DFS & Betting Game Previews - May 17th

An automated report of each game on the MLB slate with full projections, recommended bets, and the top DFS plays from each.

Jon A

May 17, 2023

∙ Paid

Game Previews 5/17/2023

PIT @ DET

Projected Game Score:

DET 3.64 - PIT 3.58

DET 50.4% To Win

Vegas O/U: 7.5

Projected Total: 7.22

Pitcher Projections

Eduardo Rodriguez (DET): 97 Pitches 5.8 IP, 5.0 H, 2.4 ER, 5.7 K, 2.0 BB, 16.48 FPts

Rich Hill (PIT): 87 Pitches 5.5 IP, 5.2 H, 2.5 ER, 5.1 K, 1.5 BB, 14.02 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Eduardo Rodriguez - 5.5 strikeouts

Rich Hill - 4.5 strikeouts

PIT Hitter Projections

1. Ke'Bryan Hayes: 4.4 PA, 1.07 H, 1.57 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.16 SB, 7.67 FPts

2. Bryan Reynolds: 4.28 PA, 1.03 H, 1.69 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.65 FPts

3. Andrew McCutchen: 4.24 PA, 0.85 H, 1.44 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.07 SB, 7.16 FPts

4. Carlos Santana: 4.15 PA, 0.88 H, 1.37 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.71 FPts

5. Connor Joe: 4.05 PA, 0.92 H, 1.47 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.16 FPts

6. Rodolfo Castro: 3.92 PA, 0.81 H, 1.35 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.11 FPts

7. Ji Hwan Bae: 3.84 PA, 0.84 H, 1.06 TB, 0.03 HR, 0.12 SB, 5.34 FPts

8. Chris Owings: 3.56 PA, 0.64 H, 1.02 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.06 SB, 4.97 FPts

9. Austin Hedges: 3.26 PA, 0.57 H, 0.85 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.02 SB, 3.83 FPts

DET Hitter Projections

1. Matt Vierling: 4.32 PA, 1.04 H, 1.51 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.11 SB, 6.94 FPts

2. Andy Ibanez: 4.14 PA, 1.06 H, 1.69 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.1 FPts

3. Javier Baez: 4.18 PA, 0.91 H, 1.51 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.11 SB, 6.95 FPts

4. Spencer Torkelson: 4.17 PA, 0.9 H, 1.55 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.87 FPts

5. Eric Haase: 4.01 PA, 0.88 H, 1.61 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.75 FPts

6. Jonathan Schoop: 3.85 PA, 0.88 H, 1.46 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.04 FPts

7. Miguel Cabrera: 3.81 PA, 0.82 H, 1.22 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.0 SB, 5.37 FPts

8. Zack Short: 3.53 PA, 0.59 H, 1.04 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.04 SB, 5.32 FPts

9. Jake Rogers: 3.38 PA, 0.66 H, 1.16 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.4 FPts

Best Bets

PIT - MoneyLine (+144.0) - 0.086 value

Bryan Reynolds PIT - Total Bases Over 1.5 (+125.0) - 0.06 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Game not on slate

CIN @ COL

Projected Game Score:

CIN 4.8 - COL 4.76

CIN 50.2% To Win

Vegas O/U: 11.5

Projected Total: 9.56

Pitcher Projections

Austin Gomber (COL): 87 Pitches 5.6 IP, 5.8 H, 2.8 ER, 5.0 K, 2.1 BB, 13.03 FPts

Graham Ashcraft (CIN): 90 Pitches 5.5 IP, 6.0 H, 2.6 ER, 3.8 K, 1.8 BB, 10.78 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Austin Gomber - 3.5 strikeouts

