Bowden Francis had a great start yesterday. He has turned his season around of late.
5 IP, 3 H, 0 R, 6 K, 1 BB, 16% SwStr%, 33.3% Ball%
He matched his season best in strikeouts, and he’s had double-digit whiffs in his last three.
The key for him yesterday was keeping the ball in the yard. He has given up the highest HR/9 in the league this year. Any time you’re leading the league in that stat, you’re almost surely having some bad luck. Francis’ HR/FB is still up at 28% even after keeping them all in the yard last night.
HR/FB Standouts
Worst:
Tanner Houck 28.1%
Bowden Francis 28.0%
Aaron Nola 27.0%
Andre Pallante 26.5%
Chase Dollander 26.3%
Best:
Tyler Alexander 2.9%
Ben Casparius 3.3%
Max Fried 4.8%
Logan Allen 4.9%
Kodai Senga 4.9%
Remember the second half that Francis had last year?
10 GS, 67 IP, 1.75 ERA, 0.63 WHIP, 24.2% K%, 4.1% BB%, 1.2 HR/9
There was all kinds of luck that went into that, and most people weren’t too interested in drafting Francis this year.
But at the beginning of this year, it had flipped the whole way around to where he was performing in an unsustainbly bad way.
The key change for him this year, I think, is the four-seamer performance. Last year, he posted a 55% Strike% on the pitch. This year, that number is down to 49%. This month (May 2025), it’s at 50%. That’s improvement.
The other thing is that hitters have punished his splitter this year. Last year, it was a nearly unhittable pitch (.201 xwOBA, .169 SLG). This year, it’s been awful (.397 xwOBA, .566 SLG). But he has cleaned that up as well with a .226 xwOBA and a .421 SLG allowed on the pitch in his last four starts.
Francis might be entering “streamer” territory. He’s also an interesting DFS play in the short term, because as we saw last night, his price has really bottomed out.
Let’s take a look at Spencer Strider. He was a bit better last night but still inefficient.
4.2 IP, 1 H, 1 ER, 7 K, 4 BB
The thing we’ve been talking about is the fastball velocity. He’s averaged just 95.2 on the pitch this year. He was at 98.2 in 2022 and 97.2 in 2023.
I think he’ll get back to the 96-97 range before long. And 95 isn’t bad velo, by any means. The bigger problem is that he hasn’t commanded the pitch nearly as well with a 34% Ball%. And it’s turned in just an 8.1% SwStr%.
Strider’s success has primarily come from fastball dominance. So any decrease in the quality of that fastball is going to cost him. But what do you do? I doubt you can trade him right now for a great price, so I think you just hold on and hope that he rounds into shape as we move forward.
Cade Horton qualbanged against the Rockies and had a nice 6:1 K:BB. So he passed the league’s easiest test, which is good news. Let’s check on the pitch mix:
The first number that my eyes go to is the SwStr% on the fastball. And it is bad. A 4.3% SwStr% on 163 pitches is a very bad sign, and he’s not making up for it with a super low Ball%.
So he’s down there with Buehler and Berrios in that Senzatela territory. Scary stuff. The sweeper has been decent though with a 17.3% SwStr% and a 45% Strike%. Neither of those numbers are great, but they are fine. The sweper has been hit in the air a ton (52%) and that has led to a .600 SLG.
I don’t see much to like here. I think Horton is a lower strikeout, high fly ball rate pitcher. And that’s a bad mixture.
The big names pitched well:
→ Rodon: 7 IP, 5 H, 0 R, 10 K, 0 BB
→ Webb: 6 IP, 7 H, 3 ER, 10 K, 1 BB
→ Brown: 6 IP, 6 H, 1 ER, 8 K, 0 BB
I guess Webb’s result wasn’t superb with those seven hits allowed, but the ten strikeouts were a nice surprise. His season K% is up to 28%, way ihgher than we usually get from Webb (20.5% last year).
Rodon is on one of his runs where he looks like a total stud. This start was a cake matchup with the Angels, but you can’t compalin at all abuot what the guy has done since April 18th:
1.27 ERA, 0.85 WHIP, 32.5% K%, 7.3% BB%, 0.54 HR/9
Sometimes I do think it’s useful to forgive every SP their first 2-3 starts. WIt’s okay sometimes to erase the first two weeks of thes eason and then check the SP leaderboard. Guys are rstill getting going, weather is super weird, and there’s just a lot of extra randomness and business in those first couple of weeks. So let’s chop off the first two weeks and start at April 10th. We’ll go to five starts minimum and sort by JA ERA, which is now the most important baseball statistic ever made.
Tarik Skubal 0.84
Cole Ragans 1.57
Joe Ryan 1.61
Hunter Greene 1.83
Zack Wheeler 2.08
MacKenzie Gore 2.09
Hunter Brown 2.27
Pablo Lopez 2.30
Carlos Rodon 2.32
Garrett Crochet 2.37
Michael King 2.41
Will Warren 2.45
Merrill Kelly 2.46
Yoshinobu Yamamoto 2.47
Logan Webb 2.49
Chris Sale 2.49
Nick Pivetta 2.52
Dylan Cease 2.57
Jack Flaherty 2.59
Nathan Eovaldi 2.61
Ben Brown 2.67
Bryan Woo 2.76
Kevin Gausman 2.83
Cristopher Sanchez 2.85
Tylor Megill 2.89
Let’s show a screenshot of the lower-owned SPs on this list.
