So German Marquez is at the top of some leaderboards today. He led the day with a 16.5% SwStr% against the Phillies. I guess Philadelphia just got all of the hits out of their bats in those first three games. But they still won the game 2-0 to push the Rockies to 8-42. That’s a .160 winning percentage. 16%. They’re on pace for 26 wins. That is remarkable.
If you look at their pythagorean expected record, they’re much better at 11-39. That’s a 36-win pace. I am pretty sure that I would not have thought that an 8-42 start to a season was even possible. If you asked me like how many games a AA team would win in the Majors in a 50-game sample, I’m sure I would have guessed at least 10.
I’m getting older and more set in my ways, but this is opening my mind a bit. More things are possible than you think, kids.
I don’t know what got into Marquez, but he threw 34 curveballs and got 13 whiffs. So that’s cool for him. I won’t soon forget what he did in the second half of the 2018 season.
It really looked like Marquez had found a way to beat Coors. He was a legitimate MLB ace for those three months. And that had us drafting him pretty aggressively in 2019.
And that’s probably why I still remember this. Because I drafted him in 2019, and it did not work out for me. I don’t have much of a memory, but things like this really stand out to me. If there are two things I remember about 2018
This German Marquez run
The birth of my first child
The most fantasy relevant thing that happened on the pitching front yesterday was clearly Tanner Bibee finally getting a good result. And it was a very good result.
7 IP, 3 H, 0 R, 8 K, 1 BB, 14.6% SwStr%, 37.5% Ball%
That dropped his ERA down to 3.57. He had not been very good prior to this. He had a few decent outings, he went seven innings with one run allowed a couple of times recently, but the strikeouts weren’t there in those starts to really be convincing. This was his first time above 25 fantasy points.
The problem/question with Bibee has always been about the fastball. He has shown great secondaries in his career, but the fastball has been shakey and has been a cause of holding him back.
The fastball was still bad last night (39% Strike%), but nobody took advantage and he racked up the outs and strikeouts with the sweeper, cutter, and changeup. He has changed his pitch mix a bit this year.
Tanner Bibee Pitch Mix 2024 → 2025
FF…. 43% → 32%
FC… 26% → 22%
CH… 18% → 13%
ST…… 7% → 15%
CU….. 6% → 3%
SI…….. 1% → 15%
So he has spread out the pitch usage. So far, you can’t really say that it’s worked super well. His 10.5% K-BB% is terrible. But he’s got that up to 16.5% over his last three starts.
Looking at the pitch mix, I’m just not sure where the whiffs and strikeouts are going to come from. Even over these last three, he has just an 11.4% SwStr%. The changeup gets whiffs (27% SwStr%), but he doesn’t love that pitch with just a 12.5% usage. The main pitches are the four-seamer, cutter, sweeper, and sinker, and none of those seem like hard pitches to make contact with.
I still think Bibee has a decent floor. He’s been healthy, and he usually isn’t out there getting tanked. The deep pitch mix and all of the fastball variations should keep hitters off balance, but I’m not really seeing much of a strikeout rate from him - and that caps the ceiling significantly.
Pretty wild start from Tyler Anderson.
4.2 IP, 7 H, 5 ER, 0 K, 6 BB
The old 0:6 K:BB! But whatever, shame on you if you trusted Tyler Anderson.
AJ Smith-Shawver’s run of good starts came to an abrupt end against the Nationals.
3 IP, 8 H, 7 ER, 1 K, 3 BB, 2 whiffs
It was pretty clear to me that he wasn’t actually going to stay good for long. But I don’t think he’s quite that bad.
The 12.5% SwStr% and 37% Ball% aren’t good, but it doesn’t make him look like a guy who can’t hang around in an MLB rotation.
There’s good velo on the fastball and the splitter can get whiffs. This is a good application of the rule to never trust a splitter. Live by the splitter, die by the splitter. He’ll have good starts, but he’ll have bad starts - and he’ll probably have a little more bad than good. But he’s still young and getting experience and he could very well develop into a legitimate MLB starter. I just don’t want to trust him on a fantasy team right now.
Here’s the list of the SPs throwing the most splitters. By raw pitch count instead of by usage.
Kevin Gausman
Nathan Eovaldi
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
Tyler Mahle
Shota Imanaga
AJ Smith-Shawver
Paul Skenes (although this is sometimes called a sinker)
Tomoyuki Sugano
Zack Litell
Bowden Francis
Roki Sasaki
Taj Bradley
Mitchell Parker
Cal Quantrill
Casey Mize
It does seem like Yamamoto and Imanaga have mastered the splitter - because they’ve both been quite consistent since debuting. They both have very low walk rates, which is usually the struggle with splitter bro’s. It would be interesting to know if the Japanese guys throw it differently. They certainly seem to throw it more over there. Every Japanese pitcher that comes over seems to me to feature a splitter. Difference of culture, I guess.
So if we could real racial with it - we could say that you shouldn’t trust a freaking AMERICAN splitter.
Taylor Ward, what an explosion
He bottomed out around May 3rd. And since then:
.301/.350/.740, .301 xBA, .439 xwOBA
He ranks #7 in xwOBA in the league since that date.
Lots of Juan Soto hate going on recently. And it’s pushing me into actually being more and more of a Mets fan. Or at least a Mets sympathist. Kinda funny that could slash .211/.365/.386 like Soto has along with the elite .504 xwOBA.
But anyways, Taylor Ward was one of my money matchups yesterday, so I looked pretty sweet when he hit that grand slam. Money matchups has been pretty… money, so far.
Some unlucky hitters of May:
Buy-low windows open on:
→ Bryan Reynolds
→ Wyatt Langford
→ Matt Chapman
→ Christian Walker
→ Brenton Doyle
In the case of Reynolds and Doyle, you do have the motivation factor. I usually won’t consider something like that. But it would be pretty tough to put in full effort on such a bad team, especially since neither guy is playing for a contract any time soon. But we probably shouldn’t consider that.
