I am very backed up with my real job, so I have to be brief here today. There were five SP outing this weekend that really stood out.
8 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 11 K, 1 BB
That was of the highest-scoring start of the season. He put up 42 DraftKings points in that one. And Blanco has been popping a bit in my automated ranks and other things.
He’s now #14 on the automated SP rankings.
There are plenty of imperfections with that ranking system. All it does is look at the numbers provided there and weights them in a somewhat arbitrary way. But it’s a lot better than a random number generator, and all of those stats have some predictive power. So it’s a good thing to be near the top of the list.
What we have known about Blanco since last year is that his secondaries are really good, but he has a crappy fastball. He’s a Reese Olson type pitcher. I say this a lot - but it needs repeating. These kinds of pitchers will give you elite starts from time to time. When they go out there and locate the fastball well (or maybe the hitters just don’t punish the fastballs they should), they set up their secondary stuff well and that turns into a lot of strikeouts. And that’s what happened yesterday against Cincinnati.
He threw 40 sliders, 29 fastballs, 19 curves, and 132 changeups. The four-seamer was bad (3.4% SwStr%, 41% Strike%, 52% Ball%), but nobody did anything with it. He didn’t allow a hit on it.
And that let the whiffs and strikes pile up on the slider (22.5% SwStr%, 23% Ball%). And the curveball (15.8% SwStr%) and changeup (23.1% SwStr%) were also effective in generating swings and misses.
The season numbers:
The 15% K-BB% is mediocre. But he has not been hit hard whatsoever with a .195 xBA and a .276 xwOBA.
Eventually this bad fastball is going to catch up to him. He’s allowed a .357 xwOBA and a .500 SLG on the pitch.
He took a lesson from Max Meyer and hid the fastball against the Reds, and it worked wonders for him just like it did for Max.
So that got me thinking - is this just the book on the Reds? I mean a pitcher like Meyer or Blanco should be perfectly happy to lean into their secondaries. They won’t need to be told twice to throw fewer fastballs in a certain matchup. I pulled some fastball vs. non fastball data to look into this.
The Reds are the fourth-worst offense in the league (measured by xwOBA) against non-fastballs. Consequetially, perhaps, they see the fifth-lowest rate of fastballs against them.
This can turn into the “chicken or the egg” question pretty quick. Does a team not see fastballs because they’re good at hitting fastballs? Or are they not good at hitting fastballs because they don’t see many fastballs? Or is something else?
The Dodgers see the fewest fastballs in the league.
The Blue Jays and White Sox see the most.
And it’s pretty clear that the Dodgers would be up there among the “most feared” lineups, while the Blue Jays and White Sox would be near the bottom. I doubt it’s quite that sample, but we do see a relationship between being good at hitting fastballs and not seeing a lot of fastballs.
Eight teams are aboev a .375 xwOBA against fastballs. They’re all below 55% fastball usage against.
But they’re all at least decent at hitting non-fastballs too. I mean what do you do when you’re against the Dodgers who are second in the league against fastball and fourth against non?
I guess the more interesting takeaway here would be to answer the question about which teams present the biggest opportunity to guys like Blanco? Which teams are much worse against non-fastballs as compared to fastballs? The answer would seem to be:
So the Yankees murder fastballs but become a middle-of-the-pack offense against non. They are seperated from the rest of the group by more than two points - a huge gap. Notably, the Reds aren’t even in the top six. They’re down at #9.
But again, this is all too simplistic. It is not as simple as just telling Emerson Hancock to go out there and not throw any heaters to the Yankees tonight. Non fastballs are hard to locate. And they are (I think) more tiring on your arm. You can’t just go out there and throw 20 straight sliders and curveballs. It doesn’t work like that.
So what do we do with any of this? I’m not sure, but I guess you could take this data and choose when to and when not to deploy fantasy pitchers like Blanco who dominate with their secondaries but have terrible fastballs. We clearly saw a shift away from the heater yesterday against the Reds, and I wouldn’t be surprised if that Max Meyer start against Cincy wasn’t discussed with Blanco prior to the game yesterday.
Somehow, my main dashboard calls him “Matthew” while the MLB & MiLB Stats Dashboard has him as “Matt”.
Boyd has a 2.78 ERA on the season now, and he’s not allowed more than three earned runs in any of his outings. He has a 15:0 K:BB in his last two outings and has the K-BB% up to 16.7%.
Cubs fans are probably pretty happy with the guy. He has kept them in every game he’s started. But we don’t freaking care about that. We want to know if he should be started in 12-team fantasy leagues.
The arsenal:
So the SwStr% is above 13% and the Ball% is at 34%. That works very nicely for us. The other thing he’s been able to do is manage the long ball. Now, the 36% GB% is low, but even with that he’s limited it to just a .99 HR/9. The .401 SLG is pretty good, and he hasn’t been overly lucky in home run prevention with a 14% HR/FB (league average is around 15-16%). He’s actually pretty similar to his teammate Shota Imanaga in that he’s a lefty with decent K-BB% stuff but a fly ball problem. Last year, Imanaga took advantage of the colder weather and managed home runs early in the year:
First 9 starts: 0.50 HR/9
And he did that until he didn’t:
Last 20 starts: 1.8 HR/9
Warmer temperatures don’t benefit fly ball pitchers. But it’s not like a world-changing difference. At the end of the day, I don’t believe in Boyd as a sub-1 HR/9 guy. I think he’ll give up more of those, and you’ll see the consequences of that in the ERA. The SIERA currently sits at 3.74. That’s not a great number, but it’s very much competitive.
Boyd is just better than he’s given credit for, and I think he always has been. So yeah, he’s a top 70 or so SP in my book. There are questions about workload given that he threw just 59 innings total last year. But we don’t have to worry about that kind of stuff when we’re just playing the fantasy game week-to-week.
