DFS & Betting Game Previews - September 15
An automated report of each game on the MLB slate with full projections, recommended bets, and the top DFS plays from each.
MLB Slate Preview 9/15
Most Team Fantasy Point Projections
SF (vs. Chase Anderson): 78.97 Projected Points
MIL (vs. Jake Irvin): 71.54 Projected Points
HOU (vs. Zack Greinke): 69.96 Projected Points
SD (vs. Sean Newcomb): 68.79 Projected Points
NYY (vs. Johan Oviedo): 68.48 Projected Points
Least Team Fantasy Point Projections
LAA (vs. Tarik Skubal): 49.87 Projected Points
PIT (vs. Gerrit Cole): 56.22 Projected Points
OAK (vs. Seth Lugo): 56.39 Projected Points
BAL (vs. Zach Eflin): 59.14 Projected Points
COL (vs. Logan Webb): 59.97 Projected Points
Team Projections vs. Season Averages
SF: 78.97 Today, 61.71 Season Average
MIL: 71.54 Today, 62.97 Season Average
DET: 60.84 Today, 55.49 Season Average
CHC: 68.06 Today, 63.2 Season Average
HOU: 69.96 Today, 65.44 Season Average
Today Max Projection Players
Players with their highest projection of the season coming today
Tarik Skubal: 20.19 Today, 18.76 Previous Max
Griffin Canning: 19.12 Today, 18.11 Previous Max
Bobby Miller: 17.83 Today, 15.83 Previous Max
Joc Pederson: 10.53 Today, 10.27 Previous Max
Carlos Santana: 8.56 Today, 8.48 Previous Max
Parker Meadows: 7.14 Today, 7.12 Previous Max
DFS Top Plays by Position
Pitchers - Raw Projections
Tarik Skubal $9000.0 vs. LAA: 20.19 points
Griffin Canning $8200.0 vs. DET: 19.12 points
Hunter Greene $9100.0 vs. NYM: 18.17 points
Bobby Miller $8400.0 vs. SEA: 17.83 points
Seth Lugo $8600.0 vs. OAK: 17.32 points
Pitchers - Top Values
Griffin Canning $8200.0 vs. DET: 19.12 points, 2.33 value
Tarik Skubal $9000.0 vs. LAA: 20.19 points, 2.24 value
Zack Thompson $6200.0 vs. PHI: 13.44 points, 2.17 value
Bobby Miller $8400.0 vs. SEA: 17.83 points, 2.12 value
David Peterson $6600.0 vs. CIN: 13.94 points, 2.11 value
Catchers
1. Patrick Bailey ($3100.0) vs. Chase Anderson: 8.48 points, 1.51 score
2. William Contreras ($5100.0) vs. Jake Irvin: 9.4 points, 1.32 score
3. Cal Raleigh ($4400.0) vs. Bobby Miller: 8.06 points, 1.14 score
4. J.T. Realmuto ($5200.0) vs. Zack Thompson: 8.17 points, 1.12 score
5. Gabriel Moreno ($3100.0) vs. Justin Steele: 6.83 points, 1.08 score
First Base
1. LaMonte Wade Jr. ($4100.0) vs. Chase Anderson: 8.98 points, 1.31 score
2. Carlos Santana ($3800.0) vs. Jake Irvin: 8.56 points, 1.23 score
3. Ryan Noda ($3000.0) vs. Seth Lugo: 7.57 points, 1.19 score
4. Yandy Diaz ($4700.0) vs. Jack Flaherty: 8.64 points, 1.15 score
5. Josh Naylor ($4000.0) vs. Jon Gray: 8.11 points, 1.15 score
Second Base
1. Thairo Estrada ($5000.0) vs. Chase Anderson: 9.36 points, 1.31 score
2. Jorge Polanco ($4500.0) vs. Jesse Scholtens: 8.73 points, 1.3 score
3. Edouard Julien ($3700.0) vs. Jesse Scholtens: 7.75 points, 1.2 score
4. Brandon Lowe ($4400.0) vs. Jack Flaherty: 8.48 points, 1.18 score
5. Jose Altuve ($6200.0) vs. Zack Greinke: 8.96 points, 1.12 score
Third Base
1. Jose Ramirez ($5800.0) vs. Jon Gray: 9.19 points, 1.2 score
2. Manny Machado ($5000.0) vs. Sean Newcomb: 8.39 points, 1.17 score
3. Josh Donaldson ($4000.0) vs. Jake Irvin: 7.74 points, 1.16 score
4. Royce Lewis ($4900.0) vs. Jesse Scholtens: 7.89 points, 1.16 score
5. Christopher Morel ($5300.0) vs. Brandon Pfaadt: 8.84 points, 1.15 score
Shortstop
1. Willy Adames ($4400.0) vs. Jake Irvin: 8.75 points, 1.25 score
