Fun weekend for your boy. The weekends used to be a real grind with the young kids. It felt like I’d work 5x harder on weekends than during the week, but now the youngest is two and a half, so things are a breeze. My kids are so good. There is nothing like a loving family, man. My wife and I have such a great thing going, man. She’s such an amazing mother, my kids are so great. I’m very happy.
Every day is fun for me now. And now it’s Monday so I get to go back into baseball mode. So first, let’s talk about some more weekend standout players. And then I’m going to shift my attention to a big slate preview post for this nice Monday slate we have.
The man of the day on Sunday was Mick Abel. I know it was the Pirates, but he was impressive.
6 IP, 5 H, 0 R, 9 K, 0 BB, 32.5 fantasy points
His numbers in AAA don’t make you believe much in that kind of ceiling:
8 GS, 2.53 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 26.6% K%, 9.9% BB%, .78 HR/9
Those are good numbers, but you would not expect him to come to the Majors and be a 28%+ K% guy with that. Last year in AAA:
24 GS, 109 IP, 6.46 ERA, 1.81 WHIP, 22.7% K%, 15.1% BB%
Massive command issues. This was a guy who was near the top of a lot of prospects list for awhile, but he fell off the table after that poor 2024 season.
Let’s look at the pitch mix.
Massive fastball numbers there. Seven whiffs on his 33 heaters with elite marks on the curveball as well. The fastball averaged 97.3, which was up from 95.6 in AAA. I would doubt he comes out again with that kind of velocity. His highest average of the minors league season has been 96.8, but he’s been under 96 in five of seven.
My guess is that he just had some extra adrenaline going for the big league debut and he took advantage of a poor lineup - and all of the variance went his way.
There’s also the problem that the Phillies don’t exactly have a rotation spot for him. He took Nola’s spot, but that’s not for long, as Nola will be back. But you would have to imagine he stays in the rotation for at least one more start, and that will likely be over the weekend against the Athletics in Sacramento.
His mound opponent yesterday Paul Skenes led the day in whiffs, by the way. He posted a 21.6% SwStr% in eight brilliant innings.
8 IP, 3 H, 1 R, 9 K, 1 BB
And he earned his first career complete game, because the Pirates got beat 1-0 on the road. And then the Pirates thought it’d be a good idea to brag about the complete game with a Twitter post.
Andrew Abbott continues to look like a better strikeout pitcher than he has been. He went for a 16.7% SwStr% yesterday in five strong innings. For the year, he has a 30.3% K% with a 12.7% SwStr%. The SwStr% still does not support the K%, but it’s getting closer. He has double-digit whiffs in three straight outings. The four-seamer has been legitimately good (11.8% SwStr%, 52% Strike%), and the changeup has been very good (16.8% SwStr%).
The best part is that nobody has been able to square him up very often with a .245 xwOBA against.
But we talked last time about his soft schedule - and that continued yesterday as he faced a pretty tame Guardians lineup. His GB% is still one of the lowest in the league at 26.5%, and that’s going to catch up with him at some point. He’ll face some tougher offenses, and he’ll face them at home, and things will go south in some regard.
But improvements are improvements. He does look a lot better than in the past.
Shane Baz’s disaster continues. Remember that sweet start to the year he had?
First 3: 19 IP, 3 ER, 27 SO, 4 BB
Well that was a long time ago!
Last 6: 30 IP, 26 ER, 21 SO, 15 BB, 7 HR
That is a 7.80 ERA and a 1.77 WHIP with a 4.3% K-BB% over these last 30 innings. The SwStr% is down to 10.9%, and the Strike% is at 48.8%. So it’s not as though there is a silver lining here. He’s been very bad.
There has been some bad luck (24 HR/FB is very high, .313 BABIP is a touch high), but he’s not getting whiffs. His fastball isn’t great, and he doesn’t have a ton else behind it.
I don’t think Baz is a standard league fantasy pitcher, but you probably figured that out by now!
I just now realized that it appears that FanGraphs has blocked me from scraping their API. So that’s another wrench into the works. I used their API to get my Stuff+ data for the dashboards. So you won’t see any new Stuff+ marks unless I can figure that out. I also used it to make some personal reports for myself for stuff like SIERA. So I guess I’ll have to figure something else out. Why can’t we all just get along, you know? Do you think they blocked my IP because I’m white?
Another stinker from Spencer Schwellenbach, this time against the Red Sox. I mean it wasn’t that bad:
7 IP, 6 H, 4 ER, 3 K, 1 BB
But the whiffs disappeared. That dropped his SwStr% to a still very strong 13.8% on the year. He still has a great 4.5% BB% and a 32.6% Ball%, and he’s still throwing six different pitches (at least 9% usage on all of them). So there’s a lot to like, but the results just haven’t been there. The big thing is the 20% K%. That’s low.
You can see a lot of similarities between this year and last year. The big difference seems to be the called strike rate. Last year he put up a 16.2% called strike rate, this year it’s down to 15.6%. But overall, I don’t see anything majorly different. His four-seamer has been even better this year than last.
I’d be trying to buy low on Schwelly. But maybe I’m just blinded by my love for him.
Tony Gonsolin had a bad outing against the Angels.
4 IP, 4 H, 4 ER, 3 K, 5 BB, 2 HR
It turns out that life isn’t as easy when you don’t get to face the Marlins. This year:
Gonsolin vs. MIA: 38.6% K%, 4.5% BB%
Gonsolin vs. Not MIA: 17.5% K%, 17.5% BB%
The SwStr% is still strong at 13.8% (but again, that’s only because of those Marlins starts, he has a 6.6% SwStr% in the last two), but his ball rate is very high at 39%.
Luis L. Ortiz continues to look much-improved. He has been a whiff machine (14.5% SwStr%) this year. The early concern was the lack of command, but the ball rate has been dropping. He has a 15.4% SwStr% and a 35.4% Ball% in the last two starts.