He went out there on Sunday Night Baseball and struck out nine Phillies while giving up just one run (a solo shot to Schwarber). His K% is now up to 26.1%, a pretty nice number. But the command continues to hold him back. The walk rate is up to 11.2%. The good news, I think, is that his 36.8% Ball% would predict more of a 9%ish BB%. So maybe that BB% will come down into the single-digits the rest of the way out.
His four-seamer does have velo (96.1 on average), but it’s not a good fastball. Hitters have a .370 xwOBA against it, and it also has a very, very high ball rate for a fastball at 41%. That caps Ortiz’s ceiling substantially. But all of this stuff was true last year and he was also not getting many strikeouts. So there’s been a big improvement on that front, and that’s probably the most important thing for a pitcher.
I’d say Ortiz is a mighty fine streamer, and a 14+ team league starter. He’s better than the 11% ownership.
Smith has single handedly made the White Sox rotation not the worst in the league, I think. Okay well I guess the Rockies and Orioles would be worse no matter what, but Smith has been a bright star in a very dark sky.
Six scoreless innings on Saturday against the Marlins with a 7:0 K:BB.
HOWEVER, his 21.5% K% and 8.5% BB% on the year aren’t good. That’s a K-BB% well below what we’re looking for.
But he’s young, right? And the trend is going in the right direction.
The 13.6% SwStr% is great, and the 37% Ball% isn’t a huge problem. It’s also a big boost that he gets ground balls (47%) and limits hard contact (.298 xwOBA, .269 SLG). There is no guarantee that the soft contact numbers continue, you can never put your trust in that - but it’s a littel bit more believable for a guy with a changeup this unique and good.
That changeup has been superb with the 17.4% SwStr%, 60% GB%, and .200 SLG. If the fastball can continue to play around a 54% Strike%, I think Smith is going to have more good starts than bad. That’s a really nice combo of pitches.
I did not intend to write all of this, and now I’m even more behind on the stuff I should be doing - but it’s okay. AJSS has a great two-start week for those of us who streamed him in, and now he’s got us thinking about holding on for this week!
He now sports a 2.75 ERA in the Majors across six starts. He took advantage of two soft matchups last week.
So the results have been good, but the underlying stuff isn’t very convincing.
Strike%: 44.4% (awful)
SwStr%: 12.9% (good / not great)
Ball%: 38.0% (bad)
xwOBA: .362 (bad)
The SIERA is 4.06. The HR/FB is very low at 10%, and the stand rate is very high at 85%. He’s been quite lucky. He gets another advantageous matchup against the Nationals this week. And actually, it looks like his next two starts will be against him.
I think my take is anti-AJSS. The underlying stuff still looks pretty bad.
That will do it.
1. Ronel Blanco
2. Matthew Boyd
3. Chris Sale
4. Griffin Canning
5. Nick Pivetta
6. Zack Wheeler
7. Nathan Eovaldi
8. Chad Patrick
9. Lucas Giolito
10. Luis L. Ortiz
11. Zac Gallen
12. Miles Mikolas
13. Drew Rasmussen
14. Zach Eflin
15. MacKenzie Gore
16. Tyler Anderson
17. Chase Petty
18. Sean Burke
19. Pablo Lopez
20. Bryce Miller
21. Tony Gonsolin
22. Reese Olson
23. Landen Roupp
24. Carmen Mlodzinski
25. German Marquez
26. Seth Lugo
27. Ryan Yarbrough
28. Sandy Alcantara
29. Luis Severino
1. Ronel Blanco (vs. CIN): 42.2 Points
2. Zack Wheeler (vs. CLE): 32.75 Points
3. Nathan Eovaldi (vs. DET): 31.95 Points
4. Lucas Giolito (vs. KC): 27.21 Points
5. Luis Ortiz - 682847 (vs. PHI): 25.9 Points
6. Eric Lauer (vs. SEA): 23.31 Points
