DFS & Betting Game Previews - July 4th
An automated report of each game on the MLB slate with full projections, recommended bets, and the top DFS plays from each.
Slate Preview 7/4/2023
Most Team Fantasy Point Projections
LAD (vs. Luis Ortiz): 75.52 Projected Points
BOS (vs. Dane Dunning): 73.12 Projected Points
NYM (vs. Zach Davies): 73.03 Projected Points
TEX (vs. Brennan Bernardino): 73.0 Projected Points
TOR (vs. Lucas Giolito): 70.58 Projected Points
Least Team Fantasy Point Projections
LAA (vs. Joe Musgrove): 52.52 Projected Points
OAK (vs. Tarik Skubal): 56.32 Projected Points
DET (vs. JP Sears): 57.27 Projected Points
WSH (vs. Brett Kennedy): 58.84 Projected Points
CLE (vs. Kolby Allard): 59.09 Projected Points
Today Max Projection Players
Players with their highest projection of the season coming today
Tommy Pham: 8.73 Today, 8.32 Previous Max
Oscar Colas: 5.95 Today, 5.84 Previous Max
Game by Game Previews
BAL @ NYY
Projected Game Score:
NYY 4.62 - BAL 4.4
NYY 51.2% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.0
Projected Total: 9.02
2023 Pitcher Stats
Kyle Gibson: 17 GS, 1561 Pitches, 18.0 K%, 7.5 BB%, 10.4 SwStr%, 42.4 Strike%, 38.1 Ball%, 46.1 GB%, 8 Brl%
Clarke Schmidt: 17 GS, 1422 Pitches, 21.8 K%, 7.2 BB%, 10.8 SwStr%, 48.3 Strike%, 33.9 Ball%, 43.1 GB%, 9 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Kyle Gibson (BAL): 93 Pitches 5.66 IP, 5.6 H, 2.7 ER, 4.6 K, 1.6 BB, 12.7 FPts
Clarke Schmidt (NYY): 84 Pitches 5.25 IP, 4.9 H, 2.6 ER, 4.6 K, 2.1 BB, 12.35 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Kyle Gibson - 4.5 strikeouts
Clarke Schmidt - 4.5 strikeouts
BAL Hitter Projections
1. Gunnar Henderson: 4.36 PA, 0.92 H, 1.67 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.09 SB, 8.31 FPts
2. Adley Rutschman: 4.32 PA, 0.94 H, 1.58 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.01 FPts
3. Anthony Santander: 4.24 PA, 0.93 H, 1.8 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.93 FPts
4. Ryan O'Hearn: 3.93 PA, 0.93 H, 1.62 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.92 FPts
5. Cedric Mullins II: 4.03 PA, 0.91 H, 1.46 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.23 SB, 8.07 FPts
6. Aaron Hicks: 3.86 PA, 0.73 H, 1.16 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.07 SB, 6.35 FPts
7. Jordan Westburg: 3.81 PA, 0.87 H, 1.52 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.87 FPts
8. Adam Frazier: 3.59 PA, 0.88 H, 1.24 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.13 FPts
9. James McCann: 3.25 PA, 0.68 H, 1.06 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.03 SB, 4.84 FPts
NYY Hitter Projections
1. Anthony Rizzo: 4.62 PA, 1.01 H, 1.85 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.04 SB, 8.59 FPts
2. Gleyber Torres: 4.51 PA, 1.07 H, 1.72 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.11 SB, 8.31 FPts
3. Giancarlo Stanton: 4.4 PA, 0.97 H, 1.91 TB, 0.26 HR, 0.0 SB, 8.49 FPts
4. Jake Bauers: 4.13 PA, 0.87 H, 1.52 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.1 SB, 7.78 FPts
5. Harrison Bader: 4.15 PA, 1.0 H, 1.56 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.18 SB, 7.67 FPts
6. Anthony Volpe: 4.09 PA, 0.82 H, 1.42 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.17 SB, 7.5 FPts
7. Isiah Kiner-Falefa: 3.91 PA, 1.0 H, 1.4 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.16 SB, 6.88 FPts
