MLB Daily Notes - August 19th
A daily automated report of what happened yesterday in Major League Baseball, along with other recent trends and further analysis.
Prop bet trackers:
No time for extra chatter today, sorry!
Fantasy Points Leaders - Yesterday
1. Spencer Strider (vs. SF): 38.55 Points
2. Tarik Skubal (vs. CLE): 27.1 Points
3. Pablo Lopez (vs. PIT): 26.7 Points
4. Seth Lugo (vs. ARI): 26.7 Points
5. Jose Berrios (vs. CIN): 25.76 Points
6. Peter Lambert (vs. CWS): 24.75 Points
7. Cole Ragans (vs. CHC): 23.5 Points
8. Brandon Pfaadt (vs. SD): 23.35 Points
9. Joey Lucchesi (vs. STL): 23.16 Points
10. Bryce Miller (vs. HOU): 20.44 Points
Whiffs Leaders - Yesterday
1. Sandy Alcantara (MIA): 19 Whiffs (96 Pitches)
2. Jose Berrios (TOR): 19 Whiffs (100 Pitches)
3. Spencer Strider (ATL): 18 Whiffs (97 Pitches)
4. Kyle Gibson (BAL): 18 Whiffs (95 Pitches)
5. Gavin Williams (CLE): 17 Whiffs (90 Pitches)
6. Joey Wentz (DET): 17 Whiffs (83 Pitches)
7. Pablo Lopez (MIN): 16 Whiffs (99 Pitches)
8. Tarik Skubal (DET): 16 Whiffs (88 Pitches)
9. Tyler Anderson (LAA): 14 Whiffs (81 Pitches)
10. Seth Lugo (SD): 14 Whiffs (104 Pitches)
Strike% Leaders - Yesterday
1. Sandy Alcantara (MIA): 57.3 Strike%, 24.0 Ball%
2. Tarik Skubal (DET): 55.7 Strike%, 28.4 Ball%
3. Spencer Strider (ATL): 55.7 Strike%, 33.0 Ball%
4. Cole Ragans (KC): 52.8 Strike%, 32.1 Ball%
5. Brandon Woodruff (MIL): 52.2 Strike%, 31.5 Ball%
6. Jose Berrios (TOR): 51.0 Strike%, 39.0 Ball%
7. Seth Lugo (SD): 51.0 Strike%, 36.5 Ball%
8. Jameson Taillon (CHC): 49.5 Strike%, 28.6 Ball%
9. Joey Wentz (DET): 49.4 Strike%, 31.3 Ball%
10. Andre Jackson (PIT): 49.3 Strike%, 35.2 Ball%
11. Brandon Pfaadt (ARI): 48.6 Strike%, 36.4 Ball%
12. Xzavion Curry (CLE): 48.1 Strike%, 33.3 Ball%
13. Zack Thompson (STL): 47.6 Strike%, 32.9 Ball%
14. Andrew Heaney (TEX): 47.6 Strike%, 34.5 Ball%
15. Gavin Williams (CLE): 46.7 Strike%, 34.4 Ball%
Pitcher/Pitch Trends
Velo Changes - Yesterday
Cole Ragans's FC velo (11 pitches) UP 2.0mph to 92.1
Gavin Williams's SL velo (29 pitches) UP 1.5mph to 85.4
Andrew Heaney's SL velo (25 pitches) DOWN -1.5mph to 80.7
Peter Lambert's FF velo (41 pitches) DOWN -1.5mph to 92.0
Jameson Taillon's CU velo (17 pitches) DOWN -1.6mph to 78.9
Jameson Taillon's FC velo (23 pitches) DOWN -1.7mph to 87.4
J.P. France's CH velo (15 pitches) DOWN -1.7mph to 80.2
Michael Kopech's FF velo (39 pitches) DOWN -1.7mph to 93.6
Luis Medina's FF velo (15 pitches) DOWN -1.9mph to 94.3
Michael Lorenzen's CH velo (25 pitches) DOWN -2.2mph to 82.5
Luis Medina's SI velo (14 pitches) DOWN -2.5mph to 93.3
