Jacob deGrom had the standout start of the day on Memorial Day. And that’s not a good thing. He did not strikeout a single hitter in 5.2 innings, and his fastball velo bombed down to the second-lowest average of the season.
There’s some talk about a blister or something. Apparently he kept looking at his finger. We should be happy to find out that it’s just a blister. That’s a little scary though regardless. Jacob deGrom getting zero strikeouts… just not something you ever see.
It was the first time he’s done that since 2021. He hasn’t even had a one strikeout game since then. We’ll keep an eye on the news surrounding that situation.
Ryne Nelson has been messing with fantasy baseball players for a long time now. He pitched well against the Pirates last night, although that’s not a hard thing to do.
6.2 IP, 4 H, 0 R, 4 K, 0 BB, 10.7% SwStr%
Nelson was one of those STUFF FOOLERS a couple of years back. He graded out really well on Stuff+ models, and that had people buying into him as a breakout pick. But it never turned into anything. And then the people re-did their models and all of the sudden he wasn’t that good in Stuff+ again. So that’s a good story about how trustworthy Stuff+ can be. His fastball does usually grade out very well, and so far this year it has a very strong 53% Strike% on 368 pitches.
But it doesn’t get a ton of whiffs, and he’s throwing it a freaking ton this year at 61% usage. That has led to another meidocre K%. Although it is his highest of his career at 22%.
But his SwStr% is under 10%, and his ball rate isn’t that great at 35.4%. He’s also not a ground ball pitcher, and the history will have me viewing him as only a good-matchup streamer moving forward.
Gavin Williams took a step backward against the Dodgers. That wasn’t surprising. He didn’t have the command and the Dodgers made him pay for it. He put up a 39.4% Ball% and six walks - yikes! It wasn’t a total obliteration though as he managed to only give up four runs, and his SwStr% was pretty good at 13.8%. His second start this week is against the Angels - so that’s the one we’re looking forward to.
Williams continues to be a volatile SP. If he has the command on a given day, it can be very good - because he does have the strikeout stuff. But on days like last night against good teams when the command isn’t on - he’s going to punish your team’s WHIP.
Don’t look now, but Jack Kochanowicz has four straight starts with 4+ strikeouts and a 15% K% on the year! 15%!!!!! That’s up 67% from last year! In May, he has a 17% K%. But a 14% BB% and a 4.50 ERA. He’s not good.
But it does show us a lesson about outliers. What J-KOCH did with the strikeout rate last year was nearly unheard of. He threw 60 innings with a 9.4% K%. That was the worst K% in 50+ innings since at least 2019:
As a projection guy, I had to figure out (or at least I had to tell my model how to figure out) what to project for his K% this year. And 60 innings is not a “nothing” sample. But the order of the created universe and math all makes us know that we should not project a 9% K%. We should always regress values toward the league average, at least to some extent. Now, if Koch had gone 300+ innings with a 9% K%, then that’s a different story. But you are still heavily regressing stuff until you get to a couple hundred innings.
My model settled on 15% for this year after advanced tweaks and general regression. And look at that. We have a 15.3% K% on Koch for the year. So that’s a win.
Ryan Yarbrough is showing up again. That guy has found a way to hang around Major League teams, and now he’s working as a traditional starter for the Yankees. He went six strong innings last night against the Angels.
6 IP, 2 H, 1 ER, 7 K, 1 BB
He’s made four starts in May and has done this:
4 GS, 20 IP, 2.25 ERA, 0.85 WHIP, 25% K%, 6.6% BB%, 1.35 HR/9
That is a bit interesting.
The trouble we have is that Yarbrough has been a 16-18% K% guy dating back to 2021.
You can see in that game log above that his matchups have been a cakewalk this month. But this still looks like someone we should check on. Has he made a change?
He is throwing more changeups and more cutters this year.
The sinker is being used about four points less. Not a huge change, but yeah - four pitches being used above 20% of the time with a sweeper that gets a good number of whiffs does make us believe in a little bit of a K% rise. His SwStr% is 12.3% for the year. That would suggest a 22% or so K%, so he’s a bit above that at 25%.
I’m not buying into Yarbrough, but there are some real changes in the pitch mix right now, and he’s getting through 5-6 innings now on a good team - so that makes him someone to consider for streaming opportunities.
While we’re on the topic of K% increases, let’s see the pitchers who have most increased their K% this year, compared to last season.
The Andrew Abbott thing continues to confuse me. But that started moving in the other direction last time when he struck out two in 5.2 innings against the Cubs.
How about your SwStr% gainers:
I’ve written a good amount of Luis Ortiz already, so I don’t really see much to dive into from these lists. Just a lot of guys who were already studs last year becoming even more studly.
Royce Lewis barreled a couple of balls up yesterday, but he didn’t get a hit on either one. He is not having a good 2025 season:
66 PA, .148/.212/.230, 15% K%, 7.6% BB%, 1 HR, 0 SB (0 attempts)
Since Lewis returned from the IL in June last year:
389 PA, .211/.275/.399, 22% K%, 8.5% BB%, 16 HR, 0 SB (0 attempts)
He is not even hitting the ball hard this year with a 102.8 EV90. His 10.4% Brl% is better than average but still not very good. His xwOBA is awful at .291. He’s been really bad.
The .149 BABIP should come up, but still, it’s just a .218 xBA. He is either not healthy or just not good. I’m not sure you can really start the guy in a standard league right now.
Let’s check on the median launch angle vs. 90th percentile EV plot.
