 GS, 444 IP, 4.24 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 27.0% K%, 7.9% BB%, 19.1% K-BB%
I don’t know if teams value K-BB% in the same way as I do, but I imagine they do. If we go back to 2022 and look for pitchers who have made at least 75 starts (25 per season) with a K-BB% above 19%, we find this list:
Cole, Ryan, Wheeler, Snell, Nola, Rodon, Gausman, Kirby, Peralta, Lopez, Gilbert, S Gray, Castillo, Cease, Gallen, Burnes, Kikuchi
^ That list is ordered by K-BB%. Kikuchi has had a consistent home run issue, so the ERA has been higher than most of those guys, but he’s a good Major League pitcher, it will be interesting to see where he ends up.
Zac Gallen is getting ready for the playoffs, apparently. They still have some work to do to get in there, but if they do - Gallen is ready.
‘24 Season: 3.65 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 25.1% K%, 8.7% BB%
September: 2.67 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, 35.2% K%, 10.2% BB%
The Mets and Braves saw their games last night and tonight postponed, and now they’re slated to play a double header on Monday. It’s highly likely that the playoff picture is determined by that double header. I suppose it depends on what website you’re using, but I think it’s safe to say that double header will not factor into your head-to-head matchup this week if you’re in one.
Thousands of people took to Twitter to criticize MLB for not moving the series earlier and doing more to get the games in. The armchair QBs always entertain me. There’s so much behind the scenes stuff in these situations that we’re unaware of, and I don’t imagine “just move the games to a neutral site” is as easy a thing to do as it sounds. The Braves apparently did not want to give up the home games, and why would they? They’ll take that 1% edge or whatever it is if they can have it, we shouldn’t expect them to politely give it up if they don’t want to.
It does set up a potential tough spot for whoever of those teams does make the playoffs. Neither is winning the division, so they’ll have to play Tuesday. So, they’ll play a double header Monday and then immediately fly to either San Diego or Milwaukee to pay on Tuesday. Their pitching staffs will likely be pretty spent playing five games in four days preceding. But that’s baseball, baby. Maybe they should have won the division instead - losers!
Those Wild Card series’ are awesome now. I liked the one-game thing, it was exciting, but I like a four-game playoff slate even more. We’ll get that next Tuesday and Wednesday, with an outside shot at getting another one Thursday if all four series split the first two games.
I BET YOU’RE THINKING
“Big JA, you are so handsome and smart, could you please tell me what the chances are of all four series splitting like that?”
And yes, yes I can. Or at least I can get you close to the answer. Not every game is 50/50, of course, but they’re all pretty close to 50/50, so we can just use that as an assumption to set the table with.
There are four possible combinations of two things (we’ll call the things A and B):
AA
BB
AB
BA
Two of those four result in a split, so there’s a ~50% chance of a three-game series splitting the first two.
The chances of a 50% chance hitting four times in a row is expressed as 50% times itself four times.
.5 * .5 * .5 * .5 = .5^4 = 0.062So we have very close to a 6.2% chance of seeing all four series go to a game three.
You can apply this same thing to genders. If you’re going to have two children, you have a 50% chance of ending up with one boy and one girl. People might think that having two boys is the same odds as having one of each, but no - you’re twice as likely to end up with a split rather than two of the same.
That’s because, as soon as you have one kid - one of the possible combinations is erased. After you have a boy, you cannot possibly have two girls. But you can still have the split. If your first kid is a girl, you can still have the split. So no matter what, the split is still a 50/50 shot after the first kid is conceived, while one of the other two options goes to 0%.
You’re welcome for all of that, I’m sure it changed many lives.
I’ve gotta get some real work done and then polish up the NFL DFS Week 4 Preview! Have a killer Thursday.
