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MLB Data Warehouse
DFS & Betting Game Previews - August 28th

DFS & Betting Game Previews - August 28th

An automated report of each game on the MLB slate with full projections, recommended bets, and the top DFS plays from each.

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Jon A
Aug 28, 2023
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MLB Data Warehouse
MLB Data Warehouse
DFS & Betting Game Previews - August 28th
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The NFL season is almost here! While what I can offer for football is not nearly as good as what I offer for baseball, I do put some stuff out! Sign up as a paid member today and get everything that I will be offering for football season, including but not limited to

  • Weekly projections (possibly not ready until week 2 or 3 as I want to improve them this year, example here)

  • The NFL tableau dashboard (view last year’s version for free here)

  • Possible weekly slate write-ups and other data reports


Game by Game Previews

NYY @ DET

Projected Game Score:

NYY 4.69 - DET 3.82
NYY 55.1% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.5
Projected Total: 8.51

2023 Pitcher Stats

Reese Olson: 12 GS, 1180 Pitches, 23.5 K%, 6.9 BB%, 12.4 SwStr%, 47.3 Strike%, 35.7 Ball%, 39.8 GB%, 10 Brl%
Luis Severino: 15 GS, 1363 Pitches, 17.7 K%, 8.7 BB%, 10.4 SwStr%, 46.9 Strike%, 34.3 Ball%, 41.4 GB%, 10 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Reese Olson (DET): 88.0 Pitches 5.53 IP, 5.0 H, 2.6 ER, 6.0 K, 1.7 BB, 15.85 FPts
Luis Severino (NYY): 81.0 Pitches 5.01 IP, 4.7 H, 2.3 ER, 5.1 K, 1.6 BB, 13.81 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Reese Olson - 5.5 strikeouts
Luis Severino - 5.5 strikeouts

NYY Hitter Projections

1. D.J. LeMahieu: 4.51 PA, 1.01 H, 1.53 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.31 FPts
2. Aaron Judge: 4.42 PA, 1.06 H, 2.38 TB, 0.36 HR, 0.07 SB, 11.16 FPts
3. Gleyber Torres: 4.33 PA, 1.04 H, 1.72 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.11 SB, 8.27 FPts
4. Giancarlo Stanton: 4.18 PA, 0.85 H, 1.77 TB, 0.25 HR, 0.0 SB, 7.79 FPts
5. Harrison Bader: 4.04 PA, 0.96 H, 1.51 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.18 SB, 7.51 FPts
6. Anthony Volpe: 4.01 PA, 0.81 H, 1.44 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.15 SB, 7.26 FPts
7. Everson Pereira: 3.9 PA, 0.8 H, 1.35 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.07 SB, 6.35 FPts
8. Oswald Peraza: 3.77 PA, 0.73 H, 1.2 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.16 SB, 6.85 FPts
9. Ben Rortvedt: 3.53 PA, 0.64 H, 0.98 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.03 FPts

DET Hitter Projections

1. Akil Baddoo: 4.23 PA, 0.86 H, 1.28 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.18 SB, 7.08 FPts
2. Riley Greene: 4.44 PA, 1.07 H, 1.68 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.74 FPts
3. Spencer Torkelson: 4.37 PA, 0.89 H, 1.59 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.32 FPts
4. Kerry Carpenter: 4.13 PA, 1.01 H, 1.78 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.67 FPts
5. Matt Vierling: 4.1 PA, 0.95 H, 1.39 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.57 FPts
6. Parker Meadows: 4.06 PA, 0.86 H, 1.45 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.07 SB, 6.7 FPts
7. Javier Baez: 3.86 PA, 0.89 H, 1.4 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.1 SB, 6.32 FPts
8. Zach McKinstry: 3.64 PA, 0.75 H, 1.23 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.08 SB, 5.91 FPts
9. Jake Rogers: 3.46 PA, 0.67 H, 1.22 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.41 FPts

Best Bets

Luis Severino NYY - Outs Under 16.5 (+100.0) - 0.161 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Game not on slate

LAA @ PHI

Projected Game Score:

PHI 4.88 - LAA 4.61
PHI 51.5% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.5
Projected Total: 9.49

