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DFS & Betting Game Previews - September 1st

DFS & Betting Game Previews - September 1st

An automated report of each game on the MLB slate with full projections, recommended bets, and the top DFS plays from each.

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Jon A
Sep 01, 2023
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MLB Data Warehouse
MLB Data Warehouse
DFS & Betting Game Previews - September 1st
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The NFL season is almost here! While what I can offer for football is not nearly as good as what I offer for baseball, I do put some stuff out! Sign up as a paid member today and get everything that I will be offering for football season, including but not limited to

  • Weekly projections (possibly not ready until week 2 or 3 as I want to improve them this year, example here)

  • The NFL tableau dashboard (view last year’s version for free here)

  • Possible weekly slate write-ups and other data reports


Slate Preview 9/1/2023

Most Team Fantasy Point Projections

CHC1 (vs. Graham Ashcraft): 93.77 Projected Points
CHC2 (vs. Ben Lively): 91.38 Projected Points
CIN2 (vs. Shane Greene): 90.74 Projected Points
CIN1 (vs. Jordan Wicks): 86.39 Projected Points
TOR (vs. Chris Flexen): 76.82 Projected Points

Least Team Fantasy Point Projections

WSH (vs. Eury Perez): 54.75 Projected Points
OAK (vs. Patrick Sandoval): 56.16 Projected Points
MIN (vs. Max Scherzer): 56.27 Projected Points
CLE (vs. Tyler Glasnow): 57.99 Projected Points
MIL (vs. Zack Wheeler): 58.01 Projected Points

Team Projections vs. Season Averages

CIN1: 86.39 Today, 73.79 Season Average
TOR: 76.82 Today, 67.31 Season Average
DET: 64.55 Today, 55.25 Season Average
BAL: 71.44 Today, 64.68 Season Average
MIA: 68.64 Today, 62.1 Season Average

Today Max Projection Players

Players with their highest projection of the season coming today
Kodai Senga: 20.75 Today, 19.34 Previous Max
JP Sears: 14.74 Today, 14.58 Previous Max
Hyun Jin Ryu: 13.43 Today, 13.14 Previous Max
Dakota Hudson: 10.89 Today, 10.13 Previous Max
George Springer: 9.99 Today, 9.77 Previous Max
Jeimer Candelario: 9.36 Today, 9.14 Previous Max
Brandon Belt: 9.2 Today, 9.2 Previous Max
Brendan Rodgers: 8.32 Today, 7.95 Previous Max
Akil Baddoo: 7.78 Today, 7.75 Previous Max

DFS Top Plays by Position

Pitchers - Raw Projections

Max Scherzer $11000.0 vs. MIN: 22.58 points
Kodai Senga $9600.0 vs. SEA: 20.75 points
Freddy Peralta $10300.0 vs. PHI: 19.13 points
Tyler Glasnow $11200.0 vs. CLE: 18.07 points
Zack Wheeler $10600.0 vs. MIL: 17.61 points

Pitchers - Top Values

JP Sears $6500.0 vs. LAA: 14.74 points, 2.27 value
Kodai Senga $9600.0 vs. SEA: 20.75 points, 2.16 value
Patrick Sandoval $7200.0 vs. OAK: 15.55 points, 2.16 value
Hyun Jin Ryu $6300.0 vs. COL: 13.43 points, 2.13 value
Max Scherzer $11000.0 vs. MIN: 22.58 points, 2.05 value

Catchers

1. Adley Rutschman ($5400.0) vs. Zach Davies: 8.99 points, 1.24 score
2. Danny Jansen ($4100.0) vs. Chris Flexen: 8.13 points, 1.22 score
3. Patrick Bailey ($3300.0) vs. Michael Wacha: 7.42 points, 1.2 score
4. Freddy Fermin ($3300.0) vs. James Paxton: 7.45 points, 1.2 score
5. Willson Contreras ($4000.0) vs. Mitch Keller: 7.56 points, 1.19 score