Ben Brown is interesting to me. He has gotten smacked in two straight starts, but the underlying numbers are still pretty interesting. The 13.5% SwStr% and 31.9% Ball% are very good, and the JA ERA likes him. He’s given up a .382 BABIP and a 62% LOB%. Very, very bad luck. I have him on my home league team and can’t seem to get myself to cut him.
Let’s look at some of these bad luck SPs.
The SPs getting torched by BABIP:
And the lowest LOB%:
The guys on both lists:
You still have to be intelligent about this. Neither BABIP nor LOB% are completely out of the pitcher’s control. Bad pitchers will usually put up bad LOB%, because they just aren’t good at getting hitters out ina ny situation. The two names that really stand out here are Cole Ragans and Ben Brown. Because both guys have strikeout stuff and at least decent command. They should improve in these two metrics.
Expanding it a bit to find a few more bad luck SPs to buy low on:
E-Rod is hurt, so you don’t have to worry about him. Houck is bad, so I wouldn’t be looking him in standard leagues either. But Nola is a decent buy-low here, and Dobbins could be a sneaky add for the rest of the season as long as he stays in the Red Sox rotation.
One more SP to mention - Richard Fitts. He got back from IL last night, even though that wasn’t the original plan. He had the rehab cut short so he could throw a few innings for Boston last night. He threw just 44 pitches, so that sets him up for 60-70 next time, and that’s not something you want to use a fantasy start on.
His season K-BB% is bad at 11%, but he’s thrown just 293 pitches so it’s hard to judge. The good news is the 13% SwStr% and 30.7% Ball%. His fastball has been good, and he has a decent slider/sweeper/curve trio behind it. I’m watching him closely as we move forward.
I talked about German Marquez last week becaues he finally had a non-awful start. And he had a pretty good one last night as well. His last two:
13 IP, 11 H, 3 ER, 11 K, 3 BB, 16% SwStr%, 32.5% Ball%
This curveball has been electric in the last two starts with a 31.8% SwStr% and 56% Strike%. I picked a random video of Marquez getting a whiff on his curveball last night, and it happens to make PCA look really stupid and dumb so HAH:
It looks like most of Marquez’ good marks on the curveball were courtesy of PCA. He was flummoxed last night.
Marquez stuck him out twice on the curveball and got four whiffs from him.
PCA chases a lot of bad pitches, but that’s beside the point. The thing I’m trying to say is that maybe we shouldn’t stack hitters all the time against Marquez. Nobody should add him to a fantasy team, but maybe he’s good enough to warrant the not-auto-stack-against treatment.
Jose Altuve double-donged last night in a good matchup with JP Sears and the A’s bullpen. He has been much, much better of late.
Let’s check the time splits on him, using that Hit Time Split tab on the main dashboard, which I’ve been using a lot lately.
Last 30:
Last 15:
Last 7:
Lots more zone contact of late, and much better quality of contact as well. He’s 10th in xwOBA OE in the last seven:
Really useful dashboard there, and I encourage you all to check it out. Let’s check lower-owned hitters in xwOBA OE over the last 30 days:
So no slow-downs from guys like Kyle Stowers, Ryan O’Hearn, and Daniel Schneemann. And I kind of expected all three of those guys to cool down.
How about a look at Matt Shaw since his return to the bigs.
34 PA, .355/.412/.516, 20.6% K%, 8.8% BB%, 4.2% Brl%, .294 xBA, .356 xwOBA, 92% Z-Contact%, 100.5 EV90, 38% GB%, .458 BABIP
He is making a lot of contact and hitting a ton of line drives (38% LD% - super high), but he has not hit the ball very hard and the BABIP is inflated. He’s added three steals (two last night), and that has made him a very useful fantasy bat.
The exit velocity is a bit concerning. His EV90 is under 101 for the year on 64 balls in play. He posted a 105.5 EV90 on his 79 AAA balls in play, so that’s encouraging.
But his bat speed in the Majors has been really low. He’s down there around Nico Hoerner territory.
I’m not sure how much that means. Bat speed isn’t the most useful stat in terms of predicting outcomes. His bat speed is higher than Taylor Ward, and he’s had no trouble hitting homers this year. So this is far from some death sentence on his power potential, and Shaw had no trouble hitting dingers in the minors.
But maybe we’re viewing him as more of a batting average + steals guy in fantasy leagues than a 20-homer threat right out of the chute here. Either way, he has really improved in making contact and the launch angle stuff has looked fantastic. And since he’s very willing to steal bags, I think he’s a good add in 12-teamers or deeper.
One more thing! Kody Clemens. This is Roger Clemens’ son. He’s been around the Majors a good bit over the last four seasons. But it hasn’t been great:
463 PA, .213/.264/.411, .675 OPS, 26% K%, 5.8% BB%, 19 HR, 1 SB
But things are looking up right now. In 2025:
.268/.359/.607, .967 OPS, 26.6% K%, 9.4% BB%, 17.9% Brl%, .316 xBA, .442 xwOBA
The EV90 is there at 107.4. And that’s good. It would be kind of disappointing if Roger Clemens’ kid was a whimp.
It’s only 64 PAs, and the longer history still means a lot more than this short sample. But he swings hard and gets the ball into the air (33% GB%). So, if the K% can stay under control (under 27% or so), it’s believable that he can put up a decent home run total.