For the season, he’s above a 15% K-BB%
→ 26.5% K%
→ 10.9% BB%
So there are some things to like in the profile. The four-seamer has been better this year. He still doesn’t earn enough strikes with it (46% Strike% on a four-seamer is bad, and he has a really poor 40% Ball% with it), but the whiffs are there to make up for some of that.
The slider has been deadly. The fastball has always been the thing holding him back. He has a live arm, and the slider has always been strong. He just hasn’t been able to set it up well enough with the four-seamer or sinker. But those pitches have improved this year, and he’s been delivering some decent results. If nothing else, he’s a reliable guy for 5-6 strikeouts per outing on your fantasy team. I like him.
I have to show you some of this Orioles pitching disaster. Here are the numbers on the guys who have made a start for them this year:
Of the six guys that have made at least four starts, five of them have an ERA above five. And Kyle GIbson put up a 16.77 ERA before being let go. Rough end to his career! Imagine if they hadn’t signed Tomoyuki Sugano. What a disaster, man. They do have Grayson Rodriguez and Kyle Bradish in the organization, but neither of them are healthy. And things keep looking worse and worse for G-Rod.
It’s been pretty profitable to play hitters against them, and I think it will continue to be so.
Some good news for Baltimore is that Jackson Holliday has been so much better this year. He’s now up to a .275/.338/.449 slash line with six homers. The biggest improvement has come in making contact.
→ 2024 K%: 33%
→ 2025 K%: 21%
→ 2024 Z-Contact%: 76%
→ 2024 Z-Contact%: 86%
He homered twice over the weekend and is now settled into the top of their lineup. He does only have two steals, but the attempt rate is still up there at 15%, so the steals should come. It’s very good to see the improvements he’s made. And I think that’s just how we should expect top prospects to perform. It takes time to adjust against Major League pitching. These kids have never seen anything like Major League pitching. The gap between the minors and Majors is huge. It takes repetition and time to get it together.
For fantasy purposes, that means we should follow the rule of not buying to these guys in their rookie year or right on their first call-up. And we should buy heavily into them in their second year. Or maybe even their second call-up in the case of Matt Shaw.
We’re seeing this currently with Nick Kurtz as well. You should give these guys at least 100-150 PAs before making a decision on them. And that’s tough to stomach. It’s tough to eat 4-5 weeks of Kurtz killing your fantasy team all in hopes that he’ll break through in month two or three when there’s no guarantee that will happen.
So I typically let other people grab the rookies, and then I try to buy low on them after those first several weeks of them being very bad. I just picked up Matt Shaw in my home league. Someone drafted him and obviously dropped him after the demotion. It’s quite possible his MLB struggles will continue throughout this year, but it’s a good time to buy-in and see if he can get over that adjustment period and start doing some of the things we think he’s capable of.
That will wrap it up for today, back later to break down this nice Monday slate.
1. Mick Abel
2. Paul Skenes
3. Andrew Abbott
4. Luis L. Ortiz
5. Cal Quantrill
6. Michael Soroka
7. Merrill Kelly
8. Chase Dollander
9. Framber Valdez
10. David Peterson
11. Bryan Woo
12. Freddy Peralta
13. Jose Berrios
14. Max Fried
15. Matthew Liberatore
16. Shane Baz
17. Michael King
18. Jonathan Cannon