First Base

1. Shohei Ohtani ($6700.0) vs. JP Sears: 10.25 points, 1.37 score
2. Brandon Belt ($4200.0) vs. Chris Flexen: 9.2 points, 1.33 score
3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ($5500.0) vs. Chris Flexen: 9.83 points, 1.31 score
4. Ryan Mountcastle ($4800.0) vs. Zach Davies: 8.66 points, 1.25 score
5. Josh Bell ($3700.0) vs. Jake Irvin: 8.04 points, 1.23 score

Second Base

1. Brandon Drury ($4300.0) vs. JP Sears: 8.35 points, 1.25 score
2. Brendan Rodgers ($3400.0) vs. Hyun Jin Ryu: 8.32 points, 1.23 score
3. Ji Hwan Bae ($3300.0) vs. Dakota Hudson: 8.04 points, 1.21 score
4. Nolan Gorman ($4200.0) vs. Mitch Keller: 8.2 points, 1.2 score
5. Luis Rengifo ($3900.0) vs. JP Sears: 8.03 points, 1.17 score

Third Base

1. Jake Burger ($4100.0) vs. Jake Irvin: 8.6 points, 1.31 score
2. Gunnar Henderson ($5500.0) vs. Zach Davies: 9.33 points, 1.27 score
3. Rafael Devers ($5600.0) vs. Jordan Lyles: 9.42 points, 1.27 score
4. Jose Ramirez ($5700.0) vs. Tyler Glasnow: 9.5 points, 1.23 score
5. Buddy Kennedy ($2200.0) vs. Cole Irvin: 7.2 points, 1.17 score

Shortstop

1. Bobby Witt Jr. ($6100.0) vs. James Paxton: 10.25 points, 1.35 score
2. Gunnar Henderson ($5500.0) vs. Zach Davies: 9.33 points, 1.27 score
3. Nick Loftin ($2000.0) vs. James Paxton: 6.87 points, 1.23 score
4. Tim Anderson ($3000.0) vs. Eduardo Rodriguez: 7.5 points, 1.19 score
5. Luis Rengifo ($3900.0) vs. JP Sears: 8.03 points, 1.17 score

Outfield

1. Ronald Acuna Jr. ($6900.0) vs. Julio Urias: 11.58 points, 1.39 score
2. Shohei Ohtani ($6700.0) vs. JP Sears: 10.25 points, 1.37 score
3. Jazz Chisholm ($5000.0) vs. Jake Irvin: 9.57 points, 1.36 score
4. George Springer ($5100.0) vs. Chris Flexen: 9.99 points, 1.31 score
5. Anthony Santander ($4700.0) vs. Zach Davies: 9.07 points, 1.27 score
6. Fernando Tatis Jr. ($5900.0) vs. Tristan Beck: 9.1 points, 1.25 score
7. Lars Nootbaar ($4500.0) vs. Mitch Keller: 8.89 points, 1.25 score
8. Akil Baddoo ($3000.0) vs. Touki Toussaint: 7.78 points, 1.24 score
9. Nelson Velazquez ($3000.0) vs. James Paxton: 7.57 points, 1.22 score
10. Luis Robert ($5400.0) vs. Eduardo Rodriguez: 9.08 points, 1.21 score
11. Ji Hwan Bae ($3300.0) vs. Dakota Hudson: 8.04 points, 1.21 score
12. Aaron Judge ($6500.0) vs. Justin Verlander: 9.82 points, 1.2 score
13. Drew Waters ($3100.0) vs. James Paxton: 7.15 points, 1.18 score
14. Daulton Varsho ($3900.0) vs. Chris Flexen: 8.39 points, 1.18 score
15. Juan Soto ($5700.0) vs. Tristan Beck: 9.07 points, 1.18 score

Game by Game Previews


MIA @ WSH

Projected Game Score:

MIA 4.78 - WSH 3.22
MIA 59.8% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.0
Projected Total: 8.0