Graham Ashcraft - 3.5 strikeouts

CIN Hitter Projections

1. Jonathan India: 4.39 PA, 1.02 H, 1.58 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.09 SB, 8.12 FPts

2. Matt McLain: 4.42 PA, 0.93 H, 1.67 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.15 SB, 9.06 FPts

3. Nick Senzel: 4.25 PA, 1.06 H, 1.59 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.09 SB, 7.94 FPts

4. Spencer Steer: 4.24 PA, 0.93 H, 1.57 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.76 FPts

5. Tyler Stephenson: 3.99 PA, 1.01 H, 1.57 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.32 FPts

6. Stuart Fairchild: 3.74 PA, 0.76 H, 1.32 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.94 FPts

7. Henry Ramos: 3.87 PA, 0.9 H, 1.4 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.6 FPts

8. Wil Myers: 3.61 PA, 0.81 H, 1.33 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.54 FPts

9. Luke Maile: 3.31 PA, 0.71 H, 1.15 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.0 SB, 5.39 FPts

COL Hitter Projections

1. Charlie Blackmon: 4.8 PA, 1.18 H, 1.78 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.1 FPts

2. Jurickson Profar: 4.63 PA, 1.11 H, 1.68 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.07 SB, 8.57 FPts

3. Kris Bryant: 4.53 PA, 1.07 H, 1.63 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.97 FPts

4. Ryan McMahon: 4.49 PA, 1.03 H, 1.7 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.07 SB, 8.48 FPts

5. Elias Diaz: 4.38 PA, 1.02 H, 1.63 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.25 FPts

6. Mike Moustakas: 4.16 PA, 0.82 H, 1.31 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.26 FPts

7. Randal Grichuk: 4.13 PA, 1.01 H, 1.64 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.97 FPts

8. Harold Castro: 3.93 PA, 1.08 H, 1.57 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.63 FPts

9. Ezequiel Tovar: 3.67 PA, 0.92 H, 1.39 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.36 FPts

Best Bets

Austin Gomber COL - Strikeouts Over 3.5 (-130.0) - 0.17 value

Ryan McMahon COL - Total Bases Over 1.5 (+125.0) - 0.063 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Matt McLain (CIN) SS $2900: 9.06 Proj, 1.4 Score

Jurickson Profar (COL) OF $3800: 8.57 Proj, 1.21 Score

Ryan McMahon (COL) 3B $4500: 8.48 Proj, 1.09 Score

Spencer Steer (CIN) 1B $3600: 7.76 Proj, 1.08 Score

Harold Castro (COL) 2B $2600: 6.63 Proj, 1.07 Score

MIN @ LAD

Projected Game Score:

MIN 4.76 - LAD 4.62

MIN 50.7% To Win

Vegas O/U: 8.5

Projected Total: 9.38

Pitcher Projections

Dustin May (LAD): 94 Pitches 5.9 IP, 4.9 H, 2.7 ER, 6.2 K, 2.3 BB, 16.52 FPts

Sonny Gray (MIN): 93 Pitches 5.6 IP, 4.8 H, 2.5 ER, 5.4 K, 2.2 BB, 14.65 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Dustin May - 5.5 strikeouts