2. Bobby Witt Jr. ($6000.0) vs. Cristian Javier: 9.87 points, 1.23 score
3. Corey Seager ($6500.0) vs. Lucas Giolito: 9.48 points, 1.19 score
4. Manny Machado ($5000.0) vs. Sean Newcomb: 8.39 points, 1.17 score
5. Trea Turner ($6200.0) vs. Zack Thompson: 9.23 points, 1.15 score
Outfield
1. Joc Pederson ($4800.0) vs. Chase Anderson: 10.53 points, 1.44 score
2. Mike Yastrzemski ($4400.0) vs. Chase Anderson: 9.82 points, 1.43 score
3. Michael Conforto ($4000.0) vs. Chase Anderson: 9.21 points, 1.34 score
4. Fernando Tatis Jr. ($5700.0) vs. Sean Newcomb: 9.95 points, 1.33 score
5. Christian Yelich ($5500.0) vs. Jake Irvin: 9.98 points, 1.29 score
6. Yordan Alvarez ($6100.0) vs. Zack Greinke: 10.34 points, 1.28 score
7. Mitch Haniger ($4300.0) vs. Chase Anderson: 8.28 points, 1.22 score
8. Josh Lowe ($4000.0) vs. Jack Flaherty: 8.66 points, 1.2 score
9. Seth Brown ($2900.0) vs. Seth Lugo: 7.45 points, 1.19 score
10. Juan Soto ($5600.0) vs. Sean Newcomb: 9.32 points, 1.19 score
11. Max Kepler ($3800.0) vs. Jesse Scholtens: 7.71 points, 1.18 score
12. Randy Arozarena ($5200.0) vs. Jack Flaherty: 8.97 points, 1.16 score
13. Pete Crow-Armstrong ($2600.0) vs. Brandon Pfaadt: 7.59 points, 1.16 score
14. Christopher Morel ($5300.0) vs. Brandon Pfaadt: 8.84 points, 1.15 score
15. Lars Nootbaar ($4200.0) vs. Aaron Nola: 8.37 points, 1.14 score
Game by Game Previews
NYY @ PIT
Projected Game Score:
NYY 4.89 - PIT 3.4
NYY 59.0% To Win
Vegas O/U: 7.5
Projected Total: 8.29
2023 Pitcher Stats
Gerrit Cole: 30 GS, 2976 Pitches, 27.4 K%, 5.9 BB%, 13.2 SwStr%, 49.7 Strike%, 34.0 Ball%, 40.5 GB%, 8 Brl%
Johan Oviedo: 29 GS, 2700 Pitches, 19.9 K%, 9.8 BB%, 12.1 SwStr%, 44.5 Strike%, 37.6 Ball%, 44.7 GB%, 8 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Gerrit Cole (NYY): 106.0 Pitches 6.61 IP, 5.5 H, 2.7 ER, 8.3 K, 1.9 BB, 22.6 FPts
Johan Oviedo (PIT): 99.0 Pitches 6.32 IP, 5.5 H, 3.2 ER, 6.1 K, 3.0 BB, 15.28 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Gerrit Cole - 6.5 strikeouts
Johan Oviedo - 5.5 strikeouts
NYY Hitter Projections
1. Estevan Florial: 4.42 PA, 0.95 H, 1.77 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.19 SB, 9.61 FPts
2. Aaron Judge: 4.3 PA, 0.95 H, 2.0 TB, 0.27 HR, 0.08 SB, 10.49 FPts
3. Gleyber Torres: 4.22 PA, 1.01 H, 1.64 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.11 SB, 8.16 FPts
4. Giancarlo Stanton: 4.07 PA, 0.8 H, 1.58 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.0 SB, 7.39 FPts
5. Austin Wells: 4.02 PA, 0.84 H, 1.36 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.1 FPts
6. Anthony Volpe: 3.92 PA, 0.77 H, 1.3 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.16 SB, 7.15 FPts
7. Jake Bauers: 3.51 PA, 0.71 H, 1.24 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.49 FPts
8. Oswaldo Cabrera: 3.65 PA, 0.71 H, 1.08 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.11 SB, 6.02 FPts
9. Oswald Peraza: 3.45 PA, 0.7 H, 1.01 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.15 SB, 6.07 FPts
PIT Hitter Projections
1. Ji Hwan Bae: 4.42 PA, 0.99 H, 1.38 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.19 SB, 7.13 FPts
2. Bryan Reynolds: 4.36 PA, 1.07 H, 1.88 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.06 SB, 8.09 FPts
3. Ke'Bryan Hayes: 4.28 PA, 0.99 H, 1.54 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.12 SB, 7.01 FPts