2023 Pitcher Stats

Eury Perez: 14 GS, 1207 Pitches, 30.4 K%, 7.4 BB%, 17.1 SwStr%, 48.9 Strike%, 36.0 Ball%, 30.8 GB%, 10 Brl%
Jake Irvin: 20 GS, 1797 Pitches, 18.8 K%, 9.2 BB%, 7.7 SwStr%, 45.6 Strike%, 36.9 Ball%, 41.9 GB%, 10 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Eury Perez (MIA): 82.0 Pitches 4.99 IP, 4.8 H, 2.2 ER, 4.7 K, 1.1 BB, 13.4 FPts
Jake Irvin (WSH): 99.0 Pitches 5.75 IP, 6.3 H, 3.2 ER, 4.3 K, 2.0 BB, 10.69 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Eury Perez - 5.5 strikeouts
Jake Irvin - 5.5 strikeouts

MIA Hitter Projections

1. Luis Arraez: 4.43 PA, 1.29 H, 1.8 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.04 SB, 8.11 FPts
2. Jorge Soler: 4.34 PA, 0.94 H, 1.97 TB, 0.28 HR, 0.01 SB, 8.65 FPts
3. Josh Bell: 4.23 PA, 0.99 H, 1.74 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.0 SB, 8.04 FPts
4. Jazz Chisholm: 4.0 PA, 0.98 H, 1.86 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.25 SB, 9.57 FPts
5. Jake Burger: 4.0 PA, 1.03 H, 2.08 TB, 0.24 HR, 0.01 SB, 8.6 FPts
6. Bryan De La Cruz: 3.96 PA, 1.0 H, 1.73 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.46 FPts
7. Jesus Sanchez: 3.63 PA, 0.86 H, 1.49 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.75 FPts
8. Joey Wendle: 3.55 PA, 0.87 H, 1.24 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.09 SB, 5.79 FPts
9. Nick Fortes: 3.42 PA, 0.77 H, 1.23 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.05 SB, 5.67 FPts

WSH Hitter Projections

1. C.J. Abrams: 4.33 PA, 1.01 H, 1.62 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.22 SB, 7.67 FPts
2. Lane Thomas: 4.24 PA, 0.91 H, 1.62 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.09 SB, 7.0 FPts
3. Joey Meneses: 4.16 PA, 0.99 H, 1.6 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.0 SB, 6.45 FPts
4. Keibert Ruiz: 4.07 PA, 1.03 H, 1.68 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.06 FPts
5. Dominic Smith: 3.97 PA, 0.85 H, 1.24 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.48 FPts
6. Carter Kieboom: 3.87 PA, 0.76 H, 1.19 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.27 FPts
7. Jake Alu: 3.66 PA, 0.79 H, 1.23 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.07 SB, 5.46 FPts
8. Ildemaro Vargas: 3.63 PA, 0.81 H, 1.17 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.03 SB, 4.99 FPts
9. Jacob Young: 3.41 PA, 0.71 H, 1.11 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.11 SB, 5.37 FPts

Best Bets

Keibert Ruiz WSH - HitterK Under 0.5 (+120.0) - 0.164 value
Eury Perez MIA - Walks Under 1.5 (-120.0) - 0.161 value
Josh Bell MIA - HitterK Under 0.5 (+170.0) - 0.142 value
Eury Perez MIA - Strikeouts Under 5.5 (-120.0) - 0.13 value
Luis Arraez MIA - HitterK Under 0.5 (-215.0) - 0.128 value
Jacob Young WSH - H+R+RBI Over 0.5 (-140.0) - 0.125 value
Jesus Sanchez MIA - HitterK Under 0.5 (+180.0) - 0.12 value
Ildemaro Vargas WSH - HitterK Under 0.5 (-130.0) - 0.119 value
Jorge Soler MIA - HitterK Under 1.5 (-185.0) - 0.116 value
Jazz Chisholm MIA - HitterK Under 1.5 (-195.0) - 0.104 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Jazz Chisholm (MIA) OF $5000: 9.57 Proj, 1.36 Score
Jake Burger (MIA) 3B $4100: 8.6 Proj, 1.31 Score
Josh Bell (MIA) 1B $3700: 8.04 Proj, 1.23 Score
Jorge Soler (MIA) OF $5300: 8.65 Proj, 1.16 Score
Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) OF $3500: 7.46 Proj, 1.15 Score

TB @ CLE

Projected Game Score:

