Luis Garcia (the Astros one, that guy) pitched quite well yesterday after plenty of people gave up on him. He is on waivers in my RotoBaller staff league and my opponent in home league benched him. The perils of reacting to small samples!
Baseball is weird, man - don’t react to a few starts! If you think a guy is good today, there’s no reason to not think he’s good two weeks from now. Rein in yourself, do not be a slave to your passions!
Mason Miller proved to have more than just a fastball, but not a ton more. He threw the fastball 63% of the time (99.4 average velo) with a 9.8% SwStr%, and then his slider came in at 22% (11.1% SwStr%), and his cutter at 14% (27.3% SwStr%). Better arsenal than I thought, and I’m sure the Stuff+ numbers are going to pop when they come. But the list of starting pitchers that have had success throwing a fastball more than 50% of the time is a short one. I don’t think we need to both with Miller in standard leagues.
Kyle Bradish came back and pitched really well with six scoreless innings. Six punchies, only one free pass. A 12% SwStr% which is underwhelming but huge positive for Bradish there, and the future seems bright even maybe in the short-term.
Mac-capitalK-enzie Gore walked four more hitters. That’s 14 walks in 21 innings and a 16% BB%. The 29% K% makes that not as horrifying as it usually would be, but it’s still awful terrifying.
Let’s take a look at the top and bottom of the pitcher JA ranks.
Bumgarner just has to go. He got shelled again yesterday and looks completely unfit for the Majors. Brandon Pfaadt pitches tonight in the minors and I think the Snakes have to be thinking about making that switch very, very soon.
Matt Strahm sits at #31 in the ranks and has a 32% K% with a 10% BB% this year. Do the quick subtraction there and yes! That’s a 22% K-BB%. Count it! He gets the pristine spot tonight of getting the Rockies in their first day away from Coors. The issue is that he hasn’t even thrown 75 pitches yet, so the quality start chances would seem to be quite low - but I am streaming that guy.
Speaking of the Rockies, the Pirates just absolutely mopped the Rocky Mountain floor with them over a three-game series and I’m back in. I am a Pirate fan again, people. Call me a fair-weather fan, fine, I’ve already admitted to being one. You cannot criticize a person who has already criticized themself!
The Rockies have a .704 OPS this year (league average is .722). In Coors, they have just a .777 OPS. The teams they’ve played in Coors this year and their OPS:
PIT 1.045
STL .816
WSH .805
Last year, the OPS in Coors was .806, so the Rockies are really underperforming there. Last year away from Coors, the Rockies had a pathetic .620 OPS and yes, they are significantly worse this year. Any time you can get a pitcher with some kind of pulse against the Rockies away from Coors, that’s a viable stream.
One more Pirates note, Oviedo now has a 24.5% K%, a 6.9% BB%, a 15.3% SwStr%, a 54% GB%, and a .259 xwOBA allowed. And his schedule has not been an easy one:
vs. Red Sox
vs. White Sox
@ Cardinals
@ Rockies
Eric Lauer has lost all kinds of velocity this year, so that’s not looking good. He did have a decent start last night giving up just 2 runs in 7.2 innings, but for the year he has a bad 19:8 K:BB ratio so I would just not be bothering with Lauer this year, I think some really bad starts are going to happen.
Yandy Diaz homered again so let’s get an update on that Launch Angle histogram.
The average launch angle is 14.8 degrees and his ground-ball rate is down to 32%. It’s hard to not believe there’s been a change now. He has a 19% Brl%. We always knew that in a universe where Yandy isn’t hitting a ton of ground balls, he would have a great barrel rate given how hard he hits the ball, and he also just doesn’t strike out, so Yandy could be an insane fantasy breakout this year.
That said I would probably sell high to someone who is really believing in the breakout, this feels like a trap.
Here’s the usual report, most of the stuff is back behind the Paywall.
