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DFS & Betting Game Previews - May 23rd

DFS & Betting Game Previews - May 23rd

An automated report of each game on the MLB slate with full projections, recommended bets, and the top DFS plays from each.

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Jon A
May 23, 2023
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DFS & Betting Game Previews - May 23rd
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Game Previews May 23


CWS @ CLE

Projected Game Score:

CLE 4.5 - CWS 4.28
CLE 51.3% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.5
Projected Total: 8.78

2023 Pitcher Stats

Logan Allen: 5 GS, 480 Pitches, 24.4 K%, 6.7 BB%, 12.9 SwStr%, 48.1 Strike%, 35.0 Ball%, 39.5 GB%, 10 Brl%
Dylan Cease: 10 GS, 979 Pitches, 24.2 K%, 9.3 BB%, 12.5 SwStr%, 46.3 Strike%, 38.2 Ball%, 39.5 GB%, 8 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Logan Allen (CLE): 93 Pitches 5.3 IP, 5.6 H, 2.7 ER, 5.6 K, 1.6 BB, 14.02 FPts
Dylan Cease (CWS): 94 Pitches 5.7 IP, 5.3 H, 2.6 ER, 4.8 K, 2.2 BB, 13.25 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Logan Allen - 4.5 strikeouts
Dylan Cease - 5.5 strikeouts

CWS Hitter Projections

1. Tim Anderson: 4.36 PA, 1.22 H, 1.81 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.17 SB, 8.25 FPts
2. Andrew Vaughn: 4.29 PA, 1.02 H, 1.72 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.57 FPts
3. Luis Robert: 4.15 PA, 1.13 H, 1.97 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.09 SB, 8.5 FPts
4. Yoan Moncada: 4.09 PA, 0.9 H, 1.45 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.83 FPts
5. Jake Burger: 3.94 PA, 0.89 H, 1.82 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.53 FPts
6. Yasmani Grandal: 3.91 PA, 0.73 H, 1.14 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.0 SB, 6.23 FPts
7. Jackson Frazier: 3.82 PA, 0.68 H, 1.18 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.24 FPts
8. Andrew Benintendi: 3.65 PA, 0.92 H, 1.26 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.07 SB, 6.05 FPts
9. Romy Gonzalez: 3.31 PA, 0.69 H, 1.16 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.07 SB, 5.29 FPts

CLE Hitter Projections

1. Steven Kwan: 4.61 PA, 1.15 H, 1.53 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.15 SB, 8.48 FPts
2. Amed Rosario: 4.52 PA, 1.06 H, 1.55 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.13 SB, 7.42 FPts
3. Jose Ramirez: 4.42 PA, 1.01 H, 1.7 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.19 SB, 9.08 FPts
4. Josh Naylor: 4.34 PA, 1.07 H, 1.88 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.46 FPts
5. Josh Bell: 4.2 PA, 0.89 H, 1.45 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.35 FPts
6. Andres Gimenez: 4.08 PA, 0.91 H, 1.37 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.15 SB, 7.0 FPts
7. Mike Zunino: 3.8 PA, 0.57 H, 1.23 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.0 SB, 5.57 FPts
8. Will Brennan: 3.85 PA, 0.9 H, 1.26 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.07 SB, 5.98 FPts
9. Myles Straw: 3.58 PA, 0.71 H, 0.95 TB, 0.03 HR, 0.18 SB, 5.97 FPts

Best Bets

Yasmani Grandal CWS - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-210.0) - 0.104 value
Andrew Benintendi CWS - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-180.0) - 0.071 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Jose Ramirez (CLE) 3B $14100: 9.08 Proj, 0.95 Score
Luis Robert (CWS) OF $12000: 8.5 Proj, 0.93 Score
Jake Burger (CWS) 3B $9300: 7.53 Proj, 0.88 Score
Josh Naylor (CLE) 1B $9600: 8.46 Proj, 0.87 Score
Andrew Vaughn (CWS) 1B $8400: 7.57 Proj, 0.85 Score


TEX @ PIT

Projected Game Score:

TEX 4.54 - PIT 3.42
TEX 57.0% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.0
Projected Total: 7.96

2023 Pitcher Stats

Nathan Eovaldi: 9 GS, 872 Pitches, 26.2 K%, 4.3 BB%, 13.6 SwStr%, 47.8 Strike%, 33.7 Ball%, 52.2 GB%, 4 Brl%
Rich Hill: 9 GS, 796 Pitches, 21.3 K%, 7.4 BB%, 9.0 SwStr%, 47.6 Strike%, 34.4 Ball%, 35.0 GB%, 13 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Nathan Eovaldi (TEX): 98 Pitches 6.0 IP, 5.5 H, 2.4 ER, 6.1 K, 1.4 BB, 17.63 FPts
Rich Hill (PIT): 80 Pitches 5.0 IP, 4.9 H, 2.4 ER, 4.5 K, 1.5 BB, 12.03 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Nathan Eovaldi - 6.5 strikeouts
Rich Hill - 4.5 strikeouts

TEX Hitter Projections

1. Marcus Semien: 4.52 PA, 1.0 H, 1.65 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.15 SB, 8.24 FPts
2. Corey Seager: 4.42 PA, 1.09 H, 1.94 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.56 FPts
3. Nathaniel Lowe: 4.33 PA, 1.05 H, 1.66 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.8 FPts
4. Adolis Garcia: 4.22 PA, 0.93 H, 1.72 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.14 SB, 8.21 FPts
5. Josh Jung: 4.08 PA, 0.91 H, 1.6 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.95 FPts
6. Jonah Heim: 4.04 PA, 0.92 H, 1.6 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.05 FPts
7. Robbie Grossman: 3.85 PA, 0.74 H, 1.12 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.31 FPts
8. Ezequiel Duran: 3.71 PA, 0.89 H, 1.48 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.07 SB, 6.48 FPts
9. Leody Taveras: 3.49 PA, 0.77 H, 1.16 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.11 SB, 5.74 FPts