Sonny Gray - 5.5 strikeouts

MIN Hitter Projections

1. Joey Gallo: 4.53 PA, 0.68 H, 1.45 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.73 FPts

2. Alex Kirilloff: 4.48 PA, 1.1 H, 1.78 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.8 FPts

3. Carlos Correa: 4.49 PA, 1.03 H, 1.79 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.0 SB, 8.16 FPts

4. Byron Buxton: 4.3 PA, 0.95 H, 1.97 TB, 0.27 HR, 0.12 SB, 9.37 FPts

5. Jorge Polanco: 4.28 PA, 0.92 H, 1.62 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.07 SB, 7.99 FPts

6. Trevor Larnach: 4.11 PA, 0.75 H, 1.28 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.39 FPts

7. Kyle Farmer: 4.04 PA, 0.96 H, 1.45 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.38 FPts

8. Nick Gordon: 3.73 PA, 0.9 H, 1.37 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.33 FPts

9. Christian Vazquez: 3.62 PA, 0.83 H, 1.16 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.05 SB, 5.49 FPts

LAD Hitter Projections

1. Mookie Betts: 4.58 PA, 1.02 H, 1.87 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.09 SB, 8.98 FPts

2. Freddie Freeman: 4.5 PA, 1.15 H, 1.88 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.08 SB, 9.12 FPts

3. Will Smith: 4.44 PA, 0.96 H, 1.69 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.97 FPts

4. Max Muncy: 4.3 PA, 0.75 H, 1.47 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.88 FPts

5. J.D. Martinez: 4.2 PA, 0.87 H, 1.55 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.0 SB, 6.91 FPts

6. James Outman: 4.11 PA, 0.62 H, 1.08 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.06 SB, 5.73 FPts

7. Miguel Vargas: 3.99 PA, 0.81 H, 1.36 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.57 FPts

8. Jason Heyward: 3.63 PA, 0.71 H, 1.13 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.04 SB, 5.58 FPts

9. Miguel Rojas: 3.5 PA, 0.8 H, 1.13 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.08 SB, 5.5 FPts

Best Bets

Byron Buxton MIN - Total Bases Over 1.5 (+125.0) - 0.142 value

Carlos Correa MIN - Total Bases Over 1.5 (+145.0) - 0.126 value

Dustin May LAD - Strikeouts Over 5.5 (+110.0) - 0.118 value

Will Smith LAD - Total Bases Over 1.5 (+135.0) - 0.078 value

Freddie Freeman LAD - Total Bases Over 1.5 (+105.0) - 0.073 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Freddie Freeman (LAD) 1B $4900: 9.12 Proj, 1.21 Score

Byron Buxton (MIN) OF $5100: 9.37 Proj, 1.2 Score

Mookie Betts (LAD) OF $5600: 8.98 Proj, 1.13 Score

Jorge Polanco (MIN) 2B $4500: 7.99 Proj, 1.11 Score

Nick Gordon (MIN) OF $2000: 6.33 Proj, 1.08 Score

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JonPGH MLB Data Warehouse

DFS & Betting Game Previews - May 17th

An automated report of each game on the MLB slate with full projections, recommended bets, and the top DFS plays from each.

Game Previews 5/17/2023

PIT @ DET

Projected Game Score:

DET 3.64 - PIT 3.58

DET 50.4% To Win

Vegas O/U: 7.5

Projected Total: 7.22

Pitcher Projections

Eduardo Rodriguez (DET): 97 Pitches 5.8 IP, 5.0 H, 2.4 ER, 5.7 K, 2.0 BB, 16.48 FPts

Rich Hill (PIT): 87 Pitches 5.5 IP, 5.2 H, 2.5 ER, 5.1 K, 1.5 BB, 14.02 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Eduardo Rodriguez - 5.5 strikeouts

