MLB Data Warehouse

MLB Data Warehouse

Share this post

MLB Data Warehouse
MLB Data Warehouse
DFS & Betting Game Previews - August 25th

DFS & Betting Game Previews - August 25th

An automated report of each game on the MLB slate with full projections, recommended bets, and the top DFS plays from each.

Jon A's avatar
Jon A
Aug 25, 2023
∙ Paid
1

Share this post

MLB Data Warehouse
MLB Data Warehouse
DFS & Betting Game Previews - August 25th
Share


Bets & DFS Preview below the paywall, subscribe today to get the rest of the season’s worth of baseball content and everything that I will be offering for football season, including but not limited to

  • Weekly projections (possibly not ready until week 2 or 3 as I want to improve them this year, example here)

  • The NFL tableau dashboard (view last year’s version for free here)

  • Possible weekly slate write-ups and other data reports


Slate Preview 8/25/2023


Game by Game Previews


WSH @ MIA

Projected Game Score:

MIA 4.3 - WSH 2.96
MIA 59.2% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.5
Projected Total: 7.26

2023 Pitcher Stats

Braxton Garrett: 22 GS, 1966 Pitches, 24.9 K%, 4.0 BB%, 13.0 SwStr%, 48.2 Strike%, 33.0 Ball%, 49.3 GB%, 8 Brl%
Joan Adon: 3 GS, 310 Pitches, 23.0 K%, 8.1 BB%, 8.1 SwStr%, 47.1 Strike%, 36.5 Ball%, 35.3 GB%, 10 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Braxton Garrett (MIA): 82.0 Pitches 5.07 IP, 5.5 H, 2.2 ER, 4.8 K, 0.8 BB, 13.9 FPts
Joan Adon (WSH): 76.0 Pitches 4.61 IP, 5.0 H, 2.4 ER, 3.9 K, 1.8 BB, 9.71 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Braxton Garrett - 4.5 strikeouts
Joan Adon - 4.5 strikeouts

WSH Hitter Projections

1. C.J. Abrams: 4.31 PA, 1.0 H, 1.54 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.2 SB, 7.06 FPts
2. Lane Thomas: 4.24 PA, 1.03 H, 1.71 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.09 SB, 7.18 FPts
3. Joey Meneses: 4.14 PA, 1.09 H, 1.73 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.0 SB, 6.73 FPts
4. Keibert Ruiz: 4.05 PA, 1.08 H, 1.61 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.61 FPts
5. Riley Adams: 3.9 PA, 0.77 H, 1.32 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.0 SB, 5.53 FPts
6. Ildemaro Vargas: 3.85 PA, 0.96 H, 1.42 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.62 FPts
7. Alex Call: 3.66 PA, 0.75 H, 1.15 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.07 SB, 5.35 FPts
8. Carter Kieboom: 3.62 PA, 0.79 H, 1.17 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.0 FPts
9. Michael Chavis: 2.97 PA, 0.64 H, 1.0 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.02 SB, 3.98 FPts

MIA Hitter Projections

1. Jorge Soler: 4.35 PA, 0.91 H, 1.88 TB, 0.25 HR, 0.01 SB, 8.24 FPts
2. Luis Arraez: 4.22 PA, 1.24 H, 1.78 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.78 FPts
3. Josh Bell: 4.13 PA, 0.95 H, 1.68 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.0 SB, 7.77 FPts
4. Jazz Chisholm: 3.88 PA, 0.93 H, 1.74 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.25 SB, 9.04 FPts
5. Jake Burger: 3.89 PA, 0.98 H, 1.95 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.01 SB, 8.04 FPts
6. Bryan De La Cruz: 3.85 PA, 0.97 H, 1.66 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.06 FPts
7. Jesus Sanchez: 3.55 PA, 0.84 H, 1.5 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.45 FPts
8. Joey Wendle: 3.47 PA, 0.86 H, 1.25 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.09 SB, 5.74 FPts
9. Nick Fortes: 3.34 PA, 0.73 H, 1.13 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.05 SB, 5.27 FPts

Best Bets

Josh Bell MIA - Runs Scored Under 0.5 (0.0) - 0.583 value
Braxton Garrett MIA - Outs Under 17.5 (-120.0) - 0.186 value
Braxton Garrett MIA - Walks Under 1.5 (-200.0) - 0.149 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Game not on slate

NYY @ TB

Projected Game Score:

