The Astros have called up their top prospect Brice Matthews. And we have another case on our hands of the air being taken out of the balloon immediately. Wecan know quite a bit about hitters from looking at waht they’ve done in the minor leagues. The first thing you look at when a rookie hitter gets the call up is their strikeout rate. And it’s not a good thing for Matthews.
Here’s what I’ll do when looking at one of these guys. First, I go to the basic stats on the MLB & MiLB Stats Dashboard v3 dashboard. Pull up that Hitter Profile tab and search for the player.
You can make it so the “year” drop down includes all years, and then it will break down their whole career (since 2021, but most top prospects debuted professionally some time after 2020) by level.
We see that he has struck out a bunch every single year, and things haven’t been improving as he’s gotten more experience and moved up to higher levels.
But there are slightly different ways to turn into a hitter that strikes out a lot. If the guy has spent some time in AAA, we can get a lot of good information from the MiLB Statcast 2025 dashboard.
What you’re looking for there is stuff like swing rates, contact rates, and batted ball profile stuff.
With Matthews, we see a low 41% Swing%. The AAA average (45%) is a little lower than the MLB average (47%), probably just because more strikes are thrown in the Majors. But 41% is low, so the guy takes some strikes and gets himself into deeper counts because of that. And that’s not necessarily a bad thing. It turns into a ton of walks, as you’ve seen above. And it doesn’t have to turn into a high K% if the hitter has a good contact rate. But Matthews doesn’t. His Z-Contact% (the percent of the time he makes contact, fair or foul, on pitches in the strike zone) is just 75%. The AAA average is 83%. We’d like guys around 85%, but you can go lower than that if they have a lot of power.
Going from the minors to the Majors makes you pretty likely to have your Z-Contact% reduced, and it’s really hard to survive in the Majors with a Z-Contact% below 75%.
I did a little minors vs. Majors K% and Z-Contact% comparison in a Google Sheet here.
The question is what are the chances that Matthews improves his Z-Contact% in the Majors? This is a question for the short term. I’m not saying anything at all about what the guy might do two years down the line. I’m just trying to figure out what he’s most likely to do for the next three months.
So I have a list of every qualified hitters (50 zone swings in both the minors and Majors this year) and a comparison of their zone contact rates. Here are the biggest decreasers from MiLB → MLB:
It’s not to say it’s impossible to handle the transition. There are some guys who have been better at this in the Majors than the minors:
But you know, that doesn’t make a ton of sense. How could you be better at making contact with better pitches?
What you’ll notice with those names is that these are mostly guys with Major League experience. We have guys either who have rehabbed or just guys who are veterans and hanging out in AAA because they couldn’t quite stay on the MLB roster this year.
It’s probably more an approach change than anything with those guys. I did my best to quickly filter this only to the young guys who have been trying to come up and get earn their first real shot at Major League playign time. Only Jace Jung and Agustin Ramirez have improved their Z-Contact% in that sample, and the average change is a loss of six points.
That is a lot of words and data to make a pretty simple point. I think Brice Matthews is going to come up and strike out like 40% of the time and then probably hit the bench or go back to AAA. I wouldn’t add him in fantasy leagues.
Going now from a young, new, exciting hitter to an old, known, boring pitcher. Miles Mikolas:
5.2 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 6 SO, 1 BB
That was his best start of the year as measured by fantasy points scored.
I don’t know why I’m mentioning it. Obviously nobody is starting this guy in a fantasy league or a DFS lineup or anything. But I could see Mikolas inspiring some feelings around baseball. In the age of 100mph fastballs and high strikeout rates, Mikolas has been a blast from the past. He’s hung around the Major Leagues for way longer than anybody should have expected, so shout out to him.
Remember that this guy was pitching in Japan for three years between 2015 and 2017.
You don’t expect someone who goes from MLB → Overseas to ever come back to the MLB and stick around for long. And maybe he shouldn’t have stuck around for this long. It seems to me like the 2018 season he had immediately upon returning from Japan buoyed his career. He posted a 2.83 ERA that year, but it was on a 3.93 SIERA with a .279 BABIP and a 76% LOB%. He was really lucky that year. He has an ERA around five over these last three years, so it’s not like he’s been a net positive on the Cardinals over this long contract.
Or maybe he has, who knows. He’s thrown more than 1,000 innings for them, and that’s worth something. But let’s stop talking about Miles Mikolas.
Bryan Woo took a no-hitter deep into the game against the Yankees. He had it spoiled late and the Mariners ended up losing the game. And he struck out just five.
Woo is a unique pitcher. He’s one of those guys who does extremely well with a lower strikeout rate and it’s not due to good luck.
I checked every pitchers xwOBA allowed in the middle of the strike zone this year. And Bryan Woo isn’t even in the top 50! Here’s your top 15:
Woo is down there at #63:
Here are your worst:
We are talking about a small number of pitches since I’ve limited this to just this year, so there’s some randomness here. But you can tell the difference between the names at the top and bottom of the list.
Wheeler, Crochet, Fried, Cabrera, Webb, etc. Those guys either have really nasty “stuff” or really pristine command, or both! I would expect Woo to move up this list since he’s been a guy who has so consistently generated soft contact in his career.
Extending the data sample back to include 2024, here are your top 20:
And there we get Woo into the top 15.