At the same time, this was a guy who was traded already this season. The Phillies shipped him to Minnesota for cash considerations. So nobody seems to really believe in him, and the track record shows you why. I wouldn’t spend any sort of resource to get Clemens. But if you need some dingers in a 15-team league or something like that, go for it.
1. Bowden Francis
2. Carlos Rodon
3. Logan Webb
4. German Marquez
5. Aaron Civale
6. Taj Bradley
7. Tylor Megill
8. Jack Flaherty
9. Hunter Brown
10. Cade Horton
11. Andre Pallante
12. Joe Ryan
13. Spencer Strider
14. Mitchell Parker
15. Tyler Anderson
16. Ranger Suarez
17. Dustin May
18. Mike Burrows
19. Tanner Bibee
20. Corbin Burnes
21. Logan Evans
22. Jonathan Cannon
23. Stephen Kolek
24. Brady Singer
25. JP Sears
26. Tomoyuki Sugano
27. Max Meyer
1. Carlos Rodon (vs. LAA): 36.75 Points
2. Jack Flaherty (vs. SF): 31.7 Points
3. Ranger Suarez (vs. ATL): 29.3 Points
4. Hunter Brown (vs. ATH): 27.9 Points
5. Logan Evans (vs. WSH): 25.0 Points
6. Dustin May (vs. CLE): 23.65 Points
7. Logan Webb (vs. DET): 22.7 Points
8. Joe Ryan (vs. TB): 21.9 Points
9. Bowden Francis (vs. TEX): 20.85 Points
10. Taj Bradley (vs. MIN): 20.15 Points
1. Carlos Rodon (NYY): 21 Whiffs (105 Pitches)
2. Logan Webb (SF): 20 Whiffs (104 Pitches)
3. Taj Bradley (TB): 14 Whiffs (91 Pitches)
4. Tylor Megill (NYM): 14 Whiffs (100 Pitches)
5. Jack Flaherty (DET): 13 Whiffs (97 Pitches)
6. German Marquez (COL): 13 Whiffs (84 Pitches)
7. Bowden Francis (TOR): 12 Whiffs (75 Pitches)
8. Andre Pallante (STL): 12 Whiffs (96 Pitches)
9. Ranger Suarez (PHI): 11 Whiffs (103 Pitches)
10. Joe Ryan (MIN): 11 Whiffs (85 Pitches)
1. Dustin May (LAD): 53.3 Strike%, 36.7 Ball%
2. Aaron Civale (MIL): 53.2 Strike%, 30.4 Ball%
3. Jack Flaherty (DET): 52.6 Strike%, 36.1 Ball%
4. Hunter Brown (HOU): 52.3 Strike%, 33.0 Ball%
5. Jacob Latz (TEX): 52.0 Strike%, 34.0 Ball%
6. Mitchell Parker (WSH): 51.8 Strike%, 29.4 Ball%
7. Bowden Francis (TOR): 50.7 Strike%, 33.3 Ball%
8. Carlos Rodon (NYY): 50.5 Strike%, 34.3 Ball%
9. German Marquez (COL): 50.0 Strike%, 27.4 Ball%
10. Tylor Megill (NYM): 50.0 Strike%, 36.0 Ball%
11. Logan Evans (SEA): 48.9 Strike%, 26.1 Ball%
12. Tanner Bibee (CLE): 48.4 Strike%, 37.9 Ball%
13. Cade Horton (CHC): 48.2 Strike%, 33.7 Ball%
14. Logan Webb (SF): 48.1 Strike%, 38.5 Ball%
15. Valente Bellozo (MIA): 47.5 Strike%, 39.0 Ball%
1. Logan Evans: 88 Pitches, 24 Outs, 3.67 POUT
2. Taj Bradley: 91 Pitches, 21 Outs, 4.33 POUT
3. German Marquez: 84 Pitches, 18 Outs, 4.67 POUT
4. Brady Singer: 99 Pitches, 21 Outs, 4.71 POUT
5. Cade Horton: 83 Pitches, 17 Outs, 4.88 POUT
6. Hunter Brown: 88 Pitches, 18 Outs, 4.89 POUT
7. Corbin Burnes: 103 Pitches, 21 Outs, 4.9 POUT
8. Carlos Rodon: 105 Pitches, 21 Outs, 5.0 POUT
9. Joe Ryan: 85 Pitches, 17 Outs, 5.0 POUT
10. Bowden Francis: 75 Pitches, 15 Outs, 5.0 POUT
Valente Bellozo's FF velo (20 pitches) UP 2.1mph to 91.7
Aaron Civale's FF usage (22.8%) up 11.1 points
Bowden Francis's FF usage (68.0%) up 14.9 points
Brady Singer's FC usage (17.2%) up 14.2 points
Corbin Burnes's FC usage (58.3%) up 10.4 points
Dustin May's FC usage (17.8%) up 13.5 points