7. Matt Boyd (vs. NYM): 21.9 Points
8. Miles Mikolas (vs. WSH): 20.99 Points
9. Tony Gonsolin (vs. ARI): 20.25 Points
10. Griffin Canning (vs. CHC): 19.7 Points
1. Chris Sale (ATL): 18 Whiffs (99 Pitches)
2. Matthew Boyd (CHC): 16 Whiffs (92 Pitches)
3. Ronel Blanco (HOU): 16 Whiffs (101 Pitches)
4. Zac Gallen (ARI): 15 Whiffs (97 Pitches)
5. Nick Pivetta (SD): 14 Whiffs (81 Pitches)
6. Chase Petty (CIN): 14 Whiffs (90 Pitches)
7. Luis L. Ortiz (CLE): 14 Whiffs (95 Pitches)
8. Griffin Canning (NYM): 13 Whiffs (92 Pitches)
9. MacKenzie Gore (WSH): 13 Whiffs (101 Pitches)
10. Zack Wheeler (PHI): 13 Whiffs (93 Pitches)
1. Matthew Boyd (CHC): 56.5 Strike%, 28.3 Ball%
2. Luis L. Ortiz (CLE): 50.5 Strike%, 36.8 Ball%
3. Ronel Blanco (HOU): 49.5 Strike%, 35.6 Ball%
4. Miles Mikolas (STL): 49.3 Strike%, 30.4 Ball%
5. Shaun Anderson (LAA): 49.0 Strike%, 33.3 Ball%
6. Zach Eflin (BAL): 48.2 Strike%, 34.9 Ball%
7. Chad Patrick (MIL): 48.1 Strike%, 33.3 Ball%
8. Nick Pivetta (SD): 48.1 Strike%, 34.6 Ball%
9. Lucas Giolito (BOS): 47.7 Strike%, 33.0 Ball%
10. Zack Wheeler (PHI): 47.3 Strike%, 36.6 Ball%
11. Reese Olson (DET): 47.0 Strike%, 36.1 Ball%
12. Griffin Canning (NYM): 46.7 Strike%, 37.0 Ball%
13. Chris Sale (ATL): 46.5 Strike%, 37.4 Ball%
14. Seth Lugo (KC): 45.8 Strike%, 36.5 Ball%
15. Drew Rasmussen (TB): 45.8 Strike%, 31.9 Ball%
1. German Marquez: 78 Pitches, 21 Outs, 3.71 POUT
2. Lucas Giolito: 88 Pitches, 21 Outs, 4.19 POUT
3. Ronel Blanco: 101 Pitches, 24 Outs, 4.21 POUT
4. Miles Mikolas: 69 Pitches, 16 Outs, 4.31 POUT
5. Zack Wheeler: 93 Pitches, 21 Outs, 4.43 POUT
6. Ryan Yarbrough: 67 Pitches, 15 Outs, 4.47 POUT
7. Nathan Eovaldi: 95 Pitches, 21 Outs, 4.52 POUT
8. Drew Rasmussen: 72 Pitches, 15 Outs, 4.8 POUT
9. Eric Lauer: 63 Pitches, 13 Outs, 4.85 POUT
10. Carmen Mlodzinski: 83 Pitches, 17 Outs, 4.88 POUT
Drew Rasmussen's FC velo (22 pitches) UP 1.7mph to 91.5
Bryce Miller's CU usage (16.3%) up 10.3 points
Chad Patrick's FF usage (35.8%) up 13.8 points
Chris Sale's FF usage (50.5%) up 11.9 points
Lucas Giolito's SL usage (21.6%) up 11.7 points
Luis L. Ortiz's SL usage (41.1%) up 14.5 points
Luis Severino's SI usage (39.2%) up 14.1 points
Miles Mikolas's CU usage (24.6%) up 11.8 points
Reese Olson's SI usage (36.1%) up 12.6 points
Ryan Yarbrough's FC usage (29.9%) up 14.9 points
Sandy Alcantara's FF usage (41.1%) up 15.7 points
Zac Gallen's FC usage (14.4%) up 10.3 points
Zack Wheeler's FS usage (19.4%) up 11.1 points
Dustin May Sinker: +19.6%
Jose Soriano Sinker: -18.3%
Jordan Hicks Sinker: -18.2%
Jordan Hicks Sweeper: +18.2%
Tanner Houck Sinker: +17.3%
Osvaldo Bido Changeup: +16.3%
Patrick Corbin Sinker: +16.0%
Tanner Bibee 4-Seam Fastball: -15.7%
Osvaldo Bido 4-Seam Fastball: -15.6%
Grant Holmes Curveball: -15.4%
Brad Lord 4-Seam Fastball: -14.9%
Brad Lord Changeup: +14.8%
AJ Smith-Shawver 4-Seam Fastball: +14.2%
Clay Holmes Sinker: +13.7%
Pablo Lopez Sweeper: -13.1%
Andre Pallante 4-Seam Fastball: -12.9%
JP Sears Sweeper: +12.8%
Will Warren 4-Seam Fastball: +12.6%
Tanner Houck Split-Finger: -12.6%
Grant Holmes Slider: +12.5%
Osvaldo Bido Sinker: +12.5%
Erick Fedde Cutter: -12.5%
Dustin May 4-Seam Fastball: -12.3%
Trevor Williams 4-Seam Fastball: +12.2%
Tarik Skubal - 68 TBF, 39.6% CSW%
Tylor Megill - 90 TBF, 35.7% CSW%
Chris Sale - 102 TBF, 35.4% CSW%
Jacob deGrom - 82 TBF, 35.2% CSW%
Reese Olson - 93 TBF, 34.7% CSW%
Joe Ryan - 69 TBF, 34.0% CSW%
Logan Webb - 106 TBF, 33.9% CSW%
Jack Flaherty - 86 TBF, 33.5% CSW%
Carlos Rodon - 99 TBF, 32.9% CSW%
Hunter Brown - 94 TBF, 32.4% CSW%
Tarik Skubal - 68 TBF, 45.6% K%
Hunter Brown - 94 TBF, 38.3% K%