If your job is being a professional baseball player, all you’ve ever done is play baseball. It’s not like your mind is on something else, I wouldn’t think. I mean it’s a case-by-case basis, surely, but I doubt you truly see guys mailing it in too often.
I studied this once.
Hitter Motivation: Do Hitters Perform Worse on Bad Teams?
The way I did it was to find the really bad teams in recent history and then compare their player’s performances in those seasons between September and the rest of the season. You would think that a guy on a 100-loss team would be pretty anxious for the season to end come September and would kinda stop trying for at least the last few weeks.
And I found that there was a very slight reduction in performance at the end of the year, but nothing significant. Like a 2% difference.
How about your LUCKY hitters.
Freddie Freeman’s wOBA vs. xwOBA graph just for fun:
One interesting question might: should you sell high on Pete Crow-Armstrong in a redraft league? And the answer is… maybe. Let’s break his season down into clumps of 50(ish) PAs.
First 50: .200 xBA, .255 xwOBA, 23% K%, 7.7% BB%, 0% Brl%
Second 50: .270 xBA, .348 xwOBA, 26% K%, 4% BB%, 14.3% Brl%
Third 50: .317 xBA, .470 xwOBA, 12.5% K%, 0% BB%, 24% Brl%
Last 60: .230 xBA, .302 xwOBA, 33% K%, 5% BB%, 13% Brl%
One thing that stands out in the numbers is how pitchers have adjusted to PCA. He’s an aggressive hitter. His 61% Swing% is third-highest in the league since last season (Tovar & Rafaela). So what do you do to a swing-heavy hitter who is torching everybody? Start throwing him fewer pitches in the zone.
And that is what the league has done:
On like April 25th the league was like hold up, this guy is dangerous, and they made an adjustment. By May 3rd, he had seen a ten-day window of a very low in-zone rate, and it’s continued ever since.
Before May 3: .271/.302/.550, 20% K%, 78% Cont%, .266 xBA, .359 xwOBA
Since May 3: .294/.319/.559, 32% K%, 64% Cont%, .230 xBA, .347 xwOBA
The power production has not gone away. He’s actually slugging even higher since the change, but he has been somewhat lucky, and it’s hard to imagine a guy slugging above .500 with a 32% K%. I’d believe that maybe someone like Stanton or Judge or Ohtani could do that since they’re usually absolutely crushing the ball, but not a guy like PCA. He has made power improvements, no doubt, but he’s still an average raw power guy at best.
Let’s add swing rate to this plot:
So that’s not good. His swing rate has actually gone UP since he started seeing fewer strikes. It’d be great to see the orange line following the blue line downward. That would mean he’s onto what pitchers are doing and isn’t putting up with their junk. But he’s swinging just as much even while getting fewer pitches to hit.
He’s survived it so far, but I don’t think it will sustain for long unless this orange line drops down. If nothing else, he will be very prone to slumps.
All of that to say that I think you actually should try to sell high on PCA. There’s little doubt that somebody in your league values him as a top-20 hitter, and I’d love to cash in on that if I could.
Different story for dynasty/keeper leagues, of course.
While I have this plot handy, let’s do Juan Soto. And the plot is Mets colors anyway, how providential!
There’s been a lot of talk about Soto’s attitude and all that business. He has not been swinging the bat lately, and he took 15 straight pitches or something at one point this week.
And of course, everything you do in The Big Apple is magnified - especially in your first year of a record-breaking contract. Do I believe Soto hates his life and is being super petty and disinterested? Not really!
Let’s check out the swing scatter. For the season:
We see our two featured hitters at the extremes. PCA is swinging at everything. Soto is swinging at nothing. Both guys seperate themselves in completely opposite ways. This section of the daily notes is like poetry right now.
Now let’s check May:
It’s an 11% Chase% and a 53% zone swing rate. Only one hitter has swung less in the zone this month - and that is Isaac Paredes.
Not swinging and not inherently a good or bad thing. It all depends on what you’re trying to do. If you want to get on base a ton - don’t swing. If you want to rack up dingers and RBIs and base hits - swing.
The perfect hitter would have a 0% chase% and a pretty high zone-swing%. The closest we have to perfection is Kyle Tucker. He has a 72% Zone-Swing% and a 17% Chase%. Incredibly impressive. Other standouts
→ Gleyber Torres: 67% Z-Swing%, 17% Chase%
→ George Springer: 66%, 17%
→ Anthony Volpe: 65%, 18.5%
→ Matt Chapman: 65%, 19%
→ Gavin Lux: 65%, 18%
→ Alex Bregman: 63%, 19%
It seems like mostly an old man’s game. There is no replacement for experience. It’s the Malcolm Gladwell 10,000 hours idea. No matter how good you are at something, you’re never as good at it at the beginning as you will be after practicing it for a long time.
So that’s it, I’ve gotta get to work!