Michael Kopech's SL velo (28 pitches) DOWN -3.0mph to 82.1
Pitch Mix Changes - Yesterday
Andre Jackson's CU usage (15.5%) up 12.6 points
Brayan Bello's SI usage (46.9%) up 10.8 points
Brett Kennedy's CH usage (34.7%) up 10.3 points
Bryce Miller's SI usage (32.9%) up 29.4 points
Cole Ragans's SL usage (15.1%) up 10.7 points
Gavin Williams's SL usage (32.2%) up 12.8 points
J.P. France's CU usage (24.8%) up 12.5 points
J.P. France's ST usage (12.4%) up 11.1 points
Joan Adon's SI usage (24.3%) up 17.5 points
Joey Lucchesi's CU usage (37.8%) up 11.2 points
Joey Wentz's FC usage (41.0%) up 16.2 points
Luis Medina's SI usage (28.0%) up 16.2 points
Michael Kopech's SL usage (36.8%) up 10.1 points
Michael Lorenzen's CH usage (33.8%) up 12.1 points
Tarik Skubal's CH usage (30.7%) up 13.2 points
Pitch Mix Changes - Last 3 Starts
Cole Irvin 4-Seam Fastball: -24.2%
Bryce Miller Sinker: +20.8%
Bryce Miller 4-Seam Fastball: -20.5%
Cole Irvin Cutter: +19.8%
Luis Severino 4-Seam Fastball: -19.3%
Logan Webb Sinker: -18.5%
Gerrit Cole Cutter: +18.2%
Bobby Miller 4-Seam Fastball: +18.1%
Noah Syndergaard Sinker: -18.0%
Jon Gray Slider: +17.5%
JP Sears Slider: +17.4%
Ryan Walker Sinker: -17.4%
Ryan Walker Slider: +17.4%
Logan Webb Changeup: +16.3%
Luis Severino Cutter: +16.2%
Kenta Maeda 4-Seam Fastball: +16.0%
Noah Syndergaard 4-Seam Fastball: +15.8%
Noah Syndergaard Slider: +15.1%
Gerrit Cole 4-Seam Fastball: -14.4%
Lance Lynn Cutter: -14.1%
Austin Gomber Slider: +13.9%
Grayson Rodriguez Slider: +13.7%
Bailey Falter Slider: +13.6%
Noah Syndergaard Cutter: -13.5%
Josiah Gray 4-Seam Fastball: -13.2%
Bailey Falter 4-Seam Fastball: -13.1%
Bobby Miller Sinker: -13.1%
Yonny Chirinos Split-Finger: +12.7%
Quinn Priester Slider: +12.4%
James Paxton Cutter: -12.3%
Luis Medina 4-Seam Fastball: -12.3%
Johan Oviedo Slider: -12.3%
Jordan Lyles 4-Seam Fastball: -12.2%
Pitchers - Recent Leaders
CSW% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Dane Dunning - 80 TBF, 35.4% CSW%
Spencer Strider - 93 TBF, 34.1% CSW%
Gavin Williams - 88 TBF, 33.9% CSW%
Cole Ragans - 101 TBF, 33.8% CSW%
Charlie Morton - 96 TBF, 33.4% CSW%
Sonny Gray - 74 TBF, 32.8% CSW%
Jose Berrios - 94 TBF, 32.6% CSW%
Kyle Gibson - 101 TBF, 32.2% CSW%
Eduardo Rodriguez - 78 TBF, 31.8% CSW%
Chris Bassitt - 78 TBF, 31.5% CSW%
K% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Gavin Williams - 88 TBF, 36.4% K%
Dane Dunning - 80 TBF, 36.2% K%
Sonny Gray - 74 TBF, 33.8% K%
Cole Ragans - 101 TBF, 32.7% K%
Blake Snell - 90 TBF, 32.2% K%
Nick Pivetta - 87 TBF, 31.0% K%
Spencer Strider - 93 TBF, 30.1% K%
Merrill Kelly - 97 TBF, 28.9% K%
