DFS & Betting Game Previews - May 30th

An automated report of each game on the MLB slate with full projections, recommended bets, and the top DFS plays from each.

Jon A

May 30, 2023

∙ Paid

Game Previews 5/30/2023

TEX @ DET

Projected Game Score:

TEX 3.88 - DET 3.48

TEX 52.7% To Win

Vegas O/U: 9.0

Projected Total: 7.36

2023 Pitcher Stats

Martin Perez: 10 GS, 883 Pitches, 16.7 K%, 6.5 BB%, 9.4 SwStr%, 45.1 Strike%, 33.7 Ball%, 41.2 GB%, 6 Brl%

Alex Faedo: 4 GS, 324 Pitches, 26.8 K%, 1.2 BB%, 13.6 SwStr%, 50.6 Strike%, 31.2 Ball%, 28.8 GB%, 10 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Martin Perez (TEX): 89 Pitches 5.45 IP, 5.3 H, 2.4 ER, 4.9 K, 1.7 BB, 13.75 FPts

Alex Faedo (DET): 85 Pitches 5.21 IP, 5.1 H, 2.5 ER, 4.5 K, 1.9 BB, 12.2 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Martin Perez - 4.5 strikeouts

Alex Faedo - 4.5 strikeouts

TEX Hitter Projections

1. Marcus Semien: 4.17 PA, 0.94 H, 1.57 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.14 SB, 7.53 FPts

2. Corey Seager: 4.08 PA, 1.05 H, 1.87 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.24 FPts

3. Nathaniel Lowe: 3.99 PA, 0.96 H, 1.51 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.1 FPts

4. Adolis Garcia: 3.89 PA, 0.89 H, 1.63 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.13 SB, 7.53 FPts

5. Josh Jung: 3.76 PA, 0.87 H, 1.52 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.46 FPts

6. Jonah Heim: 3.72 PA, 0.82 H, 1.37 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.1 FPts

7. Robbie Grossman: 3.56 PA, 0.69 H, 1.09 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.08 SB, 5.86 FPts

8. Travis Jankowski: 3.34 PA, 0.68 H, 0.88 TB, 0.02 HR, 0.16 SB, 5.53 FPts

9. Leody Taveras: 3.22 PA, 0.75 H, 1.11 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.11 SB, 5.44 FPts

DET Hitter Projections

1. Zack Short: 4.23 PA, 0.78 H, 1.35 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.63 FPts

2. Javier Baez: 4.22 PA, 0.96 H, 1.5 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.11 SB, 6.84 FPts

3. Riley Greene: 4.22 PA, 1.0 H, 1.51 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.1 FPts

4. Spencer Torkelson: 4.12 PA, 0.91 H, 1.53 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.83 FPts

5. Eric Haase: 3.96 PA, 0.91 H, 1.59 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.62 FPts

6. Jonathan Schoop: 3.81 PA, 0.89 H, 1.41 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.89 FPts

7. Miguel Cabrera: 3.76 PA, 0.84 H, 1.21 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.0 SB, 5.32 FPts

8. Tyler Nevin: 3.39 PA, 0.63 H, 0.94 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.01 SB, 4.55 FPts

9. Jake Rogers: 3.33 PA, 0.67 H, 1.14 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.22 FPts

Best Bets

Leody Taveras TEX - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-205.0) - 0.103 value

Jonah Heim TEX - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-160.0) - 0.078 value

Marcus Semien TEX - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-125.0) - 0.074 value

Nathaniel Lowe TEX - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-140.0) - 0.064 value

Martin Perez TEX - Strikeouts Over 4.5 (+110.0) - 0.064 value

Adolis Garcia TEX - Runs Scored Under 0.5 (-120.0) - 0.055 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Game not on slate

SD @ MIA

Projected Game Score:

MIA 4.62 - SD 4.12

MIA 52.9% To Win

Vegas O/U: 8.0

Projected Total: 8.74

2023 Pitcher Stats

Sandy Alcantara: 10 GS, 955 Pitches, 21.6 K%, 7.6 BB%, 14.7 SwStr%, 48.3 Strike%, 32.5 Ball%, 45.7 GB%, 6 Brl%

