A couple of people told me the daily notes didn’t hit their inbox yesterday, but some people said it worked fine! So, I’m not sure what happened there, and I hope things go better today. But if you’re really into reading these posts, I once again recommend the Substack app. That’s how I do it - it’s a great app. There’s even a feature on there that will read the notes to you. I listened to it the other day to see how it sounded, and I was really impressed. It did not sound like a computer reading it at all. It got the voice inflection and the proper stresses in the sentences right. Pretty cool.
I tend to stay away from the league’s known aces in these notes, because it’s not super useful to tell you that 100% owned studs are very good. And even when they do bad, it’s not really worth dwelling on. But we have to mention a 32-whiff outing from Tarik Skubal.
7 IP, 2 H, 1 ER, 12 K, 0 BB, 33.3% SwStr%, 61.5% Strike%, 27.1% Ball%
He is on top of every single automated leaderboard below. It was one of the most dominant outings you’ll see. There have been 11 starts of 30+ whiffs or more since 2021. It’s a rare thing to see. Here they are, put into an Excel template that I just created because I like this shade of blue.
He had 19 in-zone whiffs last night. That was the fourth-most since 2021. Joe Ryan has the top spot in a start a couple of weeks ago - I guessed we missed that one!
I remember tweeting out before the season that Skubal’s Cy Young odds as given by the sports book were ridiculous and it would be foolish to take that line. But I’m not exactly sure who takes it from him as long as he stays healthy.
Hunter Brown is having a true breakout season. He was good last year, but the guy is better this year.
5.2 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 9 K, 4 BB
The whiffs were not fantastic yesterday (11.9% SwStr%, 12 whiffs), and he didn’t have the greatest command (41.6% Ball%), but another donut in the “R” column and he has his ERA down to 1.48 with a 0.90 WHIP.
We now have 11 pitchers with
→ 6+ GS
→ K-BB% >= 24%
No real surprises on that list. And that’s the beauty of K-BB%. You don’t really luck into it. You aren’t going to see a non-elite pitcher putting up crazy high K-BB% over any sort of significant sample.
I think you could say it’s even more impressive this year since walk rates are up. The strike zone is being called smaller this year. So there’s a premium on the elite command guys. Here are your SPs with 6+ starts and a walk rate below 5%.
Eovaldi, Skubal, Ryan, Lodolo, Sears, Liberatore, Freeland, Lopez, Bassitt, Sugano, Greene, Wheeler, Wesneski, Woo, Schwellenbach, Ober, Littell, Senzatela
Hunter Dobbins had a really nice outing against the Royals.
6 IP, 5 H, 0 R, 6 K, 0 BB, 16.0% SwStr%, 32.1% Ball%
The JA model kinda picked that out. It was projecting him pretty well, or at least a lot better than what the markets were saying. He was the Red Sox minor league pitcher of the year last year. That’s a fact I learned last night while watching the game. The Pacers were getting shellacked and my wife was reading so I turned on the MLB app. I found that I was blacked out from about 2/3rds of the available games, so I watched a little Royals action and found that out.
Anyways, Dobbins has now made four starts in the Majors:
22.2 IP, 2.78 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 19.8% K%, 4.2% BB%, 0.79 HR/9
He has two quality starts out of four starts and has gotten the job done. The weird thing is that his minor league starts haven’t gone nearly as well (13.2% K%, 11.3% BB% in 12.2 innings in AAA), but I guess the small sample rule applies even in the minors.
The most useful data we can use right now is the on the pitcher profile tab on the main dashboard.
His 13.2% SwStr% outpaces the 19.8% K%. He has double-digit SwStr% on the slider, sweeper, splitter, and curveball. And the slider and sweeper have been especially good. I do think this K% will trend up into the 20s.
But we have that classic problem where the fastball isn’t very good. It hasn’t gotten hit hard yet (.372 SLG), but a 46% Strike% and 5.4% SwStr% aren’t good early signs. The velo isn’t awful (95), so maybe he’ll get better. I don’t know, and I’m not going to get into the pitch movement stuff on it. But I do think Dobbins is sneaky and worth some adds in fantasy leagues right now.
Will Warren has now turned in two very good starts in a row. This was another spot the projection model nailed last night.
7.1 IP, 4 H, 1 R, 7 K, 1 BB, 14.9% SwStr%, 32.2% Ball%
I guess his outing before this wasn’t “very good” because he went just 4.2 innings, but he now has 15 strikeouts in his last two.
We now have a solid 26% K% on the guy with a 10% BB%. That walk rate isn’t good, but it’s not like crazy terrible either. I don’t like that 10.8% SwStr%, that would suggest the K% is bloated. And the SwStr% is at 10.6% even in these last two starts. So I guess the strikeouts aren’t for real.
But the fastball velo and pitch counts both trending up:
Maybe he’s not a standard fantasy league guy, but I think you can view him as a streamer and a DFS play, which we did last night and it worked out quite well!
It’s definitely time to cut Roki Sasaki. That bad start against the Diamondbacks was easy to see coming, but it was the absolute last chance for me. He’s done for!
4 IP, 5 H, 5 ER, 0 K, 2 BB, 6.6% SwStr%, 42.6% Strike%, 29.5% Ball%
Funny enough, it was his best ball rate by far. But a good ball rate only works if you can not get destroyed in the strike zone. And Sasaki’s inability to get whiffs is clear. He now has an 8.7% SwStr% on the season, and his ball rate is still higher than his strike rate.
There are only two pitchers in the league with
→ 5+ GS
→ SwStr% below 10%
→ Ball% above 40%
Those are Sasaki and Andre Pallante. That’s a combination of stats you want nothing to do with. Here’s a full list of every SP with a SwStr% below 10% and a Ball% above 38%.
