DFS & Betting Game Previews - June 4th

An automated report of each game on the MLB slate with full projections, recommended bets, and the top DFS plays from each.

Jon A

Jun 04, 2023

∙ Paid

Game Previews 6/4/2023

STL @ PIT

Projected Game Score:

STL 4.78 - PIT 3.64

STL 56.8% To Win

Vegas O/U: 8.5

Projected Total: 8.42

2023 Pitcher Stats

Miles Mikolas: 12 GS, 1151 Pitches, 19.4 K%, 5.0 BB%, 8.2 SwStr%, 47.4 Strike%, 33.4 Ball%, 39.4 GB%, 9 Brl%

Rich Hill: 11 GS, 988 Pitches, 21.6 K%, 7.1 BB%, 9.0 SwStr%, 47.4 Strike%, 34.3 Ball%, 32.6 GB%, 12 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Miles Mikolas (STL): 96 Pitches 5.87 IP, 5.9 H, 2.7 ER, 4.9 K, 1.6 BB, 13.95 FPts

Rich Hill (PIT): 86 Pitches 5.42 IP, 5.4 H, 2.7 ER, 4.5 K, 1.6 BB, 12.03 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Miles Mikolas - 4.5 strikeouts

Rich Hill - 4.5 strikeouts

STL Hitter Projections

1. Tommy Edman: 4.47 PA, 1.14 H, 1.84 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.23 SB, 9.06 FPts

2. Paul Goldschmidt: 4.37 PA, 1.13 H, 2.03 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.08 SB, 9.54 FPts

3. Willson Contreras: 4.29 PA, 0.93 H, 1.69 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.09 FPts

4. Nolan Arenado: 4.17 PA, 1.12 H, 2.1 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.04 SB, 9.13 FPts

5. Paul DeJong: 4.06 PA, 0.81 H, 1.53 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.09 FPts

6. Juan Yepez: 3.89 PA, 0.88 H, 1.53 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.46 FPts

7. Jordan Walker: 3.89 PA, 0.83 H, 1.29 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.25 FPts

8. Oscar Mercado: 3.51 PA, 0.74 H, 1.16 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.12 SB, 5.91 FPts

9. Andrew Knizner: 3.3 PA, 0.67 H, 1.04 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.01 SB, 4.88 FPts

PIT Hitter Projections

1. Tucupita Marcano: 4.24 PA, 0.94 H, 1.42 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.07 SB, 6.31 FPts

2. Bryan Reynolds: 4.19 PA, 1.08 H, 1.91 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.06 SB, 8.33 FPts

3. Andrew McCutchen: 4.13 PA, 0.86 H, 1.43 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.07 SB, 6.88 FPts

4. Jack Suwinski: 4.0 PA, 0.83 H, 1.62 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.64 FPts

5. Carlos Santana: 3.95 PA, 0.82 H, 1.38 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.51 FPts

6. Ji Hwan Bae: 3.82 PA, 0.99 H, 1.4 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.17 SB, 6.91 FPts

7. Ke'Bryan Hayes: 3.71 PA, 0.87 H, 1.29 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.12 SB, 6.19 FPts

8. Josh Palacios: 3.35 PA, 0.74 H, 1.13 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.09 SB, 5.34 FPts

9. Austin Hedges: 3.18 PA, 0.57 H, 0.82 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.01 SB, 3.59 FPts

Best Bets

Ke'Bryan Hayes PIT - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-160.0) - 0.081 value

Jordan Walker STL - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-175.0) - 0.079 value

Andrew McCutchen PIT - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-160.0) - 0.059 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Paul Goldschmidt (STL) 1B $14100: 9.54 Proj, 0.97 Score

Nolan Arenado (STL) 3B $13500: 9.13 Proj, 0.95 Score

Tommy Edman (STL) 2B/OF $11400: 9.06 Proj, 0.92 Score

Willson Contreras (STL) C $12300: 8.09 Proj, 0.88 Score

Jack Suwinski (PIT) OF $8700: 7.64 Proj, 0.81 Score

TB @ BOS

Projected Game Score:

TB 4.74 - BOS 4.24

TB 52.8% To Win

Vegas O/U: 9.0

Projected Total: 8.98

2023 Pitcher Stats

Taj Bradley: 6 GS, 500 Pitches, 34.4 K%, 4.1 BB%, 13.4 SwStr%, 52.0 Strike%, 33.2 Ball%, 32.4 GB%, 5 Brl%