Ryan Weathers: 5 GS, 485 Pitches, 15.3 K%, 9.3 BB%, 9.1 SwStr%, 43.5 Strike%, 38.4 Ball%, 36.4 GB%, 3 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Sandy Alcantara (MIA): 103 Pitches 6.53 IP, 5.8 H, 3.0 ER, 6.1 K, 2.6 BB, 16.36 FPts

Ryan Weathers (SD): 87 Pitches 5.29 IP, 5.8 H, 2.6 ER, 3.6 K, 1.9 BB, 9.81 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Sandy Alcantara - 5.5 strikeouts

Ryan Weathers - 3.5 strikeouts

SD Hitter Projections

1. Jake Cronenworth: 4.21 PA, 0.93 H, 1.49 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.94 FPts

2. Fernando Tatis Jr.: 4.12 PA, 0.95 H, 1.83 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.19 SB, 8.9 FPts

3. Juan Soto: 3.99 PA, 0.86 H, 1.52 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.06 SB, 8.46 FPts

4. Xander Bogaerts: 3.89 PA, 0.95 H, 1.44 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.88 FPts

5. Rougned Odor: 3.8 PA, 0.77 H, 1.31 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.04 FPts

6. Matt Carpenter: 3.65 PA, 0.67 H, 1.24 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.18 FPts

7. Gary Sanchez: 3.58 PA, 0.67 H, 1.23 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.54 FPts

8. Trent Grisham: 3.46 PA, 0.66 H, 1.18 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.07 SB, 5.93 FPts

9. Ha-Seong Kim: 3.21 PA, 0.69 H, 1.04 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.09 SB, 5.19 FPts

MIA Hitter Projections

1. Bryan De La Cruz: 4.48 PA, 1.18 H, 1.91 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.33 FPts

2. Jorge Soler: 4.42 PA, 0.98 H, 2.08 TB, 0.28 HR, 0.01 SB, 9.24 FPts

3. Luis Arraez: 4.29 PA, 1.15 H, 1.52 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.37 FPts

4. Garrett Cooper: 4.18 PA, 1.02 H, 1.64 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.61 FPts

5. Yuli Gurriel: 4.11 PA, 1.02 H, 1.41 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.63 FPts

6. Jean Segura: 3.99 PA, 1.03 H, 1.43 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.1 SB, 6.91 FPts

7. Jon Berti: 3.87 PA, 0.85 H, 1.27 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.3 SB, 7.93 FPts

8. Jacob Stallings: 3.68 PA, 0.82 H, 1.22 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.0 SB, 5.76 FPts

9. Garrett Hampson: 3.38 PA, 0.77 H, 1.17 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.17 SB, 6.34 FPts

Best Bets

Jon Berti MIA - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-170.0) - 0.079 value

Bryan De La Cruz MIA - Total Bases Over 1.5 (+140.0) - 0.071 value

Bryan De La Cruz MIA - Runs Scored Over 0.5 (+130.0) - 0.068 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Game not on slate

CLE @ BAL

Projected Game Score:

CLE 4.86 - BAL 4.46

CLE 52.1% To Win

Vegas O/U: 9.0

Projected Total: 9.32

2023 Pitcher Stats

Kyle Gibson: 11 GS, 1006 Pitches, 16.2 K%, 8.1 BB%, 10.0 SwStr%, 42.2 Strike%, 37.5 Ball%, 46.6 GB%, 7 Brl%

Cal Quantrill: 10 GS, 908 Pitches, 12.4 K%, 7.5 BB%, 7.6 SwStr%, 39.6 Strike%, 39.5 Ball%, 41.8 GB%, 8 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Kyle Gibson (BAL): 94 Pitches 5.51 IP, 6.0 H, 2.8 ER, 3.4 K, 1.8 BB, 9.71 FPts

Cal Quantrill (CLE): 77 Pitches 4.61 IP, 5.0 H, 2.4 ER, 2.8 K, 1.6 BB, 7.81 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Kyle Gibson - 3.5 strikeouts

