I’m making this whole thing free today, and we’re going to go real into it. Let’s start with some DFS analysis!
We have Coors and Great American Ballpark on the slate tonight, so that makes it a pretty clear place to go for cash game lineups, but it opens up some opportunities to differentiate in tournaments as the field flocks to those spots.
The O/U’s on those two games are both 11.5, which is crazy high. However, if you look at the team implied totals, the Blue Jays and Padres are actually 3 and 4, so there ya go - there’s your smart but potentially under-owned stacks right there!
As far as fantasy points go, the Braves in Cincy and the Angels in Colorado are far and away the top offenses, here are the top and bottom five from my projection model.
ATL (vs. Luke Weaver): 84.92 Projected Points
LAA (vs. Kyle Freeland): 80.71 Projected Points
TOR (vs. James Kaprielian): 76.73 Projected Points
CIN (vs. AJ Smith-Shawver): 73.0 Projected Points
SD (vs. Patrick Corbin): 72.98 Projected Points
DET (vs. Kenta Maeda): 52.38 Projected Points
PIT (vs. Jesus Luzardo): 56.39 Projected Points
WSH (vs. Joe Musgrove): 57.98 Projected Points
KC (vs. Zach Eflin): 59.02 Projected Points
ARI (vs. Logan Webb): 60.62 Projected Points
I like to also just look at the projections on each lineup’s top five, since that’s typically what you’re doing when you’re stacking a lineup.
Again, Braves & Angels - but the Blue Jays, Padres, and Astros are the clear second tier there.
Let’s look at the max projections and then we’ll get into position-by-position stuff. This is a list of players that are projecting for their season-max fantasy point total in my model today. To explain it more, Acuna’s previous season max daily projection was 12.29 points. But today, he’s projecting for 12.61 points - a new max. These are fantastic guys to target in DFS since their prices are likely not at the season max despite the model thinking it’s the best spot they’ve been in.
Players with their highest projection of the season coming today
Joey Wentz: 12.61 Today, 12.36 Previous Max
Ronald Acuna Jr.: 12.61 Today, 12.29 Previous Max
Shohei Ohtani: 11.52 Today, 10.68 Previous Max
Kyle Tucker: 10.29 Today, 10.18 Previous Max
Brandon Drury: 10.06 Today, 8.31 Previous Max
Ozzie Albies: 9.94 Today, 9.62 Previous Max
Austin Riley: 9.81 Today, 9.5 Previous Max
Taylor Ward: 9.81 Today, 9.59 Previous Max
Yainer Diaz: 9.52 Today, 9.23 Previous Max
Marcell Ozuna: 9.33 Today, 8.01 Previous Max
Brandon Belt: 9.22 Today, 8.93 Previous Max
Michael Harris II: 8.69 Today, 8.54 Previous Max
Eddie Rosario: 8.51 Today, 8.12 Previous Max
Travis d'Arnaud: 8.04 Today, 7.98 Previous Max
Jesus Sanchez: 7.93 Today, 7.51 Previous Max
Orlando Arcia: 7.88 Today, 7.64 Previous Max
Chad Wallach: 7.0 Today, 6.0 Previous Max
Weather note: There could be some rain in NYY/BAL/WSH, so keep a close eye on that as we get close to lock.
It’s a pretty wild day for SP. No pitcher projects above 18 points and I’m not sure that has happened all year.
The top projections belong to Lucas Giolito (vs. BOS) and Kodai Senga (vs. PHI), and neither of those two inspires much confidence - so this is a pretty tough slate for pitching. I’m going to kind of shoot from the hip here and do this more just from my own brain rather than projection system.
Shane Bieber ($9,400) vs. Brewers
I think $9,400 is too much for Bieber, but we’re really lacking in options tonight. Bieber has still shown some ceiling, going over 30 points twice, and he’s been in single digits just three times this year, so there’s a moderate floor here.
If pitching is bad as expected tonight, getting 15 points from Bieber could be quite good - and the Brewers do strike out a lot (even against righties, they’re 4th-worst in the league).
Brayan Bello ($8,400) vs. White Sox
The White Sox are the 7th-best matchup this year for SPs, and Bello seems to be improving as we move forward this year. However, the 14.4% K-BB% for the year is lower than we like. That said, the best K-BB% we can find on this slate is Logan Webb at 19.6%, and nobody else is above 18% - so again, there’s a real lack of options to be confident in here. I think Bello has a nice ceiling with his SwStr% ability and the GB% - it could be a very nice start for him, and the pitch counts have been in the high 90’s lately - an added bonus.
Chris Bassitt ($9,200) vs. Oakland
Hard to pull the trigger on Bassitt given his 20.4% K% this year and the fact that he’s been getting smacked around a lot. He has scored zero or fewer points in three of his last five starts, but there’s also a 36 and a 26 in those last five - so it’s been a wild ride.
This matchup is obviously fantastic, and he has a great shot at the win bonus, so we should probably lean toward playing him.
Joe Musgrove ($8,800) vs. Nationals
He doesn’t project for many strikeouts (4.8) tonight, but the Nats can be had in terms of getting a lot of outs and a win against them. I don’t think I’m going to go there with Musgroe, because seriously I think he probably only strikes out 3 or 4 tonight, and that is a killer on DraftKings, but I could see going here for a moderate floor on a slate without much of that.
Cash Game Pool:
Giolito, Bassitt, Bello, Bieber
Tournament Pool:
Senga, Gilbert, Bassitt, Bello, Bieber, Sheehan
Yainer Diaz $3,000 vs. Emmet Sheehan
Danny Jansen $3,400 vs. James Kaprielian
Gary Sanchez $4,000 vs. Patrick Corbin
Elias Diaz $4,200 vs. Patrick Sandoval
The model has been loving Yainer Diaz all year because he absolutely murdered in the minors and his Major League stats have been pretty strong as well. He’s been on a fantastic run lately, so if he’s in the lineup - I think he’s the clear play at catcher. Danny Jansen is the other guy with massive upside here against Kap, and the price is right - but he might not be in the lineup either.
Brandon Belt $2,500 vs. James Kaprielian
Shohei Ohtani $6,700 vs. Kyle Freeland
Kevin Padlo $2,400 vs. Kyle Freeland
Brandon Drury $5,000 vs. Kyle Freeland
Nelson Cruz $2,400 vs. Patrick Corbin
Vlad Guerrero Jr. $5,400 vs. James Kaprielian
Lots of options here. Three Angels are eligible to be played at 1B. The price is pretty absurd on Ohtani, and he is worse against lefties (.795 OPS, 28% K% last two seasons), so that’s probably a cash fade but a GPP play.
Kevin Padlo is projected to be in the lineup and he posted a .950 OPS with a 23% K% in AAA this year. He’s homered once every 19 PAs and has added 6 steals, so he’s been awesome at scoring fantasy points. Freeland is a better pitcher than what he’s been seeing in the minors, but he’s a very reasonable punt play. The other cheap option would be Cruz for very cheap against Corbin who can still give up the long ball.
Brandon Drury $5,000 vs. Kyle Freeland
Jose Altuve $4,900 vs. Emmet Sheehan
Thairo Estrda $5,200 vs. Zach Davies
Luis Rengifo $2,900 vs. Kyle Freeland
There’s actually not a ton to like at second base here. We don’t know much about Sheehan, he could be good - and Altuve hasn’t been good, so I don’t love paying that price for him. It feels weird to play Estrada at $5,200 tonight although the Giants do have a nice matchup against Davies. Maybe Drury is the play in Coors.