This is sort of a weird stat since it’s requiring pitches right down the middle. I would imagine that the one of the goals of every pitch thrown is for that pitcht to not end up there. The perfect pitcher would never be on this list because he’d never throw a pitch middle-middle.
Let’s change this to just be xwOBA on pitches in the strike zone that were put in play. Now we’re really talking. These are the true soft contact generators. I’m so excited about it that I’ve put it in an interactive table.
Right away we see three relievers. I don’t watch many games, but I’ve seen enough to know about Tyler Rogers and Tim Hill. What do they have in common? Really weird release points.
Here’s a fastball from Rogers to Nick Kurtz in just a dreadful location, but he gets away with it and generates a lazy fly ball:
And here’s Tim Hill doing the same:
So one good way to generate weak contact is to throw the ball from a location where nobody else throws it from.
Both of these guys stretch the release point plots.
Back to the point! Our guy Bryan Woo ranks #5 here, and #2 for starting pitchers behind Justin “The Magician” Steele. And he also does that with the help of an uncommon release point.
It’s not nearly as obvious when watching Woo. You might not even think anything of his release point, but it’s weird.
So there you go. Bryan Woo is real good.
I’m going to wrap the daily notes there.
My baseball writing urges come in waves. Sometimes I’m really jazzed up to write, and sometimes it feels more like an obligation. My jazzed% is way higher than my obligated%, so we’re still in the green territory. But I got to like a 112 Jazzed+ last night and started a new post series called Most Surprising Stats. I was going to just do one surprising stat from each team and go division-by-division. But then I ended up writing a ton of words about two stats coming from Yankees’ hitters that I found. So I changed the the title name from “Most Surprising Stats - AL East” to “Most Surprising Stats - New York Yankees”. I didn’t finish it, I’ll finish it today. But then I was lying in bed and realized like damn did I just start a 30-part post series in the middle of the freaking season? And there’s pretty much zero chance I’m going to write one of them for every team, but I’m also not going to undo what I did last night. So we’ll see where it goes. Maybe I’ll just hit the most popular teams, or something.
That will start today, and I’ll have a slate preview out for the nice slate of Friday night baseball we have.
1. Miles Mikolas
2. Spencer Strider
3. Colin Rea
4. Jack Kochanowicz
5. Bryan Woo
6. Patrick Corbin
7. Nick Lodolo
8. Taj Bradley
9. Michael Soroka
10. Brandon Waddell
11. Charlie Morton
12. Cal Quantrill
13. JP Sears
14. Tomoyuki Sugano
15. David Peterson
16. Eduardo Rodriguez
17. Walker Buehler
18. Chris Paddack
19. Marcus Stroman
20. Randy Vasquez
1. Miles Mikolas (vs. WSH): 26.96 Points
2. Spencer Strider (vs. ATH): 26.21 Points
3. Colin Rea (vs. MIN): 24.75 Points
4. Nick Lodolo (vs. MIA): 23.7 Points
5. David Peterson (vs. BAL): 22.75 Points
6. Bryan Woo (vs. NYY): 20.09 Points
7. Taj Bradley (vs. BOS): 18.5 Points
8. Patrick Corbin (vs. LAA): 17.85 Points
9. Grant Wolfram (vs. NYM): 15.9 Points
10. Jake Latz (vs. LAA): 15.69 Points