1. Bowden Francis
2. Carlos Rodon
3. Tanner Bibee
4. German Marquez
5. Ranger Suarez
6. Lance McCullers Jr.
7. George Kirby
8. Mike Burrows
9. Jack Flaherty
10. Luis Severino
11. Nathan Eovaldi
12. Aaron Civale
13. Stephen Kolek
14. Trevor Williams
15. AJ Smith-Shawver
16. Tyler Anderson
1. Tanner Bibee (vs. DET): 33.35 Points
2. Carlos Rodon (vs. TEX): 31.1 Points
3. Ranger Suarez (vs. COL): 25.61 Points
4. Jack Flaherty (vs. CLE): 21.41 Points
5. German Marquez (vs. PHI): 20.15 Points
6. Nathan Eovaldi (vs. NYY): 19.9 Points
7. Lance McCullers (vs. SEA): 16.94 Points
8. Luis Severino (vs. LAA): 15.3 Points
9. Stephen Kolek (vs. TOR): 13.5 Points
10. Bowden Francis (vs. SD): 9.4 Points
1. Carlos Rodon (NYY): 16 Whiffs (105 Pitches)
2. Lance McCullers Jr. (HOU): 14 Whiffs (91 Pitches)
3. Tanner Bibee (CLE): 14 Whiffs (96 Pitches)
4. German Marquez (COL): 13 Whiffs (79 Pitches)
5. Bowden Francis (TOR): 12 Whiffs (77 Pitches)
6. Carlos Rodriguez (MIL): 11 Whiffs (74 Pitches)
7. Ranger Suarez (PHI): 11 Whiffs (99 Pitches)
8. Luis Severino (OAK): 10 Whiffs (99 Pitches)
9. Mike Burrows (PIT): 9 Whiffs (77 Pitches)
10. Nathan Eovaldi (TEX): 9 Whiffs (105 Pitches)
1. Carlos Rodon (NYY): 52.4 Strike%, 36.2 Ball%
2. George Kirby (SEA): 51.4 Strike%, 31.9 Ball%
3. Nathan Eovaldi (TEX): 50.5 Strike%, 33.3 Ball%
4. Bowden Francis (TOR): 49.4 Strike%, 37.7 Ball%
5. Jack Flaherty (DET): 48.1 Strike%, 38.0 Ball%
6. Trevor Williams (WSH): 47.6 Strike%, 37.8 Ball%
7. Tanner Bibee (CLE): 45.8 Strike%, 37.5 Ball%
8. Ranger Suarez (PHI): 45.5 Strike%, 34.3 Ball%
9. Lance McCullers Jr. (HOU): 45.1 Strike%, 42.9 Ball%
10. Luis Severino (OAK): 44.4 Strike%, 36.4 Ball%
11. Mike Burrows (PIT): 44.2 Strike%, 36.4 Ball%
12. AJ Smith-Shawver (ATL): 43.9 Strike%, 36.6 Ball%
13. Stephen Kolek (SD): 42.4 Strike%, 37.0 Ball%
14. Aaron Civale (MIL): 41.1 Strike%, 42.5 Ball%
15. Carlos Rodriguez (MIL): 40.5 Strike%, 43.2 Ball%
1. German Marquez: 79 Pitches, 21 Outs, 3.76 POUT
2. Tanner Bibee: 96 Pitches, 21 Outs, 4.57 POUT
3. Ranger Suarez: 99 Pitches, 20 Outs, 4.95 POUT
4. Stephen Kolek: 92 Pitches, 18 Outs, 5.11 POUT
5. Mike Burrows: 77 Pitches, 15 Outs, 5.13 POUT
6. Jack Flaherty: 108 Pitches, 20 Outs, 5.4 POUT
7. Luis Severino: 99 Pitches, 18 Outs, 5.5 POUT
8. Carlos Rodon: 105 Pitches, 18 Outs, 5.83 POUT
9. Nathan Eovaldi: 105 Pitches, 18 Outs, 5.83 POUT
10. Aaron Civale: 73 Pitches, 12 Outs, 6.08 POUT
Aaron Civale's SL usage (12.3%) up 10.4 points
George Kirby's SI usage (52.8%) up 26.4 points
George Kirby's FC usage (23.6%) up 22.7 points
George Kirby's CH usage (12.5%) up 12.2 points
German Marquez's CU usage (43.0%) up 18.8 points
Lance McCullers Jr.'s SL usage (42.9%) up 12.6 points
Luis Severino's FC usage (26.3%) up 15.7 points
Ranger Suarez's FF usage (30.3%) up 10.3 points
Tanner Bibee's ST usage (19.8%) up 11.2 points
Davis Martin Cutter: +20.2%
Edward Cabrera Sinker: +16.7%
Davis Martin Slider: -15.2%
Sandy Alcantara 4-Seam Fastball: +15.1%
Cal Quantrill Cutter: +14.7%
Chad Patrick 4-Seam Fastball: +14.0%
Luis L. Ortiz Cutter: -13.8%
Jeffrey Springs 4-Seam Fastball: -13.2%
Jack Kochanowicz Changeup: +13.0%
German Marquez Curveball: +12.8%
Mitch Keller Sinker: +12.7%
Antonio Senzatela Curveball: +12.7%
Robbie Ray Curveball: +12.7%
Kyle Freeland Curveball: +12.6%
Luis L. Ortiz Slider: +12.4%
Jack Leiter Changeup: -12.3%
Tarik Skubal - 95 TBF, 36.6% CSW%
Chris Sale - 80 TBF, 35.5% CSW%