Kevin Padlo $2,400 vs. Kyle Freeland
Jose Ramirez $5,400 vs. Wade Miley
Manny Machado $5,300 vs. Patrick Corbin
Luis Rengifo $2,900 vs. Kyle Freeland
Matt Chapman $5,000 vs. James Kaprielian
Another spot with no real standout plays. Padlo appears again, and we have pretty great spots for Machado and Chapman - so they might be worth paying up for given their likely low ownership.
David Hamilton $2,000 vs. Lucas Giolito
Bo Bichette $5,500 vs. James Kaprielian
Mookie Betts $6,300 vs. J.P. France
Francisco Lindor $4,500 vs. Taijuan Walker
Hamilton might be in the lineup for the Red Sox tonight. He’s stolen 27 bases in the minors this year with a crazy high 58% SB attempt rate. A hit and a steal would get you eight points and that would be pretty great for $2,000.
Other than that, Betts and Bichette make pretty appealing pay-up options, and Lindor is sneaky down at $4,500 despite the fact that he’s been barreling the ball a ton lately. The floor has been very low with him, but his 11.5% Brl% for the year is way up there and he’s running a 20% clip this month.
Fernando Tatis Jr. $6,600 vs. Patrick Corbin
Shohei Ohtani $6,700 vs. Kyle Freeland
Mike Trout $6,500 vs. Kyle Freeland
Kyle Tucker $5,200 vs. Emmet Sheehan
Taylor Ward $4,400 vs. Kyle Freeland
Seth Brown $2,600 vs. Chris Bassitt
Starling Marte $3,700 vs. Taijuan Walker
Esteury Ruiz $3,300 vs. Chris Bassitt
Juan Soto $5,900 vs. Patrick Corbin
George Springer $5,100 vs. James Kaprielian
Brandon Belt $2,500 vs. James Kaprielian
You probably want to save some money to spend in the outfield, it would seem! Not a ton of great cheap options.
Here’s a lineup that I just put together after writing all of this:
SP Bassitt $9,200
SP Bello $8,400
C Diaz $3,000
1B Belt $2,500
2B Drury $5,000
3B Padlo $2,400
SS Hamilton $2,000
OF Tatis Jr. $6,600
OF Trout $6,500
OF Ward $4,400
I think my model works best for player props that increment by only one, since that’s where the Poisson distribution stuff actually works. My model also isn’t particularly coded for projecting game totals and winners and stuff, so I’m staying away from there. So our best bets today looking at just
Strikeout props
Walk props
One hit props
Homer props
Steals props
Run scored props
Shane Bieber under 5.5 strikeouts (+110)
I mean he has a 17.5% K% this year, so I think positive odds on him to be at five or less is pretty strong.
Logan Gilbert over 4.5 strikeouts (-125)
Kyle Freeland over 3.5 strikeouts (+110)
Luis L. Ortiz over 2.5 walks (+150)
No matter who you are, it’s never super likely that you’ll walk three hitters. The 2.5 lines are pretty rare to see, but for +150 I think we’ve got something here. The walk rate is near 12% for Ortiz, he’s just not someone with command of the baseball. But he does tend to pitch well enough to stay in the game past the fifth inning, so that can help us here against the Marlins.
James Kaprielian over 1.5 walks (-145)
And now on to the game-by-game automated previews. They’re all free for everybody, so you get the full projections free today - but please consider becoming a paid member if you like this and want this full post several times a week (I’ve been getting it out every Monday, Tuesday, and Friday - but have been spotty on Wednesdays/Thursdays/weekends). But the full projections are in the Google sheets and Tableau dashboard every day, so you won’t miss out on that if you sub now. Thanks!
TB 4.38 - KC 3.76
TB 53.7% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.0
Projected Total: 8.14
Zach Eflin: 13 GS, 1113 Pitches, 25.5 K%, 4.3 BB%, 11.4 SwStr%, 48.0 Strike%, 33.1 Ball%, 53.1 GB%, 9 Brl%
Zack Greinke: 15 GS, 1191 Pitches, 18.1 K%, 3.2 BB%, 9.0 SwStr%, 45.3 Strike%, 34.1 Ball%, 42.7 GB%, 9 Brl%
Zach Eflin (TB): 93 Pitches 5.72 IP, 5.4 H, 2.5 ER, 6.0 K, 1.2 BB, 17.3 FPts
Zack Greinke (KC): 84 Pitches 5.06 IP, 5.5 H, 2.5 ER, 3.7 K, 1.0 BB, 10.11 FPts
Zach Eflin - 5.5 strikeouts
Zack Greinke - 3.5 strikeouts
1. Nick Pratto: 4.29 PA, 0.81 H, 1.42 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.47 FPts
2. Bobby Witt Jr.: 4.24 PA, 1.01 H, 1.8 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.19 SB, 8.23 FPts
3. Salvador Perez: 4.11 PA, 0.95 H, 1.78 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.0 SB, 6.91 FPts
4. MJ Melendez: 4.06 PA, 0.84 H, 1.57 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.12 FPts
5. Edward Olivares: 3.93 PA, 0.96 H, 1.57 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.81 FPts
6. Maikel Garcia: 3.85 PA, 0.89 H, 1.4 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.14 SB, 7.0 FPts
7. Nicky Lopez: 3.68 PA, 0.87 H, 1.17 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.13 SB, 5.89 FPts
8. Samad Taylor: 3.62 PA, 0.67 H, 1.02 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.15 SB, 5.52 FPts
9. Drew Waters: 3.38 PA, 0.64 H, 1.09 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.08 SB, 5.07 FPts
1. Yandy Diaz: 4.38 PA, 1.15 H, 1.81 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.21 FPts
2. Luke Raley: 4.18 PA, 0.99 H, 1.94 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.06 SB, 8.39 FPts
3. Randy Arozarena: 4.23 PA, 1.03 H, 1.8 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.17 SB, 8.99 FPts
4. Isaac Paredes: 4.04 PA, 0.84 H, 1.39 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.0 SB, 6.46 FPts
5. Josh Lowe: 3.95 PA, 0.95 H, 1.62 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.17 SB, 7.84 FPts
6. Taylor Walls: 3.9 PA, 0.71 H, 1.17 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.14 SB, 6.39 FPts
7. Manuel Margot: 3.79 PA, 0.96 H, 1.46 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.11 SB, 6.8 FPts
8. Vidal Brujan: 3.65 PA, 0.66 H, 0.96 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.15 SB, 5.15 FPts
9. Christian Bethancourt: 3.37 PA, 0.79 H, 1.41 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.74 FPts
KC - MoneyLine (+220.0) - 0.151 value
Christian Bethancourt TB - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-165.0) - 0.078 value
Zack Greinke KC - ER Allowed Under 3.5 (-160.0) - 0.072 value
Josh Lowe TB - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-120.0) - 0.069 value
Josh Lowe TB - Runs Scored Under 0.5 (-115.0) - 0.054 value
Game not on slate
MIN 4.84 - DET 3.18