The sweet spot here, of course, would be towards the upper-right of the plot. That’s kind of the rule when making scatter plots - make the really good outcomes go towards the upper-right. Nobody is super close to the top right corner of the plot. The guys that are closest:
Kyle Schwarber
Corbin Carroll
Aaron Judge
Shohei Ohtani
Jake Burger
Byron Buxton
Matt Olson
Wilyer Abreu
Bobby Witt Jr.
The guys who just need to lift the ball more to be power studs:
Oneil Cruz
Vlad Guerrero Jr.
James Wood
Yandy Diaz
Jarren Duran
Manny Machado
Junior Caminero
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Elly De La Cruz
Christian Yelich
Most of the guys on that list are not a surprise. That’s a list of hitters who have had trouble lifting the ball in the past.
And maybe it’s not even right to say “have had trouble”, because it’s not guaranteed that they even want to lift the ball. Maybe they’re just fine with scorching grounders and line drives - or maybe that’s just what the pitchers are giving them and they’re happy to take it. I don’t know.
I have an easier time believing that kind of approach from a veteran like Christian Yelich or Yandy Diaz or Vlad, but with young power studs like Junior Caminero and James Wood, you’d have to think they’re working on trying to lift the ball more when they can.
I think Caminero is a buy-low right now if you can pull it off. If he can even get the ball in the air a little bit more, that swing speed will play into a bunch of homers. But it’s not a guarantee that it can happen. His EV90 overall is elite at 109.4. But on fly balls, it drops to 105.1. Yikes! Does that mean his swing path plays better into line drives and ground balls or something?
That did inspire me to make this new tab on the dashboard just now. It’s called “EV90 By Type”. Here’s Caminero:
He murders his ground balls and line drives, but when it comes to fly balls - he’s mediocre. That’s interesting. As I alluded to above, I’m sure the bat path tracking stuff could explain some of this. But I’m not familiar with that data yet and I don’t really care that much. But somebody can go after it and tag me, you will get a retweet on it.
Caminero has the same problem that Vlad has. That’s probably the best comp for him. Vlad is #2 in the league in EV90 on ground balls at 111.3.
But if you lookat the fly_ball column, he’s down there at 105. Same with Michael Harris and Yandy Diaz, and then we see Caminero there.
So this is a good lesson on exit velocity data. You should filter by batted ball type if you have enough data to do so and if you’re trying to figure out which guys can hit for power.
Let’s move on to Tuesday, I will talk to you later in a slate preview!
1. Garrett Crochet
2. Jameson Taillon
3. Kevin Gausman
4. Charlie Morton
5. Ryan Yarbrough
6. Chris Paddack
7. Erick Fedde
8. Jack Kochanowicz
9. Ryne Nelson
10. Gavin Williams
11. Zack Littell
12. Adrian Houser
13. Yoshinobu Yamamoto
14. Hayden Birdsong
15. Keider Montero
16. Andrew Heaney
17. Ryan Weathers
18. Randy Vasquez
19. Chad Patrick
20. Nick Martinez
21. Clay Holmes
22. Carson Palmquist
23. Michael Lorenzen
24. Jacob deGrom
1. Kevin Gausman (vs. TEX): 29.0 Points
2. Garrett Crochet (vs. MIL): 28.81 Points
3. Jameson Taillon (vs. COL): 27.84 Points
4. Ryan Yarbrough (vs. LAA): 27.7 Points
5. Ryne Nelson (vs. PIT): 24.61 Points