Cal Quantrill - 3.5 strikeouts

CLE Hitter Projections

1. Steven Kwan: 4.57 PA, 1.22 H, 1.64 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.15 SB, 8.72 FPts

2. Amed Rosario: 4.48 PA, 1.16 H, 1.66 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.14 SB, 7.89 FPts

3. Jose Ramirez: 4.38 PA, 1.1 H, 1.83 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.18 SB, 9.37 FPts

4. Josh Naylor: 4.29 PA, 1.15 H, 1.97 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.78 FPts

5. Josh Bell: 4.16 PA, 1.0 H, 1.63 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.84 FPts

6. Andres Gimenez: 4.03 PA, 0.99 H, 1.46 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.16 SB, 7.39 FPts

7. Will Brennan: 3.95 PA, 1.04 H, 1.46 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.81 FPts

8. Mike Zunino: 3.64 PA, 0.65 H, 1.37 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.0 SB, 6.01 FPts

9. Myles Straw: 3.55 PA, 0.79 H, 1.03 TB, 0.03 HR, 0.18 SB, 6.13 FPts

BAL Hitter Projections

1. Adam Frazier: 4.32 PA, 1.1 H, 1.51 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.1 SB, 7.35 FPts

2. Adley Rutschman: 4.33 PA, 1.01 H, 1.68 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.39 FPts

3. Anthony Santander: 4.24 PA, 1.02 H, 1.94 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.01 SB, 8.37 FPts

4. Ryan Mountcastle: 4.12 PA, 0.99 H, 1.84 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.95 FPts

5. Gunnar Henderson: 3.99 PA, 0.85 H, 1.47 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.08 SB, 7.72 FPts

6. Austin Hays: 3.88 PA, 0.96 H, 1.59 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.85 FPts

7. Terrin Vavra: 3.52 PA, 0.87 H, 1.22 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.05 SB, 5.75 FPts

8. Jorge Mateo: 3.61 PA, 0.77 H, 1.24 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.28 SB, 6.9 FPts

9. Ryan O'Hearn: 3.24 PA, 0.79 H, 1.28 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.0 SB, 5.36 FPts

Best Bets

Cal Quantrill CLE - Strikeouts Under 3.5 (-130.0) - 0.116 value

CLE - MoneyLine (+120.0) - 0.066 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Josh Naylor (CLE) 1B $3000: 8.78 Proj, 1.35 Score

Josh Bell (CLE) 1B $2400: 7.84 Proj, 1.31 Score

Jose Ramirez (CLE) 3B $5200: 9.37 Proj, 1.23 Score

Steven Kwan (CLE) OF $3900: 8.72 Proj, 1.17 Score

Adam Frazier (BAL) 2B $2700: 7.35 Proj, 1.12 Score

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JonPGH MLB Data Warehouse

DFS & Betting Game Previews - May 30th

An automated report of each game on the MLB slate with full projections, recommended bets, and the top DFS plays from each.

Game Previews 5/30/2023

TEX @ DET

Projected Game Score:

TEX 3.88 - DET 3.48

TEX 52.7% To Win

Vegas O/U: 9.0

Projected Total: 7.36

2023 Pitcher Stats

Martin Perez: 10 GS, 883 Pitches, 16.7 K%, 6.5 BB%, 9.4 SwStr%, 45.1 Strike%, 33.7 Ball%, 41.2 GB%, 6 Brl%

Alex Faedo: 4 GS, 324 Pitches, 26.8 K%, 1.2 BB%, 13.6 SwStr%, 50.6 Strike%, 31.2 Ball%, 28.8 GB%, 10 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Martin Perez (TEX): 89 Pitches 5.45 IP, 5.3 H, 2.4 ER, 4.9 K, 1.7 BB, 13.75 FPts

Alex Faedo (DET): 85 Pitches 5.21 IP, 5.1 H, 2.5 ER, 4.5 K, 1.9 BB, 12.2 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Martin Perez - 4.5 strikeouts