Corbin Burnes - 75 TBF, 34.3% CSW%
Tylor Megill - 82 TBF, 34.0% CSW%
Kris Bubic - 94 TBF, 33.8% CSW%
Matthew Liberatore - 77 TBF, 33.2% CSW%
Carlos Rodon - 94 TBF, 32.5% CSW%
Ben Brown - 86 TBF, 32.5% CSW%
Jacob deGrom - 95 TBF, 32.5% CSW%
Dylan Cease - 91 TBF, 32.4% CSW%
Tarik Skubal - 95 TBF, 41.1% K%
Joe Ryan - 66 TBF, 36.4% K%
Pablo Lopez - 65 TBF, 35.4% K%
MacKenzie Gore - 71 TBF, 35.2% K%
Will Warren - 97 TBF, 35.1% K%
Gavin Williams - 86 TBF, 33.7% K%
Matthew Boyd - 69 TBF, 33.3% K%
Zack Wheeler - 70 TBF, 32.9% K%
Tylor Megill - 82 TBF, 32.9% K%
Chris Sale - 80 TBF, 32.5% K%
Tarik Skubal - 95 TBF, 38.9% K-BB%
Matthew Boyd - 69 TBF, 33.3% K-BB%
Joe Ryan - 66 TBF, 33.3% K-BB%
Ben Brown - 86 TBF, 29.1% K-BB%
Will Warren - 97 TBF, 28.9% K-BB%
Zack Wheeler - 70 TBF, 28.6% K-BB%
Kevin Gausman - 93 TBF, 28.0% K-BB%
Pablo Lopez - 65 TBF, 27.7% K-BB%
Bryan Woo - 95 TBF, 25.3% K-BB%
Jacob deGrom - 95 TBF, 25.3% K-BB%
Framber Valdez - 105 TBF, 65.7% GB%
Jose Soriano - 104 TBF, 64.3% GB%
Griffin Canning - 66 TBF, 62.5% GB%
Logan Webb - 108 TBF, 62.0% GB%
Shane Baz - 68 TBF, 61.2% GB%
Cristopher Sanchez - 72 TBF, 60.0% GB%
Andre Pallante - 100 TBF, 58.4% GB%
Nathan Eovaldi - 94 TBF, 58.1% GB%
Jordan Hicks - 66 TBF, 57.4% GB%
Paul Skenes - 78 TBF, 57.1% GB%
Ben Brown - 86 TBF, 31.4 K%, 2.3 BB%, 43.9% GB%
Corbin Burnes - 75 TBF, 30.7 K%, 6.7 BB%, 51.1% GB%
Dustin May - 100 TBF, 27.0 K%, 6.0 BB%, 50.8% GB%
Dylan Cease - 91 TBF, 30.8 K%, 7.7 BB%, 48.1% GB%
Garrett Crochet - 97 TBF, 28.9 K%, 4.1 BB%, 50.8% GB%
Jacob deGrom - 95 TBF, 30.5 K%, 5.3 BB%, 44.3% GB%
Max Fried - 94 TBF, 28.7 K%, 6.4 BB%, 55.0% GB%
Merrill Kelly - 95 TBF, 28.4 K%, 3.2 BB%, 50.8% GB%
Michael Soroka - 63 TBF, 31.7 K%, 4.8 BB%, 59.0% GB%
Robbie Ray - 101 TBF, 28.7 K%, 7.9 BB%, 50.0% GB%
Yoshinobu Yamamoto - 91 TBF, 27.5 K%, 7.7 BB%, 56.9% GB%
Zack Wheeler - 70 TBF, 32.9 K%, 4.3 BB%, 56.8% GB%
Unluckiest
Kyle Gibson: 16.77 ERA, 5.14 SIERA
Bradley Blalock: 14.54 ERA, 5.84 SIERA
Eduardo Rodriguez: 10.72 ERA, 4.84 SIERA
Tanner Houck: 8.53 ERA, 4.18 SIERA
Cole Ragans: 6.0 ERA, 2.27 SIERA
Sandy Alcantara: 8.5 ERA, 4.82 SIERA
Ben Brown: 6.2 ERA, 2.56 SIERA
Max Meyer: 6.49 ERA, 3.24 SIERA
Jack Flaherty: 6.23 ERA, 3.04 SIERA
Jordan Hicks: 6.3 ERA, 3.31 SIERA
Luckiest
Miles Mikolas: 1.3 ERA, 4.96 SIERA
Ben Lively: 2.37 ERA, 5.95 SIERA
Ryan Yarbrough: 2.04 ERA, 5.18 SIERA
Bailey Falter: 1.93 ERA, 4.91 SIERA
Corbin Burnes: 1.44 ERA, 4.11 SIERA
Chris Paddack: 2.34 ERA, 4.83 SIERA
Jeffrey Springs: 2.64 ERA, 5.13 SIERA
Tyler Mahle: 2.22 ERA, 4.64 SIERA
Valente Bellozo: 3.18 ERA, 5.58 SIERA
Andrew Abbott: 1.88 ERA, 4.26 SIERA
Michael Lorenzen - +2.4% CSW%, -5.6 BB%
Framber Valdez - +3.6% CSW%, -2.5 BB%
Ronel Blanco - +2.0% CSW%, -2.9 BB%
Merrill Kelly - +2.7% CSW%, -4.3 BB%
Tarik Skubal - +4.1% CSW%, -1.7 BB%
Dylan Cease - +5.3% CSW%, -3.5 BB%
Bryce Elder - +2.5% CSW%, -3.4 BB%
Andrew Abbott - +2.8% CSW%, -4.5 BB%
Cole Ragans - +2.1% CSW%, -2.4 BB%
Michael Soroka - +5.5% CSW%, -5.5 BB%
Edward Cabrera - +2.5% CSW%, -8.1 BB%
Jose Altuve (HOU) 5 PA, 8 Swings, 2 Barrels, 2 HR
Luis Garcia (WSH) 5 PA, 6 Swings, 2 Barrels, 0 HR
Matt Olson (ATL) 5 PA, 11 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Jo Adell (LAA) - 112.2mph - field_out
Josh Bell (WSH) - 112.2mph - nan
Sean Murphy (ATL) - 111.0mph - single
Christian Yelich (MIL) - 110.7mph - home_run
Brent Rooker (OAK) - 110.6mph - single
Drake Baldwin (ATL) - 110.4mph - field_out
