DFS & Betting Game Previews - June 29th
An automated report of each game on the MLB slate with full projections, recommended bets, and the top DFS plays from each.
Slate Preview 6/29/2023
DFS player pools for both slates are at the bottom of the post
Most Team Fantasy Point Projections
LAD (vs. Chase Anderson): 83.55 Projected Points
SD (vs. Luis Ortiz): 71.29 Projected Points
MIA (vs. Brayan Bello): 70.69 Projected Points
PHI (vs. Kyle Hendricks): 70.09 Projected Points
NYM (vs. Adrian Houser): 68.94 Projected Points
Least Team Fantasy Point Projections
MIL (vs. Max Scherzer): 57.07 Projected Points
LAA (vs. Lance Lynn): 57.11 Projected Points
OAK (vs. Clarke Schmidt): 57.14 Projected Points
DET (vs. Cody Bradford): 57.77 Projected Points
PIT (vs. Joe Musgrove): 58.38 Projected Points
Today Max Projection Players
Players with their highest projection of the season coming today
Joe Musgrove: 16.65 Today, 16.61 Previous Max
Jazz Chisholm: 9.74 Today, 9.5 Previous Max
Luis Arraez: 9.21 Today, 9.04 Previous Max
Jordan Walker: 7.51 Today, 7.35 Previous Max
Leody Taveras: 6.84 Today, 6.65 Previous Max
Game by Game Previews
SD @ PIT
Projected Game Score:
SD 5.44 - PIT 3.88
SD 58.4% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.0
Projected Total: 9.32
2023 Pitcher Stats
Joe Musgrove: 11 GS, 963 Pitches, 21.5 K%, 5.5 BB%, 12.1 SwStr%, 47.9 Strike%, 33.1 Ball%, 46.4 GB%, 6 Brl%
Luis L. Ortiz: 8 GS, 743 Pitches, 15.2 K%, 10.8 BB%, 10.6 SwStr%, 41.7 Strike%, 38.1 Ball%, 52.7 GB%, 11 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Joe Musgrove (SD): 91 Pitches 5.81 IP, 5.1 H, 2.5 ER, 6.0 K, 1.8 BB, 16.65 FPts
Luis Ortiz (PIT): 90 Pitches 5.95 IP, 5.6 H, 3.2 ER, 4.2 K, 3.6 BB, 10.28 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Joe Musgrove - 5.5 strikeouts
Luis Ortiz - 3.5 strikeouts
SD Hitter Projections
1. Fernando Tatis Jr.: 4.4 PA, 1.06 H, 2.12 TB, 0.26 HR, 0.26 SB, 11.15 FPts
2. Juan Soto: 4.26 PA, 0.82 H, 1.52 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.08 SB, 10.22 FPts
3. Manny Machado: 4.11 PA, 1.0 H, 1.68 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.08 SB, 8.29 FPts
4. Xander Bogaerts: 4.06 PA, 0.97 H, 1.53 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.07 SB, 8.08 FPts
5. Jake Cronenworth: 3.99 PA, 0.81 H, 1.31 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.25 FPts
6. Rougned Odor: 3.84 PA, 0.81 H, 1.45 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.01 FPts
7. Ha-Seong Kim: 3.73 PA, 0.81 H, 1.29 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.12 SB, 7.0 FPts
8. Trent Grisham: 3.6 PA, 0.71 H, 1.3 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.1 SB, 7.25 FPts
9. Austin Nola: 3.24 PA, 0.68 H, 0.94 TB, 0.03 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.04 FPts
PIT Hitter Projections
1. Jack Suwinski: 4.43 PA, 0.84 H, 1.72 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.06 SB, 8.06 FPts
2. Andrew McCutchen: 4.4 PA, 0.88 H, 1.42 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.08 SB, 7.16 FPts
3. Henry Davis: 4.31 PA, 0.9 H, 1.55 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.56 FPts
4. Carlos Santana: 4.22 PA, 0.87 H, 1.46 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.05 FPts
5. Connor Joe: 4.1 PA, 0.85 H, 1.34 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.62 FPts
6. Nick Gonzales: 4.0 PA, 0.74 H, 1.27 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.85 FPts