Pitcher Reports
Algo SP Ranks - Yesterday
1. Davis Martin
2. Edward Cabrera
3. Dylan Cease
4. Yusei Kikuchi
5. Zac Gallen
6. Erick Fedde
7. George Kirby
8. Freddy Peralta
9. Zack Littell
10. Austin Gomber
11. DJ Herz
12. Richard Fitts
13. Cristopher Sanchez
14. Jack Flaherty
15. Jose Suarez
16. Cody Bradford
17. Kevin Gausman
18. Jakob Junis
19. Luis L. Ortiz
20. Keider Montero
21. Javier Assad
22. Mason Black
23. Marcus Stroman
24. Zach Eflin
25. Brady Basso
Fantasy Points Leaders - Yesterday
1. Zac Gallen (vs. SF): 35.1 Points
2. Erick Fedde (vs. COL): 33.55 Points
3. Yusei Kikuchi (vs. SEA): 26.5 Points
4. Luis Ortiz - 682847 (vs. MIL): 24.75 Points
5. George Kirby (vs. HOU): 24.5 Points
6. Freddy Peralta (vs. PIT): 19.59 Points
7. Kevin Gausman (vs. BOS): 17.3 Points
8. Edward Cabrera (vs. MIN): 16.25 Points
9. Sean Guenther (vs. TB): 14.5 Points
10. Joe Boyle (vs. TEX): 14.35 Points
Whiffs Leaders - Yesterday
1. Dylan Cease (SD): 20 Whiffs (97 Pitches)
2. Yusei Kikuchi (HOU): 16 Whiffs (98 Pitches)
3. Edward Cabrera (MIA): 16 Whiffs (79 Pitches)
4. Zac Gallen (ARI): 16 Whiffs (97 Pitches)
5. Davis Martin (CWS): 15 Whiffs (85 Pitches)
6. Erick Fedde (STL): 14 Whiffs (87 Pitches)
7. Zack Littell (TB): 13 Whiffs (91 Pitches)
8. Jack Flaherty (LAD): 13 Whiffs (100 Pitches)
9. Joe Boyle (OAK): 12 Whiffs (60 Pitches)
10. George Kirby (SEA): 12 Whiffs (96 Pitches)
Strike% Leaders - Yesterday
1. Zac Gallen (ARI): 53.6 Strike%, 37.1 Ball%
2. Yusei Kikuchi (HOU): 52.0 Strike%, 32.7 Ball%
3. Freddy Peralta (MIL): 51.0 Strike%, 37.5 Ball%
4. Edward Cabrera (MIA): 50.6 Strike%, 29.1 Ball%
5. George Kirby (SEA): 50.0 Strike%, 33.3 Ball%
6. Cristopher Sanchez (PHI): 50.0 Strike%, 31.9 Ball%
7. Cody Bradford (TEX): 50.0 Strike%, 34.4 Ball%
8. Zack Littell (TB): 49.5 Strike%, 35.2 Ball%
9. Davis Martin (CWS): 49.4 Strike%, 41.2 Ball%
10. Richard Fitts (BOS): 48.7 Strike%, 28.2 Ball%
11. Erick Fedde (STL): 48.3 Strike%, 36.8 Ball%
12. Jakob Junis (CIN): 47.2 Strike%, 33.3 Ball%
13. Jack Flaherty (LAD): 46.0 Strike%, 41.0 Ball%
14. DJ Herz (WSH): 45.7 Strike%, 35.8 Ball%
15. Jose Suarez (LAA): 44.7 Strike%, 35.5 Ball%
Pitches/Out (POUT) Leaders - Yesterday
1. Erick Fedde: 87 Pitches, 20 Outs, 4.35 POUT
2. Luis L. Ortiz: 92 Pitches, 21 Outs, 4.38 POUT
3. Jakob Junis: 72 Pitches, 14 Outs, 5.14 POUT
4. Kevin Gausman: 93 Pitches, 18 Outs, 5.17 POUT
5. Edward Cabrera: 79 Pitches, 15 Outs, 5.27 POUT
6. Austin Gomber: 80 Pitches, 15 Outs, 5.33 POUT
7. George Kirby: 96 Pitches, 18 Outs, 5.33 POUT
8. Zac Gallen: 97 Pitches, 18 Outs, 5.39 POUT
9. DJ Herz: 81 Pitches, 15 Outs, 5.4 POUT
10. Jose Suarez: 76 Pitches, 14 Outs, 5.43 POUT
Velo Changes - Yesterday
Mason Black's SL velo (13 pitches) UP 2.4mph to 90.3
Cody Poteet's ST velo (12 pitches) UP 2.1mph to 83.3