2023 Pitcher Stats

Lucas Giolito: 26 GS, 2507 Pitches, 25.2 K%, 7.8 BB%, 13.5 SwStr%, 47.3 Strike%, 36.3 Ball%, 36.7 GB%, 10 Brl%
Taijuan Walker: 25 GS, 2219 Pitches, 19.8 K%, 10.0 BB%, 9.0 SwStr%, 42.9 Strike%, 39.2 Ball%, 45.5 GB%, 7 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Lucas Giolito (LAA): 103.0 Pitches 6.45 IP, 6.0 H, 3.1 ER, 7.0 K, 2.3 BB, 18.01 FPts
Taijuan Walker (PHI): 92.0 Pitches 5.7 IP, 5.5 H, 2.8 ER, 5.2 K, 2.3 BB, 13.77 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Lucas Giolito - 5.5 strikeouts
Taijuan Walker - 4.5 strikeouts

LAA Hitter Projections

1. Nolan Schanuel: 4.51 PA, 0.88 H, 1.38 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.0 SB, 7.92 FPts
2. Shohei Ohtani: 4.34 PA, 1.04 H, 2.15 TB, 0.28 HR, 0.17 SB, 11.0 FPts
3. Brandon Drury: 4.26 PA, 1.04 H, 1.86 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.9 FPts
4. Mike Moustakas: 4.12 PA, 0.87 H, 1.44 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.83 FPts
5. Logan O'Hoppe: 4.09 PA, 0.84 H, 1.42 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.51 FPts
6. Mickey Moniak: 3.84 PA, 0.83 H, 1.5 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.33 FPts
7. Randal Grichuk: 3.85 PA, 0.9 H, 1.48 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.37 FPts
8. Luis Rengifo: 3.61 PA, 0.84 H, 1.37 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.07 SB, 6.62 FPts
9. Hunter Renfroe: 3.49 PA, 0.77 H, 1.35 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.08 FPts

PHI Hitter Projections

1. Kyle Schwarber: 4.64 PA, 0.84 H, 1.88 TB, 0.28 HR, 0.04 SB, 9.6 FPts
2. Trea Turner: 4.5 PA, 1.04 H, 1.69 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.2 SB, 8.49 FPts
3. Bryce Harper: 4.38 PA, 1.06 H, 1.89 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.11 SB, 9.64 FPts
4. Nick Castellanos: 4.31 PA, 0.99 H, 1.69 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.49 FPts
5. Bryson Stott: 4.21 PA, 1.04 H, 1.6 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.13 SB, 7.77 FPts
6. Alec Bohm: 4.1 PA, 0.98 H, 1.5 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.58 FPts
7. J.T. Realmuto: 3.95 PA, 0.91 H, 1.64 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.12 SB, 7.71 FPts
8. Brandon Marsh: 3.78 PA, 0.82 H, 1.34 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.83 FPts
9. Jake Cave: 3.39 PA, 0.66 H, 1.21 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.04 SB, 5.68 FPts

Best Bets

Lucas Giolito LAA - Outs Over 16.5 (-110.0) - 0.21 value
Lucas Giolito LAA - Strikeouts Over 5.5 (-130.0) - 0.139 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Game not on slate

CWS @ BAL

Projected Game Score:

BAL 4.64 - CWS 3.98
BAL 53.8% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.0
Projected Total: 8.62

2023 Pitcher Stats

Grayson Rodriguez: 17 GS, 1548 Pitches, 24.3 K%, 9.1 BB%, 13.0 SwStr%, 48.3 Strike%, 35.7 Ball%, 46.2 GB%, 9 Brl%
Michael Kopech: 24 GS, 2196 Pitches, 22.8 K%, 15.0 BB%, 11.4 SwStr%, 43.8 Strike%, 41.5 Ball%, 35.0 GB%, 14 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Grayson Rodriguez (BAL): 98.0 Pitches 5.82 IP, 6.1 H, 2.7 ER, 6.0 K, 1.6 BB, 16.33 FPts
Michael Kopech (CWS): 81.0 Pitches 5.08 IP, 4.5 H, 2.6 ER, 4.5 K, 2.8 BB, 10.93 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Grayson Rodriguez - 5.5 strikeouts
Michael Kopech - 4.5 strikeouts