Joe Ryan - 69 TBF, 37.7% K%
Tylor Megill - 90 TBF, 35.6% K%
Pablo Lopez - 88 TBF, 33.0% K%
Zack Wheeler - 101 TBF, 32.7% K%
Nathan Eovaldi - 71 TBF, 32.4% K%
Gavin Williams - 84 TBF, 32.1% K%
MacKenzie Gore - 94 TBF, 31.9% K%
Jacob deGrom - 82 TBF, 31.7% K%
Tarik Skubal - 68 TBF, 45.6% K-BB%
Joe Ryan - 69 TBF, 34.8% K-BB%
Nathan Eovaldi - 71 TBF, 29.6% K-BB%
Hunter Brown - 94 TBF, 28.7% K-BB%
Bryan Woo - 70 TBF, 28.6% K-BB%
Jacob deGrom - 82 TBF, 28.0% K-BB%
Zack Wheeler - 101 TBF, 27.7% K-BB%
Pablo Lopez - 88 TBF, 27.3% K-BB%
Carlos Rodon - 99 TBF, 26.3% K-BB%
Chris Sale - 102 TBF, 25.5% K-BB%
Jordan Hicks - 91 TBF, 65.6% GB%
Andre Pallante - 96 TBF, 63.5% GB%
Jose Soriano - 92 TBF, 63.1% GB%
Quinn Priester - 91 TBF, 60.0% GB%
David Peterson - 73 TBF, 59.6% GB%
Framber Valdez - 77 TBF, 58.5% GB%
Brayan Bello - 94 TBF, 56.7% GB%
Grant Holmes - 70 TBF, 56.5% GB%
Reese Olson - 93 TBF, 55.4% GB%
Griffin Canning - 86 TBF, 54.2% GB%
Ben Brown - 64 TBF, 28.1 K%, 4.7 BB%, 47.6% GB%
Hunter Greene - 58 TBF, 44.8 K%, 3.4 BB%, 46.7% GB%
Jacob deGrom - 82 TBF, 31.7 K%, 3.7 BB%, 49.1% GB%
Nathan Eovaldi - 71 TBF, 32.4 K%, 2.8 BB%, 47.8% GB%
Sean Newcomb - 47 TBF, 29.8 K%, 6.4 BB%, 53.3% GB%
Tarik Skubal - 68 TBF, 45.6 K%, 0.0 BB%, 45.7% GB%
Will Warren - 91 TBF, 27.5 K%, 7.7 BB%, 51.7% GB%
Zack Wheeler - 101 TBF, 32.7 K%, 5.0 BB%, 45.2% GB%
Unluckiest
Connor Gillispie: 14.25 ERA, 4.83 SIERA
Bradley Blalock: 14.54 ERA, 5.77 SIERA
Kyle Gibson: 13.11 ERA, 5.08 SIERA
German Marquez: 10.97 ERA, 5.3 SIERA
Eduardo Rodriguez: 9.0 ERA, 4.19 SIERA
Kumar Rocker: 8.25 ERA, 3.8 SIERA
Kyle Freeland: 8.85 ERA, 4.5 SIERA
Sandy Alcantara: 9.66 ERA, 5.97 SIERA
Jack Flaherty: 6.66 ERA, 3.29 SIERA
Tanner Houck: 7.2 ERA, 3.85 SIERA
Luckiest
Kodai Senga: 0.94 ERA, 4.84 SIERA
Brayan Bello: 2.01 ERA, 5.13 SIERA
Max Fried: 1.05 ERA, 3.9 SIERA
Shota Imanaga: 1.69 ERA, 4.45 SIERA
Miles Mikolas: 2.59 ERA, 5.33 SIERA
Tyler Mahle: 1.55 ERA, 4.24 SIERA
Griffin Canning: 1.33 ERA, 3.66 SIERA
Corbin Burnes: 2.08 ERA, 4.35 SIERA
Tyler Anderson: 2.04 ERA, 4.26 SIERA
Ben Lively: 2.96 ERA, 5.0 SIERA
Carlos Rodon - +3.8% CSW%, -4.5 BB%
Ronel Blanco - +2.6% CSW%, -3.3 BB%
Michael Lorenzen - +2.8% CSW%, -1.7 BB%
Jack Flaherty - +2.5% CSW%, -2.1 BB%
Casey Mize - +3.5% CSW%, -3.3 BB%
Joe Ryan - +4.1% CSW%, -1.6 BB%
Tarik Skubal - +5.9% CSW%, -4.4 BB%
Tony Gonsolin - +8.9% CSW%, -2.4 BB%
Hunter Greene - +3.9% CSW%, -5.3 BB%
Tyler Phillips - +7.0% CSW%, -3.8 BB%
Cal Quantrill - +5.6% CSW%, -5.1 BB%
Ben Rice (NYY) 6 PA, 5 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
George Springer (TOR) 5 PA, 7 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Hunter Goodman (COL) 5 PA, 8 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) 4 PA, 7 Swings, 2 Barrels, 2 HR
Ryan McMahon (COL) 5 PA, 6 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Trevor Larnach (MIN) 5 PA, 6 Swings, 2 Barrels, 0 HR
Angel Martinez, Yesterday: 107.4 Previous High: 107.0
Hunter Goodman, Yesterday: 116.2 Previous High: 114.7
James Wood, Yesterday: 117.9 Previous High: 116.3
Nathan Lukes, Yesterday: 104.8 Previous High: 104.3
Xavier Edwards, Yesterday: 109.0 Previous High: 108.3
James Wood (WSH) - 117.9mph - field_out
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) - 117.0mph - single
Hunter Goodman (COL) - 116.2mph - double
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) - 112.5mph - home_run
George Springer (TOR) - 111.7mph - home_run
Sean Murphy (ATL) - 111.4mph - double
Matt Olson (ATL) - 111.2mph - double
Ben Rice (NYY) - 111.2mph - home_run
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) - 111.0mph - single