MIN 60.4% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.0
Projected Total: 8.02
Kenta Maeda: 4 GS, 262 Pitches, 19.2 K%, 4.1 BB%, 11.8 SwStr%, 43.5 Strike%, 35.1 Ball%, 32.1 GB%, 9 Brl%
Joey Wentz: 13 GS, 1103 Pitches, 20.5 K%, 9.0 BB%, 11.8 SwStr%, 45.6 Strike%, 36.6 Ball%, 38.8 GB%, 11 Brl%
Kenta Maeda (MIN): 80 Pitches 5.12 IP, 4.4 H, 2.1 ER, 5.7 K, 1.3 BB, 15.89 FPts
Joey Wentz (DET): 93 Pitches 5.6 IP, 5.8 H, 2.8 ER, 4.7 K, 1.8 BB, 12.61 FPts
Kenta Maeda - 4.5 strikeouts
Joey Wentz - 4.5 strikeouts
1. Donovan Solano: 4.44 PA, 1.17 H, 1.83 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.01 SB, 8.03 FPts
2. Carlos Correa: 4.37 PA, 1.01 H, 1.76 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.0 SB, 8.35 FPts
3. Byron Buxton: 4.19 PA, 0.93 H, 1.92 TB, 0.25 HR, 0.12 SB, 9.16 FPts
4. Kyle Farmer: 4.18 PA, 1.06 H, 1.7 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.77 FPts
5. Royce Lewis: 4.0 PA, 0.94 H, 1.57 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.17 SB, 8.03 FPts
6. Alex Kirilloff: 3.77 PA, 0.9 H, 1.42 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.4 FPts
7. Willi Castro: 3.86 PA, 0.95 H, 1.51 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.14 SB, 7.16 FPts
8. Christian Vazquez: 3.7 PA, 0.93 H, 1.37 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.28 FPts
9. Michael A. Taylor: 3.4 PA, 0.74 H, 1.25 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.08 FPts
1. Zach McKinstry: 4.28 PA, 0.85 H, 1.42 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.7 FPts
2. Spencer Torkelson: 4.31 PA, 0.85 H, 1.4 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.27 FPts
3. Kerry Carpenter: 4.16 PA, 0.94 H, 1.64 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.98 FPts
4. Javier Baez: 4.03 PA, 0.82 H, 1.28 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.09 SB, 5.82 FPts
5. Nick Maton: 3.8 PA, 0.66 H, 1.08 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.43 FPts
6. Andy Ibanez: 3.73 PA, 0.9 H, 1.49 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.11 FPts
7. Matt Vierling: 3.68 PA, 0.84 H, 1.29 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.08 SB, 5.78 FPts
8. Jake Rogers: 3.56 PA, 0.61 H, 1.14 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.09 FPts
9. Jake Marisnick: 3.13 PA, 0.57 H, 0.91 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.07 SB, 4.2 FPts
Kenta Maeda MIN - Strikeouts Over 4.5 (-125.0) - 0.111 value
Javier Baez DET - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-185.0) - 0.077 value
Zach McKinstry DET - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-160.0) - 0.068 value
Royce Lewis MIN - One SB Over 0.5 (+950.0) - 0.061 value
Game not on slate
ATL 7.06 - CIN 5.64
ATL 55.6% To Win
Vegas O/U: 11.0
Projected Total: 12.7
AJ Smith-Shawver: 2 GS, 224 Pitches, 21.2 K%, 7.7 BB%, 11.6 SwStr%, 43.8 Strike%, 39.7 Ball%, 40.5 GB%, 5 Brl%
Luke Weaver: 11 GS, 992 Pitches, 19.5 K%, 6.6 BB%, 10.3 SwStr%, 46.4 Strike%, 34.8 Ball%, 36.9 GB%, 11 Brl%
AJ Smith-Shawver (ATL): 95 Pitches 5.33 IP, 4.7 H, 2.8 ER, 5.6 K, 2.8 BB, 13.91 FPts
Luke Weaver (CIN): 93 Pitches 5.43 IP, 6.3 H, 3.3 ER, 5.0 K, 1.6 BB, 11.37 FPts
AJ Smith-Shawver - 4.5 strikeouts
Luke Weaver - 3.5 strikeouts
1. Ronald Acuna Jr.: 4.75 PA, 1.25 H, 2.29 TB, 0.25 HR, 0.32 SB, 12.61 FPts
2. Ozzie Albies: 4.64 PA, 1.14 H, 2.03 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.12 SB, 9.94 FPts
3. Austin Riley: 4.55 PA, 1.14 H, 2.1 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.01 SB, 9.81 FPts
4. Marcell Ozuna: 4.39 PA, 1.0 H, 2.02 TB, 0.27 HR, 0.01 SB, 9.33 FPts
5. Matt Olson: 4.35 PA, 0.95 H, 2.03 TB, 0.28 HR, 0.01 SB, 10.11 FPts
6. Travis d'Arnaud: 4.2 PA, 1.01 H, 1.82 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.0 SB, 8.04 FPts
7. Eddie Rosario: 3.96 PA, 0.99 H, 1.83 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.08 SB, 8.51 FPts
8. Orlando Arcia: 3.94 PA, 0.99 H, 1.67 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.88 FPts
9. Michael Harris II: 3.68 PA, 0.99 H, 1.79 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.14 SB, 8.69 FPts
1. TJ Friedl: 4.48 PA, 1.08 H, 1.64 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.13 SB, 8.61 FPts
2. Matt McLain: 4.47 PA, 0.99 H, 1.73 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.15 SB, 9.14 FPts
3. Jonathan India: 4.28 PA, 0.95 H, 1.58 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.08 SB, 8.17 FPts
4. Elly De La Cruz: 4.27 PA, 0.82 H, 1.63 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.17 SB, 8.95 FPts
5. Jake Fraley: 4.12 PA, 0.82 H, 1.45 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.18 SB, 8.92 FPts
6. Joey Votto: 4.06 PA, 0.84 H, 1.63 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.0 SB, 8.18 FPts
7. Spencer Steer: 3.95 PA, 0.85 H, 1.44 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.2 FPts
8. Will Benson: 3.61 PA, 0.68 H, 1.29 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.1 SB, 7.38 FPts
9. Tyler Stephenson: 3.48 PA, 0.82 H, 1.35 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.45 FPts
Luke Weaver CIN - Strikeouts Over 3.5 (-140.0) - 0.145 value
AJ Smith-Shawver ATL - Strikeouts Over 4.5 (-130.0) - 0.097 value
AJ Smith-Shawver ATL - Walks Over 2.5 (+115.0) - 0.075 value
Elly De La Cruz CIN - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-140.0) - 0.067 value
Game not on slate
MIA 4.84 - PIT 3.64
MIA 57.1% To Win
Vegas O/U: 7.51
Projected Total: 8.48
Jesus Luzardo: 15 GS, 1415 Pitches, 27.0 K%, 6.0 BB%, 14.8 SwStr%, 48.6 Strike%, 35.1 Ball%, 40.9 GB%, 12 Brl%
Luis L. Ortiz: 7 GS, 646 Pitches, 15.1 K%, 11.6 BB%, 10.4 SwStr%, 41.3 Strike%, 39.2 Ball%, 50.0 GB%, 13 Brl%
Jesus Luzardo (MIA): 88 Pitches 5.64 IP, 4.7 H, 2.4 ER, 6.2 K, 2.0 BB, 17.24 FPts
Luis Ortiz (PIT): 91 Pitches 5.6 IP, 5.8 H, 3.0 ER, 4.4 K, 2.7 BB, 10.93 FPts
Jesus Luzardo - 6.5 strikeouts
Luis Ortiz - 3.5 strikeouts
1. Ke'Bryan Hayes: 4.34 PA, 1.02 H, 1.51 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.15 SB, 7.28 FPts
2. Andrew McCutchen: 4.25 PA, 0.85 H, 1.44 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.07 SB, 7.18 FPts
3. Connor Joe: 4.17 PA, 0.9 H, 1.5 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.32 FPts
4. Carlos Santana: 4.09 PA, 0.85 H, 1.37 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.63 FPts
