We begin today being stunned by Quinn Priester. He goes into Dodgers Stadium and throws a gem, leading the entire day in fantasy points scored.
6 IP, 3 H, 0 R, 10 SO, 0 BB
Here’s how he attacked:
Looks like we’re missing some velo data from that game… but you can see the 15.6% SwStr% on the sinker and the 21.7% mark on the cutter. Those are quite uncommon for those pitches. But Priester was cooking last night.
We have picked out June 10th as the pivot moment for Priester. Since then:
Pretty impressive stuff, checking a lot of boxes. A 54% GB%, a 28% K%, a 3.8% BB%. The 12.6% SwStr% and 34.6% Ball% don’t quite support that K% and BB%, but they aren’t bad numbers either.
It’s just strange to me that someone can be so bad and then just suddenly be so good without making any clear change. Unless there’s a change here I’m not seeing. I really wouldn’t have bought much into Priester before last night, but it’s hard to turn your nose up at that kind of outing against the Dodgers as the cherry on top to this 600-pitch sample where he’s been very, very good.
You may have noticed something new in that graphic above. I have once again enhanced the main dashboard, this time in the pitcher luck category. I have renamed “Pitcher xStats” to “Pitcher Luck” and have changed it a bit:
I show three luck metrics right at the beginning:
→ BABIP
→ HR/FB
→ RISP H%
BABIP and HR/FB are known, I think. The averages we’re looking at this year is around a .290 BABIP and a 15% HR/FB. Anything well above or below those marks could be considered luck in one way or another.
The new one is RISP H%. This tries to emulate LOB%. It is, simply put, what percentage of the hits you allow come with men on base. There’s not going to be much skill there, if any. It’s not about a raw number of hits you’re allowing, it just looks at your total hits allowed and sees how many of them came at very inopportune times.
The league average is 21%. It will correlate highly with LOB%, and you can use those three numbers altogether to get a really nice picture of pitcher luck. I’m pretty excited about it.
Sandy Alcantara pitched last night, and he’s been one of the least lucky SPs in the league by these marks. 41% of his hits allowed have been with men in running scoring position.
It’s true that Alcantara is putting a lot of guys on base, and therefore throwing a higher number of his pitches with men in scoring position. So this isn’t the perfect luck stat, but I think it’s going to be a positive for us to keep an eye on. I will try to do a full explanation and analysis of the stat next week. We want to figure out if it’s prone to regression to the mean. If it doesn’t, then it’s useless, but I’m very confident that it will be.
Sandy’s line last night:
6 H, 8 H, 4 ER, 2 SO, 2 BB, 45.4% Strike%
Not good. While I was typing that I had the idea to add a moving average of JA ERA to the pitcher profile tab. And then I liked that idea, so I did it. Let’s go back to Priester and show that:
Man that’s nice. I love Tableau so, so much.
The second half has me charged up, but I’ve also begun looking forward a bit to the offseason. Not because I want baseball to be done, but because I love writing up teams and players all winter. I think those team previews are my favorite thing to write. The fun never ends here.
Dylan Cease! 21 more whiffs! He now leads the league in whiffs with 326. He was great, but inefficient last night.
5.1 IP, 4 H, 0 R, 10 SO, 0 BB
Only four hits and zero walks, you would think he would have sailed through six. But it must have taken him some extra pitches to grab those ten punchies, because he threw 94 pitches to get those 16 outs.
But yeah, you’ll take that start. As mentioned yesterday in the slate preview, Cease was and is the most obvious buy-low player in the league right now.
He is top 15 in the league in JA ERA. He has an elite 22% K-BB% and a sick 17.2% SwStr%. He’s been so, so good for strikeouts.
But you can see the luck data there, a high .326 BABIP with a 24.5% RISP H%, which is almost four points above the league average. It’s not an absurd number. The issue has just been the number of multi-run homers he’s given up. He gave up seven homers in his final three starts of the first half. That’s a problem. And giving up homers is largely the pitcher’s fault, I don’t want to make an excuse for these guys. But Cease has usually been good at limiting homers, and that’s swelled up a bit this year to 1.2 HR/9.
If he can rein that in a little bit, he’s going to be one of the best starting pitchers in the league in the second half because everything else is just so dominant.
Taj Bradley kept the good times moving with six scoreless innings against the Orioles. He hasn’t allowed a home run since June 18th (five starts), and hitters are at just a .231 xwOBA over this time. It feels like he’s playing with fire a bit because he still isn’t getting strikeouts (19% K%), but he’s been finding every bit of the weak spots in the bats for like a month now.
It’s not something you want to hitch your wagon to, but the Rays will take it, and so will fantasy owners.
The one guy we were watching closely was Slade Cecconi. He had a really freaking weird start. I watched it, or at least I was flipping around and keeping an eye on it. My wife is out of town right now, so I watched baseball all night last night. It was wild. I was actually watching games. I got to see what the Rays stadium actually looks like and what some of these new uniforms are like. I watched the Phillies take a tough loss to the Angels, which sucked because I had put a little bit of money on them to win just so I could try to push myself more and more towards actually being a fan of them. But by like 9:30, I was all tired out, and I started watching John MacArthur clips on YouTube again. And then I saw that this Democrat rep from Texas was on Joe Rogan. He’s a proclaimed Christian, and he was defending a lot of stuff that Christians don’t defend very often. So that was really interesting to me, and that took me to bedtime. I’m not a normal guy.