Kenta Maeda - 83 TBF, 28.9% K%
Aaron Nola - 94 TBF, 28.7% K%
K-BB% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Dane Dunning - 80 TBF, 31.2% K-BB%
Sonny Gray - 74 TBF, 29.7% K-BB%
Gavin Williams - 88 TBF, 28.4% K-BB%
Pablo Lopez - 96 TBF, 25.0% K-BB%
Cole Ragans - 101 TBF, 24.8% K-BB%
Jordan Montgomery - 74 TBF, 24.3% K-BB%
Kenta Maeda - 83 TBF, 24.1% K-BB%
Merrill Kelly - 97 TBF, 23.7% K-BB%
Nick Pivetta - 87 TBF, 23.0% K-BB%
Sandy Alcantara - 111 TBF, 21.6% K-BB%
GB% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Logan Webb - 81 TBF, 63.9% GB%
Sandy Alcantara - 111 TBF, 60.8% GB%
Dakota Hudson - 75 TBF, 60.0% GB%
Brayan Bello - 98 TBF, 58.7% GB%
Dane Dunning - 80 TBF, 57.4% GB%
Framber Valdez - 86 TBF, 57.4% GB%
Jordan Montgomery - 74 TBF, 55.8% GB%
Tarik Skubal - 87 TBF, 55.6% GB%
Kyle Gibson - 101 TBF, 54.2% GB%
Alex Cobb - 94 TBF, 54.1% GB%
Magic Formula Qualifiers - Pitchers - Last 3 Weeks
Andrew Heaney - 69 TBF, 27.5 K%, 7.2 BB%, 53.3% GB%
Chase Silseth - 65 TBF, 32.3 K%, 4.6 BB%, 46.3% GB%
Cole Ragans - 101 TBF, 32.7 K%, 7.9 BB%, 43.3% GB%
Dane Dunning - 80 TBF, 36.2 K%, 5.0 BB%, 57.4% GB%
Jordan Montgomery - 74 TBF, 27.0 K%, 2.7 BB%, 55.8% GB%
Julio Urias - 65 TBF, 33.8 K%, 3.1 BB%, 47.5% GB%
Max Scherzer - 73 TBF, 34.2 K%, 6.8 BB%, 53.5% GB%
Pablo Lopez - 96 TBF, 28.1 K%, 3.1 BB%, 52.3% GB%
Pedro Avila - 72 TBF, 27.8 K%, 6.9 BB%, 56.5% GB%
Sean Manaea - 52 TBF, 36.5 K%, 7.7 BB%, 48.3% GB%
Sonny Gray - 74 TBF, 33.8 K%, 4.1 BB%, 51.1% GB%
Zack Thompson - 57 TBF, 31.6 K%, 3.5 BB%, 54.1% GB%
Hot Pitcher Tracker - Last 3 Weeks vs. Career
Kyle Gibson - +4.1% CSW%, -2.3 BB%
Merrill Kelly - +2.4% CSW%, -2.0 BB%
Nick Pivetta - +2.8% CSW%, -1.5 BB%
Dane Dunning - +6.8% CSW%, -3.2 BB%
Sonny Gray - +2.6% CSW%, -4.0 BB%
Freddy Peralta - +2.9% CSW%, -2.1 BB%
Adrian Houser - +8.4% CSW%, -5.0 BB%
Julio Urias - +4.3% CSW%, -2.2 BB%
Ken Waldichuk - +2.7% CSW%, -3.0 BB%
Max Fried - +2.5% CSW%, -1.9 BB%
Brandon Williamson - +4.6% CSW%, -3.1 BB%
Ryan Yarbrough - +2.1% CSW%, -4.4 BB%
Drew Smyly - +4.4% CSW%, -1.6 BB%
Jakob Junis - +7.5% CSW%, -3.6 BB%
Hitters
Multiple Barrels
Eugenio Suarez (SEA) 5 PA, 10 Swings, 2 Barrels, 0 HR
Jorge Soler (MIA) 5 PA, 7 Swings, 2 Barrels, 2 HR
Juan Soto (SD) 4 PA, 8 Swings, 2 Barrels, 0 HR
Lenyn Sosa (CWS) 3 PA, 3 Swings, 2 Barrels, 0 HR
Pete Alonso (NYM) 5 PA, 7 Swings, 2 Barrels, 0 HR
New Max Launch Velos
Jonathan Arauz, Yesterday: 108.2 Previous High: 107.3
Royce Lewis, Yesterday: 115.1 Previous High: 114.0
Hardest Hit Balls
Royce Lewis (MIN) - 115.1mph - nan
Ronald Acuna Jr. (ATL) - 113.5mph - single