PIT Hitter Projections

1. Andrew McCutchen: 4.45 PA, 0.89 H, 1.47 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.07 SB, 6.81 FPts
2. Bryan Reynolds: 4.3 PA, 1.07 H, 1.84 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.93 FPts
3. Jack Suwinski: 4.2 PA, 0.81 H, 1.53 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.16 FPts
4. Carlos Santana: 4.18 PA, 0.87 H, 1.45 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.74 FPts
5. Ke'Bryan Hayes: 4.02 PA, 0.95 H, 1.42 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.13 SB, 6.77 FPts
6. Tucupita Marcano: 3.86 PA, 0.8 H, 1.18 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.05 SB, 5.31 FPts
7. Ji Hwan Bae: 3.85 PA, 0.82 H, 1.12 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.15 SB, 5.63 FPts
8. Josh Palacios: 3.71 PA, 0.8 H, 1.21 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.09 SB, 5.56 FPts
9. Austin Hedges: 3.27 PA, 0.56 H, 0.81 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.01 SB, 3.5 FPts

Best Bets

Leody Taveras TEX - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-200.0) - 0.088 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Corey Seager (TEX) SS $5100: 8.56 Proj, 1.08 Score
Adolis Garcia (TEX) OF $5300: 8.21 Proj, 1.06 Score
Marcus Semien (TEX) 2B $5800: 8.24 Proj, 1.04 Score
Nathaniel Lowe (TEX) 1B $4300: 7.8 Proj, 1.04 Score
Bryan Reynolds (PIT) OF $5400: 7.93 Proj, 1.01 Score


STL @ CIN

Projected Game Score:

STL 6.3 - CIN 4.3
STL 59.4% To Win
Vegas O/U: 10.0
Projected Total: 10.6

2023 Pitcher Stats

Adam Wainwright: 3 GS, 272 Pitches, 11.3 K%, 5.6 BB%, 5.1 SwStr%, 40.4 Strike%, 37.9 Ball%, 33.9 GB%, 14 Brl%
Graham Ashcraft: 9 GS, 797 Pitches, 17.1 K%, 9.5 BB%, 10.2 SwStr%, 43.9 Strike%, 36.8 Ball%, 49.4 GB%, 4 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Adam Wainwright (STL): 92 Pitches 5.6 IP, 5.6 H, 2.7 ER, 5.2 K, 1.8 BB, 13.85 FPts
Graham Ashcraft (CIN): 85 Pitches 5.3 IP, 5.8 H, 3.0 ER, 3.7 K, 2.3 BB, 8.91 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Adam Wainwright - 4.5 strikeouts
Graham Ashcraft - 4.5 strikeouts

STL Hitter Projections

1. Lars Nootbaar: 4.5 PA, 0.97 H, 1.68 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.09 SB, 9.32 FPts
2. Paul Goldschmidt: 4.55 PA, 1.15 H, 2.06 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.09 SB, 10.36 FPts
3. Nolan Gorman: 4.37 PA, 1.06 H, 2.15 TB, 0.29 HR, 0.04 SB, 10.32 FPts
4. Nolan Arenado: 4.35 PA, 1.15 H, 2.05 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.04 SB, 9.51 FPts
5. Willson Contreras: 4.25 PA, 0.96 H, 1.72 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.06 SB, 8.83 FPts
6. Brendan Donovan: 4.06 PA, 1.02 H, 1.52 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.18 FPts
7. Paul DeJong: 4.0 PA, 0.81 H, 1.54 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.45 FPts
8. Alec Burleson: 3.64 PA, 0.88 H, 1.46 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.79 FPts
9. Tommy Edman: 3.59 PA, 0.92 H, 1.4 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.21 SB, 7.67 FPts

CIN Hitter Projections

1. Jonathan India: 4.35 PA, 0.98 H, 1.52 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.08 SB, 7.43 FPts
2. Matt McLain: 4.36 PA, 0.87 H, 1.58 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.13 SB, 8.1 FPts
3. Jake Fraley: 4.21 PA, 0.86 H, 1.46 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.14 SB, 8.09 FPts
4. Spencer Steer: 4.18 PA, 0.9 H, 1.53 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.15 FPts
5. Tyler Stephenson: 3.94 PA, 0.98 H, 1.57 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.06 FPts
6. Nick Senzel: 3.9 PA, 0.95 H, 1.43 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.69 FPts
7. Wil Myers: 3.7 PA, 0.79 H, 1.29 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.06 FPts
8. Will Benson: 3.49 PA, 0.63 H, 1.16 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.23 FPts
9. Luke Maile: 3.29 PA, 0.72 H, 1.19 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.32 FPts

Best Bets

Nolan Gorman STL - Runs Scored Over 0.5 (-105.0) - 0.065 value
Adam Wainwright STL - Strikeouts Over 4.5 (-110.0) - 0.063 value
Jake Fraley CIN - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-165.0) - 0.057 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Nolan Gorman (STL) 2B/3B $4100: 10.32 Proj, 1.57 Score
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) 1B $5200: 10.36 Proj, 1.42 Score
Lars Nootbaar (STL) OF $3700: 9.32 Proj, 1.41 Score
Nolan Arenado (STL) 3B $4300: 9.51 Proj, 1.41 Score
Willson Contreras (STL) C $3900: 8.83 Proj, 1.4 Score

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