1. Spencer Strider (ATL): 21 Whiffs (101 Pitches)
2. Colin Rea (CHC): 15 Whiffs (92 Pitches)
3. Patrick Corbin (TEX): 15 Whiffs (88 Pitches)
4. Bryan Woo (SEA): 14 Whiffs (103 Pitches)
5. Jack Kochanowicz (LAA): 12 Whiffs (70 Pitches)
6. Miles Mikolas (STL): 12 Whiffs (71 Pitches)
7. Jacob Latz (TEX): 12 Whiffs (54 Pitches)
8. Taj Bradley (TB): 11 Whiffs (88 Pitches)
9. Michael Soroka (WSH): 11 Whiffs (91 Pitches)
10. Cal Quantrill (MIA): 11 Whiffs (84 Pitches)
1. Jacob Latz (TEX): 53.7 Strike%, 35.2 Ball%
2. Miles Mikolas (STL): 52.1 Strike%, 29.6 Ball%
3. JP Sears (OAK): 51.2 Strike%, 33.7 Ball%
4. Spencer Strider (ATL): 50.5 Strike%, 36.6 Ball%
5. Michael Soroka (WSH): 49.5 Strike%, 37.4 Ball%
6. Charlie Morton (BAL): 49.0 Strike%, 32.7 Ball%
7. Colin Rea (CHC): 47.8 Strike%, 32.6 Ball%
8. Bryan Woo (SEA): 47.6 Strike%, 35.0 Ball%
9. Nick Lodolo (CIN): 46.2 Strike%, 35.2 Ball%
10. David Peterson (NYM): 45.6 Strike%, 34.4 Ball%
11. Jack Kochanowicz (LAA): 44.3 Strike%, 38.6 Ball%
12. Taj Bradley (TB): 44.3 Strike%, 38.6 Ball%
13. Walker Buehler (BOS): 43.5 Strike%, 34.8 Ball%
14. Cal Quantrill (MIA): 42.9 Strike%, 38.1 Ball%
15. Patrick Corbin (TEX): 42.0 Strike%, 42.0 Ball%
1. Miles Mikolas: 71 Pitches, 17 Outs, 4.18 POUT
2. Colin Rea: 92 Pitches, 21 Outs, 4.38 POUT
3. Bryan Woo: 103 Pitches, 22 Outs, 4.68 POUT
4. David Peterson: 90 Pitches, 19 Outs, 4.74 POUT
5. Taj Bradley: 88 Pitches, 18 Outs, 4.89 POUT
6. Spencer Strider: 101 Pitches, 20 Outs, 5.05 POUT
7. Nick Lodolo: 91 Pitches, 18 Outs, 5.06 POUT
8. Walker Buehler: 92 Pitches, 18 Outs, 5.11 POUT
9. Jacob Latz: 54 Pitches, 10 Outs, 5.4 POUT
10. Tomoyuki Sugano: 99 Pitches, 18 Outs, 5.5 POUT
Patrick Corbin's FC velo (29 pitches) UP 2.4mph to 88.4
Eduardo Rodriguez's FC velo (19 pitches) UP 1.9mph to 90.9
Tomoyuki Sugano's SI velo (21 pitches) UP 1.7mph to 93.8
Taj Bradley's FC velo (23 pitches) DOWN -1.9mph to 88.6
Brandon Waddell's SL usage (31.6%) up 12.0 points
Bryan Woo's FF usage (73.8%) up 27.7 points
Cal Quantrill's FC usage (34.5%) up 18.4 points
Carson Fulmer's FF usage (36.4%) up 12.6 points
Colin Rea's SL usage (18.5%) up 15.1 points
JP Sears's FF usage (50.0%) up 12.8 points
Michael Soroka's SV usage (34.1%) up 12.7 points
Patrick Corbin's FC usage (33.0%) up 12.9 points
Taj Bradley's FF usage (62.5%) up 19.4 points
Max Fried 4-Seam Fastball: -28.1%
Kumar Rocker Cutter: +27.3%
Max Fried Cutter: +25.8%
Shane Baz Cutter: +25.2%
Kumar Rocker Slider: -21.9%
Ryan Gusto Sinker: +18.6%
Gavin Williams 4-Seam Fastball: -18.1%
German Marquez Sinker: -17.5%
Ryan Pepiot 4-Seam Fastball: -17.4%
Tyler Glasnow Sinker: +17.3%
Bailey Falter 4-Seam Fastball: +17.1%
Reese Olson 4-Seam Fastball: +15.8%
German Marquez 4-Seam Fastball: +15.0%
Chase Dollander Sinker: +14.3%
Mitchell Parker Split-Finger: -14.2%
Bryan Woo 4-Seam Fastball: +13.6%
Jake Irvin Curveball: -13.6%
Mitchell Parker Curveball: +13.4%
Bryan Woo Sinker: -13.1%
Kyle Freeland Sinker: -12.9%
Tyler Glasnow 4-Seam Fastball: -12.8%
Brandon Pfaadt 4-Seam Fastball: -12.6%
George Kirby Slider: +12.5%
Chad Patrick Cutter: -12.3%
Logan Webb Changeup: +12.3%
Chad Patrick Sinker: +12.3%
Hayden Birdsong Curveball: -12.2%
Paul Skenes Split-Finger: -12.2%
Adrian Houser 4-Seam Fastball: -12.1%
Brandon Walter 4-Seam Fastball: +12.1%
Taj Bradley Split-Finger: -12.0%