CWS Hitter Projections

1. Tim Anderson: 4.59 PA, 1.14 H, 1.55 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.17 SB, 7.61 FPts
2. Andrew Benintendi: 4.54 PA, 1.14 H, 1.56 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.1 SB, 7.79 FPts
3. Luis Robert: 4.38 PA, 1.06 H, 1.9 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.12 SB, 8.41 FPts
4. Eloy Jimenez: 4.33 PA, 1.07 H, 1.84 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.0 SB, 7.76 FPts
5. Yoan Moncada: 4.18 PA, 0.87 H, 1.4 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.66 FPts
6. Andrew Vaughn: 4.14 PA, 0.98 H, 1.6 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.0 SB, 6.61 FPts
7. Oscar Colas: 3.9 PA, 0.85 H, 1.36 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.94 FPts
8. Lenyn Sosa: 3.81 PA, 0.85 H, 1.41 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.81 FPts
9. Korey Lee: 3.66 PA, 0.76 H, 1.21 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.06 SB, 5.33 FPts

BAL Hitter Projections

1. Adley Rutschman: 4.47 PA, 0.96 H, 1.57 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.51 FPts
2. Gunnar Henderson: 4.3 PA, 0.89 H, 1.62 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.09 SB, 8.49 FPts
3. Anthony Santander: 4.27 PA, 0.95 H, 1.84 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.55 FPts
4. Ryan Mountcastle: 4.15 PA, 0.96 H, 1.76 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.04 SB, 8.05 FPts
5. Ryan O'Hearn: 3.86 PA, 0.91 H, 1.47 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.63 FPts
6. Austin Hays: 3.91 PA, 0.88 H, 1.47 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.68 FPts
7. Cedric Mullins II: 3.84 PA, 0.82 H, 1.33 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.24 SB, 7.98 FPts
8. Ramon Urias: 3.64 PA, 0.77 H, 1.24 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.86 FPts
9. Adam Frazier: 3.28 PA, 0.79 H, 1.14 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.08 SB, 5.78 FPts

Best Bets

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Anthony Santander (BAL) OF $4200: 8.55 Proj, 1.14 Score
Tim Anderson (CWS) SS $3200: 7.61 Proj, 1.13 Score
Luis Robert (CWS) OF $5500: 8.41 Proj, 1.11 Score
Andrew Benintendi (CWS) OF $3500: 7.79 Proj, 1.08 Score
Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) 1B $4700: 8.05 Proj, 1.07 Score

WSH @ TOR

Projected Game Score:

TOR 4.5 - WSH 3.52
TOR 56.1% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.0
Projected Total: 8.02

2023 Pitcher Stats

Kevin Gausman: 24 GS, 2480 Pitches, 31.7 K%, 6.2 BB%, 14.0 SwStr%, 50.9 Strike%, 33.8 Ball%, 42.9 GB%, 10 Brl%
Josiah Gray: 25 GS, 2386 Pitches, 19.9 K%, 11.1 BB%, 12.3 SwStr%, 44.4 Strike%, 38.8 Ball%, 39.7 GB%, 9 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Kevin Gausman (TOR): 99.0 Pitches 6.13 IP, 6.1 H, 2.5 ER, 5.9 K, 1.2 BB, 17.62 FPts
Josiah Gray (WSH): 97.0 Pitches 5.97 IP, 5.6 H, 3.0 ER, 4.5 K, 2.8 BB, 11.59 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Kevin Gausman - 6.5 strikeouts
Josiah Gray - 4.5 strikeouts

WSH Hitter Projections

1. C.J. Abrams: 4.63 PA, 1.13 H, 1.83 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.22 SB, 8.41 FPts
2. Lane Thomas: 4.55 PA, 0.95 H, 1.64 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.09 SB, 7.15 FPts
3. Joey Meneses: 4.44 PA, 1.06 H, 1.68 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.0 SB, 6.88 FPts
4. Keibert Ruiz: 4.35 PA, 1.11 H, 1.78 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.44 FPts
5. Dominic Smith: 4.23 PA, 0.93 H, 1.34 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.88 FPts
6. Carter Kieboom: 4.13 PA, 0.81 H, 1.22 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.45 FPts
7. Jake Alu: 3.89 PA, 0.84 H, 1.29 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.07 SB, 5.83 FPts
8. Ildemaro Vargas: 3.88 PA, 0.91 H, 1.33 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.5 FPts
9. Alex Call: 3.56 PA, 0.67 H, 1.04 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.07 SB, 5.16 FPts