Tanner Houck: 10 GS, 820 Pitches, 22.5 K%, 7.7 BB%, 13.8 SwStr%, 45.5 Strike%, 35.7 Ball%, 50.0 GB%, 6 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Taj Bradley (TB): 85 Pitches 5.02 IP, 4.7 H, 2.1 ER, 5.6 K, 1.3 BB, 15.41 FPts

Tanner Houck (BOS): 83 Pitches 5.16 IP, 5.2 H, 2.6 ER, 4.9 K, 1.8 BB, 12.57 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Taj Bradley - 4.5 strikeouts

Tanner Houck - 4.5 strikeouts

TB Hitter Projections

1. Yandy Diaz: 4.53 PA, 1.18 H, 1.79 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.54 FPts

2. Wander Franco: 4.41 PA, 1.22 H, 1.86 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.16 SB, 9.04 FPts

3. Randy Arozarena: 4.38 PA, 1.04 H, 1.7 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.18 SB, 8.77 FPts

4. Brandon Lowe: 4.21 PA, 0.87 H, 1.55 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.65 FPts

5. Harold Ramirez: 4.11 PA, 1.1 H, 1.55 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.87 FPts

6. Josh Lowe: 3.98 PA, 0.95 H, 1.57 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.16 SB, 7.72 FPts

7. Jose Siri: 3.92 PA, 0.78 H, 1.31 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.15 SB, 6.46 FPts

8. Taylor Walls: 3.78 PA, 0.7 H, 1.11 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.15 SB, 6.45 FPts

9. Christian Bethancourt: 3.47 PA, 0.83 H, 1.42 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.92 FPts

BOS Hitter Projections

1. Alex Verdugo: 4.63 PA, 1.21 H, 1.84 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.94 FPts

2. Rafael Devers: 4.53 PA, 1.13 H, 2.09 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.76 FPts

3. Justin Turner: 4.43 PA, 1.05 H, 1.65 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.57 FPts

4. Masataka Yoshida: 4.44 PA, 1.1 H, 1.75 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.38 FPts

5. Jarren Duran: 4.12 PA, 0.84 H, 1.35 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.13 SB, 6.53 FPts

6. Enrique Hernandez: 4.14 PA, 0.81 H, 1.24 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.68 FPts

7. Triston Casas: 3.98 PA, 0.68 H, 1.2 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.3 FPts

8. Reese McGuire: 3.74 PA, 0.85 H, 1.2 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.0 SB, 5.14 FPts

9. Enmanuel Valdez: 3.3 PA, 0.69 H, 1.22 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.31 FPts

Best Bets

Taj Bradley TB - Strikeouts Over 4.5 (-150.0) - 0.065 value

Rafael Devers BOS - Total Bases Over 1.5 (+110.0) - 0.056 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Wander Franco (TB) SS $5700: 9.04 Proj, 1.16 Score

Rafael Devers (BOS) 3B $5700: 8.76 Proj, 1.16 Score

Justin Turner (BOS) 1B/3B $3800: 7.57 Proj, 1.14 Score

Masataka Yoshida (BOS) OF $5400: 8.38 Proj, 1.14 Score

Randy Arozarena (TB) OF $5600: 8.77 Proj, 1.13 Score

PHI @ WSH

Projected Game Score:

PHI 4.92 - WSH 3.8

PHI 56.4% To Win

Vegas O/U: 9.0

Projected Total: 8.72

2023 Pitcher Stats

Ranger Suarez: 4 GS, 322 Pitches, 21.0 K%, 8.6 BB%, 9.9 SwStr%, 44.1 Strike%, 38.2 Ball%, 52.6 GB%, 7 Brl%

Trevor Williams: 10 GS, 915 Pitches, 17.2 K%, 7.0 BB%, 8.3 SwStr%, 44.5 Strike%, 36.9 Ball%, 40.6 GB%, 13 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Ranger Suarez (PHI): 88 Pitches 5.39 IP, 5.4 H, 2.3 ER, 4.4 K, 1.5 BB, 13.03 FPts

Trevor Williams (WSH): 90 Pitches 5.31 IP, 5.7 H, 2.8 ER, 4.5 K, 1.6 BB, 11.52 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Ranger Suarez - 3.5 strikeouts

