DFS & Betting Game Previews - May 28th
An automated report of each game on the MLB slate with full projections, recommended bets, and the top DFS plays from each.
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Game Previews 5/28/2023
TEX @ BAL
Projected Game Score:
BAL 4.88 - TEX 4.62
BAL 51.4% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.0
Projected Total: 9.5
2023 Pitcher Stats
Kyle Bradish: 8 GS, 638 Pitches, 19.8 K%, 8.0 BB%, 11.3 SwStr%, 45.3 Strike%, 36.7 Ball%, 42.6 GB%, 10 Brl%
Cody Bradford: 1 GS, 90 Pitches, 13.0 K%, 8.7 BB%, 8.9 SwStr%, 42.2 Strike%, 37.8 Ball%, 27.8 GB%, 28 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Kyle Bradish (BAL): 93 Pitches 5.68 IP, 5.5 H, 2.8 ER, 5.2 K, 2.3 BB, 13.85 FPts
Cody Bradford (TEX): 90 Pitches 5.42 IP, 5.4 H, 2.7 ER, 5.0 K, 1.8 BB, 13.05 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Kyle Bradish - 4.5 strikeouts
Cody Bradford - 4.5 strikeouts
TEX Hitter Projections
1. Marcus Semien: 4.45 PA, 0.98 H, 1.58 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.15 SB, 7.99 FPts
2. Corey Seager: 4.35 PA, 1.13 H, 2.04 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.02 SB, 9.24 FPts
3. Nathaniel Lowe: 4.26 PA, 1.04 H, 1.67 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.08 FPts
4. Adolis Garcia: 4.16 PA, 0.93 H, 1.67 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.15 SB, 8.15 FPts
5. Josh Jung: 4.02 PA, 0.9 H, 1.57 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.8 FPts
6. Jonah Heim: 3.97 PA, 0.88 H, 1.5 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.82 FPts
7. Travis Jankowski: 3.69 PA, 0.79 H, 1.03 TB, 0.03 HR, 0.18 SB, 6.54 FPts
8. Robbie Grossman: 3.67 PA, 0.69 H, 1.09 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.25 FPts
9. Leody Taveras: 3.44 PA, 0.8 H, 1.18 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.12 SB, 6.0 FPts
BAL Hitter Projections
1. Cedric Mullins II: 4.52 PA, 1.05 H, 1.63 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.26 SB, 8.82 FPts
2. Adley Rutschman: 4.41 PA, 1.03 H, 1.73 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.72 FPts
3. Austin Hays: 4.25 PA, 1.05 H, 1.76 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.82 FPts
4. Anthony Santander: 4.23 PA, 1.0 H, 1.88 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.01 SB, 8.44 FPts
5. Ryan Mountcastle: 4.09 PA, 1.03 H, 1.92 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.04 SB, 8.3 FPts
6. Ramon Urias: 3.96 PA, 0.94 H, 1.51 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.94 FPts
7. Gunnar Henderson: 3.85 PA, 0.76 H, 1.26 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.07 SB, 6.85 FPts
8. James McCann: 3.56 PA, 0.79 H, 1.27 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.75 FPts
9. Jorge Mateo: 3.42 PA, 0.71 H, 1.12 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.27 SB, 6.51 FPts
Best Bets
Cody Bradford TEX - Strikeouts Over 4.5 (+125.0) - 0.11 value
James McCann BAL - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-185.0) - 0.078 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Adley Rutschman (BAL) C $4900: 8.72 Proj, 1.23 Score
Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) 1B $4200: 8.3 Proj, 1.2 Score
Cedric Mullins II (BAL) OF $5300: 8.82 Proj, 1.17 Score
Anthony Santander (BAL) OF $4300: 8.44 Proj, 1.16 Score
Austin Hays (BAL) OF $3500: 7.82 Proj, 1.14 Score
SD @ NYY
Projected Game Score:
NYY 4.64 - SD 4.53
NYY 50.6% To Win
Vegas O/U: 7.5
Projected Total: 9.17
2023 Pitcher Stats
Gerrit Cole: 11 GS, 1093 Pitches, 25.1 K%, 8.0 BB%, 12.1 SwStr%, 49.0 Strike%, 34.3 Ball%, 43.4 GB%, 9 Brl%
Yu Darvish: 9 GS, 848 Pitches, 26.1 K%, 7.3 BB%, 13.2 SwStr%, 47.9 Strike%, 35.5 Ball%, 42.6 GB%, 7 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Gerrit Cole (NYY): 99 Pitches 6.12 IP, 5.1 H, 2.8 ER, 6.4 K, 2.6 BB, 17.21 FPts
Yu Darvish (SD): 92 Pitches 5.7 IP, 5.5 H, 2.7 ER, 5.2 K, 1.6 BB, 14.06 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Gerrit Cole - 7.5 strikeouts
Yu Darvish - 5.5 strikeouts
SD Hitter Projections
1. Fernando Tatis Jr.: 4.52 PA, 0.98 H, 1.98 TB, 0.27 HR, 0.2 SB, 9.65 FPts
2. Jake Cronenworth: 4.4 PA, 0.89 H, 1.45 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.11 FPts
3. Juan Soto: 4.28 PA, 0.85 H, 1.59 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.06 SB, 9.15 FPts
4. Xander Bogaerts: 4.17 PA, 0.96 H, 1.51 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.43 FPts
5. Matt Carpenter: 4.01 PA, 0.68 H, 1.32 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.84 FPts
6. Rougned Odor: 3.97 PA, 0.75 H, 1.33 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.18 FPts
7. Ha-Seong Kim: 3.82 PA, 0.77 H, 1.2 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.1 SB, 6.05 FPts
8. Trent Grisham: 3.7 PA, 0.64 H, 1.19 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.07 SB, 6.17 FPts