Anyways, Cecconi had cruised through seven innings and was getting a ton of outs really fast. He started the night with five straight innings under 15 pitches and didn’t give up a hit until the fifth. But he also didn’t get a strikeout until the 7th. Really strange.
So he went into the 9th for some reason and broke down there, and ended up giving up six earned runs on eight hits. Seems like a pretty mean thing to do to the guy, it’s not like the Guardians bullpen was taxed. And it was a pretty mean thing to do to me as well since I started him. Imagine how good that start would have been if they had just used someone else for the ninth.
I can’t say it was an encouraging start. Even before the ninth, he wasn’t fooling anybody. His SwStr% finished at 5.6% for the night. It was a really weird start, so I’m just going to move past it and keep starting him until this run of elite matchups ends.
Brandon Pfaadt threw seven scoreless innings. He’s a guy I could see having a strong second half.
He has a 21% K-BB% and a .238 xwOBA allowed in his last four starts. But he still hasn’t figured anything out against lefties, so the struggles against those hitters will continue. As we saw a month or so ago, teams get as many left-handed bats as possible in the lineup when they face Pfaadt. He had faced the highest percentage of LHB in the league when we last checked, and I’m sure he’s still way up there.
But he has good command, and he’s always been quite good against righties, so he’ll have plenty of good outings along the way. And the team context is nice.
Sean Manaea was indeed pretty limited, throwing just 69 pitches, but he was really good once again. His short-season numbers:
It is all about the release point. I saw some clips from him and yeah, he looks really unique when throwing the ball.
Lodolo and Lopez are the only starters similar to that. Chris Sale is the dot right above the T in “Tyler Gilbert”. Someone asked me that last night on Twitter, so I’ll go ahead and answer it here, where there’s only like a 5% chance that they’ll see it.
It’s good to be back on the daily notes, and I’m looking forward to another day full of baseball. Thanks for reading!
1. Andre Pallante
2. Brandon Pfaadt
3. Brandon Walter
4. Chris Paddack
5. Quinn Priester
6. Luis Castillo
7. Tyler Glasnow
8. Dylan Cease
9. Reese Olson
10. Kyle Freeland
11. Taj Bradley
12. Spencer Strider
13. Patrick Corbin
14. Lucas Giolito
15. Chris Bassitt
16. Seth Lugo
17. Sean Manaea
18. Nick Lodolo
19. JP Sears
20. Colin Rea
21. Jesus Luzardo
22. Charlie Morton
23. Jonathan Cannon
24. Justin Verlander
25. Sandy Alcantara
26. Michael Soroka
27. Slade Cecconi
28. Bailey Falter
1. Quinn Priester (vs. LAD): 35.7 Points
2. Luis Castillo - 622491 (vs. HOU): 30.01 Points
3. Spencer Strider (vs. NYY): 29.9 Points
4. Dylan Cease (vs. WSH): 29.59 Points
5. Brandon Pfaadt (vs. STL): 29.35 Points
6. Taj Bradley (vs. BAL): 27.1 Points
7. Nick Lodolo (vs. NYM): 26.75 Points
8. Brandon Walter (vs. SEA): 23.1 Points
9. Chris Bassitt (vs. SF): 22.24 Points
10. Patrick Corbin (vs. DET): 21.76 Points
1. Dylan Cease (SD): 21 Whiffs (94 Pitches)
2. Spencer Strider (ATL): 17 Whiffs (96 Pitches)