8. Oswaldo Cabrera: 3.81 PA, 0.76 H, 1.25 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.1 SB, 6.12 FPts
9. Jose Trevino: 3.44 PA, 0.81 H, 1.18 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.05 FPts
Best Bets
Anthony Santander BAL - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-120.0) - 0.052 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Anthony Rizzo (NYY) 1B $3800: 8.59 Proj, 1.17 Score
Isiah Kiner-Falefa (NYY) OF $2100: 6.88 Proj, 1.14 Score
Jake Bauers (NYY) OF $2600: 7.78 Proj, 1.14 Score
Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) OF $4100: 8.49 Proj, 1.14 Score
Anthony Volpe (NYY) SS $3200: 7.5 Proj, 1.11 Score
STL @ MIA
Projected Game Score:
STL 4.3 - MIA 4.19
STL 50.7% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.5
Projected Total: 8.49
2023 Pitcher Stats
Jesus Luzardo: 17 GS, 1610 Pitches, 28.4 K%, 5.8 BB%, 15.3 SwStr%, 49.7 Strike%, 34.4 Ball%, 42.2 GB%, 11 Brl%
Adam Wainwright: 10 GS, 881 Pitches, 10.7 K%, 6.9 BB%, 6.2 SwStr%, 39.3 Strike%, 38.9 Ball%, 36.5 GB%, 11 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Jesus Luzardo (MIA): 97 Pitches 5.98 IP, 5.6 H, 2.8 ER, 6.5 K, 1.9 BB, 17.0 FPts
Adam Wainwright (STL): 93 Pitches 5.41 IP, 6.4 H, 2.8 ER, 3.3 K, 1.5 BB, 8.93 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Jesus Luzardo - 7.5 strikeouts
Adam Wainwright - 2.5 strikeouts
STL Hitter Projections
1. Tommy Edman: 4.32 PA, 1.03 H, 1.65 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.22 SB, 8.18 FPts
2. Paul Goldschmidt: 4.21 PA, 0.98 H, 1.74 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.08 SB, 8.42 FPts
3. Nolan Arenado: 4.1 PA, 1.04 H, 1.98 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.57 FPts
4. Willson Contreras: 4.04 PA, 0.81 H, 1.47 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.09 FPts
5. Jordan Walker: 3.94 PA, 0.93 H, 1.56 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.08 SB, 7.26 FPts
6. Paul DeJong: 3.81 PA, 0.69 H, 1.31 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.09 FPts
7. Dylan Carlson: 3.69 PA, 0.8 H, 1.31 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.03 FPts
8. Andrew Knizner: 3.41 PA, 0.65 H, 1.01 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.01 SB, 4.74 FPts
9. Lars Nootbaar: 3.24 PA, 0.66 H, 1.13 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.05 SB, 5.75 FPts
MIA Hitter Projections
1. Luis Arraez: 4.3 PA, 1.32 H, 1.83 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.04 SB, 8.06 FPts
2. Jorge Soler: 4.23 PA, 0.92 H, 1.8 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.98 FPts
3. Bryan De La Cruz: 4.1 PA, 1.11 H, 1.78 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.68 FPts
4. Jesus Sanchez: 3.89 PA, 0.96 H, 1.67 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.43 FPts
5. Garrett Cooper: 3.88 PA, 0.94 H, 1.52 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.77 FPts
6. Jean Segura: 3.81 PA, 0.99 H, 1.36 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.1 SB, 6.48 FPts
7. Joey Wendle: 3.64 PA, 0.96 H, 1.33 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.11 SB, 6.19 FPts
8. Nick Fortes: 3.61 PA, 0.85 H, 1.28 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.06 SB, 5.97 FPts
9. Jonathan Davis: 3.23 PA, 0.68 H, 0.97 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.13 SB, 5.53 FPts
Best Bets