Dean Kremer - 69 TBF, 38.5% CSW%
Tarik Skubal - 72 TBF, 36.0% CSW%
Cristopher Sanchez - 78 TBF, 34.9% CSW%
Jose Soriano - 93 TBF, 34.3% CSW%
Zac Gallen - 99 TBF, 34.3% CSW%
Sonny Gray - 94 TBF, 34.2% CSW%
Zack Wheeler - 103 TBF, 33.2% CSW%
Jack Flaherty - 90 TBF, 32.8% CSW%
Shane Baz - 106 TBF, 32.4% CSW%
Kris Bubic - 99 TBF, 32.3% CSW%
Tarik Skubal - 72 TBF, 43.1% K%
Zack Wheeler - 103 TBF, 36.9% K%
Jacob Misiorowski - 80 TBF, 35.0% K%
Garrett Crochet - 77 TBF, 33.8% K%
Yusei Kikuchi - 99 TBF, 32.3% K%
Eury Perez - 76 TBF, 31.6% K%
Bryan Woo - 98 TBF, 31.6% K%
Shane Baz - 106 TBF, 31.1% K%
Freddy Peralta - 68 TBF, 30.9% K%
Cristopher Sanchez - 78 TBF, 30.8% K%
Tarik Skubal - 72 TBF, 40.3% K-BB%
Zack Wheeler - 103 TBF, 31.1% K-BB%
Cristopher Sanchez - 78 TBF, 29.5% K-BB%
Freddy Peralta - 68 TBF, 27.9% K-BB%
Yusei Kikuchi - 99 TBF, 27.3% K-BB%
Jacob Misiorowski - 80 TBF, 26.2% K-BB%
Garrett Crochet - 77 TBF, 26.0% K-BB%
Sonny Gray - 94 TBF, 25.5% K-BB%
Joe Ryan - 91 TBF, 25.3% K-BB%
Nick Pivetta - 88 TBF, 25.0% K-BB%
Cristopher Sanchez - 78 TBF, 71.2% GB%
Jose Soriano - 93 TBF, 64.3% GB%
Framber Valdez - 82 TBF, 63.8% GB%
Edward Cabrera - 73 TBF, 63.3% GB%
Jack Kochanowicz - 81 TBF, 60.9% GB%
Andre Pallante - 94 TBF, 60.3% GB%
Clay Holmes - 67 TBF, 57.1% GB%
Quinn Priester - 68 TBF, 55.6% GB%
Sonny Gray - 94 TBF, 54.1% GB%
Tanner Bibee - 100 TBF, 53.7% GB%
Cristopher Sanchez - 78 TBF, 30.8 K%, 1.3 BB%, 71.2% GB%
Garrett Crochet - 77 TBF, 33.8 K%, 7.8 BB%, 51.1% GB%
Justin Wrobleski - 65 TBF, 29.2 K%, 6.2 BB%, 47.6% GB%
Luis L. Ortiz - 51 TBF, 29.4 K%, 5.9 BB%, 45.5% GB%
Quinn Priester - 68 TBF, 27.9 K%, 5.9 BB%, 55.6% GB%
Shane Baz - 106 TBF, 31.1 K%, 7.5 BB%, 44.6% GB%
Sonny Gray - 94 TBF, 29.8 K%, 4.3 BB%, 54.1% GB%
Yusei Kikuchi - 99 TBF, 32.3 K%, 5.1 BB%, 43.5% GB%
Patrick Corbin - +4.0% CSW%, -2.9 BB%
Sonny Gray - +3.4% CSW%, -1.8 BB%
Justin Verlander - +2.7% CSW%, -2.6 BB%
Shane Baz - +5.2% CSW%, -3.7 BB%
Zack Wheeler - +3.0% CSW%, -2.1 BB%
Cal Quantrill - +2.7% CSW%, -3.7 BB%
Cristopher Sanchez - +4.6% CSW%, -4.3 BB%
Hunter Brown - +2.8% CSW%, -3.9 BB%
Zac Gallen - +4.9% CSW%, -4.7 BB%
Joe Ryan - +2.1% CSW%, -3.4 BB%
Dean Kremer - +2.2% CSW%, -3.4 BB%
Quinn Priester - +4.7% CSW%, -2.9 BB%
Frankie Montas - +2.3% CSW%, -3.2 BB%
Jacob Lopez - +2.2% CSW%, -3.7 BB%
Nathan Eovaldi - +2.5% CSW%, -2.6 BB%
Luis L. Ortiz - +7.6% CSW%, -3.8 BB%
Brent Suter - +3.8% CSW%, -1.9 BB%
Andrew Kittredge - +5.3% CSW%, -3.9 BB%
Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) 4 PA, 10 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) 6 PA, 14 Swings, 3 Barrels, 1 HR
Jordan Westburg (BAL) 9 PA, 13 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Manny Machado (SD) 5 PA, 6 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) 5 PA, 11 Swings, 2 Barrels, 2 HR
Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) 5 PA, 5 Swings, 2 Barrels, 0 HR
Ronny Mauricio (NYM) - 111.9mph - nan
Jorge Soler (LAA) - 111.8mph - nan
Manny Machado (SD) - 111.7mph - double
Christopher Morel (TB) - 111.2mph - field_out
Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) - 110.7mph - home_run
Maxwell Muncy (OAK) - 110.5mph - nan
Romy Gonzalez (BOS) - 110.4mph - field_out
Manny Machado (SD) - 110.3mph - home_run
Jo Adell (LAA) - 110.1mph - single
