I am even more back than I was yesterday. My fingers are tickling the mechanical keyboard again. I almost brought this thing on vacation, but decided it wasn’t worth the risk of breaking during the trip, so I just took a different keyboard. Absence makes the heart grow fonder, it’s true. I missed this thing.
And now we’re full-on summer mode here. My daughter has her first real summer vacation, having completed a full-time year at kindergarten. It’s hot out, my sprinklers are running nightly, and we will be spending a lot of time over at my in-laws pool. Having a pool is super clutch when you have kids in the summer. Gets you outside, gives you something to do, gets them good exercise, and tires them out so they go to bed real easy. And then I have the extra benefit of the pool not being mine. So I don’t have to pay for it or do any of the upkeep on it. It’s just the perfect life I have out here, and I’m very happy about it. It should be a fun summer.
Today is Shohei Ohtani day. He will make the start for the Dodgers. I have had Ohtani since 2021 in the home league (keeper league). And that league is on ESPN with daily changes, which makes Ohtani unarguably the most valuable fantasy player in baseball history when he’s both hitting and pitching. So I’m excited to have him back as a pitcher. That said, there’s no way you start him as a pitcher this week. It will probably take him 4-5 outings to get to 90+ pitches, and who knows if the guy can even still pitch. It’s been a long, long time.
Let’s remind ourselves of his pitching stats.
He was one of the best in the game in 2022, and pretty strong in 2023 as well, although he had a bit of a walk issue. So he had the elbow procedure and then missed nearly two seasons. He’s 30 years old, which can’t help things. It would not be surprising at all to see him have very little command tonight and have a pretty rough outing. But it will be fun to have him back playing both sides. And I will probably be even awake for it!
My kids are sleeping really well now. Very rarely does anybody wake up before 7 am, so I’m getting freaking bold. I stayed up until 11 last night. And I’m going to do it again tonight so we can watch this Pacers game. That’s right. 11 pm.
Grant Holmes was the man of the day, striking out 15 Rockies in 6.1 innings. The Rockies have struck out 35 times in their last two games against these Braves.
It’s such a silly matchup. The Rockies are so bad.
10+ Strikeout Games Allowed
9: Rockies
8: Angels
6: Tigers, Red Sox
4: Reds, Athletics, Orioles, Rangers
With that outing, Holmes brought his season K% up to 28%. It was 25.4% prior to that outing. That’s a huge change.
Holmes has not exactly been consistent this year, and his season-long ERA sits at 3.97. That’s not very good. But the JA ERA is at 3.14 with an almost 18% K-BB% now. He’s had some bad luck on fly balls (25% HR/FB), but good luck when the ball stays in the yard (.254 BABIP).
This was his fourth start with at least nine strikeouts since May began. Let’s check on what he’s done since May:
9 GS, 31.4% K%, 8.1% BB%, 16% SwStr%, 34.9% Ball%, 2.47 JA ERA, 1.92 WHIP+
That’s pretty great stuff. Holmes is close to a must-start guy, I would say. Maybe not in a ten-team league, but with all of the injuries and trouble we’ve had finding SPs, Holmes is someone I’d like to have.
Ten strikeouts for Yusei Kikuchi.
5.2 IP, 7 H, 3 ER, 10 K, 2 BB, 19.6% SwStr%, 30.4% Ball%
Is he getting going? I don’t know. His last three:
26.7% K%, 10.7% BB%, 11.9% SwStr%, 36.9% Ball%, 3.38 JA ERA
Nothing super special besides the K% there, and the SwStr% doesn’t match it.
He went heavy fastball yesterday, and it worked despite a high 41% Ball% on the pitch. The slider just hasn’t been very good this year with a low 10.4% SwStr% and bad .409 xwOBA. And those numbers aren’t any better if you just look recently. Kikuchi has never been a guy that can dominate with just a fastball. He needs more than that, so it’s pretty damning for him to lose the slider which was the biggest difference-maker for him last year when he was so good down the stretch with the Astros.
We might be seeing a move away from the slider.
Even if we are, that doesn’t necessarily mean things will get any better. And they could get worse. Who knows. Kikuchi is a tough case. But if you have him in a 14-team league or something like that, it’s tough to let go of him, and these last few starts have been encouraging.
Let’s take a look at Brandon Walter. He’s an Astros starter who had a very good outing yesterday.
6.2 IP, 6 H, 1 ER, 9 K, 0 BB, 17.5% SwStr%, 27.8% Ball%
Elite numbers! That was his second MLB start. So let’s take a full look. His season in AAA:
7 GS, 47.2 IP, 2.08 ERA, 0.76 WHIP, 27.5% K%, 3.9% BB%
Excellent. And that will get you a promotion to the Majors, especially for a team that is struggling a bit in the rotation. He’s made three starts in the Major Leagues now:
We love that 2.11 JA ERA and that 30% Ball%. The 12% SwStr% isn’t exactly what we want, but that can work if the Ball% is really going to be that low. And he sprinkles in the 52% GB% with it. This is pretty exciting stuff.
But then we see the lack of velocity. His primary pitch is an 88mph cutter. That’s really uncommon to see in the Majors. It doesn’t mean it absolutely can’t work, and the pitch has worked great so far (60% Strike%). But it makes me doubt that he’ll truly be a good strikeout pitcher.
Next up for the guy is the Angels on the 21st (probably), so I’d say we can add him for this week. There are a lot of positives, and that’s a great matchup.
The big stuff going on in sports this weekend was the US Open at Oakmont and the Rafael Devers trade. I actually watched a good bit of the golf yesterday. I usually don’t care, but when it’s at Oakmont we tend to care a bit more since I grew up right around there. The town I grew up in is adjacent to Oakmont. Back in 2018, my wife and I actually put in an offer on a house in Oakmont. But we didn’t get it and then we stopped looking and ended up out here. So I was close to living just a mile or so away from that golf course. And my wife lived in Oakmont when we were dating, so I spent a lot of time there. But I guess it wasn’t enough to get me a VIP invite to the tournament, which is a little disappointing.