Edward Cabrera's CH velo (21 pitches) UP 1.9mph to 94.8
Dylan Cease's SL velo (53 pitches) UP 1.7mph to 88.7
Mason Black's ST velo (20 pitches) UP 1.7mph to 82.9
George Kirby's FS velo (11 pitches) UP 1.6mph to 87.2
Zack Littell's SL velo (39 pitches) DOWN -1.5mph to 85.8
Austin Gomber's SL velo (11 pitches) DOWN -1.5mph to 82.8
Cody Bradford's CU velo (11 pitches) DOWN -1.9mph to 73.9
Yusei Kikuchi's CU velo (21 pitches) DOWN -2.2mph to 80.6
Zack Littell's SI velo (10 pitches) DOWN -2.3mph to 89.6
Zack Littell's FF velo (12 pitches) DOWN -3.0mph to 90.1
Pitch Mix Changes - Yesterday
Brady Basso's FF usage (64.8%) up 18.2 points
Dylan Cease's SL usage (54.6%) up 12.9 points
Edward Cabrera's SI usage (21.5%) up 12.0 points
Erick Fedde's FC usage (44.8%) up 12.4 points
Jack Flaherty's CU usage (36.0%) up 13.6 points
Jakob Junis's FF usage (16.7%) up 12.1 points
Javier Assad's SI usage (46.7%) up 10.7 points
Jose Suarez's FF usage (61.8%) up 11.4 points
Luis L. Ortiz's FC usage (29.3%) up 16.7 points
Yusei Kikuchi's SL usage (35.7%) up 11.0 points
Zack Littell's FS usage (31.9%) up 10.1 points
Pitch Mix Changes - Last 3 Starts
Sean Manaea Sinker: +30.2%
Max Fried Sweeper: +20.1%
Luis Severino Sweeper: +18.6%
Garrett Crochet 4-Seam Fastball: -17.6%
Tylor Megill Sinker: +17.4%
Ben Lively 4-Seam Fastball: -17.1%
Shane Baz Slider: -16.4%
Ryan Feltner Slider: -16.0%
Yu Darvish Sweeper: +15.3%
Bailey Falter Slider: +15.3%
Ryan Pepiot Cutter: +14.8%
Bailey Ober Changeup: +14.7%
Logan Webb Cutter: +14.4%
Yusei Kikuchi Slider: +14.2%
Garrett Crochet Sinker: +14.1%
Jake Irvin Curveball: -13.9%
Jake Irvin Sinker: +13.7%
Ryan Feltner 4-Seam Fastball: +13.7%
Zach Eflin Changeup: +13.7%
Zach Eflin Sinker: -13.6%
Simeon Woods Richardson Curveball: +13.2%
Yu Darvish Slider: -13.1%
Logan Webb Changeup: -13.0%
Spencer Schwellenbach 4-Seam Fastball: +12.7%
Ben Lively Sinker: +12.7%
Bailey Ober 4-Seam Fastball: -12.7%
Yusei Kikuchi 4-Seam Fastball: -12.6%
Jared Jones Curveball: +12.2%
Sean Manaea 4-Seam Fastball: -12.1%
Ronel Blanco Changeup: -12.1%
Seth Lugo Cutter: +12.1%
CSW% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Blake Snell - 71 TBF, 38.1% CSW%
Joe Musgrove - 67 TBF, 35.3% CSW%
Nick Martinez - 66 TBF, 34.3% CSW%
Aaron Nola - 97 TBF, 34.1% CSW%
Logan Gilbert - 101 TBF, 33.9% CSW%
Zac Gallen - 87 TBF, 33.5% CSW%
Tarik Skubal - 90 TBF, 33.1% CSW%
Landen Roupp - 73 TBF, 32.8% CSW%
Dean Kremer - 95 TBF, 32.2% CSW%
Carlos Rodon - 72 TBF, 32.2% CSW%
K% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Blake Snell - 71 TBF, 43.7% K%
Frankie Montas - 85 TBF, 37.6% K%
Joe Musgrove - 67 TBF, 35.8% K%
Zac Gallen - 87 TBF, 34.5% K%
Matthew Boyd - 80 TBF, 32.5% K%
Bailey Ober - 100 TBF, 32.0% K%