Bo Bichette (TOR) - 110.2mph - field_out
William Contreras (MIL) - 110.2mph - field_out
Oneil Cruz (PIT) - 109.7mph - double
Zach Neto (LAA) - 109.7mph - nan
Top 10
Juan Soto - 79 PA, 0.352 wOBA, 0.517 xwOBA, 0.165 Diff
Luis Robert - 63 PA, 0.21 wOBA, 0.327 xwOBA, 0.117 Diff
Bryan Reynolds - 78 PA, 0.24 wOBA, 0.357 xwOBA, 0.117 Diff
Luis Garcia - 60 PA, 0.232 wOBA, 0.335 xwOBA, 0.103 Diff
Luis Rengifo - 55 PA, 0.225 wOBA, 0.327 xwOBA, 0.102 Diff
Wyatt Langford - 82 PA, 0.29 wOBA, 0.385 xwOBA, 0.095 Diff
Joc Pederson - 58 PA, 0.331 wOBA, 0.426 xwOBA, 0.095 Diff
Ben Rice - 59 PA, 0.325 wOBA, 0.419 xwOBA, 0.094 Diff
Joey Bart - 68 PA, 0.263 wOBA, 0.352 xwOBA, 0.089 Diff
Bryson Stott - 69 PA, 0.254 wOBA, 0.341 xwOBA, 0.087 Diff
Bottom 10
Freddie Freeman - 81 PA, 0.481 wOBA, 0.359 xwOBA, -0.122 Diff
Geraldo Perdomo - 72 PA, 0.428 wOBA, 0.321 xwOBA, -0.107 Diff
Jose Ramirez - 68 PA, 0.477 wOBA, 0.373 xwOBA, -0.104 Diff
Heliot Ramos - 71 PA, 0.481 wOBA, 0.382 xwOBA, -0.099 Diff
Jacob Wilson - 78 PA, 0.415 wOBA, 0.341 xwOBA, -0.074 Diff
Rhys Hoskins - 75 PA, 0.417 wOBA, 0.347 xwOBA, -0.07 Diff
Pete Crow-Armstrong - 77 PA, 0.406 wOBA, 0.337 xwOBA, -0.069 Diff
Maikel Garcia - 81 PA, 0.421 wOBA, 0.359 xwOBA, -0.062 Diff
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. - 77 PA, 0.394 wOBA, 0.333 xwOBA, -0.061 Diff
Isaac Paredes - 84 PA, 0.417 wOBA, 0.359 xwOBA, -0.058 Diff
Taylor Ward: 42.0 PA, +0.242 xwOBA OE
Will Benson: 27.0 PA, +0.239 xwOBA OE
Ezequiel Tovar: 27.0 PA, +0.236 xwOBA OE
Kyle Stowers: 32.0 PA, +0.167 xwOBA OE
Kyle Schwarber: 40.0 PA, +0.167 xwOBA OE
Will Smith: 27.0 PA, +0.164 xwOBA OE
Shohei Ohtani: 41.0 PA, +0.162 xwOBA OE
Xander Bogaerts: 28.0 PA, +0.157 xwOBA OE
Kody Clemens: 27.0 PA, +0.137 xwOBA OE
Wyatt Langford: 37.0 PA, +0.132 xwOBA OE
Rafael Devers: 36.0 PA, +0.128 xwOBA OE
Bryce Harper: 39.0 PA, +0.128 xwOBA OE
Marcell Ozuna: 36.0 PA, +0.121 xwOBA OE
William Contreras: 33.0 PA, +0.116 xwOBA OE
Nolan Schanuel: 37.0 PA, +0.115 xwOBA OE
Michael Massey: 28.0 PA, -0.174 xwOBA OE
Trey Sweeney: 33.0 PA, -0.152 xwOBA OE
Santiago Espinal: 37.0 PA, -0.143 xwOBA OE
Wilyer Abreu: 27.0 PA, -0.136 xwOBA OE
Tyler Stephenson: 27.0 PA, -0.13 xwOBA OE
JJ Bleday: 29.0 PA, -0.127 xwOBA OE
Christian Yelich: 37.0 PA, -0.118 xwOBA OE
Nolan Arenado: 35.0 PA, -0.113 xwOBA OE
Ben Williamson: 28.0 PA, -0.113 xwOBA OE
Mark Vientos: 31.0 PA, -0.104 xwOBA OE
Max Kepler: 28.0 PA, -0.102 xwOBA OE
Isiah Kiner-Falefa: 30.0 PA, -0.098 xwOBA OE
Lars Nootbaar: 34.0 PA, -0.091 xwOBA OE
Josh Smith: 29.0 PA, -0.084 xwOBA OE
Kameron Misner: 30.0 PA, -0.081 xwOBA OE
Kyle Stowers - 73 PA, 45 BIP, 13 Brls, 28.9 Brl%
Shohei Ohtani - 87 PA, 61 BIP, 17 Brls, 27.9 Brl%
Riley Greene - 77 PA, 49 BIP, 13 Brls, 26.5 Brl%
Aaron Judge - 78 PA, 50 BIP, 13 Brls, 26.0 Brl%
Juan Soto - 79 PA, 47 BIP, 12 Brls, 25.5 Brl%
Zach Dezenzo - 50 PA, 24 BIP, 6 Brls, 25.0 Brl%
Matt Olson - 82 PA, 49 BIP, 12 Brls, 24.5 Brl%
Yoan Moncada - 58 PA, 37 BIP, 9 Brls, 24.3 Brl%
Taylor Ward - 83 PA, 54 BIP, 13 Brls, 24.1 Brl%
Cal Raleigh - 78 PA, 43 BIP, 10 Brls, 23.3 Brl%
Shohei Ohtani - 87 PA, 0.562 xwOBA
Juan Soto - 79 PA, 0.517 xwOBA
Kyle Schwarber - 84 PA, 0.491 xwOBA
Alec Burleson - 45 PA, 0.466 xwOBA
Rafael Devers - 78 PA, 0.458 xwOBA
Aaron Judge - 78 PA, 0.457 xwOBA
Nolan Schanuel - 74 PA, 0.442 xwOBA
Will Smith - 62 PA, 0.439 xwOBA
Kyle Stowers - 73 PA, 0.43 xwOBA
Joc Pederson - 58 PA, 0.426 xwOBA