Jordan Westburg (BAL) - 110.0mph - home_run
Top 10
Michael Harris II - 59 PA, 0.123 wOBA, 0.244 xwOBA, 0.121 Diff
Matt Shaw - 63 PA, 0.194 wOBA, 0.308 xwOBA, 0.114 Diff
Alec Burleson - 76 PA, 0.316 wOBA, 0.412 xwOBA, 0.096 Diff
Marcell Ozuna - 76 PA, 0.253 wOBA, 0.346 xwOBA, 0.093 Diff
Miguel Vargas - 69 PA, 0.195 wOBA, 0.287 xwOBA, 0.092 Diff
Jesus Sanchez - 73 PA, 0.302 wOBA, 0.387 xwOBA, 0.085 Diff
Jackson Merrill - 74 PA, 0.224 wOBA, 0.307 xwOBA, 0.083 Diff
Fernando Tatis Jr. - 81 PA, 0.34 wOBA, 0.42 xwOBA, 0.08 Diff
Jac Caglianone - 71 PA, 0.188 wOBA, 0.268 xwOBA, 0.08 Diff
Alejandro Kirk - 63 PA, 0.316 wOBA, 0.395 xwOBA, 0.079 Diff
Bottom 10
Eugenio Suarez - 75 PA, 0.421 wOBA, 0.263 xwOBA, -0.158 Diff
Spencer Steer - 67 PA, 0.414 wOBA, 0.315 xwOBA, -0.099 Diff
Elly De La Cruz - 76 PA, 0.405 wOBA, 0.311 xwOBA, -0.094 Diff
Zach McKinstry - 58 PA, 0.439 wOBA, 0.347 xwOBA, -0.092 Diff
Jasson Dominguez - 69 PA, 0.418 wOBA, 0.33 xwOBA, -0.088 Diff
Jose Altuve - 77 PA, 0.395 wOBA, 0.313 xwOBA, -0.082 Diff
Cal Raleigh - 81 PA, 0.427 wOBA, 0.345 xwOBA, -0.082 Diff
Maxwell Muncy - 64 PA, 0.316 wOBA, 0.235 xwOBA, -0.081 Diff
Colt Keith - 63 PA, 0.436 wOBA, 0.358 xwOBA, -0.078 Diff
Tyler Soderstrom - 64 PA, 0.378 wOBA, 0.304 xwOBA, -0.074 Diff
Corey Seager: 40.0 PA, +0.286 xwOBA OE
George Springer: 39.0 PA, +0.236 xwOBA OE
Romy Gonzalez: 30.0 PA, +0.214 xwOBA OE
Salvador Perez: 37.0 PA, +0.19 xwOBA OE
Bobby Witt Jr.: 39.0 PA, +0.183 xwOBA OE
Aaron Judge: 40.0 PA, +0.183 xwOBA OE
Michael Busch: 39.0 PA, +0.172 xwOBA OE
Jazz Chisholm: 35.0 PA, +0.17 xwOBA OE
Jo Adell: 43.0 PA, +0.162 xwOBA OE
Fernando Tatis Jr.: 38.0 PA, +0.134 xwOBA OE
Kyle Schwarber: 37.0 PA, +0.132 xwOBA OE
Manny Machado: 39.0 PA, +0.131 xwOBA OE
Addison Barger: 33.0 PA, +0.108 xwOBA OE
Geraldo Perdomo: 47.0 PA, +0.104 xwOBA OE
Jarren Duran: 31.0 PA, +0.098 xwOBA OE
Ryan McMahon: 33.0 PA, -0.216 xwOBA OE
Bryan Reynolds: 31.0 PA, -0.181 xwOBA OE
Andrew Benintendi: 30.0 PA, -0.155 xwOBA OE
Freddie Freeman: 36.0 PA, -0.141 xwOBA OE
Trevor Larnach: 29.0 PA, -0.141 xwOBA OE
Brooks Lee: 30.0 PA, -0.139 xwOBA OE
Alek Thomas: 30.0 PA, -0.13 xwOBA OE
Julio Rodriguez: 38.0 PA, -0.128 xwOBA OE
Jackson Merrill: 39.0 PA, -0.117 xwOBA OE
Thairo Estrada: 29.0 PA, -0.113 xwOBA OE
Jung Hoo Lee: 29.0 PA, -0.104 xwOBA OE
Eugenio Suarez: 43.0 PA, -0.102 xwOBA OE
Ernie Clement: 35.0 PA, -0.1 xwOBA OE
Logan O'Hoppe: 30.0 PA, -0.096 xwOBA OE
Luis Arraez: 39.0 PA, -0.091 xwOBA OE
Juan Soto - 75 PA, 44 BIP, 14 Brls, 31.8 Brl%
Jazz Chisholm - 79 PA, 52 BIP, 16 Brls, 30.8 Brl%
Aaron Judge - 81 PA, 48 BIP, 14 Brls, 29.2 Brl%
Ketel Marte - 80 PA, 55 BIP, 14 Brls, 25.5 Brl%
Corey Seager - 83 PA, 53 BIP, 13 Brls, 24.5 Brl%
Kyle Schwarber - 80 PA, 45 BIP, 11 Brls, 24.4 Brl%
Kyle Stowers - 70 PA, 41 BIP, 10 Brls, 24.4 Brl%
Romy Gonzalez - 52 PA, 37 BIP, 9 Brls, 24.3 Brl%
Seiya Suzuki - 83 PA, 54 BIP, 13 Brls, 24.1 Brl%
Will Smith - 52 PA, 30 BIP, 7 Brls, 23.3 Brl%
Corey Seager - 83 PA, 0.548 xwOBA
Juan Soto - 75 PA, 0.502 xwOBA
George Springer - 74 PA, 0.482 xwOBA
Aaron Judge - 81 PA, 0.482 xwOBA
Will Smith - 52 PA, 0.477 xwOBA
Jo Adell - 83 PA, 0.472 xwOBA
Jazz Chisholm - 79 PA, 0.47 xwOBA
Romy Gonzalez - 52 PA, 0.467 xwOBA
Michael Busch - 72 PA, 0.455 xwOBA
Ketel Marte - 80 PA, 0.439 xwOBA