TOR Hitter Projections

1. Whit Merrifield: 4.48 PA, 1.02 H, 1.48 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.23 SB, 7.89 FPts
2. Brandon Belt: 4.28 PA, 0.85 H, 1.63 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.29 FPts
3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: 4.35 PA, 1.1 H, 1.99 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.04 SB, 9.07 FPts
4. George Springer: 4.26 PA, 0.98 H, 1.68 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.12 SB, 8.35 FPts
5. Daulton Varsho: 4.08 PA, 0.86 H, 1.59 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.13 SB, 7.94 FPts
6. Alejandro Kirk: 4.05 PA, 0.96 H, 1.46 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.0 SB, 7.03 FPts
7. Cavan Biggio: 3.68 PA, 0.73 H, 1.3 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.76 FPts
8. Santiago Espinal: 3.44 PA, 0.78 H, 1.11 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.06 SB, 5.44 FPts
9. Kevin Kiermaier: 3.42 PA, 0.76 H, 1.14 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.12 SB, 5.96 FPts

Best Bets

Kevin Gausman TOR - Strikeouts Under 6.5 (-105.0) - 0.11 value
Josiah Gray WSH - Walks Over 2.5 (+135.0) - 0.107 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Brandon Belt (TOR) 1B $3700: 8.29 Proj, 1.19 Score
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 1B $5100: 9.07 Proj, 1.18 Score
Daulton Varsho (TOR) OF $3400: 7.94 Proj, 1.13 Score
George Springer (TOR) OF $4800: 8.35 Proj, 1.08 Score
Cavan Biggio (TOR) 2B/OF $2600: 6.76 Proj, 1.05 Score

HOU @ BOS

Projected Game Score:

HOU 5.64 - BOS 5.4
HOU 51.0% To Win
Vegas O/U: 10.0
Projected Total: 11.04

2023 Pitcher Stats

Cristian Javier: 24 GS, 2261 Pitches, 21.3 K%, 8.3 BB%, 12.6 SwStr%, 44.8 Strike%, 38.7 Ball%, 26.6 GB%, 10 Brl%
Chris Sale: 14 GS, 1158 Pitches, 29.5 K%, 5.9 BB%, 15.0 SwStr%, 49.8 Strike%, 33.9 Ball%, 38.6 GB%, 8 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Cristian Javier (HOU): 106.0 Pitches 6.62 IP, 6.5 H, 3.3 ER, 5.5 K, 2.4 BB, 14.32 FPts
Chris Sale (BOS): 79.0 Pitches 4.87 IP, 5.1 H, 2.6 ER, 4.6 K, 1.4 BB, 11.72 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Cristian Javier - 5.5 strikeouts
Chris Sale - 5.5 strikeouts

HOU Hitter Projections

1. Jose Altuve: 4.74 PA, 1.18 H, 2.0 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.11 SB, 9.64 FPts
2. Alex Bregman: 4.73 PA, 1.08 H, 1.75 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.6 FPts
3. Yordan Alvarez: 4.64 PA, 1.14 H, 2.08 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.01 SB, 9.77 FPts
4. Kyle Tucker: 4.49 PA, 1.13 H, 1.96 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.19 SB, 10.11 FPts
5. Chas McCormick: 4.41 PA, 1.01 H, 1.76 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.09 SB, 8.65 FPts
6. Yainer Diaz: 4.32 PA, 1.13 H, 2.06 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.01 SB, 8.27 FPts
7. Jose Abreu: 4.17 PA, 0.96 H, 1.55 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.0 SB, 6.87 FPts
8. Jeremy Pena: 4.04 PA, 0.98 H, 1.51 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.09 SB, 7.11 FPts
9. Jake Meyers: 3.73 PA, 0.77 H, 1.24 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.05 SB, 5.82 FPts

