DFS & Betting Game Previews - July 29th
An automated report of each game on the MLB slate with full projections, recommended bets, and the top DFS plays from each.
A Saturday slate preview post - let’s do it! Kinda wish I could get these out every day but on weekends I usually can’t find the time.
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Slate Preview 7/29/2023
Most Team Fantasy Point Projections
LAD (vs. Luke Weaver): 78.82 Projected Points
ATL (vs. Julio Teheran): 76.34 Projected Points
STL (vs. Jameson Taillon): 73.22 Projected Points
SD (vs. Martin Perez): 71.8 Projected Points
SEA (vs. Brandon Pfaadt): 70.37 Projected Points
Least Team Fantasy Point Projections
DET (vs. Johnny Cueto): 53.53 Projected Points
PIT (vs. Aaron Nola): 58.34 Projected Points
TB (vs. Hunter Brown): 59.35 Projected Points
KC (vs. Bailey Ober): 59.57 Projected Points
WSH (vs. Carlos Carrasco): 60.81 Projected Points
Today Max Projection Players
Players with their highest projection of the season coming today
Edouard Julien: 8.59 Today, 8.28 Previous Max
Tony Kemp: 8.04 Today, 7.85 Previous Max
JJ Bleday: 7.31 Today, 6.9 Previous Max
Cal Raleigh: 8.81 Today, 8.33 Previous Max
Mike Ford: 6.62 Today, 6.51 Previous Max
Game by Game Previews
LAA @ TOR
Projected Game Score:
TOR 4.66 - LAA 4.26
TOR 52.2% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.0
Projected Total: 8.92
2023 Pitcher Stats
Reid Detmers: 18 GS, 1679 Pitches, 29.5 K%, 8.5 BB%, 14.7 SwStr%, 49.6 Strike%, 35.6 Ball%, 33.7 GB%, 6 Brl%
Alek Manoah: 16 GS, 1425 Pitches, 18.0 K%, 14.2 BB%, 9.6 SwStr%, 43.9 Strike%, 40.1 Ball%, 38.2 GB%, 9 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Reid Detmers (LAA): 96 Pitches 5.88 IP, 5.9 H, 2.9 ER, 5.1 K, 2.1 BB, 13.34 FPts
Alek Manoah (TOR): 90 Pitches 5.52 IP, 5.1 H, 2.8 ER, 4.8 K, 2.7 BB, 12.22 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Reid Detmers - 5.5 strikeouts
Alek Manoah - 5.5 strikeouts
LAA Hitter Projections
1. Zach Neto: 4.4 PA, 0.94 H, 1.65 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.07 SB, 7.8 FPts
2. Shohei Ohtani: 4.37 PA, 0.96 H, 1.89 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.16 SB, 10.03 FPts
3. Mickey Moniak: 4.12 PA, 0.88 H, 1.53 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.71 FPts
4. Taylor Ward: 4.22 PA, 0.93 H, 1.6 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.76 FPts
5. Mike Moustakas: 4.07 PA, 0.8 H, 1.32 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.33 FPts
6. Matt Thaiss: 3.87 PA, 0.74 H, 1.21 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.63 FPts
7. Hunter Renfroe: 3.9 PA, 0.83 H, 1.43 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.32 FPts
8. Trey Cabbage: 3.76 PA, 0.7 H, 1.32 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.39 FPts
9. Luis Rengifo: 3.37 PA, 0.75 H, 1.2 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.06 SB, 5.54 FPts
TOR Hitter Projections
1. Whit Merrifield: 4.53 PA, 1.06 H, 1.56 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.24 SB, 8.25 FPts
2. Bo Bichette: 4.53 PA, 1.24 H, 2.05 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.11 SB, 9.18 FPts
3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: 4.43 PA, 1.12 H, 1.93 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.04 SB, 8.98 FPts