4. Jack Suwinski: 4.1 PA, 0.72 H, 1.51 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.31 FPts
5. Endy Rodriguez: 4.11 PA, 0.78 H, 1.27 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.7 FPts
6. Josh Palacios: 3.73 PA, 0.81 H, 1.33 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.08 SB, 5.77 FPts
7. Liover Peguero: 3.84 PA, 0.73 H, 1.15 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.11 SB, 5.44 FPts
8. Alfonso Rivas: 3.56 PA, 0.73 H, 1.07 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.05 FPts
9. Alika Williams: 3.26 PA, 0.69 H, 1.07 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.03 SB, 4.72 FPts
Best Bets
Estevan Florial NYY - H+R+RBI Over 0.5 (-185.0) - 0.226 value
Johan Oviedo PIT - Outs Over 16.5 (+100.0) - 0.205 value
Estevan Florial NYY - Runs Scored Over 0.5 (+170.0) - 0.185 value
Johan Oviedo PIT - Walks Over 1.5 (-205.0) - 0.136 value
Gerrit Cole NYY - Strikeouts Over 6.5 (-145.0) - 0.13 value
Oswald Peraza NYY - HitterK Under 0.5 (+160.0) - 0.102 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Game not on slate
ATL @ MIA
Projected Game Score:
ATL 4.58 - MIA 3.69
ATL 55.4% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.0
Projected Total: 8.27
2023 Pitcher Stats
Bryce Elder: 28 GS, 2608 Pitches, 18.0 K%, 7.9 BB%, 10.9 SwStr%, 44.6 Strike%, 36.7 Ball%, 51.0 GB%, 6 Brl%
Johnny Cueto: 8 GS, 686 Pitches, 19.6 K%, 8.3 BB%, 10.3 SwStr%, 48.5 Strike%, 34.1 Ball%, 34.5 GB%, 9 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Bryce Elder (ATL): 99.0 Pitches 6.02 IP, 6.4 H, 2.8 ER, 4.6 K, 1.8 BB, 13.06 FPts
Johnny Cueto (MIA): 87.0 Pitches 5.18 IP, 6.1 H, 2.8 ER, 3.9 K, 1.3 BB, 9.95 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Bryce Elder - 3.5 strikeouts
Johnny Cueto - 3.5 strikeouts
ATL Hitter Projections
1. Ronald Acuna Jr.: 4.32 PA, 1.18 H, 2.03 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.32 SB, 10.59 FPts
2. Ozzie Albies: 4.22 PA, 1.03 H, 1.73 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.11 SB, 7.78 FPts
3. Austin Riley: 4.13 PA, 1.03 H, 1.82 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.71 FPts
4. Matt Olson: 4.04 PA, 0.93 H, 1.87 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.01 SB, 8.48 FPts
5. Marcell Ozuna: 3.9 PA, 0.91 H, 1.72 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.21 FPts
6. Sean Murphy: 3.83 PA, 0.87 H, 1.55 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.0 SB, 6.71 FPts
7. Eddie Rosario: 3.54 PA, 0.87 H, 1.49 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.4 FPts
8. Orlando Arcia: 3.59 PA, 0.86 H, 1.36 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.81 FPts
9. Michael Harris II: 3.36 PA, 0.96 H, 1.61 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.14 SB, 7.33 FPts
MIA Hitter Projections
1. Luis Arraez: 4.39 PA, 1.3 H, 1.77 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.49 FPts
2. Josh Bell: 4.31 PA, 0.98 H, 1.65 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.0 SB, 7.28 FPts
3. Jake Burger: 4.17 PA, 1.01 H, 1.94 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.74 FPts
4. Jazz Chisholm: 3.94 PA, 0.94 H, 1.7 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.23 SB, 8.49 FPts
5. Jesus Sanchez: 3.82 PA, 0.9 H, 1.54 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.75 FPts
6. Bryan De La Cruz: 3.91 PA, 0.97 H, 1.59 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.56 FPts