Luis Arraez - 81 PA, 162 Swings, 96.3 Cont%
Xavier Edwards - 54 PA, 94 Swings, 93.6 Cont%
Jacob Wilson - 78 PA, 121 Swings, 92.6 Cont%
Javier Sanoja - 54 PA, 89 Swings, 92.1 Cont%
Sal Frelick - 58 PA, 101 Swings, 92.1 Cont%
Jeff McNeil - 45 PA, 95 Swings, 90.5 Cont%
Jose Ramirez - 68 PA, 133 Swings, 90.2 Cont%
Steven Kwan - 76 PA, 130 Swings, 90.0 Cont%
Isaac Paredes - 84 PA, 126 Swings, 89.7 Cont%
Chase Meidroth - 69 PA, 96 Swings, 89.6 Cont%
Chandler Simpson - 7 Attempts (5 steals)
Jose Caballero - 6 Attempts (6 steals)
Chase Meidroth - 5 Attempts (5 steals)
Trea Turner - 4 Attempts (3 steals)
Brice Turang - 4 Attempts (4 steals)
Kyle Tucker - 4 Attempts (4 steals)
Francisco Lindor - 4 Attempts (3 steals)
David Hamilton - 4 Attempts (3 steals)
Corbin Carroll - 4 Attempts (4 steals)
Juan Soto - 4 Attempts (4 steals)
Bobby Witt Jr. - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Dylan Crews - 3 Attempts (1 steals)
Jackson Chourio - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Wyatt Langford - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
James Wood - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Jarren Duran - 3 Attempts (1 steals)
Dansby Swanson - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Taylor Walls - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Shea Langeliers - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Luis Robert - 13 Attempts (10 steals)
Chandler Simpson - 13 Attempts (10 steals)
Bobby Witt Jr. - 12 Attempts (9 steals)
Jose Ramirez - 11 Attempts (8 steals)
Jose Caballero - 11 Attempts (10 steals)
Maikel Garcia - 10 Attempts (7 steals)
Elly De La Cruz - 9 Attempts (7 steals)
Jarren Duran - 9 Attempts (6 steals)
Oneil Cruz - 9 Attempts (8 steals)
Zach Neto - 9 Attempts (8 steals)
Trea Turner - 9 Attempts (6 steals)
Shohei Ohtani - 8 Attempts (6 steals)
Francisco Lindor - 8 Attempts (6 steals)
Pete Crow-Armstrong - 8 Attempts (6 steals)
Corbin Carroll - 8 Attempts (5 steals)
Kyle Tucker - 8 Attempts (8 steals)
Alec Burleson - 45 PA, 11.1 K%, 16.7 Brl%
Cody Bellinger - 76 PA, 15.8 K%, 15.8 Brl%
Heliot Ramos - 71 PA, 18.3 K%, 16.0 Brl%
Jackson Holliday - 76 PA, 18.4 K%, 15.5 Brl%
Josh Palacios - 52 PA, 19.2 K%, 16.7 Brl%
Ketel Marte - 71 PA, 15.5 K%, 17.3 Brl%
Trent Grisham - 70 PA, 18.6 K%, 17.4 Brl%
Kyle Stowers - 99 PA, +0.168 xwOBA
Jordan Beck - 122 PA, +0.138 xwOBA
Ceddanne Rafaela - 94 PA, +0.119 xwOBA
Jackson Holliday - 103 PA, +0.119 xwOBA
Daniel Schneemann - 83 PA, +0.109 xwOBA
Will Smith - 86 PA, +0.105 xwOBA
Miguel Vargas - 103 PA, +0.099 xwOBA
Rafael Devers - 121 PA, +0.091 xwOBA
Pete Crow-Armstrong - 109 PA, +0.091 xwOBA
Trent Grisham - 95 PA, +0.091 xwOBA
Riley Greene - 114 PA, +13.8 Brl%
Jordan Beck - 122 PA, +13.7 Brl%
Kyle Stowers - 99 PA, +13.1 Brl%
Pete Crow-Armstrong - 109 PA, +11.4 Brl%
Taylor Ward - 113 PA, +11.2 Brl%
Oneil Cruz - 100 PA, +10.7 Brl%
Ceddanne Rafaela - 94 PA, +9.9 Brl%
Corbin Carroll - 129 PA, +9.8 Brl%
George Springer - 99 PA, +8.6 Brl%
Zach Neto - 125 PA, +8.6 Brl%
Wilyer Abreu - 101 PA, +13.8 Cont%
Ryan Jeffers - 87 PA, +10.4 Cont%
Luis Urias - 107 PA, +10.2 Cont%
Max Muncy - 104 PA, +8.9 Cont%
Daniel Schneemann - 83 PA, +8.8 Cont%
Paul Goldschmidt - 103 PA, +8.5 Cont%
Willson Contreras - 113 PA, +8.5 Cont%
Jordan Beck - 122 PA, +8.4 Cont%
Jackson Holliday - 103 PA, +8.4 Cont%
Junior Caminero - 101 PA, +8.0 Cont%
Drew Waters - 90 PA, -13.3 K%
Luis Urias - 107 PA, -13.1 K%