Trevor Williams - 3.5 strikeouts

PHI Hitter Projections

1. Kyle Schwarber: 4.48 PA, 0.92 H, 1.98 TB, 0.29 HR, 0.04 SB, 9.36 FPts

2. Bryson Stott: 4.27 PA, 1.04 H, 1.52 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.11 SB, 7.47 FPts

3. Bryce Harper: 4.22 PA, 1.11 H, 2.04 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.11 SB, 10.04 FPts

4. Nick Castellanos: 4.14 PA, 1.08 H, 1.82 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.99 FPts

5. Trea Turner: 4.01 PA, 1.02 H, 1.62 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.18 SB, 8.06 FPts

6. J.T. Realmuto: 3.91 PA, 0.95 H, 1.61 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.13 SB, 7.78 FPts

7. Brandon Marsh: 3.72 PA, 0.85 H, 1.31 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.42 FPts

8. Kody Clemens: 3.52 PA, 0.74 H, 1.25 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.73 FPts

9. Edmundo Sosa: 3.34 PA, 0.82 H, 1.23 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.07 SB, 5.66 FPts

WSH Hitter Projections

1. Lane Thomas: 4.5 PA, 0.99 H, 1.6 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.1 SB, 7.76 FPts

2. Luis Garcia: 4.39 PA, 1.1 H, 1.58 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.75 FPts

3. Jeimer Candelario: 4.29 PA, 0.94 H, 1.51 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.73 FPts

4. Joey Meneses: 4.2 PA, 1.13 H, 1.73 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.43 FPts

5. Stone Garrett: 3.98 PA, 0.93 H, 1.46 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.1 SB, 6.69 FPts

6. Keibert Ruiz: 3.98 PA, 1.02 H, 1.59 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.89 FPts

7. Dominic Smith: 3.87 PA, 0.89 H, 1.28 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.85 FPts

8. Alex Call: 3.7 PA, 0.71 H, 1.05 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.08 SB, 5.82 FPts

9. Ildemaro Vargas: 3.5 PA, 0.84 H, 1.2 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.12 FPts

Best Bets

Brandon Marsh PHI - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-160.0) - 0.088 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Kyle Schwarber (PHI) OF $5000: 9.36 Proj, 1.32 Score

Bryce Harper (PHI) OF $6300: 10.04 Proj, 1.27 Score

J.T. Realmuto (PHI) C $4800: 7.78 Proj, 1.17 Score

Nick Castellanos (PHI) OF $4500: 7.99 Proj, 1.13 Score

Joey Meneses (WSH) 1B $3700: 7.43 Proj, 1.1 Score

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JonPGH MLB Data Warehouse

DFS & Betting Game Previews - June 4th

An automated report of each game on the MLB slate with full projections, recommended bets, and the top DFS plays from each.

Game Previews 6/4/2023

STL @ PIT

Projected Game Score:

STL 4.78 - PIT 3.64

STL 56.8% To Win

Vegas O/U: 8.5

Projected Total: 8.42

2023 Pitcher Stats

Miles Mikolas: 12 GS, 1151 Pitches, 19.4 K%, 5.0 BB%, 8.2 SwStr%, 47.4 Strike%, 33.4 Ball%, 39.4 GB%, 9 Brl%

Rich Hill: 11 GS, 988 Pitches, 21.6 K%, 7.1 BB%, 9.0 SwStr%, 47.4 Strike%, 34.3 Ball%, 32.6 GB%, 12 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Miles Mikolas (STL): 96 Pitches 5.87 IP, 5.9 H, 2.7 ER, 4.9 K, 1.6 BB, 13.95 FPts

Rich Hill (PIT): 86 Pitches 5.42 IP, 5.4 H, 2.7 ER, 4.5 K, 1.6 BB, 12.03 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Miles Mikolas - 4.5 strikeouts