German Marquez's FF usage (41.7%) up 10.9 points
German Marquez's CU usage (38.1%) up 12.6 points
Hunter Brown's SI usage (48.9%) up 24.5 points
Jacob Latz's CH usage (34.0%) up 10.7 points
Logan Evans's CU usage (22.7%) up 12.2 points
Max Meyer's SI usage (18.9%) up 11.1 points
Mitchell Parker's CU usage (31.8%) up 10.4 points
Tanner Bibee's ST usage (20.0%) up 11.1 points
Tanner Bibee's SI usage (14.7%) up 10.3 points
Davis Martin Cutter: +17.6%
Gavin Williams Cutter: +17.5%
German Marquez Curveball: +17.4%
Walker Buehler Slider: +17.4%
Quinn Priester Cutter: -16.8%
Kyle Freeland Sinker: -16.3%
Kyle Freeland Curveball: +16.0%
Davis Martin Slider: -15.4%
Ryan Gusto 4-Seam Fastball: -15.3%
Cal Quantrill Sinker: +13.7%
Jack Kochanowicz Changeup: +13.6%
German Marquez Slider: -13.5%
Emerson Hancock Sinker: -13.4%
Cal Quantrill Split-Finger: -13.4%
Luis L. Ortiz Cutter: -13.1%
Jack Kochanowicz 4-Seam Fastball: -13.1%
Merrill Kelly 4-Seam Fastball: -13.0%
Kevin Gausman Split-Finger: +12.6%
Edward Cabrera Sinker: +12.3%
Ryan Gusto Cutter: +12.1%
Tarik Skubal - 103 TBF, 38.8% CSW%
Kris Bubic - 99 TBF, 35.1% CSW%
Will Warren - 87 TBF, 35.0% CSW%
Dylan Cease - 93 TBF, 34.2% CSW%
Chris Sale - 77 TBF, 34.1% CSW%
Carlos Rodon - 96 TBF, 33.4% CSW%
Corbin Burnes - 105 TBF, 32.9% CSW%
Tylor Megill - 83 TBF, 32.6% CSW%
Dustin May - 95 TBF, 32.4% CSW%
Garrett Crochet - 103 TBF, 32.3% CSW%
Tarik Skubal - 103 TBF, 42.7% K%
Will Warren - 87 TBF, 37.9% K%
MacKenzie Gore - 69 TBF, 36.2% K%
Dylan Cease - 93 TBF, 35.5% K%
Carlos Rodon - 96 TBF, 34.4% K%
Tylor Megill - 83 TBF, 32.5% K%
Garrett Crochet - 103 TBF, 32.0% K%
Dustin May - 95 TBF, 31.6% K%
Hunter Brown - 95 TBF, 31.6% K%
Jack Flaherty - 83 TBF, 31.3% K%
Tarik Skubal - 103 TBF, 40.8% K-BB%
Will Warren - 87 TBF, 32.2% K-BB%
Dylan Cease - 93 TBF, 30.1% K-BB%
Garrett Crochet - 103 TBF, 28.2% K-BB%
Carlos Rodon - 96 TBF, 28.1% K-BB%
Merrill Kelly - 102 TBF, 26.5% K-BB%
Ben Brown - 87 TBF, 26.4% K-BB%
MacKenzie Gore - 69 TBF, 26.1% K-BB%
Sonny Gray - 93 TBF, 25.8% K-BB%
Dustin May - 95 TBF, 25.3% K-BB%
Jose Soriano - 104 TBF, 66.7% GB%
Framber Valdez - 107 TBF, 66.2% GB%
Jack Kochanowicz - 101 TBF, 64.6% GB%
Clay Holmes - 96 TBF, 61.8% GB%
Andre Pallante - 106 TBF, 60.3% GB%
Logan Webb - 106 TBF, 60.3% GB%
Shane Baz - 91 TBF, 60.0% GB%
Cristopher Sanchez - 95 TBF, 59.3% GB%
Grant Holmes - 101 TBF, 58.9% GB%
Nathan Eovaldi - 80 TBF, 58.5% GB%
Ben Brown - 87 TBF, 31.0 K%, 4.6 BB%, 44.6% GB%
Corbin Burnes - 105 TBF, 27.6 K%, 6.7 BB%, 54.4% GB%
Dustin May - 95 TBF, 31.6 K%, 6.3 BB%, 48.2% GB%
Dylan Cease - 93 TBF, 35.5 K%, 5.4 BB%, 46.3% GB%
Edward Cabrera - 60 TBF, 31.7 K%, 6.7 BB%, 54.1% GB%
Garrett Crochet - 103 TBF, 32.0 K%, 3.9 BB%, 45.5% GB%
Kris Bubic - 99 TBF, 30.3 K%, 7.1 BB%, 46.8% GB%
Max Fried - 96 TBF, 29.2 K%, 5.2 BB%, 55.6% GB%
Merrill Kelly - 102 TBF, 30.4 K%, 3.9 BB%, 53.7% GB%
Paul Skenes - 77 TBF, 29.9 K%, 7.8 BB%, 50.0% GB%
Robbie Ray - 98 TBF, 28.6 K%, 6.1 BB%, 46.9% GB%
Slade Cecconi - 45 TBF, 31.1 K%, 4.4 BB%, 44.8% GB%
Sonny Gray - 93 TBF, 29.0 K%, 3.2 BB%, 43.5% GB%
Yoshinobu Yamamoto - 93 TBF, 28.0 K%, 7.5 BB%, 55.9% GB%