TB 4.04 - NYY 3.78
TB 51.7% To Win
Vegas O/U: 7.0
Projected Total: 7.82

2023 Pitcher Stats

Gerrit Cole: 26 GS, 2574 Pitches, 26.4 K%, 6.6 BB%, 13.1 SwStr%, 49.6 Strike%, 34.0 Ball%, 39.3 GB%, 8 Brl%
Zach Eflin: 24 GS, 1986 Pitches, 24.9 K%, 3.3 BB%, 11.6 SwStr%, 49.2 Strike%, 31.1 Ball%, 51.8 GB%, 8 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Gerrit Cole (NYY): 98.0 Pitches 6.34 IP, 5.4 H, 2.7 ER, 7.9 K, 1.9 BB, 20.86 FPts
Zach Eflin (TB): 82.0 Pitches 5.26 IP, 4.9 H, 2.3 ER, 5.9 K, 1.1 BB, 16.15 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Gerrit Cole - 7.5 strikeouts
Zach Eflin - 5.5 strikeouts

NYY Hitter Projections

1. D.J. LeMahieu: 4.29 PA, 0.95 H, 1.42 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.42 FPts
2. Aaron Judge: 4.21 PA, 1.05 H, 2.34 TB, 0.35 HR, 0.06 SB, 10.31 FPts
3. Gleyber Torres: 4.12 PA, 0.99 H, 1.62 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.09 SB, 7.24 FPts
4. Giancarlo Stanton: 3.98 PA, 0.81 H, 1.68 TB, 0.24 HR, 0.0 SB, 6.95 FPts
5. Harrison Bader: 3.84 PA, 0.89 H, 1.39 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.16 SB, 6.5 FPts
6. Anthony Volpe: 3.82 PA, 0.76 H, 1.34 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.13 SB, 6.47 FPts
7. Everson Pereira: 3.71 PA, 0.71 H, 1.19 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.06 SB, 5.29 FPts
8. Oswald Peraza: 3.59 PA, 0.73 H, 1.21 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.14 SB, 6.31 FPts
9. Ben Rortvedt: 3.36 PA, 0.65 H, 1.01 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.01 SB, 4.54 FPts

TB Hitter Projections

1. Yandy Diaz: 4.43 PA, 1.1 H, 1.71 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.95 FPts
2. Brandon Lowe: 4.3 PA, 0.85 H, 1.62 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.76 FPts
3. Randy Arozarena: 4.31 PA, 0.93 H, 1.58 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.17 SB, 8.22 FPts
4. Josh Lowe: 4.1 PA, 0.91 H, 1.57 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.17 SB, 7.66 FPts
5. Isaac Paredes: 4.02 PA, 0.79 H, 1.38 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.34 FPts
6. Luke Raley: 3.77 PA, 0.76 H, 1.44 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.55 FPts
7. Osleivis Basabe: 3.89 PA, 0.87 H, 1.22 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.08 SB, 5.7 FPts
8. Jonathan Aranda: 3.76 PA, 0.78 H, 1.38 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.31 FPts
9. Christian Bethancourt: 3.39 PA, 0.71 H, 1.17 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.02 SB, 4.85 FPts

Best Bets

Zach Eflin TB - Outs Under 17.5 (+130.0) - 0.245 value
Luke Raley TB - H+R+RBI Over 0.5 (-165.0) - 0.157 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Game not on slate

HOU @ DET

Projected Game Score:

HOU 4.62 - DET 2.86
HOU 61.7% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.5
Projected Total: 7.48

2023 Pitcher Stats

Framber Valdez: 22 GS, 2294 Pitches, 24.4 K%, 6.1 BB%, 12.5 SwStr%, 45.5 Strike%, 35.8 Ball%, 54.5 GB%, 8 Brl%
Matt Manning: 12 GS, 1000 Pitches, 15.6 K%, 6.7 BB%, 7.9 SwStr%, 45.5 Strike%, 34.0 Ball%, 36.6 GB%, 11 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Framber Valdez (HOU): 93.0 Pitches 5.77 IP, 5.2 H, 2.4 ER, 6.5 K, 1.4 BB, 18.02 FPts
Matt Manning (DET): 88.0 Pitches 5.37 IP, 5.5 H, 2.7 ER, 3.8 K, 1.9 BB, 10.34 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Framber Valdez - 5.5 strikeouts
Matt Manning - 3.5 strikeouts