5. Rodolfo Castro: 3.92 PA, 0.85 H, 1.45 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.53 FPts
6. Jack Suwinski: 3.82 PA, 0.63 H, 1.27 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.19 FPts
7. Henry Davis: 3.76 PA, 0.78 H, 1.39 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.57 FPts
8. Tucupita Marcano: 3.55 PA, 0.73 H, 1.14 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.05 SB, 5.11 FPts
9. Austin Hedges: 3.2 PA, 0.54 H, 0.79 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.01 SB, 3.58 FPts
1. Luis Arraez: 4.32 PA, 1.26 H, 1.8 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.04 SB, 8.45 FPts
2. Jorge Soler: 4.26 PA, 0.91 H, 1.89 TB, 0.25 HR, 0.01 SB, 8.94 FPts
3. Bryan De La Cruz: 4.12 PA, 1.07 H, 1.78 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.04 SB, 8.11 FPts
4. Jesus Sanchez: 3.93 PA, 0.9 H, 1.67 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.93 FPts
5. Garrett Cooper: 3.91 PA, 0.9 H, 1.52 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.22 FPts
6. Jon Berti: 3.8 PA, 0.84 H, 1.24 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.3 SB, 8.0 FPts
7. Joey Wendle: 3.68 PA, 0.94 H, 1.41 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.1 SB, 6.69 FPts
8. Nick Fortes: 3.63 PA, 0.82 H, 1.28 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.33 FPts
9. Jonathan Davis: 3.23 PA, 0.62 H, 0.9 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.14 SB, 5.78 FPts
Luis Ortiz PIT - Walks Over 2.5 (+150.0) - 0.104 value
Jon Berti MIA - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-200.0) - 0.059 value
Jack Suwinski PIT - One HR Over 0.5 (+850.0) - 0.051 value
PIT - MoneyLine (+164.0) - 0.05 value
Game not on slate
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SEA 5.1 - BAL 4.38
SEA 53.7% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.5
Projected Total: 9.48
Logan Gilbert: 14 GS, 1208 Pitches, 26.0 K%, 5.0 BB%, 13.0 SwStr%, 48.8 Strike%, 32.9 Ball%, 42.3 GB%, 10 Brl%
Kyle Gibson: 15 GS, 1380 Pitches, 17.7 K%, 7.3 BB%, 10.4 SwStr%, 42.6 Strike%, 37.5 Ball%, 45.3 GB%, 8 Brl%
Logan Gilbert (SEA): 92 Pitches 5.67 IP, 5.6 H, 2.6 ER, 5.8 K, 1.6 BB, 15.38 FPts
Kyle Gibson (BAL): 93 Pitches 5.61 IP, 5.8 H, 2.8 ER, 5.1 K, 1.8 BB, 13.28 FPts
Logan Gilbert - 4.5 strikeouts
Kyle Gibson - 4.5 strikeouts
1. J.P. Crawford: 4.56 PA, 1.12 H, 1.58 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.9 FPts
2. Julio Rodriguez: 4.47 PA, 1.12 H, 1.95 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.21 SB, 9.72 FPts
3. Ty France: 4.38 PA, 1.14 H, 1.69 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.0 SB, 7.64 FPts
4. Teoscar Hernandez: 4.3 PA, 1.06 H, 1.87 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.07 SB, 8.49 FPts
5. Jarred Kelenic: 4.13 PA, 0.91 H, 1.67 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.11 SB, 8.27 FPts
6. Eugenio Suarez: 4.09 PA, 0.82 H, 1.46 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.97 FPts
7. Cal Raleigh: 3.93 PA, 0.85 H, 1.68 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.43 FPts
8. Mike Ford: 3.66 PA, 0.69 H, 1.24 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.04 FPts
9. Jose Caballero: 3.55 PA, 0.8 H, 1.29 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.0 SB, 6.12 FPts
1. Gunnar Henderson: 4.53 PA, 0.96 H, 1.72 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.08 SB, 8.19 FPts
2. Adley Rutschman: 4.5 PA, 1.05 H, 1.74 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.26 FPts
3. Anthony Santander: 4.41 PA, 1.02 H, 1.92 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.01 SB, 8.1 FPts
4. Ryan O'Hearn: 4.06 PA, 0.97 H, 1.63 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.0 SB, 6.81 FPts
5. Austin Hays: 4.14 PA, 0.99 H, 1.64 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.02 FPts
6. Aaron Hicks: 4.02 PA, 0.82 H, 1.31 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.07 SB, 6.57 FPts
7. Adam Frazier: 3.87 PA, 0.99 H, 1.39 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.48 FPts
8. Ramon Urias: 3.79 PA, 0.85 H, 1.37 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.97 FPts
9. Jorge Mateo: 3.5 PA, 0.69 H, 1.1 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.25 SB, 6.13 FPts
Logan Gilbert SEA - Strikeouts Over 4.5 (-125.0) - 0.126 value
Logan Gilbert SEA - Walks Over 1.5 (+135.0) - 0.052 value
Teoscar Hernandez (SEA) OF $3500: 8.49 Proj, 1.23 Score
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) OF $5400: 9.72 Proj, 1.16 Score
J.P. Crawford (SEA) SS $3300: 7.9 Proj, 1.03 Score
Ty France (SEA) 1B $3600: 7.64 Proj, 1.01 Score
Jarred Kelenic (SEA) OF $4600: 8.27 Proj, 0.99 Score
NYM 5.24 - PHI 4.62
NYM 53.1% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.5
Projected Total: 9.86
Kodai Senga: 13 GS, 1222 Pitches, 28.3 K%, 13.4 BB%, 13.0 SwStr%, 45.3 Strike%, 40.1 Ball%, 46.1 GB%, 7 Brl%
Taijuan Walker: 15 GS, 1253 Pitches, 20.6 K%, 9.7 BB%, 9.7 SwStr%, 44.2 Strike%, 38.1 Ball%, 47.3 GB%, 8 Brl%
Kodai Senga (NYM): 95 Pitches 5.87 IP, 4.9 H, 2.8 ER, 6.8 K, 3.1 BB, 17.17 FPts
Taijuan Walker (PHI): 90 Pitches 5.65 IP, 5.6 H, 2.9 ER, 4.5 K, 2.4 BB, 11.71 FPts
Kodai Senga - 6.5 strikeouts
Taijuan Walker - 4.5 strikeouts
1. Brandon Nimmo: 4.44 PA, 1.04 H, 1.67 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.56 FPts
2. Starling Marte: 4.31 PA, 1.07 H, 1.63 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.3 SB, 9.24 FPts
3. Francisco Lindor: 4.26 PA, 0.94 H, 1.67 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.11 SB, 8.68 FPts
4. Pete Alonso: 4.17 PA, 0.98 H, 1.91 TB, 0.24 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.77 FPts
5. Tommy Pham: 3.99 PA, 0.8 H, 1.36 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.1 SB, 7.44 FPts
6. Jeff McNeil: 3.93 PA, 1.05 H, 1.49 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.1 FPts
7. Daniel Vogelbach: 3.69 PA, 0.69 H, 1.21 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.0 SB, 6.76 FPts
8. Brett Baty: 3.74 PA, 0.82 H, 1.33 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.58 FPts
9. Francisco Alvarez: 3.49 PA, 0.7 H, 1.36 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.32 FPts
1. Kyle Schwarber: 4.63 PA, 0.72 H, 1.59 TB, 0.24 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.96 FPts
