DFS & Betting Game Previews - July 3rd
An automated report of each game on the MLB slate with full projections, recommended bets, and the top DFS plays from each.
Slate Preview 7/3/2023
Most Team Fantasy Point Projections
CIN (vs. Jake Irvin): 74.0 Projected Points
ATL (vs. Gavin Williams): 72.96 Projected Points
HOU (vs. Martin Perez): 69.09 Projected Points
CLE (vs. Bryce Elder): 68.61 Projected Points
TEX (vs. Cristian Javier): 68.28 Projected Points
Least Team Fantasy Point Projections
PIT (vs. Clayton Kershaw): 55.25 Projected Points
SF (vs. Bryan Woo): 57.79 Projected Points
LAA (vs. Blake Snell): 57.88 Projected Points
KC (vs. Joe Ryan): 58.82 Projected Points
MIA (vs. Miles Mikolas): 58.93 Projected Points
Today Max Projection Players
Players with their highest projection of the season coming today
Luis Garcia: 8.16 Today, 7.84 Previous Max
Game by Game Previews
HOU @ TEX
Projected Game Score:
HOU 5.03 - TEX 4.92
HOU 50.5% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.5
Projected Total: 9.95
2023 Pitcher Stats
Cristian Javier: 16 GS, 1474 Pitches, 21.8 K%, 7.0 BB%, 13.0 SwStr%, 45.3 Strike%, 37.6 Ball%, 27.0 GB%, 10 Brl%
Martin Perez: 16 GS, 1416 Pitches, 15.4 K%, 7.7 BB%, 8.5 SwStr%, 43.1 Strike%, 35.7 Ball%, 43.1 GB%, 6 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Cristian Javier (HOU): 85 Pitches 5.28 IP, 4.8 H, 2.5 ER, 5.1 K, 1.9 BB, 13.56 FPts
Martin Perez (TEX): 90 Pitches 5.54 IP, 6.0 H, 2.8 ER, 3.6 K, 1.9 BB, 10.06 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Cristian Javier - 4.5 strikeouts
Martin Perez - 3.5 strikeouts
HOU Hitter Projections
1. Jose Altuve: 4.4 PA, 1.11 H, 1.93 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.1 SB, 9.25 FPts
2. Mauricio Dubon: 4.34 PA, 1.05 H, 1.61 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.07 SB, 7.24 FPts
3. Kyle Tucker: 4.26 PA, 1.07 H, 1.82 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.19 SB, 9.54 FPts
4. Alex Bregman: 4.18 PA, 0.95 H, 1.57 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.13 FPts
5. Jose Abreu: 4.08 PA, 1.0 H, 1.64 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.0 SB, 7.47 FPts
6. Chas McCormick: 3.96 PA, 0.88 H, 1.51 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.08 SB, 7.46 FPts
7. Yainer Diaz: 3.9 PA, 1.14 H, 2.16 TB, 0.25 HR, 0.01 SB, 8.32 FPts
8. Corey Julks: 3.75 PA, 0.83 H, 1.25 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.11 SB, 6.37 FPts
9. Martin Maldonado: 3.35 PA, 0.64 H, 1.14 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.0 SB, 5.31 FPts
TEX Hitter Projections
1. Marcus Semien: 4.64 PA, 1.02 H, 1.74 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.14 SB, 8.53 FPts
2. Corey Seager: 4.54 PA, 1.18 H, 2.19 TB, 0.24 HR, 0.02 SB, 9.77 FPts
3. Nathaniel Lowe: 4.44 PA, 1.02 H, 1.66 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.06 FPts
4. Adolis Garcia: 4.34 PA, 0.93 H, 1.79 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.14 SB, 8.76 FPts
5. Josh Jung: 4.2 PA, 0.88 H, 1.6 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.03 FPts
6. Jonah Heim: 4.14 PA, 0.88 H, 1.55 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.99 FPts
7. Travis Jankowski: 3.84 PA, 0.76 H, 1.0 TB, 0.03 HR, 0.19 SB, 6.66 FPts
8. Leody Taveras: 3.85 PA, 0.85 H, 1.36 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.12 SB, 6.69 FPts
9. Josh Smith: 3.42 PA, 0.69 H, 1.07 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.06 SB, 5.79 FPts
Best Bets
Yainer Diaz HOU - Total Bases Over 1.5 (+130.0) - 0.085 value
Corey Julks HOU - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-195.0) - 0.068 value
Yainer Diaz HOU - One HR Over 0.5 (+550.0) - 0.067 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Corey Seager (TEX) SS $6300: 9.77 Proj, 1.16 Score
Adolis Garcia (TEX) OF $5600: 8.76 Proj, 1.09 Score
Nathaniel Lowe (TEX) 1B $4500: 8.06 Proj, 1.05 Score
Marcus Semien (TEX) 2B $6000: 8.53 Proj, 1.04 Score
Travis Jankowski (TEX) OF $2600: 6.66 Proj, 1.02 Score
CHC @ MIL