6. Yoshinobu Yamamoto (vs. CLE): 24.5 Points
7. Adrian Houser (vs. NYM): 23.1 Points
8. Zack Littell (vs. MIN): 22.44 Points
9. Ryan Weathers (vs. SD): 21.16 Points
10. Charlie Morton (vs. STL): 19.9 Points
1. Garrett Crochet (BOS): 22 Whiffs (108 Pitches)
2. Gavin Williams (CLE): 15 Whiffs (109 Pitches)
3. Jameson Taillon (CHC): 15 Whiffs (82 Pitches)
4. Kevin Gausman (TOR): 15 Whiffs (96 Pitches)
5. Erick Fedde (STL): 14 Whiffs (91 Pitches)
6. Charlie Morton (BAL): 13 Whiffs (86 Pitches)
7. Jack Kochanowicz (LAA): 13 Whiffs (92 Pitches)
8. Ryan Yarbrough (NYY): 12 Whiffs (88 Pitches)
9. Hayden Birdsong (SF): 11 Whiffs (88 Pitches)
10. Chris Paddack (MIN): 11 Whiffs (90 Pitches)
1. Chris Paddack (MIN): 53.3 Strike%, 28.9 Ball%
2. Ryan Yarbrough (NYY): 52.3 Strike%, 33.0 Ball%
3. Garrett Crochet (BOS): 51.9 Strike%, 35.2 Ball%
4. Keider Montero (DET): 51.9 Strike%, 31.6 Ball%
5. Kevin Gausman (TOR): 51.0 Strike%, 25.0 Ball%
6. Zack Littell (TB): 50.0 Strike%, 27.8 Ball%
7. Chad Patrick (MIL): 49.4 Strike%, 36.7 Ball%
8. Charlie Morton (BAL): 48.8 Strike%, 32.6 Ball%
9. Erick Fedde (STL): 48.4 Strike%, 33.0 Ball%
10. Jameson Taillon (CHC): 47.6 Strike%, 32.9 Ball%
11. Gavin Williams (CLE): 46.8 Strike%, 39.4 Ball%
12. Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LAD): 46.6 Strike%, 37.5 Ball%
13. Hayden Birdsong (SF): 46.6 Strike%, 39.8 Ball%
14. Adrian Houser (CWS): 46.5 Strike%, 38.4 Ball%
15. Ryne Nelson (ARI): 46.4 Strike%, 29.8 Ball%
1. Nick Martinez: 79 Pitches, 21 Outs, 3.76 POUT
2. Zack Littell: 72 Pitches, 19 Outs, 3.79 POUT
3. Kevin Gausman: 96 Pitches, 24 Outs, 4.0 POUT
4. Ryne Nelson: 84 Pitches, 20 Outs, 4.2 POUT
5. Jameson Taillon: 82 Pitches, 19 Outs, 4.32 POUT
6. Jack Kochanowicz: 92 Pitches, 20 Outs, 4.6 POUT
7. Randy Vasquez: 89 Pitches, 19 Outs, 4.68 POUT
8. Charlie Morton: 86 Pitches, 18 Outs, 4.78 POUT
9. Yoshinobu Yamamoto: 88 Pitches, 18 Outs, 4.89 POUT
10. Ryan Yarbrough: 88 Pitches, 18 Outs, 4.89 POUT
Adrian Houser's SI velo (44 pitches) UP 1.6mph to 94.3
Adrian Houser's FF velo (23 pitches) UP 1.5mph to 95.4
Gavin Williams's FC velo (31 pitches) UP 1.5mph to 93.4
Ryan Weathers's FF velo (51 pitches) UP 1.5mph to 97.7
Michael Lorenzen's SI velo (10 pitches) DOWN -1.7mph to 91.9
Keider Montero's FF velo (30 pitches) DOWN -1.7mph to 92.7
Clay Holmes's SI velo (39 pitches) DOWN -1.8mph to 93.5
Andrew Heaney's SI usage (13.5%) up 10.5 points
Erick Fedde's ST usage (33.0%) up 11.2 points
Gavin Williams's FC usage (28.4%) up 17.1 points
Hayden Birdsong's CU usage (28.4%) up 11.5 points
Jack Kochanowicz's ST usage (18.5%) up 11.8 points
Jacob deGrom's FF usage (58.0%) up 11.4 points
Jameson Taillon's CH usage (15.9%) up 10.1 points
Kevin Gausman's FS usage (46.9%) up 10.9 points
Nick Martinez's FC usage (30.4%) up 10.6 points
Ryan Weathers's FF usage (54.3%) up 13.3 points
Ryan Yarbrough's FC usage (30.7%) up 17.3 points
Ryne Nelson's SL usage (21.4%) up 11.7 points
Zack Littell's FS usage (34.7%) up 11.2 points
Davis Martin Cutter: +17.6%
Gavin Williams Cutter: +17.5%
Walker Buehler Slider: +17.4%
Quinn Priester Cutter: -16.8%
Kyle Freeland Sinker: -16.3%
Kyle Freeland Curveball: +16.0%
Davis Martin Slider: -15.4%
Ryan Gusto 4-Seam Fastball: -15.3%
Cal Quantrill Sinker: +13.7%
Jack Kochanowicz Changeup: +13.6%
Emerson Hancock Sinker: -13.4%
Cal Quantrill Split-Finger: -13.4%
Luis L. Ortiz Cutter: -13.1%