2. Trea Turner: 4.45 PA, 0.99 H, 1.56 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.21 SB, 8.41 FPts
3. Nick Castellanos: 4.36 PA, 0.95 H, 1.57 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.37 FPts
4. Bryce Harper: 4.26 PA, 0.9 H, 1.59 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.13 SB, 9.13 FPts
5. J.T. Realmuto: 4.14 PA, 0.89 H, 1.56 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.15 SB, 8.07 FPts
6. Bryson Stott: 4.01 PA, 0.9 H, 1.33 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.11 SB, 6.86 FPts
7. Alec Bohm: 3.94 PA, 0.84 H, 1.26 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.88 FPts
8. Kody Clemens: 3.64 PA, 0.67 H, 1.1 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.34 FPts
9. Brandon Marsh: 3.45 PA, 0.64 H, 1.0 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.08 SB, 5.48 FPts
Alec Bohm PHI - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-185.0) - 0.077 value
Trea Turner PHI - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-125.0) - 0.076 value
Kodai Senga NYM - Strikeouts Over 6.5 (+120.0) - 0.062 value
Starling Marte (NYM) OF $3700: 9.24 Proj, 1.24 Score
Francisco Lindor (NYM) SS $4500: 8.68 Proj, 1.12 Score
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) OF $5600: 8.96 Proj, 1.07 Score
Daniel Vogelbach (NYM) 1B $2200: 6.76 Proj, 1.06 Score
Pete Alonso (NYM) 1B $5100: 8.77 Proj, 1.06 Score
NYY 4.66 - TEX 4.46
NYY 51.0% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.5
Projected Total: 9.12
Clarke Schmidt: 15 GS, 1238 Pitches, 23.3 K%, 7.0 BB%, 11.2 SwStr%, 48.6 Strike%, 34.0 Ball%, 44.2 GB%, 9 Brl%
Dane Dunning: 8 GS, 1009 Pitches, 14.6 K%, 7.1 BB%, 9.0 SwStr%, 44.3 Strike%, 35.4 Ball%, 46.8 GB%, 7 Brl%
Clarke Schmidt (NYY): 85 Pitches 5.21 IP, 5.1 H, 2.5 ER, 5.1 K, 1.6 BB, 13.58 FPts
Dane Dunning (TEX): 92 Pitches 5.61 IP, 5.8 H, 3.0 ER, 4.3 K, 2.0 BB, 11.13 FPts
Clarke Schmidt - 5.5 strikeouts
Dane Dunning - Prop Not Found
1. Marcus Semien: 4.4 PA, 0.98 H, 1.61 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.14 SB, 7.87 FPts
2. Corey Seager: 4.31 PA, 1.09 H, 2.06 TB, 0.24 HR, 0.02 SB, 9.11 FPts
3. Nathaniel Lowe: 4.21 PA, 1.0 H, 1.64 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.75 FPts
4. Adolis Garcia: 4.12 PA, 0.9 H, 1.62 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.15 SB, 8.04 FPts
5. Josh Jung: 3.98 PA, 0.87 H, 1.53 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.69 FPts
6. Jonah Heim: 3.93 PA, 0.82 H, 1.42 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.36 FPts
7. Mitch Garver: 3.82 PA, 0.72 H, 1.38 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.55 FPts
8. Ezequiel Duran: 3.61 PA, 0.86 H, 1.41 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.07 SB, 6.23 FPts
9. Leody Taveras: 3.41 PA, 0.77 H, 1.19 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.11 SB, 5.84 FPts
1. Jake Bauers: 4.23 PA, 0.91 H, 1.6 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.1 SB, 7.93 FPts
2. Gleyber Torres: 4.32 PA, 1.05 H, 1.7 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.11 SB, 8.19 FPts
3. Anthony Rizzo: 4.22 PA, 0.98 H, 1.84 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.04 SB, 8.59 FPts
4. Giancarlo Stanton: 4.12 PA, 0.95 H, 1.91 TB, 0.27 HR, 0.0 SB, 8.48 FPts
5. Josh Donaldson: 4.0 PA, 0.83 H, 1.54 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.24 FPts
6. Billy McKinney: 3.76 PA, 0.74 H, 1.33 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.16 FPts
7. Harrison Bader: 3.76 PA, 0.92 H, 1.46 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.17 SB, 7.1 FPts
8. Jose Trevino: 3.56 PA, 0.85 H, 1.25 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.38 FPts
9. Anthony Volpe: 3.43 PA, 0.69 H, 1.23 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.14 SB, 6.47 FPts
Jake Bauers (NYY) OF $2700: 7.93 Proj, 1.12 Score
Anthony Rizzo (NYY) 1B $4000: 8.59 Proj, 1.12 Score
Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) OF $4900: 8.48 Proj, 1.05 Score
Josh Donaldson (NYY) 3B $3300: 7.24 Proj, 1.03 Score
Corey Seager (TEX) SS $6400: 9.11 Proj, 1.02 Score
TOR 5.94 - OAK 4.24
TOR 58.3% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.0
Projected Total: 10.18
Chris Bassitt: 14 GS, 1388 Pitches, 20.4 K%, 8.1 BB%, 9.9 SwStr%, 46.6 Strike%, 34.7 Ball%, 43.2 GB%, 10 Brl%
James Kaprielian: 10 GS, 996 Pitches, 19.2 K%, 11.4 BB%, 12.1 SwStr%, 47.5 Strike%, 35.3 Ball%, 32.2 GB%, 7 Brl%
Chris Bassitt (TOR): 86 Pitches 5.39 IP, 4.5 H, 2.5 ER, 5.1 K, 2.1 BB, 14.55 FPts
James Kaprielian (OAK): 86 Pitches 5.17 IP, 5.2 H, 2.8 ER, 4.0 K, 2.3 BB, 9.6 FPts
Chris Bassitt - 5.5 strikeouts
James Kaprielian - 3.5 strikeouts
1. Esteury Ruiz: 4.55 PA, 1.11 H, 1.59 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.33 SB, 8.52 FPts
2. Ryan Noda: 4.37 PA, 0.74 H, 1.38 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.87 FPts
3. Seth Brown: 4.22 PA, 0.89 H, 1.71 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.09 SB, 7.95 FPts
4. Ramon Laureano: 4.14 PA, 0.87 H, 1.53 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.14 SB, 7.49 FPts
5. JJ Bleday: 4.04 PA, 0.71 H, 1.19 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.27 FPts
6. Jace Peterson: 3.86 PA, 0.79 H, 1.24 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.15 SB, 6.78 FPts
7. Shea Langeliers: 3.91 PA, 0.73 H, 1.39 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.81 FPts
8. Tony Kemp: 3.72 PA, 0.82 H, 1.16 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.0 FPts
9. Tyler Wade: 3.23 PA, 0.68 H, 0.94 TB, 0.03 HR, 0.24 SB, 5.83 FPts
1. George Springer: 4.53 PA, 1.07 H, 1.85 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.13 SB, 9.43 FPts
2. Bo Bichette: 4.43 PA, 1.22 H, 2.08 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.12 SB, 9.71 FPts
3. Brandon Belt: 4.21 PA, 0.89 H, 1.73 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.03 SB, 9.22 FPts
4. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: 4.24 PA, 1.07 H, 1.93 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.04 SB, 9.31 FPts
5. Matt Chapman: 4.13 PA, 0.92 H, 1.8 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.9 FPts
6. Daulton Varsho: 4.01 PA, 0.88 H, 1.64 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.14 SB, 8.52 FPts