So I got into looking at some golf data. I wanted to know what the average score was for each hole during the tournament. And I couldn’t freaking find it. I really wanted to know what the expectation was for the last few holes there. Was there one that was basically impossible to gain a stroke on, stuff like that. I’m sure it’s out there somewhere, but I came up empty. It did make me start thinking about expanding into golf data. That could be really fun and probably pretty profitable. I know there’s some big gambling and DFS playing in the golf world.
But I would have to go to school. I don’t know anything about the advanced golf metrics and stuff. But I’m sure it’s possible, and I’m sure I could build something pretty cool if I had a year or two to start it and refine it. It’s not going to happen, though. At least not any time soon. But I could see myself like 5-10 years down the road just doing sports stuff full time and expanding into basketball, football, and golf. We’ll see. Lots of possibilities.
As for my commentary on the Devers trade. I have nothing interesting to add. It was a wild occurrence to see a trade like that in June. And the return was not impressive. But this was clearly a salary dump for Boston on a guy they weren’t getting along with. I suppose the Giants just made an offer on the contract situation that they could not refuse. Funny enough, Devers goes right into another situation where his team has a much better defensive third baseman than he is. Matt Chapman is on IL right now, and maybe he’s more hurt than they’ve led on. But eventually, they’ll have to make a decision there, and the obvious choice is to send Devers right back to DH.
It’s a park downgrade for Devers. But it shouldn’t make a big difference. He’ll also get to face the Rockies more. So that helps.
Brayan Bello went cutter-crazy yesterday. That pitch showed up for the first time on May 23rd.
He threw it 38 times yesterday. He had previously thrown it 10, 9, and 3 times. And he didn’t discriminate. He threw it to both lefties and righties. The pitch put up a 10.5% SwStr%, a 61% Strike%, a 32% Ball% , and a .177 xwOBA.
Since the pitches debut, it has an 8.3% SwStr%, a 53% Strike%, and a 32% Ball% with a 56% GB%. Those are good marks overall. It’s hard to say this isn’t a very good thing for Bello. That’s mostly because he has not been good in his big league career yet. So any change is a good idea, or at least a good idea to try.
There must have been a boost in confidence in the pitch yesterday to lead to that elevated usage. Bello is back on our radar now, I would say.
He’ll make a start in that suddenly very intriguing Red Sox at Giants series coming up this weekend.
Noah Cameron pitched again yesterday and got right back to business.
5 IP, 4 H, 0 R, 7 SO, 1 BB, 15.7% SwStr%, 55.4% Strike%, 31.3% Ball%
This was a truly good start for him. His second best of the year according to the SP Start Grades.
The season update now:
The main numbers are still mediocre.
→ 19.6% K%
→ 7.4% BB%
→ 12.6% SwStr%
→ 35.4% Ball%
→ 3.94 JA ERA
The fastball sucks (3.1% SwStr%, 31% Strike%). I mean a 31% Strike% on a four-seamer is practically a death sentence. But it was way better yesterday (46.7%), although that number still isn’t good. I’m sure he’ll get that into the 40s before long, but it’s pretty clear that he should look for another mode of attack.
Everything else is pretty good. But it’s really, really tough to have consistent success in the Majors without at least a decent fastball near the top of your pitch mix. I feel like I write that sentence once a week, but I’ll keep doing it.
Speaking of guys with everything but a good fastball, Cade Povich earned the win in the bulk role yesterday. He threw just 57 pitches. So the Orioles made a change there. Little bit strange there. We highlighted him last week in the buy-low SP article. But I guess the Orioles didn’t read it. He got his JA ERA down to 3.40 yesterday and now has a 16.2% K-BB%. He’s a better than average pitcher under the hood. But that doesn’t always mean it will turn into good results. His four-seamer has a 49% Strike%, which is an improvement from last year, but it’s been hit very hard (.461 xwOBA).
He threw just 57 pitches, which was the most discouraging thing. Maybe it was just a one-off thing, or maybe they’re just kind of giving up on him as a true starter for this year. I think that would be foolish given the state of the Orioles right now. But who knows. Teams do weird stuff sometimes. And they have more information than us.
Same is true for Sawyer Gipson-Long who was once again restrained. He threw 55 pitches to get through three innings. And he wasn’t good either.
I just wish I knew what the hell that first outing was about when he started and threw 70 pitches just to follow it up with two outings under 60 pitches. Why did they do that?
Eury Perez wasn’t good. He got four whiffs and no strikeouts on 79 pitches. He threw 79 pitches, which came up from 70 in that first outing. So the pitch count stuff is decent with him. But the early performanec indicators are not encouraging.
I would not be comfortable starting him right now, but obviously he’s a guy to hold to tightly in dynasty leagues.
Alright it’s 10:30 and I’ve gotta get moving on some other stuff. Thanks for reading!