19. Jack Leiter
20. Jackson Jobe
21. Jeffrey Springs
22. Zach Eflin
23. Yusei Kikuchi
24. Michael Wacha
25. Zebby Matthews
26. Colin Rea
27. Spencer Schwellenbach
28. Tony Gonsolin
29. Brayan Bello
30. Justin Verlander
1. Merrill Kelly (vs. COL): 39.35 Points
2. Mick Abel (vs. PIT): 32.5 Points
3. Paul Skenes (vs. PHI): 31.6 Points
4. Framber Valdez (vs. TEX): 25.55 Points
5. Bryan Woo (vs. SD): 24.75 Points
6. Cal Quantrill (vs. TB): 22.85 Points
7. Mike Soroka (vs. BAL): 22.56 Points
8. Max Fried (vs. NYM): 22.5 Points
9. Jeffrey Springs (vs. SF): 21.81 Points
10. Andrew Abbott (vs. CLE): 21.05 Points
1. Paul Skenes (PIT): 22 Whiffs (102 Pitches)
2. Mick Abel (PHI): 18 Whiffs (84 Pitches)
3. Merrill Kelly (ARI): 17 Whiffs (109 Pitches)
4. Andrew Abbott (CIN): 16 Whiffs (96 Pitches)
5. Luis L. Ortiz (CLE): 16 Whiffs (100 Pitches)
6. Chase Dollander (COL): 14 Whiffs (98 Pitches)
7. Shane Baz (TB): 13 Whiffs (96 Pitches)
8. Jackson Jobe (DET): 12 Whiffs (90 Pitches)
9. Framber Valdez (HOU): 12 Whiffs (98 Pitches)
10. Freddy Peralta (MIL): 12 Whiffs (90 Pitches)
1. Mick Abel (PHI): 58.3 Strike%, 26.2 Ball%
2. Bryan Woo (SEA): 54.0 Strike%, 23.0 Ball%
3. Michael Soroka (WSH): 52.4 Strike%, 26.8 Ball%
4. Paul Skenes (PIT): 52.0 Strike%, 30.4 Ball%
5. Luis L. Ortiz (CLE): 52.0 Strike%, 34.0 Ball%
6. Cal Quantrill (MIA): 51.8 Strike%, 35.3 Ball%
7. Framber Valdez (HOU): 51.0 Strike%, 29.6 Ball%
8. Andrew Abbott (CIN): 50.0 Strike%, 36.5 Ball%
9. Sean Newcomb (BOS): 49.4 Strike%, 32.9 Ball%
10. Max Fried (NYY): 49.0 Strike%, 38.2 Ball%
11. Chase Dollander (COL): 49.0 Strike%, 39.8 Ball%
12. Jonathan Cannon (CWS): 48.9 Strike%, 31.8 Ball%
13. Matthew Liberatore (STL): 48.9 Strike%, 30.4 Ball%
14. Michael King (SD): 47.9 Strike%, 36.5 Ball%
15. Zebby Matthews (MIN): 46.5 Strike%, 40.8 Ball%
1. Spencer Schwellenbach: 81 Pitches, 20 Outs, 4.05 POUT
2. Bryan Woo: 87 Pitches, 21 Outs, 4.14 POUT
3. Jack Leiter: 87 Pitches, 21 Outs, 4.14 POUT
4. Jeffrey Springs: 84 Pitches, 20 Outs, 4.2 POUT
5. Paul Skenes: 102 Pitches, 24 Outs, 4.25 POUT
6. Jose Berrios: 83 Pitches, 18 Outs, 4.61 POUT
7. Framber Valdez: 98 Pitches, 21 Outs, 4.67 POUT
8. Michael Soroka: 82 Pitches, 17 Outs, 4.82 POUT
9. Mick Abel: 84 Pitches, 17 Outs, 4.94 POUT
10. Jackson Jobe: 90 Pitches, 18 Outs, 5.0 POUT
Michael Soroka's SI velo (10 pitches) UP 1.6mph to 94.0
Justin Verlander's FF velo (45 pitches) DOWN -2.3mph to 91.3
Brayan Bello's SI usage (52.2%) up 12.7 points
Cal Quantrill's FC usage (27.1%) up 12.2 points
Cal Quantrill's SI usage (20.0%) up 14.0 points
Colin Rea's FF usage (44.1%) up 18.1 points
Jack Leiter's SL usage (48.3%) up 19.0 points
Jonathan Cannon's FC usage (34.1%) up 13.0 points
Luis L. Ortiz's CH usage (18.0%) up 13.6 points
Matthew Liberatore's CU usage (20.7%) up 12.8 points
Max Fried's SI usage (37.3%) up 18.1 points
Michael Soroka's SV usage (34.1%) up 20.2 points
Sean Newcomb's SV usage (34.2%) up 14.8 points
Yusei Kikuchi's CH usage (23.5%) up 11.5 points
Zebby Matthews's FF usage (60.6%) up 16.2 points
Quinn Priester Cutter: -21.0%
Davis Martin Cutter: +20.7%
Dustin May Sinker: +18.7%
AJ Smith-Shawver 4-Seam Fastball: +16.4%
Jack Kochanowicz Changeup: +16.3%
Sandy Alcantara 4-Seam Fastball: +15.1%
Cal Quantrill Cutter: +14.7%
Patrick Corbin Sinker: +14.2%
Dustin May 4-Seam Fastball: -13.9%
Luis L. Ortiz Cutter: -13.8%
Davis Martin Slider: -13.7%
Jose Soriano Sinker: -13.7%
Tanner Houck Sinker: +13.4%
Jeffrey Springs 4-Seam Fastball: -13.2%
Luis L. Ortiz Slider: +12.4%
Dylan Cease Slider: +12.4%
Jack Leiter Changeup: -12.3%
Jordan Hicks Sweeper: +12.2%
Osvaldo Bido Sinker: +12.1%