James Wood (WSH) - 110.6mph - grounded_into_double_play
Top 10
Juan Soto - 87 PA, 0.377 wOBA, 0.524 xwOBA, 0.147 Diff
Bryan Reynolds - 79 PA, 0.225 wOBA, 0.336 xwOBA, 0.111 Diff
Ceddanne Rafaela - 63 PA, 0.334 wOBA, 0.433 xwOBA, 0.099 Diff
Michael Conforto - 59 PA, 0.176 wOBA, 0.272 xwOBA, 0.096 Diff
Brenton Doyle - 75 PA, 0.197 wOBA, 0.292 xwOBA, 0.095 Diff
Joey Ortiz - 61 PA, 0.195 wOBA, 0.286 xwOBA, 0.091 Diff
Matt Chapman - 72 PA, 0.341 wOBA, 0.428 xwOBA, 0.087 Diff
Nolan Schanuel - 60 PA, 0.28 wOBA, 0.356 xwOBA, 0.076 Diff
Adley Rutschman - 64 PA, 0.262 wOBA, 0.336 xwOBA, 0.074 Diff
Ryan Mountcastle - 68 PA, 0.258 wOBA, 0.331 xwOBA, 0.073 Diff
Bottom 10
Freddie Freeman - 79 PA, 0.529 wOBA, 0.419 xwOBA, -0.11 Diff
Hunter Goodman - 80 PA, 0.394 wOBA, 0.289 xwOBA, -0.105 Diff
Javier Baez - 57 PA, 0.413 wOBA, 0.319 xwOBA, -0.094 Diff
Geraldo Perdomo - 80 PA, 0.389 wOBA, 0.302 xwOBA, -0.087 Diff
Andy Pages - 79 PA, 0.447 wOBA, 0.368 xwOBA, -0.079 Diff
Paul Goldschmidt - 73 PA, 0.407 wOBA, 0.33 xwOBA, -0.077 Diff
Dansby Swanson - 68 PA, 0.442 wOBA, 0.367 xwOBA, -0.075 Diff
Aaron Judge - 75 PA, 0.554 wOBA, 0.488 xwOBA, -0.066 Diff
Harrison Bader - 58 PA, 0.427 wOBA, 0.361 xwOBA, -0.066 Diff
Angel Martinez - 63 PA, 0.303 wOBA, 0.238 xwOBA, -0.065 Diff
Shohei Ohtani: 46.0 PA, +0.28 xwOBA OE
Juan Soto: 43.0 PA, +0.263 xwOBA OE
Ryan McMahon: 35.0 PA, +0.25 xwOBA OE
Daniel Schneemann: 28.0 PA, +0.19 xwOBA OE
Dane Myers: 29.0 PA, +0.171 xwOBA OE
Riley Greene: 34.0 PA, +0.168 xwOBA OE
Willson Contreras: 37.0 PA, +0.162 xwOBA OE
Jake Meyers: 37.0 PA, +0.152 xwOBA OE
Kyle Schwarber: 40.0 PA, +0.145 xwOBA OE
Heliot Ramos: 32.0 PA, +0.144 xwOBA OE
Aaron Judge: 35.0 PA, +0.134 xwOBA OE
Maikel Garcia: 43.0 PA, +0.118 xwOBA OE
George Springer: 41.0 PA, +0.116 xwOBA OE
Yainer Diaz: 40.0 PA, +0.113 xwOBA OE
Zach Dezenzo: 28.0 PA, +0.113 xwOBA OE
Cedric Mullins II: 34.0 PA, -0.185 xwOBA OE
LaMonte Wade Jr.: 30.0 PA, -0.175 xwOBA OE
Angel Martinez: 32.0 PA, -0.144 xwOBA OE
Ke'Bryan Hayes: 37.0 PA, -0.142 xwOBA OE
Eric Wagaman: 35.0 PA, -0.128 xwOBA OE
Trevor Story: 34.0 PA, -0.127 xwOBA OE
Spencer Steer: 42.0 PA, -0.125 xwOBA OE
Isaac Collins: 28.0 PA, -0.124 xwOBA OE
Brandon Lowe: 31.0 PA, -0.122 xwOBA OE
Seiya Suzuki: 40.0 PA, -0.118 xwOBA OE
Nick Allen: 32.0 PA, -0.115 xwOBA OE
Alek Thomas: 32.0 PA, -0.109 xwOBA OE
Junior Caminero: 31.0 PA, -0.108 xwOBA OE
Brooks Baldwin: 31.0 PA, -0.106 xwOBA OE
Zach McKinstry: 30.0 PA, -0.106 xwOBA OE
Shohei Ohtani - 85 PA, 50 BIP, 15 Brls, 30.0 Brl%
Oneil Cruz - 78 PA, 39 BIP, 10 Brls, 25.6 Brl%
Riley Greene - 76 PA, 51 BIP, 13 Brls, 25.5 Brl%
Jordan Beck - 77 PA, 53 BIP, 13 Brls, 24.5 Brl%
Kyle Stowers - 63 PA, 41 BIP, 10 Brls, 24.4 Brl%
Juan Soto - 87 PA, 59 BIP, 14 Brls, 23.7 Brl%
Daniel Schneemann - 53 PA, 35 BIP, 8 Brls, 22.9 Brl%
Pete Crow-Armstrong - 69 PA, 53 BIP, 12 Brls, 22.6 Brl%
Aaron Judge - 75 PA, 51 BIP, 11 Brls, 21.6 Brl%
Ryan McMahon - 73 PA, 42 BIP, 9 Brls, 21.4 Brl%
Juan Soto - 87 PA, 0.524 xwOBA
Shohei Ohtani - 85 PA, 0.515 xwOBA
Aaron Judge - 75 PA, 0.488 xwOBA
Jorge Polanco - 55 PA, 0.468 xwOBA
Jordan Beck - 77 PA, 0.461 xwOBA
Willson Contreras - 80 PA, 0.461 xwOBA
Daniel Schneemann - 53 PA, 0.46 xwOBA
Kyle Stowers - 63 PA, 0.456 xwOBA
Teoscar Hernandez - 52 PA, 0.456 xwOBA
Rafael Devers - 86 PA, 0.45 xwOBA
Luis Arraez - 48 PA, 98 Swings, 96.9 Cont%
Steven Kwan - 82 PA, 144 Swings, 92.4 Cont%
Xavier Edwards - 79 PA, 123 Swings, 91.1 Cont%
Isaac Paredes - 74 PA, 111 Swings, 91.0 Cont%
Jacob Wilson - 81 PA, 126 Swings, 90.5 Cont%
Geraldo Perdomo - 80 PA, 142 Swings, 89.4 Cont%