4. George Springer: 4.33 PA, 0.95 H, 1.59 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.11 SB, 8.03 FPts
5. Matt Chapman: 4.21 PA, 0.93 H, 1.78 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.1 FPts
6. Danny Jansen: 4.01 PA, 0.89 H, 1.8 TB, 0.24 HR, 0.0 SB, 7.73 FPts
7. Alejandro Kirk: 4.01 PA, 0.96 H, 1.43 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.0 SB, 6.64 FPts
8. Santiago Espinal: 3.49 PA, 0.83 H, 1.16 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.06 SB, 5.63 FPts
9. Jordan Luplow: 3.62 PA, 0.61 H, 1.09 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.05 SB, 5.64 FPts
Best Bets
Alek Manoah TOR - Strikeouts Under 5.5 (-105.0) - 0.142 value
Trey Cabbage LAA - H+R+RBI Over 0.5 (-175.0) - 0.115 value
Jordan Luplow TOR - H+R+RBI Over 0.5 (-160.0) - 0.101 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Game not on slate
DET @ MIA
Projected Game Score:
MIA 3.92 - DET 3.0
MIA 56.7% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.0
Projected Total: 6.92
2023 Pitcher Stats
Johnny Cueto: 2 GS, 161 Pitches, 23.1 K%, 7.7 BB%, 11.8 SwStr%, 48.4 Strike%, 35.4 Ball%, 38.5 GB%, 8 Brl%
Joey Wentz: 15 GS, 1296 Pitches, 20.0 K%, 9.4 BB%, 11.3 SwStr%, 45.4 Strike%, 36.7 Ball%, 37.8 GB%, 11 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Johnny Cueto (MIA): 83 Pitches 4.9 IP, 5.1 H, 2.2 ER, 4.6 K, 1.1 BB, 12.91 FPts
Joey Wentz (DET): 90 Pitches 5.33 IP, 5.7 H, 2.5 ER, 4.1 K, 1.7 BB, 11.43 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Johnny Cueto - 4.5 strikeouts
Joey Wentz - Prop Not Found
DET Hitter Projections
1. Zach McKinstry: 4.1 PA, 0.9 H, 1.53 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.65 FPts
2. Riley Greene: 4.18 PA, 1.05 H, 1.62 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.01 FPts
3. Spencer Torkelson: 4.12 PA, 0.89 H, 1.52 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.36 FPts
4. Kerry Carpenter: 3.84 PA, 0.96 H, 1.67 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.74 FPts
5. Matt Vierling: 3.86 PA, 0.93 H, 1.37 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.08 FPts
6. Javier Baez: 3.74 PA, 0.87 H, 1.37 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.1 SB, 5.81 FPts
7. Akil Baddoo: 3.47 PA, 0.72 H, 1.06 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.14 SB, 5.41 FPts
8. Zack Short: 3.31 PA, 0.59 H, 1.0 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.03 SB, 4.48 FPts
9. Jake Rogers: 3.24 PA, 0.66 H, 1.19 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.02 SB, 4.99 FPts
MIA Hitter Projections
1. Luis Arraez: 4.45 PA, 1.21 H, 1.64 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.43 FPts
2. Jorge Soler: 4.36 PA, 0.96 H, 2.05 TB, 0.28 HR, 0.01 SB, 8.86 FPts
3. Bryan De La Cruz: 4.27 PA, 1.06 H, 1.77 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.64 FPts
4. Jesus Sanchez: 3.99 PA, 0.9 H, 1.57 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.02 FPts
5. Yuli Gurriel: 4.09 PA, 0.98 H, 1.4 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.4 FPts
6. Joey Wendle: 3.87 PA, 0.88 H, 1.24 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.1 SB, 5.94 FPts
7. Jean Segura: 3.85 PA, 0.94 H, 1.36 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.36 FPts