Tarik Skubal - 72 TBF, 38.6% CSW%
Chris Sale - 105 TBF, 37.6% CSW%
Jacob deGrom - 90 TBF, 34.4% CSW%
Kris Bubic - 69 TBF, 34.1% CSW%
Hunter Brown - 74 TBF, 33.4% CSW%
Matthew Liberatore - 89 TBF, 32.9% CSW%
Reese Olson - 87 TBF, 32.7% CSW%
Carlos Rodon - 93 TBF, 32.6% CSW%
Gunnar Hoglund - 69 TBF, 32.6% CSW%
Logan Webb - 109 TBF, 32.5% CSW%
Tarik Skubal - 72 TBF, 43.1% K%
Hunter Brown - 74 TBF, 36.5% K%
Joe Ryan - 66 TBF, 36.4% K%
Chris Sale - 105 TBF, 34.3% K%
Pablo Lopez - 88 TBF, 33.0% K%
MacKenzie Gore - 94 TBF, 33.0% K%
Dylan Cease - 67 TBF, 32.8% K%
Gavin Williams - 78 TBF, 32.1% K%
Matthew Boyd - 91 TBF, 31.9% K%
Will Warren - 92 TBF, 31.5% K%
Tarik Skubal - 72 TBF, 41.7% K-BB%
Joe Ryan - 66 TBF, 33.3% K-BB%
Chris Sale - 105 TBF, 28.6% K-BB%
Matthew Boyd - 91 TBF, 28.6% K-BB%
Pablo Lopez - 88 TBF, 27.3% K-BB%
Hunter Brown - 74 TBF, 27.0% K-BB%
Zack Wheeler - 97 TBF, 26.8% K-BB%
Jacob deGrom - 90 TBF, 25.6% K-BB%
Merrill Kelly - 95 TBF, 25.3% K-BB%
Bryan Woo - 95 TBF, 25.3% K-BB%
Framber Valdez - 105 TBF, 65.7% GB%
Logan Webb - 109 TBF, 62.8% GB%
Andre Pallante - 101 TBF, 62.0% GB%
Jack Kochanowicz - 97 TBF, 60.6% GB%
Jose Soriano - 76 TBF, 59.6% GB%
Cristopher Sanchez - 71 TBF, 58.5% GB%
Stephen Kolek - 75 TBF, 58.2% GB%
David Peterson - 99 TBF, 58.0% GB%
Yoshinobu Yamamoto - 67 TBF, 57.8% GB%
Griffin Canning - 87 TBF, 57.4% GB%
Garrett Crochet - 103 TBF, 28.2 K%, 5.8 BB%, 51.5% GB%
Graham Ashcraft - 46 TBF, 34.8 K%, 6.5 BB%, 59.3% GB%
Kris Bubic - 69 TBF, 27.5 K%, 4.3 BB%, 48.9% GB%
Max Fried - 94 TBF, 28.7 K%, 6.4 BB%, 55.0% GB%
Merrill Kelly - 95 TBF, 28.4 K%, 3.2 BB%, 50.8% GB%
Michael Soroka - 63 TBF, 31.7 K%, 4.8 BB%, 59.0% GB%
Nathan Eovaldi - 92 TBF, 29.3 K%, 5.4 BB%, 51.7% GB%
Tarik Skubal - 72 TBF, 43.1 K%, 1.4 BB%, 43.6% GB%
Will Warren - 92 TBF, 31.5 K%, 7.6 BB%, 46.3% GB%
Zack Wheeler - 97 TBF, 30.9 K%, 4.1 BB%, 53.2% GB%
Unluckiest
Kyle Gibson: 16.77 ERA, 5.13 SIERA
Bradley Blalock: 14.54 ERA, 5.86 SIERA
Eduardo Rodriguez: 10.72 ERA, 4.85 SIERA
Jordan Hicks: 7.04 ERA, 3.1 SIERA
German Marquez: 9.13 ERA, 5.56 SIERA
Cole Ragans: 6.0 ERA, 2.45 SIERA
Bowden Francis: 8.1 ERA, 4.64 SIERA
Sandy Alcantara: 8.5 ERA, 5.04 SIERA
Kyle Freeland: 7.59 ERA, 4.21 SIERA
Osvaldo Bido: 8.74 ERA, 5.57 SIERA
Luckiest
Miles Mikolas: 1.3 ERA, 5.23 SIERA
Ben Lively: 1.85 ERA, 5.65 SIERA
Corbin Burnes: 0.74 ERA, 4.02 SIERA
Kodai Senga: 1.32 ERA, 4.54 SIERA
AJ Smith-Shawver: 1.08 ERA, 3.97 SIERA
Tyler Mahle: 1.78 ERA, 4.65 SIERA
Max Fried: 1.16 ERA, 3.86 SIERA
Shota Imanaga: 2.2 ERA, 4.77 SIERA
Sean Burke: 3.16 ERA, 5.72 SIERA
Chris Paddack: 2.15 ERA, 4.47 SIERA
Carlos Rodon - +3.4% CSW%, -2.2 BB%
Ronel Blanco - +2.0% CSW%, -2.9 BB%
Trevor Williams - +4.5% CSW%, -3.0 BB%
Tarik Skubal - +4.8% CSW%, -3.0 BB%
Bryce Elder - +2.5% CSW%, -3.4 BB%
Michael Soroka - +5.5% CSW%, -5.5 BB%
Cole Ragans - +2.1% CSW%, -2.4 BB%
Casey Mize - +3.7% CSW%, -2.0 BB%
Tyler Phillips - +7.9% CSW%, -3.5 BB%
Alec Burleson (STL) 4 PA, 8 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
C.J. Abrams (WSH) 5 PA, 8 Swings, 2 Barrels, 2 HR
Luis Robert (CWS) 4 PA, 5 Swings, 2 Barrels, 0 HR
Matt Olson (ATL) 5 PA, 8 Swings, 2 Barrels, 0 HR
Rowdy Tellez (SEA) 5 PA, 4 Swings, 2 Barrels, 0 HR
Royce Lewis (MIN) 4 PA, 6 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Will Benson (CIN) 4 PA, 7 Swings, 2 Barrels, 2 HR
Jhonkensy Noel (CLE) - 115.2mph - nan
Alec Burleson (STL) - 114.5mph - nan
Luis Robert (CWS) - 114.0mph - double
Salvador Perez (KC) - 113.5mph - single
Hunter Goodman (COL) - 112.2mph - field_out
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) - 112.1mph - home_run