1. Grant Holmes
2. Yusei Kikuchi
3. Brandon Walter
4. Austin Gomber
5. Noah Cameron
6. Simeon Woods Richardson
7. Merrill Kelly
8. Nick Pivetta
9. Zack Wheeler
10. Max Fried
11. Emerson Hancock
12. Miles Mikolas
13. Shane Baz
14. Brayan Bello
15. Quinn Priester
16. Aaron Civale
17. Colin Rea
18. Mitch Keller
19. Sean Hjelle
20. Kumar Rocker
21. Jose Berrios
22. Luis L. Ortiz
23. Jeffrey Springs
24. MacKenzie Gore
25. Griffin Canning
26. Wade Miley
27. Eury Perez
28. Dustin May
1. Grant Holmes (vs. COL): 37.84 Points
2. Brayan Bello (vs. NYY): 32.15 Points
3. Nick Pivetta (vs. ARI): 31.95 Points
4. Zack Wheeler (vs. TOR): 31.1 Points
5. Brandon Walter (vs. MIN): 27.41 Points
6. Shane Baz (vs. NYM): 26.81 Points
7. Emerson Hancock (vs. CLE): 25.95 Points
8. Max Fried (vs. BOS): 24.95 Points
9. Kumar Rocker (vs. CWS): 24.25 Points
10. Noah Cameron (vs. ATH): 22.25 Points
1. Grant Holmes (ATL): 25 Whiffs (93 Pitches)
2. Yusei Kikuchi (LAA): 18 Whiffs (92 Pitches)
3. Brandon Walter (HOU): 17 Whiffs (97 Pitches)
4. Max Fried (NYY): 15 Whiffs (106 Pitches)
5. Shane Baz (TB): 15 Whiffs (106 Pitches)
6. Merrill Kelly (ARI): 14 Whiffs (93 Pitches)
7. Nick Pivetta (SD): 14 Whiffs (94 Pitches)
8. Zack Wheeler (PHI): 14 Whiffs (94 Pitches)
9. Noah Cameron (KC): 13 Whiffs (83 Pitches)
10. Brayan Bello (BOS): 13 Whiffs (114 Pitches)
1. Grant Holmes (ATL): 68.8 Strike%, 24.7 Ball%
2. Nick Pivetta (SD): 56.4 Strike%, 28.7 Ball%
3. Merrill Kelly (ARI): 55.9 Strike%, 28.0 Ball%
4. Yusei Kikuchi (LAA): 55.4 Strike%, 30.4 Ball%
5. Noah Cameron (KC): 55.4 Strike%, 31.3 Ball%
6. Austin Gomber (COL): 55.3 Strike%, 27.6 Ball%
7. Brandon Walter (HOU): 54.6 Strike%, 27.8 Ball%
8. Miles Mikolas (STL): 53.4 Strike%, 28.4 Ball%
9. Max Fried (NYY): 52.8 Strike%, 32.1 Ball%
10. Zack Wheeler (PHI): 51.1 Strike%, 35.1 Ball%
11. Jose Berrios (TOR): 50.0 Strike%, 31.8 Ball%
12. Brayan Bello (BOS): 50.0 Strike%, 36.8 Ball%
13. Simeon Woods Richardson (MIN): 49.1 Strike%, 28.3 Ball%
14. Mitch Keller (PIT): 48.9 Strike%, 30.7 Ball%
15. Kumar Rocker (TEX): 48.8 Strike%, 35.4 Ball%
1. Emerson Hancock: 85 Pitches, 21 Outs, 4.05 POUT
2. Nick Pivetta: 94 Pitches, 21 Outs, 4.48 POUT
3. Colin Rea: 81 Pitches, 18 Outs, 4.5 POUT
4. Brandon Walter: 97 Pitches, 20 Outs, 4.85 POUT
5. Quinn Priester: 88 Pitches, 18 Outs, 4.89 POUT
6. Mitch Keller: 88 Pitches, 18 Outs, 4.89 POUT
7. Miles Mikolas: 88 Pitches, 18 Outs, 4.89 POUT
8. Max Fried: 106 Pitches, 21 Outs, 5.05 POUT
9. Austin Gomber: 76 Pitches, 15 Outs, 5.07 POUT
10. Grant Holmes: 93 Pitches, 18 Outs, 5.17 POUT
Wade Miley's FF velo (31 pitches) UP 2.5mph to 92.4
Wade Miley's SI velo (17 pitches) UP 2.2mph to 92.3
Kumar Rocker's FC velo (18 pitches) DOWN -1.7mph to 89.9
Aaron Civale's SL usage (19.2%) up 17.0 points
Brayan Bello's FC usage (33.3%) up 32.5 points
Colin Rea's FS usage (21.0%) up 12.2 points
Emerson Hancock's SI usage (51.8%) up 18.0 points
Eury Perez's CU usage (24.1%) up 11.2 points
Griffin Canning's FC usage (23.6%) up 23.0 points
Kumar Rocker's FC usage (22.0%) up 16.9 points
Kumar Rocker's CU usage (19.5%) up 15.9 points
Luis L. Ortiz's CH usage (18.3%) up 13.4 points
Merrill Kelly's SI usage (31.2%) up 17.5 points
Nick Pivetta's CU usage (28.7%) up 10.1 points
Noah Cameron's CU usage (25.3%) up 10.0 points
Quinn Priester's FC usage (23.9%) up 14.6 points
Sawyer Gipson-Long's SI usage (21.8%) up 11.9 points
Sawyer Gipson-Long's FC usage (16.4%) up 10.6 points