Jesus Luzardo MIA - Strikeouts Under 7.5 (-160.0) - 0.061 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Jordan Walker (STL) OF $2800: 7.26 Proj, 1.17 Score
Tommy Edman (STL) OF/SS $3800: 8.18 Proj, 1.09 Score
Nolan Arenado (STL) 3B $5000: 8.57 Proj, 1.09 Score
Jesus Sanchez (MIA) OF $2900: 7.43 Proj, 1.06 Score
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) 1B $5400: 8.42 Proj, 1.06 Score
TEX @ BOS
Projected Game Score:
BOS 5.48 - TEX 5.46
BOS 50.1% To Win
Vegas O/U: 10.5
Projected Total: 10.94
2023 Pitcher Stats
Dane Dunning: 10 GS, 1196 Pitches, 15.8 K%, 6.5 BB%, 9.0 SwStr%, 45.2 Strike%, 34.4 Ball%, 49.0 GB%, 7 Brl%
Brennan Bernardino: 0 GS, 397 Pitches, 24.0 K%, 7.0 BB%, 9.3 SwStr%, 46.9 Strike%, 36.0 Ball%, 54.4 GB%, 4 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Dane Dunning (TEX): 93 Pitches 5.43 IP, 6.3 H, 3.0 ER, 4.0 K, 1.9 BB, 9.8 FPts
Brennan Bernardino (BOS): 50 Pitches 3.0 IP, 3.2 H, 1.6 ER, 2.9 K, 1.0 BB, 7.51 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Dane Dunning - 3.5 strikeouts
Brennan Bernardino - Prop Not Found
TEX Hitter Projections
1. Marcus Semien: 4.67 PA, 1.12 H, 1.84 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.15 SB, 9.11 FPts
2. Corey Seager: 4.57 PA, 1.23 H, 2.19 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.02 SB, 9.83 FPts
3. Josh Jung: 4.43 PA, 1.04 H, 1.78 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.04 FPts
4. Adolis Garcia: 4.37 PA, 1.01 H, 1.84 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.16 SB, 9.26 FPts
5. Nathaniel Lowe: 4.25 PA, 1.06 H, 1.63 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.95 FPts
6. Ezequiel Duran: 4.08 PA, 1.05 H, 1.75 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.08 SB, 7.8 FPts
7. Mitch Garver: 4.06 PA, 0.85 H, 1.6 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.68 FPts
8. Robbie Grossman: 3.84 PA, 0.76 H, 1.19 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.72 FPts
9. Leody Taveras: 3.62 PA, 0.87 H, 1.31 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.13 SB, 6.61 FPts
BOS Hitter Projections
1. Jarren Duran: 4.41 PA, 1.1 H, 1.76 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.19 SB, 8.7 FPts
2. Alex Verdugo: 4.44 PA, 1.23 H, 1.85 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.04 SB, 8.56 FPts
3. Masataka Yoshida: 4.43 PA, 1.22 H, 1.97 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.05 SB, 9.26 FPts
4. Rafael Devers: 4.25 PA, 1.14 H, 2.14 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.04 SB, 9.7 FPts
5. Justin Turner: 4.13 PA, 1.08 H, 1.73 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.04 FPts
6. Triston Casas: 4.02 PA, 0.85 H, 1.56 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.98 FPts
7. Christian Arroyo: 3.81 PA, 1.03 H, 1.6 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.98 FPts
8. David Hamilton: 3.82 PA, 0.91 H, 1.45 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.26 SB, 8.28 FPts
9. Connor Wong: 3.36 PA, 0.69 H, 1.24 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.04 SB, 5.62 FPts
Best Bets
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Triston Casas (BOS) 1B $2400: 7.98 Proj, 1.33 Score
David Hamilton (BOS) SS $2200: 8.28 Proj, 1.32 Score
Jarren Duran (BOS) OF $2900: 8.7 Proj, 1.31 Score
Rafael Devers (BOS) 3B $4800: 9.7 Proj, 1.22 Score
Masataka Yoshida (BOS) OF $4900: 9.26 Proj, 1.18 Score
KC @ MIN
Projected Game Score:
MIN 4.22 - KC 4.12