Adley Rutschman - 64 PA, 102 Swings, 89.2 Cont%
Alex Verdugo - 76 PA, 109 Swings, 89.0 Cont%
Brendan Donovan - 75 PA, 115 Swings, 88.7 Cont%
Lars Nootbaar - 89 PA, 126 Swings, 88.1 Cont%
Xavier Edwards - 7 Attempts (5 steals)
Oneil Cruz - 5 Attempts (4 steals)
Dane Myers - 5 Attempts (4 steals)
C.J. Abrams - 5 Attempts (3 steals)
Matt McLain - 5 Attempts (5 steals)
Bobby Witt Jr. - 5 Attempts (5 steals)
Chandler Simpson - 4 Attempts (4 steals)
Wyatt Langford - 4 Attempts (3 steals)
Trea Turner - 4 Attempts (3 steals)
Zach Neto - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Christian Yelich - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Maikel Garcia - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Romy Gonzalez - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Anthony Volpe - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Shohei Ohtani - 3 Attempts (1 steals)
Pete Crow-Armstrong - 3 Attempts (1 steals)
Jacob Young - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Jose Ramirez - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Connor Norby - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Francisco Lindor - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Luisangel Acuna - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Jose Caballero - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Jesus Sanchez - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Harrison Bader - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Brandon Lockridge - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Jackson Chourio - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Adolis Garcia - 3 Attempts (1 steals)
Elly De La Cruz - 14 Attempts (11 steals)
Bobby Witt Jr. - 13 Attempts (10 steals)
Maikel Garcia - 13 Attempts (9 steals)
Luis Robert - 13 Attempts (10 steals)
Xavier Edwards - 12 Attempts (8 steals)
Pete Crow-Armstrong - 10 Attempts (7 steals)
Brice Turang - 10 Attempts (7 steals)
Oneil Cruz - 10 Attempts (9 steals)
Jose Ramirez - 10 Attempts (8 steals)
Jose Caballero - 10 Attempts (7 steals)
Shohei Ohtani - 9 Attempts (7 steals)
Trea Turner - 9 Attempts (5 steals)
Matt McLain - 9 Attempts (9 steals)
Agustin Ramirez - 67 PA, 19.4 K%, 14.0 Brl%
Andrew McCutchen - 72 PA, 13.9 K%, 17.0 Brl%
Ceddanne Rafaela - 63 PA, 15.9 K%, 20.0 Brl%
Colt Keith - 48 PA, 16.7 K%, 14.7 Brl%
Joc Pederson - 49 PA, 14.3 K%, 14.3 Brl%
Jorge Polanco - 55 PA, 7.3 K%, 18.2 Brl%
Juan Soto - 87 PA, 17.2 K%, 23.7 Brl%
Kerry Carpenter - 64 PA, 14.1 K%, 15.4 Brl%
Lars Nootbaar - 89 PA, 14.6 K%, 15.6 Brl%
Max Kepler - 69 PA, 17.4 K%, 16.3 Brl%
Rafael Devers - 86 PA, 19.8 K%, 16.4 Brl%
Ryan O'Hearn - 53 PA, 18.9 K%, 17.1 Brl%
Will Smith - 59 PA, 18.6 K%, 17.9 Brl%
Wilyer Abreu - 74 PA, 16.2 K%, 18.5 Brl%
Jordan Beck - 86 PA, +0.175 xwOBA
Ceddanne Rafaela - 94 PA, +0.121 xwOBA
Jorge Polanco - 81 PA, +0.119 xwOBA
Manny Machado - 97 PA, +0.117 xwOBA
Jackson Holliday - 81 PA, +0.112 xwOBA
Pete Crow-Armstrong - 107 PA, +0.11 xwOBA
Kyle Stowers - 100 PA, +0.104 xwOBA
Cal Raleigh - 111 PA, +0.093 xwOBA
Rhys Hoskins - 102 PA, +0.089 xwOBA
C.J. Abrams - 80 PA, +0.087 xwOBA
Jordan Beck - 86 PA, +17.3 Brl%
Pete Crow-Armstrong - 107 PA, +14.7 Brl%
Oneil Cruz - 110 PA, +12.0 Brl%
Ceddanne Rafaela - 94 PA, +11.4 Brl%
Kyle Stowers - 100 PA, +11.3 Brl%
Cal Raleigh - 111 PA, +10.5 Brl%
George Springer - 93 PA, +8.2 Brl%
Andrew Vaughn - 116 PA, +7.7 Brl%
Shohei Ohtani - 116 PA, +7.6 Brl%
Michael Busch - 102 PA, +7.4 Brl%
Luis Urias - 83 PA, +13.3 Cont%
Mike Yastrzemski - 105 PA, +11.3 Cont%
Shea Langeliers - 100 PA, +9.4 Cont%
Junior Caminero - 109 PA, +9.1 Cont%
