DFS & Betting Game Previews - May 22nd
An automated report of each game on the MLB slate with full projections, recommended bets, and the top DFS plays from each.
Added some 2023 pitcher stats to each game preview now. Here’s the slate breakdown for tonight - good luck to you and thanks for being here!
Game Previews :: 5/22/2023
CWS @ CLE
Projected Game Score:
CWS 4.58 - CLE 4.38
CWS 51.1% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.0
Projected Total: 8.96
2023 Pitcher Stats
Jimmy Lambert: 0 GS, 329 Pitches, 26.8 K%, 12.2 BB%, 11.9 SwStr%, 46.2 Strike%, 38.9 Ball%, 38.8 GB%, 12 Brl%
Hunter Gaddis: 4 GS, 315 Pitches, 14.6 K%, 6.7 BB%, 7.6 SwStr%, 47.0 Strike%, 31.4 Ball%, 32.4 GB%, 2 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Jimmy Lambert (CWS): 80 Pitches 5.0 IP, 4.6 H, 2.4 ER, 3.7 K, 2.2 BB, 10.5 FPts
Hunter Gaddis (CLE): 84 Pitches 5.3 IP, 5.8 H, 2.8 ER, 3.9 K, 1.6 BB, 10.03 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Jimmy Lambert - Prop Not Found
Hunter Gaddis - 3.5 strikeouts
CWS Hitter Projections
1. Tim Anderson: 4.37 PA, 1.17 H, 1.76 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.16 SB, 8.11 FPts
2. Andrew Benintendi: 4.28 PA, 1.07 H, 1.52 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.08 SB, 7.37 FPts
3. Luis Robert: 4.16 PA, 1.12 H, 1.97 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.09 SB, 8.57 FPts
4. Yoan Moncada: 4.09 PA, 0.94 H, 1.57 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.56 FPts
5. Andrew Vaughn: 3.99 PA, 0.95 H, 1.62 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.07 FPts
6. Yasmani Grandal: 3.91 PA, 0.81 H, 1.43 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.0 SB, 7.19 FPts
7. Jake Burger: 3.73 PA, 0.86 H, 1.85 TB, 0.26 HR, 0.0 SB, 7.52 FPts
8. Gavin Sheets: 3.59 PA, 0.83 H, 1.45 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.0 SB, 6.3 FPts
9. Romy Gonzalez: 3.31 PA, 0.7 H, 1.18 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.06 SB, 5.33 FPts
CLE Hitter Projections
1. Steven Kwan: 4.42 PA, 1.09 H, 1.46 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.15 SB, 8.22 FPts
2. Amed Rosario: 4.33 PA, 1.03 H, 1.52 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.13 SB, 7.27 FPts
3. Jose Ramirez: 4.24 PA, 1.0 H, 1.69 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.19 SB, 8.99 FPts
4. Josh Naylor: 4.15 PA, 1.03 H, 1.81 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.21 FPts
5. Josh Bell: 4.02 PA, 0.87 H, 1.42 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.23 FPts
6. Andres Gimenez: 3.9 PA, 0.88 H, 1.31 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.15 SB, 6.78 FPts
7. Mike Zunino: 3.64 PA, 0.57 H, 1.24 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.0 SB, 5.65 FPts
8. Will Brennan: 3.69 PA, 0.88 H, 1.24 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.07 SB, 5.88 FPts
9. Myles Straw: 3.43 PA, 0.69 H, 0.93 TB, 0.03 HR, 0.18 SB, 5.91 FPts
Best Bets
Gavin Sheets CWS - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-155.0) - 0.069 value
Jake Burger CWS - One HR Over 0.5 (+475.0) - 0.055 value
Andrew Benintendi CWS - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-130.0) - 0.055 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Game not on slate
TEX @ PIT
Projected Game Score:
TEX 4.56 - PIT 3.8
TEX 54.6% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.0
Projected Total: 8.36
2023 Pitcher Stats
Dane Dunning: 3 GS, 537 Pitches, 16.0 K%, 4.9 BB%, 8.9 SwStr%, 43.8 Strike%, 35.6 Ball%, 51.4 GB%, 5 Brl%
Luis L. Ortiz: 2 GS, 155 Pitches, 9.1 K%, 11.4 BB%, 11.0 SwStr%, 38.1 Strike%, 39.4 Ball%, 51.4 GB%, 9 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Dane Dunning (TEX): 80 Pitches 5.0 IP, 4.6 H, 2.4 ER, 4.4 K, 2.0 BB, 12.13 FPts
Luis Ortiz (PIT): 80 Pitches 5.2 IP, 5.0 H, 2.6 ER, 4.5 K, 2.5 BB, 11.6 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Dane Dunning - 4.5 strikeouts
Luis Ortiz - 4.5 strikeouts
TEX Hitter Projections
1. Marcus Semien: 4.48 PA, 0.97 H, 1.55 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.16 SB, 8.14 FPts
2. Corey Seager: 4.38 PA, 1.1 H, 1.92 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.02 SB, 9.04 FPts
