MLB Daily Notes - August 3rd
A daily automated report of what happened yesterday in Major League Baseball, along with other recent trends and further analysis.
Pitcher Review
We had another no-hitter, this time from Blake Snell. Snell is in full Cy Young mode again:
9 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 11 K, 3 BB, 18.4% SwStr%, 55.3% Strike%
Since returning from the IL now:
5 GS, 33 IP, 8 H, 2 ER, 41 K, 10 BB, 1 HR, 36.3% K%, 8.8% BB%
I would take him as a top-five SP from here on out. I’m not even sure who I’d definitely take over him. But there’s always the risk that he loses the command again.
Pitch mix since the return:
Another impressive outing from Spencer Schwellenbach:
7 IP, 6 H, 3 ER, 10 K, 0 BB, 18.1% SwStr%, 50% Strike%
That was against the Marlins. He gave up three runs pretty quickly too, so it was looking bad but he really finished strong. He now sits with a 4.04 ERA, a 1.04 WHIP, and a 22.9% K-BB% in his 64.2 MLB innings. Looking very strong.
Pitch mix for the season:
Yusei Kikuchi was the other name in the top three of the algo results. He struck out 11 Rays with 26 whiffs and a 56.8% Strike%.
5.2 IP, 3 H, 2 ER, 11 K, 3 BB
He gave up two runs immediately but then shut out the Ray the rest of the way. They yanked him with 95 pitches so he couldn’t finish the qualbanger.
Any time a guy switches teams, you wonder if the new team will tweak anything.
In this case, the changeup usage came up. He was throwing that pitch 12% of the time prior but used it 26% of the time yesterday. It worked extremely well yesterday. That certainly doesn’t mean it will continue to work that well, but it’s interesting to see a change there that was followed by a really good start. I’d be starting Kikuchi for now.
Shane Baz got to another nice 18.8% SwStr%, so that’s really good to see.
5.1 IP, 6 H, 2 ER, 5 K, 1 BB
He’s been pretty good with the four-seamer this season (51% Strike%), but the slider has been the pitch improving and that’s the real key for him.
Rough morning for me, so I’m out of time. Gotta move on.
Pitcher Reports
Algo SP Ranks - Yesterday
1. Yusei Kikuchi
2. Blake Snell
3. Spencer Schwellenbach
4. Carlos Carrasco
5. Tyler Anderson
6. Gavin Stone
7. Shane Baz
8. Bryan Woo
9. Andrew Abbott
10. Randy Vasquez
11. Brandon Pfaadt
12. Kutter Crawford
13. Cole Ragans
14. Austin Gomber
15. Joe Ryan
16. Tarik Skubal
17. Paul Blackburn
18. Dean Kremer
19. Jake Irvin
20. Frankie Montas
21. Valente Bellozo
22. Javier Assad
23. Davis Martin
24. Marcus Stroman
25. Joey Estes
26. Erick Fedde
27. Tyler Phillips
28. Kevin Gausman
29. Jose Urena
30. Luis L. Ortiz
Fantasy Points Leaders - Yesterday
1. Blake Snell (vs. CIN): 44.45 Points
2. Bryan Woo (vs. PHI): 28.75 Points
3. Yusei Kikuchi (vs. TB): 27.16 Points