TB 3.84 - CLE 3.38
TB 53.3% To Win
Vegas O/U: 7.5
Projected Total: 7.22

2023 Pitcher Stats

Tyler Glasnow: 14 GS, 1353 Pitches, 32.6 K%, 7.7 BB%, 17.8 SwStr%, 50.4 Strike%, 34.2 Ball%, 51.4 GB%, 14 Brl%
Cal Quantrill: 13 GS, 1166 Pitches, 12.1 K%, 7.2 BB%, 8.1 SwStr%, 40.5 Strike%, 38.8 Ball%, 40.1 GB%, 8 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Tyler Glasnow (TB): 90.0 Pitches 5.77 IP, 5.2 H, 2.4 ER, 6.5 K, 1.6 BB, 18.07 FPts
Cal Quantrill (CLE): 86.0 Pitches 5.32 IP, 5.7 H, 2.6 ER, 3.4 K, 1.5 BB, 9.56 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Tyler Glasnow - 6.5 strikeouts
Cal Quantrill - 4.5 strikeouts

TB Hitter Projections

1. Yandy Diaz: 4.32 PA, 1.14 H, 1.77 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.87 FPts
2. Brandon Lowe: 4.19 PA, 0.94 H, 1.78 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.96 FPts
3. Randy Arozarena: 4.21 PA, 1.01 H, 1.72 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.18 SB, 8.58 FPts
4. Isaac Paredes: 4.02 PA, 0.85 H, 1.46 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.58 FPts
5. Josh Lowe: 3.89 PA, 0.97 H, 1.64 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.18 SB, 7.71 FPts
6. Osleivis Basabe: 3.9 PA, 0.92 H, 1.29 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.08 SB, 5.73 FPts
7. Vidal Brujan: 3.79 PA, 0.69 H, 0.97 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.17 SB, 5.31 FPts
8. Luke Raley: 3.46 PA, 0.8 H, 1.52 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.57 FPts
9. Rene Pinto: 3.44 PA, 0.68 H, 1.28 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.2 FPts

CLE Hitter Projections

1. Steven Kwan: 4.53 PA, 1.13 H, 1.52 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.13 SB, 7.52 FPts
2. Jose Ramirez: 4.41 PA, 1.11 H, 1.96 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.2 SB, 9.5 FPts
3. Kole Calhoun: 4.29 PA, 0.78 H, 1.38 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.99 FPts
4. Ramon Laureano: 4.1 PA, 0.77 H, 1.43 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.11 SB, 6.59 FPts
5. Andres Gimenez: 4.11 PA, 0.94 H, 1.56 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.16 SB, 7.27 FPts
6. Will Brennan: 3.91 PA, 1.05 H, 1.53 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.36 FPts
7. Gabriel Arias: 3.76 PA, 0.58 H, 0.99 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.03 SB, 4.81 FPts
8. Bo Naylor: 3.7 PA, 0.6 H, 0.98 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.05 SB, 4.7 FPts
9. Myles Straw: 3.53 PA, 0.72 H, 0.96 TB, 0.03 HR, 0.15 SB, 5.25 FPts

Best Bets

Luke Raley TB - HitterK Under 1.5 (-165.0) - 0.164 value
Cal Quantrill CLE - Strikeouts Under 4.5 (-155.0) - 0.131 value
Jose Ramirez CLE - HitterK Under 0.5 (+125.0) - 0.11 value
Kole Calhoun CLE - H+R+RBI Over 0.5 (-185.0) - 0.102 value
Yandy Diaz TB - HitterK Under 0.5 (-105.0) - 0.101 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Jose Ramirez (CLE) 3B $5700: 9.5 Proj, 1.23 Score
Randy Arozarena (TB) OF $5500: 8.58 Proj, 1.11 Score
Brandon Lowe (TB) 2B $4700: 7.96 Proj, 1.1 Score
Josh Lowe (TB) OF $4000: 7.71 Proj, 1.1 Score
Steven Kwan (CLE) OF $3500: 7.52 Proj, 1.03 Score

SEA @ NYM

Projected Game Score:

NYM 4.18 - SEA 4.0
NYM 51.1% To Win
Vegas O/U: 7.5
Projected Total: 8.18

2023 Pitcher Stats

Kodai Senga: 23 GS, 2228 Pitches, 28.6 K%, 11.2 BB%, 13.4 SwStr%, 45.9 Strike%, 39.2 Ball%, 45.3 GB%, 6 Brl%
Logan Gilbert: 26 GS, 2359 Pitches, 24.7 K%, 4.5 BB%, 13.4 SwStr%, 48.3 Strike%, 33.2 Ball%, 41.9 GB%, 9 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Kodai Senga (NYM): 107.0 Pitches 6.89 IP, 5.6 H, 3.0 ER, 8.0 K, 3.4 BB, 20.75 FPts
Logan Gilbert (SEA): 91.0 Pitches 5.43 IP, 5.4 H, 2.5 ER, 5.1 K, 1.6 BB, 13.73 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Kodai Senga - 6.5 strikeouts
Logan Gilbert - 6.5 strikeouts

SEA Hitter Projections

1. J.P. Crawford: 4.43 PA, 0.92 H, 1.33 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.56 FPts
2. Julio Rodriguez: 4.35 PA, 1.0 H, 1.77 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.23 SB, 8.91 FPts
3. Eugenio Suarez: 4.27 PA, 0.74 H, 1.38 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.8 FPts
4. Cal Raleigh: 4.18 PA, 0.77 H, 1.55 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.34 FPts
5. Teoscar Hernandez: 4.07 PA, 0.87 H, 1.57 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.01 FPts
6. Ty France: 3.93 PA, 0.93 H, 1.42 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.0 SB, 6.28 FPts
7. Dominic Canzone: 3.76 PA, 0.87 H, 1.48 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.48 FPts
8. Mike Ford: 3.49 PA, 0.6 H, 1.12 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.59 FPts
9. Josh Rojas: 3.33 PA, 0.68 H, 0.97 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.13 SB, 5.66 FPts

NYM Hitter Projections

1. Brandon Nimmo: 4.5 PA, 1.07 H, 1.77 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.93 FPts
2. Francisco Lindor: 4.4 PA, 1.03 H, 1.81 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.13 SB, 8.46 FPts
3. Jeff McNeil: 4.32 PA, 1.16 H, 1.65 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.26 FPts
4. Pete Alonso: 4.23 PA, 0.96 H, 1.93 TB, 0.26 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.41 FPts
5. Daniel Vogelbach: 3.78 PA, 0.8 H, 1.42 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.0 SB, 6.68 FPts
6. D.J. Stewart: 3.76 PA, 0.74 H, 1.38 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.25 FPts
7. Francisco Alvarez: 3.9 PA, 0.8 H, 1.58 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.52 FPts
8. Ronny Mauricio: 3.76 PA, 0.88 H, 1.48 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.41 FPts
9. Brett Baty: 3.5 PA, 0.75 H, 1.21 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.38 FPts

Best Bets

Kodai Senga NYM - Outs Over 17.5 (-140.0) - 0.168 value
Ronny Mauricio NYM - H+R+RBI Over 0.5 (-170.0) - 0.154 value
Dominic Canzone SEA - HitterK Under 0.5 (+205.0) - 0.14 value
Logan Gilbert SEA - Strikeouts Under 6.5 (-160.0) - 0.137 value
Francisco Alvarez NYM - H+R+RBI Over 0.5 (-180.0) - 0.135 value
Kodai Senga NYM - Walks Over 2.5 (-110.0) - 0.13 value
Logan Gilbert SEA - Outs Under 17.5 (-105.0) - 0.12 value
Josh Rojas SEA - HitterK Under 0.5 (+210.0) - 0.113 value
J.P. Crawford SEA - HitterK Under 0.5 (+205.0) - 0.108 value
Brett Baty NYM - H+R+RBI Over 0.5 (-170.0) - 0.105 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Francisco Lindor (NYM) SS $4900: 8.46 Proj, 1.15 Score
Pete Alonso (NYM) 1B $5000: 8.41 Proj, 1.12 Score
Ronny Mauricio (NYM) SS $2000: 6.41 Proj, 1.09 Score
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) OF $6400: 8.91 Proj, 1.09 Score
Daniel Vogelbach (NYM) 1B $2800: 6.68 Proj, 1.04 Score