CORBIN BURNES is there, my oh my!
I see Jacob Misiorowski in the notes. He had a big outing at AAA last night:
6.2 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 11 K, 1 BB, 21.2% SwStr%, 31.3% Ball%
We know that the guy can rack up whiffs and strikeouts. The question is just about if he can throw enough strikes to succeed as a starting pitcher in the Major Leagues. So far this year, the signs are pretty good.
K%: 33.1%
BB%: 11.0%
SwStr%: 14.8%
Ball%: 35.8%
His fastball is one of the best in baseball, but he relies heavily on it:
I still think he’ll end up in the Brewers bullpen rather than their rotation. But the Brewers, wisely, are giving him this year to see if he can run with a rotation job. He has now thrown 92 and 99 pitches in his last two outings. I’d imagine he’ll be making a start in the Majors pretty soon. Decent stash if you’re in a league that rewards strikeouts and doesn’t punish walks that bad… I’m not sure what kind of league that would be, though!
A couple of hitters to cover before I take my kids out of here to do a last-minute Mother’s Day dash. My wife loves Sweet Tarts, and I was at the store yesterday on my own looking for them, and they didn’t have any. So I bought her a filet mignon instead, which I will cook for her over butter on my cast iron skillet, which I have named “The Nick Casty”. My wife has no idea why I call it that.
Addison Barger. Have you seen this guy?
I thought they had strict gun control in Canada…
He joins Vlad, Oneil Cruz, Ohtani, Noel, Judge, Schwarber, Noelvi Marte, Mountcastle, Caminero, Jordan Walker, Wood, and Conine (?) in the 116+ mph club.
Speaking of exit velocity, Agustin Ramirez hit four balls above 100mph last night. And he went 1/5. He now has 21 batted balls above 100mph out of 45 total batted balls. That 46.7%, putting him in the top 25.
He’s hitting .286/.322/.643 on the year with a very impressive .315 xBA and .395 xwOBA on a fantastic 81% Contact% and 18.6% K%. It would seem like the guy is a very competent MLB hitter. Although we’re still only about 60 PAs into his career. But I’d want him on my team right now.
Only six hitters are below a 20% K% with a 15%+ Brl%.
Go get that man! His xwOBA has not fallen below .360 even during his “cold” streaks. My chart can’t even contain him!
Okay, I’ve really gotta go! I’m going to see if I can get a mini slate preview out since we have a ton of baseball going after 4pm. But, no promises. Gotta find those sweet tarts first.
1. Tarik Skubal
2. Michael Lorenzen
3. Hunter Dobbins
4. Osvaldo Bido
5. Will Warren
6. Hunter Brown
7. Zack Littell
8. Nick Martinez
9. Tomoyuki Sugano
10. Gavin Williams
11. Jordan Hicks
12. Chris Paddack
13. Bryce Elder
14. Max Meyer
15. Kevin Gausman
16. Bailey Falter
17. Randy Vasquez
18. Clay Holmes
19. Mitchell Parker
20. Aaron Nola
21. Jose Quintana
22. Eduardo Rodriguez
23. Erick Fedde
24. Luis Castillo
25. Antonio Senzatela
26. Kyle Hendricks
27. Jameson Taillon
28. Roki Sasaki
29. Bryse Wilson
30. Patrick Corbin
1. Tarik Skubal (vs. TEX): 40.55 Points
2. Erick Fedde (vs. WSH): 36.65 Points
3. Hunter Brown (vs. CIN): 31.16 Points
4. Will Warren (vs. ATH): 29.49 Points
5. Chris Paddack (vs. SF): 28.69 Points
6. Michael Lorenzen (vs. BOS): 27.95 Points
7. Tomoyuki Sugano (vs. LAA): 26.69 Points
8. Gavin Williams (vs. PHI): 26.45 Points
9. Hunter Dobbins (vs. KC): 22.5 Points
10. Clay Holmes (vs. CHC): 21.9 Points