7. Xavier Edwards: 3.85 PA, 0.87 H, 1.18 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.11 SB, 5.86 FPts
8. Joey Wendle: 3.53 PA, 0.88 H, 1.24 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.1 SB, 5.56 FPts
9. Nick Fortes: 3.42 PA, 0.74 H, 1.11 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.05 SB, 4.99 FPts
Best Bets
None
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Game not on slate
TB @ BAL
Projected Game Score:
TB 4.78 - BAL 3.7
TB 56.4% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.5
Projected Total: 8.48
2023 Pitcher Stats
Jack Flaherty: 26 GS, 2483 Pitches, 22.5 K%, 10.3 BB%, 11.4 SwStr%, 45.1 Strike%, 38.7 Ball%, 43.4 GB%, 7 Brl%
Zach Eflin: 28 GS, 2330 Pitches, 25.7 K%, 3.4 BB%, 11.8 SwStr%, 49.5 Strike%, 31.2 Ball%, 50.3 GB%, 9 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Jack Flaherty (BAL): 90.0 Pitches 5.74 IP, 5.3 H, 3.0 ER, 5.8 K, 2.5 BB, 14.19 FPts
Zach Eflin (TB): 78.0 Pitches 4.65 IP, 4.9 H, 2.2 ER, 4.2 K, 0.9 BB, 11.79 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Jack Flaherty - 5.5 strikeouts
Zach Eflin - 4.5 strikeouts
TB Hitter Projections
1. Yandy Diaz: 4.63 PA, 1.15 H, 1.75 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.64 FPts
2. Brandon Lowe: 4.49 PA, 0.92 H, 1.71 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.48 FPts
3. Randy Arozarena: 4.5 PA, 0.97 H, 1.59 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.21 SB, 8.97 FPts
4. Josh Lowe: 4.28 PA, 1.01 H, 1.68 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.21 SB, 8.66 FPts
5. Isaac Paredes: 4.19 PA, 0.82 H, 1.34 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.67 FPts
6. Luke Raley: 3.97 PA, 0.81 H, 1.52 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.07 SB, 7.19 FPts
7. Taylor Walls: 3.98 PA, 0.68 H, 1.08 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.18 SB, 6.77 FPts
8. Jonathan Aranda: 3.92 PA, 0.82 H, 1.41 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.13 FPts
9. Christian Bethancourt: 3.54 PA, 0.75 H, 1.18 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.07 FPts
BAL Hitter Projections
1. Adley Rutschman: 4.35 PA, 1.05 H, 1.71 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.56 FPts
2. Gunnar Henderson: 4.18 PA, 0.97 H, 1.72 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.07 SB, 7.55 FPts
3. Anthony Santander: 4.15 PA, 0.97 H, 1.84 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.56 FPts
4. Ryan O'Hearn: 3.84 PA, 0.95 H, 1.49 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.09 FPts
5. Austin Hays: 3.9 PA, 0.9 H, 1.46 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.1 FPts
6. Cedric Mullins II: 3.84 PA, 0.89 H, 1.42 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.19 SB, 6.98 FPts
7. Adam Frazier: 3.48 PA, 0.88 H, 1.25 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.07 SB, 5.58 FPts
8. Jordan Westburg: 3.5 PA, 0.85 H, 1.33 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.05 SB, 5.75 FPts
9. Heston Kjerstad: 3.39 PA, 0.89 H, 1.48 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.97 FPts
Best Bets
Jack Flaherty BAL - Outs Over 15.5 (+100.0) - 0.148 value
Zach Eflin TB - Outs Under 15.5 (-125.0) - 0.118 value
Yandy Diaz TB - HitterK Under 0.5 (+160.0) - 0.117 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Josh Lowe (TB) OF $4000: 8.66 Proj, 1.2 Score