7. Whit Merrifield: 3.82 PA, 0.9 H, 1.32 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.22 SB, 7.43 FPts
8. Danny Jansen: 3.74 PA, 0.83 H, 1.7 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.79 FPts
9. Kevin Kiermaier: 3.4 PA, 0.78 H, 1.17 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.12 SB, 6.42 FPts
OAK - MoneyLine (+250.0) - 0.131 value
James Kaprielian OAK - Walks Over 1.5 (-145.0) - 0.084 value
Whit Merrifield TOR - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-160.0) - 0.065 value
Brandon Belt (TOR) 1B/OF $2500: 9.22 Proj, 1.55 Score
Seth Brown (OAK) OF $2600: 7.95 Proj, 1.25 Score
Ryan Noda (OAK) 1B $2700: 7.87 Proj, 1.24 Score
Bo Bichette (TOR) SS $5500: 9.71 Proj, 1.21 Score
Danny Jansen (TOR) C $3400: 7.79 Proj, 1.18 Score
CLE 4.4 - MIL 4.14
CLE 51.5% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.0
Projected Total: 8.54
Shane Bieber: 15 GS, 1440 Pitches, 17.5 K%, 6.3 BB%, 10.9 SwStr%, 44.6 Strike%, 34.7 Ball%, 46.3 GB%, 8 Brl%
Wade Miley: 9 GS, 705 Pitches, 14.8 K%, 5.8 BB%, 7.4 SwStr%, 42.1 Strike%, 36.9 Ball%, 42.6 GB%, 10 Brl%
Shane Bieber (CLE): 96 Pitches 5.85 IP, 6.0 H, 2.8 ER, 5.0 K, 1.7 BB, 13.89 FPts
Wade Miley (MIL): 83 Pitches 4.83 IP, 5.3 H, 2.3 ER, 3.0 K, 1.4 BB, 8.73 FPts
Shane Bieber - 5.5 strikeouts
Wade Miley - 2.5 strikeouts
1. Christian Yelich: 4.31 PA, 1.08 H, 1.68 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.15 SB, 8.48 FPts
2. William Contreras: 4.24 PA, 0.96 H, 1.74 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.54 FPts
3. Rowdy Tellez: 4.08 PA, 0.93 H, 1.71 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.28 FPts
4. Willy Adames: 4.0 PA, 0.88 H, 1.6 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.15 FPts
5. Jesse Winker: 3.76 PA, 0.9 H, 1.47 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.0 SB, 6.83 FPts
6. Owen Miller: 3.78 PA, 0.87 H, 1.29 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.04 SB, 5.59 FPts
7. Raimel Tapia: 3.58 PA, 0.95 H, 1.36 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.14 SB, 6.51 FPts
8. Luis Urias: 3.55 PA, 0.79 H, 1.35 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.1 FPts
9. Joey Wiemer: 3.25 PA, 0.72 H, 1.32 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.09 SB, 5.92 FPts
1. Steven Kwan: 4.43 PA, 1.17 H, 1.48 TB, 0.03 HR, 0.14 SB, 7.69 FPts
2. Amed Rosario: 4.34 PA, 1.15 H, 1.66 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.13 SB, 7.77 FPts
3. Jose Ramirez: 4.24 PA, 1.09 H, 1.91 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.16 SB, 9.21 FPts
4. Josh Naylor: 4.16 PA, 1.04 H, 1.66 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.49 FPts
5. Josh Bell: 4.03 PA, 0.97 H, 1.6 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.53 FPts
6. Andres Gimenez: 3.89 PA, 0.99 H, 1.45 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.15 SB, 7.12 FPts
7. Gabriel Arias: 3.77 PA, 0.75 H, 1.18 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.5 FPts
8. David Fry: 3.7 PA, 0.89 H, 1.55 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.58 FPts
9. Myles Straw: 3.45 PA, 0.82 H, 1.05 TB, 0.02 HR, 0.17 SB, 6.02 FPts
Shane Bieber CLE - Strikeouts Under 5.5 (+110.0) - 0.14 value
William Contreras MIL - Runs Scored Over 0.5 (+155.0) - 0.059 value
Jose Ramirez (CLE) 3B $5400: 9.21 Proj, 1.15 Score
Josh Bell (CLE) 1B $2600: 7.53 Proj, 1.14 Score
Amed Rosario (CLE) SS $3600: 7.77 Proj, 1.02 Score
Josh Naylor (CLE) 1B $3700: 7.49 Proj, 0.99 Score
Jesse Winker (MIL) OF $2600: 6.83 Proj, 0.98 Score
BOS 4.72 - CWS 4.58
BOS 50.7% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.5
Projected Total: 9.3
Lucas Giolito: 15 GS, 1446 Pitches, 24.4 K%, 7.2 BB%, 13.1 SwStr%, 47.2 Strike%, 36.0 Ball%, 33.1 GB%, 10 Brl%
Brayan Bello: 11 GS, 1027 Pitches, 22.2 K%, 7.8 BB%, 12.5 SwStr%, 46.3 Strike%, 36.4 Ball%, 58.4 GB%, 8 Brl%
Lucas Giolito (CWS): 100 Pitches 6.25 IP, 5.7 H, 2.9 ER, 6.5 K, 2.1 BB, 17.23 FPts
Brayan Bello (BOS): 97 Pitches 5.89 IP, 5.8 H, 2.7 ER, 5.2 K, 1.9 BB, 14.39 FPts
Lucas Giolito - 5.5 strikeouts
Brayan Bello - 5.5 strikeouts
1. Jarren Duran: 4.43 PA, 0.97 H, 1.53 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.17 SB, 7.64 FPts
2. Justin Turner: 4.46 PA, 1.05 H, 1.68 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.9 FPts
3. Masataka Yoshida: 4.44 PA, 1.14 H, 1.82 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.04 SB, 8.58 FPts
4. Rafael Devers: 4.26 PA, 1.05 H, 2.01 TB, 0.24 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.93 FPts
5. Adam Duvall: 4.13 PA, 0.79 H, 1.56 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.89 FPts
6. Triston Casas: 4.03 PA, 0.71 H, 1.32 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.13 FPts
7. Christian Arroyo: 3.84 PA, 0.97 H, 1.52 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.58 FPts
8. David Hamilton: 3.83 PA, 0.82 H, 1.3 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.25 SB, 7.56 FPts
9. Connor Wong: 3.36 PA, 0.63 H, 1.13 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.04 SB, 5.2 FPts
1. Andrew Benintendi: 4.6 PA, 1.16 H, 1.57 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.1 SB, 7.77 FPts
2. Tim Anderson: 4.46 PA, 1.22 H, 1.68 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.18 SB, 8.13 FPts
3. Luis Robert: 4.36 PA, 1.08 H, 1.83 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.09 SB, 8.19 FPts
4. Eloy Jimenez: 4.35 PA, 1.06 H, 1.86 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.0 SB, 8.1 FPts
5. Yasmani Grandal: 4.19 PA, 0.81 H, 1.24 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.0 SB, 6.77 FPts
6. Andrew Vaughn: 4.08 PA, 0.98 H, 1.62 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.0 FPts
7. Gavin Sheets: 3.88 PA, 0.88 H, 1.53 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.0 SB, 6.68 FPts
8. Jake Burger: 3.78 PA, 0.87 H, 1.79 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.29 FPts
9. Elvis Andrus: 3.58 PA, 0.81 H, 1.16 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.12 SB, 5.86 FPts
Brayan Bello BOS - Walks Over 1.5 (+105.0) - 0.075 value
Lucas Giolito CWS - Strikeouts Over 5.5 (-125.0) - 0.072 value
David Hamilton (BOS) SS $2000: 7.56 Proj, 1.25 Score
Andrew Benintendi (CWS) OF $2800: 7.77 Proj, 1.13 Score
Gavin Sheets (CWS) OF $2200: 6.68 Proj, 1.12 Score