3. Nathaniel Lowe: 4.28 PA, 1.02 H, 1.6 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.04 FPts
4. Adolis Garcia: 4.18 PA, 0.92 H, 1.64 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.15 SB, 8.13 FPts
5. Josh Jung: 4.04 PA, 0.86 H, 1.44 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.47 FPts
6. Jonah Heim: 3.99 PA, 0.87 H, 1.45 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.85 FPts
7. Robbie Grossman: 3.81 PA, 0.71 H, 1.11 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.1 SB, 6.6 FPts
8. Ezequiel Duran: 3.67 PA, 0.85 H, 1.31 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.07 SB, 5.96 FPts
9. Leody Taveras: 3.45 PA, 0.76 H, 1.11 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.13 SB, 5.92 FPts
PIT Hitter Projections
1. Andrew McCutchen: 4.36 PA, 0.87 H, 1.44 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.07 SB, 7.21 FPts
2. Bryan Reynolds: 4.22 PA, 1.07 H, 1.87 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.06 SB, 8.49 FPts
3. Jack Suwinski: 4.12 PA, 0.79 H, 1.5 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.07 SB, 7.67 FPts
4. Carlos Santana: 4.09 PA, 0.84 H, 1.4 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.15 FPts
5. Ke'Bryan Hayes: 3.94 PA, 0.94 H, 1.4 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.15 SB, 7.14 FPts
6. Tucupita Marcano: 3.78 PA, 0.77 H, 1.11 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.05 SB, 5.29 FPts
7. Ji Hwan Bae: 3.78 PA, 0.81 H, 1.09 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.17 SB, 5.99 FPts
8. Josh Palacios: 3.64 PA, 0.79 H, 1.19 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.1 SB, 5.84 FPts
9. Austin Hedges: 3.2 PA, 0.56 H, 0.81 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.02 SB, 3.77 FPts
Best Bets
Ezequiel Duran TEX - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-160.0) - 0.094 value
Marcus Semien TEX - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-130.0) - 0.062 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Corey Seager (TEX) SS $4900: 9.04 Proj, 1.17 Score
Nathaniel Lowe (TEX) 1B $4000: 8.04 Proj, 1.1 Score
Adolis Garcia (TEX) OF $5000: 8.13 Proj, 1.09 Score
Marcus Semien (TEX) 2B $5200: 8.14 Proj, 1.08 Score
Robbie Grossman (TEX) OF $2500: 6.6 Proj, 1.06 Score
STL @ CIN
Projected Game Score:
STL 6.08 - CIN 4.32
STL 58.5% To Win
Vegas O/U: 10.0
Projected Total: 10.4
2023 Pitcher Stats
Jordan Montgomery: 8 GS, 841 Pitches, 21.3 K%, 5.8 BB%, 10.6 SwStr%, 44.6 Strike%, 36.1 Ball%, 45.7 GB%, 10 Brl%
Brandon Williamson: 1 GS, 72 Pitches, 30.0 K%, 10.0 BB%, 13.9 SwStr%, 48.6 Strike%, 34.7 Ball%, 50.0 GB%, 17 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Jordan Montgomery (STL): 92 Pitches 5.7 IP, 5.6 H, 2.6 ER, 5.7 K, 1.7 BB, 15.23 FPts
Brandon Williamson (CIN): 75 Pitches 4.7 IP, 4.6 H, 2.6 ER, 4.2 K, 2.3 BB, 9.96 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Jordan Montgomery - 5.5 strikeouts
Brandon Williamson - 4.5 strikeouts
STL Hitter Projections
1. Lars Nootbaar: 4.37 PA, 0.84 H, 1.47 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.08 SB, 8.56 FPts
2. Paul Goldschmidt: 4.42 PA, 1.12 H, 2.1 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.09 SB, 10.69 FPts
3. Willson Contreras: 4.33 PA, 0.93 H, 1.76 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.06 SB, 9.16 FPts
4. Nolan Arenado: 4.23 PA, 1.15 H, 2.24 TB, 0.27 HR, 0.04 SB, 10.37 FPts
5. Juan Yepez: 4.04 PA, 0.92 H, 1.67 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.57 FPts
6. Tommy Edman: 4.0 PA, 0.99 H, 1.64 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.21 SB, 8.68 FPts
7. Paul DeJong: 3.89 PA, 0.75 H, 1.48 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.35 FPts
8. Nolan Gorman: 3.7 PA, 0.8 H, 1.66 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.03 FPts
9. Oscar Mercado: 3.3 PA, 0.69 H, 1.16 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.12 SB, 6.24 FPts
CIN Hitter Projections
1. Jonathan India: 4.49 PA, 1.03 H, 1.61 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.09 SB, 7.86 FPts
2. Matt McLain: 4.5 PA, 0.92 H, 1.7 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.14 SB, 8.66 FPts