1. Luis Garcia (HOU): 23 Whiffs (92 Pitches)
2. MacKenzie Gore (WSH): 18 Whiffs (103 Pitches)
3. Alex Cobb (SF): 15 Whiffs (92 Pitches)
4. Nick Martinez (SD): 15 Whiffs (97 Pitches)
5. Corey Kluber (BOS): 14 Whiffs (103 Pitches)
6. Griffin Canning (LAA): 14 Whiffs (100 Pitches)
7. Johan Oviedo (PIT): 13 Whiffs (84 Pitches)
8. Marco Gonzales (SEA): 13 Whiffs (90 Pitches)
9. Joe Ryan (MIN): 12 Whiffs (100 Pitches)
10. Kyle Bradish (BAL): 11 Whiffs (92 Pitches)
1. Luis Garcia (HOU): 25.0 SwStr%, 41.3 CSW%
2. Johan Oviedo (PIT): 15.5 SwStr%, 38.1 CSW%
3. MacKenzie Gore (WSH): 17.5 SwStr%, 35.0 CSW%
4. Marco Gonzales (SEA): 14.4 SwStr%, 34.4 CSW%
5. Charlie Morton (ATL): 11.8 SwStr%, 34.1 CSW%
6. Alex Cobb (SF): 16.3 SwStr%, 33.7 CSW%
7. Drew Rasmussen (TB): 7.7 SwStr%, 32.1 CSW%
8. Trevor Rogers (MIA): 10.3 SwStr%, 31.0 CSW%
9. Griffin Canning (LAA): 14.0 SwStr%, 30.0 CSW%
10. Jose Berrios (TOR): 13.0 SwStr%, 29.9 CSW%
1. Luis Garcia - 7.0 IP - 110.0 JA Points
2. Marco Gonzales - 6.0 IP - 70.5 JA Points
3. Alex Cobb - 5.0 IP - 62.5 JA Points
4. Johan Oviedo - 6.0 IP - 55.75 JA Points
5. MacKenzie Gore - 6.0 IP - 49.75 JA Points
6. Kyle Bradish - 6.0 IP - 49.5 JA Points
7. Nick Martinez - 7.0 IP - 48.75 JA Points
8. Mason Miller - 4.33 IP - 43.75 JA Points
9. Drew Rasmussen - 5.0 IP - 40.75 JA Points
10. Griffin Canning - 5.0 IP - 39.25 JA Points
1. Spencer Strider (ATL) - 4.0 GS - 61.82 JA Points
2. Jacob deGrom (TEX) - 4.0 GS - 61.6 JA Points
3. Jeffrey Springs (TB) - 3.0 GS - 60.16 JA Points
4. Domingo German (NYY) - 3.0 GS - 54.55 JA Points
5. Brandon Woodruff (MIL) - 2.0 GS - 52.61 JA Points
6. Luis Castillo (SEA) - 4.0 GS - 51.03 JA Points
7. Jesus Luzardo (MIA) - 4.0 GS - 49.27 JA Points
8. Nick Lodolo (CIN) - 4.0 GS - 48.92 JA Points
9. Pablo Lopez (MIN) - 4.0 GS - 48.31 JA Points
10. Logan Gilbert (SEA) - 4.0 GS - 47.29 JA Points
Johan Oviedo's SL velo (39 pitches) UP 2.3mph to 88.7
Marco Gonzales's CU velo (27 pitches) UP 2.2mph to 79.0
Joe Ryan's ST velo (10 pitches) UP 1.8mph to 82.5
Johan Oviedo's CU velo (14 pitches) UP 1.7mph to 80.9
Brady Singer's SI velo (55 pitches) DOWN -1.5mph to 92.2
Noah Syndergaard's SI velo (22 pitches) DOWN -1.5mph to 92.0
Noah Syndergaard's CH velo (24 pitches) DOWN -1.5mph to 86.7
Luis Garcia's SI velo (11 pitches) DOWN -1.6mph to 96.7
Madison Bumgarner's FF velo (45 pitches) DOWN -1.8mph to 89.3
Trevor Rogers's SI velo (13 pitches) DOWN -1.8mph to 91.3
Luis Garcia's SL velo (10 pitches) DOWN -1.9mph to 79.3
Martin Perez's FC velo (21 pitches) DOWN -1.9mph to 87.8
Madison Bumgarner's CU velo (19 pitches) DOWN -2.0mph to 76.5