4. Spencer Schwellenbach (vs. MIA): 26.15 Points
5. Joe Ryan (vs. CWS): 24.64 Points
6. Austin Gomber (vs. SD): 24.15 Points
7. Joey Estes (vs. LAD): 23.1 Points
8. Paul Blackburn (vs. LAA): 22.7 Points
9. Cole Ragans (vs. DET): 21.16 Points
10. Andrew Abbott (vs. SF): 16.94 Points
Whiffs Leaders - Yesterday
1. Yusei Kikuchi (HOU): 26 Whiffs (95 Pitches)
2. Blake Snell (SF): 21 Whiffs (114 Pitches)
3. Spencer Schwellenbach (ATL): 17 Whiffs (94 Pitches)
4. Tyler Anderson (LAA): 16 Whiffs (100 Pitches)
5. Gavin Stone (LAD): 16 Whiffs (84 Pitches)
6. Shane Baz (TB): 15 Whiffs (80 Pitches)
7. Andrew Abbott (CIN): 13 Whiffs (90 Pitches)
8. Tarik Skubal (DET): 12 Whiffs (95 Pitches)
9. Carlos Carrasco (CLE): 12 Whiffs (79 Pitches)
10. Kutter Crawford (BOS): 12 Whiffs (95 Pitches)
Strike% Leaders - Yesterday
1. Yusei Kikuchi (HOU): 56.8 Strike%, 34.7 Ball%
2. Blake Snell (SF): 55.3 Strike%, 31.6 Ball%
3. Carlos Carrasco (CLE): 54.4 Strike%, 34.2 Ball%
4. Joe Ryan (MIN): 53.4 Strike%, 33.0 Ball%
5. Bryan Woo (SEA): 53.3 Strike%, 25.0 Ball%
6. Andrew Abbott (CIN): 52.2 Strike%, 34.4 Ball%
7. Austin Gomber (COL): 52.0 Strike%, 28.0 Ball%
8. Randy Vasquez (SD): 51.8 Strike%, 32.9 Ball%
9. Javier Assad (CHC): 50.5 Strike%, 37.1 Ball%
10. Spencer Schwellenbach (ATL): 50.0 Strike%, 31.9 Ball%
11. Cole Ragans (KC): 49.5 Strike%, 38.1 Ball%
12. Jake Irvin (WSH): 49.1 Strike%, 34.5 Ball%
13. Brandon Pfaadt (ARI): 49.0 Strike%, 32.3 Ball%
14. Kutter Crawford (BOS): 48.4 Strike%, 33.7 Ball%
15. Dean Kremer (BAL): 47.4 Strike%, 32.6 Ball%
Pitches/Out (POUT) Leaders - Yesterday
1. Blake Snell: 114 Pitches, 27 Outs, 4.22 POUT
2. Joey Estes: 78 Pitches, 18 Outs, 4.33 POUT
3. Bryan Woo: 92 Pitches, 21 Outs, 4.38 POUT
4. Valente Bellozo: 66 Pitches, 15 Outs, 4.4 POUT
5. Spencer Schwellenbach: 94 Pitches, 21 Outs, 4.48 POUT
6. Austin Gomber: 100 Pitches, 21 Outs, 4.76 POUT
7. Paul Blackburn: 82 Pitches, 17 Outs, 4.82 POUT
8. Shane Baz: 80 Pitches, 16 Outs, 5.0 POUT
9. Tarik Skubal: 95 Pitches, 19 Outs, 5.0 POUT
10. Joe Ryan: 103 Pitches, 19 Outs, 5.42 POUT
Velo Changes - Yesterday
Joe Ryan's FS velo (22 pitches) UP 2.9mph to 88.6
Frankie Montas's FF velo (31 pitches) UP 1.7mph to 97.0
Frankie Montas's FC velo (14 pitches) UP 1.7mph to 91.9
Carlos Carrasco's SL velo (24 pitches) UP 1.7mph to 85.7
Blake Snell's CH velo (16 pitches) DOWN -1.5mph to 84.9
Dean Kremer's FC velo (21 pitches) DOWN -1.5mph to 86.6
Luis L. Ortiz's SI velo (17 pitches) DOWN -1.6mph to 93.9
Cole Ragans's FF velo (40 pitches) DOWN -1.8mph to 94.2
Javier Assad's FF velo (15 pitches) DOWN -2.1mph to 90.3
Cole Ragans's FC velo (14 pitches) DOWN -2.2mph to 89.0
Cole Ragans's CH velo (28 pitches) DOWN -2.4mph to 83.3
Marcus Stroman's SV velo (18 pitches) DOWN -2.5mph to 81.3