Logan Gilbert - 101 TBF, 31.7% K%
Nick Martinez - 66 TBF, 30.3% K%
Zack Wheeler - 99 TBF, 30.3% K%
Tarik Skubal - 90 TBF, 30.0% K%
K-BB% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Joe Musgrove - 67 TBF, 34.3% K-BB%
Blake Snell - 71 TBF, 33.8% K-BB%
Nick Martinez - 66 TBF, 28.8% K-BB%
Frankie Montas - 85 TBF, 28.2% K-BB%
Bailey Ober - 100 TBF, 28.0% K-BB%
Tarik Skubal - 90 TBF, 27.8% K-BB%
Logan Gilbert - 101 TBF, 26.7% K-BB%
Zack Littell - 83 TBF, 26.5% K-BB%
Zac Gallen - 87 TBF, 26.4% K-BB%
Zack Wheeler - 99 TBF, 25.3% K-BB%
GB% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Max Fried - 103 TBF, 69.1% GB%
Framber Valdez - 105 TBF, 68.9% GB%
Jose Quintana - 72 TBF, 63.0% GB%
Andre Pallante - 74 TBF, 61.7% GB%
Logan Gilbert - 101 TBF, 55.6% GB%
Logan Webb - 90 TBF, 54.5% GB%
Mitch Spence - 95 TBF, 54.1% GB%
Hunter Brown - 96 TBF, 53.0% GB%
Jack Kochanowicz - 100 TBF, 53.0% GB%
Jake Irvin - 89 TBF, 52.4% GB%
Magic Formula Qualifiers - Pitchers - Last 3 Weeks
Aaron Ashby - 44 TBF, 43.2 K%, 2.3 BB%, 50.0% GB%
Aaron Nola - 97 TBF, 28.9 K%, 7.2 BB%, 46.8% GB%
Daniel Lynch IV - 51 TBF, 35.3 K%, 7.8 BB%, 51.7% GB%
Joey Cantillo - 60 TBF, 36.7 K%, 6.7 BB%, 50.0% GB%
Logan Gilbert - 101 TBF, 31.7 K%, 5.0 BB%, 55.6% GB%
Nick Pivetta - 90 TBF, 27.8 K%, 7.8 BB%, 46.6% GB%
Paul Skenes - 64 TBF, 39.1 K%, 3.1 BB%, 69.4% GB%
Sean Manaea - 100 TBF, 29.0 K%, 7.0 BB%, 44.4% GB%
Tarik Skubal - 90 TBF, 30.0 K%, 2.2 BB%, 48.3% GB%
Tyler Holton - 49 TBF, 30.6 K%, 4.1 BB%, 62.5% GB%
Yusei Kikuchi - 99 TBF, 28.3 K%, 4.0 BB%, 44.8% GB%
Zack Wheeler - 99 TBF, 30.3 K%, 5.1 BB%, 46.9% GB%
SIERA vs. ERA Comp, Last 30 Days
Unluckiest
Brandon Pfaadt: 8.88 ERA, 3.41 SIERA
Justin Verlander: 10.07 ERA, 5.74 SIERA
Zebby Matthews: 7.78 ERA, 3.56 SIERA
Joey Estes: 7.89 ERA, 5.03 SIERA
Miles Mikolas: 6.35 ERA, 3.7 SIERA
Taj Bradley: 6.57 ERA, 4.0 SIERA
Garrett Crochet: 4.05 ERA, 1.53 SIERA
Frankie Montas: 5.81 ERA, 3.44 SIERA
Eduardo Rodriguez: 6.44 ERA, 4.18 SIERA
Jake Irvin: 6.67 ERA, 4.44 SIERA
Luckiest
Rhett Lowder: 1.4 ERA, 4.71 SIERA
Michael King: 1.32 ERA, 4.04 SIERA
Corbin Burnes: 1.2 ERA, 3.84 SIERA
Bowden Francis: 1.69 ERA, 4.31 SIERA
Kevin Gausman: 2.43 ERA, 4.94 SIERA
Bryce Miller: 1.52 ERA, 3.66 SIERA
Jakob Junis: 1.57 ERA, 3.61 SIERA
Framber Valdez: 1.36 ERA, 3.38 SIERA
Chris Sale: 1.2 ERA, 3.14 SIERA
Spencer Schwellenbach: 2.36 ERA, 4.25 SIERA
Hot Pitcher Tracker - Last 3 Weeks vs. Career
Zack Littell - +2.6% CSW%, -3.3 BB%
Adam Oller - +3.1% CSW%, -2.1 BB%
Carlos Rodon - +2.4% CSW%, -2.2 BB%
Jonathan Cannon - +4.5% CSW%, -1.5 BB%
Joe Musgrove - +4.2% CSW%, -4.0 BB%
Nick Martinez - +4.7% CSW%, -5.3 BB%
Paul Skenes - +3.2% CSW%, -3.2 BB%
Austin Gomber - +2.4% CSW%, -3.0 BB%
Blake Snell - +7.2% CSW%, -3.5 BB%
Ronel Blanco - +4.5% CSW%, -2.1 BB%
