DFS & Betting Game Previews - August 18th
An automated report of each game on the MLB slate with full projections, recommended bets, and the top DFS plays from each.
Slate Preview 8/18
Getting this bad boy out super early today as my folks are in town so we’re heading out.
It won’t make much of a difference, because I almost always run this before the lineups are out, but maybe we’ll end up missing some value bets that pop-up through the morning. Keep an eye on the prop betting sheet if you’re a paid sub for things to change on that front.
Game by Game Previews
KC @ CHC
Projected Game Score:
KC 5.48 - CHC 4.74
KC 53.6% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.5
Projected Total: 10.22
2023 Pitcher Stats
Jameson Taillon: 21 GS, 1756 Pitches, 20.2 K%, 7.1 BB%, 10.0 SwStr%, 46.6 Strike%, 35.0 Ball%, 36.1 GB%, 10 Brl%
Cole Ragans: 4 GS, 787 Pitches, 25.6 K%, 10.6 BB%, 14.0 SwStr%, 47.8 Strike%, 36.2 Ball%, 43.7 GB%, 6 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Jameson Taillon (CHC): 88 Pitches 5.39 IP, 5.4 H, 2.7 ER, 5.3 K, 1.3 BB, 14.13 FPts
Cole Ragans (KC): 96 Pitches 5.7 IP, 5.5 H, 2.9 ER, 5.4 K, 2.5 BB, 13.53 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Jameson Taillon - 4.5 strikeouts
Cole Ragans - 5.5 strikeouts
KC Hitter Projections
1. Maikel Garcia: 4.6 PA, 1.19 H, 1.86 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.17 SB, 9.06 FPts
2. Bobby Witt Jr.: 4.51 PA, 1.17 H, 2.18 TB, 0.24 HR, 0.23 SB, 10.38 FPts
3. Michael Massey: 4.25 PA, 1.05 H, 1.95 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.06 SB, 8.61 FPts
4. Salvador Perez: 4.24 PA, 1.09 H, 2.08 TB, 0.26 HR, 0.0 SB, 8.68 FPts
5. MJ Melendez: 4.19 PA, 0.95 H, 1.84 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.48 FPts
6. Nelson Velazquez: 4.1 PA, 0.91 H, 1.85 TB, 0.24 HR, 0.09 SB, 8.54 FPts
7. Matt Beaty: 3.99 PA, 0.92 H, 1.36 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.5 FPts
8. Drew Waters: 3.84 PA, 0.85 H, 1.59 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.12 SB, 7.73 FPts
9. Kyle Isbel: 3.51 PA, 0.79 H, 1.31 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.1 SB, 6.27 FPts
CHC Hitter Projections
1. Christopher Morel: 4.31 PA, 0.94 H, 1.79 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.1 SB, 8.85 FPts
2. Nico Hoerner: 4.18 PA, 1.04 H, 1.5 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.22 SB, 8.26 FPts
3. Ian Happ: 4.08 PA, 0.82 H, 1.34 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.09 SB, 7.73 FPts
4. Cody Bellinger: 3.99 PA, 0.89 H, 1.44 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.15 SB, 7.79 FPts
5. Dansby Swanson: 3.87 PA, 0.9 H, 1.57 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.09 SB, 8.04 FPts
6. Seiya Suzuki: 3.83 PA, 0.87 H, 1.47 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.08 SB, 7.52 FPts
7. Patrick Wisdom: 3.51 PA, 0.68 H, 1.52 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.26 FPts
8. Nick Madrigal: 3.59 PA, 0.92 H, 1.24 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.0 FPts
9. Miguel Amaya: 3.28 PA, 0.71 H, 1.22 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.03 FPts
Best Bets
Jameson Taillon CHC - Outs Under 17.5 (-115.0) - 0.108 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Game not on slate
DET @ CLE
Projected Game Score:
CLE 3.78 - DET 3.48
CLE 52.0% To Win
Vegas O/U: 0.5
Projected Total: 7.26
2023 Pitcher Stats
Matt Manning: 11 GS, 913 Pitches, 16.3 K%, 6.9 BB%, 8.3 SwStr%, 46.2 Strike%, 33.6 Ball%, 34.8 GB%, 11 Brl%