HOU Hitter Projections

1. Jose Altuve: 4.26 PA, 1.06 H, 1.77 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.11 SB, 8.44 FPts
2. Alex Bregman: 4.25 PA, 0.97 H, 1.57 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.55 FPts
3. Kyle Tucker: 4.13 PA, 1.05 H, 1.83 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.19 SB, 9.42 FPts
4. Yordan Alvarez: 4.08 PA, 1.06 H, 2.0 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.01 SB, 9.27 FPts
5. Jose Abreu: 3.96 PA, 0.94 H, 1.47 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.0 SB, 6.58 FPts
6. Chas McCormick: 3.88 PA, 0.92 H, 1.63 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.09 SB, 7.6 FPts
7. Jon Singleton: 3.78 PA, 0.82 H, 1.52 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.2 FPts
8. Jeremy Pena: 3.64 PA, 0.88 H, 1.38 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.3 FPts
9. Martin Maldonado: 3.26 PA, 0.58 H, 1.02 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.0 SB, 4.47 FPts

DET Hitter Projections

1. Matt Vierling: 4.3 PA, 1.06 H, 1.48 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.6 FPts
2. Andy Ibanez: 3.97 PA, 0.97 H, 1.52 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.05 FPts
3. Riley Greene: 4.13 PA, 0.96 H, 1.37 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.2 FPts
4. Spencer Torkelson: 4.07 PA, 0.86 H, 1.49 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.49 FPts
5. Jake Rogers: 3.84 PA, 0.74 H, 1.33 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.69 FPts
6. Miguel Cabrera: 3.76 PA, 0.85 H, 1.18 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.0 SB, 4.98 FPts
7. Javier Baez: 3.67 PA, 0.88 H, 1.41 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.1 SB, 6.14 FPts
8. Parker Meadows: 3.62 PA, 0.69 H, 1.09 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.06 SB, 4.99 FPts
9. Zack Short: 3.14 PA, 0.53 H, 0.93 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.03 SB, 4.3 FPts

Best Bets

Matt Vierling DET - H+R+RBI Under 2.5 (-175.0) - 0.147 value
Framber Valdez HOU - Strikeouts Over 5.5 (+100.0) - 0.13 value
Zack Short DET - H+R+RBI Under 1.5 (-170.0) - 0.124 value
Kyle Tucker HOU - HitterK Under 0.5 (+105.0) - 0.101 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Game not on slate

CHC @ PIT

Projected Game Score:

PIT 4.08 - CHC 4.07
PIT 50.1% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.0
Projected Total: 8.15

2023 Pitcher Stats

Mitch Keller: 26 GS, 2554 Pitches, 26.0 K%, 7.1 BB%, 10.8 SwStr%, 49.3 Strike%, 33.7 Ball%, 44.5 GB%, 9 Brl%
Kyle Hendricks: 16 GS, 1510 Pitches, 15.7 K%, 4.2 BB%, 9.0 SwStr%, 44.3 Strike%, 34.2 Ball%, 47.8 GB%, 7 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Mitch Keller (PIT): 94.0 Pitches 5.69 IP, 5.5 H, 2.7 ER, 5.6 K, 2.1 BB, 14.52 FPts
Kyle Hendricks (CHC): 92.0 Pitches 5.53 IP, 6.0 H, 2.8 ER, 4.4 K, 1.7 BB, 11.6 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Mitch Keller - 6.5 strikeouts
Kyle Hendricks - 3.5 strikeouts

CHC Hitter Projections

1. Mike Tauchman: 4.45 PA, 0.92 H, 1.4 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.08 SB, 7.58 FPts
2. Nico Hoerner: 4.36 PA, 1.06 H, 1.49 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.21 SB, 7.71 FPts
3. Ian Happ: 4.25 PA, 0.89 H, 1.44 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.09 SB, 7.58 FPts
4. Cody Bellinger: 4.15 PA, 0.93 H, 1.5 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.14 SB, 7.42 FPts
5. Dansby Swanson: 4.03 PA, 0.92 H, 1.53 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.08 SB, 7.24 FPts
6. Seiya Suzuki: 3.99 PA, 0.88 H, 1.43 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.07 SB, 6.88 FPts
7. Jeimer Candelario: 3.84 PA, 0.87 H, 1.44 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.43 FPts
8. Christopher Morel: 3.72 PA, 0.77 H, 1.4 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.59 FPts
9. Yan Gomes: 3.42 PA, 0.75 H, 1.15 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.01 SB, 4.87 FPts

