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DFS & Betting Game Previews - May 22nd

DFS & Betting Game Previews - May 22nd

An automated report of each game on the MLB slate with full projections, recommended bets, and the top DFS plays from each.

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Jon A
May 22, 2023
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DFS & Betting Game Previews - May 22nd
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Added some 2023 pitcher stats to each game preview now. Here’s the slate breakdown for tonight - good luck to you and thanks for being here!


Game Previews :: 5/22/2023


CWS @ CLE

Projected Game Score:

CWS 4.58 - CLE 4.38
CWS 51.1% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.0
Projected Total: 8.96

2023 Pitcher Stats

Jimmy Lambert: 0 GS, 329 Pitches, 26.8 K%, 12.2 BB%, 11.9 SwStr%, 46.2 Strike%, 38.9 Ball%, 38.8 GB%, 12 Brl%
Hunter Gaddis: 4 GS, 315 Pitches, 14.6 K%, 6.7 BB%, 7.6 SwStr%, 47.0 Strike%, 31.4 Ball%, 32.4 GB%, 2 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Jimmy Lambert (CWS): 80 Pitches 5.0 IP, 4.6 H, 2.4 ER, 3.7 K, 2.2 BB, 10.5 FPts
Hunter Gaddis (CLE): 84 Pitches 5.3 IP, 5.8 H, 2.8 ER, 3.9 K, 1.6 BB, 10.03 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Jimmy Lambert - Prop Not Found
Hunter Gaddis - 3.5 strikeouts

CWS Hitter Projections

1. Tim Anderson: 4.37 PA, 1.17 H, 1.76 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.16 SB, 8.11 FPts
2. Andrew Benintendi: 4.28 PA, 1.07 H, 1.52 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.08 SB, 7.37 FPts
3. Luis Robert: 4.16 PA, 1.12 H, 1.97 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.09 SB, 8.57 FPts
4. Yoan Moncada: 4.09 PA, 0.94 H, 1.57 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.56 FPts
5. Andrew Vaughn: 3.99 PA, 0.95 H, 1.62 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.07 FPts
6. Yasmani Grandal: 3.91 PA, 0.81 H, 1.43 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.0 SB, 7.19 FPts
7. Jake Burger: 3.73 PA, 0.86 H, 1.85 TB, 0.26 HR, 0.0 SB, 7.52 FPts
8. Gavin Sheets: 3.59 PA, 0.83 H, 1.45 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.0 SB, 6.3 FPts
9. Romy Gonzalez: 3.31 PA, 0.7 H, 1.18 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.06 SB, 5.33 FPts

CLE Hitter Projections

1. Steven Kwan: 4.42 PA, 1.09 H, 1.46 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.15 SB, 8.22 FPts
2. Amed Rosario: 4.33 PA, 1.03 H, 1.52 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.13 SB, 7.27 FPts
3. Jose Ramirez: 4.24 PA, 1.0 H, 1.69 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.19 SB, 8.99 FPts
4. Josh Naylor: 4.15 PA, 1.03 H, 1.81 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.21 FPts
5. Josh Bell: 4.02 PA, 0.87 H, 1.42 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.23 FPts
6. Andres Gimenez: 3.9 PA, 0.88 H, 1.31 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.15 SB, 6.78 FPts
7. Mike Zunino: 3.64 PA, 0.57 H, 1.24 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.0 SB, 5.65 FPts
8. Will Brennan: 3.69 PA, 0.88 H, 1.24 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.07 SB, 5.88 FPts
9. Myles Straw: 3.43 PA, 0.69 H, 0.93 TB, 0.03 HR, 0.18 SB, 5.91 FPts

Best Bets

Gavin Sheets CWS - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-155.0) - 0.069 value
Jake Burger CWS - One HR Over 0.5 (+475.0) - 0.055 value
Andrew Benintendi CWS - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-130.0) - 0.055 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Game not on slate


TEX @ PIT

Projected Game Score:

TEX 4.56 - PIT 3.8
TEX 54.6% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.0
Projected Total: 8.36

2023 Pitcher Stats

Dane Dunning: 3 GS, 537 Pitches, 16.0 K%, 4.9 BB%, 8.9 SwStr%, 43.8 Strike%, 35.6 Ball%, 51.4 GB%, 5 Brl%
Luis L. Ortiz: 2 GS, 155 Pitches, 9.1 K%, 11.4 BB%, 11.0 SwStr%, 38.1 Strike%, 39.4 Ball%, 51.4 GB%, 9 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Dane Dunning (TEX): 80 Pitches 5.0 IP, 4.6 H, 2.4 ER, 4.4 K, 2.0 BB, 12.13 FPts
Luis Ortiz (PIT): 80 Pitches 5.2 IP, 5.0 H, 2.6 ER, 4.5 K, 2.5 BB, 11.6 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Dane Dunning - 4.5 strikeouts
Luis Ortiz - 4.5 strikeouts