Projected Game Score:
CHC 4.62 - MIL 4.58
CHC 50.2% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.0
Projected Total: 9.2
2023 Pitcher Stats
Drew Smyly: 16 GS, 1393 Pitches, 19.1 K%, 7.4 BB%, 11.1 SwStr%, 44.4 Strike%, 36.3 Ball%, 35.1 GB%, 6 Brl%
Julio Teheran: 7 GS, 606 Pitches, 16.0 K%, 5.1 BB%, 8.6 SwStr%, 45.5 Strike%, 34.7 Ball%, 41.7 GB%, 8 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Drew Smyly (CHC): 92 Pitches 5.43 IP, 5.3 H, 2.6 ER, 4.9 K, 1.8 BB, 13.25 FPts
Julio Teheran (MIL): 87 Pitches 5.41 IP, 5.4 H, 2.6 ER, 4.4 K, 1.8 BB, 11.77 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Drew Smyly - 5.5 strikeouts
Julio Teheran - 4.5 strikeouts
CHC Hitter Projections
1. Mike Tauchman: 4.6 PA, 0.94 H, 1.45 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.08 SB, 7.68 FPts
2. Nico Hoerner: 4.41 PA, 1.14 H, 1.62 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.2 SB, 8.2 FPts
3. Jared Young: 4.38 PA, 1.06 H, 1.92 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.69 FPts
4. Ian Happ: 4.23 PA, 0.94 H, 1.56 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.08 SB, 8.04 FPts
5. Dansby Swanson: 4.15 PA, 1.02 H, 1.75 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.09 SB, 8.21 FPts
6. Cody Bellinger: 4.06 PA, 0.83 H, 1.39 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.12 SB, 6.8 FPts
7. Christopher Morel: 3.87 PA, 0.9 H, 1.77 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.08 SB, 7.9 FPts
8. Nick Madrigal: 3.81 PA, 0.96 H, 1.25 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.08 SB, 5.95 FPts
9. Tucker Barnhart: 3.37 PA, 0.7 H, 1.0 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.0 SB, 4.68 FPts
MIL Hitter Projections
1. William Contreras: 4.58 PA, 1.07 H, 2.04 TB, 0.25 HR, 0.01 SB, 8.99 FPts
2. Christian Yelich: 4.44 PA, 0.99 H, 1.51 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.15 SB, 8.13 FPts
3. Willy Adames: 4.32 PA, 0.92 H, 1.82 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.06 SB, 8.36 FPts
4. Owen Miller: 4.2 PA, 0.98 H, 1.46 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.71 FPts
5. Blake Perkins: 4.06 PA, 0.88 H, 1.44 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.09 SB, 7.1 FPts
6. Andruw Monasterio: 4.06 PA, 0.89 H, 1.45 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.07 SB, 7.21 FPts
7. Joey Wiemer: 3.82 PA, 0.81 H, 1.56 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.12 SB, 7.43 FPts
8. Victor Caratini: 3.82 PA, 0.84 H, 1.35 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.07 FPts
9. Brice Turang: 3.5 PA, 0.66 H, 0.99 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.1 SB, 5.23 FPts
Best Bets
Julio Teheran MIL - Walks Over 1.5 (+110.0) - 0.067 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Game not on slate
CIN @ WSH
Projected Game Score:
CIN 5.8 - WSH 4.5
CIN 56.3% To Win
Vegas O/U: 10.0
Projected Total: 10.3
2023 Pitcher Stats
Luke Weaver: 13 GS, 1158 Pitches, 18.6 K%, 6.8 BB%, 9.8 SwStr%, 46.3 Strike%, 34.9 Ball%, 36.2 GB%, 11 Brl%
Jake Irvin: 10 GS, 859 Pitches, 17.4 K%, 11.7 BB%, 6.2 SwStr%, 44.4 Strike%, 38.6 Ball%, 41.1 GB%, 7 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Luke Weaver (CIN): 82 Pitches 4.99 IP, 5.7 H, 2.5 ER, 4.0 K, 1.1 BB, 11.0 FPts
Jake Irvin (WSH): 90 Pitches 5.28 IP, 4.8 H, 2.8 ER, 4.2 K, 3.0 BB, 10.21 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Luke Weaver - 3.5 strikeouts
Jake Irvin - 4.5 strikeouts
CIN Hitter Projections
1. TJ Friedl: 4.48 PA, 1.04 H, 1.5 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.15 SB, 8.4 FPts
2. Matt McLain: 4.47 PA, 1.09 H, 2.06 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.13 SB, 10.34 FPts
3. Jonathan India: 4.28 PA, 0.94 H, 1.52 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.08 SB, 8.07 FPts
4. Elly De La Cruz: 4.28 PA, 0.87 H, 1.63 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.18 SB, 9.05 FPts
5. Jake Fraley: 4.09 PA, 0.83 H, 1.4 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.18 SB, 8.81 FPts