Simeon Woods Richardson's CU usage (30.2%) up 17.5 points
Spencer Turnbull's FF usage (45.1%) up 10.2 points
Kumar Rocker Cutter: +23.4%
Gavin Williams Cutter: +22.8%
Kumar Rocker Slider: -20.8%
Walker Buehler Slider: +20.4%
Gavin Williams 4-Seam Fastball: -19.6%
JP Sears Sinker: +17.1%
Tarik Skubal Sinker: +16.8%
JP Sears Sweeper: -15.9%
Colin Rea 4-Seam Fastball: -15.2%
Kyle Freeland Sinker: -15.0%
Edward Cabrera Sinker: -15.0%
Brayan Bello Sweeper: +15.0%
Luis L. Ortiz Sinker: +14.9%
Kyle Freeland 4-Seam Fastball: +14.7%
Cade Horton Sweeper: -14.6%
Edward Cabrera 4-Seam Fastball: +14.5%
Trevor Williams 4-Seam Fastball: +14.2%
Spencer Schwellenbach 4-Seam Fastball: +14.1%
Clay Holmes Sweeper: +13.7%
Will Warren 4-Seam Fastball: +13.4%
Kris Bubic 4-Seam Fastball: -12.8%
Ranger Suarez 4-Seam Fastball: -12.8%
German Marquez Curveball: +12.6%
Hunter Dobbins 4-Seam Fastball: -12.6%
Ranger Suarez Sinker: +12.4%
Gavin Williams Sweeper: -12.1%
Bailey Falter 4-Seam Fastball: -12.0%
Ryan Yarbrough 4-Seam Fastball: +12.0%
Framber Valdez - 81 TBF, 36.8% CSW%
Charlie Morton - 91 TBF, 36.2% CSW%
Dylan Cease - 74 TBF, 36.2% CSW%
Grant Holmes - 86 TBF, 35.6% CSW%
Robbie Ray - 71 TBF, 34.9% CSW%
Garrett Crochet - 110 TBF, 34.0% CSW%
Lance McCullers Jr. - 70 TBF, 33.7% CSW%
Logan Webb - 105 TBF, 33.2% CSW%
Hunter Brown - 68 TBF, 33.0% CSW%
Spencer Schwellenbach - 82 TBF, 32.9% CSW%
Grant Holmes - 86 TBF, 43.0% K%
Framber Valdez - 81 TBF, 39.5% K%
Chris Sale - 76 TBF, 38.2% K%
Hunter Brown - 68 TBF, 36.8% K%
Lance McCullers Jr. - 70 TBF, 35.7% K%
Garrett Crochet - 110 TBF, 35.5% K%
Spencer Strider - 89 TBF, 32.6% K%
Robbie Ray - 71 TBF, 32.4% K%
Dylan Cease - 74 TBF, 32.4% K%
Jacob Lopez - 72 TBF, 31.9% K%
Grant Holmes - 86 TBF, 33.7% K-BB%
Framber Valdez - 81 TBF, 33.3% K-BB%
Garrett Crochet - 110 TBF, 30.0% K-BB%
Hunter Brown - 68 TBF, 29.4% K-BB%
Lance McCullers Jr. - 70 TBF, 27.1% K-BB%
Spencer Schwellenbach - 82 TBF, 26.8% K-BB%
Chris Sale - 76 TBF, 26.3% K-BB%
Logan Webb - 105 TBF, 25.7% K-BB%
Jacob Lopez - 72 TBF, 25.0% K-BB%
MacKenzie Gore - 97 TBF, 24.7% K-BB%
Jose Soriano - 70 TBF, 76.7% GB%
Andre Pallante - 94 TBF, 70.1% GB%
Framber Valdez - 81 TBF, 67.4% GB%
Quinn Priester - 87 TBF, 63.8% GB%
Ranger Suarez - 103 TBF, 61.8% GB%
Taj Bradley - 95 TBF, 61.3% GB%
Hunter Brown - 68 TBF, 59.5% GB%
Mitch Keller - 100 TBF, 57.3% GB%
Spencer Schwellenbach - 82 TBF, 57.1% GB%
David Peterson - 83 TBF, 56.5% GB%
Brandon Walter - 51 TBF, 27.5 K%, 0.0 BB%, 52.8% GB%
Framber Valdez - 81 TBF, 39.5 K%, 6.2 BB%, 67.4% GB%
Garrett Crochet - 110 TBF, 35.5 K%, 5.5 BB%, 50.0% GB%
Hunter Brown - 68 TBF, 36.8 K%, 7.4 BB%, 59.5% GB%
Logan Webb - 105 TBF, 29.5 K%, 3.8 BB%, 52.9% GB%
Merrill Kelly - 92 TBF, 30.4 K%, 6.5 BB%, 44.8% GB%
Paul Skenes - 98 TBF, 27.6 K%, 4.1 BB%, 47.0% GB%
Spencer Schwellenbach - 82 TBF, 29.3 K%, 2.4 BB%, 57.1% GB%
Tyler Anderson - +2.2% CSW%, -3.1 BB%
Andre Pallante - +3.3% CSW%, -2.7 BB%
Merrill Kelly - +3.6% CSW%, -1.5 BB%
Spencer Schwellenbach - +2.2% CSW%, -1.7 BB%
Andrew Abbott - +3.0% CSW%, -5.1 BB%
Kyle Freeland - +4.5% CSW%, -2.7 BB%
Robbie Ray - +5.0% CSW%, -2.5 BB%
Mitch Spence - +5.3% CSW%, -3.4 BB%
Gary Sanchez (BAL) 4 PA, 6 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Oneil Cruz (PIT) 4 PA, 4 Swings, 2 Barrels, 0 HR
Wenceel Perez (DET) 4 PA, 5 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Oneil Cruz (PIT) - 115.7mph - single
Willi Castro (MIN) - 114.4mph - nan
Coby Mayo (BAL) - 113.9mph - nan
Josh Bell (WSH) - 113.3mph - double