Daniel Schneemann - 83 PA, -13.1 K%
Jorge Polanco - 85 PA, -12.7 K%
Eugenio Suarez - 117 PA, -12.4 K%
Shea Langeliers - 103 PA, -11.8 K%
Wilyer Abreu - 101 PA, -11.8 K%
Miguel Vargas - 103 PA, -11.7 K%
Jordan Beck - 122 PA, -10.9 K%
Julio Rodriguez - 117 PA, -10.6 K%
Joc Pederson: +3.6
Bo Bichette: +2.67
C.J. Abrams: +2.62
Nolan Arenado: +2.2
Keibert Ruiz: +2.05
Jorge Polanco: -2.4
Miguel Andujar: -2.2
Xavier Edwards: -2.18
Nick Castellanos: -2.15
Josh Bell: -2.03
Taylor Ward - +7.6% Contact%, +4.0 mph exit velo, -4.1 Chase%
Isaac Paredes - +7.3% Contact%, +3.7 mph exit velo, -10.5 Chase%
Christian Walker - +7.9% Contact%, +3.5 mph exit velo, -4.4 Chase%
Jose Altuve - +6.2% Contact%, +4.0 mph exit velo, -12.5 Chase%
Jake Meyers - +18.1% Contact%, +3.6 mph exit velo, -20.3 Chase%
Sal Frelick - +4.2% Contact%, +3.0 mph exit velo, -8.3 Chase%
Brenton Doyle - +16.4% Contact%, +4.1 mph exit velo, -6.0 Chase%
TJ Friedl - +6.9% Contact%, +3.3 mph exit velo, -10.4 Chase%
Jarren Duran - +4.5% Contact%, +7.0 mph exit velo, -9.0 Chase%
William Contreras - +8.4% Contact%, +5.8 mph exit velo, -3.9 Chase%
Matt Chapman - +5.0% Contact%, +4.3 mph exit velo, -4.2 Chase%
Carlos Santana - +9.2% Contact%, +5.8 mph exit velo, -9.8 Chase%
Addison Barger - 0.406 xwOBA, 16.2% Brl%, 78.0% Contact%, 25.0% Chase%, 22.6% K%
Dansby Swanson - 0.431 xwOBA, 14.3% Brl%, 75.3% Contact%, 22.1% Chase%, 18.4% K%
Heliot Ramos - 0.426 xwOBA, 18.4% Brl%, 81.6% Contact%, 24.8% Chase%, 14.0% K%
Jackson Holliday - 0.376 xwOBA, 14.9% Brl%, 76.8% Contact%, 22.5% Chase%, 18.0% K%
Kyle Tucker - 0.402 xwOBA, 15.4% Brl%, 86.5% Contact%, 18.5% Chase%, 13.7% K%
Marcell Ozuna - 0.455 xwOBA, 20.0% Brl%, 77.9% Contact%, 21.1% Chase%, 21.4% K%
Max Muncy - 0.379 xwOBA, 11.1% Brl%, 83.3% Contact%, 20.7% Chase%, 8.3% K%
Taylor Ward - 0.438 xwOBA, 20.0% Brl%, 82.8% Contact%, 20.3% Chase%, 21.9% K%
Trent Grisham - 0.433 xwOBA, 19.4% Brl%, 79.5% Contact%, 13.0% Chase%, 22.0% K%
Francisco Alvarez - 41.5% Whiff%, 68.4% Weak%, 0.921 Cold Rating
Emmanuel Rivera - 34.8% Whiff%, 70.0% Weak%, 0.908 Cold Rating
Jackson Chourio - 32.7% Whiff%, 72.1% Weak%, 0.908 Cold Rating
Jorge Soler - 32.2% Whiff%, 72.0% Weak%, 0.896 Cold Rating
Elias Diaz - 41.1% Whiff%, 65.2% Weak%, 0.884 Cold Rating
Elly De La Cruz - 37.5% Whiff%, 65.6% Weak%, 0.88 Cold Rating
Adolis Garcia - 35.6% Whiff%, 65.6% Weak%, 0.873 Cold Rating
Jo Adell - 33.8% Whiff%, 66.7% Weak%, 0.869 Cold Rating
Spencer Torkelson - 32.9% Whiff%, 66.7% Weak%, 0.862 Cold Rating
Trevor Story - 38.8% Whiff%, 64.3% Weak%, 0.853 Cold Rating
Christian Moore (LAA): 4/5, 3R, 1HR, 3RBI, 2SB, 43FPts
Brennan Milone (OAK): 3/4, 3R, 3HR, 3RBI, 0SB, 42FPts
Samuel Basallo (BAL): 3/3, 4R, 2HR, 3RBI, 0SB, 41FPts
Alex Jackson (NYY): 2/4, 2R, 2HR, 2RBI, 1SB, 35FPts
Hunter Fitz-Gerald (SEA): 3/5, 2R, 2HR, 4RBI, 0SB, 35FPts
Kyle Teel (CWS): 3/4, 3R, 2HR, 3RBI, 0SB, 35FPts
Maxwell Muncy (OAK): 4/5, 1R, 0HR, 5RBI, 0SB, 31FPts
Roberto Campos (DET): 3/4, 3R, 0HR, 1RBI, 1SB, 31FPts
Matt Wallner (MIN): 2/4, 2R, 2HR, 3RBI, 0SB, 30FPts
Jose Fermin (STL): 2/2, 0R, 0HR, 3RBI, 2SB, 28FPts
Landon Harper (nan): 62 Pitches, 5IP, 2H, 0ER, 8K, 0BB, 30FPts
Simeon Woods Richardson (MIN): 88 Pitches, 6IP, 4H, 1ER, 8K, 1BB, 28FPts
Dietrich Enns (DET): 57 Pitches, 4IP, 0H, 0ER, 8K, 1BB, 24FPts
Thad Ward (BAL): 0 Pitches, 5IP, 3H, 1ER, 7K, 4BB, 23FPts
Nolan McLean (NYM): 93 Pitches, 6IP, 2H, 0ER, 6K, 2BB, 23FPts
Shane Murphy (CWS): 82 Pitches, 6IP, 4H, 1ER, 5K, 0BB, 23FPts