BOS Hitter Projections

1. Alex Verdugo: 4.76 PA, 1.21 H, 1.9 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.04 SB, 8.7 FPts
2. Rafael Devers: 4.71 PA, 1.19 H, 2.28 TB, 0.25 HR, 0.04 SB, 10.23 FPts
3. Justin Turner: 4.57 PA, 1.11 H, 1.82 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.54 FPts
4. Masataka Yoshida: 4.54 PA, 1.17 H, 1.84 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.06 SB, 8.59 FPts
5. Triston Casas: 4.32 PA, 0.85 H, 1.61 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.33 FPts
6. Trevor Story: 4.31 PA, 0.86 H, 1.54 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.16 SB, 7.89 FPts
7. Wilyer Abreu: 4.19 PA, 0.85 H, 1.58 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.08 SB, 8.16 FPts
8. Pablo Reyes: 3.72 PA, 0.88 H, 1.38 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.62 FPts
9. Reese McGuire: 3.55 PA, 0.81 H, 1.21 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.37 FPts

Best Bets

Cristian Javier HOU - Outs Over 15.5 (+115.0) - 0.371 value
Chris Sale BOS - Strikeouts Under 5.5 (-110.0) - 0.158 value
Yordan Alvarez HOU - H+R+RBI Over 1.5 (-135.0) - 0.124 value
Chas McCormick HOU - H+R+RBI Over 1.5 (+100.0) - 0.123 value
Alex Bregman HOU - HitterK Under 0.5 (+140.0) - 0.11 value
Kyle Tucker HOU - H+R+RBI Over 1.5 (-140.0) - 0.107 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Rafael Devers (BOS) 3B $5600: 10.23 Proj, 1.25 Score
Kyle Tucker (HOU) OF $5900: 10.11 Proj, 1.22 Score
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) OF $6100: 9.77 Proj, 1.17 Score
Jose Altuve (HOU) 2B $6400: 9.64 Proj, 1.14 Score
Wilyer Abreu (BOS) OF $2900: 8.16 Proj, 1.13 Score

TEX @ NYM

Projected Game Score:

TEX 4.88 - NYM 4.1
TEX 54.3% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.0
Projected Total: 8.98

2023 Pitcher Stats

Jon Gray: 23 GS, 1955 Pitches, 20.7 K%, 8.0 BB%, 13.1 SwStr%, 46.8 Strike%, 34.0 Ball%, 42.0 GB%, 5 Brl%
Tylor Megill: 19 GS, 1664 Pitches, 17.5 K%, 10.9 BB%, 10.1 SwStr%, 41.9 Strike%, 40.2 Ball%, 43.3 GB%, 10 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Jon Gray (TEX): 86.0 Pitches 5.49 IP, 5.2 H, 2.6 ER, 4.7 K, 2.4 BB, 12.67 FPts
Tylor Megill (NYM): 88.0 Pitches 5.35 IP, 5.6 H, 2.8 ER, 4.4 K, 2.3 BB, 10.96 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Jon Gray - 5.5 strikeouts
Tylor Megill - 4.5 strikeouts

TEX Hitter Projections

1. Marcus Semien: 4.46 PA, 1.02 H, 1.72 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.14 SB, 8.53 FPts
2. Corey Seager: 4.37 PA, 1.19 H, 2.28 TB, 0.27 HR, 0.02 SB, 10.15 FPts
3. Nathaniel Lowe: 4.28 PA, 1.04 H, 1.7 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.31 FPts
4. Adolis Garcia: 4.16 PA, 0.95 H, 1.84 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.14 SB, 9.03 FPts
5. Mitch Garver: 4.07 PA, 0.84 H, 1.66 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.84 FPts
6. Travis Jankowski: 3.84 PA, 0.81 H, 1.05 TB, 0.03 HR, 0.22 SB, 7.0 FPts
7. Ezequiel Duran: 3.73 PA, 0.88 H, 1.47 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.63 FPts
8. Jonah Heim: 3.71 PA, 0.82 H, 1.43 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.56 FPts
9. Leody Taveras: 3.49 PA, 0.86 H, 1.38 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.12 SB, 6.66 FPts