1. Tarik Skubal (DET): 32 Whiffs (96 Pitches)
2. Michael Lorenzen (KC): 17 Whiffs (90 Pitches)
3. Osvaldo Bido (OAK): 16 Whiffs (96 Pitches)
4. Hunter Dobbins (BOS): 13 Whiffs (81 Pitches)
5. Max Meyer (MIA): 13 Whiffs (90 Pitches)
6. Gavin Williams (CLE): 13 Whiffs (98 Pitches)
7. Will Warren (NYY): 13 Whiffs (87 Pitches)
8. Nick Martinez (CIN): 12 Whiffs (84 Pitches)
9. Bryce Elder (ATL): 12 Whiffs (99 Pitches)
10. Hunter Brown (HOU): 12 Whiffs (101 Pitches)
1. Tarik Skubal (DET): 61.5 Strike%, 27.1 Ball%
2. Zack Littell (TB): 52.2 Strike%, 27.8 Ball%
3. Jameson Taillon (CHC): 52.0 Strike%, 31.0 Ball%
4. Bryce Elder (ATL): 50.5 Strike%, 35.4 Ball%
5. Randy Vasquez (SD): 49.5 Strike%, 30.5 Ball%
6. Michael Lorenzen (KC): 48.9 Strike%, 32.2 Ball%
7. Hunter Brown (HOU): 48.5 Strike%, 41.6 Ball%
8. Kyle Hendricks (LAA): 48.5 Strike%, 35.4 Ball%
9. Tomoyuki Sugano (BAL): 48.4 Strike%, 30.1 Ball%
10. Chris Paddack (MIN): 48.2 Strike%, 28.9 Ball%
11. Hunter Dobbins (BOS): 48.1 Strike%, 32.1 Ball%
12. Osvaldo Bido (OAK): 47.9 Strike%, 33.3 Ball%
13. Aaron Nola (PHI): 47.1 Strike%, 35.6 Ball%
14. Mitchell Parker (WSH): 46.9 Strike%, 38.5 Ball%
15. Will Warren (NYY): 46.0 Strike%, 32.2 Ball%
1. Chris Paddack: 83 Pitches, 22 Outs, 3.77 POUT
2. Will Warren: 87 Pitches, 22 Outs, 3.95 POUT
3. Erick Fedde: 109 Pitches, 27 Outs, 4.04 POUT
4. Tomoyuki Sugano: 93 Pitches, 22 Outs, 4.23 POUT
5. Michael Lorenzen: 90 Pitches, 21 Outs, 4.29 POUT
6. Patrick Corbin: 93 Pitches, 21 Outs, 4.43 POUT
7. Hunter Dobbins: 81 Pitches, 18 Outs, 4.5 POUT
8. Tarik Skubal: 96 Pitches, 21 Outs, 4.57 POUT
9. Jordan Hicks: 79 Pitches, 17 Outs, 4.65 POUT
10. Jose Quintana: 75 Pitches, 16 Outs, 4.69 POUT
Jordan Hicks's SI velo (38 pitches) UP 3.2mph to 98.5
Chris Paddack's FF velo (48 pitches) UP 1.5mph to 95.0
Kyle Hendricks's SI velo (40 pitches) DOWN -1.6mph to 85.7
Aaron Nola's FC velo (10 pitches) DOWN -1.6mph to 85.6
Kyle Hendricks's FF velo (16 pitches) DOWN -1.7mph to 85.7
Luis Castillo's FF velo (36 pitches) DOWN -1.8mph to 93.6
Luis Castillo's SI velo (28 pitches) DOWN -2.0mph to 93.4
Clay Holmes's SI velo (52 pitches) DOWN -2.6mph to 93.0
Bryce Elder's SL usage (46.5%) up 11.6 points
Chris Paddack's FF usage (57.8%) up 11.8 points
Gavin Williams's ST usage (34.7%) up 24.8 points
Hunter Brown's SL usage (16.8%) up 10.1 points
Jameson Taillon's CH usage (16.0%) up 10.7 points
Jordan Hicks's ST usage (39.2%) up 13.1 points
Jose Quintana's SI usage (44.0%) up 11.2 points
Luis Castillo's SI usage (29.8%) up 10.6 points
Max Meyer's ST usage (21.1%) up 16.0 points
Mitchell Parker's FF usage (62.5%) up 12.9 points
Nick Martinez's SI usage (27.4%) up 10.2 points
Nick Martinez's SL usage (23.8%) up 15.6 points
Osvaldo Bido's SI usage (25.0%) up 13.7 points
Randy Vasquez's FC usage (38.9%) up 20.8 points
Roki Sasaki's FS usage (45.9%) up 13.5 points
Jose Soriano Sinker: -18.3%
Jordan Hicks Sinker: -18.2%
Jordan Hicks Sweeper: +18.2%
Tanner Houck Sinker: +17.3%
Osvaldo Bido Changeup: +16.3%
Patrick Corbin Sinker: +16.0%
Osvaldo Bido 4-Seam Fastball: -15.6%
Grant Holmes Curveball: -15.4%
Brad Lord 4-Seam Fastball: -14.9%
Brad Lord Changeup: +14.8%
Chad Patrick 4-Seam Fastball: -14.7%
Clay Holmes Sinker: +13.7%
Jack Flaherty Curveball: +12.6%
Will Warren 4-Seam Fastball: +12.6%
Tanner Houck Split-Finger: -12.6%
Grant Holmes Slider: +12.5%
Osvaldo Bido Sinker: +12.5%