Tekoah Roby (STL): 76 Pitches, 6IP, 4H, 2ER, 6K, 0BB, 23FPts
Dylan Ray (ARI): 87 Pitches, 6IP, 3H, 3ER, 7K, 1BB, 23FPts
Henry Baez (SD): 95 Pitches, 5IP, 3H, 0ER, 6K, 1BB, 22FPts
Tommy Henry (ARI): 86 Pitches, 6IP, 5H, 2ER, 6K, 2BB, 21FPts
C.J. Kayfus (AAA - CLE) 161 PA 1.063 OPS
Luis Campusano (AAA - SD) 158 PA 1.062 OPS
Otto Kemp (AAA - PHI) 212 PA 1.05 OPS
Yohendrick Pinango (AA - TOR) 154 PA 1.038 OPS
Willie MacIver (AAA - OAK) 147 PA 1.017 OPS
Corey Julks (AAA - CWS) 150 PA 0.992 OPS
Carlos Mendoza (AA - DET) 137 PA 0.97 OPS
Jonathon Long (AAA - CHC) 179 PA 0.963 OPS
Roman Anthony (AAA - BOS) 196 PA 0.959 OPS
Peyton Wilson (AAA - KC) 144 PA 0.951 OPS
Anthony Seigler (AAA - MIL) 150 PA 0.946 OPS
Kristian Robinson (AA - ARI) 167 PA 0.943 OPS
Brock Wilken (AA - MIL) 185 PA 0.941 OPS
Jac Caglianone (AAA - KC) 188 PA 0.94 OPS
Ryan Fitzgerald (AAA - MIN) 151 PA 0.933 OPS
Ryan Ritter (AAA - COL) 196 PA 0.933 OPS
Buddy Kennedy (AAA - PHI) 171 PA 0.932 OPS
Colby Thomas (AAA - OAK) 200 PA 0.932 OPS
Ryan Ward (AAA - LAD) 202 PA 0.925 OPS
Nick Loftin (AAA - KC) 184 PA 0.919 OPS
Jonah Tong (AA - NYM) 34 IP 31.6% K-BB
Mitch Bratt (AA - TEX) 36 IP 27.7% K-BB
Kohl Drake (AA - TEX) 32 IP 27.1% K-BB
Bubba Chandler (AAA - PIT) 37 IP 26.3% K-BB
Ian Seymour (AAA - TB) 45 IP 25.1% K-BB
Jackson Wolf (AAA - SD) 40 IP 24.7% K-BB
Landon Harper (AA - nan) 32 IP 24.6% K-BB
Ixan Henderson (AA - STL) 36 IP 24.3% K-BB
Tekoah Roby (AA - STL) 35 IP 23.3% K-BB
Trent Sellers (AA - NYY) 33 IP 22.9% K-BB
Luis Morales (AA - OAK) 42 IP 22.7% K-BB
Jack Wenninger (AA - NYM) 41 IP 22.6% K-BB
Carson Whisenhunt (AAA - SF) 51 IP 22.4% K-BB
Blade Tidwell (AAA - NYM) 35 IP 22.4% K-BB
Tyler Uberstine (AAA - BOS) 34 IP 22.4% K-BB
Wilber Dotel (AA - PIT) 35 IP 22.2% K-BB
Duncan Davitt (AA - TB) 42 IP 22.0% K-BB
Will Johnston (AA - OAK) 32 IP 21.5% K-BB
Jacob Misiorowski (AAA - MIL) 52 IP 21.3% K-BB
Cam Schlittler (AA - NYY) 43 IP 21.1% K-BB
Clarke Schmidt (35.0% Owned): Projected 5.49IP 2.38ER 6.21SO 1.98BB 17.9FPts
Lucas Giolito (11.0% Owned): Projected 6.06IP 2.69ER 6.09SO 2.1BB 17.17FPts
Noah Cameron (12.0% Owned): Projected 5.35IP 2.19ER 5.09SO 1.69BB 14.85FPts
Kody Clemens - 31 PA, 1.266 OPS
Ramon Laureano - 26 PA, 1.167 OPS
Carlos Narvaez - 27 PA, 1.127 OPS
Nolan Schanuel - 38 PA, 1.1 OPS
Carlos Santana - 30 PA, 1.075 OPS
Chase Meidroth - 35 PA, 1.02 OPS
Miguel Vargas - 38 PA, 1.01 OPS
Ryan Jeffers - 32 PA, 0.987 OPS
Daulton Varsho - 35 PA, 0.934 OPS
Sal Frelick - 33 PA, 0.93 OPS
Julio Rodriguez CF (0.0% Owned): Projected 0.66R 0.2HR 0.67RBI 1.05SO 0.29BB 0.11SB 9.03FPts
Otto Lopez SS (8.0% Owned): Projected 0.76R 0.16HR 0.51RBI 0.8SO 0.3BB 0.12SB 9.02FPts
J.P. Crawford SS (11.0% Owned): Projected 0.77R 0.14HR 0.57RBI 0.96SO 0.67BB 0.06SB 8.79FPts
Jose Caballero SS (11.0% Owned): Projected 0.63R 0.09HR 0.56RBI 1.36SO 0.42BB 0.36SB 8.62FPts
Connor Norby 2B (9.0% Owned): Projected 0.57R 0.24HR 0.69RBI 1.45SO 0.28BB 0.08SB 8.6FPts
Lane Thomas LF (17.0% Owned): Projected 0.65R 0.15HR 0.6RBI 1.22SO 0.29BB 0.19SB 8.6FPts
Agustin Ramirez C (24.5% Owned): Projected 0.65R 0.19HR 0.54RBI 1.12SO 0.34BB 0.13SB 8.5FPts
Pavin Smith RF (10.5% Owned): Projected 0.63R 0.19HR 0.66RBI 0.68SO 0.54BB 0.04SB 8.5FPts
Jasson Dominguez CF (43.5% Owned): Projected 0.63R 0.12HR 0.63RBI 1.04SO 0.54BB 0.17SB 8.33FPts
Eric Wagaman 1B (2.5% Owned): Projected 0.57R 0.15HR 0.64RBI 0.98SO 0.44BB 0.08SB 8.27FPts