NYM Hitter Projections

1. Brandon Nimmo: 4.38 PA, 1.01 H, 1.64 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.83 FPts
2. Francisco Lindor: 4.29 PA, 0.98 H, 1.69 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.14 SB, 8.44 FPts
3. Jeff McNeil: 4.21 PA, 1.11 H, 1.55 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.12 FPts
4. Pete Alonso: 4.12 PA, 0.91 H, 1.81 TB, 0.24 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.25 FPts
5. Daniel Vogelbach: 3.69 PA, 0.73 H, 1.26 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.0 SB, 6.54 FPts
6. Francisco Alvarez: 3.91 PA, 0.81 H, 1.56 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.64 FPts
7. D.J. Stewart: 3.58 PA, 0.66 H, 1.19 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.9 FPts
8. Mark Vientos: 3.55 PA, 0.74 H, 1.26 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.4 FPts
9. Rafael Ortega: 3.32 PA, 0.73 H, 1.1 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.12 SB, 5.97 FPts

Best Bets

Travis Jankowski TEX - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-190.0) - 0.129 value
Corey Seager TEX - HitterK Under 0.5 (+150.0) - 0.102 value
Adolis Garcia TEX - HitterK Under 1.5 (-145.0) - 0.1 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Corey Seager (TEX) SS $6700: 10.15 Proj, 1.19 Score
Mitch Garver (TEX) C $3700: 7.84 Proj, 1.14 Score
Francisco Lindor (NYM) SS $5100: 8.44 Proj, 1.1 Score
Adolis Garcia (TEX) OF $5800: 9.03 Proj, 1.1 Score
Pete Alonso (NYM) 1B $5300: 8.25 Proj, 1.04 Score

CLE @ MIN

Projected Game Score:

MIN 4.54 - CLE 4.24
MIN 51.7% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.5
Projected Total: 8.78

2023 Pitcher Stats

Kenta Maeda: 15 GS, 1221 Pitches, 28.9 K%, 6.6 BB%, 13.8 SwStr%, 48.6 Strike%, 35.5 Ball%, 34.0 GB%, 10 Brl%
Xzavion Curry: 6 GS, 1129 Pitches, 16.7 K%, 6.5 BB%, 10.9 SwStr%, 45.2 Strike%, 34.1 Ball%, 29.5 GB%, 8 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Kenta Maeda (MIN): 91.0 Pitches 5.78 IP, 5.2 H, 2.5 ER, 6.0 K, 1.6 BB, 16.79 FPts
Xzavion Curry (CLE): 70.0 Pitches 4.72 IP, 4.6 H, 2.4 ER, 4.0 K, 2.0 BB, 10.38 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Kenta Maeda - 5.5 strikeouts
Xzavion Curry - 3.5 strikeouts

CLE Hitter Projections

1. Steven Kwan: 4.55 PA, 1.15 H, 1.56 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.13 SB, 8.13 FPts
2. Jose Ramirez: 4.44 PA, 1.15 H, 1.98 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.21 SB, 9.96 FPts
3. Kole Calhoun: 4.35 PA, 0.91 H, 1.55 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.95 FPts
4. Oscar Gonzalez: 4.15 PA, 1.04 H, 1.72 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.91 FPts
5. Andres Gimenez: 4.13 PA, 0.99 H, 1.6 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.17 SB, 7.88 FPts
6. Ramon Laureano: 3.9 PA, 0.82 H, 1.51 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.12 SB, 7.03 FPts
7. Gabriel Arias: 3.77 PA, 0.66 H, 1.08 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.04 SB, 5.38 FPts
8. Bo Naylor: 3.72 PA, 0.78 H, 1.41 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.54 FPts
9. Myles Straw: 3.55 PA, 0.77 H, 1.03 TB, 0.03 HR, 0.16 SB, 5.79 FPts

MIN Hitter Projections

1. Edouard Julien: 4.27 PA, 0.91 H, 1.65 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.07 SB, 8.41 FPts
2. Jorge Polanco: 4.4 PA, 1.05 H, 1.95 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.07 SB, 9.12 FPts
3. Max Kepler: 4.18 PA, 0.98 H, 1.78 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.24 FPts
4. Carlos Correa: 4.18 PA, 0.96 H, 1.67 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.0 SB, 7.55 FPts
5. Matt Wallner: 3.96 PA, 0.76 H, 1.52 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.03 FPts
6. Royce Lewis: 3.92 PA, 0.93 H, 1.57 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.1 SB, 7.29 FPts
7. Donovan Solano: 3.7 PA, 0.87 H, 1.29 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.97 FPts
8. Joey Gallo: 3.53 PA, 0.54 H, 1.22 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.15 FPts
9. Christian Vazquez: 3.43 PA, 0.81 H, 1.22 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.04 SB, 5.57 FPts