Xzavion Curry: 5 GS, 1048 Pitches, 15.9 K%, 6.4 BB%, 10.6 SwStr%, 44.9 Strike%, 34.2 Ball%, 28.8 GB%, 9 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Matt Manning (DET): 89 Pitches 5.33 IP, 5.6 H, 2.5 ER, 3.6 K, 1.5 BB, 10.35 FPts
Xzavion Curry (CLE): 65 Pitches 4.15 IP, 4.5 H, 2.0 ER, 3.0 K, 1.2 BB, 8.79 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Matt Manning - Prop Not Found
Xzavion Curry - Prop Not Found
DET Hitter Projections
1. Akil Baddoo: 4.14 PA, 0.87 H, 1.32 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.17 SB, 6.92 FPts
2. Riley Greene: 4.34 PA, 1.11 H, 1.78 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.88 FPts
3. Matt Vierling: 4.2 PA, 1.0 H, 1.48 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.68 FPts
4. Spencer Torkelson: 4.17 PA, 0.91 H, 1.64 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.09 FPts
5. Kerry Carpenter: 3.9 PA, 0.99 H, 1.75 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.05 FPts
6. Javier Baez: 3.88 PA, 0.88 H, 1.42 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.1 SB, 6.11 FPts
7. Miguel Cabrera: 3.75 PA, 0.85 H, 1.23 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.0 SB, 5.29 FPts
8. Zach McKinstry: 3.53 PA, 0.77 H, 1.31 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.07 SB, 5.87 FPts
9. Jake Rogers: 3.37 PA, 0.7 H, 1.24 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.38 FPts
CLE Hitter Projections
1. Andres Gimenez: 4.37 PA, 1.12 H, 1.81 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.18 SB, 8.48 FPts
2. Jose Ramirez: 4.27 PA, 1.11 H, 1.9 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.19 SB, 9.33 FPts
3. Ramon Laureano: 4.06 PA, 0.9 H, 1.62 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.13 SB, 7.39 FPts
4. Oscar Gonzalez: 4.01 PA, 1.08 H, 1.69 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.72 FPts
5. Gabriel Arias: 3.83 PA, 0.72 H, 1.18 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.56 FPts
6. Brayan Rocchio: 3.89 PA, 0.9 H, 1.36 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.24 FPts
7. Tyler Freeman: 3.62 PA, 0.87 H, 1.18 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.06 SB, 5.6 FPts
8. Bo Naylor: 3.57 PA, 0.77 H, 1.39 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.16 FPts
9. Myles Straw: 3.42 PA, 0.78 H, 1.04 TB, 0.03 HR, 0.15 SB, 5.61 FPts
Best Bets
Brayan Rocchio CLE - HitterK Under 0.5 (+185.0) - 0.244 value
Oscar Gonzalez CLE - HitterK Under 0.5 (+200.0) - 0.184 value
Jose Ramirez CLE - HitterK Under 0.5 (+100.0) - 0.184 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Game not on slate
TOR @ CIN
Projected Game Score:
TOR 5.16 - CIN 4.66
TOR 52.6% To Win
Vegas O/U: 10.5
Projected Total: 9.82
2023 Pitcher Stats
Jose Berrios: 24 GS, 2204 Pitches, 22.7 K%, 6.4 BB%, 11.8 SwStr%, 46.2 Strike%, 35.5 Ball%, 42.2 GB%, 9 Brl%
Brett Kennedy: 1 GS, 119 Pitches, 13.8 K%, 6.9 BB%, 6.7 SwStr%, 37.8 Strike%, 42.9 Ball%, 47.8 GB%, 9 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Jose Berrios (TOR): 88 Pitches 5.42 IP, 5.4 H, 2.8 ER, 6.0 K, 1.7 BB, 14.78 FPts
Brett Kennedy (CIN): 30 Pitches 1.9 IP, 1.8 H, 1.0 ER, 1.7 K, 0.8 BB, 4.66 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Jose Berrios - 6.5 strikeouts
Brett Kennedy - Prop Not Found
TOR Hitter Projections
1. Whit Merrifield: 4.47 PA, 1.03 H, 1.52 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.24 SB, 8.44 FPts
2. Bo Bichette: 4.44 PA, 1.18 H, 2.0 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.11 SB, 9.27 FPts
3. Brandon Belt: 4.17 PA, 0.73 H, 1.4 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.97 FPts
4. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: 4.26 PA, 1.04 H, 1.89 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.04 SB, 9.04 FPts