Marcus Stroman's FF velo (12 pitches) DOWN -2.6mph to 88.8
Pitch Mix Changes - Yesterday
Andrew Abbott's ST usage (32.2%) up 14.8 points
Blake Snell's CU usage (35.1%) up 13.8 points
Brandon Pfaadt's SI usage (30.2%) up 14.1 points
Dean Kremer's FS usage (27.4%) up 21.5 points
Erick Fedde's FC usage (42.3%) up 10.9 points
Luis L. Ortiz's FC usage (24.2%) up 13.5 points
Marcus Stroman's SV usage (28.1%) up 10.1 points
Marcus Stroman's FF usage (18.8%) up 12.7 points
Paul Blackburn's CH usage (25.6%) up 12.1 points
Tarik Skubal's FF usage (49.5%) up 15.6 points
Valente Bellozo's FC usage (37.9%) up 14.6 points
Yusei Kikuchi's CH usage (26.3%) up 15.8 points
Pitch Mix Changes - Last 3 Starts
Luis Gil Slider: +24.6%
Patrick Corbin Cutter: +21.6%
Paul Skenes Split-Finger: -19.9%
Marco Gonzales Sinker: -19.2%
Brady Singer Sinker: +18.4%
Edward Cabrera Sinker: +18.2%
Yusei Kikuchi Curveball: -18.1%
Luis Gil 4-Seam Fastball: -17.6%
Jose Quintana Curveball: +17.5%
Tyler Glasnow 4-Seam Fastball: -17.5%
Hayden Birdsong Curveball: +16.4%
Blake Snell Curveball: +16.2%
Garrett Crochet Cutter: +15.8%
Bailey Falter Slider: +15.4%
Sean Manaea 4-Seam Fastball: +15.2%
Marco Gonzales Changeup: +14.9%
Tyler Glasnow Sinker: +14.7%
Jose Soriano Sinker: +14.2%
Ryan Feltner Slider: -13.9%
Randy Vasquez Cutter: +13.9%
Logan Gilbert Cutter: -13.9%
Gavin Williams Cutter: -13.6%
George Kirby 4-Seam Fastball: -13.4%
Kyle Freeland 4-Seam Fastball: -13.3%
Hunter Brown Sinker: +12.9%
Framber Valdez Curveball: +12.8%
Jonathan Cannon Sinker: -12.7%
Tanner Bibee Slider: -12.6%
Cade Povich Sinker: +12.4%
Hayden Birdsong 4-Seam Fastball: -12.4%
Framber Valdez Sinker: -12.4%
Sean Manaea Sinker: -12.3%
Andrew Abbott Sweeper: +12.2%
CSW% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Blake Snell - 95 TBF, 39.7% CSW%
Framber Valdez - 73 TBF, 36.1% CSW%
Sonny Gray - 77 TBF, 35.2% CSW%
Spencer Schwellenbach - 75 TBF, 34.9% CSW%
Carlos Rodon - 69 TBF, 33.2% CSW%
Tyler Anderson - 75 TBF, 33.0% CSW%
Yusei Kikuchi - 93 TBF, 32.6% CSW%
Carson Fulmer - 81 TBF, 32.6% CSW%
Max Scherzer - 69 TBF, 32.5% CSW%
Zach Eflin - 76 TBF, 32.5% CSW%
K% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Blake Snell - 95 TBF, 40.0% K%
Spencer Schwellenbach - 75 TBF, 38.7% K%
Dylan Cease - 94 TBF, 38.3% K%
Nick Pivetta - 67 TBF, 35.8% K%
Carlos Rodon - 69 TBF, 34.8% K%
Framber Valdez - 73 TBF, 34.2% K%
Sonny Gray - 77 TBF, 32.5% K%
Yusei Kikuchi - 93 TBF, 32.3% K%
Luis Gil - 68 TBF, 30.9% K%
Max Scherzer - 69 TBF, 30.4% K%
K-BB% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Spencer Schwellenbach - 75 TBF, 38.7% K-BB%
Nick Pivetta - 67 TBF, 32.8% K-BB%
Blake Snell - 95 TBF, 32.6% K-BB%
Dylan Cease - 94 TBF, 27.7% K-BB%