Erick Fedde Cutter: -12.5%
Tarik Skubal - 90 TBF, 38.7% CSW%
Tylor Megill - 68 TBF, 36.9% CSW%
Reese Olson - 72 TBF, 36.1% CSW%
Chris Sale - 97 TBF, 34.5% CSW%
Jack Flaherty - 71 TBF, 34.4% CSW%
MacKenzie Gore - 92 TBF, 33.6% CSW%
Ben Brown - 85 TBF, 32.8% CSW%
Logan Webb - 79 TBF, 32.7% CSW%
Hunter Brown - 94 TBF, 32.4% CSW%
Sonny Gray - 101 TBF, 32.3% CSW%
MacKenzie Gore - 92 TBF, 39.1% K%
Hunter Greene - 77 TBF, 39.0% K%
Tarik Skubal - 90 TBF, 38.9% K%
Hunter Brown - 94 TBF, 38.3% K%
Tylor Megill - 68 TBF, 36.8% K%
Chris Sale - 97 TBF, 33.0% K%
Zack Wheeler - 76 TBF, 32.9% K%
Joe Ryan - 74 TBF, 32.4% K%
Gavin Williams - 84 TBF, 32.1% K%
Nathan Eovaldi - 69 TBF, 31.9% K%
Tarik Skubal - 90 TBF, 37.8% K-BB%
Hunter Greene - 77 TBF, 33.8% K-BB%
MacKenzie Gore - 92 TBF, 31.5% K-BB%
Nathan Eovaldi - 69 TBF, 30.4% K-BB%
Zack Wheeler - 76 TBF, 28.9% K-BB%
Hunter Brown - 94 TBF, 28.7% K-BB%
Bryan Woo - 70 TBF, 28.6% K-BB%
Joe Ryan - 74 TBF, 28.4% K-BB%
Chris Sale - 97 TBF, 25.8% K-BB%
Jack Flaherty - 71 TBF, 25.4% K-BB%
Jordan Hicks - 91 TBF, 65.6% GB%
Andre Pallante - 69 TBF, 64.8% GB%
Reese Olson - 72 TBF, 64.3% GB%
Jose Soriano - 92 TBF, 63.1% GB%
Quinn Priester - 91 TBF, 60.0% GB%
David Peterson - 73 TBF, 59.6% GB%
Framber Valdez - 102 TBF, 57.5% GB%
Brayan Bello - 94 TBF, 56.7% GB%
Clay Holmes - 89 TBF, 54.4% GB%
Max Fried - 103 TBF, 53.9% GB%
Nathan Eovaldi - 69 TBF, 31.9 K%, 1.4 BB%, 43.5% GB%
Pablo Lopez - 63 TBF, 36.5 K%, 4.8 BB%, 48.6% GB%
Sean Newcomb - 47 TBF, 29.8 K%, 6.4 BB%, 53.3% GB%
Will Warren - 91 TBF, 27.5 K%, 7.7 BB%, 51.7% GB%
Zack Wheeler - 76 TBF, 32.9 K%, 3.9 BB%, 44.7% GB%
Unluckiest
Connor Gillispie: 14.25 ERA, 4.82 SIERA
German Marquez: 14.21 ERA, 5.28 SIERA
Sandy Alcantara: 10.54 ERA, 5.96 SIERA
Kumar Rocker: 8.25 ERA, 3.78 SIERA
Kyle Freeland: 8.85 ERA, 4.45 SIERA
Eduardo Rodriguez: 7.72 ERA, 3.88 SIERA
Charlie Morton: 9.82 ERA, 6.08 SIERA
Tanner Houck: 7.2 ERA, 4.05 SIERA
Jordan Hicks: 7.03 ERA, 3.99 SIERA
Chase Dollander: 7.82 ERA, 4.89 SIERA
Luckiest
Kodai Senga: 0.94 ERA, 4.82 SIERA
Brayan Bello: 2.01 ERA, 5.11 SIERA
Shota Imanaga: 1.69 ERA, 4.52 SIERA
Tyler Mahle: 1.55 ERA, 4.28 SIERA
Miles Mikolas: 2.77 ERA, 5.31 SIERA
Max Fried: 1.05 ERA, 3.34 SIERA
David Festa: 1.38 ERA, 3.64 SIERA
AJ Smith-Shawver: 1.96 ERA, 4.13 SIERA
Tyler Anderson: 2.08 ERA, 4.24 SIERA
Chris Paddack: 2.51 ERA, 4.59 SIERA
Michael Lorenzen - +2.8% CSW%, -1.7 BB%
Tarik Skubal - +5.0% CSW%, -3.3 BB%
Casey Mize - +3.5% CSW%, -3.3 BB%
Carlos Rodon - +2.9% CSW%, -3.1 BB%
Jack Flaherty - +3.4% CSW%, -3.6 BB%
JP Sears - +2.2% CSW%, -4.9 BB%
Hunter Greene - +3.9% CSW%, -5.3 BB%
Cal Quantrill - +5.6% CSW%, -5.1 BB%
Addison Barger (TOR) 4 PA, 5 Swings, 2 Barrels, 0 HR
Agustin Ramirez (MIA) 5 PA, 10 Swings, 2 Barrels, 0 HR
Francisco Lindor (NYM) 5 PA, 14 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Jasson Dominguez (NYY) 5 PA, 10 Swings, 3 Barrels, 3 HR
Juan Soto (NYM) 5 PA, 8 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Ketel Marte (ARI) 4 PA, 10 Swings, 2 Barrels, 2 HR
Ryan McMahon (COL) 5 PA, 13 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 6 PA, 16 Swings, 3 Barrels, 1 HR
Addison Barger, Yesterday: 116.5 Previous High: 112.5
Jasson Dominguez, Yesterday: 111.9 Previous High: 110.2
Lawrence Butler, Yesterday: 113.6 Previous High: 113.1
Oneil Cruz (PIT) - 117.6mph - single
Addison Barger (TOR) - 116.5mph - double
Aaron Judge (NYY) - 114.7mph - double