Jackson Holliday - 81 PA, +9.1 Cont%
Wilyer Abreu - 107 PA, +8.8 Cont%
Willson Contreras - 116 PA, +8.7 Cont%
Trea Turner - 127 PA, +8.5 Cont%
Xavier Edwards - 125 PA, +7.9 Cont%
Ryan Jeffers - 85 PA, +7.4 Cont%
Jorge Polanco - 81 PA, -17.2 K%
Shea Langeliers - 100 PA, -12.6 K%
Luis Urias - 83 PA, -11.7 K%
Enmanuel Valdez - 83 PA, -11.1 K%
Mickey Moniak - 97 PA, -9.8 K%
Andrew McCutchen - 99 PA, -9.5 K%
Julio Rodriguez - 119 PA, -9.2 K%
Mike Yastrzemski - 105 PA, -9.1 K%
Hunter Goodman - 111 PA, -9.1 K%
Josh Smith - 94 PA, -9.0 K%
Joc Pederson: +2.95
Bo Bichette: +2.88
Nolan Arenado: +2.25
C.J. Abrams: +2.2
Keibert Ruiz: +2.05
Jorge Polanco: -2.6
Josh Bell: -2.03
Miguel Andujar: -1.97
George Springer: -1.88
Nick Castellanos: -1.85
Bo Bichette - +3.7% Contact%, +3.1 mph exit velo, -14.3 Chase%
Xavier Edwards - +6.6% Contact%, +4.1 mph exit velo, -6.8 Chase%
Heliot Ramos - +13.5% Contact%, +6.1 mph exit velo, -14.9 Chase%
Jackson Holliday - +5.7% Contact%, +3.5 mph exit velo, -5.2 Chase%
Rafael Devers - +5.9% Contact%, +4.0 mph exit velo, -7.8 Chase%
Willson Contreras - +9.7% Contact%, +6.6 mph exit velo, -7.2 Chase%
Mickey Moniak - +11.3% Contact%, +6.5 mph exit velo, -4.7 Chase%
Ceddanne Rafaela - +13.8% Contact%, +5.0 mph exit velo, -16.0 Chase%
Joey Bart - +5.2% Contact%, +9.2 mph exit velo, -6.3 Chase%
Josh Rojas - +12.1% Contact%, +7.0 mph exit velo, -12.2 Chase%
Joc Pederson - +3.8% Contact%, +5.1 mph exit velo, -8.2 Chase%
Addison Barger - +4.9% Contact%, +12.9 mph exit velo, -10.2 Chase%
Andrew McCutchen - 0.403 xwOBA, 15.8% Brl%, 79.0% Contact%, 24.7% Chase%, 12.0% K%
Brandon Nimmo - 0.438 xwOBA, 12.2% Brl%, 82.8% Contact%, 18.4% Chase%, 12.7% K%
Gleyber Torres - 0.459 xwOBA, 13.6% Brl%, 82.6% Contact%, 16.3% Chase%, 8.8% K%
Heliot Ramos - 0.514 xwOBA, 25.0% Brl%, 82.1% Contact%, 22.2% Chase%, 18.8% K%
Joey Bart - 0.405 xwOBA, 10.3% Brl%, 77.1% Contact%, 21.8% Chase%, 17.0% K%
Juan Soto - 0.598 xwOBA, 31.0% Brl%, 80.8% Contact%, 12.8% Chase%, 18.5% K%
Kyle Schwarber - 0.472 xwOBA, 17.5% Brl%, 77.6% Contact%, 20.2% Chase%, 16.1% K%
Kyle Tucker - 0.375 xwOBA, 11.1% Brl%, 83.7% Contact%, 11.7% Chase%, 8.6% K%
Wilyer Abreu - 0.459 xwOBA, 16.7% Brl%, 90.0% Contact%, 22.3% Chase%, 11.3% K%
Yandy Diaz - 0.383 xwOBA, 10.0% Brl%, 84.4% Contact%, 21.1% Chase%, 13.0% K%
Elly De La Cruz - 36.5% Whiff%, 82.9% Weak%, 0.979 Cold Rating
Jordan Walker - 32.7% Whiff%, 78.6% Weak%, 0.947 Cold Rating
Isaac Collins - 32.1% Whiff%, 77.8% Weak%, 0.926 Cold Rating
Christian Yelich - 33.3% Whiff%, 72.0% Weak%, 0.922 Cold Rating
Oswaldo Cabrera - 30.9% Whiff%, 81.8% Weak%, 0.91 Cold Rating
Pavin Smith - 38.8% Whiff%, 68.4% Weak%, 0.908 Cold Rating
Rowdy Tellez - 31.0% Whiff%, 75.0% Weak%, 0.891 Cold Rating
Eric Wagaman - 32.6% Whiff%, 69.4% Weak%, 0.881 Cold Rating
Jose Tena - 29.5% Whiff%, 77.8% Weak%, 0.869 Cold Rating
Brandon Lowe - 32.5% Whiff%, 68.0% Weak%, 0.866 Cold Rating
Brock Rodden (SEA): 2/4, 2R, 2HR, 4RBI, 0SB, 32FPts
Eddys Leonard (ATL): 2/3, 2R, 2HR, 3RBI, 0SB, 32FPts
Grant McCray (SF): 3/4, 3R, 0HR, 4RBI, 1SB, 30FPts
Cole Carrigg (COL): 2/3, 2R, 2HR, 2RBI, 0SB, 30FPts
Jared Oliva (MIL): 3/4, 2R, 0HR, 3RBI, 1SB, 28FPts
Oscar Gonzalez - 660757 (SD): 3/4, 2R, 1HR, 4RBI, 0SB, 28FPts
Collin Price (HOU): 2/4, 3R, 1HR, 2RBI, 0SB, 27FPts
Caeden Trenkle (OAK): 2/2, 1R, 0HR, 0RBI, 2SB, 27FPts
Euribiel Angeles (OAK): 1/3, 1R, 0HR, 1RBI, 3SB, 26FPts
Shay Whitcomb (HOU): 2/4, 2R, 1HR, 1RBI, 1SB, 26FPts
Luis Morales (OAK): 96 Pitches, 7IP, 2H, 1ER, 11K, 1BB, 37FPts
Mike Burrows (PIT): 86 Pitches, 4IP, 4H, 0ER, 11K, 2BB, 28FPts
Hyun-il Choi (WSH): 82 Pitches, 7IP, 3H, 0ER, 6K, 2BB, 28FPts