3. Chris Paddack (MIN): 17 Whiffs (97 Pitches)
4. Lucas Giolito (BOS): 14 Whiffs (98 Pitches)
5. Chris Bassitt (TOR): 14 Whiffs (97 Pitches)
6. Taj Bradley (TB): 13 Whiffs (87 Pitches)
7. Reese Olson (DET): 13 Whiffs (90 Pitches)
8. Jesus Luzardo (PHI): 12 Whiffs (92 Pitches)
9. Andre Pallante (STL): 12 Whiffs (89 Pitches)
10. Quinn Priester (MIL): 12 Whiffs (77 Pitches)
1. Quinn Priester (MIL): 55.8 Strike%, 31.2 Ball%
2. Dylan Cease (SD): 53.2 Strike%, 37.2 Ball%
3. Reese Olson (DET): 52.2 Strike%, 35.6 Ball%
4. Brandon Walter (HOU): 51.6 Strike%, 34.7 Ball%
5. Lucas Giolito (BOS): 51.0 Strike%, 33.7 Ball%
6. Sean Manaea (NYM): 50.7 Strike%, 39.1 Ball%
7. Luis Castillo (SEA): 50.0 Strike%, 34.0 Ball%
8. JP Sears (OAK): 48.6 Strike%, 33.8 Ball%
9. Patrick Corbin (TEX): 46.7 Strike%, 39.1 Ball%
10. Chris Paddack (MIN): 46.4 Strike%, 36.1 Ball%
11. Brandon Pfaadt (ARI): 46.2 Strike%, 33.0 Ball%
12. Taj Bradley (TB): 46.0 Strike%, 36.8 Ball%
13. Seth Lugo (KC): 45.8 Strike%, 28.9 Ball%
14. Sandy Alcantara (MIA): 45.4 Strike%, 32.0 Ball%
15. Nick Lodolo (CIN): 45.4 Strike%, 36.1 Ball%
1. Jonathan Cannon: 86 Pitches, 21 Outs, 4.1 POUT
2. Quinn Priester: 77 Pitches, 18 Outs, 4.28 POUT
3. Slade Cecconi: 107 Pitches, 25 Outs, 4.28 POUT
4. Brandon Pfaadt: 91 Pitches, 21 Outs, 4.33 POUT
5. Seth Lugo: 83 Pitches, 18 Outs, 4.61 POUT
6. Nick Lodolo: 97 Pitches, 21 Outs, 4.62 POUT
7. Taj Bradley: 87 Pitches, 18 Outs, 4.83 POUT
8. Tyler Glasnow: 88 Pitches, 18 Outs, 4.89 POUT
9. Luis Castillo: 100 Pitches, 20 Outs, 5.0 POUT
10. Chris Bassitt: 97 Pitches, 19 Outs, 5.11 POUT
Jesus Luzardo's FF velo (35 pitches) UP 1.9mph to 97.8
Justin Verlander's FF velo (30 pitches) UP 1.7mph to 95.4
Michael Soroka's SI velo (11 pitches) DOWN -1.5mph to 91.2
Rico Garcia's FF velo (22 pitches) DOWN -1.6mph to 94.5
Michael Soroka's FF velo (37 pitches) DOWN -2.1mph to 91.7
Andre Pallante's SL usage (36.0%) up 14.4 points
Brandon Pfaadt's ST usage (36.3%) up 11.5 points
Brandon Waddell's FF usage (34.2%) up 13.0 points
Brandon Walter's FF usage (34.7%) up 18.1 points
Colin Rea's FF usage (45.2%) up 16.9 points
Jake Eder's SL usage (27.9%) up 11.9 points
Jake Eder's ST usage (26.2%) up 12.8 points
Jonathan Cannon's SI usage (51.2%) up 25.9 points
Kyle Freeland's FF usage (45.3%) up 16.3 points
Lucas Giolito's SL usage (34.7%) up 11.7 points
Quinn Priester's FC usage (29.9%) up 17.5 points
Rico Garcia's FF usage (41.5%) up 11.2 points
Sean Manaea's FF usage (73.9%) up 18.1 points
Seth Lugo's CU usage (28.9%) up 11.4 points
Taj Bradley's FF usage (56.3%) up 12.7 points
Tyler Glasnow's SI usage (23.9%) up 14.4 points
Kumar Rocker Cutter: +27.3%
Max Fried 4-Seam Fastball: -25.6%
Max Fried Cutter: +23.1%
Kumar Rocker Slider: -21.9%
Shane Baz Cutter: +17.8%
Tyler Glasnow Sinker: +16.3%
Austin Gomber Split-Finger: -16.3%
Dustin May Sinker: -16.0%
Brandon Pfaadt 4-Seam Fastball: -15.2%
Jake Irvin Curveball: -15.2%
Austin Gomber Curveball: +14.7%
Reese Olson 4-Seam Fastball: +14.5%
Brandon Young 4-Seam Fastball: +14.1%
Brandon Young Cutter: -13.8%
Eury Perez Curveball: -13.7%
Bryan Woo 4-Seam Fastball: +13.6%
Gavin Williams 4-Seam Fastball: -13.4%
German Marquez 4-Seam Fastball: +13.3%