5. George Springer: 4.14 PA, 0.93 H, 1.59 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.12 SB, 8.37 FPts
6. Daulton Varsho: 3.97 PA, 0.8 H, 1.5 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.13 SB, 7.66 FPts
7. Matt Chapman: 3.92 PA, 0.8 H, 1.58 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.78 FPts
8. Alejandro Kirk: 3.81 PA, 0.9 H, 1.39 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.0 SB, 7.05 FPts
9. Kevin Kiermaier: 3.41 PA, 0.73 H, 1.09 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.12 SB, 6.05 FPts
CIN Hitter Projections
1. TJ Friedl: 4.4 PA, 1.06 H, 1.6 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.15 SB, 8.07 FPts
2. Matt McLain: 4.36 PA, 1.1 H, 1.99 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.13 SB, 9.2 FPts
3. Elly De La Cruz: 4.28 PA, 0.98 H, 1.65 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.19 SB, 8.25 FPts
4. Spencer Steer: 4.18 PA, 0.95 H, 1.6 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.51 FPts
5. Joey Votto: 4.03 PA, 0.81 H, 1.59 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.0 SB, 7.48 FPts
6. Christian Encarnacion-Strand: 3.87 PA, 0.95 H, 1.81 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.36 FPts
7. Tyler Stephenson: 3.74 PA, 0.89 H, 1.42 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.38 FPts
8. Will Benson: 3.47 PA, 0.72 H, 1.27 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.1 SB, 6.8 FPts
9. Stuart Fairchild: 3.2 PA, 0.69 H, 1.22 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.07 SB, 5.83 FPts
Best Bets
Will Benson CIN - H+R+RBI Over 0.5 (-160.0) - 0.171 value
Jose Berrios TOR - Outs Under 17.5 (-110.0) - 0.111 value
Matt McLain CIN - H+R+RBI Over 1.5 (-115.0) - 0.1 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Game not on slate
BOS @ NYY
Projected Game Score:
BOS 4.62 - NYY 4.22
BOS 52.3% To Win
Vegas O/U: 0.5
Projected Total: 8.84
2023 Pitcher Stats
Brayan Bello: 20 GS, 1864 Pitches, 20.0 K%, 6.3 BB%, 12.1 SwStr%, 45.4 Strike%, 35.9 Ball%, 56.3 GB%, 7 Brl%
Jhony Brito: 12 GS, 1045 Pitches, 18.0 K%, 8.8 BB%, 10.3 SwStr%, 46.0 Strike%, 36.0 Ball%, 45.7 GB%, 11 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Brayan Bello (BOS): 90 Pitches 5.95 IP, 5.6 H, 2.8 ER, 5.4 K, 2.2 BB, 14.67 FPts
Jhony Brito (NYY): 65 Pitches 4.25 IP, 4.2 H, 2.2 ER, 3.0 K, 1.8 BB, 8.26 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Brayan Bello - Prop Not Found
Jhony Brito - Prop Not Found
BOS Hitter Projections
1. Alex Verdugo: 4.41 PA, 1.09 H, 1.68 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.97 FPts
2. Masataka Yoshida: 4.38 PA, 1.14 H, 1.77 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.07 SB, 8.38 FPts
3. Justin Turner: 4.22 PA, 1.0 H, 1.64 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.75 FPts
4. Rafael Devers: 4.16 PA, 1.05 H, 2.07 TB, 0.26 HR, 0.04 SB, 9.42 FPts
5. Trevor Story: 4.08 PA, 0.85 H, 1.52 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.18 SB, 8.01 FPts
6. Triston Casas: 3.88 PA, 0.76 H, 1.46 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.71 FPts
7. Jarren Duran: 3.71 PA, 0.85 H, 1.42 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.18 SB, 7.22 FPts
8. Pablo Reyes: 3.43 PA, 0.79 H, 1.21 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.53 FPts
9. Reese McGuire: 3.28 PA, 0.76 H, 1.1 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.01 SB, 4.98 FPts
NYY Hitter Projections
1. D.J. LeMahieu: 4.49 PA, 1.04 H, 1.51 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.26 FPts