Brandon Lowe (TB) 2B $4400: 8.48 Proj, 1.18 Score
Randy Arozarena (TB) OF $5200: 8.97 Proj, 1.16 Score
Yandy Diaz (TB) 1B $4700: 8.64 Proj, 1.15 Score
Jonathan Aranda (TB) 1B/3B $2400: 7.13 Proj, 1.12 Score
BOS @ TOR
Projected Game Score:
TOR 4.5 - BOS 4.24
TOR 51.5% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.0
Projected Total: 8.74
2023 Pitcher Stats
Jose Berrios: 29 GS, 2659 Pitches, 22.7 K%, 6.5 BB%, 11.8 SwStr%, 46.7 Strike%, 34.9 Ball%, 42.1 GB%, 9 Brl%
Brayan Bello: 25 GS, 2335 Pitches, 19.6 K%, 6.4 BB%, 11.8 SwStr%, 44.9 Strike%, 36.4 Ball%, 56.1 GB%, 7 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Jose Berrios (TOR): 96.0 Pitches 5.78 IP, 6.2 H, 3.0 ER, 4.6 K, 1.8 BB, 12.07 FPts
Brayan Bello (BOS): 90.0 Pitches 5.37 IP, 5.5 H, 2.6 ER, 4.2 K, 1.9 BB, 11.41 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Jose Berrios - 5.5 strikeouts
Brayan Bello - 4.5 strikeouts
BOS Hitter Projections
1. Alex Verdugo: 4.38 PA, 1.14 H, 1.77 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.67 FPts
2. Rafael Devers: 4.32 PA, 1.1 H, 2.1 TB, 0.24 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.9 FPts
3. Justin Turner: 4.2 PA, 1.01 H, 1.66 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.44 FPts
4. Triston Casas: 4.08 PA, 0.83 H, 1.6 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.68 FPts
5. Masataka Yoshida: 4.04 PA, 1.07 H, 1.68 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.34 FPts
6. Trevor Story: 3.96 PA, 0.81 H, 1.43 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.15 SB, 7.02 FPts
7. Wilyer Abreu: 3.85 PA, 0.8 H, 1.5 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.07 SB, 7.23 FPts
8. Pablo Reyes: 3.43 PA, 0.83 H, 1.29 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.08 SB, 5.81 FPts
9. Connor Wong: 3.32 PA, 0.69 H, 1.2 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.05 SB, 5.2 FPts
TOR Hitter Projections
1. George Springer: 4.61 PA, 1.1 H, 1.78 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.13 SB, 8.49 FPts
2. Bo Bichette: 4.49 PA, 1.25 H, 1.99 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.11 SB, 8.65 FPts
3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: 4.39 PA, 1.14 H, 1.92 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.04 SB, 8.61 FPts
4. Davis Schneider: 4.32 PA, 0.9 H, 1.61 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.9 FPts
5. Cavan Biggio: 3.94 PA, 0.82 H, 1.37 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.78 FPts
6. Matt Chapman: 4.07 PA, 0.88 H, 1.6 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.33 FPts
7. Daulton Varsho: 3.88 PA, 0.84 H, 1.47 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.12 SB, 7.06 FPts
8. Alejandro Kirk: 3.82 PA, 0.96 H, 1.4 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.0 SB, 6.31 FPts
9. Kevin Kiermaier: 3.44 PA, 0.83 H, 1.19 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.12 SB, 5.94 FPts
Best Bets
Masataka Yoshida BOS - HitterK Under 0.5 (+105.0) - 0.125 value
Jose Berrios TOR - Strikeouts Under 5.5 (-135.0) - 0.11 value
Rafael Devers BOS - HitterK Under 0.5 (+195.0) - 0.106 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 1B $5100: 8.61 Proj, 1.14 Score
Rafael Devers (BOS) 3B $5400: 8.9 Proj, 1.13 Score
Bo Bichette (TOR) SS $5600: 8.65 Proj, 1.1 Score
George Springer (TOR) OF $4900: 8.49 Proj, 1.1 Score
Cavan Biggio (TOR) 3B/OF $2800: 6.78 Proj, 1.06 Score