Bryan Woo Sinker: -13.1%
Mitchell Parker Split-Finger: -13.1%
Jake Irvin 4-Seam Fastball: +13.0%
Paul Skenes 4-Seam Fastball: +12.8%
Bailey Falter 4-Seam Fastball: +12.7%
Logan Allen Sweeper: -12.6%
Taj Bradley Split-Finger: -12.6%
Ryan Pepiot 4-Seam Fastball: -12.6%
Robbie Ray 4-Seam Fastball: -12.5%
Kyle Freeland Sinker: -12.2%
Adrian Houser 4-Seam Fastball: -12.1%
Tarik Skubal - 68 TBF, 36.6% CSW%
George Kirby - 68 TBF, 34.7% CSW%
Dean Kremer - 71 TBF, 34.7% CSW%
Cristopher Sanchez - 83 TBF, 34.1% CSW%
Quinn Priester - 93 TBF, 33.7% CSW%
Nathan Eovaldi - 67 TBF, 33.3% CSW%
Zac Gallen - 73 TBF, 33.2% CSW%
Edward Cabrera - 71 TBF, 32.0% CSW%
Zack Wheeler - 84 TBF, 31.6% CSW%
Landen Roupp - 66 TBF, 31.6% CSW%
Tarik Skubal - 68 TBF, 41.2% K%
Jack Flaherty - 67 TBF, 35.8% K%
Zack Wheeler - 84 TBF, 33.3% K%
Quinn Priester - 93 TBF, 32.3% K%
Dylan Cease - 71 TBF, 31.0% K%
Logan Gilbert - 68 TBF, 30.9% K%
Bryan Woo - 72 TBF, 30.6% K%
Garrett Crochet - 82 TBF, 30.5% K%
Zac Gallen - 73 TBF, 30.1% K%
Framber Valdez - 77 TBF, 29.9% K%
Tarik Skubal - 68 TBF, 36.8% K-BB%
Zack Wheeler - 84 TBF, 32.1% K-BB%
Jack Flaherty - 67 TBF, 28.4% K-BB%
Dylan Cease - 71 TBF, 26.8% K-BB%
Garrett Crochet - 82 TBF, 26.8% K-BB%
Zac Gallen - 73 TBF, 26.0% K-BB%
Quinn Priester - 93 TBF, 25.8% K-BB%
Nathan Eovaldi - 67 TBF, 25.4% K-BB%
George Kirby - 68 TBF, 25.0% K-BB%
Matthew Boyd - 72 TBF, 25.0% K-BB%
Jose Soriano - 70 TBF, 71.1% GB%
Cristopher Sanchez - 83 TBF, 70.0% GB%
Framber Valdez - 77 TBF, 63.3% GB%
Marcus Stroman - 65 TBF, 58.8% GB%
Jake Irvin - 71 TBF, 58.0% GB%
Quinn Priester - 93 TBF, 57.9% GB%
Nathan Eovaldi - 67 TBF, 57.8% GB%
Edward Cabrera - 71 TBF, 56.9% GB%
Noah Cameron - 70 TBF, 55.3% GB%
Landen Roupp - 66 TBF, 54.5% GB%
Framber Valdez - 77 TBF, 29.9 K%, 5.2 BB%, 63.3% GB%
Garrett Crochet - 82 TBF, 30.5 K%, 3.7 BB%, 53.7% GB%
George Kirby - 68 TBF, 29.4 K%, 4.4 BB%, 43.2% GB%
Justin Wrobleski - 43 TBF, 27.9 K%, 4.7 BB%, 55.2% GB%
Nathan Eovaldi - 67 TBF, 28.4 K%, 3.0 BB%, 57.8% GB%
Noah Cameron - 70 TBF, 28.6 K%, 4.3 BB%, 55.3% GB%
Quinn Priester - 93 TBF, 32.3 K%, 6.5 BB%, 57.9% GB%
Sonny Gray - 57 TBF, 29.8 K%, 3.5 BB%, 60.5% GB%
Zack Wheeler - +2.5% CSW%, -4.5 BB%
Zac Gallen - +3.5% CSW%, -3.3 BB%
Edward Cabrera - +2.4% CSW%, -10.7 BB%
Quinn Priester - +3.0% CSW%, -2.7 BB%
Nathan Eovaldi - +4.0% CSW%, -3.3 BB%
Cal Quantrill - +3.7% CSW%, -3.8 BB%
Eury Perez - +4.7% CSW%, -6.6 BB%
Paul Skenes - +2.9% CSW%, -4.6 BB%
Sonny Gray - +5.1% CSW%, -2.6 BB%
Clayton Kershaw - +2.0% CSW%, -3.5 BB%
Andrew Abbott - +2.5% CSW%, -4.3 BB%
Austin Hays (CIN) 5 PA, 8 Swings, 2 Barrels, 2 HR
Dansby Swanson (CHC) 4 PA, 6 Swings, 2 Barrels, 0 HR
Jorge Soler (LAA) 4 PA, 4 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Seiya Suzuki (CHC) 4 PA, 11 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) - 115.7mph - field_out
Jarren Duran (BOS) - 115.2mph - single
Juan Soto (NYM) - 115.0mph - home_run
Junior Caminero (TB) - 114.6mph - home_run
Bryce Harper (PHI) - 113.8mph - double
Lenyn Sosa (CWS) - 111.5mph - single
Manny Machado (SD) - 111.1mph - field_out
Joey Bart (PIT) - 110.6mph - nan
Shea Langeliers (OAK) - 110.4mph - home_run