Luis Arraez - 82 PA, 133 Swings, 94.7 Cont%
Alejandro Kirk - 63 PA, 116 Swings, 91.4 Cont%
Nico Hoerner - 74 PA, 128 Swings, 90.6 Cont%
Xavier Edwards - 81 PA, 149 Swings, 89.9 Cont%
Chandler Simpson - 59 PA, 88 Swings, 89.8 Cont%
Brendan Donovan - 81 PA, 126 Swings, 89.7 Cont%
Geraldo Perdomo - 95 PA, 152 Swings, 89.5 Cont%
Sal Frelick - 87 PA, 150 Swings, 89.3 Cont%
Liam Hicks - 50 PA, 65 Swings, 89.2 Cont%
Tyler Freeman - 68 PA, 111 Swings, 89.2 Cont%
Chandler Simpson - 6 Attempts (4 steals)
Trea Turner - 5 Attempts (4 steals)
Willi Castro - 5 Attempts (4 steals)
Cedric Mullins - 5 Attempts (4 steals)
Jose Ramirez - 4 Attempts (4 steals)
Tyler Freeman - 4 Attempts (3 steals)
Zach McKinstry - 4 Attempts (3 steals)
Bobby Witt Jr. - 4 Attempts (4 steals)
Evan Carter - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Zach Neto - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Nate Eaton - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Johan Rojas - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Jasson Dominguez - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Jose Caballero - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Christian Yelich - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Brandon Nimmo - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Caleb Durbin - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Zach McKinstry - 10 Attempts (8 steals)
Chandler Simpson - 10 Attempts (7 steals)
Tyler Freeman - 10 Attempts (7 steals)
Evan Carter - 9 Attempts (8 steals)
Jose Caballero - 9 Attempts (6 steals)
C.J. Abrams - 8 Attempts (8 steals)
Zach Neto - 8 Attempts (5 steals)
Jasson Dominguez - 8 Attempts (6 steals)
Maikel Garcia - 7 Attempts (5 steals)
Jose Ramirez - 7 Attempts (6 steals)
Willi Castro - 7 Attempts (5 steals)
Jacob Young - 7 Attempts (4 steals)
Pete Crow-Armstrong - 7 Attempts (6 steals)
Byron Buxton - 7 Attempts (7 steals)
Oneil Cruz - 7 Attempts (5 steals)
Dane Myers - 7 Attempts (6 steals)
Trea Turner - 7 Attempts (6 steals)
Victor Scott II - 7 Attempts (6 steals)
Alec Burleson - 76 PA, 13.2 K%, 18.0 Brl%
Ben Rice - 52 PA, 13.5 K%, 16.7 Brl%
Brendan Donovan - 81 PA, 12.3 K%, 14.8 Brl%
Ceddanne Rafaela - 67 PA, 11.9 K%, 17.9 Brl%
Corey Seager - 83 PA, 18.1 K%, 24.5 Brl%
Dominic Canzone - 55 PA, 16.4 K%, 19.6 Brl%
Jo Adell - 83 PA, 18.1 K%, 19.3 Brl%
Ketel Marte - 80 PA, 20.0 K%, 25.5 Brl%
Lars Nootbaar - 56 PA, 19.6 K%, 15.4 Brl%
Pete Crow-Armstrong - 82 PA, 19.5 K%, 14.5 Brl%
Randal Grichuk - 57 PA, 19.3 K%, 20.0 Brl%
Salvador Perez - 73 PA, 13.7 K%, 16.9 Brl%
Victor Caratini - 54 PA, 18.5 K%, 15.9 Brl%
Yandy Diaz - 85 PA, 14.1 K%, 15.4 Brl%
Jazz Chisholm - 111 PA, +0.137 xwOBA
Jo Adell - 118 PA, +0.121 xwOBA
Ceddanne Rafaela - 89 PA, +0.099 xwOBA
Colt Keith - 86 PA, +0.098 xwOBA
Corey Seager - 124 PA, +0.097 xwOBA
Geraldo Perdomo - 131 PA, +0.096 xwOBA
Michael Busch - 99 PA, +0.094 xwOBA
Gavin Sheets - 117 PA, +0.086 xwOBA
Byron Buxton - 106 PA, +0.085 xwOBA
Tyler Freeman - 103 PA, +0.073 xwOBA
Jazz Chisholm - 111 PA, +14.0 Brl%
Juan Soto - 113 PA, +9.6 Brl%
Jo Adell - 118 PA, +8.6 Brl%
Alec Burleson - 117 PA, +8.6 Brl%
Seiya Suzuki - 117 PA, +8.4 Brl%
Harrison Bader - 81 PA, +8.4 Brl%
Jarren Duran - 104 PA, +8.3 Brl%
Wenceel Perez - 95 PA, +8.0 Brl%
Kyle Schwarber - 120 PA, +8.0 Brl%