Jack Kochanowicz 4-Seam Fastball: -13.1%
Merrill Kelly 4-Seam Fastball: -13.0%
German Marquez Curveball: +12.8%
Kevin Gausman Split-Finger: +12.6%
Edward Cabrera Sinker: +12.3%
Ryan Gusto Cutter: +12.1%
Tarik Skubal - 103 TBF, 38.8% CSW%
Chris Sale - 105 TBF, 35.3% CSW%
Kris Bubic - 99 TBF, 35.1% CSW%
Will Warren - 87 TBF, 35.0% CSW%
Corbin Burnes - 75 TBF, 34.3% CSW%
Dylan Cease - 93 TBF, 34.2% CSW%
Carlos Rodon - 70 TBF, 33.4% CSW%
Matthew Liberatore - 104 TBF, 32.6% CSW%
Dustin May - 75 TBF, 32.5% CSW%
Garrett Crochet - 103 TBF, 32.3% CSW%
Tarik Skubal - 103 TBF, 42.7% K%
Will Warren - 87 TBF, 37.9% K%
MacKenzie Gore - 69 TBF, 36.2% K%
Dylan Cease - 93 TBF, 35.5% K%
Carlos Rodon - 70 TBF, 32.9% K%
Zack Wheeler - 95 TBF, 32.6% K%
Garrett Crochet - 103 TBF, 32.0% K%
Ben Brown - 87 TBF, 31.0% K%
Pablo Lopez - 91 TBF, 30.8% K%
Corbin Burnes - 75 TBF, 30.7% K%
Tarik Skubal - 103 TBF, 40.8% K-BB%
Will Warren - 87 TBF, 32.2% K-BB%
Dylan Cease - 93 TBF, 30.1% K-BB%
Garrett Crochet - 103 TBF, 28.2% K-BB%
Zack Wheeler - 95 TBF, 27.4% K-BB%
Merrill Kelly - 102 TBF, 26.5% K-BB%
Ben Brown - 87 TBF, 26.4% K-BB%
MacKenzie Gore - 69 TBF, 26.1% K-BB%
Sonny Gray - 93 TBF, 25.8% K-BB%
Pablo Lopez - 91 TBF, 25.3% K-BB%
Jose Soriano - 104 TBF, 66.7% GB%
Framber Valdez - 107 TBF, 66.2% GB%
Logan Webb - 80 TBF, 66.1% GB%
Jack Kochanowicz - 101 TBF, 64.6% GB%
Clay Holmes - 96 TBF, 61.8% GB%
Shane Baz - 91 TBF, 60.0% GB%
Cristopher Sanchez - 95 TBF, 59.3% GB%
Grant Holmes - 101 TBF, 58.9% GB%
Nathan Eovaldi - 94 TBF, 58.1% GB%
Drew Rasmussen - 84 TBF, 56.9% GB%
Ben Brown - 87 TBF, 31.0 K%, 4.6 BB%, 44.6% GB%
Cade Povich - 68 TBF, 27.9 K%, 7.4 BB%, 45.5% GB%
Corbin Burnes - 75 TBF, 30.7 K%, 6.7 BB%, 51.1% GB%
Dustin May - 75 TBF, 28.0 K%, 5.3 BB%, 48.9% GB%
Dylan Cease - 93 TBF, 35.5 K%, 5.4 BB%, 46.3% GB%
Edward Cabrera - 60 TBF, 31.7 K%, 6.7 BB%, 54.1% GB%
Garrett Crochet - 103 TBF, 32.0 K%, 3.9 BB%, 45.5% GB%
Graham Ashcraft - 46 TBF, 28.3 K%, 6.5 BB%, 56.7% GB%
Kris Bubic - 99 TBF, 30.3 K%, 7.1 BB%, 46.8% GB%
Max Fried - 96 TBF, 29.2 K%, 5.2 BB%, 55.6% GB%
Merrill Kelly - 102 TBF, 30.4 K%, 3.9 BB%, 53.7% GB%
Robbie Ray - 98 TBF, 28.6 K%, 6.1 BB%, 46.9% GB%
Sonny Gray - 93 TBF, 29.0 K%, 3.2 BB%, 43.5% GB%
Yoshinobu Yamamoto - 93 TBF, 28.0 K%, 7.5 BB%, 55.9% GB%
Zack Wheeler - 95 TBF, 32.6 K%, 5.3 BB%, 52.5% GB%
Unluckiest
Kyle Gibson: 16.77 ERA, 5.12 SIERA
Bradley Blalock: 14.54 ERA, 5.82 SIERA
Eduardo Rodriguez: 12.94 ERA, 5.09 SIERA
Sandy Alcantara: 9.51 ERA, 4.64 SIERA
Tanner Houck: 9.0 ERA, 4.5 SIERA
Ben Brown: 6.75 ERA, 2.82 SIERA
Zach Eflin: 8.22 ERA, 4.69 SIERA
Antonio Senzatela: 8.03 ERA, 4.6 SIERA
Trevor Williams: 7.66 ERA, 4.35 SIERA
Bowden Francis: 7.94 ERA, 4.75 SIERA
Luckiest
Ben Lively: 0.64 ERA, 5.93 SIERA
Noah Cameron: 0.93 ERA, 4.36 SIERA
Andrew Abbott: 0.7 ERA, 4.04 SIERA
Sean Burke: 2.67 ERA, 5.97 SIERA
Bailey Falter: 2.14 ERA, 5.22 SIERA
Ryne Nelson: 1.8 ERA, 4.87 SIERA
Miles Mikolas: 1.63 ERA, 4.68 SIERA
Yusei Kikuchi: 1.91 ERA, 4.84 SIERA
Kodai Senga: 2.0 ERA, 4.75 SIERA
Jeffrey Springs: 2.05 ERA, 4.76 SIERA
Tarik Skubal - +4.9% CSW%, -2.4 BB%
Merrill Kelly - +2.6% CSW%, -4.2 BB%
Mitch Keller - +2.2% CSW%, -1.5 BB%
Erick Fedde - +2.1% CSW%, -2.8 BB%
Dylan Cease - +4.2% CSW%, -3.5 BB%
Michael Soroka - +3.8% CSW%, -5.4 BB%
Matthew Liberatore - +3.0% CSW%, -4.0 BB%
Dustin May - +5.7% CSW%, -3.2 BB%