2. Gleyber Torres: 4.39 PA, 1.08 H, 1.73 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.12 SB, 8.25 FPts
3. Aaron Judge: 4.31 PA, 1.13 H, 2.42 TB, 0.36 HR, 0.07 SB, 10.9 FPts
4. Giancarlo Stanton: 4.15 PA, 0.86 H, 1.72 TB, 0.24 HR, 0.0 SB, 7.6 FPts
5. Isiah Kiner-Falefa: 3.98 PA, 1.0 H, 1.4 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.16 SB, 7.12 FPts
6. Billy McKinney: 3.86 PA, 0.73 H, 1.22 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.81 FPts
7. Harrison Bader: 3.8 PA, 0.92 H, 1.39 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.17 SB, 6.69 FPts
8. Anthony Volpe: 3.75 PA, 0.77 H, 1.34 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.15 SB, 6.88 FPts
9. Kyle Higashioka: 3.34 PA, 0.71 H, 1.18 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.0 SB, 4.88 FPts
Best Bets
None
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Aaron Judge (NYY) OF $6100: 10.9 Proj, 1.43 Score
Rafael Devers (BOS) 3B $5300: 9.42 Proj, 1.2 Score
Gleyber Torres (NYY) 2B $3900: 8.25 Proj, 1.15 Score
Masataka Yoshida (BOS) OF $4700: 8.38 Proj, 1.13 Score
Anthony Volpe (NYY) SS $3000: 6.88 Proj, 1.11 Score
PHI @ WSH
Projected Game Score:
PHI 4.78 - WSH 3.6
PHI 57.0% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.0
Projected Total: 8.38
2023 Pitcher Stats
Michael Lorenzen: 20 GS, 1818 Pitches, 19.4 K%, 6.7 BB%, 11.3 SwStr%, 47.1 Strike%, 33.6 Ball%, 41.6 GB%, 7 Brl%
Joan Adon: 2 GS, 236 Pitches, 25.9 K%, 7.4 BB%, 9.7 SwStr%, 48.7 Strike%, 36.0 Ball%, 41.7 GB%, 8 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Michael Lorenzen (PHI): 96 Pitches 5.8 IP, 6.1 H, 2.6 ER, 3.7 K, 1.4 BB, 11.58 FPts
Joan Adon (WSH): 73 Pitches 4.44 IP, 4.6 H, 2.4 ER, 3.7 K, 2.0 BB, 9.17 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Michael Lorenzen - 3.5 strikeouts
Joan Adon - 4.5 strikeouts
PHI Hitter Projections
1. Kyle Schwarber: 4.4 PA, 0.8 H, 1.77 TB, 0.27 HR, 0.04 SB, 9.16 FPts
2. Alec Bohm: 4.28 PA, 1.05 H, 1.6 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.18 FPts
3. Bryce Harper: 4.15 PA, 1.0 H, 1.77 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.11 SB, 9.19 FPts
4. Nick Castellanos: 4.08 PA, 1.01 H, 1.73 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.75 FPts
5. Bryson Stott: 4.0 PA, 1.02 H, 1.53 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.13 SB, 7.62 FPts
6. Trea Turner: 3.86 PA, 0.96 H, 1.55 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.19 SB, 7.87 FPts
7. J.T. Realmuto: 3.75 PA, 0.9 H, 1.64 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.13 SB, 7.84 FPts
8. Jake Cave: 3.42 PA, 0.72 H, 1.22 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.05 SB, 5.73 FPts
9. Johan Rojas: 3.42 PA, 0.84 H, 1.41 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.15 SB, 6.87 FPts
WSH Hitter Projections
1. C.J. Abrams: 4.34 PA, 1.1 H, 1.74 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.23 SB, 8.28 FPts
2. Lane Thomas: 4.26 PA, 0.99 H, 1.69 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.1 SB, 7.5 FPts
3. Joey Meneses: 4.17 PA, 1.06 H, 1.66 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.88 FPts
4. Keibert Ruiz: 4.09 PA, 1.06 H, 1.68 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.22 FPts
5. Dominic Smith: 3.98 PA, 0.94 H, 1.34 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.99 FPts
6. Jake Alu: 3.88 PA, 0.9 H, 1.35 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.24 FPts
7. Ildemaro Vargas: 3.77 PA, 0.92 H, 1.36 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.04 SB, 5.63 FPts
8. Blake Rutherford: 3.64 PA, 0.87 H, 1.42 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.04 SB, 5.96 FPts