Trevor Rogers's FF velo (28 pitches) DOWN -2.3mph to 92.2
Taijuan Walker's SL velo (15 pitches) DOWN -2.4mph to 82.3
Spencer Turnbull's SL velo (11 pitches) DOWN -2.6mph to 80.9
Drew Rasmussen's FC velo (27 pitches) DOWN -2.9mph to 87.2
Eric Lauer's FF velo (36 pitches) DOWN -3.5mph to 89.5
Eric Lauer's CU velo (20 pitches) DOWN -3.6mph to 74.4
Eric Lauer's FC velo (33 pitches) DOWN -4.1mph to 85.3
Cal Quantrill's CU usage (18.1%) up 13.9 points
Charlie Morton's CU usage (56.5%) up 14.8 points
Corey Kluber's CU usage (38.8%) up 12.0 points
Drew Rasmussen's ST usage (15.4%) up 14.1 points
Eric Lauer's FC usage (35.5%) up 14.9 points
Jake Woodford's ST usage (24.4%) up 17.9 points
Jake Woodford's CU usage (20.7%) up 11.9 points
Jhony Brito's SI usage (35.7%) up 14.8 points
Joe Ryan's FS usage (35.0%) up 31.9 points
Jose Berrios's SV usage (49.4%) up 45.5 points
Kyle Bradish's CU usage (27.2%) up 14.2 points
Kyle Bradish's SI usage (16.3%) up 11.9 points
Luis Garcia's FC usage (48.1%) up 25.8 points
Madison Bumgarner's FF usage (56.2%) up 23.5 points
Marco Gonzales's CU usage (30.0%) up 16.5 points
Mike Clevinger's FF usage (62.7%) up 17.6 points
Noah Syndergaard's FC usage (24.3%) up 23.1 points
Peter Solomon's SL usage (25.0%) up 22.4 points
Spencer Turnbull's FF usage (54.9%) up 25.3 points
Taijuan Walker's SI usage (36.8%) up 24.9 points
Trevor Rogers's SI usage (22.4%) up 20.0 points
Spencer Strider - 88 TBF, 37.9% CSW%
Jacob deGrom - 80 TBF, 35.5% CSW%
Chris Sale - 89 TBF, 34.1% CSW%
Logan Webb - 97 TBF, 33.6% CSW%
Johan Oviedo - 102 TBF, 33.6% CSW%
Luis Castillo - 88 TBF, 33.4% CSW%
Shane McClanahan - 92 TBF, 33.2% CSW%
Zac Gallen - 93 TBF, 33.2% CSW%
Shohei Ohtani - 82 TBF, 32.7% CSW%
Alex Cobb - 86 TBF, 32.5% CSW%
Spencer Strider - 88 TBF, 40.9% K%
Jacob deGrom - 80 TBF, 40.0% K%
Pablo Lopez - 98 TBF, 33.7% K%
Chris Sale - 89 TBF, 33.7% K%
Shohei Ohtani - 82 TBF, 32.9% K%
Gerrit Cole - 99 TBF, 32.3% K%
Logan Gilbert - 90 TBF, 31.1% K%
Hunter Greene - 78 TBF, 30.8% K%
Drew Rasmussen - 85 TBF, 30.6% K%
Nick Lodolo - 103 TBF, 30.1% K%
Jacob deGrom - 80 TBF, 36.3% K-BB%
Spencer Strider - 88 TBF, 28.4% K-BB%
Pablo Lopez - 98 TBF, 27.6% K-BB%
Logan Gilbert - 90 TBF, 26.7% K-BB%
Logan Webb - 97 TBF, 25.8% K-BB%
Joe Ryan - 94 TBF, 25.5% K-BB%
Gerrit Cole - 99 TBF, 25.3% K-BB%
Luis Castillo - 88 TBF, 25.0% K-BB%
Kevin Gausman - 103 TBF, 24.3% K-BB%
Nick Lodolo - 103 TBF, 24.3% K-BB%
Framber Valdez - 102 TBF, 65.7% GB%
Marcus Stroman - 93 TBF, 63.2% GB%
Taijuan Walker - 89 TBF, 60.0% GB%
Brad Keller - 87 TBF, 59.3% GB%