6. Joey Votto: 4.03 PA, 0.83 H, 1.55 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.0 SB, 8.06 FPts
7. Spencer Steer: 3.94 PA, 0.86 H, 1.44 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.5 FPts
8. Tyler Stephenson: 3.74 PA, 0.91 H, 1.47 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.07 FPts
9. Will Benson: 3.37 PA, 0.68 H, 1.1 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.1 SB, 6.7 FPts
WSH Hitter Projections
1. Lane Thomas: 4.68 PA, 1.09 H, 1.94 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.09 SB, 8.7 FPts
2. Luis Garcia: 4.58 PA, 1.23 H, 1.9 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.16 FPts
3. Jeimer Candelario: 4.46 PA, 1.03 H, 1.75 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.83 FPts
4. Joey Meneses: 4.38 PA, 1.12 H, 1.82 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.81 FPts
5. Keibert Ruiz: 4.26 PA, 1.11 H, 1.84 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.04 FPts
6. Dominic Smith: 4.16 PA, 0.94 H, 1.35 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.23 FPts
7. Corey Dickerson: 3.83 PA, 0.93 H, 1.38 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.21 FPts
8. C.J. Abrams: 3.85 PA, 0.91 H, 1.42 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.12 SB, 6.5 FPts
9. Derek Hill: 3.47 PA, 0.76 H, 1.11 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.1 SB, 5.52 FPts
Best Bets
Jake Irvin WSH - Walks Over 2.5 (+130.0) - 0.133 value
Luke Weaver CIN - Strikeouts Over 3.5 (+115.0) - 0.107 value
Elly De La Cruz CIN - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-135.0) - 0.066 value
Jake Fraley CIN - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-175.0) - 0.06 value
Matt McLain CIN - Runs Scored Over 0.5 (-115.0) - 0.058 value
Luke Weaver CIN - Walks Under 1.5 (-180.0) - 0.052 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Game not on slate
STL @ MIA
Projected Game Score:
STL 4.38 - MIA 3.82
STL 53.4% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.0
Projected Total: 8.2
2023 Pitcher Stats
Braxton Garrett: 13 GS, 1234 Pitches, 27.7 K%, 4.5 BB%, 13.9 SwStr%, 49.7 Strike%, 32.3 Ball%, 48.2 GB%, 9 Brl%
Miles Mikolas: 17 GS, 1620 Pitches, 16.1 K%, 5.1 BB%, 7.7 SwStr%, 45.7 Strike%, 33.6 Ball%, 37.6 GB%, 8 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Braxton Garrett (MIA): 87 Pitches 5.33 IP, 5.6 H, 2.7 ER, 5.3 K, 1.4 BB, 13.49 FPts
Miles Mikolas (STL): 92 Pitches 5.45 IP, 6.3 H, 2.7 ER, 4.0 K, 1.2 BB, 11.07 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Braxton Garrett - 5.5 strikeouts
Miles Mikolas - 4.5 strikeouts
STL Hitter Projections
1. Tommy Edman: 4.29 PA, 1.05 H, 1.64 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.22 SB, 8.13 FPts
2. Paul Goldschmidt: 4.18 PA, 0.99 H, 1.74 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.07 SB, 8.28 FPts
3. Nolan Arenado: 4.08 PA, 1.04 H, 1.94 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.36 FPts
4. Willson Contreras: 4.02 PA, 0.83 H, 1.48 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.05 FPts
5. Jordan Walker: 3.92 PA, 0.95 H, 1.57 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.08 SB, 7.2 FPts
6. Dylan Carlson: 3.78 PA, 0.84 H, 1.35 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.13 FPts
7. Lars Nootbaar: 3.56 PA, 0.75 H, 1.26 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.3 FPts
8. Paul DeJong: 3.56 PA, 0.67 H, 1.25 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.04 SB, 5.72 FPts
9. Brendan Donovan: 3.29 PA, 0.82 H, 1.19 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.04 SB, 5.86 FPts
MIA Hitter Projections
1. Luis Arraez: 4.23 PA, 1.3 H, 1.81 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.78 FPts
2. Jorge Soler: 4.17 PA, 0.91 H, 1.79 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.69 FPts
3. Bryan De La Cruz: 4.04 PA, 1.08 H, 1.75 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.37 FPts
4. Jesus Sanchez: 3.83 PA, 0.93 H, 1.64 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.03 FPts