Zack Wheeler - 71 TBF, 31.0 K%, 7.0 BB%, 52.3% GB%
Unluckiest
Kyle Gibson: 16.77 ERA, 5.1 SIERA
Eduardo Rodriguez: 12.94 ERA, 5.06 SIERA
Sandy Alcantara: 9.51 ERA, 4.62 SIERA
Osvaldo Bido: 9.75 ERA, 5.18 SIERA
Aaron Nola: 7.98 ERA, 3.62 SIERA
Ben Brown: 6.75 ERA, 2.71 SIERA
Tanner Houck: 9.0 ERA, 4.99 SIERA
Jordan Hicks: 6.75 ERA, 3.15 SIERA
Zach Eflin: 8.22 ERA, 4.66 SIERA
Trevor Williams: 7.66 ERA, 4.33 SIERA
Luckiest
Ben Lively: 0.64 ERA, 6.16 SIERA
Bailey Falter: 0.92 ERA, 5.2 SIERA
Noah Cameron: 0.93 ERA, 4.34 SIERA
Andrew Abbott: 0.7 ERA, 4.02 SIERA
Sean Burke: 2.67 ERA, 5.94 SIERA
Miles Mikolas: 1.63 ERA, 4.66 SIERA
Kris Bubic: 0.56 ERA, 3.45 SIERA
Kodai Senga: 2.0 ERA, 4.73 SIERA
Ryne Nelson: 1.8 ERA, 4.39 SIERA
Jeffrey Springs: 2.05 ERA, 4.63 SIERA
Tarik Skubal - +4.9% CSW%, -2.4 BB%
Erick Fedde - +2.1% CSW%, -2.8 BB%
Carlos Rodon - +4.1% CSW%, -2.3 BB%
Matthew Liberatore - +3.0% CSW%, -4.0 BB%
Merrill Kelly - +2.7% CSW%, -2.8 BB%
Mitch Keller - +2.0% CSW%, -3.8 BB%
Dylan Cease - +3.7% CSW%, -4.6 BB%
Ryne Nelson - +2.6% CSW%, -1.5 BB%
Edward Cabrera - +4.6% CSW%, -6.1 BB%
Ryan Yarbrough - +8.2% CSW%, -2.5 BB%
Charlie Morton - +3.9% CSW%, -3.6 BB%
Ronel Blanco - +3.9% CSW%, -3.0 BB%
Eric Lauer - +2.8% CSW%, -4.1 BB%
Brenton Doyle (COL) 5 PA, 7 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Cal Raleigh (SEA) 5 PA, 12 Swings, 2 Barrels, 2 HR
Cam Smith (HOU) 4 PA, 13 Swings, 2 Barrels, 0 HR
Elly De La Cruz (CIN) 4 PA, 6 Swings, 2 Barrels, 2 HR
Gabriel Arias (CLE) 4 PA, 9 Swings, 2 Barrels, 0 HR
Henry Davis (PIT) 3 PA, 3 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) 5 PA, 7 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Travis d'Arnaud (LAA) 4 PA, 8 Swings, 2 Barrels, 0 HR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 5 PA, 9 Swings, 2 Barrels, 0 HR
Riley Greene, Yesterday: 114.5 Previous High: 114.4
Vinnie Pasquantino, Yesterday: 114.4 Previous High: 113.7
Riley Greene (DET) - 114.5mph - double
Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) - 114.4mph - field_out
Jordan Walker (STL) - 114.4mph - single
Pete Alonso (NYM) - 113.1mph - home_run
James Wood (WSH) - 112.8mph - home_run
Elly De La Cruz (CIN) - 112.5mph - home_run
Oneil Cruz (PIT) - 111.9mph - field_error
Cal Raleigh (SEA) - 111.9mph - home_run
Oswald Peraza (NYY) - 111.8mph - home_run
Rafael Devers (BOS) - 111.7mph - nan
Top 10
Juan Soto - 77 PA, 0.288 wOBA, 0.426 xwOBA, 0.138 Diff
Ben Rice - 60 PA, 0.305 wOBA, 0.442 xwOBA, 0.137 Diff
George Springer - 70 PA, 0.259 wOBA, 0.373 xwOBA, 0.114 Diff
Yandy Diaz - 64 PA, 0.237 wOBA, 0.35 xwOBA, 0.113 Diff
Joey Bart - 62 PA, 0.208 wOBA, 0.318 xwOBA, 0.11 Diff
Adael Amador - 59 PA, 0.194 wOBA, 0.301 xwOBA, 0.107 Diff
Royce Lewis - 57 PA, 0.2 wOBA, 0.298 xwOBA, 0.098 Diff
Josh Smith - 72 PA, 0.209 wOBA, 0.304 xwOBA, 0.095 Diff
Marcus Semien - 77 PA, 0.215 wOBA, 0.308 xwOBA, 0.093 Diff
Matt Chapman - 70 PA, 0.266 wOBA, 0.358 xwOBA, 0.092 Diff
Bottom 10
TJ Friedl - 75 PA, 0.463 wOBA, 0.351 xwOBA, -0.112 Diff
Jacob Wilson - 73 PA, 0.433 wOBA, 0.331 xwOBA, -0.102 Diff
Jeremy Pena - 84 PA, 0.409 wOBA, 0.319 xwOBA, -0.09 Diff
Gabriel Moreno - 61 PA, 0.428 wOBA, 0.343 xwOBA, -0.085 Diff