Brendan Donovan - 99 PA, +7.7 Brl%
Michael Busch - 99 PA, +10.0 Cont%
Tyler Soderstrom - 96 PA, +9.3 Cont%
Paul Goldschmidt - 91 PA, +8.9 Cont%
Jasson Dominguez - 97 PA, +8.8 Cont%
Dominic Canzone - 82 PA, +8.8 Cont%
Ryan Jeffers - 81 PA, +8.0 Cont%
William Contreras - 112 PA, +7.8 Cont%
Josh Lowe - 109 PA, +7.4 Cont%
Connor Norby - 99 PA, +7.4 Cont%
Jake Meyers - 101 PA, +7.1 Cont%
Elly De La Cruz - 110 PA, -13.3 K%
Ryan Jeffers - 81 PA, -11.7 K%
Evan Carter - 90 PA, -11.3 K%
Josh Bell - 98 PA, -10.6 K%
Thairo Estrada - 92 PA, -10.5 K%
Josh Smith - 111 PA, -10.1 K%
Jorge Polanco - 93 PA, -9.9 K%
Paul Goldschmidt - 91 PA, -9.6 K%
Nick Gonzales - 104 PA, -9.3 K%
Trevor Story - 104 PA, -9.3 K%
Shea Langeliers: +4.07
Ceddanne Rafaela: +3.1
Drake Baldwin: +2.3
Jazz Chisholm: +2.28
Matt Wallner: +2.15
Rafael Devers: -3.2
Marcell Ozuna: -2.9
Matt Chapman: -2.85
Cam Smith: -2.8
Nick Castellanos: -2.35
Trevor Story - +5.8% Contact%, +5.6 mph exit velo, -3.2 Chase%
Ceddanne Rafaela - +3.8% Contact%, +7.5 mph exit velo, -13.4 Chase%
Salvador Perez - +7.2% Contact%, +4.1 mph exit velo, -5.0 Chase%
Masyn Winn - +6.9% Contact%, +3.1 mph exit velo, -3.6 Chase%
Jacob Young - +9.4% Contact%, +6.4 mph exit velo, -8.8 Chase%
Colt Keith - +5.6% Contact%, +7.7 mph exit velo, -18.4 Chase%
Jazz Chisholm - +9.2% Contact%, +5.4 mph exit velo, -4.0 Chase%
George Springer - 0.48 xwOBA, 14.0% Brl%, 82.0% Contact%, 17.9% Chase%, 7.3% K%
Geraldo Perdomo - 0.473 xwOBA, 13.3% Brl%, 90.1% Contact%, 18.6% Chase%, 10.8% K%
Spencer Torkelson - 0.413 xwOBA, 24.3% Brl%, 77.2% Contact%, 23.0% Chase%, 20.4% K%
Willson Contreras - 0.426 xwOBA, 17.2% Brl%, 78.3% Contact%, 17.1% Chase%, 19.6% K%
Matt Wallner - 41.3% Whiff%, 72.2% Weak%, 0.968 Cold Rating
Daniel Schneemann - 32.6% Whiff%, 84.2% Weak%, 0.931 Cold Rating
Harrison Bader - 34.8% Whiff%, 70.8% Weak%, 0.91 Cold Rating
Ronald Acuna Jr. - 39.2% Whiff%, 68.2% Weak%, 0.907 Cold Rating
Jackson Merrill - 32.2% Whiff%, 71.9% Weak%, 0.895 Cold Rating
Ryan McMahon - 38.6% Whiff%, 66.7% Weak%, 0.877 Cold Rating
Eugenio Suarez - 36.2% Whiff%, 67.6% Weak%, 0.875 Cold Rating
Giancarlo Stanton - 37.9% Whiff%, 66.7% Weak%, 0.871 Cold Rating
Trevor Larnach - 39.0% Whiff%, 65.4% Weak%, 0.855 Cold Rating
Michael Harris II - 29.0% Whiff%, 72.0% Weak%, 0.846 Cold Rating
Jesus Bastidas (HOU): 4/5, 4R, 1HR, 2RBI, 0SB, 31FPts
Akil Baddoo (DET): 3/4, 2R, 0HR, 1RBI, 0SB, 30FPts
Ruben Ibarra (CIN): 3/4, 3R, 1HR, 2RBI, 0SB, 28FPts
Anthony Vilar (SD): 3/4, 3R, 1HR, 2RBI, 0SB, 28FPts
Jackson Cluff (WSH): 2/3, 3R, 1HR, 2RBI, 0SB, 27FPts
Cade Fergus (PHI): 2/4, 2R, 1HR, 4RBI, 0SB, 27FPts
Edwin Diaz - 641521 (HOU): 2/5, 2R, 1HR, 5RBI, 0SB, 27FPts
Thomas Gavello (SF): 3/4, 2R, 1HR, 2RBI, 0SB, 26FPts
Joshua Baez (STL): 3/3, 3R, 0HR, 2RBI, 0SB, 26FPts
Spencer Jones (NYY): 2/5, 2R, 0HR, 2RBI, 2SB, 24FPts
Landon Harper (nan): 0 Pitches, 8IP, 4H, 0ER, 8K, 0BB, 31FPts
R.J. Gordon (NYM): 0 Pitches, 7IP, 3H, 1ER, 8K, 1BB, 31FPts
Kendry Rojas (TOR): 0 Pitches, 5IP, 2H, 0ER, 10K, 0BB, 30FPts
Bubba Chandler (PIT): 0 Pitches, 6IP, 5H, 0ER, 7K, 2BB, 27FPts
Marco Raya (MIN): 0 Pitches, 6IP, 3H, 1ER, 7K, 1BB, 27FPts
Tanner Gordon (COL): 0 Pitches, 6IP, 6H, 2ER, 10K, 0BB, 25FPts
Pete Hansen (STL): 0 Pitches, 6IP, 7H, 3ER, 9K, 0BB, 25FPts
Tekoah Roby (STL): 0 Pitches, 5IP, 6H, 0ER, 6K, 1BB, 24FPts