Masataka Yoshida (BOS) OF $5300: 8.58 Proj, 1.09 Score
Tim Anderson (CWS) SS $4000: 8.13 Proj, 1.09 Score
LAA 6.52 - COL 4.7
LAA 58.1% To Win
Vegas O/U: 11.5
Projected Total: 11.22
Patrick Sandoval: 13 GS, 1220 Pitches, 17.4 K%, 8.7 BB%, 13.1 SwStr%, 44.4 Strike%, 37.1 Ball%, 51.6 GB%, 7 Brl%
Kyle Freeland: 14 GS, 1243 Pitches, 14.6 K%, 6.6 BB%, 8.3 SwStr%, 43.8 Strike%, 35.0 Ball%, 42.8 GB%, 8 Brl%
Patrick Sandoval (LAA): 94 Pitches 5.83 IP, 6.0 H, 2.8 ER, 5.7 K, 1.8 BB, 15.17 FPts
Kyle Freeland (COL): 88 Pitches 5.14 IP, 6.3 H, 3.2 ER, 4.1 K, 1.6 BB, 9.16 FPts
Patrick Sandoval - 4.5 strikeouts
Kyle Freeland - 3.5 strikeouts
1. Taylor Ward: 4.59 PA, 1.18 H, 2.04 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.06 SB, 9.81 FPts
2. Shohei Ohtani: 4.45 PA, 1.16 H, 2.25 TB, 0.26 HR, 0.16 SB, 11.52 FPts
3. Mike Trout: 4.34 PA, 1.13 H, 2.23 TB, 0.27 HR, 0.02 SB, 10.84 FPts
4. Brandon Drury: 4.27 PA, 1.22 H, 2.27 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.02 SB, 10.06 FPts
5. Hunter Renfroe: 4.18 PA, 1.04 H, 1.88 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.68 FPts
6. Kevin Padlo: 4.07 PA, 0.92 H, 1.71 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.08 SB, 8.58 FPts
7. Chad Wallach: 3.72 PA, 0.86 H, 1.51 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.0 FPts
8. Luis Rengifo: 3.74 PA, 0.99 H, 1.58 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.07 SB, 7.38 FPts
9. Andrew Velazquez: 3.28 PA, 0.76 H, 1.3 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.19 SB, 6.84 FPts
1. Jurickson Profar: 4.57 PA, 1.06 H, 1.58 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.07 SB, 8.03 FPts
2. Ezequiel Tovar: 4.46 PA, 1.12 H, 1.79 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.1 SB, 8.07 FPts
3. Ryan McMahon: 4.41 PA, 0.99 H, 1.66 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.06 SB, 8.26 FPts
4. Elias Diaz: 4.33 PA, 1.08 H, 1.79 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.01 SB, 8.04 FPts
5. Randal Grichuk: 4.2 PA, 1.1 H, 1.84 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.87 FPts
6. Jorge Alfaro: 4.0 PA, 0.97 H, 1.64 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.0 FPts
7. Elehuris Montero: 4.06 PA, 0.89 H, 1.47 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.13 FPts
8. Brenton Doyle: 3.78 PA, 0.81 H, 1.32 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.1 SB, 6.51 FPts
9. Coco Montes: 3.6 PA, 0.83 H, 1.34 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.33 FPts
Brenton Doyle COL - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-145.0) - 0.116 value
Kyle Freeland COL - Strikeouts Over 3.5 (+110.0) - 0.112 value
Patrick Sandoval LAA - Strikeouts Over 4.5 (-135.0) - 0.105 value
Hunter Renfroe LAA - Total Bases Under 2.5 (-155.0) - 0.098 value
Luis Rengifo LAA - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-120.0) - 0.081 value
Andrew Velazquez LAA - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-185.0) - 0.069 value
Kyle Freeland COL - ER Allowed Under 3.5 (+110.0) - 0.066 value
Kevin Padlo LAA - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-115.0) - 0.065 value
Coco Montes COL - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-180.0) - 0.059 value
Chad Wallach LAA - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-155.0) - 0.053 value
Shohei Ohtani (LAA) 1B/OF $6700: 11.52 Proj, 1.36 Score
Kevin Padlo (LAA) 1B/3B $2400: 8.58 Proj, 1.31 Score
Mike Trout (LAA) OF $6500: 10.84 Proj, 1.3 Score
Brandon Drury (LAA) 1B/2B $5000: 10.06 Proj, 1.28 Score
Taylor Ward (LAA) OF $4400: 9.81 Proj, 1.27 Score
SD 5.58 - WSH 3.68
SD 60.2% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.5
Projected Total: 9.26
Joe Musgrove: 10 GS, 873 Pitches, 21.0 K%, 6.1 BB%, 12.0 SwStr%, 47.4 Strike%, 33.9 Ball%, 47.9 GB%, 6 Brl%
Patrick Corbin: 15 GS, 1378 Pitches, 14.1 K%, 6.8 BB%, 9.5 SwStr%, 41.0 Strike%, 37.1 Ball%, 46.4 GB%, 8 Brl%
Joe Musgrove (SD): 93 Pitches 5.82 IP, 6.1 H, 2.6 ER, 4.8 K, 1.2 BB, 14.42 FPts
Patrick Corbin (WSH): 90 Pitches 5.28 IP, 5.8 H, 3.0 ER, 3.6 K, 2.1 BB, 8.66 FPts
Joe Musgrove - 4.5 strikeouts
Patrick Corbin - 3.5 strikeouts
1. Lane Thomas: 4.54 PA, 1.0 H, 1.66 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.09 SB, 7.37 FPts
2. Luis Garcia: 4.43 PA, 1.13 H, 1.7 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.02 FPts
3. Jeimer Candelario: 4.32 PA, 0.95 H, 1.56 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.79 FPts
4. Joey Meneses: 4.24 PA, 1.07 H, 1.66 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.91 FPts
5. Corey Dickerson: 3.95 PA, 0.96 H, 1.39 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.18 FPts
6. Keibert Ruiz: 4.01 PA, 1.03 H, 1.68 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.98 FPts
7. Dominic Smith: 3.91 PA, 0.91 H, 1.4 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.04 FPts
8. Derek Hill: 3.56 PA, 0.76 H, 1.07 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.09 SB, 5.14 FPts
9. C.J. Abrams: 3.48 PA, 0.82 H, 1.26 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.1 SB, 5.55 FPts
1. Fernando Tatis Jr.: 4.39 PA, 1.17 H, 2.43 TB, 0.33 HR, 0.24 SB, 11.87 FPts
2. Juan Soto: 4.25 PA, 0.9 H, 1.63 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.06 SB, 9.29 FPts
3. Manny Machado: 4.1 PA, 1.04 H, 1.83 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.07 SB, 8.66 FPts
4. Xander Bogaerts: 4.05 PA, 1.01 H, 1.62 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.07 SB, 8.2 FPts
5. Gary Sanchez: 3.93 PA, 0.87 H, 1.76 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.01 SB, 8.04 FPts
6. Jake Cronenworth: 3.88 PA, 0.83 H, 1.3 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.52 FPts
7. Nelson Cruz: 3.68 PA, 0.89 H, 1.59 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.07 FPts
8. Ha-Seong Kim: 3.59 PA, 0.84 H, 1.3 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.12 SB, 6.88 FPts
9. Trent Grisham: 3.36 PA, 0.69 H, 1.26 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.45 FPts
WSH - MoneyLine (+235.0) - 0.099 value
Joe Musgrove SD - ER Allowed Over 1.5 (-145.0) - 0.068 value
Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) OF $6600: 11.87 Proj, 1.49 Score
Nelson Cruz (SD) 1B $2400: 7.07 Proj, 1.2 Score