Sonny Gray - 77 TBF, 27.3% K-BB%
Carlos Rodon - 69 TBF, 26.1% K-BB%
Framber Valdez - 73 TBF, 26.0% K-BB%
Shota Imanaga - 77 TBF, 24.7% K-BB%
Joe Ryan - 72 TBF, 23.6% K-BB%
Luis Gil - 68 TBF, 23.5% K-BB%
GB% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Nathan Eovaldi - 102 TBF, 59.5% GB%
Michael Wacha - 70 TBF, 59.3% GB%
Logan Webb - 87 TBF, 58.5% GB%
Zac Gallen - 96 TBF, 56.7% GB%
Dylan Cease - 94 TBF, 56.2% GB%
Patrick Corbin - 71 TBF, 55.8% GB%
Cristopher Sanchez - 77 TBF, 55.6% GB%
Corbin Burnes - 81 TBF, 54.7% GB%
Grayson Rodriguez - 95 TBF, 54.7% GB%
Mitch Spence - 68 TBF, 54.3% GB%
Magic Formula Qualifiers - Pitchers - Last 3 Weeks
Cade Smith - 45 TBF, 42.2 K%, 4.4 BB%, 52.2% GB%
Hunter Brown - 77 TBF, 27.3 K%, 7.8 BB%, 52.0% GB%
Joe Ryan - 72 TBF, 29.2 K%, 5.6 BB%, 51.1% GB%
Logan Gilbert - 65 TBF, 32.3 K%, 1.5 BB%, 52.4% GB%
Michael King - 46 TBF, 32.6 K%, 6.5 BB%, 46.4% GB%
Pablo Lopez - 76 TBF, 27.6 K%, 6.6 BB%, 46.9% GB%
Sonny Gray - 77 TBF, 32.5 K%, 5.2 BB%, 45.8% GB%
Spencer Schwellenbach - 75 TBF, 38.7 K%, 0.0 BB%, 45.7% GB%
Taj Bradley - 64 TBF, 28.1 K%, 6.2 BB%, 57.1% GB%
Tyler Anderson - 75 TBF, 28.0 K%, 5.3 BB%, 46.9% GB%
SIERA vs. ERA Comp, Last 30 Days
Unluckiest
Patrick Corbin: 7.27 ERA, 3.67 SIERA
MacKenzie Gore: 9.3 ERA, 5.96 SIERA
Marcus Stroman: 7.84 ERA, 4.62 SIERA
Sonny Gray: 5.81 ERA, 2.83 SIERA
Nick Lodolo: 6.66 ERA, 3.74 SIERA
Griffin Canning: 7.44 ERA, 4.71 SIERA
Carlos Carrasco: 6.56 ERA, 3.92 SIERA
Cal Quantrill: 7.54 ERA, 5.03 SIERA
Nestor Cortes: 6.93 ERA, 4.47 SIERA
Cristopher Sanchez: 6.58 ERA, 4.23 SIERA
Luckiest
Jose Quintana: 2.05 ERA, 4.33 SIERA
Blake Snell: 0.55 ERA, 2.82 SIERA
Taj Bradley: 1.45 ERA, 3.45 SIERA
Dylan Cease: 1.04 ERA, 2.78 SIERA
Brady Singer: 2.35 ERA, 3.87 SIERA
Ryan Feltner: 3.03 ERA, 4.52 SIERA
George Kirby: 2.08 ERA, 3.44 SIERA
Ryne Nelson: 2.5 ERA, 3.61 SIERA
Gavin Williams: 2.52 ERA, 3.58 SIERA
Tanner Bibee: 3.49 ERA, 4.44 SIERA
Hot Pitcher Tracker - Last 3 Weeks vs. Career
Blake Snell - +8.7% CSW%, -4.1 BB%
Sonny Gray - +5.1% CSW%, -1.7 BB%
Tyler Anderson - +4.6% CSW%, -2.5 BB%
Kyle Freeland - +2.6% CSW%, -3.6 BB%
Austin Gomber - +3.1% CSW%, -2.1 BB%
Nick Pivetta - +2.3% CSW%, -5.3 BB%
Ronel Blanco - +2.6% CSW%, -1.6 BB%
Logan Gilbert - +5.2% CSW%, -3.7 BB%
Gavin Williams - +2.0% CSW%, -2.3 BB%
Matt Waldron - +2.4% CSW%, -2.0 BB%
Bryce Elder - +9.4% CSW%, -4.4 BB%
Hitter Reports
Multiple Barrels
Brent Rooker (OAK) 4 PA, 8 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Corey Seager (TEX) 4 PA, 6 Swings, 2 Barrels, 2 HR
Josh Bell (ARI) 5 PA, 8 Swings, 2 Barrels, 2 HR
Rafael Devers (BOS) 5 PA, 8 Swings, 3 Barrels, 1 HR
Royce Lewis (MIN) 5 PA, 9 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 5 PA, 8 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