Agustin Ramirez (MIA) - 114.7mph - double
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) - 114.7mph - single
Lawrence Butler (OAK) - 113.6mph - single
Nick Kurtz (OAK) - 113.6mph - double
Addison Barger (TOR) - 113.4mph - double
Ketel Marte (ARI) - 113.1mph - home_run
Ketel Marte (ARI) - 113.0mph - home_run
Top 10
Michael Conforto - 61 PA, 0.146 wOBA, 0.284 xwOBA, 0.138 Diff
Joey Ortiz - 62 PA, 0.158 wOBA, 0.291 xwOBA, 0.133 Diff
Bryan Reynolds - 79 PA, 0.262 wOBA, 0.365 xwOBA, 0.103 Diff
Brenton Doyle - 68 PA, 0.204 wOBA, 0.306 xwOBA, 0.102 Diff
Juan Soto - 87 PA, 0.435 wOBA, 0.532 xwOBA, 0.097 Diff
Ceddanne Rafaela - 63 PA, 0.326 wOBA, 0.408 xwOBA, 0.082 Diff
Alejandro Kirk - 57 PA, 0.274 wOBA, 0.354 xwOBA, 0.08 Diff
Andrew Vaughn - 79 PA, 0.27 wOBA, 0.35 xwOBA, 0.08 Diff
Taylor Ward - 66 PA, 0.201 wOBA, 0.28 xwOBA, 0.079 Diff
Ryan Mountcastle - 63 PA, 0.224 wOBA, 0.302 xwOBA, 0.078 Diff
Bottom 10
Hunter Goodman - 84 PA, 0.362 wOBA, 0.258 xwOBA, -0.104 Diff
Javier Baez - 61 PA, 0.415 wOBA, 0.313 xwOBA, -0.102 Diff
Eli White - 58 PA, 0.405 wOBA, 0.311 xwOBA, -0.094 Diff
Freddie Freeman - 78 PA, 0.5 wOBA, 0.411 xwOBA, -0.089 Diff
Byron Buxton - 78 PA, 0.469 wOBA, 0.385 xwOBA, -0.084 Diff
Noelvi Marte - 59 PA, 0.415 wOBA, 0.337 xwOBA, -0.078 Diff
Andy Pages - 73 PA, 0.448 wOBA, 0.373 xwOBA, -0.075 Diff
Kyle Manzardo - 62 PA, 0.375 wOBA, 0.301 xwOBA, -0.074 Diff
Dansby Swanson - 69 PA, 0.401 wOBA, 0.331 xwOBA, -0.07 Diff
Jacob Wilson - 79 PA, 0.385 wOBA, 0.316 xwOBA, -0.069 Diff
Juan Soto: 43.0 PA, +0.399 xwOBA OE
Shohei Ohtani: 43.0 PA, +0.322 xwOBA OE
Colt Keith: 30.0 PA, +0.212 xwOBA OE
Daniel Schneemann: 31.0 PA, +0.209 xwOBA OE
Ryan McMahon: 35.0 PA, +0.181 xwOBA OE
Jake Meyers: 32.0 PA, +0.18 xwOBA OE
Willson Contreras: 40.0 PA, +0.168 xwOBA OE
Maikel Garcia: 44.0 PA, +0.158 xwOBA OE
Kyle Stowers: 33.0 PA, +0.12 xwOBA OE
Bobby Witt Jr.: 45.0 PA, +0.116 xwOBA OE
Kyle Schwarber: 39.0 PA, +0.112 xwOBA OE
Gleyber Torres: 36.0 PA, +0.105 xwOBA OE
Matt Chapman: 36.0 PA, +0.104 xwOBA OE
George Springer: 35.0 PA, +0.102 xwOBA OE
Joey Bart: 30.0 PA, +0.101 xwOBA OE
Ke'Bryan Hayes: 35.0 PA, -0.167 xwOBA OE
Cedric Mullins II: 31.0 PA, -0.157 xwOBA OE
Trevor Story: 34.0 PA, -0.151 xwOBA OE
Wyatt Langford: 40.0 PA, -0.136 xwOBA OE
Hunter Goodman: 37.0 PA, -0.127 xwOBA OE
Eric Wagaman: 31.0 PA, -0.12 xwOBA OE
Christian Yelich: 33.0 PA, -0.118 xwOBA OE
Zach McKinstry: 33.0 PA, -0.116 xwOBA OE
Michael Harris II: 36.0 PA, -0.116 xwOBA OE
Eli White: 33.0 PA, -0.103 xwOBA OE
Angel Martinez: 30.0 PA, -0.101 xwOBA OE
Alex Verdugo: 33.0 PA, -0.099 xwOBA OE
Xavier Edwards: 37.0 PA, -0.092 xwOBA OE
Ozzie Albies: 37.0 PA, -0.089 xwOBA OE
Ben Williamson: 33.0 PA, -0.088 xwOBA OE
Shohei Ohtani - 81 PA, 45 BIP, 14 Brls, 31.1 Brl%
Oneil Cruz - 79 PA, 42 BIP, 12 Brls, 28.6 Brl%
Jordan Beck - 77 PA, 50 BIP, 12 Brls, 24.0 Brl%
Daniel Schneemann - 51 PA, 36 BIP, 8 Brls, 22.2 Brl%
Pete Crow-Armstrong - 68 PA, 54 BIP, 12 Brls, 22.2 Brl%
Juan Soto - 87 PA, 61 BIP, 13 Brls, 21.3 Brl%
Kyle Stowers - 62 PA, 38 BIP, 8 Brls, 21.1 Brl%
Riley Greene - 77 PA, 54 BIP, 11 Brls, 20.4 Brl%
Aaron Judge - 74 PA, 50 BIP, 10 Brls, 20.0 Brl%
Taylor Ward - 66 PA, 40 BIP, 8 Brls, 20.0 Brl%
Juan Soto - 87 PA, 0.532 xwOBA
Shohei Ohtani - 81 PA, 0.523 xwOBA
Dane Myers - 49 PA, 0.483 xwOBA
Daniel Schneemann - 51 PA, 0.482 xwOBA
Jorge Polanco - 54 PA, 0.476 xwOBA
Colt Keith - 46 PA, 0.473 xwOBA