Yandy Diaz (TB) - 111.8mph - fielders_choice
Matt Chapman (SF) - 111.3mph - single
Heliot Ramos (SF) - 111.2mph - home_run
Hunter Goodman (COL) - 110.9mph - grounded_into_double_play
Top 10
Juan Soto - 83 PA, 0.394 wOBA, 0.549 xwOBA, 0.155 Diff
Joc Pederson - 57 PA, 0.313 wOBA, 0.447 xwOBA, 0.134 Diff
Brenton Doyle - 77 PA, 0.183 wOBA, 0.293 xwOBA, 0.11 Diff
Bryan Reynolds - 73 PA, 0.232 wOBA, 0.328 xwOBA, 0.096 Diff
Wyatt Langford - 87 PA, 0.257 wOBA, 0.345 xwOBA, 0.088 Diff
Luis Robert - 65 PA, 0.292 wOBA, 0.379 xwOBA, 0.087 Diff
Ceddanne Rafaela - 65 PA, 0.306 wOBA, 0.392 xwOBA, 0.086 Diff
Dylan Crews - 76 PA, 0.233 wOBA, 0.315 xwOBA, 0.082 Diff
Salvador Perez - 71 PA, 0.232 wOBA, 0.309 xwOBA, 0.077 Diff
Brooks Baldwin - 59 PA, 0.196 wOBA, 0.273 xwOBA, 0.077 Diff
Bottom 10
Freddie Freeman - 82 PA, 0.531 wOBA, 0.406 xwOBA, -0.125 Diff
Geraldo Perdomo - 72 PA, 0.44 wOBA, 0.315 xwOBA, -0.125 Diff
Hunter Goodman - 80 PA, 0.395 wOBA, 0.3 xwOBA, -0.095 Diff
Jose Ramirez - 74 PA, 0.431 wOBA, 0.339 xwOBA, -0.092 Diff
Jeremy Pena - 83 PA, 0.401 wOBA, 0.318 xwOBA, -0.083 Diff
Miguel Vargas - 70 PA, 0.446 wOBA, 0.368 xwOBA, -0.078 Diff
Jacob Wilson - 81 PA, 0.397 wOBA, 0.32 xwOBA, -0.077 Diff
Wilmer Flores - 70 PA, 0.356 wOBA, 0.285 xwOBA, -0.071 Diff
Rafael Devers - 80 PA, 0.508 wOBA, 0.445 xwOBA, -0.063 Diff
Gunnar Henderson - 79 PA, 0.398 wOBA, 0.336 xwOBA, -0.062 Diff
Will Benson: 29.0 PA, +0.203 xwOBA OE
Shohei Ohtani: 43.0 PA, +0.198 xwOBA OE
Kody Clemens: 27.0 PA, +0.184 xwOBA OE
Marcell Ozuna: 43.0 PA, +0.169 xwOBA OE
Dansby Swanson: 36.0 PA, +0.16 xwOBA OE
Aaron Judge: 42.0 PA, +0.156 xwOBA OE
Will Smith: 30.0 PA, +0.148 xwOBA OE
Kyle Stowers: 37.0 PA, +0.135 xwOBA OE
Xander Bogaerts: 36.0 PA, +0.128 xwOBA OE
Wyatt Langford: 42.0 PA, +0.125 xwOBA OE
Kyle Schwarber: 38.0 PA, +0.123 xwOBA OE
Enrique Hernandez: 27.0 PA, +0.12 xwOBA OE
Fernando Tatis Jr.: 39.0 PA, +0.118 xwOBA OE
Trent Grisham: 38.0 PA, +0.115 xwOBA OE
Ketel Marte: 37.0 PA, +0.111 xwOBA OE
Alex Call: 27.0 PA, -0.193 xwOBA OE
Ty France: 30.0 PA, -0.179 xwOBA OE
Caleb Durbin: 28.0 PA, -0.144 xwOBA OE
Leody Taveras: 32.0 PA, -0.141 xwOBA OE
Max Kepler: 31.0 PA, -0.141 xwOBA OE
Gabriel Moreno: 27.0 PA, -0.125 xwOBA OE
Trey Sweeney: 30.0 PA, -0.125 xwOBA OE
Michael Massey: 28.0 PA, -0.123 xwOBA OE
Santiago Espinal: 36.0 PA, -0.121 xwOBA OE
Kristian Campbell: 32.0 PA, -0.117 xwOBA OE
Alek Thomas: 29.0 PA, -0.113 xwOBA OE
Salvador Perez: 38.0 PA, -0.111 xwOBA OE
Gabriel Arias: 34.0 PA, -0.108 xwOBA OE
Logan O'Hoppe: 27.0 PA, -0.108 xwOBA OE
Miguel Andujar: 28.0 PA, -0.106 xwOBA OE
Shohei Ohtani - 90 PA, 58 BIP, 18 Brls, 31.0 Brl%
Kyle Stowers - 68 PA, 42 BIP, 13 Brls, 31.0 Brl%
Yoan Moncada - 47 PA, 30 BIP, 8 Brls, 26.7 Brl%
Aaron Judge - 79 PA, 51 BIP, 13 Brls, 25.5 Brl%
Juan Soto - 83 PA, 52 BIP, 13 Brls, 25.0 Brl%
Riley Greene - 78 PA, 54 BIP, 13 Brls, 24.1 Brl%
Oneil Cruz - 57 PA, 21 BIP, 5 Brls, 23.8 Brl%
Daulton Varsho - 56 PA, 34 BIP, 8 Brls, 23.5 Brl%
Cal Raleigh - 69 PA, 39 BIP, 9 Brls, 23.1 Brl%
George Springer - 71 PA, 36 BIP, 8 Brls, 22.2 Brl%
Shohei Ohtani - 90 PA, 0.573 xwOBA
Juan Soto - 83 PA, 0.549 xwOBA
Kyle Stowers - 68 PA, 0.484 xwOBA
Aaron Judge - 79 PA, 0.477 xwOBA
Kyle Schwarber - 77 PA, 0.47 xwOBA
Dansby Swanson - 71 PA, 0.461 xwOBA
Willson Contreras - 78 PA, 0.457 xwOBA
Colt Keith - 53 PA, 0.453 xwOBA
Will Smith - 64 PA, 0.453 xwOBA
Joc Pederson - 57 PA, 0.447 xwOBA
Luis Arraez - 76 PA, 146 Swings, 97.3 Cont%
Xavier Edwards - 68 PA, 116 Swings, 92.2 Cont%
Jacob Wilson - 81 PA, 131 Swings, 91.6 Cont%
Javier Sanoja - 53 PA, 92 Swings, 91.3 Cont%
Steven Kwan - 82 PA, 146 Swings, 91.1 Cont%