Jesus Sanchez (MIA) - 113.4mph - field_out
Juan Soto (SD) - 113.4mph - double
Austin Riley (ATL) - 112.2mph - double
Tyler Soderstrom (OAK) - 111.6mph - field_out
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) - 111.4mph - home_run
William Contreras (MIL) - 110.8mph - double
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) - 110.7mph - home_run
Pete Alonso (NYM) - 110.6mph - field_out
Last 3 Weeks - wOBA vs. xwOBA Comparison
Top 10
Fernando Tatis Jr. - 84 PA, 0.275 wOBA, 0.399 xwOBA, 0.124 Diff
Joc Pederson - 60 PA, 0.192 wOBA, 0.302 xwOBA, 0.11 Diff
Mark Vientos - 58 PA, 0.215 wOBA, 0.308 xwOBA, 0.093 Diff
Aaron Judge - 76 PA, 0.397 wOBA, 0.476 xwOBA, 0.079 Diff
Andrew Benintendi - 64 PA, 0.214 wOBA, 0.292 xwOBA, 0.078 Diff
Mickey Moniak - 70 PA, 0.139 wOBA, 0.214 xwOBA, 0.075 Diff
Francisco Alvarez - 58 PA, 0.28 wOBA, 0.352 xwOBA, 0.072 Diff
Spencer Torkelson - 75 PA, 0.359 wOBA, 0.422 xwOBA, 0.063 Diff
Alex Call - 66 PA, 0.237 wOBA, 0.3 xwOBA, 0.063 Diff
Andrew McCutchen - 62 PA, 0.287 wOBA, 0.347 xwOBA, 0.06 Diff
Bottom 10
Jose Altuve - 83 PA, 0.484 wOBA, 0.346 xwOBA, -0.138 Diff
Johan Rojas - 62 PA, 0.332 wOBA, 0.207 xwOBA, -0.125 Diff
Joey Votto - 64 PA, 0.385 wOBA, 0.282 xwOBA, -0.103 Diff
Bobby Witt Jr. - 82 PA, 0.513 wOBA, 0.412 xwOBA, -0.101 Diff
Austin Riley - 92 PA, 0.426 wOBA, 0.325 xwOBA, -0.101 Diff
Ryan O'Hearn - 58 PA, 0.349 wOBA, 0.25 xwOBA, -0.099 Diff
Kerry Carpenter - 71 PA, 0.443 wOBA, 0.344 xwOBA, -0.099 Diff
Jeimer Candelario - 65 PA, 0.471 wOBA, 0.373 xwOBA, -0.098 Diff
Hunter Renfroe - 73 PA, 0.279 wOBA, 0.187 xwOBA, -0.092 Diff
Mitch Garver - 64 PA, 0.489 wOBA, 0.404 xwOBA, -0.085 Diff
Last 3 Weeks - Brl% Leaders
Gary Sanchez - 52 PA, 30 BIP, 9 Brls, 30.0 Brl%
Max Kepler - 63 PA, 42 BIP, 11 Brls, 26.2 Brl%
Spencer Torkelson - 75 PA, 47 BIP, 12 Brls, 25.5 Brl%
Bryce Harper - 79 PA, 46 BIP, 10 Brls, 21.7 Brl%
Shohei Ohtani - 73 PA, 42 BIP, 9 Brls, 21.4 Brl%
Nolan Jones - 73 PA, 42 BIP, 9 Brls, 21.4 Brl%
Aaron Judge - 76 PA, 42 BIP, 9 Brls, 21.4 Brl%
Jake Bauers - 68 PA, 33 BIP, 7 Brls, 21.2 Brl%
Marcell Ozuna - 82 PA, 53 BIP, 11 Brls, 20.8 Brl%
Trent Grisham - 64 PA, 35 BIP, 7 Brls, 20.0 Brl%
Last 3 Weeks - xwOBA Leaders
Wander Franco - 58 PA, 0.493 xwOBA
Aaron Judge - 76 PA, 0.476 xwOBA
Max Kepler - 63 PA, 0.475 xwOBA
Corey Seager - 58 PA, 0.464 xwOBA
Stone Garrett - 54 PA, 0.458 xwOBA
Ronald Acuna Jr. - 96 PA, 0.451 xwOBA
Matt Olson - 86 PA, 0.45 xwOBA
Mookie Betts - 70 PA, 0.444 xwOBA
Yordan Alvarez - 78 PA, 0.436 xwOBA
Ty France - 79 PA, 0.435 xwOBA
Last 3 Weeks - Contact% Leaders
Keibert Ruiz - 74 PA, 130 Swings, 92.3 Cont%