Manny Machado - 62 PA, 0.45 xwOBA
Aaron Judge - 74 PA, 0.449 xwOBA
Willson Contreras - 80 PA, 0.444 xwOBA
Matt Chapman - 73 PA, 0.442 xwOBA
Steven Kwan - 83 PA, 145 Swings, 93.1 Cont%
Xavier Edwards - 81 PA, 119 Swings, 92.4 Cont%
Jacob Wilson - 79 PA, 130 Swings, 92.3 Cont%
Isaac Paredes - 72 PA, 117 Swings, 91.5 Cont%
Alex Verdugo - 76 PA, 116 Swings, 91.4 Cont%
Maikel Garcia - 80 PA, 115 Swings, 90.4 Cont%
Brendan Donovan - 74 PA, 117 Swings, 89.7 Cont%
Geraldo Perdomo - 83 PA, 143 Swings, 89.5 Cont%
Jung Hoo Lee - 75 PA, 133 Swings, 89.5 Cont%
Caleb Durbin - 68 PA, 101 Swings, 88.1 Cont%
Maikel Garcia - 6 Attempts (6 steals)
Zach Neto - 5 Attempts (4 steals)
Bobby Witt Jr. - 5 Attempts (4 steals)
C.J. Abrams - 5 Attempts (3 steals)
Luis Robert - 5 Attempts (4 steals)
Matt McLain - 5 Attempts (5 steals)
Xavier Edwards - 4 Attempts (4 steals)
Oneil Cruz - 4 Attempts (3 steals)
Elly De La Cruz - 4 Attempts (3 steals)
Trea Turner - 4 Attempts (3 steals)
Harrison Bader - 4 Attempts (3 steals)
Dane Myers - 4 Attempts (3 steals)
Elly De La Cruz - 15 Attempts (12 steals)
Luis Robert - 15 Attempts (12 steals)
Maikel Garcia - 13 Attempts (9 steals)
Bobby Witt Jr. - 13 Attempts (10 steals)
Jarren Duran - 10 Attempts (7 steals)
Pete Crow-Armstrong - 9 Attempts (6 steals)
Jose Caballero - 9 Attempts (7 steals)
Luisangel Acuna - 9 Attempts (8 steals)
Oneil Cruz - 9 Attempts (8 steals)
Brice Turang - 9 Attempts (6 steals)
Trea Turner - 9 Attempts (5 steals)
Xavier Edwards - 9 Attempts (7 steals)
Agustin Ramirez - 59 PA, 18.6 K%, 15.6 Brl%
Andrew McCutchen - 68 PA, 14.7 K%, 18.0 Brl%
Austin Wells - 59 PA, 16.9 K%, 15.2 Brl%
Ceddanne Rafaela - 63 PA, 17.5 K%, 17.0 Brl%
Cody Bellinger - 64 PA, 14.1 K%, 14.6 Brl%
Colt Keith - 46 PA, 15.2 K%, 15.2 Brl%
Daniel Schneemann - 51 PA, 17.6 K%, 22.2 Brl%
Eugenio Suarez - 76 PA, 18.4 K%, 15.1 Brl%
Freddie Freeman - 78 PA, 19.2 K%, 14.5 Brl%
Jorge Polanco - 54 PA, 7.4 K%, 18.6 Brl%
Juan Soto - 87 PA, 13.8 K%, 21.3 Brl%
Manny Machado - 62 PA, 17.7 K%, 17.8 Brl%
Max Kepler - 71 PA, 18.3 K%, 14.3 Brl%
Pete Crow-Armstrong - 68 PA, 17.6 K%, 22.2 Brl%
Rhys Hoskins - 69 PA, 18.8 K%, 17.0 Brl%
Ryan O'Hearn - 59 PA, 16.9 K%, 14.3 Brl%
Trent Grisham - 55 PA, 18.2 K%, 16.2 Brl%
Ty France - 79 PA, 15.2 K%, 15.3 Brl%
Wilyer Abreu - 73 PA, 16.4 K%, 18.5 Brl%
Jorge Polanco - 80 PA, +0.122 xwOBA
Manny Machado - 94 PA, +0.115 xwOBA
Pete Crow-Armstrong - 101 PA, +0.112 xwOBA
Kyle Stowers - 97 PA, +0.102 xwOBA
Ceddanne Rafaela - 90 PA, +0.096 xwOBA
Maikel Garcia - 116 PA, +0.091 xwOBA
Pete Alonso - 127 PA, +0.087 xwOBA
Rhys Hoskins - 100 PA, +0.087 xwOBA
Cal Raleigh - 109 PA, +0.086 xwOBA
Ty France - 115 PA, +0.085 xwOBA
Pete Crow-Armstrong - 101 PA, +14.2 Brl%
Oneil Cruz - 105 PA, +13.0 Brl%
Kyle Stowers - 97 PA, +11.2 Brl%
Cal Raleigh - 109 PA, +10.1 Brl%
Ceddanne Rafaela - 90 PA, +9.7 Brl%
Taylor Ward - 106 PA, +8.6 Brl%
Andrew Vaughn - 117 PA, +8.4 Brl%
Michael Busch - 98 PA, +8.1 Brl%
Christopher Morel - 87 PA, +8.1 Brl%
Shohei Ohtani - 113 PA, +7.8 Brl%
Mike Yastrzemski - 101 PA, +10.0 Cont%
Shea Langeliers - 95 PA, +9.8 Cont%
Willson Contreras - 114 PA, +9.3 Cont%
Xavier Edwards - 121 PA, +8.5 Cont%
Junior Caminero - 111 PA, +8.2 Cont%
Teoscar Hernandez - 83 PA, +7.9 Cont%
Ryan Jeffers - 84 PA, +7.8 Cont%
Wilyer Abreu - 104 PA, +7.7 Cont%
William Contreras - 108 PA, +7.5 Cont%
Kerry Carpenter - 95 PA, +7.3 Cont%