Charlie Morton - +2.0% CSW%, -3.8 BB%
Ryne Nelson - +2.6% CSW%, -1.5 BB%
Ryan Yarbrough - +8.2% CSW%, -2.5 BB%
Edward Cabrera - +4.6% CSW%, -6.1 BB%
Ronel Blanco - +3.9% CSW%, -3.0 BB%
Eric Lauer - +2.8% CSW%, -4.1 BB%
Riley Greene (DET) 4 PA, 8 Swings, 2 Barrels, 0 HR
Royce Lewis (MIN) 3 PA, 5 Swings, 2 Barrels, 0 HR
Jarren Duran, Yesterday: 117.7 Previous High: 113.9
Randal Grichuk, Yesterday: 115.5 Previous High: 112.3
Wyatt Langford, Yesterday: 113.1 Previous High: 111.9
Jarren Duran (BOS) - 117.7mph - double
Randal Grichuk (ARI) - 115.5mph - single
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) - 115.0mph - home_run
Wyatt Langford (TEX) - 113.1mph - home_run
Junior Caminero (TB) - 112.9mph - field_out
Matt Mervis (MIA) - 111.5mph - nan
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) - 111.1mph - single
Eric Wagaman (MIA) - 111.0mph - field_out
Jesus Sanchez (MIA) - 111.0mph - home_run
Jasson Dominguez (NYY) - 110.7mph - nan
Top 10
Juan Soto - 77 PA, 0.307 wOBA, 0.432 xwOBA, 0.125 Diff
Joey Bart - 61 PA, 0.2 wOBA, 0.324 xwOBA, 0.124 Diff
Ben Rice - 60 PA, 0.313 wOBA, 0.433 xwOBA, 0.12 Diff
Adael Amador - 55 PA, 0.195 wOBA, 0.304 xwOBA, 0.109 Diff
Royce Lewis - 61 PA, 0.187 wOBA, 0.291 xwOBA, 0.104 Diff
Luis Rengifo - 56 PA, 0.245 wOBA, 0.346 xwOBA, 0.101 Diff
George Springer - 70 PA, 0.263 wOBA, 0.362 xwOBA, 0.099 Diff
Michael Busch - 60 PA, 0.327 wOBA, 0.422 xwOBA, 0.095 Diff
Luis Robert - 64 PA, 0.209 wOBA, 0.301 xwOBA, 0.092 Diff
Josh Smith - 73 PA, 0.24 wOBA, 0.327 xwOBA, 0.087 Diff
Bottom 10
Jacob Wilson - 73 PA, 0.443 wOBA, 0.333 xwOBA, -0.11 Diff
Carlos Narvaez - 62 PA, 0.493 wOBA, 0.389 xwOBA, -0.104 Diff
TJ Friedl - 75 PA, 0.448 wOBA, 0.349 xwOBA, -0.099 Diff
Miguel Andujar - 64 PA, 0.341 wOBA, 0.248 xwOBA, -0.093 Diff
Heliot Ramos - 73 PA, 0.457 wOBA, 0.367 xwOBA, -0.09 Diff
Cody Bellinger - 73 PA, 0.477 wOBA, 0.388 xwOBA, -0.089 Diff
Gabriel Moreno - 57 PA, 0.43 wOBA, 0.343 xwOBA, -0.087 Diff
Isaac Paredes - 85 PA, 0.451 wOBA, 0.365 xwOBA, -0.086 Diff
Cam Smith - 58 PA, 0.379 wOBA, 0.295 xwOBA, -0.084 Diff
Freddie Freeman - 81 PA, 0.449 wOBA, 0.367 xwOBA, -0.082 Diff
Taylor Ward: 45.0 PA, +0.187 xwOBA OE
Ezequiel Tovar: 39.0 PA, +0.18 xwOBA OE
Will Smith: 29.0 PA, +0.177 xwOBA OE
Will Benson: 29.0 PA, +0.172 xwOBA OE
Tyrone Taylor: 30.0 PA, +0.146 xwOBA OE
Rafael Devers: 44.0 PA, +0.144 xwOBA OE
Seiya Suzuki: 42.0 PA, +0.143 xwOBA OE
Jasson Dominguez: 32.0 PA, +0.141 xwOBA OE
Jarren Duran: 46.0 PA, +0.131 xwOBA OE
Ketel Marte: 42.0 PA, +0.13 xwOBA OE
Logan O'Hoppe: 37.0 PA, +0.119 xwOBA OE
Zach Neto: 42.0 PA, +0.117 xwOBA OE
Kyle Schwarber: 40.0 PA, +0.115 xwOBA OE
Matt Olson: 32.0 PA, +0.114 xwOBA OE
Gleyber Torres: 38.0 PA, +0.113 xwOBA OE
Trey Sweeney: 32.0 PA, -0.168 xwOBA OE
Josh Smith: 31.0 PA, -0.167 xwOBA OE
Michael Massey: 35.0 PA, -0.153 xwOBA OE
Heston Kjerstad: 33.0 PA, -0.15 xwOBA OE
Willy Adames: 35.0 PA, -0.138 xwOBA OE
Adolis Garcia: 33.0 PA, -0.124 xwOBA OE
Ian Happ: 29.0 PA, -0.121 xwOBA OE
Javier Baez: 28.0 PA, -0.119 xwOBA OE
Mike Yastrzemski: 30.0 PA, -0.117 xwOBA OE
Dylan Moore: 31.0 PA, -0.113 xwOBA OE
Kyle Manzardo: 30.0 PA, -0.112 xwOBA OE
Jake Cronenworth: 32.0 PA, -0.109 xwOBA OE
Nathaniel Lowe: 31.0 PA, -0.105 xwOBA OE
Fernando Tatis Jr.: 38.0 PA, -0.104 xwOBA OE
Ben Williamson: 28.0 PA, -0.101 xwOBA OE
Oneil Cruz - 56 PA, 24 BIP, 8 Brls, 33.3 Brl%