Addison Barger (TOR) - 113.3mph - nan
Addison Barger (TOR) - 112.2mph - nan
Jordan Beck (COL) - 111.0mph - double
Kameron Misner (TB) - 110.1mph - nan
Eric Wagaman (MIA) - 110.0mph - grounded_into_double_play
Michael Busch (CHC) - 109.8mph - nan
Top 10
Ben Rice - 61 PA, 0.233 wOBA, 0.367 xwOBA, 0.134 Diff
Cam Smith - 60 PA, 0.264 wOBA, 0.383 xwOBA, 0.119 Diff
Kody Clemens - 54 PA, 0.233 wOBA, 0.344 xwOBA, 0.111 Diff
Will Benson - 53 PA, 0.238 wOBA, 0.345 xwOBA, 0.107 Diff
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. - 80 PA, 0.328 wOBA, 0.432 xwOBA, 0.104 Diff
Corey Seager - 65 PA, 0.23 wOBA, 0.328 xwOBA, 0.098 Diff
Connor Norby - 62 PA, 0.181 wOBA, 0.279 xwOBA, 0.098 Diff
Kyle Stowers - 54 PA, 0.19 wOBA, 0.284 xwOBA, 0.094 Diff
Teoscar Hernandez - 77 PA, 0.251 wOBA, 0.341 xwOBA, 0.09 Diff
Ryan Jeffers - 62 PA, 0.25 wOBA, 0.339 xwOBA, 0.089 Diff
Bottom 10
Jeremy Pena - 72 PA, 0.472 wOBA, 0.311 xwOBA, -0.161 Diff
Jacob Wilson - 70 PA, 0.436 wOBA, 0.314 xwOBA, -0.122 Diff
Ceddanne Rafaela - 70 PA, 0.408 wOBA, 0.319 xwOBA, -0.089 Diff
Ernie Clement - 77 PA, 0.417 wOBA, 0.332 xwOBA, -0.085 Diff
Jose Altuve - 64 PA, 0.439 wOBA, 0.356 xwOBA, -0.083 Diff
Josh Smith - 74 PA, 0.408 wOBA, 0.328 xwOBA, -0.08 Diff
Brooks Lee - 67 PA, 0.369 wOBA, 0.289 xwOBA, -0.08 Diff
Willi Castro - 72 PA, 0.493 wOBA, 0.413 xwOBA, -0.08 Diff
Vinnie Pasquantino - 76 PA, 0.399 wOBA, 0.321 xwOBA, -0.078 Diff
Shohei Ohtani - 83 PA, 0.442 wOBA, 0.368 xwOBA, -0.074 Diff
Jo Adell: 33.0 PA, +0.19 xwOBA OE
Juan Soto: 42.0 PA, +0.172 xwOBA OE
Elly De La Cruz: 36.0 PA, +0.161 xwOBA OE
Brent Rooker: 39.0 PA, +0.16 xwOBA OE
Byron Buxton: 28.0 PA, +0.153 xwOBA OE
Ryan McMahon: 37.0 PA, +0.144 xwOBA OE
Nolan Gorman: 30.0 PA, +0.142 xwOBA OE
Teoscar Hernandez: 34.0 PA, +0.139 xwOBA OE
Evan Carter: 29.0 PA, +0.129 xwOBA OE
Jonathan Aranda: 38.0 PA, +0.125 xwOBA OE
Jac Caglianone: 35.0 PA, +0.114 xwOBA OE
Yandy Diaz: 32.0 PA, +0.105 xwOBA OE
Josh Naylor: 35.0 PA, +0.103 xwOBA OE
Mookie Betts: 39.0 PA, +0.102 xwOBA OE
Corey Seager: 37.0 PA, +0.1 xwOBA OE
Lars Nootbaar: 32.0 PA, -0.232 xwOBA OE
Ozzie Albies: 38.0 PA, -0.149 xwOBA OE
Jarren Duran: 38.0 PA, -0.127 xwOBA OE
Spencer Steer: 27.0 PA, -0.124 xwOBA OE
Cole Young: 29.0 PA, -0.121 xwOBA OE
Tyler Fitzgerald: 33.0 PA, -0.121 xwOBA OE
Corbin Carroll: 32.0 PA, -0.117 xwOBA OE
Luis Arraez: 41.0 PA, -0.113 xwOBA OE
Thairo Estrada: 42.0 PA, -0.112 xwOBA OE
Ryan Ritter: 32.0 PA, -0.108 xwOBA OE
Masyn Winn: 42.0 PA, -0.107 xwOBA OE
Wilmer Flores: 40.0 PA, -0.098 xwOBA OE
Zach McKinstry: 30.0 PA, -0.094 xwOBA OE
Geraldo Perdomo: 35.0 PA, -0.091 xwOBA OE
Rhys Hoskins: 35.0 PA, -0.09 xwOBA OE
Aaron Judge - 71 PA, 36 BIP, 10 Brls, 27.8 Brl%
Riley Greene - 78 PA, 45 BIP, 11 Brls, 24.4 Brl%
Elly De La Cruz - 71 PA, 50 BIP, 12 Brls, 24.0 Brl%
Pete Alonso - 84 PA, 59 BIP, 14 Brls, 23.7 Brl%
Seiya Suzuki - 81 PA, 55 BIP, 12 Brls, 21.8 Brl%
Henry Davis - 51 PA, 33 BIP, 7 Brls, 21.2 Brl%
George Springer - 73 PA, 49 BIP, 10 Brls, 20.4 Brl%
Hunter Goodman - 70 PA, 46 BIP, 9 Brls, 19.6 Brl%
James Wood - 77 PA, 46 BIP, 9 Brls, 19.6 Brl%
Oneil Cruz - 79 PA, 41 BIP, 8 Brls, 19.5 Brl%
Elly De La Cruz - 71 PA, 0.512 xwOBA
Juan Soto - 84 PA, 0.493 xwOBA
Jo Adell - 66 PA, 0.473 xwOBA
Max Muncy - 69 PA, 0.458 xwOBA
Pete Alonso - 84 PA, 0.455 xwOBA
J.P. Crawford - 80 PA, 0.446 xwOBA
Brent Rooker - 82 PA, 0.443 xwOBA
Ketel Marte - 68 PA, 0.437 xwOBA
Nolan Gorman - 45 PA, 0.435 xwOBA