New Max Launch Velos
Luke Raley, Yesterday: 115.4 Previous High: 114.3
Hardest Hit Balls
Aaron Judge (NYY) - 117.5mph - home_run
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) - 116.3mph - home_run
Luke Raley (SEA) - 115.4mph - home_run
Pete Alonso (NYM) - 113.8mph - home_run
Salvador Perez (KC) - 113.0mph - home_run
Shea Langeliers (OAK) - 112.8mph - home_run
Jerar Encarnacion (SF) - 112.3mph - field_out
Matt Chapman (SF) - 112.2mph - single
Wilyer Abreu (BOS) - 112.2mph - home_run
Luis Robert (CWS) - 111.9mph - field_out
Last 3 Weeks - wOBA vs. xwOBA Comparison
Top 10
Brice Turang - 71 PA, 0.156 wOBA, 0.279 xwOBA, 0.123 Diff
Andrew Vaughn - 68 PA, 0.236 wOBA, 0.344 xwOBA, 0.108 Diff
Adley Rutschman - 74 PA, 0.213 wOBA, 0.298 xwOBA, 0.085 Diff
Jarred Kelenic - 82 PA, 0.212 wOBA, 0.294 xwOBA, 0.082 Diff
Wyatt Langford - 81 PA, 0.208 wOBA, 0.288 xwOBA, 0.08 Diff
Jake Meyers - 72 PA, 0.26 wOBA, 0.336 xwOBA, 0.076 Diff
Andy Pages - 68 PA, 0.233 wOBA, 0.301 xwOBA, 0.068 Diff
Yordan Alvarez - 70 PA, 0.346 wOBA, 0.413 xwOBA, 0.067 Diff
Jorge Polanco - 75 PA, 0.377 wOBA, 0.444 xwOBA, 0.067 Diff
Ian Happ - 88 PA, 0.288 wOBA, 0.353 xwOBA, 0.065 Diff
Bottom 10
Bobby Witt Jr. - 84 PA, 0.549 wOBA, 0.41 xwOBA, -0.139 Diff
Xander Bogaerts - 60 PA, 0.442 wOBA, 0.312 xwOBA, -0.13 Diff
Ezequiel Tovar - 89 PA, 0.468 wOBA, 0.358 xwOBA, -0.11 Diff
Xavier Edwards - 86 PA, 0.447 wOBA, 0.339 xwOBA, -0.108 Diff
Rhys Hoskins - 61 PA, 0.35 wOBA, 0.243 xwOBA, -0.107 Diff
Jeff McNeil - 68 PA, 0.439 wOBA, 0.332 xwOBA, -0.107 Diff
Gavin Lux - 64 PA, 0.489 wOBA, 0.383 xwOBA, -0.106 Diff
Trea Turner - 80 PA, 0.352 wOBA, 0.246 xwOBA, -0.106 Diff
Tyler O'Neill - 75 PA, 0.428 wOBA, 0.325 xwOBA, -0.103 Diff
Jarren Duran - 92 PA, 0.456 wOBA, 0.353 xwOBA, -0.103 Diff
Last 3 Weeks - Brl% Leaders
Shohei Ohtani - 67 PA, 40 BIP, 12 Brls, 30.0 Brl%
Brent Rooker - 62 PA, 49 BIP, 14 Brls, 28.6 Brl%
Aaron Judge - 72 PA, 35 BIP, 10 Brls, 28.6 Brl%
Juan Soto - 74 PA, 53 BIP, 14 Brls, 26.4 Brl%
Byron Buxton - 44 PA, 24 BIP, 6 Brls, 25.0 Brl%
Ben Rice - 56 PA, 30 BIP, 7 Brls, 23.3 Brl%
Tyler Fitzgerald - 54 PA, 35 BIP, 8 Brls, 22.9 Brl%
Mark Vientos - 61 PA, 35 BIP, 8 Brls, 22.9 Brl%
Jose Siri - 42 PA, 23 BIP, 5 Brls, 21.7 Brl%
James Wood - 63 PA, 33 BIP, 7 Brls, 21.2 Brl%
Last 3 Weeks - xwOBA Leaders
Brent Rooker - 62 PA, 0.575 xwOBA
Juan Soto - 74 PA, 0.544 xwOBA
Aaron Judge - 72 PA, 0.539 xwOBA
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. - 67 PA, 0.516 xwOBA
Shohei Ohtani - 67 PA, 0.488 xwOBA
Ketel Marte - 63 PA, 0.48 xwOBA
Jake Burger - 66 PA, 0.476 xwOBA
Jorge Polanco - 58 PA, 0.464 xwOBA
Tyler Fitzgerald - 54 PA, 0.458 xwOBA
Corey Seager - 67 PA, 0.451 xwOBA
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