Sonny Gray - +4.4% CSW%, -2.6 BB%
Hitter Reports
Multiple Barrels
Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) 4 PA, 4 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Jose Ramirez (CLE) 4 PA, 6 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Nick Castellanos (PHI) 4 PA, 8 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Riley Greene (DET) 4 PA, 6 Swings, 2 Barrels, 0 HR
New Max Launch Velos
Brayan Rocchio, Yesterday: 108.1 Previous High: 107.0
Hardest Hit Balls
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) - 116.8mph - double
Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) - 115.5mph - single
Aaron Judge (NYY) - 115.3mph - field_out
Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) - 114.4mph - home_run
Jake Burger (MIA) - 113.5mph - nan
Aaron Judge (NYY) - 113.3mph - single
Michael Conforto (SF) - 113.2mph - single
Aaron Judge (NYY) - 112.7mph - home_run
Salvador Perez (KC) - 112.0mph - single
Riley Greene (DET) - 111.1mph - double
Last 3 Weeks - wOBA vs. xwOBA Comparison
Top 10
Paul Goldschmidt - 69 PA, 0.248 wOBA, 0.352 xwOBA, 0.104 Diff
Dylan Crews - 79 PA, 0.226 wOBA, 0.314 xwOBA, 0.088 Diff
Jazz Chisholm - 71 PA, 0.215 wOBA, 0.301 xwOBA, 0.086 Diff
Anthony Volpe - 62 PA, 0.213 wOBA, 0.297 xwOBA, 0.084 Diff
Alec Burleson - 62 PA, 0.226 wOBA, 0.301 xwOBA, 0.075 Diff
Connor Norby - 79 PA, 0.316 wOBA, 0.389 xwOBA, 0.073 Diff
Aaron Judge - 75 PA, 0.499 wOBA, 0.568 xwOBA, 0.069 Diff
Juan Soto - 76 PA, 0.362 wOBA, 0.429 xwOBA, 0.067 Diff
James Wood - 80 PA, 0.316 wOBA, 0.381 xwOBA, 0.065 Diff
Josh Smith - 68 PA, 0.259 wOBA, 0.322 xwOBA, 0.063 Diff
Bottom 10
Andrew Vaughn - 67 PA, 0.358 wOBA, 0.268 xwOBA, -0.09 Diff
Lenyn Sosa - 58 PA, 0.426 wOBA, 0.34 xwOBA, -0.086 Diff
Victor Robles - 63 PA, 0.45 wOBA, 0.367 xwOBA, -0.083 Diff
Jose Ramirez - 79 PA, 0.407 wOBA, 0.326 xwOBA, -0.081 Diff
Tommy Edman - 75 PA, 0.392 wOBA, 0.312 xwOBA, -0.08 Diff
Otto Lopez - 76 PA, 0.409 wOBA, 0.336 xwOBA, -0.073 Diff
Matt Olson - 76 PA, 0.468 wOBA, 0.396 xwOBA, -0.072 Diff
Spencer Horwitz - 65 PA, 0.413 wOBA, 0.346 xwOBA, -0.067 Diff
Parker Meadows - 82 PA, 0.376 wOBA, 0.309 xwOBA, -0.067 Diff
Jose Iglesias - 69 PA, 0.418 wOBA, 0.352 xwOBA, -0.066 Diff
Last 3 Weeks - Brl% Leaders
Shohei Ohtani - 80 PA, 52 BIP, 16 Brls, 30.8 Brl%
Aaron Judge - 75 PA, 44 BIP, 13 Brls, 29.5 Brl%
Tyler O'Neill - 68 PA, 36 BIP, 10 Brls, 27.8 Brl%
Kyle Schwarber - 84 PA, 50 BIP, 13 Brls, 26.0 Brl%
Jorge Soler - 65 PA, 42 BIP, 10 Brls, 23.8 Brl%
Teoscar Hernandez - 53 PA, 28 BIP, 6 Brls, 21.4 Brl%
Triston Casas - 60 PA, 33 BIP, 7 Brls, 21.2 Brl%
Pavin Smith - 59 PA, 33 BIP, 7 Brls, 21.2 Brl%
Kerry Carpenter - 52 PA, 39 BIP, 8 Brls, 20.5 Brl%
Fernando Tatis Jr. - 70 PA, 49 BIP, 10 Brls, 20.4 Brl%
