DFS & Betting Game Previews - August 12th
An automated report of each game on the MLB slate with full projections, recommended bets, and the top DFS plays from each.
Slate Preview 8/12/2023
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Game by Game Previews
ATL @ NYM
Projected Game Score:
ATL 4.88 - NYM 3.34
ATL 59.4% To Win
Vegas O/U: 10.5
Projected Total: 8.22
2023 Pitcher Stats
Spencer Strider: 23 GS, 2257 Pitches, 38.8 K%, 7.4 BB%, 21.6 SwStr%, 55.6 Strike%, 31.7 Ball%, 34.6 GB%, 10 Brl%
Jose Quintana: 4 GS, 352 Pitches, 16.2 K%, 7.1 BB%, 8.8 SwStr%, 42.0 Strike%, 36.4 Ball%, 43.4 GB%, 3 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Spencer Strider (ATL): 94.0 Pitches 6.25 IP, 4.7 H, 2.4 ER, 8.1 K, 2.4 BB, 22.38 FPts
Jose Quintana (NYM): 90.0 Pitches 5.59 IP, 5.8 H, 2.8 ER, 4.9 K, 2.0 BB, 12.64 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Spencer Strider - Prop Not Found
Jose Quintana - Prop Not Found
ATL Hitter Projections
1. Ronald Acuna Jr.: 4.54 PA, 1.14 H, 1.94 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.38 SB, 11.3 FPts
2. Ozzie Albies: 4.45 PA, 1.1 H, 1.88 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.12 SB, 8.57 FPts
3. Austin Riley: 4.35 PA, 1.03 H, 1.88 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.01 SB, 8.4 FPts
4. Matt Olson: 4.25 PA, 0.86 H, 1.68 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.01 SB, 8.24 FPts
5. Sean Murphy: 4.12 PA, 0.92 H, 1.67 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.0 SB, 7.79 FPts
6. Marcell Ozuna: 4.01 PA, 0.83 H, 1.48 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.53 FPts
7. Eddie Rosario: 3.69 PA, 0.83 H, 1.34 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.07 SB, 6.14 FPts
8. Orlando Arcia: 3.79 PA, 0.9 H, 1.42 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.42 FPts
9. Michael Harris II: 3.52 PA, 0.89 H, 1.39 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.15 SB, 6.77 FPts
NYM Hitter Projections
1. Brandon Nimmo: 4.63 PA, 0.95 H, 1.58 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.44 FPts
2. Jeff McNeil: 4.54 PA, 1.13 H, 1.59 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.0 FPts
3. Pete Alonso: 4.44 PA, 0.91 H, 1.82 TB, 0.24 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.9 FPts
4. Daniel Vogelbach: 4.01 PA, 0.67 H, 1.14 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.0 SB, 6.02 FPts
5. Omar Narvaez: 3.89 PA, 0.77 H, 1.19 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.0 SB, 5.46 FPts
6. Mark Vientos: 4.03 PA, 0.73 H, 1.46 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.96 FPts
7. Rafael Ortega: 4.01 PA, 0.78 H, 1.2 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.13 SB, 6.3 FPts
8. Danny Mendick: 3.87 PA, 0.68 H, 0.96 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.04 SB, 4.58 FPts
9. Jonathan Arauz: 3.63 PA, 0.62 H, 0.96 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.01 SB, 4.43 FPts
Best Bets
Daniel Vogelbach NYM - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-170.0) - 0.149 value
Marcell Ozuna ATL - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-125.0) - 0.133 value
Matt Olson ATL - H+R+RBI Under 2.5 (-130.0) - 0.131 value
Marcell Ozuna ATL - Runs Scored Under 0.5 (-105.0) - 0.119 value
Eddie Rosario ATL - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-150.0) - 0.109 value
Matt Olson ATL - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-110.0) - 0.101 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Ronald Acuna Jr. (ATL) OF $6800: 11.3 Proj, 1.41 Score
Rafael Ortega (NYM) OF $2000: 6.3 Proj, 1.15 Score
Ozzie Albies (ATL) 2B $5700: 8.57 Proj, 1.07 Score
Matt Olson (ATL) 1B $6400: 8.24 Proj, 1.06 Score
Pete Alonso (NYM) 1B $5500: 7.9 Proj, 1.05 Score
CHC @ TOR
Projected Game Score:
TOR 4.42 - CHC 4.04
TOR 52.2% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.5
Projected Total: 8.46
2023 Pitcher Stats
Justin Steele: 21 GS, 1833 Pitches, 22.4 K%, 5.6 BB%, 12.6 SwStr%, 47.8 Strike%, 32.8 Ball%, 49.6 GB%, 6 Brl%
Chris Bassitt: 23 GS, 2249 Pitches, 22.0 K%, 7.6 BB%, 10.1 SwStr%, 47.2 Strike%, 34.9 Ball%, 42.1 GB%, 9 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Justin Steele (CHC): 102.0 Pitches 6.38 IP, 6.2 H, 3.0 ER, 5.3 K, 2.0 BB, 14.62 FPts