Rich Hill - 4.5 strikeouts

STL Hitter Projections

1. Tommy Edman: 4.47 PA, 1.14 H, 1.84 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.23 SB, 9.06 FPts

2. Paul Goldschmidt: 4.37 PA, 1.13 H, 2.03 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.08 SB, 9.54 FPts

3. Willson Contreras: 4.29 PA, 0.93 H, 1.69 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.09 FPts

4. Nolan Arenado: 4.17 PA, 1.12 H, 2.1 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.04 SB, 9.13 FPts

5. Paul DeJong: 4.06 PA, 0.81 H, 1.53 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.09 FPts

6. Juan Yepez: 3.89 PA, 0.88 H, 1.53 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.46 FPts

7. Jordan Walker: 3.89 PA, 0.83 H, 1.29 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.25 FPts

8. Oscar Mercado: 3.51 PA, 0.74 H, 1.16 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.12 SB, 5.91 FPts

9. Andrew Knizner: 3.3 PA, 0.67 H, 1.04 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.01 SB, 4.88 FPts

PIT Hitter Projections

1. Tucupita Marcano: 4.24 PA, 0.94 H, 1.42 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.07 SB, 6.31 FPts

2. Bryan Reynolds: 4.19 PA, 1.08 H, 1.91 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.06 SB, 8.33 FPts

3. Andrew McCutchen: 4.13 PA, 0.86 H, 1.43 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.07 SB, 6.88 FPts

4. Jack Suwinski: 4.0 PA, 0.83 H, 1.62 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.64 FPts

5. Carlos Santana: 3.95 PA, 0.82 H, 1.38 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.51 FPts

6. Ji Hwan Bae: 3.82 PA, 0.99 H, 1.4 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.17 SB, 6.91 FPts

7. Ke'Bryan Hayes: 3.71 PA, 0.87 H, 1.29 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.12 SB, 6.19 FPts

8. Josh Palacios: 3.35 PA, 0.74 H, 1.13 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.09 SB, 5.34 FPts

9. Austin Hedges: 3.18 PA, 0.57 H, 0.82 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.01 SB, 3.59 FPts

Best Bets

Ke'Bryan Hayes PIT - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-160.0) - 0.081 value

Jordan Walker STL - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-175.0) - 0.079 value

Andrew McCutchen PIT - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-160.0) - 0.059 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Paul Goldschmidt (STL) 1B $14100: 9.54 Proj, 0.97 Score

Nolan Arenado (STL) 3B $13500: 9.13 Proj, 0.95 Score

Tommy Edman (STL) 2B/OF $11400: 9.06 Proj, 0.92 Score

Willson Contreras (STL) C $12300: 8.09 Proj, 0.88 Score

Jack Suwinski (PIT) OF $8700: 7.64 Proj, 0.81 Score

TB @ BOS

Projected Game Score:

TB 4.74 - BOS 4.24

TB 52.8% To Win

Vegas O/U: 9.0

Projected Total: 8.98

2023 Pitcher Stats

Taj Bradley: 6 GS, 500 Pitches, 34.4 K%, 4.1 BB%, 13.4 SwStr%, 52.0 Strike%, 33.2 Ball%, 32.4 GB%, 5 Brl%

Tanner Houck: 10 GS, 820 Pitches, 22.5 K%, 7.7 BB%, 13.8 SwStr%, 45.5 Strike%, 35.7 Ball%, 50.0 GB%, 6 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Taj Bradley (TB): 85 Pitches 5.02 IP, 4.7 H, 2.1 ER, 5.6 K, 1.3 BB, 15.41 FPts

Tanner Houck (BOS): 83 Pitches 5.16 IP, 5.2 H, 2.6 ER, 4.9 K, 1.8 BB, 12.57 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Taj Bradley - 4.5 strikeouts

Tanner Houck - 4.5 strikeouts

TB Hitter Projections

1. Yandy Diaz: 4.53 PA, 1.18 H, 1.79 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.54 FPts

2. Wander Franco: 4.41 PA, 1.22 H, 1.86 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.16 SB, 9.04 FPts

3. Randy Arozarena: 4.38 PA, 1.04 H, 1.7 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.18 SB, 8.77 FPts

4. Brandon Lowe: 4.21 PA, 0.87 H, 1.55 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.65 FPts

5. Harold Ramirez: 4.11 PA, 1.1 H, 1.55 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.87 FPts

6. Josh Lowe: 3.98 PA, 0.95 H, 1.57 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.16 SB, 7.72 FPts

7. Jose Siri: 3.92 PA, 0.78 H, 1.31 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.15 SB, 6.46 FPts

8. Taylor Walls: 3.78 PA, 0.7 H, 1.11 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.15 SB, 6.45 FPts

9. Christian Bethancourt: 3.47 PA, 0.83 H, 1.42 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.92 FPts

BOS Hitter Projections

1. Alex Verdugo: 4.63 PA, 1.21 H, 1.84 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.94 FPts

2. Rafael Devers: 4.53 PA, 1.13 H, 2.09 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.76 FPts

3. Justin Turner: 4.43 PA, 1.05 H, 1.65 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.57 FPts

4. Masataka Yoshida: 4.44 PA, 1.1 H, 1.75 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.38 FPts

5. Jarren Duran: 4.12 PA, 0.84 H, 1.35 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.13 SB, 6.53 FPts