Last 3 Weeks - xwOBA Leaders
Aaron Judge - 75 PA, 0.568 xwOBA
Shohei Ohtani - 80 PA, 0.532 xwOBA
Michael Harris II - 86 PA, 0.445 xwOBA
Teoscar Hernandez - 53 PA, 0.437 xwOBA
Yordan Alvarez - 72 PA, 0.429 xwOBA
Juan Soto - 76 PA, 0.429 xwOBA
Jonathan Aranda - 63 PA, 0.429 xwOBA
Kyle Schwarber - 84 PA, 0.426 xwOBA
Nick Castellanos - 78 PA, 0.42 xwOBA
Pavin Smith - 59 PA, 0.419 xwOBA
Last 3 Weeks - Contact% Leaders
Luis Arraez - 71 PA, 129 Swings, 95.3 Cont%
Nico Hoerner - 67 PA, 121 Swings, 91.7 Cont%
Geraldo Perdomo - 76 PA, 121 Swings, 89.3 Cont%
Alejandro Kirk - 61 PA, 109 Swings, 89.0 Cont%
Adley Rutschman - 64 PA, 113 Swings, 88.5 Cont%
Ernie Clement - 70 PA, 116 Swings, 87.9 Cont%
Nolan Schanuel - 73 PA, 112 Swings, 87.5 Cont%
Alec Burleson - 62 PA, 112 Swings, 87.5 Cont%
Jonah Heim - 51 PA, 102 Swings, 87.3 Cont%
Keibert Ruiz - 65 PA, 125 Swings, 87.2 Cont%
Last 10 Days - SB Attempt Leaders
Shohei Ohtani - 8 Attempts (8 steals)
Corbin Carroll - 6 Attempts (4 steals)
Trea Turner - 6 Attempts (4 steals)
Jose Caballero - 5 Attempts (3 steals)
Xavier Edwards - 5 Attempts (3 steals)
Victor Robles - 5 Attempts (4 steals)
Xander Bogaerts - 4 Attempts (2 steals)
Brice Turang - 4 Attempts (4 steals)
Cedric Mullins - 4 Attempts (4 steals)
Jake McCarthy - 4 Attempts (4 steals)
Leody Taveras - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
James Wood - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Zach Neto - 3 Attempts (1 steals)
Manny Machado - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Bobby Witt Jr. - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Bryson Stott - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Lawrence Butler - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Jeremy Pena - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Mookie Betts - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Gunnar Henderson - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Taylor Ward - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Trevor Story - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Last 30 Days - SB Attempt Leaders
Victor Robles - 16 Attempts (15 steals)
Shohei Ohtani - 16 Attempts (16 steals)
Jazz Chisholm Jr. - 13 Attempts (11 steals)
Corbin Carroll - 13 Attempts (11 steals)
Dylan Crews - 12 Attempts (10 steals)
Jose Ramirez - 11 Attempts (8 steals)
Jose Caballero - 10 Attempts (7 steals)
Brice Turang - 10 Attempts (10 steals)
Cedric Mullins - 10 Attempts (9 steals)
Xavier Edwards - 10 Attempts (8 steals)
Zach Neto - 9 Attempts (7 steals)
Jake McCarthy - 8 Attempts (6 steals)
Gunnar Henderson - 8 Attempts (6 steals)
Andres Gimenez - 8 Attempts (6 steals)
Elly De La Cruz - 8 Attempts (4 steals)
Leody Taveras - 8 Attempts (7 steals)
Maikel Garcia - 8 Attempts (7 steals)