Chris Bassitt (TOR): 97.0 Pitches 5.94 IP, 5.7 H, 2.8 ER, 5.4 K, 2.0 BB, 14.42 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Justin Steele - 4.5 strikeouts
Chris Bassitt - 5.5 strikeouts
CHC Hitter Projections
1. Mike Tauchman: 4.56 PA, 0.95 H, 1.47 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.08 SB, 7.64 FPts
2. Nico Hoerner: 4.4 PA, 1.06 H, 1.5 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.21 SB, 7.73 FPts
3. Ian Happ: 4.3 PA, 0.89 H, 1.47 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.08 SB, 7.74 FPts
4. Cody Bellinger: 4.21 PA, 0.93 H, 1.5 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.14 SB, 7.4 FPts
5. Dansby Swanson: 4.08 PA, 0.91 H, 1.54 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.08 SB, 7.18 FPts
6. Christopher Morel: 4.02 PA, 0.83 H, 1.54 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.08 SB, 7.11 FPts
7. Jeimer Candelario: 3.9 PA, 0.89 H, 1.49 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.54 FPts
8. Seiya Suzuki: 3.79 PA, 0.82 H, 1.33 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.07 SB, 6.39 FPts
9. Miguel Amaya: 3.44 PA, 0.7 H, 1.18 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.19 FPts
TOR Hitter Projections
1. Whit Merrifield: 4.57 PA, 1.1 H, 1.57 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.24 SB, 8.2 FPts
2. George Springer: 4.55 PA, 1.02 H, 1.67 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.12 SB, 8.17 FPts
3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: 4.46 PA, 1.14 H, 1.88 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.04 SB, 8.74 FPts
4. Matt Chapman: 4.35 PA, 0.94 H, 1.73 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.07 FPts
5. Danny Jansen: 4.14 PA, 0.86 H, 1.72 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.0 SB, 7.41 FPts
6. Davis Schneider: 4.15 PA, 0.83 H, 1.5 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.46 FPts
7. Alejandro Kirk: 4.02 PA, 0.99 H, 1.45 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.0 SB, 6.69 FPts
8. Paul DeJong: 3.84 PA, 0.71 H, 1.21 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.04 SB, 5.67 FPts
9. Daulton Varsho: 3.58 PA, 0.72 H, 1.14 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.11 SB, 5.61 FPts
Best Bets
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 1B $5200: 8.74 Proj, 1.18 Score
Danny Jansen (TOR) C $3600: 7.41 Proj, 1.13 Score
Mike Tauchman (CHC) OF $3600: 7.64 Proj, 1.09 Score
Whit Merrifield (TOR) 2B/OF $4600: 8.2 Proj, 1.08 Score
Ian Happ (CHC) OF $3700: 7.74 Proj, 1.08 Score
DET @ BOS
Projected Game Score:
BOS 5.22 - DET 4.16
BOS 55.7% To Win
Vegas O/U: 10.0
Projected Total: 9.38
2023 Pitcher Stats
Brayan Bello: 19 GS, 1774 Pitches, 19.9 K%, 6.6 BB%, 12.2 SwStr%, 45.2 Strike%, 36.1 Ball%, 56.6 GB%, 8 Brl%
Matt Manning: 10 GS, 823 Pitches, 17.3 K%, 6.2 BB%, 8.4 SwStr%, 46.3 Strike%, 33.4 Ball%, 35.9 GB%, 12 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Brayan Bello (BOS): 95.0 Pitches 6.06 IP, 6.3 H, 2.9 ER, 5.6 K, 1.8 BB, 15.24 FPts
Matt Manning (DET): 113.0 Pitches 6.55 IP, 7.7 H, 3.6 ER, 4.3 K, 2.0 BB, 10.81 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Brayan Bello - 5.5 strikeouts
Matt Manning - 3.5 strikeouts
DET Hitter Projections
1. Akil Baddoo: 4.33 PA, 0.93 H, 1.35 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.18 SB, 7.47 FPts
2. Riley Greene: 4.53 PA, 1.19 H, 1.87 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.06 SB, 8.51 FPts
3. Matt Vierling: 4.39 PA, 1.1 H, 1.62 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.09 SB, 7.54 FPts
4. Spencer Torkelson: 4.36 PA, 0.96 H, 1.64 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.4 FPts
5. Kerry Carpenter: 4.07 PA, 1.06 H, 1.83 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.71 FPts
6. Miguel Cabrera: 4.03 PA, 0.94 H, 1.28 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.0 SB, 5.68 FPts
7. Javier Baez: 3.94 PA, 0.95 H, 1.47 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.1 SB, 6.53 FPts
8. Zach McKinstry: 3.69 PA, 0.81 H, 1.33 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.34 FPts
9. Jake Rogers: 3.52 PA, 0.72 H, 1.21 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.4 FPts
BOS Hitter Projections
1. Jarren Duran: 4.41 PA, 1.14 H, 1.86 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.2 SB, 9.1 FPts