Alex Faedo - 4.5 strikeouts

TEX Hitter Projections

1. Marcus Semien: 4.17 PA, 0.94 H, 1.57 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.14 SB, 7.53 FPts

2. Corey Seager: 4.08 PA, 1.05 H, 1.87 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.24 FPts

3. Nathaniel Lowe: 3.99 PA, 0.96 H, 1.51 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.1 FPts

4. Adolis Garcia: 3.89 PA, 0.89 H, 1.63 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.13 SB, 7.53 FPts

5. Josh Jung: 3.76 PA, 0.87 H, 1.52 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.46 FPts

6. Jonah Heim: 3.72 PA, 0.82 H, 1.37 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.1 FPts

7. Robbie Grossman: 3.56 PA, 0.69 H, 1.09 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.08 SB, 5.86 FPts

8. Travis Jankowski: 3.34 PA, 0.68 H, 0.88 TB, 0.02 HR, 0.16 SB, 5.53 FPts

9. Leody Taveras: 3.22 PA, 0.75 H, 1.11 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.11 SB, 5.44 FPts

DET Hitter Projections

1. Zack Short: 4.23 PA, 0.78 H, 1.35 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.63 FPts

2. Javier Baez: 4.22 PA, 0.96 H, 1.5 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.11 SB, 6.84 FPts

3. Riley Greene: 4.22 PA, 1.0 H, 1.51 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.1 FPts

4. Spencer Torkelson: 4.12 PA, 0.91 H, 1.53 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.83 FPts

5. Eric Haase: 3.96 PA, 0.91 H, 1.59 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.62 FPts

6. Jonathan Schoop: 3.81 PA, 0.89 H, 1.41 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.89 FPts

7. Miguel Cabrera: 3.76 PA, 0.84 H, 1.21 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.0 SB, 5.32 FPts

8. Tyler Nevin: 3.39 PA, 0.63 H, 0.94 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.01 SB, 4.55 FPts

9. Jake Rogers: 3.33 PA, 0.67 H, 1.14 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.22 FPts

Best Bets

Leody Taveras TEX - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-205.0) - 0.103 value

Jonah Heim TEX - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-160.0) - 0.078 value

Marcus Semien TEX - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-125.0) - 0.074 value

Nathaniel Lowe TEX - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-140.0) - 0.064 value

Martin Perez TEX - Strikeouts Over 4.5 (+110.0) - 0.064 value

Adolis Garcia TEX - Runs Scored Under 0.5 (-120.0) - 0.055 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Game not on slate

SD @ MIA

Projected Game Score:

MIA 4.62 - SD 4.12

MIA 52.9% To Win

Vegas O/U: 8.0

Projected Total: 8.74

2023 Pitcher Stats

Sandy Alcantara: 10 GS, 955 Pitches, 21.6 K%, 7.6 BB%, 14.7 SwStr%, 48.3 Strike%, 32.5 Ball%, 45.7 GB%, 6 Brl%

Ryan Weathers: 5 GS, 485 Pitches, 15.3 K%, 9.3 BB%, 9.1 SwStr%, 43.5 Strike%, 38.4 Ball%, 36.4 GB%, 3 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Sandy Alcantara (MIA): 103 Pitches 6.53 IP, 5.8 H, 3.0 ER, 6.1 K, 2.6 BB, 16.36 FPts

Ryan Weathers (SD): 87 Pitches 5.29 IP, 5.8 H, 2.6 ER, 3.6 K, 1.9 BB, 9.81 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Sandy Alcantara - 5.5 strikeouts

Ryan Weathers - 3.5 strikeouts

SD Hitter Projections

1. Jake Cronenworth: 4.21 PA, 0.93 H, 1.49 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.94 FPts

2. Fernando Tatis Jr.: 4.12 PA, 0.95 H, 1.83 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.19 SB, 8.9 FPts

3. Juan Soto: 3.99 PA, 0.86 H, 1.52 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.06 SB, 8.46 FPts

4. Xander Bogaerts: 3.89 PA, 0.95 H, 1.44 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.88 FPts

5. Rougned Odor: 3.8 PA, 0.77 H, 1.31 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.04 FPts

6. Matt Carpenter: 3.65 PA, 0.67 H, 1.24 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.18 FPts

7. Gary Sanchez: 3.58 PA, 0.67 H, 1.23 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.54 FPts

8. Trent Grisham: 3.46 PA, 0.66 H, 1.18 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.07 SB, 5.93 FPts

9. Ha-Seong Kim: 3.21 PA, 0.69 H, 1.04 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.09 SB, 5.19 FPts

MIA Hitter Projections

1. Bryan De La Cruz: 4.48 PA, 1.18 H, 1.91 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.33 FPts

2. Jorge Soler: 4.42 PA, 0.98 H, 2.08 TB, 0.28 HR, 0.01 SB, 9.24 FPts

3. Luis Arraez: 4.29 PA, 1.15 H, 1.52 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.37 FPts

4. Garrett Cooper: 4.18 PA, 1.02 H, 1.64 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.61 FPts

5. Yuli Gurriel: 4.11 PA, 1.02 H, 1.41 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.63 FPts

6. Jean Segura: 3.99 PA, 1.03 H, 1.43 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.1 SB, 6.91 FPts