3. Nick Senzel: 4.34 PA, 1.07 H, 1.63 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.09 SB, 7.72 FPts
4. Spencer Steer: 4.33 PA, 0.95 H, 1.62 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.59 FPts
5. Tyler Stephenson: 4.08 PA, 1.04 H, 1.67 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.41 FPts
6. Stuart Fairchild: 3.81 PA, 0.76 H, 1.29 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.07 SB, 6.36 FPts
7. Wil Myers: 3.82 PA, 0.83 H, 1.37 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.45 FPts
8. Jose Barrero: 3.73 PA, 0.68 H, 1.04 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.08 SB, 5.07 FPts
9. Curt Casali: 3.39 PA, 0.64 H, 1.06 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.0 SB, 5.06 FPts
Best Bets
None
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Nolan Arenado (STL) 3B $5000: 10.37 Proj, 1.38 Score
Willson Contreras (STL) C $4300: 9.16 Proj, 1.34 Score
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) 1B $5800: 10.69 Proj, 1.34 Score
Juan Yepez (STL) OF $2200: 7.57 Proj, 1.27 Score
Tommy Edman (STL) 2B/OF $3800: 8.68 Proj, 1.24 Score
TOR @ TB
Projected Game Score:
TOR 5.14 - TB 4.46
TOR 53.6% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.0
Projected Total: 9.6
2023 Pitcher Stats
Chris Bassitt: 8 GS, 869 Pitches, 21.3 K%, 10.2 BB%, 10.0 SwStr%, 47.4 Strike%, 35.6 Ball%, 43.9 GB%, 8 Brl%
Trevor Kelley: 1 GS, 101 Pitches, 7.7 K%, 3.8 BB%, 8.9 SwStr%, 46.5 Strike%, 31.7 Ball%, 31.8 GB%, 9 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Chris Bassitt (TOR): 97 Pitches 6.0 IP, 5.6 H, 2.9 ER, 5.1 K, 2.1 BB, 13.66 FPts
Trevor Kelley (TB): 80 Pitches 4.4 IP, 4.5 H, 2.3 ER, 3.7 K, 1.5 BB, 9.93 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Chris Bassitt - 4.5 strikeouts
Trevor Kelley - Prop Not Found
TOR Hitter Projections
1. George Springer: 4.47 PA, 1.0 H, 1.7 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.11 SB, 8.34 FPts
2. Bo Bichette: 4.37 PA, 1.15 H, 1.94 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.12 SB, 8.9 FPts
3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: 4.3 PA, 1.08 H, 1.95 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.04 SB, 8.96 FPts
4. Brandon Belt: 4.05 PA, 0.85 H, 1.65 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.14 FPts
5. Matt Chapman: 4.08 PA, 0.87 H, 1.69 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.08 FPts
6. Danny Jansen: 3.96 PA, 0.88 H, 1.72 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.51 FPts
7. Daulton Varsho: 3.84 PA, 0.83 H, 1.53 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.11 SB, 7.44 FPts
8. Whit Merrifield: 3.63 PA, 0.85 H, 1.27 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.2 SB, 6.81 FPts
9. Kevin Kiermaier: 3.38 PA, 0.8 H, 1.2 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.11 SB, 6.15 FPts
TB Hitter Projections
1. Yandy Diaz: 4.42 PA, 1.07 H, 1.71 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.27 FPts
2. Wander Franco: 4.31 PA, 1.11 H, 1.77 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.13 SB, 8.52 FPts
3. Randy Arozarena: 4.28 PA, 0.97 H, 1.67 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.17 SB, 8.49 FPts
4. Brandon Lowe: 4.12 PA, 0.86 H, 1.67 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.04 SB, 8.11 FPts
5. Harold Ramirez: 4.03 PA, 1.01 H, 1.5 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.6 FPts
6. Isaac Paredes: 3.87 PA, 0.77 H, 1.24 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.0 SB, 5.81 FPts
7. Josh Lowe: 3.81 PA, 0.82 H, 1.4 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.14 SB, 7.11 FPts
8. Christian Bethancourt: 3.65 PA, 0.82 H, 1.4 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.86 FPts
9. Jose Siri: 3.44 PA, 0.64 H, 1.09 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.13 SB, 5.5 FPts
Best Bets
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Brandon Belt (TOR) 1B $2200: 8.14 Proj, 1.49 Score
Bo Bichette (TOR) SS $5100: 8.9 Proj, 1.21 Score
Danny Jansen (TOR) C $3400: 7.51 Proj, 1.2 Score
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 1B $5400: 8.96 Proj, 1.16 Score
George Springer (TOR) OF $4400: 8.34 Proj, 1.14 Score
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