7. Ji Hwan Bae: 3.83 PA, 0.92 H, 1.25 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.18 SB, 6.53 FPts
8. Jared Triolo: 3.75 PA, 0.72 H, 1.04 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.08 SB, 5.44 FPts
9. Jason Delay: 3.36 PA, 0.66 H, 0.92 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.02 SB, 4.11 FPts
Best Bets
Jake Cronenworth SD - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-175.0) - 0.072 value
Juan Soto SD - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-155.0) - 0.06 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Game not on slate
DET @ TEX
Projected Game Score:
TEX 4.32 - DET 3.8
TEX 53.3% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.0
Projected Total: 8.12
2023 Pitcher Stats
Reese Olson: 4 GS, 441 Pitches, 27.7 K%, 5.9 BB%, 12.2 SwStr%, 49.4 Strike%, 35.4 Ball%, 44.8 GB%, 10 Brl%
Cody Bradford: 3 GS, 245 Pitches, 19.7 K%, 6.6 BB%, 11.4 SwStr%, 48.2 Strike%, 33.5 Ball%, 26.7 GB%, 20 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Reese Olson (DET): 91 Pitches 5.07 IP, 4.5 H, 2.1 ER, 5.2 K, 1.6 BB, 14.41 FPts
Cody Bradford (TEX): 55 Pitches 3.43 IP, 2.9 H, 1.4 ER, 3.1 K, 0.9 BB, 9.89 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Reese Olson - 5.5 strikeouts
Cody Bradford - Prop Not Found
DET Hitter Projections
1. Matt Vierling: 4.38 PA, 1.05 H, 1.6 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.1 SB, 7.33 FPts
2. Spencer Torkelson: 4.4 PA, 0.9 H, 1.52 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.96 FPts
3. Andy Ibanez: 4.12 PA, 1.03 H, 1.76 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.36 FPts
4. Javier Baez: 4.13 PA, 0.95 H, 1.55 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.1 SB, 7.04 FPts
5. Kerry Carpenter: 4.05 PA, 0.91 H, 1.56 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.76 FPts
6. Jonathan Schoop: 3.87 PA, 0.87 H, 1.42 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.96 FPts
7. Jake Rogers: 3.78 PA, 0.7 H, 1.34 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.12 FPts
8. Zack Short: 3.63 PA, 0.62 H, 1.13 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.04 SB, 5.51 FPts
9. Jake Marisnick: 3.21 PA, 0.62 H, 1.0 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.08 SB, 4.73 FPts
TEX Hitter Projections
1. Marcus Semien: 4.51 PA, 1.04 H, 1.72 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.13 SB, 8.03 FPts
2. Travis Jankowski: 4.24 PA, 0.92 H, 1.18 TB, 0.03 HR, 0.21 SB, 7.4 FPts
3. Nathaniel Lowe: 4.31 PA, 1.07 H, 1.67 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.78 FPts
4. Adolis Garcia: 4.22 PA, 0.95 H, 1.74 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.14 SB, 8.3 FPts
5. Josh Jung: 4.08 PA, 0.9 H, 1.6 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.83 FPts
6. Leody Taveras: 3.98 PA, 0.94 H, 1.43 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.13 SB, 6.84 FPts
7. Ezequiel Duran: 3.83 PA, 0.93 H, 1.54 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.07 SB, 6.65 FPts
8. Mitch Garver: 3.78 PA, 0.75 H, 1.45 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.57 FPts
9. Josh Smith: 3.34 PA, 0.7 H, 1.04 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.05 SB, 5.4 FPts
Best Bets
Reese Olson DET - ER Allowed Under 2.5 (+105.0) - 0.076 value
Spencer Torkelson DET - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-140.0) - 0.059 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Andy Ibanez (DET) 2B/OF $2600: 7.36 Proj, 1.15 Score