8. Dane Myers: 3.75 PA, 0.85 H, 1.42 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.57 FPts
9. Nick Fortes: 3.49 PA, 0.8 H, 1.26 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.05 SB, 5.74 FPts
Best Bets
Johnny Cueto MIA - Walks Under 1.5 (-135.0) - 0.129 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Game not on slate
PHI @ PIT
Projected Game Score:
PHI 4.43 - PIT 3.82
PHI 53.7% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.5
Projected Total: 8.25
2023 Pitcher Stats
Aaron Nola: 21 GS, 2035 Pitches, 24.4 K%, 5.6 BB%, 12.9 SwStr%, 49.4 Strike%, 32.3 Ball%, 42.5 GB%, 8 Brl%
Quinn Priester: 2 GS, 162 Pitches, 12.5 K%, 10.4 BB%, 7.4 SwStr%, 37.0 Strike%, 40.1 Ball%, 54.1 GB%, 8 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Aaron Nola (PHI): 94 Pitches 5.83 IP, 5.1 H, 2.5 ER, 6.6 K, 1.7 BB, 17.92 FPts
Quinn Priester (PIT): 85 Pitches 5.26 IP, 4.9 H, 2.5 ER, 5.0 K, 2.2 BB, 13.04 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Aaron Nola - 6.5 strikeouts
Quinn Priester - 3.5 strikeouts
PHI Hitter Projections
1. Kyle Schwarber: 4.51 PA, 0.82 H, 1.75 TB, 0.25 HR, 0.04 SB, 8.92 FPts
2. Trea Turner: 4.36 PA, 1.05 H, 1.59 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.22 SB, 8.21 FPts
3. Bryce Harper: 4.26 PA, 1.01 H, 1.7 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.12 SB, 8.82 FPts
4. Nick Castellanos: 4.18 PA, 0.98 H, 1.57 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.08 FPts
5. Bryson Stott: 4.09 PA, 1.02 H, 1.47 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.13 SB, 7.24 FPts
6. J.T. Realmuto: 3.95 PA, 0.93 H, 1.59 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.14 SB, 7.69 FPts
7. Alec Bohm: 3.88 PA, 0.94 H, 1.37 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.02 FPts
8. Brandon Marsh: 3.67 PA, 0.78 H, 1.2 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.3 FPts
9. Jake Cave: 3.3 PA, 0.66 H, 1.09 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.04 SB, 5.22 FPts
PIT Hitter Projections
1. Jack Suwinski: 4.29 PA, 0.8 H, 1.65 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.87 FPts
2. Bryan Reynolds: 4.26 PA, 1.02 H, 1.75 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.75 FPts
3. Andrew McCutchen: 4.22 PA, 0.83 H, 1.36 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.07 SB, 6.8 FPts
4. Ji-Man Choi: 4.14 PA, 0.83 H, 1.43 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.0 SB, 6.73 FPts
5. Henry Davis: 4.03 PA, 0.87 H, 1.52 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.15 FPts
6. Endy Rodriguez: 3.93 PA, 0.83 H, 1.35 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.94 FPts
7. Jared Triolo: 3.82 PA, 0.71 H, 1.03 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.08 SB, 5.15 FPts
8. Nick Gonzales: 3.69 PA, 0.75 H, 1.31 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.61 FPts
9. Alika Williams: 3.45 PA, 0.77 H, 1.21 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.34 FPts
Best Bets
Quinn Priester PIT - Strikeouts Over 3.5 (-135.0) - 0.162 value
Trea Turner PHI - H+R+RBI Under 2.5 (-140.0) - 0.125 value
Nick Castellanos PHI - H+R+RBI Under 2.5 (-160.0) - 0.122 value
Alika Williams PIT - H+R+RBI Over 0.5 (-170.0) - 0.108 value
Brandon Marsh PHI - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-170.0) - 0.108 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) OF $4600: 8.92 Proj, 1.22 Score