TEX Hitter Projections

1. Marcus Semien: 4.48 PA, 0.97 H, 1.55 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.16 SB, 8.14 FPts
2. Corey Seager: 4.38 PA, 1.1 H, 1.92 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.02 SB, 9.04 FPts
3. Nathaniel Lowe: 4.28 PA, 1.02 H, 1.6 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.04 FPts
4. Adolis Garcia: 4.18 PA, 0.92 H, 1.64 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.15 SB, 8.13 FPts
5. Josh Jung: 4.04 PA, 0.86 H, 1.44 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.47 FPts
6. Jonah Heim: 3.99 PA, 0.87 H, 1.45 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.85 FPts
7. Robbie Grossman: 3.81 PA, 0.71 H, 1.11 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.1 SB, 6.6 FPts
8. Ezequiel Duran: 3.67 PA, 0.85 H, 1.31 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.07 SB, 5.96 FPts
9. Leody Taveras: 3.45 PA, 0.76 H, 1.11 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.13 SB, 5.92 FPts

PIT Hitter Projections

1. Andrew McCutchen: 4.36 PA, 0.87 H, 1.44 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.07 SB, 7.21 FPts
2. Bryan Reynolds: 4.22 PA, 1.07 H, 1.87 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.06 SB, 8.49 FPts
3. Jack Suwinski: 4.12 PA, 0.79 H, 1.5 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.07 SB, 7.67 FPts
4. Carlos Santana: 4.09 PA, 0.84 H, 1.4 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.15 FPts
5. Ke'Bryan Hayes: 3.94 PA, 0.94 H, 1.4 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.15 SB, 7.14 FPts
6. Tucupita Marcano: 3.78 PA, 0.77 H, 1.11 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.05 SB, 5.29 FPts
7. Ji Hwan Bae: 3.78 PA, 0.81 H, 1.09 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.17 SB, 5.99 FPts
8. Josh Palacios: 3.64 PA, 0.79 H, 1.19 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.1 SB, 5.84 FPts
9. Austin Hedges: 3.2 PA, 0.56 H, 0.81 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.02 SB, 3.77 FPts

Best Bets

Ezequiel Duran TEX - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-160.0) - 0.094 value
Marcus Semien TEX - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-130.0) - 0.062 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Corey Seager (TEX) SS $4900: 9.04 Proj, 1.17 Score
Nathaniel Lowe (TEX) 1B $4000: 8.04 Proj, 1.1 Score
Adolis Garcia (TEX) OF $5000: 8.13 Proj, 1.09 Score
Marcus Semien (TEX) 2B $5200: 8.14 Proj, 1.08 Score
Robbie Grossman (TEX) OF $2500: 6.6 Proj, 1.06 Score

STL @ CIN

Projected Game Score:

STL 6.08 - CIN 4.32
STL 58.5% To Win
Vegas O/U: 10.0
Projected Total: 10.4

2023 Pitcher Stats

Jordan Montgomery: 8 GS, 841 Pitches, 21.3 K%, 5.8 BB%, 10.6 SwStr%, 44.6 Strike%, 36.1 Ball%, 45.7 GB%, 10 Brl%
Brandon Williamson: 1 GS, 72 Pitches, 30.0 K%, 10.0 BB%, 13.9 SwStr%, 48.6 Strike%, 34.7 Ball%, 50.0 GB%, 17 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Jordan Montgomery (STL): 92 Pitches 5.7 IP, 5.6 H, 2.6 ER, 5.7 K, 1.7 BB, 15.23 FPts
Brandon Williamson (CIN): 75 Pitches 4.7 IP, 4.6 H, 2.6 ER, 4.2 K, 2.3 BB, 9.96 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Jordan Montgomery - 5.5 strikeouts
Brandon Williamson - 4.5 strikeouts

STL Hitter Projections

1. Lars Nootbaar: 4.37 PA, 0.84 H, 1.47 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.08 SB, 8.56 FPts
2. Paul Goldschmidt: 4.42 PA, 1.12 H, 2.1 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.09 SB, 10.69 FPts
3. Willson Contreras: 4.33 PA, 0.93 H, 1.76 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.06 SB, 9.16 FPts
4. Nolan Arenado: 4.23 PA, 1.15 H, 2.24 TB, 0.27 HR, 0.04 SB, 10.37 FPts
5. Juan Yepez: 4.04 PA, 0.92 H, 1.67 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.57 FPts
6. Tommy Edman: 4.0 PA, 0.99 H, 1.64 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.21 SB, 8.68 FPts
7. Paul DeJong: 3.89 PA, 0.75 H, 1.48 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.35 FPts
8. Nolan Gorman: 3.7 PA, 0.8 H, 1.66 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.03 FPts
9. Oscar Mercado: 3.3 PA, 0.69 H, 1.16 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.12 SB, 6.24 FPts