Travis Jankowski (TEX) OF $2600: 7.4 Proj, 1.1 Score
Matt Vierling (DET) OF $2800: 7.33 Proj, 1.1 Score
Adolis Garcia (TEX) OF $5500: 8.3 Proj, 1.04 Score
Nathaniel Lowe (TEX) 1B $4300: 7.78 Proj, 1.02 Score
CLE @ KC
Projected Game Score:
CLE 4.22 - KC 3.98
CLE 51.5% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.0
Projected Total: 8.2
2023 Pitcher Stats
Shane Bieber: 16 GS, 1522 Pitches, 18.5 K%, 6.5 BB%, 11.3 SwStr%, 44.7 Strike%, 34.9 Ball%, 46.8 GB%, 9 Brl%
Zack Greinke: 16 GS, 1273 Pitches, 17.8 K%, 3.3 BB%, 8.9 SwStr%, 44.6 Strike%, 34.6 Ball%, 43.2 GB%, 9 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Shane Bieber (CLE): 94 Pitches 5.64 IP, 5.6 H, 2.6 ER, 5.8 K, 1.4 BB, 15.63 FPts
Zack Greinke (KC): 82 Pitches 4.72 IP, 5.6 H, 2.2 ER, 2.4 K, 0.9 BB, 7.85 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Shane Bieber - 5.5 strikeouts
Zack Greinke - 2.5 strikeouts
CLE Hitter Projections
1. Steven Kwan: 4.47 PA, 1.18 H, 1.58 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.14 SB, 7.95 FPts
2. Amed Rosario: 4.37 PA, 1.15 H, 1.62 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.13 SB, 7.48 FPts
3. Jose Ramirez: 4.27 PA, 1.11 H, 1.85 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.17 SB, 9.11 FPts
4. Josh Naylor: 4.2 PA, 1.17 H, 1.96 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.36 FPts
5. Josh Bell: 4.06 PA, 0.99 H, 1.6 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.0 SB, 7.21 FPts
6. Andres Gimenez: 3.92 PA, 0.98 H, 1.46 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.14 SB, 6.98 FPts
7. Will Brennan: 3.78 PA, 1.08 H, 1.54 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.8 FPts
8. Myles Straw: 3.72 PA, 0.86 H, 1.12 TB, 0.03 HR, 0.17 SB, 6.17 FPts
9. Cam Gallagher: 3.35 PA, 0.67 H, 0.9 TB, 0.02 HR, 0.0 SB, 3.92 FPts
KC Hitter Projections
1. Nick Pratto: 4.35 PA, 0.88 H, 1.49 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.87 FPts
2. Bobby Witt Jr.: 4.29 PA, 1.08 H, 1.84 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.22 SB, 8.72 FPts
3. Salvador Perez: 4.16 PA, 1.02 H, 1.83 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.0 SB, 7.17 FPts
4. MJ Melendez: 4.11 PA, 0.87 H, 1.53 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.17 FPts
5. Maikel Garcia: 4.0 PA, 0.95 H, 1.43 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.16 SB, 7.51 FPts
6. Kyle Isbel: 3.77 PA, 0.85 H, 1.33 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.11 SB, 6.18 FPts
7. Matt Duffy: 3.65 PA, 0.92 H, 1.25 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.04 SB, 5.56 FPts
8. Drew Waters: 3.67 PA, 0.8 H, 1.45 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.5 FPts
9. Samad Taylor: 3.43 PA, 0.68 H, 1.0 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.16 SB, 5.53 FPts
Best Bets
Myles Straw CLE - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-210.0) - 0.084 value
Amed Rosario CLE - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-115.0) - 0.059 value
Zack Greinke KC - ER Allowed Under 2.5 (-105.0) - 0.056 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Jose Ramirez (CLE) 3B $5600: 9.11 Proj, 1.19 Score
Josh Naylor (CLE) 1B $4000: 8.36 Proj, 1.11 Score
Maikel Garcia (KC) 3B $3000: 7.51 Proj, 1.07 Score
Josh Bell (CLE) 1B $2900: 7.21 Proj, 1.07 Score
Will Brennan (CLE) OF $2500: 6.8 Proj, 1.07 Score
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