MIN @ TEX

Projected Game Score:

TEX 4.11 - MIN 3.58
TEX 53.4% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.5
Projected Total: 7.69

2023 Pitcher Stats

Max Scherzer: 24 GS, 2244 Pitches, 28.5 K%, 7.1 BB%, 14.7 SwStr%, 50.6 Strike%, 33.5 Ball%, 33.5 GB%, 9 Brl%
Joe Ryan: 23 GS, 2152 Pitches, 29.2 K%, 5.0 BB%, 15.0 SwStr%, 52.5 Strike%, 31.2 Ball%, 33.5 GB%, 8 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Max Scherzer (TEX): 104.0 Pitches 6.51 IP, 4.9 H, 2.7 ER, 8.4 K, 2.1 BB, 22.58 FPts
Joe Ryan (MIN): 86.0 Pitches 5.03 IP, 4.6 H, 2.4 ER, 5.2 K, 1.4 BB, 13.96 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Max Scherzer - 8.5 strikeouts
Joe Ryan - 5.5 strikeouts

MIN Hitter Projections

1. Edouard Julien: 4.17 PA, 0.77 H, 1.43 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.02 FPts
2. Jorge Polanco: 4.3 PA, 0.95 H, 1.82 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.06 SB, 8.18 FPts
3. Carlos Correa: 4.16 PA, 0.86 H, 1.51 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.0 SB, 6.54 FPts
4. Max Kepler: 3.99 PA, 0.88 H, 1.65 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.34 FPts
5. Royce Lewis: 3.93 PA, 0.84 H, 1.44 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.52 FPts
6. Matt Wallner: 3.76 PA, 0.64 H, 1.32 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.82 FPts
7. Christian Vazquez: 3.69 PA, 0.79 H, 1.19 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.04 SB, 5.21 FPts
8. Joey Gallo: 3.41 PA, 0.43 H, 1.0 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.02 SB, 4.95 FPts
9. Michael A. Taylor: 3.19 PA, 0.59 H, 1.05 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.06 SB, 4.69 FPts

TEX Hitter Projections

1. Marcus Semien: 4.38 PA, 0.99 H, 1.67 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.12 SB, 7.83 FPts
2. Corey Seager: 4.27 PA, 1.16 H, 2.19 TB, 0.24 HR, 0.02 SB, 9.23 FPts
3. Nathaniel Lowe: 4.19 PA, 0.98 H, 1.59 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.22 FPts
4. Adolis Garcia: 4.07 PA, 0.88 H, 1.71 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.12 SB, 7.88 FPts
5. Mitch Garver: 4.0 PA, 0.79 H, 1.56 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.97 FPts
6. Jonah Heim: 3.87 PA, 0.84 H, 1.44 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.24 FPts
7. Travis Jankowski: 3.64 PA, 0.75 H, 0.99 TB, 0.03 HR, 0.18 SB, 5.98 FPts
8. Ezequiel Duran: 3.52 PA, 0.78 H, 1.29 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.06 SB, 5.58 FPts
9. Leody Taveras: 3.42 PA, 0.78 H, 1.21 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.1 SB, 5.61 FPts

Best Bets

Max Scherzer TEX - Outs Over 18.5 (+145.0) - 0.17 value
Joe Ryan MIN - Outs Under 16.5 (-110.0) - 0.131 value
Matt Wallner MIN - H+R+RBI Over 0.5 (-150.0) - 0.128 value
Joey Gallo MIN - H+R+RBI Over 0.5 (+100.0) - 0.127 value
Joe Ryan MIN - Strikeouts Under 5.5 (+115.0) - 0.116 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Corey Seager (TEX) SS $6600: 9.23 Proj, 1.14 Score
Jorge Polanco (MIN) 2B/3B $4400: 8.18 Proj, 1.11 Score
Mitch Garver (TEX) C $3900: 6.97 Proj, 1.04 Score
Max Kepler (MIN) OF $3700: 7.34 Proj, 1.04 Score
Edouard Julien (MIN) 2B $3500: 7.02 Proj, 1.03 Score