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. - 80 PA, 0.432 xwOBA
Luis Arraez - 82 PA, 151 Swings, 98.0 Cont%
Keibert Ruiz - 51 PA, 98 Swings, 93.9 Cont%
Steven Kwan - 61 PA, 105 Swings, 92.4 Cont%
Santiago Espinal - 53 PA, 98 Swings, 91.8 Cont%
Xavier Edwards - 51 PA, 78 Swings, 91.0 Cont%
Jung Hoo Lee - 77 PA, 119 Swings, 90.8 Cont%
Tyler Freeman - 54 PA, 97 Swings, 90.7 Cont%
Jeff McNeil - 68 PA, 139 Swings, 90.6 Cont%
Alec Bohm - 75 PA, 129 Swings, 89.1 Cont%
Sal Frelick - 78 PA, 135 Swings, 88.1 Cont%
Jose Caballero - 7 Attempts (6 steals)
Zach Neto - 6 Attempts (3 steals)
Randy Arozarena - 5 Attempts (5 steals)
Jazz Chisholm Jr. - 4 Attempts (3 steals)
Ceddanne Rafaela - 4 Attempts (3 steals)
Oneil Cruz - 4 Attempts (3 steals)
Jeremy Pena - 4 Attempts (4 steals)
Ke'Bryan Hayes - 4 Attempts (3 steals)
Gunnar Henderson - 4 Attempts (3 steals)
Otto Lopez - 4 Attempts (3 steals)
Jose Ramirez - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
J.P. Crawford - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Trea Turner - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Adam Frazier - 3 Attempts (1 steals)
Zach McKinstry - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Jake Meyers - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Julio Rodriguez - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Fernando Tatis Jr. - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Sal Frelick - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Taylor Walls - 3 Attempts (1 steals)
Evan Carter - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Otto Kemp - 3 Attempts (1 steals)
Jose Caballero - 16 Attempts (15 steals)
Chandler Simpson - 12 Attempts (11 steals)
Oneil Cruz - 11 Attempts (9 steals)
Pete Crow-Armstrong - 10 Attempts (10 steals)
Trea Turner - 10 Attempts (9 steals)
Kyle Tucker - 9 Attempts (8 steals)
Jeremy Pena - 9 Attempts (9 steals)
Julio Rodriguez - 9 Attempts (7 steals)
Jose Ramirez - 9 Attempts (8 steals)
Zach Neto - 8 Attempts (4 steals)
David Hamilton - 8 Attempts (6 steals)
Jackson Chourio - 8 Attempts (5 steals)
Gunnar Henderson - 8 Attempts (6 steals)
Matt Shaw - 8 Attempts (7 steals)
Francisco Lindor - 8 Attempts (7 steals)
Andrew Benintendi - 74 PA, 17.6 K%, 16.4 Brl%
Brent Rooker - 82 PA, 11.0 K%, 14.3 Brl%
Colt Keith - 57 PA, 17.5 K%, 14.3 Brl%
Elly De La Cruz - 71 PA, 18.3 K%, 24.0 Brl%
George Springer - 73 PA, 17.8 K%, 20.4 Brl%
Josh Bell - 65 PA, 10.8 K%, 15.7 Brl%
Juan Soto - 84 PA, 14.3 K%, 17.0 Brl%
Junior Caminero - 84 PA, 13.1 K%, 18.8 Brl%
Luis Garcia - 66 PA, 10.6 K%, 14.3 Brl%
Manny Machado - 85 PA, 17.6 K%, 15.4 Brl%
Michael Busch - 59 PA, 18.6 K%, 18.6 Brl%
Miguel Vargas - 77 PA, 15.6 K%, 14.3 Brl%
Pete Alonso - 84 PA, 17.9 K%, 23.7 Brl%
Royce Lewis - 47 PA, 12.8 K%, 14.3 Brl%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. - 80 PA, 7.5 K%, 15.4 Brl%
Wenceel Perez - 58 PA, 17.2 K%, 15.9 Brl%
Elly De La Cruz - 110 PA, +0.134 xwOBA
Jo Adell - 95 PA, +0.131 xwOBA
Will Benson - 81 PA, +0.126 xwOBA
Rowdy Tellez - 80 PA, +0.096 xwOBA
Michael Busch - 92 PA, +0.093 xwOBA
Max Muncy - 100 PA, +0.091 xwOBA
Willi Castro - 86 PA, +0.089 xwOBA
Luis Garcia - 94 PA, +0.085 xwOBA
Josh Bell - 86 PA, +0.083 xwOBA
Gavin Sheets - 109 PA, +0.082 xwOBA
Miguel Vargas - 115 PA, +13.5 Brl%
Andrew Benintendi - 87 PA, +12.5 Brl%
Riley Greene - 118 PA, +10.4 Brl%
Oneil Cruz - 114 PA, +10.1 Brl%
Pete Alonso - 122 PA, +9.8 Brl%
Michael Busch - 92 PA, +8.4 Brl%
Seiya Suzuki - 124 PA, +8.2 Brl%