Chase Meidroth - 61 PA, 83 Swings, 90.4 Cont%
Jeff McNeil - 52 PA, 114 Swings, 89.5 Cont%
Adley Rutschman - 68 PA, 114 Swings, 89.5 Cont%
Jose Ramirez - 74 PA, 148 Swings, 89.2 Cont%
Luis Urias - 69 PA, 119 Swings, 89.1 Cont%
Jose Ramirez - 6 Attempts (4 steals)
Corbin Carroll - 5 Attempts (4 steals)
Jackson Chourio - 5 Attempts (5 steals)
Chandler Simpson - 4 Attempts (3 steals)
Jose Caballero - 4 Attempts (3 steals)
Dylan Crews - 4 Attempts (2 steals)
Brice Turang - 4 Attempts (4 steals)
Xavier Edwards - 4 Attempts (2 steals)
Bobby Witt Jr. - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Wyatt Langford - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
David Hamilton - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Dansby Swanson - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Connor Norby - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Mookie Betts - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Evan Carter - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Christian Yelich - 3 Attempts (1 steals)
Michael A. Taylor - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Mike Yastrzemski - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Juan Soto - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Nico Hoerner - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Jarren Duran - 3 Attempts (1 steals)
Taylor Walls - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Nick Allen - 3 Attempts (1 steals)
Pete Crow-Armstrong - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Elly De La Cruz - 14 Attempts (12 steals)
Luis Robert - 14 Attempts (11 steals)
Bobby Witt Jr. - 13 Attempts (10 steals)
Jose Ramirez - 13 Attempts (10 steals)
Maikel Garcia - 12 Attempts (8 steals)
Chandler Simpson - 11 Attempts (9 steals)
Brice Turang - 9 Attempts (7 steals)
Wyatt Langford - 9 Attempts (7 steals)
Dylan Crews - 9 Attempts (7 steals)
Jarren Duran - 9 Attempts (6 steals)
Pete Crow-Armstrong - 9 Attempts (7 steals)
Kyle Tucker - 8 Attempts (8 steals)
Oneil Cruz - 8 Attempts (7 steals)
Zach Neto - 8 Attempts (7 steals)
Trea Turner - 8 Attempts (6 steals)
Corbin Carroll - 8 Attempts (5 steals)
Matt McLain - 8 Attempts (8 steals)
Geraldo Perdomo - 8 Attempts (8 steals)
Jose Caballero - 8 Attempts (7 steals)
Alec Burleson - 46 PA, 15.2 K%, 16.2 Brl%
Bobby Witt Jr. - 82 PA, 19.5 K%, 16.9 Brl%
Cody Bellinger - 76 PA, 15.8 K%, 16.7 Brl%
Colt Keith - 53 PA, 18.9 K%, 16.2 Brl%
Daniel Schneemann - 61 PA, 18.0 K%, 15.9 Brl%
Dansby Swanson - 71 PA, 18.3 K%, 16.0 Brl%
Eugenio Suarez - 82 PA, 19.5 K%, 14.0 Brl%
Heliot Ramos - 70 PA, 17.1 K%, 20.0 Brl%
Jorge Polanco - 51 PA, 11.8 K%, 15.0 Brl%
Juan Soto - 83 PA, 18.1 K%, 25.0 Brl%
Kerry Carpenter - 77 PA, 14.3 K%, 14.5 Brl%
Ketel Marte - 58 PA, 13.8 K%, 16.3 Brl%
Kyle Schwarber - 77 PA, 18.2 K%, 16.7 Brl%
Trent Grisham - 74 PA, 18.9 K%, 16.3 Brl%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. - 80 PA, 17.5 K%, 14.8 Brl%
Wilyer Abreu - 72 PA, 12.5 K%, 15.5 Brl%
Jordan Beck - 112 PA, +0.164 xwOBA
Kyle Stowers - 100 PA, +0.143 xwOBA
Ceddanne Rafaela - 98 PA, +0.14 xwOBA
Jackson Holliday - 96 PA, +0.127 xwOBA
Trent Grisham - 95 PA, +0.108 xwOBA
Pete Crow-Armstrong - 108 PA, +0.107 xwOBA
Manny Machado - 106 PA, +0.102 xwOBA
Zach Neto - 116 PA, +0.099 xwOBA
Wilyer Abreu - 101 PA, +0.089 xwOBA
Miguel Vargas - 105 PA, +0.084 xwOBA
Jordan Beck - 112 PA, +16.3 Brl%
Pete Crow-Armstrong - 108 PA, +13.0 Brl%
Kyle Stowers - 100 PA, +12.9 Brl%
Ceddanne Rafaela - 98 PA, +10.4 Brl%
Oneil Cruz - 98 PA, +9.8 Brl%
George Springer - 108 PA, +9.2 Brl%
Riley Greene - 115 PA, +9.1 Brl%
Corbin Carroll - 131 PA, +8.0 Brl%