PIT Hitter Projections

1. Ji Hwan Bae: 4.33 PA, 1.06 H, 1.47 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.21 SB, 7.88 FPts
2. Bryan Reynolds: 4.29 PA, 1.12 H, 1.96 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.06 SB, 8.63 FPts
3. Andrew McCutchen: 4.23 PA, 0.91 H, 1.49 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.07 SB, 7.37 FPts
4. Jack Suwinski: 4.05 PA, 0.81 H, 1.7 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.06 SB, 8.21 FPts
5. Ke'Bryan Hayes: 4.02 PA, 1.01 H, 1.54 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.13 SB, 7.19 FPts
6. Endy Rodriguez: 3.95 PA, 0.84 H, 1.36 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.2 FPts
7. Josh Palacios: 3.5 PA, 0.81 H, 1.3 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.08 SB, 5.74 FPts
8. Alfonso Rivas: 3.71 PA, 0.87 H, 1.25 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.96 FPts
9. Alika Williams: 3.22 PA, 0.75 H, 1.17 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.21 FPts

Best Bets

Kyle Hendricks CHC - Outs Under 17.5 (+105.0) - 0.115 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Ji Hwan Bae (PIT) 2B/OF $3000: 7.88 Proj, 1.27 Score
Jack Suwinski (PIT) OF $3600: 8.21 Proj, 1.24 Score
Bryan Reynolds (PIT) OF $5000: 8.63 Proj, 1.15 Score
Mike Tauchman (CHC) OF $3900: 7.58 Proj, 1.09 Score
Ian Happ (CHC) OF $4400: 7.58 Proj, 1.04 Score

COL @ BAL

Projected Game Score:

BAL 5.0 - COL 3.1
BAL 61.8% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.0
Projected Total: 8.1

2023 Pitcher Stats

Cole Irvin: 10 GS, 992 Pitches, 20.5 K%, 7.4 BB%, 10.4 SwStr%, 49.2 Strike%, 32.6 Ball%, 38.7 GB%, 10 Brl%
Kyle Freeland: 23 GS, 2033 Pitches, 14.6 K%, 6.6 BB%, 8.5 SwStr%, 43.4 Strike%, 34.9 Ball%, 40.4 GB%, 9 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Cole Irvin (BAL): 58.0 Pitches 3.48 IP, 3.7 H, 1.7 ER, 3.4 K, 0.8 BB, 9.88 FPts
Kyle Freeland (COL): 92.0 Pitches 5.44 IP, 6.3 H, 3.1 ER, 3.9 K, 1.5 BB, 9.57 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Cole Irvin - 4.5 strikeouts
Kyle Freeland - 3.5 strikeouts

COL Hitter Projections

1. Ezequiel Tovar: 4.23 PA, 1.0 H, 1.61 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.91 FPts
2. Jurickson Profar: 4.16 PA, 0.9 H, 1.33 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.36 FPts
3. Ryan McMahon: 4.05 PA, 0.85 H, 1.47 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.78 FPts
4. Brendan Rodgers: 4.01 PA, 0.98 H, 1.53 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.0 SB, 6.37 FPts
5. Elias Diaz: 3.88 PA, 0.88 H, 1.44 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.01 FPts
6. Nolan Jones: 3.8 PA, 0.82 H, 1.47 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.53 FPts
7. Elehuris Montero: 3.7 PA, 0.7 H, 1.14 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.01 SB, 4.63 FPts
8. Alan Trejo: 3.33 PA, 0.77 H, 1.15 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.03 SB, 4.9 FPts
9. Brenton Doyle: 3.23 PA, 0.58 H, 0.99 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.1 SB, 4.62 FPts

BAL Hitter Projections

1. Adley Rutschman: 4.46 PA, 1.13 H, 1.86 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.94 FPts
2. Ryan Mountcastle: 4.32 PA, 1.2 H, 2.23 TB, 0.26 HR, 0.04 SB, 9.51 FPts
3. Anthony Santander: 4.26 PA, 1.04 H, 1.95 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.64 FPts
4. Gunnar Henderson: 4.09 PA, 0.97 H, 1.67 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.08 SB, 8.13 FPts
5. Austin Hays: 3.99 PA, 1.0 H, 1.67 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.4 FPts
6. Jordan Westburg: 3.88 PA, 1.01 H, 1.61 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.28 FPts
7. Cedric Mullins II: 3.83 PA, 0.91 H, 1.43 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.21 SB, 7.72 FPts
8. James McCann: 3.44 PA, 0.89 H, 1.46 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.5 FPts
9. Jorge Mateo: 3.28 PA, 0.78 H, 1.3 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.28 SB, 7.06 FPts