Bryce Harper (PHI) 1B $5400: 8.82 Proj, 1.11 Score
Jack Suwinski (PIT) OF $3800: 7.87 Proj, 1.1 Score
J.T. Realmuto (PHI) C $4800: 7.69 Proj, 1.05 Score
Ji-Man Choi (PIT) 1B $2800: 6.73 Proj, 1.02 Score
CLE @ CWS
Projected Game Score:
CLE 4.77 - CWS 4.53
CLE 51.3% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.5
Projected Total: 9.3
2023 Pitcher Stats
Logan Allen: 14 GS, 1273 Pitches, 23.7 K%, 7.8 BB%, 11.9 SwStr%, 48.4 Strike%, 34.5 Ball%, 42.7 GB%, 9 Brl%
Mike Clevinger: 10 GS, 1078 Pitches, 19.3 K%, 9.5 BB%, 10.9 SwStr%, 45.0 Strike%, 37.3 Ball%, 31.4 GB%, 8 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Logan Allen (CLE): 86 Pitches 5.06 IP, 5.5 H, 2.6 ER, 4.8 K, 1.5 BB, 12.15 FPts
Mike Clevinger (CWS): 65 Pitches 4.0 IP, 4.0 H, 2.1 ER, 2.6 K, 1.5 BB, 7.21 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Logan Allen - 5.5 strikeouts
Mike Clevinger - Prop Not Found
CLE Hitter Projections
1. Steven Kwan: 4.66 PA, 1.17 H, 1.54 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.15 SB, 8.34 FPts
2. Andres Gimenez: 4.53 PA, 1.12 H, 1.79 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.19 SB, 9.01 FPts
3. Jose Ramirez: 4.44 PA, 1.09 H, 1.84 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.2 SB, 9.73 FPts
4. Josh Naylor: 4.34 PA, 1.18 H, 2.04 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.06 SB, 9.19 FPts
5. Josh Bell: 4.18 PA, 0.94 H, 1.61 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.72 FPts
6. Will Brennan: 4.03 PA, 1.12 H, 1.58 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.09 SB, 7.04 FPts
7. Gabriel Arias: 3.84 PA, 0.69 H, 1.1 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.22 FPts
8. Bo Naylor: 3.74 PA, 0.75 H, 1.33 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.94 FPts
9. Myles Straw: 3.63 PA, 0.8 H, 1.05 TB, 0.03 HR, 0.17 SB, 6.11 FPts
CWS Hitter Projections
1. Andrew Benintendi: 4.67 PA, 1.17 H, 1.57 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.11 SB, 7.71 FPts
2. Tim Anderson: 4.53 PA, 1.21 H, 1.7 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.17 SB, 8.18 FPts
3. Luis Robert: 4.43 PA, 1.13 H, 2.12 TB, 0.25 HR, 0.11 SB, 9.34 FPts
4. Eloy Jimenez: 4.34 PA, 1.07 H, 1.87 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.0 SB, 8.17 FPts
5. Yoan Moncada: 4.17 PA, 0.83 H, 1.34 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.36 FPts
6. Andrew Vaughn: 4.16 PA, 0.99 H, 1.71 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.0 SB, 7.25 FPts
7. Yasmani Grandal: 3.96 PA, 0.73 H, 1.17 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.0 SB, 6.24 FPts
8. Jake Burger: 3.81 PA, 0.94 H, 1.99 TB, 0.25 HR, 0.01 SB, 8.14 FPts
9. Zach Remillard: 3.55 PA, 0.69 H, 1.0 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.08 SB, 5.24 FPts
Best Bets
Zach Remillard CWS - H+R+RBI Over 0.5 (-160.0) - 0.106 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Jose Ramirez (CLE) 3B $5800: 9.73 Proj, 1.23 Score
Josh Naylor (CLE) 1B $4400: 9.19 Proj, 1.2 Score
Andres Gimenez (CLE) 2B $4000: 9.01 Proj, 1.17 Score
Josh Bell (CLE) 1B $3000: 7.72 Proj, 1.16 Score
Jake Burger (CWS) 2B/3B $3900: 8.14 Proj, 1.12 Score
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