5. Garrett Cooper: 3.82 PA, 0.9 H, 1.47 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.39 FPts
6. Jean Segura: 3.75 PA, 0.96 H, 1.32 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.1 FPts
7. Joey Wendle: 3.59 PA, 0.92 H, 1.28 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.1 SB, 5.8 FPts
8. Nick Fortes: 3.55 PA, 0.83 H, 1.26 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.05 SB, 5.64 FPts
9. Jonathan Davis: 3.18 PA, 0.65 H, 0.93 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.12 SB, 5.13 FPts
Best Bets
Tommy Edman STL - Runs Scored Over 0.5 (+155.0) - 0.081 value
Miles Mikolas STL - Walks Under 1.5 (-155.0) - 0.055 value
Braxton Garrett MIA - Strikeouts Under 5.5 (-105.0) - 0.055 value
Braxton Garrett MIA - ER Allowed Over 1.5 (-185.0) - 0.051 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Game not on slate
BAL @ NYY
Projected Game Score:
BAL 4.54 - NYY 4.28
BAL 51.5% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.5
Projected Total: 8.82
2023 Pitcher Stats
Tyler Wells: 15 GS, 1471 Pitches, 26.5 K%, 5.6 BB%, 12.9 SwStr%, 47.7 Strike%, 35.8 Ball%, 33.5 GB%, 12 Brl%
Domingo German: 15 GS, 1224 Pitches, 23.5 K%, 7.5 BB%, 14.1 SwStr%, 48.7 Strike%, 33.0 Ball%, 39.3 GB%, 9 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Tyler Wells (BAL): 96 Pitches 6.08 IP, 5.2 H, 2.7 ER, 6.2 K, 1.6 BB, 17.3 FPts
Domingo German (NYY): 94 Pitches 5.78 IP, 5.2 H, 2.7 ER, 5.0 K, 2.1 BB, 13.91 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Tyler Wells - 5.5 strikeouts
Domingo German - 5.5 strikeouts
BAL Hitter Projections
1. Gunnar Henderson: 4.36 PA, 0.93 H, 1.69 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.09 SB, 8.36 FPts
2. Adley Rutschman: 4.33 PA, 0.96 H, 1.64 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.14 FPts
3. Anthony Santander: 4.25 PA, 0.96 H, 1.86 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.01 SB, 8.11 FPts
4. Ryan O'Hearn: 3.94 PA, 0.94 H, 1.64 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.01 FPts
5. Cedric Mullins II: 4.04 PA, 0.93 H, 1.52 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.22 SB, 8.19 FPts
6. Aaron Hicks: 3.87 PA, 0.73 H, 1.16 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.07 SB, 6.35 FPts
7. Ramon Urias: 3.78 PA, 0.85 H, 1.39 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.2 FPts
8. Adam Frazier: 3.6 PA, 0.89 H, 1.28 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.25 FPts
9. Jorge Mateo: 3.37 PA, 0.7 H, 1.14 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.26 SB, 6.4 FPts
NYY Hitter Projections
1. Gleyber Torres: 4.42 PA, 1.02 H, 1.7 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.1 SB, 7.84 FPts
2. Harrison Bader: 4.27 PA, 0.99 H, 1.61 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.17 SB, 7.61 FPts
3. Anthony Rizzo: 4.22 PA, 0.92 H, 1.78 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.06 FPts
4. Giancarlo Stanton: 4.12 PA, 0.89 H, 1.85 TB, 0.27 HR, 0.0 SB, 7.98 FPts
5. Jake Bauers: 3.85 PA, 0.79 H, 1.44 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.08 SB, 7.0 FPts
6. Josh Donaldson: 3.9 PA, 0.76 H, 1.47 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.57 FPts
7. Billy McKinney: 3.66 PA, 0.68 H, 1.27 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.68 FPts
8. Anthony Volpe: 3.68 PA, 0.7 H, 1.25 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.14 SB, 6.44 FPts
9. Kyle Higashioka: 3.21 PA, 0.66 H, 1.19 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.0 SB, 4.91 FPts
Best Bets
Domingo German NYY - Walks Over 1.5 (+125.0) - 0.182 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Anthony Rizzo (NYY) 1B $3800: 8.06 Proj, 1.13 Score
Cedric Mullins II (BAL) OF $4900: 8.19 Proj, 1.08 Score
Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) OF $4500: 7.98 Proj, 1.07 Score
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) 3B/SS $4700: 8.36 Proj, 1.06 Score
Harrison Bader (NYY) OF $3700: 7.61 Proj, 1.06 Score
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