CIN @ NYM
Projected Game Score:
NYM 3.98 - CIN 3.82
NYM 51.1% To Win
Vegas O/U: 7.5
Projected Total: 7.8
2023 Pitcher Stats
Hunter Greene: 17 GS, 1728 Pitches, 30.3 K%, 10.6 BB%, 15.3 SwStr%, 49.6 Strike%, 36.8 Ball%, 35.3 GB%, 9 Brl%
David Peterson: 18 GS, 1640 Pitches, 24.5 K%, 9.9 BB%, 13.5 SwStr%, 45.7 Strike%, 38.0 Ball%, 54.7 GB%, 8 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Hunter Greene (CIN): 100.0 Pitches 6.21 IP, 4.8 H, 2.8 ER, 7.0 K, 3.0 BB, 18.17 FPts
David Peterson (NYM): 88.0 Pitches 5.45 IP, 5.3 H, 2.5 ER, 5.3 K, 2.1 BB, 13.94 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Hunter Greene - 7.5 strikeouts
David Peterson - 5.5 strikeouts
CIN Hitter Projections
1. Jonathan India: 4.37 PA, 0.97 H, 1.57 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.09 SB, 7.62 FPts
2. Nick Senzel: 4.17 PA, 0.91 H, 1.33 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.57 FPts
3. Spencer Steer: 4.27 PA, 0.9 H, 1.46 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.41 FPts
4. Hunter Renfroe: 4.14 PA, 0.88 H, 1.55 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.1 FPts
5. Tyler Stephenson: 3.96 PA, 0.93 H, 1.49 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.83 FPts
6. Christian Encarnacion-Strand: 3.88 PA, 0.92 H, 1.49 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.28 FPts
7. Elly De La Cruz: 3.82 PA, 0.78 H, 1.31 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.2 SB, 6.82 FPts
8. Harrison Bader: 3.61 PA, 0.86 H, 1.37 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.18 SB, 6.8 FPts
9. TJ Friedl: 3.43 PA, 0.79 H, 1.13 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.12 SB, 5.84 FPts
NYM Hitter Projections
1. Brandon Nimmo: 4.5 PA, 0.91 H, 1.59 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.89 FPts
2. Francisco Lindor: 4.4 PA, 0.88 H, 1.58 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.15 SB, 8.29 FPts
3. Pete Alonso: 4.32 PA, 0.86 H, 1.79 TB, 0.25 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.39 FPts
4. D.J. Stewart: 4.07 PA, 0.63 H, 1.22 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.67 FPts
5. Jeff McNeil: 4.11 PA, 1.0 H, 1.44 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.73 FPts
6. Ronny Mauricio: 4.01 PA, 0.83 H, 1.46 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.55 FPts
7. Daniel Vogelbach: 3.59 PA, 0.6 H, 1.08 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.0 SB, 5.9 FPts
8. Mark Vientos: 3.63 PA, 0.61 H, 1.11 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.0 SB, 4.94 FPts
9. Omar Narvaez: 3.27 PA, 0.64 H, 1.01 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.0 SB, 4.9 FPts
Best Bets
Hunter Greene CIN - Outs Over 16.5 (+100.0) - 0.179 value
TJ Friedl CIN - HitterK Under 0.5 (+160.0) - 0.175 value
Omar Narvaez NYM - H+R+RBI Over 0.5 (-130.0) - 0.122 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Francisco Lindor (NYM) SS $5000: 8.29 Proj, 1.14 Score
Pete Alonso (NYM) 1B $5200: 8.39 Proj, 1.11 Score
Tyler Stephenson (CIN) C $3300: 6.83 Proj, 1.04 Score
Jonathan India (CIN) 2B $4600: 7.62 Proj, 1.04 Score
Hunter Renfroe (CIN) OF $3800: 7.1 Proj, 1.03 Score
TEX @ CLE
Projected Game Score:
TEX 4.16 - CLE 3.72
TEX 52.8% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.0
Projected Total: 7.88
2023 Pitcher Stats