James Wood - 8 Attempts (7 steals)
Josh Lowe - 8 Attempts (8 steals)
Magic Formula Qualifiers - Hitters - Last 3 Weeks
Aaron Judge - 75 PA, 20.0 K%, 29.5 Brl%
Bobby Witt Jr. - 73 PA, 15.1 K%, 16.4 Brl%
Jonathan Aranda - 63 PA, 17.5 K%, 19.6 Brl%
Kerry Carpenter - 52 PA, 19.2 K%, 20.5 Brl%
Matt Olson - 76 PA, 14.5 K%, 15.4 Brl%
Michael Harris II - 86 PA, 11.6 K%, 16.4 Brl%
Yordan Alvarez - 72 PA, 16.7 K%, 16.1 Brl%
Last 30 Days - xwOBA Improvers
Victor Robles - 95 PA, +0.102 xwOBA
Michael Harris II - 122 PA, +0.097 xwOBA
Nick Castellanos - 114 PA, +0.082 xwOBA
Matt Olson - 115 PA, +0.081 xwOBA
Kerry Carpenter - 84 PA, +0.081 xwOBA
Cedric Mullins II - 103 PA, +0.077 xwOBA
Miguel Rojas - 82 PA, +0.074 xwOBA
Lawrence Butler - 111 PA, +0.073 xwOBA
Michael Conforto - 88 PA, +0.069 xwOBA
Eugenio Suarez - 116 PA, +0.064 xwOBA
Last 30 Days - Brl% Improvers
Shohei Ohtani - 122 PA, +12.2 Brl%
Tyler O'Neill - 104 PA, +9.5 Brl%
Michael Harris II - 122 PA, +8.9 Brl%
Corbin Carroll - 126 PA, +8.7 Brl%
Pete Alonso - 111 PA, +8.2 Brl%
Wyatt Langford - 112 PA, +8.1 Brl%
Kyle Schwarber - 125 PA, +8.0 Brl%
Jackson Chourio - 117 PA, +7.3 Brl%
Fernando Tatis Jr. - 80 PA, +7.3 Brl%
Michael Conforto - 88 PA, +7.0 Brl%
Last 30 Days - Cont% Improvers
Bryce Harper - 122 PA, +9.1 Cont%
Jake McCarthy - 113 PA, +9.0 Cont%
Matt Olson - 115 PA, +8.8 Cont%
Trevor Larnach - 82 PA, +8.6 Cont%
Victor Robles - 95 PA, +8.2 Cont%
Ramon Laureano - 86 PA, +7.7 Cont%
Anthony Volpe - 97 PA, +7.7 Cont%
Heliot Ramos - 110 PA, +7.6 Cont%
Michael Busch - 95 PA, +7.6 Cont%
Alec Burleson - 104 PA, +7.5 Cont%
Last 30 Days - K% Improvers
Matt Olson - 115 PA, -10.0 K%
Oneil Cruz - 105 PA, -9.6 K%
Nick Gonzales - 103 PA, -9.0 K%
Victor Robles - 95 PA, -8.7 K%
Michael Busch - 95 PA, -8.6 K%
Lawrence Butler - 111 PA, -7.7 K%
Cal Raleigh - 125 PA, -7.4 K%
Cedric Mullins II - 103 PA, -6.9 K%
Brent Rooker - 122 PA, -6.7 K%
Max Muncy - 90 PA, -6.4 K%
Hot Hitter Tracker - Last 7 vs. Career
Dansby Swanson - +7.9% Contact%, +3.6 mph exit velo, -6.7 Chase%
Nick Castellanos - +13.0% Contact%, +4.7 mph exit velo, -3.0 Chase%
Oneil Cruz - +12.1% Contact%, +3.8 mph exit velo, -7.5 Chase%
Nico Hoerner - +7.9% Contact%, +3.9 mph exit velo, -10.0 Chase%
Andres Gimenez - +7.3% Contact%, +6.0 mph exit velo, -7.4 Chase%
Super Ultra Mega Hot Hitters - Last 15 Days
James Wood - 0.399 xwOBA, 13.2% Brl%, 77.8% Contact%, 18.1% Chase%, 22.4% K%
Juan Soto - 0.434 xwOBA, 14.7% Brl%, 83.7% Contact%, 17.7% Chase%, 20.0% K%
Ketel Marte - 0.44 xwOBA, 17.1% Brl%, 84.2% Contact%, 20.4% Chase%, 20.0% K%
Kyle Tucker - 0.432 xwOBA, 14.7% Brl%, 80.0% Contact%, 20.8% Chase%, 18.0% K%
Matt Olson - 0.432 xwOBA, 18.8% Brl%, 77.6% Contact%, 17.4% Chase%, 15.7% K%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. - 0.409 xwOBA, 13.0% Brl%, 83.7% Contact%, 24.5% Chase%, 10.9% K%