Justin Steele - 94 TBF, 58.1% GB%
Alex Cobb - 86 TBF, 57.4% GB%
Logan Webb - 97 TBF, 56.9% GB%
MacKenzie Gore - 86 TBF, 55.3% GB%
Johan Oviedo - 102 TBF, 54.3% GB%
Nick Martinez - 103 TBF, 54.1% GB%
Andrew Vaughn (CWS) 4 PA, 6 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Rodolfo Castro (PIT) 6 PA, 9 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Spencer Torkelson (DET) 4 PA, 4 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Randy Arozarena, Yesterday: 114.3 Previous High: 114.1
Yandy Diaz, Yesterday: 114.5 Previous High: 114.3
1. Spencer Torkelson - 4.0 PA - 65.0 JA Points
2. Brandon Nimmo - 5.0 PA - 56.0 JA Points
3. Tommy Edman - 5.0 PA - 52.0 JA Points
4. Andrew Vaughn - 4.0 PA - 52.0 JA Points
5. Jonah Heim - 5.0 PA - 52.0 JA Points
6. Willson Contreras - 5.0 PA - 48.0 JA Points
7. Corbin Carroll - 5.0 PA - 47.0 JA Points
8. Adam Frazier - 3.0 PA - 46.0 JA Points
9. Triston Casas - 4.0 PA - 43.0 JA Points
10. Pavin Smith - 4.0 PA - 42.0 JA Points
1. Matt Chapman (TOR) - 76.0 PA - 210.0 JA Points
2. Yandy Diaz (TB) - 76.0 PA - 169.47 JA Points
3. Corey Seager (TEX) - 49.0 PA - 161.63 JA Points
4. Will Smith (LAD) - 48.0 PA - 158.33 JA Points
5. Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) - 74.0 PA - 155.14 JA Points
6. Kyle Tucker (HOU) - 80.0 PA - 149.5 JA Points
7. Paul Goldschmidt (STL) - 82.0 PA - 143.9 JA Points
8. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) - 85.0 PA - 142.59 JA Points
9. Sean Murphy (ATL) - 69.0 PA - 141.45 JA Points
10. Brandon Nimmo (NYM) - 81.0 PA - 139.26 JA Points
Yandy Diaz (TB) - 114.5mph - home_run
Randy Arozarena (TB) - 114.3mph - single
Franmil Reyes (KC) - 113.4mph - single
Jorge Soler (MIA) - 112.3mph - single
Leody Taveras (TEX) - 112.2mph - double
Jazz Chisholm (MIA) - 111.9mph - nan
Willson Contreras (STL) - 111.9mph - double
Aaron Judge (NYY) - 111.7mph - home_run
Shohei Ohtani (LAA) - 111.5mph - field_out
Franchy Cordero (NYY) - 111.2mph - field_out
Matt Chapman - 76 PA, 52 BIP, 18 Brls, 34.6 Brl%
Matt Olson - 88 PA, 44 BIP, 11 Brls, 25.0 Brl%
Max Muncy - 74 PA, 36 BIP, 9 Brls, 25.0 Brl%
Brandon Lowe - 61 PA, 36 BIP, 9 Brls, 25.0 Brl%
Sean Murphy - 69 PA, 40 BIP, 10 Brls, 25.0 Brl%
Jorge Soler - 66 PA, 46 BIP, 11 Brls, 23.9 Brl%
Kerry Carpenter - 50 PA, 34 BIP, 8 Brls, 23.5 Brl%
Aaron Judge - 75 PA, 39 BIP, 9 Brls, 23.1 Brl%
Patrick Wisdom - 67 PA, 40 BIP, 9 Brls, 22.5 Brl%
Giancarlo Stanton - 54 PA, 41 BIP, 9 Brls, 22.0 Brl%
Matt Chapman - 76 PA, 0.515 xwOBA
Sean Murphy - 69 PA, 0.471 xwOBA
Pete Alonso - 83 PA, 0.464 xwOBA
Brandon Lowe - 61 PA, 0.464 xwOBA
Kyle Tucker - 80 PA, 0.453 xwOBA