Rich Hill - 4.5 strikeouts

PIT Hitter Projections

1. Ke'Bryan Hayes: 4.4 PA, 1.07 H, 1.57 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.16 SB, 7.67 FPts

2. Bryan Reynolds: 4.28 PA, 1.03 H, 1.69 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.65 FPts

3. Andrew McCutchen: 4.24 PA, 0.85 H, 1.44 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.07 SB, 7.16 FPts

4. Carlos Santana: 4.15 PA, 0.88 H, 1.37 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.71 FPts

5. Connor Joe: 4.05 PA, 0.92 H, 1.47 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.16 FPts

6. Rodolfo Castro: 3.92 PA, 0.81 H, 1.35 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.11 FPts

7. Ji Hwan Bae: 3.84 PA, 0.84 H, 1.06 TB, 0.03 HR, 0.12 SB, 5.34 FPts

8. Chris Owings: 3.56 PA, 0.64 H, 1.02 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.06 SB, 4.97 FPts

9. Austin Hedges: 3.26 PA, 0.57 H, 0.85 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.02 SB, 3.83 FPts

DET Hitter Projections

1. Matt Vierling: 4.32 PA, 1.04 H, 1.51 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.11 SB, 6.94 FPts

2. Andy Ibanez: 4.14 PA, 1.06 H, 1.69 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.1 FPts

3. Javier Baez: 4.18 PA, 0.91 H, 1.51 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.11 SB, 6.95 FPts

4. Spencer Torkelson: 4.17 PA, 0.9 H, 1.55 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.87 FPts

5. Eric Haase: 4.01 PA, 0.88 H, 1.61 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.75 FPts

6. Jonathan Schoop: 3.85 PA, 0.88 H, 1.46 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.04 FPts

7. Miguel Cabrera: 3.81 PA, 0.82 H, 1.22 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.0 SB, 5.37 FPts

8. Zack Short: 3.53 PA, 0.59 H, 1.04 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.04 SB, 5.32 FPts

9. Jake Rogers: 3.38 PA, 0.66 H, 1.16 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.4 FPts

Best Bets

PIT - MoneyLine (+144.0) - 0.086 value

Bryan Reynolds PIT - Total Bases Over 1.5 (+125.0) - 0.06 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Game not on slate

CIN @ COL

Projected Game Score:

CIN 4.8 - COL 4.76

CIN 50.2% To Win

Vegas O/U: 11.5

Projected Total: 9.56

Pitcher Projections

Austin Gomber (COL): 87 Pitches 5.6 IP, 5.8 H, 2.8 ER, 5.0 K, 2.1 BB, 13.03 FPts

Graham Ashcraft (CIN): 90 Pitches 5.5 IP, 6.0 H, 2.6 ER, 3.8 K, 1.8 BB, 10.78 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Austin Gomber - 3.5 strikeouts

Graham Ashcraft - 3.5 strikeouts

CIN Hitter Projections

1. Jonathan India: 4.39 PA, 1.02 H, 1.58 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.09 SB, 8.12 FPts

2. Matt McLain: 4.42 PA, 0.93 H, 1.67 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.15 SB, 9.06 FPts

3. Nick Senzel: 4.25 PA, 1.06 H, 1.59 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.09 SB, 7.94 FPts

4. Spencer Steer: 4.24 PA, 0.93 H, 1.57 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.76 FPts

5. Tyler Stephenson: 3.99 PA, 1.01 H, 1.57 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.32 FPts

6. Stuart Fairchild: 3.74 PA, 0.76 H, 1.32 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.94 FPts

7. Henry Ramos: 3.87 PA, 0.9 H, 1.4 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.6 FPts

8. Wil Myers: 3.61 PA, 0.81 H, 1.33 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.54 FPts

9. Luke Maile: 3.31 PA, 0.71 H, 1.15 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.0 SB, 5.39 FPts

COL Hitter Projections

1. Charlie Blackmon: 4.8 PA, 1.18 H, 1.78 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.1 FPts

2. Jurickson Profar: 4.63 PA, 1.11 H, 1.68 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.07 SB, 8.57 FPts

3. Kris Bryant: 4.53 PA, 1.07 H, 1.63 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.97 FPts

4. Ryan McMahon: 4.49 PA, 1.03 H, 1.7 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.07 SB, 8.48 FPts

5. Elias Diaz: 4.38 PA, 1.02 H, 1.63 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.25 FPts

6. Mike Moustakas: 4.16 PA, 0.82 H, 1.31 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.26 FPts

7. Randal Grichuk: 4.13 PA, 1.01 H, 1.64 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.97 FPts

8. Harold Castro: 3.93 PA, 1.08 H, 1.57 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.63 FPts

9. Ezequiel Tovar: 3.67 PA, 0.92 H, 1.39 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.36 FPts

Best Bets

Austin Gomber COL - Strikeouts Over 3.5 (-130.0) - 0.17 value

Ryan McMahon COL - Total Bases Over 1.5 (+125.0) - 0.063 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Matt McLain (CIN) SS $2900: 9.06 Proj, 1.4 Score

Jurickson Profar (COL) OF $3800: 8.57 Proj, 1.21 Score

Ryan McMahon (COL) 3B $4500: 8.48 Proj, 1.09 Score