Miguel Andujar - 63 PA, 0.332 wOBA, 0.253 xwOBA, -0.079 Diff
Isaac Paredes - 85 PA, 0.435 wOBA, 0.356 xwOBA, -0.079 Diff
Jose Ramirez - 72 PA, 0.466 wOBA, 0.387 xwOBA, -0.079 Diff
Carlos Narvaez - 63 PA, 0.476 wOBA, 0.398 xwOBA, -0.078 Diff
Aaron Judge - 78 PA, 0.477 wOBA, 0.409 xwOBA, -0.068 Diff
Cody Bellinger - 73 PA, 0.455 wOBA, 0.393 xwOBA, -0.062 Diff
Ketel Marte: 36.0 PA, +0.169 xwOBA OE
Seiya Suzuki: 42.0 PA, +0.156 xwOBA OE
Will Benson: 29.0 PA, +0.147 xwOBA OE
Nick Kurtz: 30.0 PA, +0.141 xwOBA OE
Taylor Ward: 44.0 PA, +0.139 xwOBA OE
Gleyber Torres: 38.0 PA, +0.132 xwOBA OE
Ryan O'Hearn: 42.0 PA, +0.131 xwOBA OE
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: 40.0 PA, +0.124 xwOBA OE
Kyle Tucker: 40.0 PA, +0.123 xwOBA OE
Ezequiel Tovar: 38.0 PA, +0.115 xwOBA OE
Eric Wagaman: 40.0 PA, +0.114 xwOBA OE
Logan O'Hoppe: 33.0 PA, +0.11 xwOBA OE
Michael Busch: 29.0 PA, +0.108 xwOBA OE
Miguel Vargas: 39.0 PA, +0.098 xwOBA OE
Tyler Stephenson: 33.0 PA, +0.096 xwOBA OE
Heston Kjerstad: 33.0 PA, -0.175 xwOBA OE
Trey Sweeney: 34.0 PA, -0.166 xwOBA OE
Adolis Garcia: 32.0 PA, -0.143 xwOBA OE
Josh Smith: 30.0 PA, -0.125 xwOBA OE
Fernando Tatis Jr.: 39.0 PA, -0.119 xwOBA OE
Santiago Espinal: 38.0 PA, -0.119 xwOBA OE
Michael Massey: 36.0 PA, -0.119 xwOBA OE
Kyle Manzardo: 30.0 PA, -0.113 xwOBA OE
Jonathan Aranda: 30.0 PA, -0.112 xwOBA OE
Matt McLain: 31.0 PA, -0.111 xwOBA OE
Angel Martinez: 31.0 PA, -0.106 xwOBA OE
Luis Arraez: 37.0 PA, -0.102 xwOBA OE
J.T. Realmuto: 33.0 PA, -0.1 xwOBA OE
Jordan Beck: 45.0 PA, -0.098 xwOBA OE
Willy Adames: 35.0 PA, -0.098 xwOBA OE
Oneil Cruz - 57 PA, 26 BIP, 8 Brls, 30.8 Brl%
Cal Raleigh - 77 PA, 42 BIP, 11 Brls, 26.2 Brl%
Riley Greene - 82 PA, 47 BIP, 12 Brls, 25.5 Brl%
Will Benson - 54 PA, 38 BIP, 9 Brls, 23.7 Brl%
Matt Olson - 78 PA, 47 BIP, 11 Brls, 23.4 Brl%
Shohei Ohtani - 87 PA, 60 BIP, 14 Brls, 23.3 Brl%
Juan Soto - 77 PA, 48 BIP, 11 Brls, 22.9 Brl%
Kyle Stowers - 75 PA, 48 BIP, 11 Brls, 22.9 Brl%
Michael Conforto - 62 PA, 36 BIP, 8 Brls, 22.2 Brl%
Nick Kurtz - 58 PA, 36 BIP, 8 Brls, 22.2 Brl%
Shohei Ohtani - 87 PA, 0.496 xwOBA
Will Smith - 58 PA, 0.483 xwOBA
Will Benson - 54 PA, 0.481 xwOBA
Ketel Marte - 73 PA, 0.48 xwOBA
Ezequiel Tovar - 48 PA, 0.46 xwOBA
Rafael Devers - 88 PA, 0.447 xwOBA
Kyle Schwarber - 84 PA, 0.446 xwOBA
Ben Rice - 60 PA, 0.442 xwOBA
Nolan Schanuel - 79 PA, 0.44 xwOBA
Ryan McMahon - 81 PA, 0.43 xwOBA
Luis Arraez - 79 PA, 148 Swings, 95.3 Cont%
Jacob Wilson - 73 PA, 112 Swings, 94.6 Cont%
Chase Meidroth - 71 PA, 97 Swings, 91.8 Cont%
Nico Hoerner - 77 PA, 133 Swings, 91.0 Cont%
Javier Sanoja - 50 PA, 88 Swings, 89.8 Cont%
Steven Kwan - 70 PA, 111 Swings, 89.2 Cont%
Isaac Paredes - 85 PA, 135 Swings, 88.9 Cont%
Sal Frelick - 69 PA, 125 Swings, 88.8 Cont%
Jose Ramirez - 72 PA, 136 Swings, 88.2 Cont%
Adley Rutschman - 68 PA, 126 Swings, 88.1 Cont%
Chandler Simpson - 6 Attempts (5 steals)
Bobby Witt Jr. - 5 Attempts (4 steals)
Trea Turner - 5 Attempts (4 steals)
Francisco Lindor - 5 Attempts (4 steals)
Jorge Mateo - 5 Attempts (5 steals)
Jose Caballero - 5 Attempts (5 steals)
Luis Robert - 4 Attempts (4 steals)