Best Bets

Carlos Correa MIN - H+R+RBI Under 2.5 (-145.0) - 0.126 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Jose Ramirez (CLE) 3B $5500: 9.96 Proj, 1.32 Score
Edouard Julien (MIN) 2B $3600: 8.41 Proj, 1.26 Score
Jorge Polanco (MIN) 2B/3B $4500: 9.12 Proj, 1.25 Score
Max Kepler (MIN) OF $3600: 8.24 Proj, 1.2 Score
Steven Kwan (CLE) OF $3600: 8.13 Proj, 1.11 Score

SD @ STL

Projected Game Score:

SD 4.94 - STL 4.18
SD 54.1% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.0
Projected Total: 9.12

2023 Pitcher Stats

Blake Snell: 26 GS, 2548 Pitches, 31.0 K%, 13.5 BB%, 15.6 SwStr%, 45.4 Strike%, 41.8 Ball%, 43.7 GB%, 8 Brl%
Adam Wainwright: 16 GS, 1401 Pitches, 11.7 K%, 7.7 BB%, 5.4 SwStr%, 39.0 Strike%, 39.4 Ball%, 39.6 GB%, 12 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Blake Snell (SD): 96.0 Pitches 6.18 IP, 4.9 H, 2.8 ER, 7.5 K, 3.1 BB, 19.51 FPts
Adam Wainwright (STL): 74.0 Pitches 4.37 IP, 4.8 H, 2.4 ER, 2.7 K, 1.9 BB, 7.09 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Blake Snell - 7.5 strikeouts
Adam Wainwright - 3.5 strikeouts

SD Hitter Projections

1. Ha-Seong Kim: 4.35 PA, 1.02 H, 1.56 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.19 SB, 8.47 FPts
2. Fernando Tatis Jr.: 4.33 PA, 1.1 H, 2.04 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.23 SB, 10.27 FPts
3. Juan Soto: 4.21 PA, 0.93 H, 1.63 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.06 SB, 9.25 FPts
4. Manny Machado: 4.11 PA, 1.02 H, 1.73 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.07 SB, 8.22 FPts
5. Xander Bogaerts: 4.03 PA, 1.05 H, 1.62 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.07 SB, 7.67 FPts
6. Gary Sanchez: 3.89 PA, 0.83 H, 1.61 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.13 FPts
7. Ben Gamel: 3.82 PA, 0.88 H, 1.38 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.78 FPts
8. Garrett Cooper: 3.64 PA, 0.92 H, 1.5 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.46 FPts
9. Trent Grisham: 3.42 PA, 0.7 H, 1.24 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.48 FPts

STL Hitter Projections

1. Tommy Edman: 4.59 PA, 1.0 H, 1.58 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.25 SB, 8.51 FPts
2. Tyler O'Neill: 4.54 PA, 0.85 H, 1.57 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.16 SB, 8.76 FPts
3. Paul Goldschmidt: 4.37 PA, 0.89 H, 1.57 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.08 SB, 8.44 FPts
4. Nolan Gorman: 4.29 PA, 0.69 H, 1.31 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.98 FPts
5. Willson Contreras: 4.18 PA, 0.83 H, 1.51 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.55 FPts
6. Andrew Knizner: 3.8 PA, 0.72 H, 1.18 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.66 FPts
7. Jordan Walker: 3.93 PA, 0.82 H, 1.33 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.61 FPts
8. Taylor Motter: 3.53 PA, 0.62 H, 1.0 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.02 SB, 4.73 FPts
9. Masyn Winn: 3.62 PA, 0.73 H, 1.09 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.12 SB, 5.83 FPts