Antwone Kelly (PIT): 0 Pitches, 4IP, 4H, 1ER, 9K, 2BB, 22FPts
Riley Cornelio (WSH): 0 Pitches, 5IP, 0H, 0ER, 5K, 4BB, 22FPts
Luis Campusano (AAA - SD) 245 PA 1.052 OPS
Spencer Jones (AAA - NYY) 262 PA 1.04 OPS
Carlos Cortes (AAA - OAK) 289 PA 1.0 OPS
Jordan Lawlar (AAA - ARI) 250 PA 0.991 OPS
Ryan Ward (AAA - LAD) 390 PA 0.979 OPS
Nathan Church (AAA - STL) 249 PA 0.976 OPS
Nick Solak (AAA - PIT) 248 PA 0.968 OPS
Owen Caissie (AAA - CHC) 321 PA 0.961 OPS
C.J. Kayfus (AAA - CLE) 326 PA 0.956 OPS
Brock Wilken (AA - MIL) 283 PA 0.942 OPS
Rece Hinds (AAA - CIN) 248 PA 0.935 OPS
Cam Devanney (AAA - KC) 288 PA 0.93 OPS
Max Anderson (AA - DET) 317 PA 0.925 OPS
Chad Stevens (AAA - LAA) 306 PA 0.912 OPS
JJ Wetherholt (AAA - STL) 287 PA 0.912 OPS
Bobby Dalbec (AAA - MIL) 255 PA 0.907 OPS
Luke Adams (AA - MIL) 258 PA 0.899 OPS
Dylan Beavers (AAA - BAL) 294 PA 0.897 OPS
Michael Chavis (AAA - LAD) 283 PA 0.897 OPS
Trey Mancini (AAA - ARI) 335 PA 0.895 OPS
Jonah Tong (AA - NYM) 78 IP 29.4% K-BB
Mitch Bratt (AA - TEX) 74 IP 26.5% K-BB
Troy Melton (AAA - DET) 65 IP 24.7% K-BB
Ty Johnson (AA - TB) 59 IP 24.4% K-BB
Jack Wenninger (AA - NYM) 81 IP 24.2% K-BB
Ian Seymour (AAA - TB) 86 IP 23.6% K-BB
Connelly Early (AA - BOS) 60 IP 23.3% K-BB
Sean Sullivan - 807743 (AA - COL) 56 IP 22.5% K-BB
Landon Harper (AA - nan) 64 IP 22.1% K-BB
Michael McGreevy (AAA - STL) 70 IP 21.6% K-BB
Tekoah Roby (AAA - STL) 78 IP 21.5% K-BB
John Klein (AA - MIN) 63 IP 21.1% K-BB
Logan Henderson (AAA - MIL) 62 IP 21.1% K-BB
Hunter Barco (AAA - PIT) 63 IP 20.9% K-BB
Kohl Drake (AAA - TEX) 63 IP 20.9% K-BB
Trey Supak (AA - TEX) 69 IP 20.4% K-BB
Wilber Dotel (AA - PIT) 72 IP 20.0% K-BB
Joander Suarez (AA - NYM) 65 IP 19.9% K-BB
Duncan Davitt (AAA - TB) 90 IP 19.8% K-BB
Chen Zhong-Ao Zhuang (AA - OAK) 90 IP 19.6% K-BB
Max Scherzer (28.0% Owned): Projected 5.53IP 2.2ER 7.4SO 1.66BB 20.62FPts
Chase Burns (42.0% Owned): Projected 5.45IP 2.0ER 7.05SO 1.36BB 20.55FPts
Gavin Williams (34.0% Owned): Projected 6.28IP 2.66ER 6.11SO 3.32BB 17.46FPts
Colt Keith - 31 PA, 1.338 OPS
Nathan Lukes - 29 PA, 1.073 OPS
Harrison Bader - 26 PA, 1.058 OPS
Jorge Polanco - 33 PA, 1.053 OPS
Victor Caratini - 31 PA, 1.047 OPS
Tyler Freeman - 36 PA, 1.031 OPS
Josh Bell - 32 PA, 1.018 OPS
Giancarlo Stanton - 29 PA, 0.999 OPS
Isaac Collins - 29 PA, 0.987 OPS
Denzel Clarke - 30 PA, 0.933 OPS
Jasson Dominguez CF (39.5% Owned): Projected 0.92R 0.18HR 0.63RBI 1.14SO 0.65BB 0.22SB 10.28FPts
Cam Smith 3B (43.5% Owned): Projected 0.8R 0.2HR 0.68RBI 0.99SO 0.41BB 0.06SB 9.73FPts
Jo Adell LF (42.0% Owned): Projected 0.72R 0.27HR 0.8RBI 1.18SO 0.25BB 0.1SB 9.44FPts
Jesus Sanchez CF (4.5% Owned): Projected 0.71R 0.2HR 0.63RBI 1.08SO 0.34BB 0.11SB 9.14FPts
Jake Mangum CF (5.5% Owned): Projected 0.64R 0.1HR 0.72RBI 0.53SO 0.09BB 0.17SB 9.09FPts
Nolan Schanuel 1B (15.0% Owned): Projected 0.78R 0.15HR 0.66RBI 0.65SO 0.44BB 0.07SB 9.0FPts
Nathan Lukes OF (1.0% Owned): Projected 0.81R 0.12HR 0.53RBI 0.51SO 0.56BB 0.07SB 8.99FPts
Addison Barger 3B (35.5% Owned): Projected 0.65R 0.22HR 0.72RBI 0.89SO 0.29BB 0.05SB 8.96FPts
Giancarlo Stanton DH (15.5% Owned): Projected 0.68R 0.29HR 0.86RBI 1.24SO 0.41BB 0.01SB 8.96FPts
Chandler Simpson SS (26.0% Owned): Projected 0.58R 0.0HR 0.57RBI 0.37SO 0.35BB 0.5SB 8.94FPts