Caleb Durbin - 4 Attempts (3 steals)
Chase Meidroth - 4 Attempts (3 steals)
Matt Shaw - 4 Attempts (4 steals)
Jordan Beck - 4 Attempts (2 steals)
Gunnar Henderson - 4 Attempts (3 steals)
Bobby Witt Jr. - 14 Attempts (12 steals)
Chandler Simpson - 13 Attempts (11 steals)
Luis Robert - 12 Attempts (11 steals)
Jose Ramirez - 11 Attempts (9 steals)
Jose Caballero - 11 Attempts (10 steals)
Trea Turner - 10 Attempts (8 steals)
Maikel Garcia - 9 Attempts (7 steals)
Matt McLain - 8 Attempts (8 steals)
Shohei Ohtani - 8 Attempts (5 steals)
Victor Scott II - 8 Attempts (7 steals)
Jackson Chourio - 8 Attempts (7 steals)
Elly De La Cruz - 8 Attempts (6 steals)
David Hamilton - 8 Attempts (7 steals)
Francisco Lindor - 8 Attempts (7 steals)
Chase Meidroth - 8 Attempts (7 steals)
Dansby Swanson - 75 PA, 18.7 K%, 15.4 Brl%
Ketel Marte - 73 PA, 11.0 K%, 21.1 Brl%
Miguel Vargas - 72 PA, 12.5 K%, 18.3 Brl%
Will Benson - 54 PA, 18.5 K%, 23.7 Brl%
Kyle Stowers - 107 PA, +0.134 xwOBA
Will Smith - 88 PA, +0.121 xwOBA
Gleyber Torres - 117 PA, +0.111 xwOBA
Daniel Schneemann - 85 PA, +0.109 xwOBA
Alejandro Kirk - 86 PA, +0.105 xwOBA
Pete Crow-Armstrong - 115 PA, +0.097 xwOBA
Ryan McMahon - 107 PA, +0.092 xwOBA
Colt Keith - 80 PA, +0.091 xwOBA
Trent Grisham - 110 PA, +0.09 xwOBA
Miguel Vargas - 109 PA, +0.089 xwOBA
Riley Greene - 116 PA, +13.5 Brl%
Oneil Cruz - 96 PA, +13.4 Brl%
Taylor Ward - 115 PA, +12.1 Brl%
Pete Crow-Armstrong - 115 PA, +11.6 Brl%
Kyle Stowers - 107 PA, +10.7 Brl%
Daulton Varsho - 87 PA, +10.4 Brl%
Gavin Sheets - 99 PA, +10.4 Brl%
Tyler Stephenson - 80 PA, +10.1 Brl%
George Springer - 102 PA, +9.5 Brl%
Corbin Carroll - 123 PA, +9.4 Brl%
Wilyer Abreu - 102 PA, +13.0 Cont%
Luis Urias - 105 PA, +11.2 Cont%
Max Muncy - 110 PA, +10.8 Cont%
Paul Goldschmidt - 107 PA, +9.6 Cont%
Brandon Lowe - 103 PA, +9.1 Cont%
Jake Meyers - 102 PA, +9.1 Cont%
Brent Rooker - 124 PA, +9.0 Cont%
Heliot Ramos - 104 PA, +8.7 Cont%
Julio Rodriguez - 111 PA, +8.5 Cont%
Brenton Doyle - 117 PA, +7.8 Cont%
Julio Rodriguez - 111 PA, -13.4 K%
Paul Goldschmidt - 107 PA, -12.5 K%
Daniel Schneemann - 85 PA, -12.0 K%
Max Muncy - 110 PA, -11.9 K%
Wilyer Abreu - 102 PA, -11.6 K%
Luis Urias - 105 PA, -11.3 K%
Jake Meyers - 102 PA, -11.3 K%
Miguel Vargas - 109 PA, -9.2 K%
Jackson Holliday - 111 PA, -9.1 K%
Eugenio Suarez - 118 PA, -8.9 K%
Joc Pederson: +3.7
Bo Bichette: +2.67
C.J. Abrams: +2.62
Nolan Arenado: +2.2
Andrew Benintendi: +1.95
Jorge Polanco: -2.35
Xavier Edwards: -2.18
Nick Castellanos: -2.15
Josh Bell: -2.03
Drake Baldwin: -2.0
Oneil Cruz - +3.6% Contact%, +6.9 mph exit velo, -9.8 Chase%
Bryan Reynolds - +3.7% Contact%, +5.3 mph exit velo, -4.7 Chase%
Seiya Suzuki - +3.3% Contact%, +5.0 mph exit velo, -8.6 Chase%
Cody Bellinger - +5.2% Contact%, +4.1 mph exit velo, -3.4 Chase%
Otto Lopez - +8.9% Contact%, +4.2 mph exit velo, -8.6 Chase%
Adley Rutschman - +7.4% Contact%, +5.0 mph exit velo, -10.8 Chase%
Max Muncy - +9.4% Contact%, +4.5 mph exit velo, -3.4 Chase%
Will Benson - +4.6% Contact%, +6.9 mph exit velo, -5.6 Chase%
Alec Burleson - +9.0% Contact%, +4.4 mph exit velo, -10.8 Chase%
Austin Wells - +5.9% Contact%, +3.5 mph exit velo, -3.1 Chase%