Riley Greene - 78 PA, 44 BIP, 11 Brls, 25.0 Brl%
Will Benson - 50 PA, 37 BIP, 9 Brls, 24.3 Brl%
Shohei Ohtani - 88 PA, 62 BIP, 15 Brls, 24.2 Brl%
Kyle Stowers - 74 PA, 47 BIP, 11 Brls, 23.4 Brl%
Matt Olson - 78 PA, 47 BIP, 11 Brls, 23.4 Brl%
Rowdy Tellez - 47 PA, 30 BIP, 7 Brls, 23.3 Brl%
Taylor Ward - 89 PA, 56 BIP, 13 Brls, 23.2 Brl%
Cal Raleigh - 73 PA, 40 BIP, 9 Brls, 22.5 Brl%
Aaron Judge - 77 PA, 49 BIP, 11 Brls, 22.4 Brl%
Shohei Ohtani - 88 PA, 0.506 xwOBA
Will Benson - 50 PA, 0.495 xwOBA
Will Smith - 63 PA, 0.481 xwOBA
Kyle Schwarber - 85 PA, 0.467 xwOBA
Rafael Devers - 87 PA, 0.46 xwOBA
Ketel Marte - 78 PA, 0.453 xwOBA
Aaron Judge - 77 PA, 0.437 xwOBA
Joc Pederson - 51 PA, 0.437 xwOBA
Nolan Schanuel - 79 PA, 0.433 xwOBA
Ben Rice - 60 PA, 0.433 xwOBA
Jacob Wilson - 73 PA, 114 Swings, 94.7 Cont%
Luis Arraez - 78 PA, 143 Swings, 94.4 Cont%
Chase Meidroth - 71 PA, 96 Swings, 91.7 Cont%
Nico Hoerner - 77 PA, 134 Swings, 91.0 Cont%
Steven Kwan - 76 PA, 127 Swings, 90.6 Cont%
Javier Sanoja - 48 PA, 85 Swings, 89.4 Cont%
Jose Ramirez - 78 PA, 147 Swings, 89.1 Cont%
Sal Frelick - 65 PA, 118 Swings, 89.0 Cont%
Chandler Simpson - 62 PA, 109 Swings, 88.1 Cont%
Isaac Paredes - 85 PA, 134 Swings, 88.1 Cont%
Chandler Simpson - 7 Attempts (6 steals)
Francisco Lindor - 5 Attempts (4 steals)
Trea Turner - 5 Attempts (4 steals)
Jose Caballero - 5 Attempts (5 steals)
Kyle Tucker - 5 Attempts (5 steals)
Dansby Swanson - 4 Attempts (3 steals)
Caleb Durbin - 4 Attempts (3 steals)
Bobby Witt Jr. - 4 Attempts (3 steals)
Luis Robert - 4 Attempts (4 steals)
David Hamilton - 4 Attempts (3 steals)
Xander Bogaerts - 4 Attempts (4 steals)
Gunnar Henderson - 4 Attempts (3 steals)
Chase Meidroth - 4 Attempts (4 steals)
Luis Robert - 14 Attempts (13 steals)
Chandler Simpson - 14 Attempts (12 steals)
Bobby Witt Jr. - 13 Attempts (11 steals)
Trea Turner - 11 Attempts (8 steals)
Jose Ramirez - 10 Attempts (8 steals)
Maikel Garcia - 9 Attempts (7 steals)
Jose Caballero - 9 Attempts (8 steals)
Elly De La Cruz - 9 Attempts (6 steals)
Jackson Chourio - 8 Attempts (7 steals)
Francisco Lindor - 8 Attempts (7 steals)
David Hamilton - 8 Attempts (7 steals)
Shohei Ohtani - 8 Attempts (5 steals)
Matt McLain - 8 Attempts (8 steals)
Victor Scott II - 8 Attempts (7 steals)
Heliot Ramos - 73 PA, 17.8 K%, 15.1 Brl%
Jake Burger - 54 PA, 18.5 K%, 19.0 Brl%
Ketel Marte - 78 PA, 12.8 K%, 20.0 Brl%
Miguel Vargas - 72 PA, 11.1 K%, 16.7 Brl%
Will Benson - 50 PA, 16.0 K%, 24.3 Brl%
Kyle Stowers - 106 PA, +0.171 xwOBA
Will Smith - 92 PA, +0.116 xwOBA
Alejandro Kirk - 82 PA, +0.107 xwOBA
Manny Machado - 109 PA, +0.097 xwOBA
Gleyber Torres - 123 PA, +0.095 xwOBA
Daniel Schneemann - 89 PA, +0.094 xwOBA
Pete Crow-Armstrong - 114 PA, +0.094 xwOBA
Shohei Ohtani - 131 PA, +0.093 xwOBA
Trent Grisham - 105 PA, +0.091 xwOBA
Kyle Schwarber - 119 PA, +0.09 xwOBA
Oneil Cruz - 96 PA, +16.8 Brl%
Riley Greene - 120 PA, +14.3 Brl%
Kyle Stowers - 106 PA, +12.1 Brl%
Taylor Ward - 115 PA, +12.0 Brl%
Pete Crow-Armstrong - 114 PA, +11.6 Brl%
Daulton Varsho - 83 PA, +11.4 Brl%
George Springer - 98 PA, +10.2 Brl%
Ceddanne Rafaela - 102 PA, +9.5 Brl%
Gavin Sheets - 98 PA, +9.2 Brl%
Zach Neto - 121 PA, +9.0 Brl%
Wilyer Abreu - 102 PA, +11.9 Cont%
Max Muncy - 109 PA, +10.7 Cont%
Luis Urias - 106 PA, +9.7 Cont%
Paul Goldschmidt - 103 PA, +9.2 Cont%
Heliot Ramos - 104 PA, +8.9 Cont%