9. Austin Nola: 3.35 PA, 0.69 H, 0.95 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.02 SB, 4.73 FPts
NYY Hitter Projections
1. Gleyber Torres: 4.49 PA, 0.98 H, 1.59 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.11 SB, 7.65 FPts
2. Aaron Judge: 4.38 PA, 1.11 H, 2.43 TB, 0.37 HR, 0.07 SB, 10.97 FPts
3. Anthony Rizzo: 4.29 PA, 0.96 H, 1.85 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.04 SB, 8.5 FPts
4. D.J. LeMahieu: 4.18 PA, 0.95 H, 1.43 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.06 FPts
5. Harrison Bader: 4.04 PA, 0.93 H, 1.5 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.15 SB, 7.18 FPts
6. Willie Calhoun: 3.8 PA, 0.87 H, 1.34 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.13 FPts
7. Isiah Kiner-Falefa: 3.79 PA, 0.92 H, 1.27 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.14 SB, 6.25 FPts
8. Kyle Higashioka: 3.49 PA, 0.68 H, 1.24 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.29 FPts
9. Anthony Volpe: 3.47 PA, 0.77 H, 1.34 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.14 SB, 6.78 FPts
Best Bets
Gerrit Cole NYY - Strikeouts Under 7.5 (-140.0) - 0.101 value
Yu Darvish SD - Strikeouts Under 5.5 (+100.0) - 0.079 value
Anthony Rizzo NYY - Runs Scored Over 0.5 (+145.0) - 0.075 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Aaron Judge (NYY) OF $6300: 10.97 Proj, 1.39 Score
Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) OF $6100: 9.65 Proj, 1.21 Score
Juan Soto (SD) OF $6000: 9.15 Proj, 1.1 Score
Isiah Kiner-Falefa (NYY) 3B/OF $2000: 6.25 Proj, 1.09 Score
D.J. LeMahieu (NYY) 3B $2800: 7.06 Proj, 1.06 Score
STL @ CLE
Projected Game Score:
STL 4.96 - CLE 4.44
STL 52.8% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.0
Projected Total: 9.4
2023 Pitcher Stats
Jordan Montgomery: 9 GS, 929 Pitches, 21.1 K%, 6.5 BB%, 11.0 SwStr%, 45.0 Strike%, 36.1 Ball%, 44.9 GB%, 10 Brl%
Hunter Gaddis: 5 GS, 405 Pitches, 15.5 K%, 6.4 BB%, 9.1 SwStr%, 44.7 Strike%, 34.8 Ball%, 28.9 GB%, 1 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Jordan Montgomery (STL): 92 Pitches 5.56 IP, 5.9 H, 2.7 ER, 4.3 K, 1.5 BB, 12.09 FPts
Hunter Gaddis (CLE): 85 Pitches 5.36 IP, 5.6 H, 2.9 ER, 3.6 K, 2.0 BB, 9.26 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Jordan Montgomery - 4.5 strikeouts
Hunter Gaddis - 3.5 strikeouts
STL Hitter Projections
1. Lars Nootbaar: 4.26 PA, 0.95 H, 1.67 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.08 SB, 8.57 FPts
2. Paul Goldschmidt: 4.31 PA, 1.06 H, 1.92 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.08 SB, 9.2 FPts
3. Nolan Gorman: 4.14 PA, 1.01 H, 2.03 TB, 0.26 HR, 0.04 SB, 9.32 FPts
4. Nolan Arenado: 4.11 PA, 1.03 H, 1.83 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.17 FPts
5. Brendan Donovan: 3.95 PA, 0.95 H, 1.43 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.54 FPts
6. Paul DeJong: 3.9 PA, 0.77 H, 1.49 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.83 FPts
7. Alec Burleson: 3.56 PA, 0.85 H, 1.41 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.2 FPts
8. Tommy Edman: 3.66 PA, 0.89 H, 1.38 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.19 SB, 7.18 FPts
9. Andrew Knizner: 3.24 PA, 0.64 H, 1.01 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.01 SB, 4.75 FPts
CLE Hitter Projections
1. Steven Kwan: 4.48 PA, 1.17 H, 1.48 TB, 0.03 HR, 0.13 SB, 7.6 FPts
2. Amed Rosario: 4.39 PA, 1.13 H, 1.7 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.13 SB, 7.85 FPts
3. Jose Ramirez: 4.3 PA, 1.06 H, 1.87 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.16 SB, 8.98 FPts
4. Josh Bell: 4.19 PA, 0.99 H, 1.59 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.66 FPts
5. Gabriel Arias: 4.05 PA, 0.82 H, 1.36 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.3 FPts
6. Tyler Freeman: 3.93 PA, 0.99 H, 1.5 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.88 FPts
7. Mike Zunino: 3.69 PA, 0.68 H, 1.55 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.0 SB, 6.62 FPts
8. David Fry: 3.75 PA, 0.86 H, 1.51 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.45 FPts
9. Myles Straw: 3.48 PA, 0.78 H, 1.0 TB, 0.02 HR, 0.18 SB, 5.89 FPts
Best Bets
Hunter Gaddis CLE - Strikeouts Under 3.5 (+125.0) - 0.08 value
Alec Burleson STL - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-150.0) - 0.071 value
Brendan Donovan STL - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-155.0) - 0.056 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Nolan Gorman (STL) 2B $4700: 9.32 Proj, 1.32 Score
Josh Bell (CLE) 1B $2500: 7.66 Proj, 1.27 Score
Lars Nootbaar (STL) OF $3900: 8.57 Proj, 1.25 Score
Brendan Donovan (STL) 1B/OF $2600: 7.54 Proj, 1.23 Score
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) 1B $5500: 9.2 Proj, 1.22 Score
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