2. Masataka Yoshida: 4.46 PA, 1.26 H, 1.97 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.07 SB, 8.94 FPts
3. Justin Turner: 4.29 PA, 1.12 H, 1.8 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.28 FPts
4. Rafael Devers: 4.23 PA, 1.17 H, 2.2 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.04 SB, 9.83 FPts
5. Triston Casas: 4.05 PA, 0.92 H, 1.74 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.52 FPts
6. Trevor Story: 4.05 PA, 0.93 H, 1.65 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.15 SB, 8.1 FPts
7. Alex Verdugo: 3.86 PA, 1.05 H, 1.6 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.23 FPts
8. Pablo Reyes: 3.44 PA, 0.85 H, 1.25 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.37 FPts
9. Reese McGuire: 3.34 PA, 0.84 H, 1.21 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.35 FPts
Best Bets
Matt Manning DET - Outs Over 15.5 (+120.0) - 0.37 value
Matt Manning DET - Walks Over 1.5 (+115.0) - 0.118 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Rafael Devers (BOS) 3B $5200: 9.83 Proj, 1.29 Score
Jarren Duran (BOS) OF $4500: 9.1 Proj, 1.25 Score
Masataka Yoshida (BOS) OF $4800: 8.94 Proj, 1.24 Score
Akil Baddoo (DET) OF $2600: 7.47 Proj, 1.22 Score
Triston Casas (BOS) 1B $4200: 8.52 Proj, 1.21 Score
CLE @ TB
Projected Game Score:
TB 4.22 - CLE 4.0
TB 51.3% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.0
Projected Total: 8.22
2023 Pitcher Stats
Gavin Williams: 9 GS, 804 Pitches, 24.3 K%, 10.9 BB%, 13.2 SwStr%, 48.4 Strike%, 35.6 Ball%, 37.2 GB%, 4 Brl%
Shawn Armstrong: 2 GS, 467 Pitches, 28.6 K%, 5.0 BB%, 14.8 SwStr%, 52.5 Strike%, 30.8 Ball%, 41.0 GB%, 4 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Gavin Williams (CLE): 84.0 Pitches 5.18 IP, 4.2 H, 2.4 ER, 5.6 K, 2.4 BB, 14.68 FPts
Shawn Armstrong (TB): 25.0 Pitches 1.67 IP, 1.6 H, 0.8 ER, 1.5 K, 0.5 BB, 4.84 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Gavin Williams - 5.5 strikeouts
Shawn Armstrong - Prop Not Found
CLE Hitter Projections
1. Steven Kwan: 4.51 PA, 1.17 H, 1.6 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.13 SB, 7.95 FPts
2. Andres Gimenez: 4.38 PA, 1.07 H, 1.73 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.17 SB, 8.33 FPts
3. Jose Ramirez: 4.29 PA, 1.08 H, 1.88 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.18 SB, 9.19 FPts
4. Kole Calhoun: 4.21 PA, 0.83 H, 1.43 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.32 FPts
5. Ramon Laureano: 3.97 PA, 0.81 H, 1.43 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.13 SB, 6.81 FPts
6. Will Brennan: 3.9 PA, 1.05 H, 1.51 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.5 FPts
7. Brayan Rocchio: 3.88 PA, 0.85 H, 1.28 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.1 FPts
8. Bo Naylor: 3.66 PA, 0.74 H, 1.31 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.03 FPts
9. Myles Straw: 3.51 PA, 0.78 H, 1.04 TB, 0.03 HR, 0.15 SB, 5.57 FPts
TB Hitter Projections
1. Yandy Diaz: 4.41 PA, 1.04 H, 1.58 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.97 FPts
2. Wander Franco: 4.36 PA, 1.11 H, 1.76 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.18 SB, 9.08 FPts
3. Brandon Lowe: 4.18 PA, 0.79 H, 1.46 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.51 FPts
4. Randy Arozarena: 4.21 PA, 0.89 H, 1.51 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.19 SB, 8.37 FPts
5. Isaac Paredes: 4.0 PA, 0.76 H, 1.29 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.45 FPts
6. Luke Raley: 3.77 PA, 0.74 H, 1.35 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.07 SB, 6.56 FPts
7. Jose Siri: 3.86 PA, 0.68 H, 1.21 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.14 SB, 6.04 FPts
8. Josh Lowe: 3.64 PA, 0.78 H, 1.31 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.17 SB, 6.87 FPts
9. Rene Pinto: 3.51 PA, 0.56 H, 1.03 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.01 SB, 4.53 FPts
Best Bets
Gavin Williams CLE - Walks Over 1.5 (-125.0) - 0.144 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Jose Ramirez (CLE) 3B $5600: 9.19 Proj, 1.25 Score
Wander Franco (TB) SS $5900: 9.08 Proj, 1.19 Score
Steven Kwan (CLE) OF $4000: 7.95 Proj, 1.1 Score
Randy Arozarena (TB) OF $5400: 8.37 Proj, 1.09 Score
Andres Gimenez (CLE) 2B $4300: 8.33 Proj, 1.09 Score
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