Jarred Kelenic - 65 PA, 0.45 xwOBA
Yandy Diaz - 76 PA, 0.449 xwOBA
Nolan Gorman - 66 PA, 0.448 xwOBA
Paul Goldschmidt - 82 PA, 0.444 xwOBA
Jorge Soler - 66 PA, 0.441 xwOBA
Luis Arraez - 70 PA, 102 Swings, 93.1 Cont%
Nico Hoerner - 81 PA, 118 Swings, 90.7 Cont%
Steven Kwan - 86 PA, 141 Swings, 90.1 Cont%
Luis Garcia - 50 PA, 90 Swings, 90.0 Cont%
Will Smith - 48 PA, 79 Swings, 88.6 Cont%
Mauricio Dubon - 65 PA, 132 Swings, 87.9 Cont%
Bryson Stott - 86 PA, 174 Swings, 87.4 Cont%
Ke'Bryan Hayes - 80 PA, 137 Swings, 86.9 Cont%
Keibert Ruiz - 67 PA, 109 Swings, 86.2 Cont%
Alex Verdugo - 82 PA, 121 Swings, 86.0 Cont%
David Villar - 39.5% Whiff%, 72.0% Weak%, 0.939 Cold Rating
Jason Vosler - 33.0% Whiff%, 77.3% Weak%, 0.923 Cold Rating
Ezequiel Tovar - 31.2% Whiff%, 79.3% Weak%, 0.907 Cold Rating
Garrett Mitchell - 42.2% Whiff%, 68.4% Weak%, 0.903 Cold Rating
Gunnar Henderson - 33.3% Whiff%, 71.4% Weak%, 0.89 Cold Rating
Byron Buxton - 30.7% Whiff%, 75.0% Weak%, 0.886 Cold Rating
Brandon Crawford - 35.2% Whiff%, 68.2% Weak%, 0.866 Cold Rating
Jordan Walker - 32.9% Whiff%, 69.0% Weak%, 0.851 Cold Rating
Brandon Drury - 33.3% Whiff%, 68.2% Weak%, 0.85 Cold Rating
Kyle Schwarber - 30.2% Whiff%, 71.0% Weak%, 0.837 Cold Rating
Trenton Brooks (OAK): 4/4, 2R, 1HR, 3RBI, 0SB, 40FPts
Chase Calabuig (OAK): 3/5, 2R, 2HR, 5RBI, 0SB, 37FPts
Jacob Nottingham (SEA): 2/3, 2R, 2HR, 4RBI, 0SB, 36FPts
Diosbel Arias (TEX): 2/4, 2R, 2HR, 4RBI, 0SB, 32FPts
Drew Avans (LAD): 2/5, 4R, 1HR, 3RBI, 0SB, 31FPts
Pedro Castellanos (SD): 2/3, 2R, 2HR, 2RBI, 0SB, 30FPts
Hunter Feduccia (LAD): 3/5, 2R, 1HR, 4RBI, 0SB, 30FPts
Tyler Fitzgerald (SF): 3/5, 2R, 1HR, 2RBI, 1SB, 29FPts
Zach Watson (BAL): 2/4, 1R, 1HR, 3RBI, 1SB, 28FPts
Adrian Del Castillo (ARI): 2/4, 3R, 1HR, 1RBI, 1SB, 28FPts
Tobias Myers (MIL): 5IP, 2H, 1ER, 8K, 1BB, 28FPts
Bryce Jarvis (ARI): 5IP, 0H, 0ER, 8K, 4BB, 28FPts
Casey Lawrence (TOR): 6IP, 5H, 1ER, 10K, 1BB, 27FPts
Andrew Abbott (CIN): 5IP, 4H, 2ER, 11K, 2BB, 25FPts
Ryan Weber (NYY): 5IP, 4H, 0ER, 6K, 1BB, 24FPts
Joan Adon (WSH): 5IP, 6H, 0ER, 5K, 1BB, 21FPts
Caleb Kilian (CHC): 5IP, 3H, 0ER, 4K, 0BB, 21FPts
Matthew Thompson (CWS): 5IP, 2H, 1ER, 6K, 5BB, 21FPts
Jonathan Heasley (KC): 7IP, 7H, 3ER, 7K, 0BB, 19FPts
Nick Frasso (LAD): 4IP, 4H, 0ER, 7K, 2BB, 19FPts
All of the really good stuff in the notes has been moved behind the paywall. For $7/month or $70/year, you will receive more detailed notes along with custom reports, dashboards, projections, and a ton more. 10% of your membership fees go directly to Samaritan’s Purse Charity.
Free samples