George Springer - 102 PA, +8.2 Brl%
Elly De La Cruz - 110 PA, +8.0 Brl%
Max Kepler - 81 PA, +7.9 Brl%
Brent Rooker - 127 PA, +12.8 Cont%
Jake Meyers - 103 PA, +8.6 Cont%
Josh Lowe - 109 PA, +8.2 Cont%
Junior Caminero - 112 PA, +8.1 Cont%
Andy Pages - 111 PA, +7.4 Cont%
Luis Rengifo - 92 PA, +7.2 Cont%
Michael Busch - 92 PA, +6.6 Cont%
Luis Urias - 102 PA, +6.6 Cont%
Cody Bellinger - 106 PA, +5.8 Cont%
Victor Caratini - 80 PA, +5.8 Cont%
Brent Rooker - 127 PA, -19.2 K%
Jorge Polanco - 93 PA, -14.0 K%
Andy Pages - 111 PA, -13.2 K%
Will Benson - 81 PA, -10.9 K%
Max Muncy - 100 PA, -9.7 K%
Jo Adell - 95 PA, -9.3 K%
Ben Rice - 84 PA, -9.1 K%
Cody Bellinger - 106 PA, -8.9 K%
Elly De La Cruz - 110 PA, -8.2 K%
Connor Norby - 97 PA, -8.0 K%
Joc Pederson: +3.98
C.J. Abrams: +2.72
Bo Bichette: +2.67
Vinnie Pasquantino: +2.3
Andrew Benintendi: +2.25
Jorge Polanco: -2.5
Xavier Edwards: -2.45
Josh Bell: -2.33
George Springer: -2.25
Miguel Andujar: -2.22
Willy Adames - +3.5% Contact%, +6.7 mph exit velo, -4.9 Chase%
Trea Turner - +7.8% Contact%, +3.3 mph exit velo, -4.5 Chase%
Brent Rooker - +12.2% Contact%, +7.2 mph exit velo, -8.6 Chase%
Juan Soto - +5.2% Contact%, +8.3 mph exit velo, -6.2 Chase%
Gavin Sheets - +4.6% Contact%, +3.7 mph exit velo, -7.6 Chase%
Francisco Lindor - +4.2% Contact%, +4.4 mph exit velo, -6.5 Chase%
Zach Neto - +7.3% Contact%, +5.2 mph exit velo, -4.2 Chase%
Carlos Santana - +4.7% Contact%, +4.9 mph exit velo, -5.5 Chase%
Casey Schmitt - +6.2% Contact%, +9.0 mph exit velo, -24.4 Chase%
Alek Thomas - +8.2% Contact%, +4.3 mph exit velo, -11.4 Chase%
Eric Wagaman - +5.5% Contact%, +5.4 mph exit velo, -6.7 Chase%
Dominic Canzone - +9.4% Contact%, +5.3 mph exit velo, -10.8 Chase%
Max Kepler - +4.3% Contact%, +8.0 mph exit velo, -6.2 Chase%
Adley Rutschman - 0.393 xwOBA, 11.1% Brl%, 90.0% Contact%, 19.4% Chase%, 12.5% K%
Byron Buxton - 0.395 xwOBA, 10.0% Brl%, 80.9% Contact%, 21.3% Chase%, 15.2% K%
Juan Soto - 0.521 xwOBA, 15.8% Brl%, 77.4% Contact%, 10.1% Chase%, 14.3% K%
Matt Olson - 0.426 xwOBA, 17.6% Brl%, 78.0% Contact%, 22.7% Chase%, 21.4% K%
Michael Busch - 0.421 xwOBA, 19.4% Brl%, 83.2% Contact%, 14.1% Chase%, 16.3% K%
Mookie Betts - 0.429 xwOBA, 14.6% Brl%, 84.3% Contact%, 19.8% Chase%, 9.6% K%
Jorge Soler - 35.5% Whiff%, 75.0% Weak%, 0.95 Cold Rating
Kameron Misner - 33.8% Whiff%, 90.5% Weak%, 0.943 Cold Rating
Jarren Duran - 36.8% Whiff%, 71.4% Weak%, 0.933 Cold Rating
Harrison Bader - 35.6% Whiff%, 70.6% Weak%, 0.92 Cold Rating
Victor Scott II - 32.0% Whiff%, 75.0% Weak%, 0.899 Cold Rating
Rafael Devers - 35.2% Whiff%, 66.7% Weak%, 0.852 Cold Rating
Lars Nootbaar - 29.4% Whiff%, 75.0% Weak%, 0.844 Cold Rating
Otto Kemp - 33.9% Whiff%, 66.7% Weak%, 0.835 Cold Rating
Brett Baty - 29.0% Whiff%, 73.3% Weak%, 0.826 Cold Rating
Connor Norby - 31.6% Whiff%, 67.9% Weak%, 0.826 Cold Rating
Brett Harris (OAK): 4/5, 3R, 2HR, 5RBI, 0SB, 44FPts
Ruben Ibarra (CIN): 3/4, 3R, 2HR, 4RBI, 0SB, 39FPts
Luis Castro (HOU): 4/5, 5R, 1HR, 2RBI, 0SB, 39FPts
Bobby Dalbec (MIL): 3/5, 2R, 2HR, 3RBI, 0SB, 33FPts
Jhonny Pereda (OAK): 4/5, 3R, 1HR, 3RBI, 0SB, 33FPts
Ben Gamel (LAA): 2/3, 3R, 2HR, 2RBI, 0SB, 32FPts
Jesus Bastidas (HOU): 2/3, 2R, 1HR, 4RBI, 0SB, 31FPts
Blake Rambusch (SEA): 3/3, 4R, 0HR, 1RBI, 1SB, 30FPts
Carlos Cortes (OAK): 2/4, 2R, 1HR, 3RBI, 0SB, 29FPts
Adam Retzbach (BAL): 3/3, 1R, 1HR, 3RBI, 0SB, 28FPts
Grant Kipp (CHC): 78 Pitches, 5IP, 0H, 0ER, 8K, 2BB, 30FPts
Devereaux Harrison (TOR): 92 Pitches, 5IP, 1H, 0ER, 6K, 2BB, 26FPts