CIN Hitter Projections

1. Jonathan India: 4.49 PA, 1.03 H, 1.61 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.09 SB, 7.86 FPts
2. Matt McLain: 4.5 PA, 0.92 H, 1.7 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.14 SB, 8.66 FPts
3. Nick Senzel: 4.34 PA, 1.07 H, 1.63 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.09 SB, 7.72 FPts
4. Spencer Steer: 4.33 PA, 0.95 H, 1.62 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.59 FPts
5. Tyler Stephenson: 4.08 PA, 1.04 H, 1.67 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.41 FPts
6. Stuart Fairchild: 3.81 PA, 0.76 H, 1.29 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.07 SB, 6.36 FPts
7. Wil Myers: 3.82 PA, 0.83 H, 1.37 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.45 FPts
8. Jose Barrero: 3.73 PA, 0.68 H, 1.04 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.08 SB, 5.07 FPts
9. Curt Casali: 3.39 PA, 0.64 H, 1.06 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.0 SB, 5.06 FPts

Best Bets

None

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Nolan Arenado (STL) 3B $5000: 10.37 Proj, 1.38 Score
Willson Contreras (STL) C $4300: 9.16 Proj, 1.34 Score
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) 1B $5800: 10.69 Proj, 1.34 Score
Juan Yepez (STL) OF $2200: 7.57 Proj, 1.27 Score
Tommy Edman (STL) 2B/OF $3800: 8.68 Proj, 1.24 Score


TOR @ TB

Projected Game Score:

TOR 5.14 - TB 4.46
TOR 53.6% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.0
Projected Total: 9.6

2023 Pitcher Stats

Chris Bassitt: 8 GS, 869 Pitches, 21.3 K%, 10.2 BB%, 10.0 SwStr%, 47.4 Strike%, 35.6 Ball%, 43.9 GB%, 8 Brl%
Trevor Kelley: 1 GS, 101 Pitches, 7.7 K%, 3.8 BB%, 8.9 SwStr%, 46.5 Strike%, 31.7 Ball%, 31.8 GB%, 9 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Chris Bassitt (TOR): 97 Pitches 6.0 IP, 5.6 H, 2.9 ER, 5.1 K, 2.1 BB, 13.66 FPts
Trevor Kelley (TB): 80 Pitches 4.4 IP, 4.5 H, 2.3 ER, 3.7 K, 1.5 BB, 9.93 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Chris Bassitt - 4.5 strikeouts
Trevor Kelley - Prop Not Found

TOR Hitter Projections

1. George Springer: 4.47 PA, 1.0 H, 1.7 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.11 SB, 8.34 FPts
2. Bo Bichette: 4.37 PA, 1.15 H, 1.94 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.12 SB, 8.9 FPts
3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: 4.3 PA, 1.08 H, 1.95 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.04 SB, 8.96 FPts
4. Brandon Belt: 4.05 PA, 0.85 H, 1.65 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.14 FPts
5. Matt Chapman: 4.08 PA, 0.87 H, 1.69 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.08 FPts
6. Danny Jansen: 3.96 PA, 0.88 H, 1.72 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.51 FPts
7. Daulton Varsho: 3.84 PA, 0.83 H, 1.53 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.11 SB, 7.44 FPts
8. Whit Merrifield: 3.63 PA, 0.85 H, 1.27 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.2 SB, 6.81 FPts
9. Kevin Kiermaier: 3.38 PA, 0.8 H, 1.2 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.11 SB, 6.15 FPts

TB Hitter Projections

1. Yandy Diaz: 4.42 PA, 1.07 H, 1.71 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.27 FPts
2. Wander Franco: 4.31 PA, 1.11 H, 1.77 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.13 SB, 8.52 FPts
3. Randy Arozarena: 4.28 PA, 0.97 H, 1.67 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.17 SB, 8.49 FPts
4. Brandon Lowe: 4.12 PA, 0.86 H, 1.67 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.04 SB, 8.11 FPts
5. Harold Ramirez: 4.03 PA, 1.01 H, 1.5 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.6 FPts
6. Isaac Paredes: 3.87 PA, 0.77 H, 1.24 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.0 SB, 5.81 FPts
7. Josh Lowe: 3.81 PA, 0.82 H, 1.4 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.14 SB, 7.11 FPts
8. Christian Bethancourt: 3.65 PA, 0.82 H, 1.4 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.86 FPts
9. Jose Siri: 3.44 PA, 0.64 H, 1.09 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.13 SB, 5.5 FPts

Best Bets

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Brandon Belt (TOR) 1B $2200: 8.14 Proj, 1.49 Score
Bo Bichette (TOR) SS $5100: 8.9 Proj, 1.21 Score
Danny Jansen (TOR) C $3400: 7.51 Proj, 1.2 Score
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 1B $5400: 8.96 Proj, 1.16 Score
George Springer (TOR) OF $4400: 8.34 Proj, 1.14 Score

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