2022 MLB Forecasting Contest Results
I ran a free contest in the lead-up to the 2022 MLB season where I prepared 100 questions about the season for people to guess at. Each question had a binary answer and the contestants would guess at what the result would be in numerical form from 0-100.
The full contest rules and description was in this post:
Basically, if someone was very confident that the thing would happen, they would put 100, and if that thing did happen, they would get 100 points. If that thing didn’t happen, they would lose 100 points.
The winner was @mlbnewslover, with -796 points.
He did it by having the lowest average guess. Here is a peak at some of his submissions:
I actually don’t know for sure that this person is a man, I’ve never interacted with the account and the profile doesn’t give us any ideas.
I myself finished 3rd, and Producer Lee took 2nd!
The full results are in a spreadsheet here.
Thanks everybody for playing!