Jorge Polanco - 80 PA, -17.2 K%
Teoscar Hernandez - 83 PA, -12.8 K%
Shea Langeliers - 95 PA, -11.9 K%
Mickey Moniak - 94 PA, -11.5 K%
Enmanuel Valdez - 84 PA, -11.3 K%
Kerry Carpenter - 95 PA, -9.2 K%
Gleyber Torres - 108 PA, -9.1 K%
Julio Rodriguez - 116 PA, -8.8 K%
Josh Smith - 84 PA, -8.7 K%
Willson Contreras - 114 PA, -8.7 K%
Bo Bichette: +3.17
Joc Pederson: +2.98
Nolan Arenado: +2.4
C.J. Abrams: +2.22
Willi Castro: +2.17
Jorge Polanco: -2.47
Xavier Edwards: -2.25
Miguel Andujar: -1.97
Josh Bell: -1.9
George Springer: -1.88
C.J. Abrams - +3.4% Contact%, +4.1 mph exit velo, -3.6 Chase%
Xavier Edwards - +6.5% Contact%, +5.0 mph exit velo, -11.4 Chase%
Kyle Schwarber - +11.9% Contact%, +3.8 mph exit velo, -3.3 Chase%
Mickey Moniak - +8.9% Contact%, +7.5 mph exit velo, -7.7 Chase%
Luis Garcia - +6.9% Contact%, +6.0 mph exit velo, -10.0 Chase%
Jake Meyers - +12.3% Contact%, +3.6 mph exit velo, -20.2 Chase%
Luis Urias - +9.4% Contact%, +3.6 mph exit velo, -4.1 Chase%
Heliot Ramos - +6.2% Contact%, +5.9 mph exit velo, -9.8 Chase%
Ceddanne Rafaela - +8.3% Contact%, +6.6 mph exit velo, -12.2 Chase%
Jackson Holliday - +8.7% Contact%, +6.2 mph exit velo, -5.0 Chase%
Curtis Mead - +5.1% Contact%, +5.6 mph exit velo, -18.9 Chase%
Alex Bregman - 0.404 xwOBA, 17.1% Brl%, 79.4% Contact%, 21.4% Chase%, 19.0% K%
Andrew McCutchen - 0.417 xwOBA, 19.4% Brl%, 80.0% Contact%, 21.0% Chase%, 14.3% K%
Brandon Nimmo - 0.405 xwOBA, 11.6% Brl%, 84.2% Contact%, 18.8% Chase%, 10.9% K%
Gleyber Torres - 0.435 xwOBA, 12.5% Brl%, 85.4% Contact%, 17.3% Chase%, 5.1% K%
Juan Soto - 0.614 xwOBA, 29.5% Brl%, 84.8% Contact%, 10.5% Chase%, 14.1% K%
Kyle Schwarber - 0.43 xwOBA, 16.7% Brl%, 75.3% Contact%, 19.7% Chase%, 19.6% K%
Will Smith - 0.383 xwOBA, 16.7% Brl%, 76.5% Contact%, 21.1% Chase%, 22.9% K%
Wilyer Abreu - 0.479 xwOBA, 18.9% Brl%, 85.9% Contact%, 24.1% Chase%, 12.5% K%
Pavin Smith - 45.5% Whiff%, 82.4% Weak%, 0.994 Cold Rating
Gavin Sheets - 35.5% Whiff%, 77.8% Weak%, 0.951 Cold Rating
Jordan Walker - 33.3% Whiff%, 71.4% Weak%, 0.909 Cold Rating
Kameron Misner - 41.3% Whiff%, 66.7% Weak%, 0.907 Cold Rating
Christian Yelich - 29.8% Whiff%, 84.6% Weak%, 0.894 Cold Rating
Elly De La Cruz - 30.6% Whiff%, 79.5% Weak%, 0.892 Cold Rating
Isaac Collins - 34.0% Whiff%, 66.7% Weak%, 0.877 Cold Rating
Wyatt Langford - 29.2% Whiff%, 73.5% Weak%, 0.851 Cold Rating
Brayan Rocchio - 28.6% Whiff%, 80.0% Weak%, 0.848 Cold Rating
Cedric Mullins II - 30.8% Whiff%, 67.7% Weak%, 0.841 Cold Rating
Alan Roden (TOR): 4/5, 3R, 1HR, 5RBI, 0SB, 39FPts
Jose Fermin (STL): 2/4, 2R, 0HR, 3RBI, 1SB, 27FPts
Will Robertson (TOR): 3/5, 2R, 1HR, 3RBI, 0SB, 26FPts
Joey Loperfido (TOR): 2/4, 3R, 0HR, 0RBI, 2SB, 26FPts
Orelvis Martinez (TOR): 1/4, 3R, 1HR, 3RBI, 0SB, 26FPts
Rowdey Jordan (HOU): 2/4, 2R, 1HR, 2RBI, 1SB, 26FPts
Cayden Wallace (WSH): 1/1, 1R, 0HR, 1RBI, 2SB, 25FPts
Mickey Gasper (MIN): 4/5, 1R, 1HR, 1RBI, 0SB, 25FPts
Dominic Canzone (SEA): 2/5, 2R, 1HR, 4RBI, 0SB, 25FPts
Trey Mancini (ARI): 3/5, 1R, 1HR, 3RBI, 0SB, 24FPts
Jacob Misiorowski (MIL): 99 Pitches, 6IP, 2H, 0ER, 11K, 1BB, 39FPts
Nathan Wiles (ATL): 95 Pitches, 6IP, 2H, 0ER, 9K, 2BB, 33FPts
Nolan McLean (NYM): 78 Pitches, 7IP, 7H, 0ER, 7K, 0BB, 29FPts
Kade Morris (OAK): 88 Pitches, 6IP, 4H, 0ER, 8K, 0BB, 28FPts
Colton Gordon (HOU): 90 Pitches, 6IP, 5H, 2ER, 9K, 0BB, 28FPts
Carson Palmquist (COL): 106 Pitches, 6IP, 1H, 1ER, 8K, 4BB, 28FPts