Cold Hitters - Last 2 Weeks
Grant McCray - 42.9% Whiff%, 75.0% Weak%, 0.972 Cold Rating
Mike Siani - 44.3% Whiff%, 73.7% Weak%, 0.968 Cold Rating
Jordan Walker - 32.1% Whiff%, 75.9% Weak%, 0.868 Cold Rating
Brayan Rocchio - 31.5% Whiff%, 77.3% Weak%, 0.857 Cold Rating
Brent Rooker - 37.9% Whiff%, 65.7% Weak%, 0.853 Cold Rating
Pete Crow-Armstrong - 36.0% Whiff%, 65.5% Weak%, 0.836 Cold Rating
Ezequiel Tovar - 41.1% Whiff%, 63.6% Weak%, 0.825 Cold Rating
Austin Wells - 28.1% Whiff%, 85.2% Weak%, 0.809 Cold Rating
Jesus Sanchez - 32.7% Whiff%, 66.7% Weak%, 0.794 Cold Rating
Connor Wong - 33.3% Whiff%, 65.4% Weak%, 0.788 Cold Rating
Schedules & Streamers
Toughest Upcoming Hitter Schedules - Next 7 Days
BOS - 116.1 Opposing SP Stuff+
OAK - 114.2 Opposing SP Stuff+
LAA - 113.8 Opposing SP Stuff+
NYY - 113.5 Opposing SP Stuff+
PIT - 110.4 Opposing SP Stuff+
Softest Upcoming Hitter Schedules - Next 7 Days
HOU - 72.3 Opposing SP Stuff+
LAD - 74.4 Opposing SP Stuff+
SF - 76.7 Opposing SP Stuff+
TEX - 76.9 Opposing SP Stuff+
ATL - 79.0 Opposing SP Stuff+
Today's SP Streamer Picks
Reese Olson (23.0% Owned): Projected 5.34IP 2.33ER 5.56SO 1.8BB 15.88FPts
Kumar Rocker (23.0% Owned): Projected 5.2IP 2.01ER 5.14SO 1.47BB 15.77FPts
David Festa (13.0% Owned): Projected 4.57IP 1.99ER 5.39SO 1.5BB 15.2FPts
OPS Leaders - Last 2 Weeks - LOW OWNED HITTERS
Kyle Manzardo - 26 PA, 1.234 OPS
Charlie Blackmon - 26 PA, 1.196 OPS
Lenyn Sosa - 27 PA, 1.167 OPS
Michael Conforto - 35 PA, 1.078 OPS
Gio Urshela - 32 PA, 1.062 OPS
Jose Iglesias - 34 PA, 1.029 OPS
Tyrone Taylor - 27 PA, 1.003 OPS
Pavin Smith - 36 PA, 0.989 OPS
Ramon Laureano - 35 PA, 0.96 OPS
Alejandro Kirk - 31 PA, 0.938 OPS
Today's Hitter Streamer Picks
Ivan Herrera C (2.0% Owned): Projected 0.75R 0.16HR 0.75RBI 0.73SO 0.32BB 0.08SB 9.42FPts
Masyn Winn SS (38.0% Owned): Projected 0.8R 0.14HR 0.59RBI 0.68SO 0.25BB 0.11SB 9.26FPts
Charlie Blackmon RF (6.0% Owned): Projected 0.77R 0.12HR 0.56RBI 0.75SO 0.41BB 0.06SB 8.6FPts
Edouard Julien 2B (17.0% Owned): Projected 0.77R 0.16HR 0.56RBI 1.11SO 0.57BB 0.08SB 8.5FPts
Jordan Walker RF (26.0% Owned): Projected 0.65R 0.17HR 0.64RBI 0.74SO 0.25BB 0.06SB 8.4FPts
Michael Toglia RF (24.0% Owned): Projected 0.66R 0.19HR 0.66RBI 1.25SO 0.42BB 0.06SB 8.29FPts
Sam Hilliard CF (0.0% Owned): Projected 0.63R 0.19HR 0.63RBI 1.17SO 0.42BB 0.12SB 8.26FPts
Tommy Pham LF (4.0% Owned): Projected 0.63R 0.15HR 0.49RBI 0.81SO 0.32BB 0.11SB 8.23FPts
Trevor Larnach LF (3.0% Owned): Projected 0.62R 0.17HR 0.65RBI 0.92SO 0.43BB 0.04SB 8.15FPts
Jose Tena SS (0.0% Owned): Projected 0.56R 0.13HR 0.6RBI 0.85SO 0.3BB 0.12SB 8.14FPts
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