Steven Kwan - 75 PA, 133 Swings, 91.0 Cont%
Michael Massey - 76 PA, 150 Swings, 90.0 Cont%
Alejandro Kirk - 57 PA, 96 Swings, 89.6 Cont%
Brandon Nimmo - 68 PA, 113 Swings, 89.4 Cont%
TJ Friedl - 68 PA, 120 Swings, 89.2 Cont%
Luis Arraez - 80 PA, 135 Swings, 88.9 Cont%
Adley Rutschman - 86 PA, 157 Swings, 88.5 Cont%
Jeff McNeil - 87 PA, 165 Swings, 88.5 Cont%
Brice Turang - 64 PA, 111 Swings, 88.3 Cont%
Last 10 Days - SB Attempt Leaders
Julio Rodriguez - 7 Attempts (5 steals)
C.J. Abrams - 7 Attempts (6 steals)
Randy Arozarena - 5 Attempts (3 steals)
Fernando Tatis Jr. - 5 Attempts (5 steals)
Michael Harris II - 4 Attempts (4 steals)
Dairon Blanco - 4 Attempts (3 steals)
Trevor Story - 4 Attempts (3 steals)
Nico Hoerner - 4 Attempts (2 steals)
Sal Frelick - 4 Attempts (4 steals)
Ha-Seong Kim - 4 Attempts (3 steals)
Esteury Ruiz - 4 Attempts (4 steals)
Jose Altuve - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Matt McLain - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Gleyber Torres - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Ozzie Albies - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Ezequiel Tovar - 3 Attempts (1 steals)
Ronald Acuna Jr. - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Jose Caballero - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Elly De La Cruz - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Rafael Ortega - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Chris Taylor - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Last 30 Days - SB Attempt Leaders
C.J. Abrams - 16 Attempts (15 steals)
Ronald Acuna Jr. - 14 Attempts (11 steals)
Julio Rodriguez - 14 Attempts (10 steals)
Ha-Seong Kim - 12 Attempts (9 steals)
Nico Hoerner - 11 Attempts (9 steals)
Corbin Carroll - 10 Attempts (9 steals)
Dairon Blanco - 9 Attempts (8 steals)
Bobby Witt Jr. - 9 Attempts (7 steals)
TJ Friedl - 9 Attempts (7 steals)
Jose Ramirez - 8 Attempts (8 steals)
Lane Thomas - 8 Attempts (7 steals)
Francisco Lindor - 8 Attempts (7 steals)
Jose Altuve - 8 Attempts (7 steals)
Magic Formula Qualifiers - Hitters - Last 3 Weeks
Corey Seager - 58 PA, 13.8 K%, 17.4 Brl%
Kyle Tucker - 80 PA, 13.8 K%, 14.5 Brl%
Matt Olson - 86 PA, 16.3 K%, 17.2 Brl%
Mookie Betts - 70 PA, 18.6 K%, 20.0 Brl%
Tyler O'Neill - 58 PA, 19.0 K%, 15.4 Brl%
Wander Franco - 58 PA, 12.1 K%, 17.8 Brl%
Yainer Diaz - 53 PA, 17.0 K%, 19.0 Brl%
Yordan Alvarez - 78 PA, 15.4 K%, 14.3 Brl%
Last 30 Days - xwOBA Improvers
Brice Turang - 93 PA, +0.118 xwOBA
James Outman - 95 PA, +0.095 xwOBA
Riley Greene - 114 PA, +0.081 xwOBA
Spencer Torkelson - 116 PA, +0.078 xwOBA