Best Bets

Masyn Winn STL - H+R+RBI Over 0.5 (-140.0) - 0.157 value
Blake Snell SD - Outs Over 17.5 (+115.0) - 0.116 value
Taylor Motter STL - H+R+RBI Over 0.5 (-130.0) - 0.114 value
Adam Wainwright STL - Strikeouts Under 3.5 (-155.0) - 0.102 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) OF $6000: 10.27 Proj, 1.28 Score
Tyler O'Neill (STL) OF $3700: 8.76 Proj, 1.23 Score
Juan Soto (SD) OF $5800: 9.25 Proj, 1.11 Score
Tommy Edman (STL) 2B/OF $4500: 8.51 Proj, 1.08 Score
Manny Machado (SD) 3B $5300: 8.22 Proj, 1.06 Score

MIL @ CHC

Projected Game Score:

MIL 4.77 - CHC 4.28
MIL 52.7% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.0
Projected Total: 9.05

2023 Pitcher Stats

Jameson Taillon: 23 GS, 1946 Pitches, 20.2 K%, 6.7 BB%, 10.1 SwStr%, 46.4 Strike%, 35.1 Ball%, 36.2 GB%, 10 Brl%
Wade Miley: 17 GS, 1344 Pitches, 16.5 K%, 7.5 BB%, 8.8 SwStr%, 44.0 Strike%, 36.1 Ball%, 44.6 GB%, 8 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Jameson Taillon (CHC): 93.0 Pitches 5.68 IP, 5.5 H, 2.8 ER, 4.8 K, 1.9 BB, 13.14 FPts
Wade Miley (MIL): 87.0 Pitches 5.34 IP, 5.6 H, 2.7 ER, 4.1 K, 1.8 BB, 10.99 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Jameson Taillon - 4.5 strikeouts
Wade Miley - 3.5 strikeouts

MIL Hitter Projections

1. Christian Yelich: 4.59 PA, 1.12 H, 1.8 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.17 SB, 9.54 FPts
2. William Contreras: 4.52 PA, 1.11 H, 2.01 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.01 SB, 8.76 FPts
3. Carlos Santana: 4.39 PA, 0.95 H, 1.73 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.17 FPts
4. Sal Frelick: 4.27 PA, 0.96 H, 1.39 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.9 FPts
5. Willy Adames: 4.16 PA, 0.94 H, 1.77 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.95 FPts
6. Rowdy Tellez: 3.96 PA, 0.9 H, 1.73 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.43 FPts
7. Andruw Monasterio: 3.78 PA, 0.82 H, 1.25 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.48 FPts
8. Brice Turang: 3.73 PA, 0.81 H, 1.24 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.13 SB, 6.44 FPts
9. Tyrone Taylor: 3.42 PA, 0.77 H, 1.39 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.17 FPts

CHC Hitter Projections

1. Nico Hoerner: 4.46 PA, 1.14 H, 1.61 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.23 SB, 8.43 FPts
2. Dansby Swanson: 4.32 PA, 1.03 H, 1.75 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.1 SB, 8.35 FPts
3. Ian Happ: 4.24 PA, 0.89 H, 1.42 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.09 SB, 7.48 FPts
4. Cody Bellinger: 4.16 PA, 0.93 H, 1.45 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.15 SB, 7.5 FPts
5. Seiya Suzuki: 4.09 PA, 0.96 H, 1.57 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.08 SB, 7.65 FPts
6. Yan Gomes: 3.88 PA, 0.93 H, 1.52 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.21 FPts
7. Jeimer Candelario: 3.84 PA, 0.89 H, 1.51 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.59 FPts
8. Patrick Wisdom: 3.48 PA, 0.68 H, 1.46 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.64 FPts
9. Nick Madrigal: 3.49 PA, 0.93 H, 1.25 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.07 SB, 5.72 FPts

Best Bets

Brice Turang MIL - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-170.0) - 0.105 value
Wade Miley MIL - Outs Over 15.5 (+130.0) - 0.1 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Rowdy Tellez (MIL) 1B $2400: 7.43 Proj, 1.22 Score
Christian Yelich (MIL) OF $5200: 9.54 Proj, 1.16 Score
William Contreras (MIL) C $4900: 8.76 Proj, 1.14 Score
Carlos Santana (MIL) 1B $3900: 8.17 Proj, 1.06 Score
Willy Adames (MIL) SS $4200: 7.95 Proj, 1.06 Score

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