Alan Rangel (PHI): 97 Pitches, 5IP, 2H, 1ER, 9K, 3BB, 25FPts
Ty Blach (TEX): 73 Pitches, 6IP, 4H, 0ER, 6K, 1BB, 22FPts
Jhonathan Diaz (SEA): 87 Pitches, 7IP, 5H, 2ER, 5K, 1BB, 22FPts
Austin Bergner (DET): 55 Pitches, 4IP, 2H, 0ER, 5K, 1BB, 21FPts
Luis Campusano (AAA - SD) 117 PA 1.088 OPS
Carson McCusker (AAA - MIN) 122 PA 1.088 OPS
Tim Elko (AAA - CWS) 130 PA 1.084 OPS
Otto Kemp (AAA - PHI) 168 PA 1.084 OPS
Nick Solak (AAA - PIT) 105 PA 1.057 OPS
Corey Julks (AAA - CWS) 105 PA 1.052 OPS
C.J. Kayfus (AAA - CLE) 114 PA 1.043 OPS
Willie MacIver (AAA - OAK) 108 PA 1.031 OPS
Peyton Wilson (AAA - KC) 125 PA 1.02 OPS
Jordan Lawlar (AAA - ARI) 164 PA 1.012 OPS
Jac Caglianone (AA - KC) 140 PA 1.0 OPS
Joe Mack (AAA - MIA) 113 PA 0.993 OPS
Kristian Robinson (AA - ARI) 128 PA 0.992 OPS
Trei Cruz (AA - DET) 124 PA 0.97 OPS
Ryan Fitzgerald (AAA - MIN) 130 PA 0.963 OPS
Kyler Fedko (AA - MIN) 104 PA 0.958 OPS
Carter Kieboom (AAA - LAA) 108 PA 0.955 OPS
Moises Ballesteros (AAA - CHC) 141 PA 0.946 OPS
Dalton Rushing (AAA - LAD) 122 PA 0.944 OPS
Ryan Ward (AAA - LAD) 157 PA 0.938 OPS
Bubba Chandler (AAA - PIT) 28 IP 28.0% K-BB
Duncan Davitt (AA - TB) 32 IP 27.8% K-BB
Jackson Wolf (AAA - SD) 31 IP 27.6% K-BB
Nathan Wiles (AAA - ATL) 31 IP 27.3% K-BB
Ian Seymour (AAA - TB) 36 IP 26.2% K-BB
Hunter Barco (AAA - PIT) 30 IP 25.7% K-BB
George Klassen (AA - LAA) 25 IP 25.2% K-BB
Logan Henderson (AAA - MIL) 30 IP 25.2% K-BB
Shane Drohan (AAA - BOS) 26 IP 25.0% K-BB
Jack Wenninger (AA - NYM) 30 IP 23.6% K-BB
Mitch Bratt (AA - TEX) 25 IP 23.2% K-BB
Henry Baez (AA - SD) 26 IP 22.3% K-BB
Jose Fleury (AA - HOU) 31 IP 22.3% K-BB
Jacob Misiorowski (AAA - MIL) 42 IP 22.1% K-BB
Parker Messick (AAA - CLE) 27 IP 22.1% K-BB
Henry Williams (AA - KC) 36 IP 22.0% K-BB
Janson Junk (AAA - MIA) 36 IP 22.0% K-BB
Kade Morris (AA - OAK) 34 IP 21.8% K-BB
Zebby Matthews (AAA - MIN) 27 IP 21.8% K-BB
Aaron Rozek (AA - MIN) 28 IP 21.6% K-BB
Shane Smith (16.0% Owned): Projected 6.19IP 2.46ER 6.2SO 1.87BB 18.16FPts
Lance McCullers Jr. (16.5% Owned): Projected 5.26IP 2.02ER 5.32SO 2.04BB 15.95FPts
Edward Cabrera (2.5% Owned): Projected 5.94IP 2.5ER 5.42SO 2.39BB 15.88FPts
Colt Keith - 30 PA, 1.313 OPS
Jake Meyers - 32 PA, 1.278 OPS
Ryan McMahon - 35 PA, 1.257 OPS
Daniel Schneemann - 31 PA, 1.189 OPS
Tyrone Taylor - 30 PA, 1.087 OPS
Trey Sweeney - 36 PA, 1.073 OPS
Ryan O'Hearn - 33 PA, 0.996 OPS
Daulton Varsho - 27 PA, 0.992 OPS
Carlos Santana - 35 PA, 0.917 OPS
Julio Rodriguez - 37 PA, 0.908 OPS
Zach Neto SS (46.0% Owned): Projected 0.79R 0.18HR 0.54RBI 1.14SO 0.25BB 0.19SB 9.26FPts
J.P. Crawford SS (17.5% Owned): Projected 0.77R 0.15HR 0.54RBI 0.97SO 0.61BB 0.06SB 8.78FPts
Pavin Smith RF (16.5% Owned): Projected 0.65R 0.17HR 0.7RBI 1.0SO 0.75BB 0.04SB 8.61FPts
Brandon Lowe 2B (23.0% Owned): Projected 0.65R 0.21HR 0.58RBI 1.21SO 0.44BB 0.05SB 8.48FPts
Chandler Simpson SS (27.0% Owned): Projected 0.54R 0.02HR 0.39RBI 0.79SO 0.24BB 0.45SB 8.29FPts
Xavier Edwards SS (47.5% Owned): Projected 0.59R 0.04HR 0.4RBI 0.76SO 0.44BB 0.25SB 8.22FPts
Jonathan Aranda 2B (32.0% Owned): Projected 0.54R 0.18HR 0.68RBI 1.06SO 0.54BB 0.01SB 8.06FPts
Nathaniel Lowe 1B (44.0% Owned): Projected 0.6R 0.09HR 0.58RBI 0.69SO 0.58BB 0.04SB 7.97FPts
Jesus Sanchez CF (2.0% Owned): Projected 0.56R 0.16HR 0.5RBI 1.11SO 0.38BB 0.1SB 7.92FPts
Ivan Herrera C (37.0% Owned): Projected 0.55R 0.15HR 0.58RBI 0.69SO 0.32BB 0.07SB 7.9FPts