PHI @ MIL

Projected Game Score:

PHI 4.5 - MIL 3.56
PHI 55.9% To Win
Vegas O/U: 7.5
Projected Total: 8.06

2023 Pitcher Stats

Freddy Peralta: 25 GS, 2401 Pitches, 30.6 K%, 9.2 BB%, 16.2 SwStr%, 48.0 Strike%, 37.8 Ball%, 41.1 GB%, 8 Brl%
Zack Wheeler: 26 GS, 2587 Pitches, 26.9 K%, 4.6 BB%, 14.3 SwStr%, 48.8 Strike%, 34.4 Ball%, 40.9 GB%, 5 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Freddy Peralta (MIL): 100.0 Pitches 5.78 IP, 4.2 H, 2.4 ER, 7.2 K, 2.5 BB, 19.13 FPts
Zack Wheeler (PHI): 95.0 Pitches 6.07 IP, 5.3 H, 2.5 ER, 6.3 K, 1.9 BB, 17.61 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Freddy Peralta - 7.5 strikeouts
Zack Wheeler - 5.5 strikeouts

PHI Hitter Projections

1. Kyle Schwarber: 4.69 PA, 0.75 H, 1.66 TB, 0.25 HR, 0.04 SB, 8.99 FPts
2. Trea Turner: 4.54 PA, 1.01 H, 1.64 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.21 SB, 8.53 FPts
3. Bryce Harper: 4.42 PA, 0.99 H, 1.78 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.11 SB, 9.49 FPts
4. Nick Castellanos: 4.35 PA, 0.92 H, 1.55 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.97 FPts
5. Bryson Stott: 4.25 PA, 1.01 H, 1.55 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.14 SB, 7.63 FPts
6. Alec Bohm: 4.14 PA, 0.94 H, 1.4 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.37 FPts
7. J.T. Realmuto: 3.99 PA, 0.83 H, 1.46 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.12 SB, 7.17 FPts
8. Brandon Marsh: 3.81 PA, 0.74 H, 1.18 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.1 SB, 6.42 FPts
9. Jake Cave: 3.39 PA, 0.6 H, 1.08 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.04 SB, 5.08 FPts

MIL Hitter Projections

1. Christian Yelich: 4.44 PA, 1.01 H, 1.56 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.17 SB, 8.26 FPts
2. William Contreras: 4.37 PA, 0.99 H, 1.72 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.55 FPts
3. Carlos Santana: 4.24 PA, 0.84 H, 1.47 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.0 FPts
4. Sal Frelick: 4.13 PA, 0.85 H, 1.19 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.08 SB, 5.78 FPts
5. Willy Adames: 4.02 PA, 0.81 H, 1.45 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.44 FPts
6. Rowdy Tellez: 3.84 PA, 0.76 H, 1.41 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.2 FPts
7. Mark Canha: 3.81 PA, 0.83 H, 1.27 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.0 FPts
8. Brice Turang: 3.61 PA, 0.73 H, 1.09 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.12 SB, 5.59 FPts
9. Andruw Monasterio: 3.31 PA, 0.7 H, 1.04 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.07 SB, 5.19 FPts

Best Bets

Willy Adames MIL - H+R+RBI Over 0.5 (-180.0) - 0.121 value
Rowdy Tellez MIL - H+R+RBI Over 0.5 (-180.0) - 0.108 value
Nick Castellanos PHI - HitterK Under 1.5 (+115.0) - 0.106 value
Andruw Monasterio MIL - H+R+RBI Over 0.5 (-150.0) - 0.1 value
Trea Turner PHI - HitterK Under 1.5 (-120.0) - 0.1 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Bryce Harper (PHI) 1B $6200: 9.49 Proj, 1.16 Score
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) OF $5700: 8.99 Proj, 1.13 Score
Trea Turner (PHI) SS $5900: 8.53 Proj, 1.04 Score
William Contreras (MIL) C $4700: 7.55 Proj, 1.03 Score
Christian Yelich (MIL) OF $5200: 8.26 Proj, 1.02 Score

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