Brent Rooker - 123 PA, +8.7 Cont%
Jake Meyers - 101 PA, +8.4 Cont%
Ryan Jeffers - 87 PA, +7.7 Cont%
Andy Pages - 118 PA, +7.3 Cont%
Trea Turner - 124 PA, +7.2 Cont%
Daniel Schneemann - 89 PA, -13.2 K%
Paul Goldschmidt - 103 PA, -12.0 K%
Jake Meyers - 101 PA, -11.0 K%
Max Muncy - 109 PA, -10.9 K%
Julio Rodriguez - 112 PA, -10.7 K%
Wilyer Abreu - 102 PA, -10.6 K%
Luis Urias - 106 PA, -10.4 K%
Kyle Stowers - 106 PA, -9.7 K%
Eugenio Suarez - 118 PA, -9.7 K%
Shea Langeliers - 96 PA, -9.3 K%
Joc Pederson: +3.7
Bo Bichette: +2.67
C.J. Abrams: +2.6
Nolan Arenado: +2.2
Keibert Ruiz: +1.97
Jorge Polanco: -2.35
Xavier Edwards: -2.18
Nick Castellanos: -2.15
Josh Bell: -2.03
Drake Baldwin: -2.0
Oneil Cruz - +5.4% Contact%, +6.7 mph exit velo, -12.6 Chase%
Seiya Suzuki - +10.0% Contact%, +4.2 mph exit velo, -15.1 Chase%
Zach Neto - +4.0% Contact%, +5.4 mph exit velo, -4.4 Chase%
Isaac Paredes - +4.7% Contact%, +7.5 mph exit velo, -3.3 Chase%
Max Muncy - +7.6% Contact%, +4.2 mph exit velo, -4.1 Chase%
Otto Lopez - +7.3% Contact%, +3.9 mph exit velo, -8.2 Chase%
Brent Rooker - 0.403 xwOBA, 12.5% Brl%, 77.2% Contact%, 20.9% Chase%, 17.5% K%
Gleyber Torres - 0.439 xwOBA, 19.4% Brl%, 79.8% Contact%, 12.0% Chase%, 12.5% K%
Isaac Paredes - 0.38 xwOBA, 10.0% Brl%, 88.0% Contact%, 19.4% Chase%, 9.7% K%
Juan Soto - 0.38 xwOBA, 12.1% Brl%, 80.3% Contact%, 8.9% Chase%, 20.4% K%
Kyle Tucker - 0.405 xwOBA, 11.4% Brl%, 83.7% Contact%, 16.7% Chase%, 14.0% K%
Max Muncy - 0.398 xwOBA, 15.6% Brl%, 80.5% Contact%, 22.0% Chase%, 12.8% K%
Miguel Vargas - 0.417 xwOBA, 21.3% Brl%, 84.5% Contact%, 23.6% Chase%, 12.5% K%
Seiya Suzuki - 0.448 xwOBA, 17.1% Brl%, 83.8% Contact%, 13.9% Chase%, 18.6% K%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. - 0.415 xwOBA, 11.9% Brl%, 84.4% Contact%, 14.6% Chase%, 7.1% K%
Gabriel Arias - 46.5% Whiff%, 71.4% Weak%, 0.956 Cold Rating
Josh Rojas - 34.5% Whiff%, 70.6% Weak%, 0.915 Cold Rating
Trevor Story - 33.3% Whiff%, 71.4% Weak%, 0.908 Cold Rating
J.T. Realmuto - 32.5% Whiff%, 71.4% Weak%, 0.902 Cold Rating
Jorge Soler - 31.4% Whiff%, 72.7% Weak%, 0.9 Cold Rating
Mark Vientos - 34.3% Whiff%, 69.6% Weak%, 0.896 Cold Rating
Ceddanne Rafaela - 30.6% Whiff%, 75.0% Weak%, 0.894 Cold Rating
Fernando Tatis Jr. - 33.3% Whiff%, 69.7% Weak%, 0.889 Cold Rating
Ryan McMahon - 39.8% Whiff%, 66.7% Weak%, 0.887 Cold Rating
Jackson Chourio - 33.3% Whiff%, 66.7% Weak%, 0.848 Cold Rating
Luken Baker (STL): 2/3, 2R, 2HR, 4RBI, 0SB, 36FPts
Mike Siani (STL): 2/4, 1R, 0HR, 1RBI, 3SB, 31FPts
Darren Baker (WSH): 3/4, 0R, 0HR, 3RBI, 1SB, 22FPts
Nick Schnell (WSH): 1/2, 2R, 0HR, 0RBI, 2SB, 21FPts
Chase DeLauter (CLE): 1/3, 1R, 1HR, 1RBI, 0SB, 16FPts
Trey Lipscomb (WSH): 1/3, 1R, 0HR, 0RBI, 1SB, 14FPts
Bryan Torres - 663494 (STL): 1/2, 0R, 0HR, 0RBI, 1SB, 14FPts
Jimmy Crooks III (STL): 2/5, 1R, 0HR, 1RBI, 0SB, 14FPts
Ha-Seong Kim (TB): 2/2, 0R, 0HR, 0RBI, 1SB, 13FPts
Eddie Rosario (MIL): 1/3, 1R, 0HR, 0RBI, 1SB, 12FPts
Curtis Taylor (STL): 77 Pitches, 5IP, 4H, 0ER, 6K, 2BB, 23FPts
Chase Solesky (WSH): 93 Pitches, 5IP, 4H, 1ER, 6K, 2BB, 21FPts
Po-Yu Chen (PIT): 71 Pitches, 5IP, 3H, 0ER, 4K, 2BB, 20FPts
Jacob Misiorowski (MIL): 87 Pitches, 4IP, 5H, 1ER, 8K, 2BB, 18FPts
Vince Velasquez (CLE): 84 Pitches, 4IP, 6H, 2ER, 6K, 2BB, 12FPts
Joe Boyle (TB): 40 Pitches, 2IP, 0H, 0ER, 3K, 3BB, 8FPts
Bradley Hanner (CLE): 23 Pitches, 2IP, 0H, 0ER, 2K, 0BB, 8FPts