Cody Bellinger - 111 PA, +7.6 Brl%
Trent Grisham - 95 PA, +7.5 Brl%
Luis Urias - 95 PA, +11.9 Cont%
Wilyer Abreu - 101 PA, +11.4 Cont%
Jackson Holliday - 96 PA, +10.9 Cont%
Xavier Edwards - 109 PA, +10.2 Cont%
Ryan Jeffers - 95 PA, +9.5 Cont%
Shea Langeliers - 101 PA, +8.9 Cont%
Trea Turner - 122 PA, +8.8 Cont%
Willson Contreras - 118 PA, +8.8 Cont%
Heliot Ramos - 111 PA, +8.7 Cont%
Max Muncy - 103 PA, +8.7 Cont%
Jackson Holliday - 96 PA, -12.8 K%
Luis Urias - 95 PA, -12.5 K%
Wilyer Abreu - 101 PA, -11.7 K%
Eugenio Suarez - 116 PA, -11.4 K%
Drew Waters - 95 PA, -10.9 K%
Miguel Vargas - 105 PA, -10.9 K%
Kerry Carpenter - 102 PA, -10.2 K%
Julio Rodriguez - 116 PA, -9.7 K%
Shea Langeliers - 101 PA, -9.3 K%
Heliot Ramos - 111 PA, -9.1 K%
Joc Pederson: +3.6
Bo Bichette: +2.67
C.J. Abrams: +2.52
Nolan Arenado: +2.25
Jose Altuve: +2.15
Jorge Polanco: -2.8
Xavier Edwards: -2.18
Nick Castellanos: -2.1
Miguel Andujar: -1.97
Josh Bell: -1.93
Marcell Ozuna - +7.4% Contact%, +5.9 mph exit velo, -6.4 Chase%
Wilmer Flores - +3.4% Contact%, +4.2 mph exit velo, -7.3 Chase%
Gleyber Torres - +4.5% Contact%, +4.1 mph exit velo, -9.4 Chase%
Jordan Beck - +12.9% Contact%, +5.5 mph exit velo, -15.1 Chase%
Fernando Tatis Jr. - +5.1% Contact%, +4.2 mph exit velo, -9.8 Chase%
Bobby Witt Jr. - +6.6% Contact%, +9.0 mph exit velo, -18.6 Chase%
Cal Raleigh - +12.4% Contact%, +3.3 mph exit velo, -10.6 Chase%
Alex Verdugo - +4.8% Contact%, +3.4 mph exit velo, -9.4 Chase%
Kyle Stowers - +8.5% Contact%, +9.6 mph exit velo, -4.7 Chase%
Luis Robert - +5.2% Contact%, +6.9 mph exit velo, -17.1 Chase%
Xander Bogaerts - +6.2% Contact%, +3.0 mph exit velo, -12.6 Chase%
Adley Rutschman - +6.0% Contact%, +5.9 mph exit velo, -5.7 Chase%
Bo Bichette - 0.403 xwOBA, 12.5% Brl%, 81.6% Contact%, 24.4% Chase%, 23.0% K%
Cody Bellinger - 0.414 xwOBA, 17.9% Brl%, 81.3% Contact%, 22.5% Chase%, 17.9% K%
Dansby Swanson - 0.472 xwOBA, 13.9% Brl%, 76.2% Contact%, 14.0% Chase%, 15.7% K%
Heliot Ramos - 0.396 xwOBA, 16.2% Brl%, 85.9% Contact%, 21.0% Chase%, 15.7% K%
Jackson Holliday - 0.41 xwOBA, 15.9% Brl%, 79.8% Contact%, 20.4% Chase%, 17.2% K%
Juan Soto - 0.52 xwOBA, 25.0% Brl%, 76.6% Contact%, 11.3% Chase%, 19.7% K%
Marcell Ozuna - 0.423 xwOBA, 17.9% Brl%, 77.6% Contact%, 22.6% Chase%, 21.9% K%
Trent Grisham - 0.442 xwOBA, 21.2% Brl%, 80.2% Contact%, 11.9% Chase%, 18.9% K%
Kyren Paris - 50.0% Whiff%, 73.3% Weak%, 0.982 Cold Rating
Francisco Alvarez - 43.3% Whiff%, 72.2% Weak%, 0.958 Cold Rating
Elly De La Cruz - 36.5% Whiff%, 73.5% Weak%, 0.95 Cold Rating
Elias Diaz - 38.3% Whiff%, 69.6% Weak%, 0.92 Cold Rating
Jordan Walker - 34.6% Whiff%, 72.2% Weak%, 0.915 Cold Rating
Carson Kelly - 31.5% Whiff%, 79.2% Weak%, 0.906 Cold Rating
Jackson Chourio - 32.0% Whiff%, 72.2% Weak%, 0.883 Cold Rating
Max Kepler - 32.3% Whiff%, 69.2% Weak%, 0.859 Cold Rating
Spencer Steer - 35.0% Whiff%, 66.7% Weak%, 0.853 Cold Rating
Leody Taveras - 32.1% Whiff%, 68.4% Weak%, 0.849 Cold Rating
Junior Perez (OAK): 3/4, 4R, 2HR, 3RBI, 1SB, 46FPts
Daniel Susac (OAK): 3/5, 3R, 2HR, 6RBI, 0SB, 43FPts
Jorel Ortega (MIN): 3/5, 3R, 2HR, 4RBI, 0SB, 37FPts
Sam Ruta (KC): 2/4, 2R, 2HR, 5RBI, 0SB, 36FPts
Mike Siani (STL): 5/5, 1R, 0HR, 3RBI, 1SB, 33FPts
Lane Thomas (CLE): 3/4, 3R, 1HR, 1RBI, 1SB, 33FPts
Max Stassi (SF): 3/3, 2R, 1HR, 4RBI, 0SB, 30FPts
Tanner Schobel (MIN): 3/5, 2R, 0HR, 3RBI, 1SB, 28FPts
Harry Ford (SEA): 2/4, 3R, 1HR, 3RBI, 0SB, 27FPts
Jacob Berry (MIA): 2/4, 1R, 1HR, 3RBI, 1SB, 26FPts
Connelly Early (BOS): 76 Pitches, 5IP, 2H, 0ER, 8K, 2BB, 29FPts
Carson Whisenhunt (SF): 94 Pitches, 7IP, 2H, 0ER, 5K, 1BB, 27FPts