Lucas Giolito: 29 GS, 2781 Pitches, 25.3 K%, 8.1 BB%, 13.7 SwStr%, 47.5 Strike%, 36.2 Ball%, 36.4 GB%, 11 Brl%
Jon Gray: 26 GS, 2200 Pitches, 21.8 K%, 8.3 BB%, 13.4 SwStr%, 47.4 Strike%, 33.9 Ball%, 41.7 GB%, 6 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Lucas Giolito (CLE): 92.0 Pitches 5.75 IP, 5.3 H, 2.6 ER, 5.3 K, 2.3 BB, 14.48 FPts
Jon Gray (TEX): 82.0 Pitches 4.92 IP, 5.0 H, 2.3 ER, 3.7 K, 1.6 BB, 10.63 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Lucas Giolito - 5.5 strikeouts
Jon Gray - 4.5 strikeouts
TEX Hitter Projections
1. Marcus Semien: 4.52 PA, 1.02 H, 1.71 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.13 SB, 8.05 FPts
2. Corey Seager: 4.4 PA, 1.17 H, 2.23 TB, 0.25 HR, 0.02 SB, 9.48 FPts
3. Nathaniel Lowe: 4.32 PA, 1.02 H, 1.63 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.58 FPts
4. Mitch Garver: 4.21 PA, 0.83 H, 1.58 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.34 FPts
5. Robbie Grossman: 3.98 PA, 0.73 H, 1.18 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.07 SB, 6.14 FPts
6. Leody Taveras: 4.01 PA, 0.94 H, 1.44 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.13 SB, 6.68 FPts
7. Jonah Heim: 3.86 PA, 0.84 H, 1.43 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.32 FPts
8. Josh Smith: 3.77 PA, 0.78 H, 1.28 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.05 SB, 5.85 FPts
9. Evan Carter: 3.54 PA, 0.71 H, 1.23 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.46 FPts
CLE Hitter Projections
1. Steven Kwan: 4.44 PA, 1.12 H, 1.5 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.13 SB, 7.59 FPts
2. Jose Ramirez: 4.33 PA, 1.09 H, 1.84 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.2 SB, 9.19 FPts
3. Josh Naylor: 4.23 PA, 1.13 H, 1.93 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.11 FPts
4. Ramon Laureano: 4.02 PA, 0.81 H, 1.42 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.12 SB, 6.74 FPts
5. Kole Calhoun: 3.9 PA, 0.78 H, 1.32 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.77 FPts
6. Andres Gimenez: 3.92 PA, 0.94 H, 1.5 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.17 SB, 7.12 FPts
7. Gabriel Arias: 3.7 PA, 0.67 H, 1.1 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.04 SB, 5.33 FPts
8. Will Brennan: 3.62 PA, 1.01 H, 1.42 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.06 FPts
9. Bo Naylor: 3.42 PA, 0.64 H, 1.05 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.05 SB, 5.13 FPts
Best Bets
Jon Gray TEX - Strikeouts Under 4.5 (-115.0) - 0.152 value
Jonah Heim TEX - HitterK Under 0.5 (+185.0) - 0.131 value
Corey Seager TEX - HitterK Under 0.5 (+175.0) - 0.128 value
Marcus Semien TEX - HitterK Under 0.5 (+160.0) - 0.117 value
Bo Naylor CLE - HitterK Under 0.5 (+200.0) - 0.112 value
Marcus Semien TEX - H+R+RBI Under 2.5 (-160.0) - 0.107 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Jose Ramirez (CLE) 3B $5800: 9.19 Proj, 1.2 Score
Corey Seager (TEX) SS $6500: 9.48 Proj, 1.19 Score
Josh Naylor (CLE) 1B $4000: 8.11 Proj, 1.15 Score
Mitch Garver (TEX) C $4300: 7.34 Proj, 1.08 Score
Steven Kwan (CLE) OF $3600: 7.59 Proj, 1.06 Score
MIN @ CWS
Projected Game Score:
MIN 4.34 - CWS 3.8
MIN 53.3% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.0
Projected Total: 8.14
2023 Pitcher Stats
Bailey Ober: 22 GS, 1955 Pitches, 24.1 K%, 5.2 BB%, 14.9 SwStr%, 49.3 Strike%, 33.1 Ball%, 33.6 GB%, 10 Brl%