Best Bets

Cole Irvin BAL - Strikeouts Under 4.5 (+105.0) - 0.256 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) 1B $4500: 9.51 Proj, 1.35 Score
Anthony Santander (BAL) OF $4000: 8.64 Proj, 1.25 Score
Adley Rutschman (BAL) C $5400: 8.94 Proj, 1.19 Score
Cedric Mullins II (BAL) OF $4900: 7.72 Proj, 1.07 Score
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) 3B/SS $5200: 8.13 Proj, 1.06 Score

STL @ PHI

Projected Game Score:

STL 5.92 - PHI 4.86
STL 54.9% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.5
Projected Total: 10.78

2023 Pitcher Stats

Miles Mikolas: 27 GS, 2432 Pitches, 16.5 K%, 4.8 BB%, 8.2 SwStr%, 46.2 Strike%, 33.2 Ball%, 39.0 GB%, 8 Brl%
Cristopher Sanchez: 12 GS, 972 Pitches, 22.7 K%, 4.7 BB%, 10.6 SwStr%, 48.3 Strike%, 32.9 Ball%, 58.5 GB%, 9 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Miles Mikolas (STL): 90.0 Pitches 5.23 IP, 6.0 H, 2.8 ER, 4.4 K, 1.3 BB, 11.1 FPts
Cristopher Sanchez (PHI): 83.0 Pitches 5.03 IP, 5.6 H, 2.8 ER, 4.2 K, 1.7 BB, 10.28 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Miles Mikolas - 4.5 strikeouts
Cristopher Sanchez - 4.5 strikeouts

STL Hitter Projections

1. Tommy Edman: 4.6 PA, 1.12 H, 1.8 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.25 SB, 9.6 FPts
2. Tyler O'Neill: 4.56 PA, 1.0 H, 1.84 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.15 SB, 9.57 FPts
3. Paul Goldschmidt: 4.39 PA, 1.04 H, 1.85 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.08 SB, 9.46 FPts
4. Nolan Arenado: 4.29 PA, 1.12 H, 2.12 TB, 0.25 HR, 0.03 SB, 9.67 FPts
5. Willson Contreras: 4.2 PA, 0.96 H, 1.76 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.61 FPts
6. Jordan Walker: 4.07 PA, 0.97 H, 1.57 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.09 SB, 7.74 FPts
7. Luken Baker: 4.02 PA, 0.97 H, 1.89 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.0 SB, 8.5 FPts
8. Jose Fermin: 3.89 PA, 1.01 H, 1.7 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.29 FPts
9. Masyn Winn: 3.64 PA, 0.81 H, 1.21 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.12 SB, 6.56 FPts

PHI Hitter Projections

1. Kyle Schwarber: 4.45 PA, 0.96 H, 2.11 TB, 0.31 HR, 0.03 SB, 9.7 FPts
2. Trea Turner: 4.32 PA, 1.1 H, 1.75 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.19 SB, 8.48 FPts
3. Bryce Harper: 4.2 PA, 1.14 H, 2.01 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.1 SB, 9.48 FPts
4. Nick Castellanos: 4.13 PA, 1.07 H, 1.81 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.72 FPts
5. Bryson Stott: 4.05 PA, 1.08 H, 1.61 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.13 SB, 7.62 FPts
6. Alec Bohm: 3.93 PA, 1.01 H, 1.52 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.47 FPts
7. J.T. Realmuto: 3.8 PA, 0.97 H, 1.72 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.12 SB, 7.82 FPts
8. Brandon Marsh: 3.62 PA, 0.91 H, 1.46 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.95 FPts
9. Jake Cave: 3.24 PA, 0.73 H, 1.32 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.04 SB, 5.82 FPts

Best Bets

Cristopher Sanchez PHI - Outs Under 16.5 (+100.0) - 0.155 value
Luken Baker STL - H+R+RBI Over 1.5 (+120.0) - 0.148 value
Luken Baker STL - Runs Scored Over 0.5 (+160.0) - 0.118 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Tyler O'Neill (STL) OF $3500: 9.57 Proj, 1.48 Score
Luken Baker (STL) 1B $2300: 8.5 Proj, 1.44 Score
Jose Fermin (STL) 2B/3B $2100: 8.29 Proj, 1.4 Score
Willson Contreras (STL) C $4100: 8.61 Proj, 1.28 Score
Tommy Edman (STL) 2B/SS $4500: 9.6 Proj, 1.28 Score

And now we reach the paywall. Subscribe today to get the rest of this post, the full daily notes, full projections and full bet values every day for dozens and dozens of player props, access to the Tableau dashboards, custom daily-updated Google Sheets, and so much more! Read the about page here for more information.

This post is for paid subscribers

Already a paid subscriber? Sign in
© 2025 Jon A
Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start writingGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture

Share