9. Alex Call: 3.35 PA, 0.65 H, 1.01 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.07 SB, 5.2 FPts
Best Bets
Joan Adon WSH - Outs Under 15.5 (-160.0) - 0.12 value
Jake Alu WSH - HitterK Under 0.5 (+155.0) - 0.12 value
Bryson Stott PHI - HitterK Under 0.5 (+120.0) - 0.111 value
Michael Lorenzen PHI - Outs Under 17.5 (+140.0) - 0.109 value
Alec Bohm PHI - H+R+RBI Under 2.5 (-160.0) - 0.103 value
J.T. Realmuto PHI - HitterK Under 0.5 (+180.0) - 0.101 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) OF $5000: 9.16 Proj, 1.3 Score
Bryce Harper (PHI) 1B $5500: 9.19 Proj, 1.24 Score
J.T. Realmuto (PHI) C $4900: 7.84 Proj, 1.17 Score
Johan Rojas (PHI) OF $2300: 6.87 Proj, 1.14 Score
Bryson Stott (PHI) 2B $4000: 7.62 Proj, 1.12 Score
SF @ ATL
Projected Game Score:
ATL 5.3 - SF 4.08
ATL 56.5% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.5
Projected Total: 9.38
2023 Pitcher Stats
Spencer Strider: 24 GS, 2362 Pitches, 38.0 K%, 7.7 BB%, 21.4 SwStr%, 55.2 Strike%, 32.0 Ball%, 35.3 GB%, 10 Brl%
Alex Cobb: 22 GS, 1991 Pitches, 21.2 K%, 6.2 BB%, 9.7 SwStr%, 45.2 Strike%, 36.0 Ball%, 57.0 GB%, 7 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Spencer Strider (ATL): 102 Pitches 6.8 IP, 4.9 H, 2.7 ER, 9.8 K, 2.5 BB, 26.11 FPts
Alex Cobb (SF): 85 Pitches 5.07 IP, 5.5 H, 2.6 ER, 4.7 K, 1.6 BB, 11.68 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Spencer Strider - 8.5 strikeouts
Alex Cobb - 4.5 strikeouts
SF Hitter Projections
1. LaMonte Wade Jr.: 4.6 PA, 0.89 H, 1.58 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.75 FPts
2. Wade Meckler: 4.7 PA, 0.9 H, 1.4 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.0 SB, 6.96 FPts
3. Wilmer Flores: 4.56 PA, 0.97 H, 1.67 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.0 SB, 7.48 FPts
4. Joc Pederson: 4.26 PA, 0.9 H, 1.68 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.08 FPts
5. Michael Conforto: 4.21 PA, 0.84 H, 1.43 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.08 FPts
6. Patrick Bailey: 4.19 PA, 0.93 H, 1.58 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.67 FPts
7. Blake Sabol: 3.86 PA, 0.6 H, 1.03 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.03 SB, 4.88 FPts
8. Brandon Crawford: 3.71 PA, 0.69 H, 1.11 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.04 SB, 5.47 FPts
9. Thairo Estrada: 3.74 PA, 0.78 H, 1.19 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.12 SB, 5.85 FPts
ATL Hitter Projections
1. Ronald Acuna Jr.: 4.59 PA, 1.26 H, 2.05 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.37 SB, 11.46 FPts
2. Michael Harris II: 4.47 PA, 1.29 H, 2.03 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.2 SB, 9.92 FPts
3. Austin Riley: 4.4 PA, 1.11 H, 1.92 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.01 SB, 8.44 FPts
4. Matt Olson: 4.3 PA, 0.96 H, 1.85 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.01 SB, 8.9 FPts
5. Marcell Ozuna: 4.16 PA, 0.92 H, 1.66 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.44 FPts
6. Eddie Rosario: 3.84 PA, 0.94 H, 1.55 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.07 SB, 7.02 FPts
7. Sean Murphy: 3.95 PA, 0.91 H, 1.61 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.0 SB, 7.26 FPts
8. Orlando Arcia: 3.83 PA, 0.94 H, 1.44 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.49 FPts
9. Nicky Lopez: 3.47 PA, 0.9 H, 1.18 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.13 SB, 6.3 FPts
Best Bets
Spencer Strider ATL - Strikeouts Over 8.5 (+115.0) - 0.173 value
Patrick Bailey SF - H+R+RBI Over 0.5 (-180.0) - 0.159 value