Chen Zhong-Ao Zhuang (OAK): 84 Pitches, 6IP, 5H, 1ER, 8K, 1BB, 27FPts
Tyler Ivey (HOU): 85 Pitches, 6IP, 2H, 0ER, 8K, 1BB, 27FPts
Ixan Henderson (STL): 82 Pitches, 6IP, 3H, 1ER, 6K, 0BB, 25FPts
Ryan Ramsey (KC): 85 Pitches, 5IP, 3H, 0ER, 5K, 0BB, 24FPts
Andrew Morris (MIN): 78 Pitches, 5IP, 4H, 0ER, 8K, 1BB, 24FPts
Bobby Miller (LAD): 92 Pitches, 6IP, 2H, 0ER, 7K, 4BB, 23FPts
Chris Kachmar (CHC): 74 Pitches, 6IP, 2H, 0ER, 4K, 1BB, 23FPts
Braxton Bragg (BAL): 80 Pitches, 5IP, 2H, 0ER, 6K, 4BB, 23FPts
Luis Campusano (AAA - SD) 145 PA 1.106 OPS
C.J. Kayfus (AAA - CLE) 147 PA 1.076 OPS
Yohendrick Pinango (AA - TOR) 145 PA 1.07 OPS
Otto Kemp (AAA - PHI) 202 PA 1.032 OPS
Willie MacIver (AAA - OAK) 147 PA 1.017 OPS
Corey Julks (AAA - CWS) 137 PA 1.002 OPS
Kristian Robinson (AA - ARI) 158 PA 0.995 OPS
Peyton Wilson (AAA - KC) 135 PA 0.98 OPS
Buddy Kennedy (AAA - PHI) 162 PA 0.966 OPS
Jonathon Long (AAA - CHC) 168 PA 0.962 OPS
Junior Perez (AA - OAK) 163 PA 0.955 OPS
Kyler Fedko (AA - MIN) 140 PA 0.952 OPS
Roman Anthony (AAA - BOS) 186 PA 0.949 OPS
Jac Caglianone (AA - KC) 175 PA 0.947 OPS
Anthony Seigler (AAA - MIL) 145 PA 0.946 OPS
Ryan Ward (AAA - LAD) 189 PA 0.939 OPS
Brock Wilken (AA - MIL) 172 PA 0.928 OPS
T.J. Rumfield (AAA - NYY) 156 PA 0.923 OPS
Trei Cruz (AA - DET) 154 PA 0.921 OPS
Nick Loftin (AAA - KC) 174 PA 0.92 OPS
Jonah Tong (AA - NYM) 34 IP 31.6% K-BB
Jackson Wolf (AAA - SD) 35 IP 28.1% K-BB
Mitch Bratt (AA - TEX) 36 IP 27.7% K-BB
Bubba Chandler (AAA - PIT) 37 IP 26.3% K-BB
Duncan Davitt (AA - TB) 36 IP 25.4% K-BB
Ian Seymour (AAA - TB) 45 IP 25.1% K-BB
Ixan Henderson (AA - STL) 36 IP 24.3% K-BB
Jack Wenninger (AA - NYM) 36 IP 24.2% K-BB
Mike Burrows (AAA - PIT) 32 IP 23.0% K-BB
Trent Sellers (AA - NYY) 33 IP 22.9% K-BB
Luis Morales (AA - OAK) 42 IP 22.7% K-BB
Blade Tidwell (AAA - NYM) 35 IP 22.4% K-BB
Tyler Uberstine (AAA - BOS) 34 IP 22.4% K-BB
Carson Whisenhunt (AAA - SF) 51 IP 22.4% K-BB
Nathan Wiles (AAA - ATL) 36 IP 22.3% K-BB
Gabe Mosser (AA - PHI) 35 IP 22.3% K-BB
Wilber Dotel (AA - PIT) 35 IP 22.2% K-BB
Parker Messick (AAA - CLE) 37 IP 22.0% K-BB
Trey Supak (AA - TEX) 31 IP 21.8% K-BB
Aaron Rozek (AA - MIN) 33 IP 21.4% K-BB
Ben Brown (15.5% Owned): Projected 5.47IP 2.08ER 6.79SO 1.59BB 19.6FPts
Mitch Keller (38.0% Owned): Projected 6.0IP 2.73ER 5.24SO 1.98BB 14.81FPts
J.T. Ginn (0.5% Owned): Projected 5.08IP 2.32ER 5.2SO 1.48BB 14.49FPts
Will Benson - 29 PA, 1.56 OPS
Miguel Vargas - 30 PA, 1.289 OPS
Matthew Lugo - 26 PA, 1.265 OPS
Kody Clemens - 27 PA, 1.221 OPS
Carlos Narvaez - 26 PA, 1.175 OPS
Enrique Hernandez - 27 PA, 1.163 OPS
Alexander Canario - 32 PA, 1.093 OPS
Trevor Larnach - 42 PA, 1.063 OPS
Jordan Beck - 40 PA, 0.979 OPS
Addison Barger - 35 PA, 0.949 OPS
Dairon Blanco CF (0.0% Owned): Projected 0.68R 0.12HR 0.6RBI 1.0SO 0.33BB 0.46SB 9.14FPts
Zach Neto SS (47.5% Owned): Projected 0.77R 0.19HR 0.5RBI 1.02SO 0.23BB 0.17SB 9.14FPts
Julio Rodriguez CF (0.0% Owned): Projected 0.64R 0.19HR 0.71RBI 0.88SO 0.23BB 0.11SB 9.09FPts
Pavin Smith RF (12.5% Owned): Projected 0.69R 0.22HR 0.7RBI 0.98SO 0.65BB 0.04SB 8.82FPts
Jonathan India 2B (47.0% Owned): Projected 0.79R 0.11HR 0.58RBI 0.99SO 0.74BB 0.09SB 8.67FPts
Max Muncy 3B (30.5% Owned): Projected 0.68R 0.21HR 0.82RBI 1.11SO 0.55BB 0.02SB 8.57FPts
J.P. Crawford SS (11.0% Owned): Projected 0.74R 0.14HR 0.51RBI 0.8SO 0.54BB 0.05SB 8.52FPts
Jackson Holliday SS (46.5% Owned): Projected 0.72R 0.14HR 0.5RBI 1.25SO 0.52BB 0.12SB 8.35FPts
Andy Pages RF (48.0% Owned): Projected 0.67R 0.17HR 0.68RBI 0.92SO 0.21BB 0.05SB 8.32FPts
Hyeseong Kim 2B (24.0% Owned): Projected 0.67R 0.13HR 0.57RBI 0.82SO 0.26BB 0.26SB 8.31FPts