Triston Casas - 90 PA, +0.077 xwOBA
Cody Bellinger - 114 PA, +0.076 xwOBA
Max Kepler - 99 PA, +0.07 xwOBA
Mookie Betts - 109 PA, +0.066 xwOBA
Lars Nootbaar - 106 PA, +0.064 xwOBA
Ty France - 114 PA, +0.062 xwOBA
Last 30 Days - Brl% Improvers
Spencer Torkelson - 116 PA, +11.6 Brl%
Max Kepler - 99 PA, +9.0 Brl%
Mookie Betts - 109 PA, +8.7 Brl%
Cal Raleigh - 102 PA, +8.2 Brl%
Marcell Ozuna - 113 PA, +7.9 Brl%
Nolan Jones - 97 PA, +7.5 Brl%
Christian Walker - 115 PA, +7.4 Brl%
Pete Alonso - 118 PA, +7.1 Brl%
C.J. Abrams - 122 PA, +5.9 Brl%
Riley Greene - 114 PA, +5.9 Brl%
Last 30 Days - Cont% Improvers
Michael Massey - 107 PA, +13.8 Cont%
Cody Bellinger - 114 PA, +13.6 Cont%
Mike Tauchman - 91 PA, +11.4 Cont%
Brice Turang - 93 PA, +9.9 Cont%
Ha-Seong Kim - 120 PA, +9.8 Cont%
Lars Nootbaar - 106 PA, +9.7 Cont%
Tyler O'Neill - 95 PA, +9.5 Cont%
James Outman - 95 PA, +9.0 Cont%
Brandon Nimmo - 101 PA, +8.5 Cont%
Enrique Hernandez - 82 PA, +8.3 Cont%
Last 30 Days - K% Improvers
Cody Bellinger - 114 PA, -14.5 K%
Michael Massey - 107 PA, -14.4 K%
Mike Tauchman - 91 PA, -12.2 K%
Eloy Jimenez - 85 PA, -11.5 K%
Kerry Carpenter - 105 PA, -10.2 K%
Tyler O'Neill - 95 PA, -9.9 K%
Jake Burger - 107 PA, -9.6 K%
Seth Brown - 81 PA, -9.4 K%
James Outman - 95 PA, -8.9 K%
Brice Turang - 93 PA, -8.6 K%
Hot Hitter Tracker - Last 7 vs. Career
Ty France - +12.1% Contact%, +3.2 mph exit velo, -15.1 Chase%
Brandon Nimmo - +11.7% Contact%, +3.2 mph exit velo, -4.4 Chase%
Marcell Ozuna - +6.6% Contact%, +6.0 mph exit velo, -7.4 Chase%
Corey Seager - +18.6% Contact%, +3.7 mph exit velo, -5.7 Chase%
Jake Burger - +4.8% Contact%, +5.3 mph exit velo, -7.2 Chase%
Michael Massey - +18.7% Contact%, +4.0 mph exit velo, -13.7 Chase%
Michael Conforto - +7.4% Contact%, +3.9 mph exit velo, -8.9 Chase%
Nico Hoerner - +4.9% Contact%, +3.3 mph exit velo, -3.7 Chase%
Super Ultra Mega Hot Hitters - Last 15 Days
Ke'Bryan Hayes - 0.377 xwOBA, 12.8% Brl%, 78.7% Contact%, 22.8% Chase%, 17.3% K%
Matt Olson - 0.426 xwOBA, 14.9% Brl%, 81.2% Contact%, 23.3% Chase%, 14.7% K%
Mookie Betts - 0.434 xwOBA, 15.0% Brl%, 84.5% Contact%, 19.8% Chase%, 19.3% K%
Pete Alonso - 0.444 xwOBA, 25.0% Brl%, 75.5% Contact%, 20.3% Chase%, 22.6% K%
Ronald Acuna Jr. - 0.417 xwOBA, 11.1% Brl%, 78.2% Contact%, 23.0% Chase%, 13.5% K%
Ty France - 0.489 xwOBA, 16.2% Brl%, 84.0% Contact%, 20.8% Chase%, 12.7% K%
Subscribe today to get the full daily notes and all the other content I put out here - read the about page here for full information and free samples. 10% of subscription fees go to Samaritan’s Purse Ministry, a humanitarian aid charity.