Jesus Sanchez (MIA) - 110.2mph - home_run
Top 10
Jac Caglianone - 75 PA, 0.164 wOBA, 0.282 xwOBA, 0.118 Diff
Matt Shaw - 57 PA, 0.19 wOBA, 0.302 xwOBA, 0.112 Diff
Ian Happ - 82 PA, 0.244 wOBA, 0.349 xwOBA, 0.105 Diff
Anthony Volpe - 77 PA, 0.204 wOBA, 0.301 xwOBA, 0.097 Diff
Luis Garcia - 57 PA, 0.202 wOBA, 0.291 xwOBA, 0.089 Diff
Miguel Vargas - 71 PA, 0.179 wOBA, 0.266 xwOBA, 0.087 Diff
Tommy Edman - 61 PA, 0.186 wOBA, 0.271 xwOBA, 0.085 Diff
Abraham Toro - 58 PA, 0.248 wOBA, 0.332 xwOBA, 0.084 Diff
Gavin Sheets - 74 PA, 0.312 wOBA, 0.394 xwOBA, 0.082 Diff
Jo Adell - 82 PA, 0.4 wOBA, 0.478 xwOBA, 0.078 Diff
Bottom 10
Jasson Dominguez - 67 PA, 0.378 wOBA, 0.273 xwOBA, -0.105 Diff
Kyle Stowers - 76 PA, 0.578 wOBA, 0.474 xwOBA, -0.104 Diff
Eugenio Suarez - 76 PA, 0.376 wOBA, 0.273 xwOBA, -0.103 Diff
Cody Bellinger - 78 PA, 0.435 wOBA, 0.334 xwOBA, -0.101 Diff
Chandler Simpson - 71 PA, 0.377 wOBA, 0.288 xwOBA, -0.089 Diff
Angel Martinez - 69 PA, 0.321 wOBA, 0.234 xwOBA, -0.087 Diff
Zach McKinstry - 68 PA, 0.45 wOBA, 0.367 xwOBA, -0.083 Diff
Caleb Durbin - 59 PA, 0.455 wOBA, 0.379 xwOBA, -0.076 Diff
Byron Buxton - 76 PA, 0.438 wOBA, 0.363 xwOBA, -0.075 Diff
C.J. Abrams - 75 PA, 0.361 wOBA, 0.288 xwOBA, -0.073 Diff
Romy Gonzalez: 29.0 PA, +0.23 xwOBA OE
Salvador Perez: 35.0 PA, +0.2 xwOBA OE
Kyle Stowers: 35.0 PA, +0.158 xwOBA OE
Bo Bichette: 39.0 PA, +0.141 xwOBA OE
Ronald Acuna Jr.: 34.0 PA, +0.129 xwOBA OE
Bryce Harper: 40.0 PA, +0.128 xwOBA OE
Fernando Tatis Jr.: 42.0 PA, +0.126 xwOBA OE
Bobby Witt Jr.: 38.0 PA, +0.126 xwOBA OE
Nick Kurtz: 38.0 PA, +0.125 xwOBA OE
Michael Busch: 37.0 PA, +0.123 xwOBA OE
Jazz Chisholm: 32.0 PA, +0.122 xwOBA OE
Gavin Sheets: 35.0 PA, +0.111 xwOBA OE
Seiya Suzuki: 39.0 PA, +0.109 xwOBA OE
Tommy Pham: 31.0 PA, +0.097 xwOBA OE
Mike Trout: 44.0 PA, +0.096 xwOBA OE
Ke'Bryan Hayes: 31.0 PA, -0.202 xwOBA OE
Jurickson Profar: 41.0 PA, -0.163 xwOBA OE
Shea Langeliers: 29.0 PA, -0.16 xwOBA OE
Denzel Clarke: 33.0 PA, -0.157 xwOBA OE
Heliot Ramos: 39.0 PA, -0.15 xwOBA OE
Bryan Reynolds: 34.0 PA, -0.145 xwOBA OE
Victor Scott II: 32.0 PA, -0.144 xwOBA OE
Michael Harris II: 31.0 PA, -0.143 xwOBA OE
Jasson Dominguez: 30.0 PA, -0.139 xwOBA OE
Mauricio Dubon: 30.0 PA, -0.135 xwOBA OE
Riley Greene: 37.0 PA, -0.134 xwOBA OE
Andy Pages: 36.0 PA, -0.133 xwOBA OE
Cam Smith: 40.0 PA, -0.133 xwOBA OE
Jonah Heim: 38.0 PA, -0.128 xwOBA OE
Steven Kwan: 43.0 PA, -0.127 xwOBA OE
Aaron Judge - 67 PA, 38 BIP, 14 Brls, 36.8 Brl%
Jorge Soler - 39 PA, 21 BIP, 7 Brls, 33.3 Brl%
Sean Murphy - 48 PA, 29 BIP, 9 Brls, 31.0 Brl%
Kyle Schwarber - 67 PA, 36 BIP, 11 Brls, 30.6 Brl%
Jazz Chisholm - 64 PA, 41 BIP, 12 Brls, 29.3 Brl%
Juan Soto - 61 PA, 32 BIP, 9 Brls, 28.1 Brl%
Michael Busch - 59 PA, 36 BIP, 10 Brls, 27.8 Brl%
Randal Grichuk - 41 PA, 29 BIP, 8 Brls, 27.6 Brl%
Will Smith - 44 PA, 28 BIP, 7 Brls, 25.0 Brl%
Romy Gonzalez - 43 PA, 33 BIP, 8 Brls, 24.2 Brl%
Aaron Judge - 67 PA, 0.533 xwOBA
Corey Seager - 74 PA, 0.518 xwOBA
Romy Gonzalez - 43 PA, 0.51 xwOBA
Jazz Chisholm - 64 PA, 0.474 xwOBA
Michael Busch - 59 PA, 0.467 xwOBA
Will Smith - 44 PA, 0.467 xwOBA
Trent Grisham - 39 PA, 0.455 xwOBA
Salvador Perez - 65 PA, 0.454 xwOBA