Juan Soto (SD) OF $5900: 9.29 Proj, 1.17 Score
Gary Sanchez (SD) C $4000: 8.04 Proj, 1.15 Score
Manny Machado (SD) 3B $5300: 8.66 Proj, 1.14 Score
HOU 5.34 - LAD 5.06
HOU 51.3% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.5
Projected Total: 10.4
J.P. France: 8 GS, 731 Pitches, 19.3 K%, 8.1 BB%, 11.2 SwStr%, 40.8 Strike%, 39.8 Ball%, 45.1 GB%, 8 Brl%
Emmet Sheehan: 1 GS, 89 Pitches, 15.0 K%, 10.0 BB%, 4.5 SwStr%, 40.4 Strike%, 42.7 Ball%, 13.3 GB%, 20 Brl%
J.P. France (HOU): 89 Pitches 5.72 IP, 5.4 H, 2.8 ER, 4.9 K, 2.4 BB, 12.94 FPts
Emmet Sheehan (LAD): 86 Pitches 5.16 IP, 5.2 H, 2.8 ER, 4.8 K, 2.2 BB, 11.76 FPts
J.P. France - 4.5 strikeouts
Emmet Sheehan - 4.5 strikeouts
1. Jose Altuve: 4.48 PA, 1.1 H, 1.92 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.11 SB, 9.59 FPts
2. Alex Bregman: 4.45 PA, 1.02 H, 1.72 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.8 FPts
3. Kyle Tucker: 4.33 PA, 1.06 H, 1.87 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.21 SB, 10.29 FPts
4. Yainer Diaz: 4.32 PA, 1.15 H, 2.26 TB, 0.29 HR, 0.01 SB, 9.52 FPts
5. Jose Abreu: 4.15 PA, 0.96 H, 1.59 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.0 SB, 7.49 FPts
6. Jeremy Pena: 4.04 PA, 0.97 H, 1.62 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.1 SB, 7.51 FPts
7. Corey Julks: 3.95 PA, 0.81 H, 1.31 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.11 SB, 6.66 FPts
8. Jake Meyers: 3.74 PA, 0.8 H, 1.35 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.4 FPts
9. Martin Maldonado: 3.4 PA, 0.55 H, 0.95 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.0 SB, 4.69 FPts
1. Mookie Betts: 4.51 PA, 1.04 H, 1.96 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.09 SB, 9.41 FPts
2. Freddie Freeman: 4.43 PA, 1.13 H, 1.88 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.09 SB, 9.52 FPts
3. Will Smith: 4.37 PA, 0.94 H, 1.62 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.96 FPts
4. Max Muncy: 4.22 PA, 0.76 H, 1.54 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.15 FPts
5. J.D. Martinez: 4.13 PA, 0.94 H, 1.78 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.0 SB, 7.73 FPts
6. David Peralta: 3.87 PA, 0.9 H, 1.44 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.65 FPts
7. Miguel Vargas: 3.92 PA, 0.75 H, 1.33 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.6 FPts
8. James Outman: 3.74 PA, 0.66 H, 1.14 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.06 SB, 5.98 FPts
9. Miguel Rojas: 3.45 PA, 0.82 H, 1.18 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.09 SB, 5.76 FPts
Jose Altuve HOU - Runs Scored Over 0.5 (+110.0) - 0.101 value
Jeremy Pena HOU - Runs Scored Over 0.5 (+185.0) - 0.078 value
Yainer Diaz HOU - Total Bases Over 1.5 (+120.0) - 0.078 value
Yainer Diaz HOU - Runs Scored Over 0.5 (+125.0) - 0.074 value
J.P. France HOU - Strikeouts Over 4.5 (+115.0) - 0.073 value
HOU - MoneyLine (+124.0) - 0.067 value
Yainer Diaz HOU - One HR Over 0.5 (+425.0) - 0.062 value
Alex Bregman HOU - Runs Scored Over 0.5 (+110.0) - 0.061 value
J.P. France HOU - Walks Under 2.5 (-110.0) - 0.056 value
Jose Altuve HOU - Total Bases Over 1.5 (+140.0) - 0.051 value
Jose Abreu HOU - Runs Scored Over 0.5 (+150.0) - 0.051 value
Yainer Diaz (HOU) C $3000: 9.52 Proj, 1.4 Score
Kyle Tucker (HOU) OF $5200: 10.29 Proj, 1.28 Score
Jose Altuve (HOU) 2B $4900: 9.59 Proj, 1.28 Score
Freddie Freeman (LAD) 1B $6200: 9.52 Proj, 1.15 Score
Alex Bregman (HOU) 3B $4500: 8.8 Proj, 1.13 Score
SF 5.0 - ARI 3.96
SF 55.9% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.0
Projected Total: 8.96
Logan Webb: 15 GS, 1462 Pitches, 24.5 K%, 4.8 BB%, 10.9 SwStr%, 48.4 Strike%, 32.9 Ball%, 61.5 GB%, 9 Brl%
Zach Davies: 7 GS, 596 Pitches, 18.8 K%, 9.4 BB%, 9.6 SwStr%, 41.4 Strike%, 40.6 Ball%, 41.1 GB%, 5 Brl%
Logan Webb (SF): 96 Pitches 5.81 IP, 6.1 H, 2.6 ER, 4.8 K, 1.4 BB, 13.85 FPts
Zach Davies (ARI): 88 Pitches 5.37 IP, 5.5 H, 2.8 ER, 4.1 K, 2.6 BB, 10.33 FPts
Logan Webb - 5.5 strikeouts
Zach Davies - 3.5 strikeouts
1. Geraldo Perdomo: 4.37 PA, 0.9 H, 1.21 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.36 FPts
2. Ketel Marte: 4.37 PA, 1.08 H, 1.68 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.7 FPts
3. Corbin Carroll: 4.26 PA, 1.08 H, 1.75 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.22 SB, 8.92 FPts
4. Christian Walker: 4.15 PA, 0.94 H, 1.62 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.15 FPts
5. Lourdes Gurriel Jr.: 4.05 PA, 1.01 H, 1.51 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.45 FPts
6. Emmanuel Rivera: 3.84 PA, 0.89 H, 1.38 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.86 FPts
7. Alek Thomas: 3.76 PA, 0.9 H, 1.3 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.06 SB, 5.76 FPts
8. Gabriel Moreno: 3.74 PA, 1.0 H, 1.37 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.04 SB, 5.95 FPts
9. Jake McCarthy: 3.45 PA, 0.86 H, 1.22 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.2 SB, 6.47 FPts
1. LaMonte Wade Jr.: 4.31 PA, 0.96 H, 1.65 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.5 FPts
2. Thairo Estrada: 4.47 PA, 1.08 H, 1.63 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.17 SB, 8.37 FPts
3. Joc Pederson: 4.09 PA, 0.96 H, 1.69 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.04 SB, 8.33 FPts
4. J.D. Davis: 4.17 PA, 0.94 H, 1.56 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.82 FPts
5. Michael Conforto: 4.11 PA, 0.91 H, 1.54 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.92 FPts
6. Luis Matos: 4.09 PA, 1.05 H, 1.64 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.08 SB, 7.83 FPts
7. Patrick Bailey: 3.79 PA, 0.82 H, 1.42 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.51 FPts
8. Brandon Crawford: 3.69 PA, 0.83 H, 1.26 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.48 FPts
9. Bryce Johnson: 3.45 PA, 0.73 H, 1.17 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.15 SB, 6.42 FPts
Zach Davies ARI - Strikeouts Over 3.5 (+100.0) - 0.088 value
Logan Webb SF - Strikeouts Under 5.5 (-130.0) - 0.081 value
LaMonte Wade Jr. (SF) 1B $4500: 8.5 Proj, 1.1 Score
Thairo Estrada (SF) 2B $5200: 8.37 Proj, 1.1 Score
Luis Matos (SF) OF $3000: 7.83 Proj, 1.08 Score
Michael Conforto (SF) OF $3800: 7.92 Proj, 1.06 Score
J.D. Davis (SF) 3B $4000: 7.82 Proj, 1.05 Score