Andrew Painter (PHI): 72 Pitches, 5IP, 1H, 0ER, 6K, 2BB, 25FPts
Orlando Ortiz-Mayr (MIA): 79 Pitches, 5IP, 0H, 0ER, 6K, 3BB, 25FPts
Luis Morales (OAK): 74 Pitches, 5IP, 4H, 3ER, 9K, 1BB, 24FPts
Trey Supak (TEX): 80 Pitches, 5IP, 4H, 0ER, 6K, 3BB, 23FPts
Hurston Waldrep (ATL): 92 Pitches, 6IP, 7H, 1ER, 6K, 1BB, 22FPts
Matt Waldron (SD): 90 Pitches, 5IP, 3H, 1ER, 5K, 1BB, 22FPts
Shane Murphy (CWS): 77 Pitches, 6IP, 3H, 0ER, 5K, 0BB, 21FPts
Kyle Wright (KC): 65 Pitches, 4IP, 2H, 0ER, 6K, 1BB, 19FPts
C.J. Kayfus (AAA - CLE) 247 PA 1.004 OPS
Trenton Brooks (AAA - SD) 270 PA 1.001 OPS
Jordan Lawlar (AAA - ARI) 233 PA 0.986 OPS
Ryan Ward (AAA - LAD) 294 PA 0.977 OPS
Anthony Seigler (AAA - MIL) 223 PA 0.959 OPS
Max Anderson (AA - DET) 234 PA 0.958 OPS
Chad Stevens (AAA - LAA) 239 PA 0.944 OPS
Cam Devanney (AAA - KC) 223 PA 0.939 OPS
Carson McCusker (AAA - MIN) 210 PA 0.93 OPS
Leonardo Bernal (AA - STL) 196 PA 0.93 OPS
JJ Wetherholt (AA - STL) 207 PA 0.929 OPS
RJ Schreck (AAA - TOR) 198 PA 0.927 OPS
Jett Williams (AA - NYM) 230 PA 0.926 OPS
Brock Wilken (AA - MIL) 274 PA 0.924 OPS
Luke Adams (AA - MIL) 245 PA 0.924 OPS
Daniel Susac (AAA - OAK) 195 PA 0.923 OPS
Harry Ford (AAA - SEA) 241 PA 0.922 OPS
Colby Thomas (AAA - OAK) 299 PA 0.915 OPS
Blaze Jordan (AAA - BOS) 228 PA 0.91 OPS
Moises Ballesteros (AAA - CHC) 249 PA 0.903 OPS
Chase Burns (AAA - CIN) 47 IP 31.0% K-BB
Jonah Tong (AA - NYM) 59 IP 28.4% K-BB
Ian Seymour (AAA - TB) 67 IP 26.3% K-BB
Mitch Bratt (AA - TEX) 57 IP 24.7% K-BB
Jack Wenninger (AA - NYM) 61 IP 24.7% K-BB
Landon Harper (AA - nan) 45 IP 24.2% K-BB
Tekoah Roby (AAA - STL) 51 IP 24.0% K-BB
Tyler Uberstine (AAA - BOS) 56 IP 23.4% K-BB
Allan Winans (AAA - NYY) 44 IP 23.3% K-BB
Troy Melton (AAA - DET) 48 IP 22.5% K-BB
Cam Schlittler (AAA - NYY) 63 IP 22.2% K-BB
Luis Morales (AAA - OAK) 69 IP 22.2% K-BB
Michael McGreevy (AAA - STL) 61 IP 21.3% K-BB
Joe Boyle (AAA - TB) 59 IP 21.3% K-BB
Shane Murphy (AA - CWS) 49 IP 20.8% K-BB
Bubba Chandler (AAA - PIT) 51 IP 20.5% K-BB
Blake Wehunt (AA - BOS) 49 IP 20.5% K-BB
John Klein (AA - MIN) 48 IP 20.3% K-BB
Trenton Denholm (AA - CLE) 51 IP 20.2% K-BB
Wilber Dotel (AA - PIT) 54 IP 20.1% K-BB
Lucas Giolito (7.5% Owned): Projected 6.23IP 2.58ER 7.07SO 2.58BB 19.38FPts
Clarke Schmidt (47.5% Owned): Projected 6.1IP 2.49ER 6.7SO 2.77BB 19.21FPts
Lance McCullers Jr. (32.5% Owned): Projected 5.21IP 2.23ER 5.78SO 2.18BB 16.2FPts
Ryan McMahon - 37 PA, 1.266 OPS
Brooks Lee - 27 PA, 1.252 OPS
Jeff McNeil - 37 PA, 1.182 OPS
Jo Adell - 33 PA, 1.118 OPS
Nolan Gorman - 30 PA, 1.087 OPS
Dane Myers - 34 PA, 1.047 OPS
Taylor Walls - 28 PA, 1.045 OPS
Casey Schmitt - 27 PA, 1.037 OPS
Max Kepler - 26 PA, 1.021 OPS
Tyler Freeman - 31 PA, 1.006 OPS
Josh Lowe LF (31.0% Owned): Projected 0.75R 0.17HR 0.52RBI 1.23SO 0.27BB 0.15SB 9.07FPts
Jordan Beck RF (11.0% Owned): Projected 0.67R 0.22HR 0.52RBI 1.02SO 0.24BB 0.14SB 8.82FPts
Jonathan Aranda 2B (43.5% Owned): Projected 0.63R 0.2HR 0.78RBI 1.01SO 0.37BB 0.01SB 8.76FPts
Xavier Edwards SS (37.5% Owned): Projected 0.61R 0.03HR 0.46RBI 0.74SO 0.5BB 0.26SB 8.48FPts
Trent Grisham CF (25.5% Owned): Projected 0.76R 0.14HR 0.54RBI 1.16SO 0.88BB 0.06SB 8.41FPts
J.P. Crawford SS (13.0% Owned): Projected 0.71R 0.13HR 0.51RBI 1.12SO 0.66BB 0.06SB 8.37FPts
Nolan Schanuel 1B (11.0% Owned): Projected 0.65R 0.1HR 0.58RBI 0.8SO 0.73BB 0.08SB 8.27FPts
Ryan O'Hearn 1B (35.5% Owned): Projected 0.57R 0.15HR 0.71RBI 0.68SO 0.37BB 0.04SB 8.06FPts