Jo Adell - 69 PA, 0.446 xwOBA
Kyle Schwarber - 67 PA, 0.445 xwOBA
Alejandro Kirk - 55 PA, 103 Swings, 91.3 Cont%
Jacob Wilson - 39 PA, 68 Swings, 91.2 Cont%
Luis Arraez - 71 PA, 114 Swings, 91.2 Cont%
Nathan Lukes - 52 PA, 101 Swings, 91.1 Cont%
Isiah Kiner-Falefa - 46 PA, 77 Swings, 90.9 Cont%
Geraldo Perdomo - 78 PA, 123 Swings, 90.2 Cont%
Liam Hicks - 44 PA, 59 Swings, 89.8 Cont%
Chase Meidroth - 60 PA, 95 Swings, 89.5 Cont%
Chandler Simpson - 55 PA, 85 Swings, 89.4 Cont%
Brendan Donovan - 66 PA, 100 Swings, 89.0 Cont%
Jose Ramirez - 6 Attempts (5 steals)
Fernando Tatis Jr. - 4 Attempts (3 steals)
Wyatt Langford - 4 Attempts (4 steals)
Chandler Simpson - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Elly De La Cruz - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Lawrence Butler - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Jake Mangum - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Bobby Witt Jr. - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Xander Bogaerts - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Jon Berti - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Hye Seong Kim - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Julio Rodriguez - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Oneil Cruz - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Zach McKinstry - 10 Attempts (8 steals)
Chandler Simpson - 10 Attempts (7 steals)
Jose Ramirez - 10 Attempts (9 steals)
Evan Carter - 8 Attempts (7 steals)
Jacob Young - 8 Attempts (5 steals)
Fernando Tatis Jr. - 8 Attempts (7 steals)
Dane Myers - 8 Attempts (6 steals)
Tyler Freeman - 8 Attempts (6 steals)
Zach Neto - 7 Attempts (5 steals)
Daylen Lile - 6 Attempts (3 steals)
Oneil Cruz - 6 Attempts (5 steals)
Cedric Mullins - 6 Attempts (5 steals)
Willi Castro - 6 Attempts (5 steals)
Jake Mangum - 6 Attempts (4 steals)
Victor Scott II - 6 Attempts (5 steals)
Lawrence Butler - 6 Attempts (5 steals)
Matt Shaw - 6 Attempts (5 steals)
Julio Rodriguez - 6 Attempts (5 steals)
Trea Turner - 6 Attempts (5 steals)
Brandon Nimmo - 6 Attempts (6 steals)
Bobby Witt Jr. - 6 Attempts (5 steals)
Anthony Volpe - 65 PA, 16.9 K%, 14.0 Brl%
Carson Kelly - 43 PA, 11.6 K%, 18.8 Brl%
Ceddanne Rafaela - 56 PA, 8.9 K%, 16.3 Brl%
Ketel Marte - 59 PA, 15.3 K%, 14.3 Brl%
Manny Machado - 70 PA, 17.1 K%, 16.7 Brl%
Pete Crow-Armstrong - 65 PA, 20.0 K%, 18.8 Brl%
Romy Gonzalez - 43 PA, 18.6 K%, 24.2 Brl%
Salvador Perez - 65 PA, 13.8 K%, 19.6 Brl%
Trent Grisham - 39 PA, 10.3 K%, 14.8 Brl%
Will Smith - 44 PA, 15.9 K%, 25.0 Brl%
Jo Adell - 108 PA, +0.139 xwOBA
Kyle Stowers - 90 PA, +0.131 xwOBA
Jazz Chisholm - 103 PA, +0.124 xwOBA
Ceddanne Rafaela - 82 PA, +0.12 xwOBA
Michael Busch - 90 PA, +0.117 xwOBA
Geraldo Perdomo - 122 PA, +0.105 xwOBA
George Springer - 98 PA, +0.075 xwOBA
Xander Bogaerts - 98 PA, +0.071 xwOBA
Byron Buxton - 101 PA, +0.07 xwOBA
Trevor Story - 92 PA, +0.07 xwOBA
Jazz Chisholm - 103 PA, +15.6 Brl%
Juan Soto - 100 PA, +13.1 Brl%
Kyle Stowers - 90 PA, +12.6 Brl%
Jo Adell - 108 PA, +10.8 Brl%
Agustin Ramirez - 100 PA, +10.3 Brl%
Seiya Suzuki - 104 PA, +8.9 Brl%
Michael Busch - 90 PA, +8.5 Brl%
Alec Burleson - 103 PA, +8.5 Brl%