MIN 50.6% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.0
Projected Total: 8.34
2023 Pitcher Stats
Kenta Maeda: 6 GS, 427 Pitches, 23.0 K%, 6.2 BB%, 13.1 SwStr%, 45.9 Strike%, 35.4 Ball%, 35.0 GB%, 9 Brl%
Zack Greinke: 17 GS, 1355 Pitches, 16.4 K%, 3.6 BB%, 8.4 SwStr%, 43.7 Strike%, 34.9 Ball%, 43.8 GB%, 8 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Kenta Maeda (MIN): 85 Pitches 5.29 IP, 4.8 H, 2.3 ER, 5.7 K, 1.4 BB, 15.73 FPts
Zack Greinke (KC): 85 Pitches 4.98 IP, 5.8 H, 2.4 ER, 3.5 K, 0.9 BB, 9.86 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Kenta Maeda - 4.5 strikeouts
Zack Greinke - 3.5 strikeouts
KC Hitter Projections
1. Maikel Garcia: 4.52 PA, 1.01 H, 1.52 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.19 SB, 8.28 FPts
2. Bobby Witt Jr.: 4.38 PA, 1.03 H, 1.78 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.21 SB, 8.53 FPts
3. Nick Pratto: 4.24 PA, 0.8 H, 1.34 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.65 FPts
4. Salvador Perez: 4.15 PA, 0.99 H, 1.83 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.0 SB, 7.31 FPts
5. MJ Melendez: 4.09 PA, 0.78 H, 1.37 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.72 FPts
6. Kyle Isbel: 3.84 PA, 0.8 H, 1.26 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.11 SB, 6.09 FPts
7. Michael Massey: 3.8 PA, 0.86 H, 1.49 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.49 FPts
8. Dairon Blanco: 3.65 PA, 0.75 H, 1.12 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.22 SB, 6.35 FPts
9. Nicky Lopez: 3.42 PA, 0.8 H, 1.07 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.12 SB, 5.63 FPts
MIN Hitter Projections
1. Carlos Correa: 4.44 PA, 1.08 H, 1.87 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.0 SB, 7.83 FPts
2. Donovan Solano: 4.27 PA, 1.12 H, 1.61 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.01 FPts
3. Byron Buxton: 4.14 PA, 0.97 H, 1.99 TB, 0.26 HR, 0.11 SB, 8.83 FPts
4. Alex Kirilloff: 3.95 PA, 1.03 H, 1.56 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.78 FPts
5. Max Kepler: 3.94 PA, 0.91 H, 1.55 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.1 FPts
6. Jose Miranda: 3.91 PA, 0.99 H, 1.54 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.36 FPts
7. Willi Castro: 3.82 PA, 0.95 H, 1.48 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.14 SB, 6.81 FPts
8. Christian Vazquez: 3.66 PA, 0.94 H, 1.35 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.05 SB, 5.94 FPts
9. Michael A. Taylor: 3.34 PA, 0.77 H, 1.27 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.08 SB, 5.73 FPts
Best Bets
Zack Greinke KC - Walks Under 1.5 (-155.0) - 0.179 value
Max Kepler MIN - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-125.0) - 0.09 value
Zack Greinke KC - ER Allowed Under 3.5 (-155.0) - 0.08 value
Max Kepler MIN - Runs Scored Under 0.5 (-115.0) - 0.072 value
Byron Buxton MIN - Runs Scored Under 0.5 (+110.0) - 0.057 value
Alex Kirilloff MIN - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-130.0) - 0.055 value
Alex Kirilloff MIN - Runs Scored Under 0.5 (-130.0) - 0.054 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Maikel Garcia (KC) 3B $3200: 8.28 Proj, 1.17 Score
Max Kepler (MIN) OF $2600: 7.1 Proj, 1.11 Score
Byron Buxton (MIN) OF $5300: 8.83 Proj, 1.11 Score
Willi Castro (MIN) OF $2200: 6.81 Proj, 1.1 Score
Donovan Solano (MIN) 1B $2400: 7.01 Proj, 1.06 Score
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