Elvin Rodriguez (MIL): 37 Pitches, 2IP, 2H, 0ER, 2K, 0BB, 7FPts
Roel Garcia III (TB): 44 Pitches, 3IP, 2H, 1ER, 2K, 1BB, 6FPts
Roddery Munoz (STL): 21 Pitches, 1IP, 2H, 1ER, 3K, 0BB, 6FPts
Otto Kemp (AAA - PHI) 228 PA 1.027 OPS
Tim Elko (AAA - CWS) 140 PA 1.015 OPS
C.J. Kayfus (AAA - CLE) 178 PA 1.005 OPS
Cam Devanney (AAA - KC) 144 PA 1.0 OPS
Jac Caglianone (AAA - KC) 203 PA 0.996 OPS
Corey Julks (AAA - CWS) 154 PA 0.992 OPS
Ryan Ritter (AAA - COL) 213 PA 0.974 OPS
Roman Anthony (AAA - BOS) 212 PA 0.971 OPS
Carlos Mendoza (AA - DET) 146 PA 0.97 OPS
Jonathon Long (AAA - CHC) 193 PA 0.961 OPS
Samad Taylor (AAA - SEA) 183 PA 0.944 OPS
Yohendrick Pinango (AA - TOR) 171 PA 0.942 OPS
Anthony Seigler (AAA - MIL) 159 PA 0.932 OPS
Dominic Canzone (AAA - SEA) 140 PA 0.932 OPS
Peyton Wilson (AAA - KC) 153 PA 0.923 OPS
Max Anderson (AA - DET) 164 PA 0.921 OPS
Chad Stevens (AAA - LAA) 173 PA 0.918 OPS
Kristian Robinson (AA - ARI) 182 PA 0.917 OPS
Sam Hilliard (AAA - COL) 171 PA 0.912 OPS
Rafael Flores (AA - NYY) 189 PA 0.909 OPS
Jonah Tong (AA - NYM) 38 IP 29.2% K-BB
Mitch Bratt (AA - TEX) 41 IP 26.9% K-BB
Ian Seymour (AAA - TB) 50 IP 24.9% K-BB
Jackson Wolf (AAA - SD) 40 IP 24.7% K-BB
Tyler Uberstine (AAA - BOS) 39 IP 23.8% K-BB
Luis Morales (AAA - OAK) 48 IP 23.7% K-BB
Duncan Davitt (AA - TB) 48 IP 23.5% K-BB
Tekoah Roby (AA - STL) 35 IP 23.3% K-BB
Bubba Chandler (AAA - PIT) 43 IP 23.2% K-BB
Jack Wenninger (AA - NYM) 46 IP 23.1% K-BB
Jacob Misiorowski (AAA - MIL) 56 IP 22.3% K-BB
Brandon Walter (AAA - HOU) 41 IP 22.0% K-BB
Cam Schlittler (AA - NYY) 43 IP 21.1% K-BB
Wilber Dotel (AA - PIT) 39 IP 21.0% K-BB
Gabe Mosser (AA - PHI) 41 IP 20.8% K-BB
Robby Snelling (AA - MIA) 38 IP 20.7% K-BB
Trenton Denholm (AA - CLE) 34 IP 20.7% K-BB
Will Sanders (AA - CHC) 44 IP 20.5% K-BB
Trey Supak (AA - TEX) 35 IP 20.5% K-BB
Aaron Davenport (AAA - CLE) 41 IP 20.5% K-BB
Cade Horton (13.0% Owned): Projected 5.4IP 1.86ER 7.07SO 1.68BB 21.16FPts
Tylor Megill (43.5% Owned): Projected 5.84IP 2.32ER 6.58SO 3.11BB 18.89FPts
Aaron Civale (2.0% Owned): Projected 5.4IP 2.33ER 5.74SO 1.85BB 16.22FPts
Carlos Narvaez - 33 PA, 1.14 OPS
Ryan O'Hearn - 44 PA, 1.128 OPS
Carlos Santana - 30 PA, 1.073 OPS
Ryan Jeffers - 32 PA, 1.046 OPS
Nick Kurtz - 35 PA, 0.998 OPS
Nolan Schanuel - 41 PA, 0.995 OPS
Connor Norby - 34 PA, 0.943 OPS
Josh Palacios - 27 PA, 0.933 OPS
Adam Frazier - 34 PA, 0.925 OPS
Will Benson - 29 PA, 0.916 OPS
Julio Rodriguez CF (0.0% Owned): Projected 0.72R 0.18HR 0.74RBI 0.95SO 0.34BB 0.13SB 9.56FPts
Jared Young 1B (0.0% Owned): Projected 0.68R 0.2HR 0.74RBI 0.76SO 0.47BB 0.06SB 8.82FPts
Pavin Smith RF (10.0% Owned): Projected 0.7R 0.18HR 0.72RBI 0.89SO 0.69BB 0.04SB 8.74FPts
Jasson Dominguez CF (43.5% Owned): Projected 0.64R 0.18HR 0.64RBI 1.11SO 0.51BB 0.16SB 8.73FPts
Dylan Moore RF (44.0% Owned): Projected 0.61R 0.14HR 0.68RBI 1.0SO 0.56BB 0.25SB 8.71FPts
J.P. Crawford SS (9.5% Owned): Projected 0.78R 0.12HR 0.55RBI 0.86SO 0.7BB 0.06SB 8.63FPts
Masyn Winn SS (45.0% Owned): Projected 0.65R 0.12HR 0.57RBI 0.74SO 0.23BB 0.12SB 8.42FPts
Caleb Durbin SS (2.5% Owned): Projected 0.58R 0.1HR 0.58RBI 0.45SO 0.51BB 0.26SB 8.34FPts
Trevor Larnach LF (9.5% Owned): Projected 0.72R 0.16HR 0.51RBI 1.13SO 0.65BB 0.04SB 8.31FPts
Brooks Lee SS (3.0% Owned): Projected 0.59R 0.18HR 0.62RBI 0.64SO 0.34BB 0.05SB 8.22FPts