Kyle Schwarber - 107 PA, +8.0 Brl%
James Wood - 98 PA, +7.5 Brl%
Ceddanne Rafaela - 82 PA, +10.1 Cont%
Tyler Soderstrom - 85 PA, +10.0 Cont%
Josh Lowe - 90 PA, +8.2 Cont%
Jesus Sanchez - 89 PA, +7.7 Cont%
Marcell Ozuna - 90 PA, +7.5 Cont%
Alejandro Kirk - 88 PA, +6.6 Cont%
William Contreras - 100 PA, +6.4 Cont%
Byron Buxton - 101 PA, +6.1 Cont%
Josh Bell - 88 PA, +6.1 Cont%
J.P. Crawford - 115 PA, +5.8 Cont%
Ceddanne Rafaela - 82 PA, -13.3 K%
Jesus Sanchez - 89 PA, -11.3 K%
Trevor Story - 92 PA, -10.3 K%
Elly De La Cruz - 98 PA, -9.6 K%
Josh Lowe - 90 PA, -9.5 K%
C.J. Abrams - 104 PA, -9.4 K%
William Contreras - 100 PA, -8.7 K%
Ramon Laureano - 96 PA, -8.6 K%
Josh Bell - 88 PA, -8.1 K%
George Springer - 98 PA, -8.0 K%
Brice Turang: +3.1
Shea Langeliers: +2.9
Andrew McCutchen: +2.8
Luis Robert: +2.43
Otto Lopez: +2.35
Connor Norby: -3.3
Jordan Beck: -2.8
Nick Kurtz: -2.6
Ben Rice: -2.45
Zach Neto: -2.43
J.P. Crawford - +5.0% Contact%, +5.9 mph exit velo, -3.8 Chase%
TJ Friedl - +3.7% Contact%, +6.6 mph exit velo, -7.6 Chase%
Otto Lopez - +5.3% Contact%, +5.7 mph exit velo, -8.3 Chase%
Alec Burleson - +4.6% Contact%, +4.5 mph exit velo, -20.0 Chase%
Jasson Dominguez - +8.0% Contact%, +5.6 mph exit velo, -6.5 Chase%
Ceddanne Rafaela - +8.7% Contact%, +4.7 mph exit velo, -7.8 Chase%
Tommy Pham - +11.7% Contact%, +7.1 mph exit velo, -11.9 Chase%
Byron Buxton - 0.406 xwOBA, 14.3% Brl%, 77.3% Contact%, 20.4% Chase%, 18.4% K%
James Wood - 44.8% Whiff%, 85.7% Weak%, 1.0 Cold Rating
Denzel Clarke - 40.3% Whiff%, 73.7% Weak%, 0.972 Cold Rating
Rafael Devers - 35.8% Whiff%, 70.0% Weak%, 0.912 Cold Rating
Jackson Holliday - 35.1% Whiff%, 66.7% Weak%, 0.887 Cold Rating
Michael Harris II - 30.2% Whiff%, 82.6% Weak%, 0.884 Cold Rating
Cam Smith - 31.0% Whiff%, 75.0% Weak%, 0.883 Cold Rating
Christian Yelich - 29.0% Whiff%, 72.7% Weak%, 0.839 Cold Rating
Pete Crow-Armstrong - 32.9% Whiff%, 64.3% Weak%, 0.832 Cold Rating
Lawrence Butler - 34.4% Whiff%, 61.5% Weak%, 0.804 Cold Rating
Luis Rengifo - 35.5% Whiff%, 60.7% Weak%, 0.795 Cold Rating
Kole Myers (LAD): 3/3, 3R, 2HR, 4RBI, 1SB, 44FPts
Andrew Pinckney (WSH): 3/5, 2R, 2HR, 3RBI, 1SB, 38FPts
Nick Schnell (WSH): 3/4, 2R, 1HR, 4RBI, 0SB, 35FPts
Albert Almora Jr. (ARI): 3/5, 1R, 1HR, 5RBI, 1SB, 35FPts
Tristin English (ARI): 2/5, 2R, 2HR, 4RBI, 0SB, 32FPts
Blaine Crim (TEX): 2/4, 2R, 2HR, 2RBI, 0SB, 30FPts
Daz Cameron (MIL): 2/4, 2R, 2HR, 2RBI, 0SB, 28FPts
MJ Melendez (KC): 3/6, 2R, 1HR, 1RBI, 0SB, 26FPts
T.J. Rumfield (NYY): 3/5, 2R, 1HR, 3RBI, 0SB, 26FPts
Jose Rojas (NYY): 3/4, 2R, 1HR, 1RBI, 0SB, 26FPts
Jason Alexander (HOU): 0 Pitches, 6IP, 1H, 0ER, 9K, 0BB, 36FPts
Matt Sauer (LAD): 0 Pitches, 5IP, 3H, 0ER, 11K, 3BB, 35FPts
Brendan Beck (NYY): 0 Pitches, 5IP, 0H, 0ER, 9K, 1BB, 32FPts
Jackson Ferris (LAD): 0 Pitches, 7IP, 3H, 0ER, 7K, 1BB, 31FPts
Jose Cabrera (ARI): 0 Pitches, 7IP, 1H, 0ER, 5K, 1BB, 28FPts
George Klassen (LAA): 0 Pitches, 5IP, 1H, 0ER, 7K, 3BB, 28FPts
Jonah Tong (NYM): 0 Pitches, 5IP, 2H, 0ER, 7K, 2BB, 27FPts
Spencer Giesting (ARI): 0 Pitches, 6IP, 6H, 1ER, 7K, 2BB, 24FPts
Orlando Ortiz-Mayr (MIA): 25 Pitches, 5IP, 4H, 1ER, 8K, 4BB, 24FPts
Kendry Rojas (TOR): 0 Pitches, 4IP, 4H, 1ER, 8K, 1BB, 21FPts