Jesse Scholtens: 10 GS, 1298 Pitches, 15.4 K%, 7.1 BB%, 9.6 SwStr%, 42.3 Strike%, 37.6 Ball%, 41.4 GB%, 7 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Bailey Ober (MIN): 74.0 Pitches 4.41 IP, 4.6 H, 2.1 ER, 4.3 K, 0.7 BB, 12.03 FPts
Jesse Scholtens (CWS): 90.0 Pitches 5.42 IP, 5.4 H, 2.7 ER, 4.2 K, 1.9 BB, 11.19 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Bailey Ober - 5.5 strikeouts
Jesse Scholtens - 4.5 strikeouts
MIN Hitter Projections
1. Edouard Julien: 3.98 PA, 0.86 H, 1.53 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.07 SB, 7.75 FPts
2. Jorge Polanco: 4.09 PA, 1.0 H, 1.89 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.07 SB, 8.73 FPts
3. Royce Lewis: 3.95 PA, 0.98 H, 1.7 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.12 SB, 7.89 FPts
4. Max Kepler: 3.81 PA, 0.91 H, 1.66 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.71 FPts
5. Carlos Correa: 3.77 PA, 0.89 H, 1.56 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.0 SB, 6.86 FPts
6. Alex Kirilloff: 3.55 PA, 0.9 H, 1.43 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.16 FPts
7. Willi Castro: 3.62 PA, 0.84 H, 1.35 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.18 SB, 6.9 FPts
8. Ryan Jeffers: 3.49 PA, 0.74 H, 1.32 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.97 FPts
9. Matt Wallner: 3.09 PA, 0.63 H, 1.29 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.83 FPts
CWS Hitter Projections
1. Tim Anderson: 4.47 PA, 1.08 H, 1.53 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.15 SB, 7.04 FPts
2. Andrew Benintendi: 4.42 PA, 1.12 H, 1.56 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.09 SB, 7.23 FPts
3. Luis Robert: 4.28 PA, 1.06 H, 2.0 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.11 SB, 8.47 FPts
4. Eloy Jimenez: 4.24 PA, 1.06 H, 1.89 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.0 SB, 7.69 FPts
5. Yoan Moncada: 4.06 PA, 0.9 H, 1.52 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.58 FPts
6. Andrew Vaughn: 4.04 PA, 0.98 H, 1.7 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.0 SB, 6.68 FPts
7. Gavin Sheets: 3.69 PA, 0.82 H, 1.46 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.0 SB, 5.94 FPts
8. Lenyn Sosa: 3.75 PA, 0.86 H, 1.49 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.93 FPts
9. Korey Lee: 3.58 PA, 0.73 H, 1.21 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.05 SB, 5.2 FPts
Best Bets
Matt Wallner MIN - HitterK Under 1.5 (-165.0) - 0.175 value
Willi Castro MIN - HitterK Under 0.5 (+195.0) - 0.168 value
Bailey Ober MIN - Strikeouts Under 5.5 (-140.0) - 0.154 value
Bailey Ober MIN - Walks Under 1.5 (-215.0) - 0.151 value
Max Kepler MIN - HitterK Under 0.5 (+145.0) - 0.146 value
Korey Lee CWS - H+R+RBI Over 0.5 (-135.0) - 0.144 value
Lenyn Sosa CWS - H+R+RBI Over 0.5 (-175.0) - 0.14 value
Royce Lewis MIN - H+R+RBI Under 2.5 (-145.0) - 0.128 value
Alex Kirilloff MIN - HitterK Under 0.5 (+160.0) - 0.127 value
Jorge Polanco MIN - HitterK Under 1.5 (-285.0) - 0.111 value
Edouard Julien MIN - HitterK Under 1.5 (-180.0) - 0.104 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Jorge Polanco (MIN) 2B $4500: 8.73 Proj, 1.3 Score
Edouard Julien (MIN) 2B $3700: 7.75 Proj, 1.2 Score
Max Kepler (MIN) OF $3800: 7.71 Proj, 1.18 Score
Royce Lewis (MIN) 3B $4900: 7.89 Proj, 1.16 Score
Willi Castro (MIN) OF $3100: 6.9 Proj, 1.07 Score
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