Will Sanders (CHC): 69 Pitches, 5IP, 2H, 0ER, 7K, 0BB, 28FPts
Connelly Early (BOS): 76 Pitches, 5IP, 3H, 1ER, 8K, 2BB, 26FPts
Bailey Dees (NYY): 93 Pitches, 5IP, 1H, 0ER, 8K, 2BB, 26FPts
Aaron Davenport (CLE): 86 Pitches, 6IP, 2H, 0ER, 7K, 1BB, 25FPts
Bruce Zimmermann (MIL): 51 Pitches, 4IP, 1H, 0ER, 6K, 0BB, 24FPts
Tate Kuehner (MIL): 64 Pitches, 5IP, 5H, 0ER, 6K, 1BB, 23FPts
Nabil Crismatt (PHI): 89 Pitches, 7IP, 3H, 0ER, 3K, 2BB, 22FPts
Luis Campusano (AAA - SD) 121 PA 1.076 OPS
Otto Kemp (AAA - PHI) 176 PA 1.061 OPS
Carson McCusker (AAA - MIN) 130 PA 1.058 OPS
Nick Solak (AAA - PIT) 112 PA 1.042 OPS
Willie MacIver (AAA - OAK) 118 PA 1.034 OPS
Corey Julks (AAA - CWS) 112 PA 1.031 OPS
Kristian Robinson (AA - ARI) 136 PA 1.02 OPS
C.J. Kayfus (AAA - CLE) 123 PA 1.012 OPS
Peyton Wilson (AAA - KC) 130 PA 1.011 OPS
Jordan Lawlar (AAA - ARI) 173 PA 0.989 OPS
Yohendrick Pinango (AA - TOR) 121 PA 0.982 OPS
Jac Caglianone (AA - KC) 148 PA 0.97 OPS
Joe Mack (AAA - MIA) 117 PA 0.955 OPS
Brock Wilken (AA - MIL) 145 PA 0.951 OPS
Cole Carrigg (AA - COL) 121 PA 0.951 OPS
Carter Kieboom (AAA - LAA) 118 PA 0.95 OPS
Trei Cruz (AA - DET) 134 PA 0.944 OPS
Moises Ballesteros (AAA - CHC) 150 PA 0.942 OPS
Kyler Fedko (AA - MIN) 112 PA 0.935 OPS
Ryan Ward (AAA - LAD) 165 PA 0.935 OPS
Jonah Tong (AA - NYM) 28 IP 32.4% K-BB
Bubba Chandler (AAA - PIT) 28 IP 28.0% K-BB
Duncan Davitt (AA - TB) 32 IP 27.8% K-BB
Jackson Wolf (AAA - SD) 31 IP 27.6% K-BB
Nathan Wiles (AAA - ATL) 31 IP 27.3% K-BB
Mitch Bratt (AA - TEX) 31 IP 26.8% K-BB
Ian Seymour (AAA - TB) 41 IP 26.6% K-BB
Tyler Uberstine (AA - BOS) 29 IP 25.9% K-BB
Hunter Barco (AAA - PIT) 30 IP 25.7% K-BB
Logan Henderson (AAA - MIL) 30 IP 25.2% K-BB
Blade Tidwell (AAA - NYM) 30 IP 24.1% K-BB
Parker Messick (AAA - CLE) 32 IP 23.9% K-BB
Jack Wenninger (AA - NYM) 30 IP 23.6% K-BB
Gabe Mosser (AA - PHI) 28 IP 23.5% K-BB
Trent Sellers (AA - NYY) 28 IP 22.9% K-BB
George Klassen (AA - LAA) 28 IP 22.5% K-BB
Jose Fleury (AA - HOU) 31 IP 22.3% K-BB
Wilber Dotel (AA - PIT) 31 IP 22.1% K-BB
Jacob Misiorowski (AAA - MIL) 42 IP 22.1% K-BB
Henry Williams (AA - KC) 36 IP 22.0% K-BB
Colin Rea (16.5% Owned): Projected 5.56IP 2.33ER 5.29SO 1.48BB 16.14FPts
Grant Holmes (21.5% Owned): Projected 6.13IP 2.71ER 5.57SO 2.74BB 16.06FPts
David Peterson (22.5% Owned): Projected 5.69IP 2.65ER 5.39SO 1.98BB 14.97FPts
Ryan McMahon - 35 PA, 1.436 OPS
Daniel Schneemann - 28 PA, 1.22 OPS
Gavin Sheets - 29 PA, 1.198 OPS
Jake Meyers - 37 PA, 1.186 OPS
Trey Sweeney - 32 PA, 1.083 OPS
Ryan O'Hearn - 32 PA, 1.03 OPS
JJ Bleday - 34 PA, 0.957 OPS
Addison Barger - 28 PA, 0.953 OPS
Alejandro Kirk - 28 PA, 0.946 OPS
Nathan Lukes - 27 PA, 0.944 OPS
Pavin Smith RF (14.5% Owned): Projected 0.79R 0.22HR 0.75RBI 0.91SO 0.72BB 0.04SB 9.68FPts
Mike Yastrzemski CF (19.5% Owned): Projected 0.77R 0.21HR 0.56RBI 1.06SO 0.41BB 0.05SB 9.11FPts
Joc Pederson OF (3.5% Owned): Projected 0.7R 0.23HR 0.81RBI 0.9SO 0.5BB 0.05SB 9.07FPts
Trent Grisham CF (32.0% Owned): Projected 0.77R 0.21HR 0.54RBI 1.21SO 0.57BB 0.07SB 8.71FPts
Zach Neto SS (46.5% Owned): Projected 0.7R 0.17HR 0.49RBI 1.11SO 0.28BB 0.19SB 8.67FPts
Xavier Edwards SS (47.0% Owned): Projected 0.65R 0.04HR 0.46RBI 0.77SO 0.42BB 0.26SB 8.58FPts
Josh Smith P (21.5% Owned): Projected 0.77R 0.12HR 0.59RBI 0.93SO 0.45BB 0.09SB 8.5FPts
Jesus Sanchez CF (2.0% Owned): Projected 0.62R 0.17HR 0.52RBI 1.13SO 0.36BB 0.1SB 8.38FPts
Michael Busch 2B (43.0% Owned): Projected 0.66R 0.15HR 0.72RBI 1.03SO 0.55BB 0.05SB 8.26FPts
Ivan Herrera C (38.0% Owned): Projected 0.57R 0.15HR 0.58RBI 0.93SO 0.41BB 0.08SB 8.14FPts