Spencer Jones (AAA - NYY) 276 PA 1.038 OPS
Carlos Cortes (AAA - OAK) 303 PA 1.025 OPS
Luis Campusano (AAA - SD) 259 PA 1.01 OPS
Ryan Ward (AAA - LAD) 408 PA 1.007 OPS
Carlos Perez - 542208 (AAA - CHC) 262 PA 0.995 OPS
Nick Solak (AAA - PIT) 260 PA 0.99 OPS
Nathan Church (AAA - STL) 267 PA 0.977 OPS
C.J. Kayfus (AAA - CLE) 332 PA 0.957 OPS
Tristin English (AAA - ARI) 266 PA 0.955 OPS
Owen Caissie (AAA - CHC) 326 PA 0.945 OPS
Brock Wilken (AA - MIL) 283 PA 0.942 OPS
Blaine Crim (AAA - TEX) 335 PA 0.938 OPS
Rece Hinds (AAA - CIN) 265 PA 0.938 OPS
JJ Wetherholt (AAA - STL) 292 PA 0.934 OPS
Cam Devanney (AAA - PIT) 291 PA 0.926 OPS
Shay Whitcomb (AAA - HOU) 283 PA 0.92 OPS
Chad Stevens (AAA - LAA) 323 PA 0.917 OPS
Jose Rojas (AAA - NYY) 310 PA 0.91 OPS
Colby Thomas (AAA - OAK) 372 PA 0.906 OPS
Jonathon Long (AAA - CHC) 377 PA 0.906 OPS
Jonah Tong (AA - NYM) 84 IP 29.2% K-BB
Mitch Bratt (AA - TEX) 80 IP 26.8% K-BB
Troy Melton (AAA - DET) 75 IP 26.0% K-BB
Jack Wenninger (AA - NYM) 86 IP 24.0% K-BB
Ty Johnson (AA - TB) 64 IP 23.6% K-BB
Sean Sullivan - 807743 (AA - COL) 61 IP 22.0% K-BB
Logan Henderson (AAA - MIL) 68 IP 22.0% K-BB
Connelly Early (AA - BOS) 66 IP 22.0% K-BB
Landon Harper (AA - nan) 69 IP 21.9% K-BB
Tekoah Roby (AAA - STL) 78 IP 21.5% K-BB
Trey Supak (AA - TEX) 75 IP 20.9% K-BB
Kohl Drake (AAA - TEX) 63 IP 20.9% K-BB
Allan Winans (AAA - NYY) 60 IP 20.8% K-BB
Michael McGreevy (AAA - STL) 75 IP 20.6% K-BB
John Klein (AA - MIN) 67 IP 20.6% K-BB
Joander Suarez (AA - NYM) 71 IP 20.6% K-BB
Brycen Mautz (AA - STL) 64 IP 20.1% K-BB
Robby Snelling (AAA - MIA) 77 IP 19.5% K-BB
Tyler Uberstine (AAA - BOS) 75 IP 19.5% K-BB
Brendan Beck (AAA - NYY) 77 IP 19.4% K-BB
Lance McCullers Jr. (9.0% Owned): Projected 5.34IP 2.21ER 6.19SO 2.86BB 16.86FPts
Zebby Matthews (12.0% Owned): Projected 4.61IP 2.13ER 5.49SO 1.18BB 15.35FPts
Kumar Rocker (9.0% Owned): Projected 5.31IP 2.52ER 5.59SO 2.04BB 15.04FPts
Sean Murphy - 30 PA, 1.155 OPS
Julio Rodriguez - 37 PA, 1.147 OPS
Tommy Pham - 28 PA, 1.047 OPS
Jorge Polanco - 28 PA, 1.037 OPS
Brady House - 29 PA, 1.022 OPS
Austin Hays - 36 PA, 1.002 OPS
Noelvi Marte - 28 PA, 0.988 OPS
Angel Martinez - 38 PA, 0.984 OPS
Kyle Higashioka - 28 PA, 0.95 OPS
J.P. Crawford - 38 PA, 0.906 OPS
Chandler Simpson SS (26.5% Owned): Projected 0.79R 0.01HR 0.55RBI 0.47SO 0.52BB 0.59SB 10.5FPts
Romy Gonzalez SS (25.5% Owned): Projected 0.86R 0.23HR 0.62RBI 1.26SO 0.23BB 0.15SB 10.03FPts
Willi Castro LF (37.5% Owned): Projected 0.85R 0.13HR 0.74RBI 0.92SO 0.37BB 0.11SB 9.53FPts
Ivan Herrera C (48.0% Owned): Projected 0.77R 0.18HR 0.66RBI 0.78SO 0.41BB 0.08SB 9.51FPts
Matt Wallner RF (4.0% Owned): Projected 0.79R 0.22HR 0.8RBI 1.13SO 0.41BB 0.04SB 9.42FPts
Jo Adell LF (37.0% Owned): Projected 0.72R 0.24HR 0.79RBI 0.99SO 0.33BB 0.1SB 9.38FPts
Roman Anthony OF (42.5% Owned): Projected 0.72R 0.21HR 0.74RBI 1.0SO 0.61BB 0.09SB 9.35FPts
Drake Baldwin C (11.0% Owned): Projected 0.67R 0.21HR 0.79RBI 0.92SO 0.51BB 0.02SB 9.16FPts
Nolan Schanuel 1B (15.5% Owned): Projected 0.79R 0.14HR 0.65RBI 0.58SO 0.55BB 0.07SB 9.06FPts
Trevor Larnach LF (7.5% Owned): Projected 0.75R 0.15HR 0.78RBI 0.81SO 0.38BB 0.04SB 8.99FPts