Thairo Estrada SF - H+R+RBI Over 0.5 (-165.0) - 0.13 value
Brandon Crawford SF - H+R+RBI Over 0.5 (-155.0) - 0.123 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Ronald Acuna Jr. (ATL) OF $6800: 11.46 Proj, 1.39 Score
Michael Harris II (ATL) OF $4500: 9.92 Proj, 1.33 Score
LaMonte Wade Jr. (SF) 1B $3400: 7.75 Proj, 1.1 Score
Matt Olson (ATL) 1B $6400: 8.9 Proj, 1.09 Score
Wade Meckler (SF) OF $2100: 6.96 Proj, 1.09 Score
MIL @ TEX
Projected Game Score:
MIL 4.66 - TEX 4.15
MIL 52.9% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.5
Projected Total: 8.81
2023 Pitcher Stats
Brandon Woodruff: 4 GS, 352 Pitches, 30.6 K%, 4.7 BB%, 16.8 SwStr%, 51.4 Strike%, 33.2 Ball%, 38.9 GB%, 4 Brl%
Andrew Heaney: 23 GS, 1976 Pitches, 24.4 K%, 9.6 BB%, 13.0 SwStr%, 46.7 Strike%, 37.4 Ball%, 39.5 GB%, 11 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Brandon Woodruff (MIL): 93 Pitches 5.83 IP, 5.0 H, 2.6 ER, 6.7 K, 1.8 BB, 17.86 FPts
Andrew Heaney (TEX): 70 Pitches 4.38 IP, 3.8 H, 2.1 ER, 4.9 K, 1.7 BB, 12.73 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Brandon Woodruff - 6.5 strikeouts
Andrew Heaney - 5.5 strikeouts
MIL Hitter Projections
1. Christian Yelich: 4.63 PA, 0.99 H, 1.52 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.16 SB, 8.48 FPts
2. William Contreras: 4.57 PA, 1.07 H, 2.0 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.01 SB, 8.93 FPts
3. Carlos Santana: 4.43 PA, 0.89 H, 1.53 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.51 FPts
4. Mark Canha: 4.31 PA, 0.93 H, 1.55 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.86 FPts
5. Willy Adames: 4.19 PA, 0.81 H, 1.58 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.52 FPts
6. Andruw Monasterio: 3.91 PA, 0.8 H, 1.27 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.83 FPts
7. Tyrone Taylor: 3.81 PA, 0.82 H, 1.54 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.07 SB, 6.78 FPts
8. Joey Wiemer: 3.71 PA, 0.69 H, 1.27 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.11 SB, 6.43 FPts
9. Brian Anderson: 3.59 PA, 0.65 H, 1.12 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.45 FPts
TEX Hitter Projections
1. Marcus Semien: 4.56 PA, 1.0 H, 1.67 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.13 SB, 8.07 FPts
2. Corey Seager: 4.46 PA, 1.15 H, 2.12 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.02 SB, 9.13 FPts
3. Nathaniel Lowe: 4.37 PA, 0.98 H, 1.55 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.23 FPts
4. Adolis Garcia: 4.25 PA, 0.86 H, 1.62 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.13 SB, 7.83 FPts
5. Mitch Garver: 4.17 PA, 0.73 H, 1.33 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.38 FPts
6. Jonah Heim: 4.06 PA, 0.84 H, 1.43 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.39 FPts
7. J.P. Martinez: 3.95 PA, 0.69 H, 1.08 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.17 SB, 6.39 FPts
8. Ezequiel Duran: 3.68 PA, 0.77 H, 1.27 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.06 SB, 5.57 FPts
9. Travis Jankowski: 3.44 PA, 0.71 H, 0.93 TB, 0.03 HR, 0.18 SB, 5.82 FPts
Best Bets
Andrew Heaney TEX - Strikeouts Under 5.5 (+110.0) - 0.156 value
Brian Anderson MIL - H+R+RBI Over 0.5 (-150.0) - 0.126 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
William Contreras (MIL) C $4700: 8.93 Proj, 1.27 Score
Mark Canha (MIL) 1B/OF $2700: 7.86 Proj, 1.26 Score
Tyrone Taylor (MIL) OF $2400: 6.78 Proj, 1.17 Score
Corey Seager (TEX) SS $6600: 9.13 Proj, 1.09 Score
Christian Yelich (MIL) OF $5300: 8.48 Proj, 1.08 Score
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