MLB Daily Notes - Friday, April 8
Opening Day was spectacular as always, but today things are really about to get going. The two rainouts were a bit of a downer and it resulted in a day with pretty limited action, and a lot of that action happened after bedtime for us normal people.
Every team in the league is in action today (pending more rainouts…), so there’s a whole lot of data about to populate! Let’s hit the daily notes from yesterday & then show off the projections for today!
Apr 7 CSW% Leaders
1. Shohei Ohtani (LAA): 17.5 SwStr%, 41.2 CSW%
2. Kyle Hendricks (CHC): 20.5 SwStr%, 37.3 CSW%
3. Tylor Megill (NYM): 16.2 SwStr%, 35.3 CSW%
4. Tyler Mahle (CIN): 15.5 SwStr%, 34.5 CSW%
5. Framber Valdez (HOU): 13.1 SwStr%, 33.3 CSW%
6. Adam Wainwright (STL): 4.9 SwStr%, 32.1 CSW%
7. Shane Bieber (CLE): 13.9 SwStr%, 31.9 CSW%
8. Corbin Burnes (MIL): 13.3 SwStr%, 31.3 CSW%
9. Max Fried (ATL): 11.9 SwStr%, 28.6 CSW%
10. Zack Greinke (KC): 6.0 SwStr%, 28.6 CSW%
Apr 7 K-BB% Leaders
Shohei Ohtani - 19 TBF, 42.1% K-BB%
Tylor Megill - 18 TBF, 33.3% K-BB%
Adam Wainwright - 21 TBF, 28.6% K-BB%
Tyler Mahle - 20 TBF, 25.0% K-BB%
Framber Valdez - 22 TBF, 22.7% K-BB%
Shane Bieber - 18 TBF, 22.2% K-BB%
Kyle Hendricks - 24 TBF, 16.7% K-BB%
Max Fried - 26 TBF, 15.4% K-BB%
Patrick Corbin - 18 TBF, 11.1% K-BB%
Corbin Burnes - 21 TBF, 4.8% K-BB%
Apr 7 GB% Leaders
Framber Valdez - 22 TBF, 73.3% GB%
Tylor Megill - 18 TBF, 58.3% GB%
Patrick Corbin - 18 TBF, 54.5% GB%
Adam Wainwright - 21 TBF, 53.3% GB%
JT Brubaker - 17 TBF, 50.0% GB%
Tyler Mahle - 20 TBF, 45.5% GB%
Yu Darvish - 22 TBF, 40.0% GB%
Zack Greinke - 22 TBF, 40.0% GB%
Kyle Hendricks - 24 TBF, 38.5% GB%
Shohei Ohtani - 19 TBF, 33.3% GB%
Velo Changes
These are all compared to the 2021 season.
Tylor Megill's CH velo (14 pitches) UP 4.4mph to 89.9
Shohei Ohtani's CU velo (11 pitches) UP 3.9mph to 78.6
Shohei Ohtani's SL velo (22 pitches) UP 2.7mph to 84.9
Shohei Ohtani's FS velo (12 pitches) UP 2.4mph to 90.6
Shohei Ohtani's FF velo (35 pitches) UP 2.2mph to 97.8
Madison Bumgarner's CU velo (10 pitches) UP 2.0mph to 79.8
Max Fried's SL velo (14 pitches) UP 2.0mph to 86.8
Zack Greinke's SL velo (20 pitches) UP 2.0mph to 85.6
Madison Bumgarner's FC velo (28 pitches) UP 1.8mph to 87.9
Tylor Megill's FF velo (39 pitches) UP 1.5mph to 96.1
Shane Bieber's SL velo (24 pitches) DOWN -1.5mph to 84.2
Shane Bieber's FF velo (28 pitches) DOWN -2.2mph to 90.6
Tyler Mahle's SL velo (17 pitches) DOWN -2.7mph to 84.0
Pitch Mix Changes
JT Brubaker's SI usage (35.3%) up 11.0 points
Kyle Hendricks's CH usage (39.8%) up 12.1 points
Yu Darvish's FF usage (50.0%) up 25.9 points
Apr 7 Hardest Hit Balls
Matt Olson (ATL) - 113.0mph - field_out
Tommy Edman (STL) - 112.6mph - home_run
Juan Soto (WSH) - 111.0mph - home_run
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) - 110.4mph - field_out
Jose Ramirez (CLE) - 109.3mph - foul
Trent Grisham (SD) - 107.8mph - single
Austin Riley (ATL) - 107.6mph - home_run
Max Stassi (LAA) - 107.5mph - field_out
Nelson Cruz (WSH) - 107.3mph - force_out
Roberto Perez (PIT) - 107.2mph - single
All projections will be updated throughout the day with a script running every 30 minutes pulling in updated lineups & re-running projections, bookmark these Google Sheets!
Apr 8 Hitter Projections
Click here to view projections
Top HR Projections
Rafael Devers 0.46
Mike Trout 0.42
Shohei Ohtani 0.38
Bryce Harper 0.33
Matt Olson 0.32
Byron Buxton 0.32
Kyle Schwarber 0.31
Hunter Renfroe 0.31
Marcell Ozuna 0.30
Yordan Alvarez 0.29
Apr 8 Pitcher Projections
Click here to view projections
Top K Projections
Robbie Ray 8.3
Gerrit Cole 7.5
Aaron Nola 7.2
Brandon Woodruff 7.2
Nathan Eovaldi 6.9
Max Scherzer 6.6
Logan Webb 6.5
Eduardo Rodriguez 6.3
Shane McClanahan 6.2
Charlie Morton 6.2