Brent Rooker - 0.395 xwOBA, 11.6% Brl%, 76.6% Contact%, 22.2% Chase%, 18.0% K%
Gleyber Torres - 0.393 xwOBA, 17.6% Brl%, 77.5% Contact%, 12.8% Chase%, 16.1% K%
Juan Soto - 0.381 xwOBA, 15.2% Brl%, 82.4% Contact%, 7.3% Chase%, 20.8% K%
Max Muncy - 0.413 xwOBA, 16.7% Brl%, 80.9% Contact%, 21.3% Chase%, 11.5% K%
Seiya Suzuki - 0.44 xwOBA, 16.7% Brl%, 81.4% Contact%, 14.0% Chase%, 20.0% K%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. - 0.435 xwOBA, 15.6% Brl%, 83.7% Contact%, 14.4% Chase%, 8.2% K%
Mark Vientos - 34.3% Whiff%, 72.7% Weak%, 0.919 Cold Rating
Ceddanne Rafaela - 30.9% Whiff%, 75.0% Weak%, 0.898 Cold Rating
Matthew Lugo - 42.0% Whiff%, 66.7% Weak%, 0.895 Cold Rating
J.T. Realmuto - 34.5% Whiff%, 69.0% Weak%, 0.882 Cold Rating
Adolis Garcia - 35.5% Whiff%, 67.9% Weak%, 0.882 Cold Rating
Fernando Tatis Jr. - 31.6% Whiff%, 71.4% Weak%, 0.882 Cold Rating
Trevor Story - 31.2% Whiff%, 71.0% Weak%, 0.87 Cold Rating
Jorge Soler - 31.6% Whiff%, 70.0% Weak%, 0.861 Cold Rating
Gabriel Arias - 48.9% Whiff%, 65.0% Weak%, 0.861 Cold Rating
Anthony Santander - 29.6% Whiff%, 72.2% Weak%, 0.849 Cold Rating
Kyler Fedko (MIN): 3/4, 3R, 2HR, 4RBI, 0SB, 39FPts
Keston Hiura (COL): 2/4, 2R, 2HR, 6RBI, 0SB, 38FPts
Alex Freeland (LAD): 3/5, 2R, 2HR, 5RBI, 0SB, 37FPts
James Outman (LAD): 3/5, 3R, 1HR, 2RBI, 2SB, 36FPts
Ryan Ritter (COL): 3/5, 2R, 2HR, 3RBI, 0SB, 33FPts
Trenton Brooks (SD): 4/5, 3R, 1HR, 2RBI, 0SB, 31FPts
Parker Meadows (DET): 3/5, 2R, 0HR, 3RBI, 1SB, 31FPts
Nick Senzel (LAD): 2/5, 2R, 2HR, 3RBI, 0SB, 30FPts
Will Robertson (TOR): 2/3, 1R, 1HR, 4RBI, 0SB, 29FPts
Andrew Velazquez (NYY): 3/5, 2R, 1HR, 3RBI, 0SB, 28FPts
Jackson Wolf (SD): 88 Pitches, 5IP, 2H, 1ER, 9K, 3BB, 28FPts
Blake Wehunt (BOS): 77 Pitches, 6IP, 4H, 2ER, 9K, 0BB, 25FPts
Irving Cota (NYM): 57 Pitches, 5IP, 1H, 0ER, 5K, 0BB, 24FPts
Owen Wild (TB): 91 Pitches, 5IP, 1H, 1ER, 6K, 2BB, 24FPts
Joe Whitman (SF): 83 Pitches, 7IP, 4H, 0ER, 5K, 1BB, 22FPts
Kade Morris (OAK): 90 Pitches, 6IP, 4H, 3ER, 5K, 1BB, 20FPts
Nick Fraze (SEA): 80 Pitches, 5IP, 4H, 2ER, 8K, 2BB, 19FPts
Nick Margevicius (DET): 86 Pitches, 5IP, 3H, 1ER, 4K, 1BB, 18FPts
Rodney Boone (CLE): 73 Pitches, 5IP, 4H, 0ER, 3K, 1BB, 18FPts
Aaron Rozek (MIN): 81 Pitches, 5IP, 3H, 0ER, 3K, 2BB, 18FPts
Otto Kemp (AAA - PHI) 228 PA 1.027 OPS
Ryan Ritter (AAA - COL) 218 PA 1.012 OPS
C.J. Kayfus (AAA - CLE) 178 PA 1.005 OPS
Tim Elko (AAA - CWS) 145 PA 0.988 OPS
Cam Devanney (AAA - KC) 149 PA 0.985 OPS
Roman Anthony (AAA - BOS) 217 PA 0.981 OPS
Corey Julks (AAA - CWS) 158 PA 0.978 OPS
Jac Caglianone (AAA - KC) 208 PA 0.97 OPS
Kyler Fedko (AA - MIN) 166 PA 0.966 OPS
Jonathon Long (AAA - CHC) 193 PA 0.961 OPS
Chad Stevens (AAA - LAA) 177 PA 0.948 OPS
Carlos Mendoza (AA - DET) 149 PA 0.948 OPS
Yohendrick Pinango (AA - TOR) 175 PA 0.947 OPS
Samad Taylor (AAA - SEA) 188 PA 0.937 OPS
Anthony Seigler (AAA - MIL) 159 PA 0.932 OPS
Trenton Brooks (AAA - SD) 205 PA 0.926 OPS
Sam Hilliard (AAA - COL) 176 PA 0.924 OPS
Dominic Canzone (AAA - SEA) 145 PA 0.92 OPS
Peyton Wilson (AAA - KC) 158 PA 0.918 OPS
Max Anderson (AA - DET) 168 PA 0.917 OPS
Jonah Tong (AA - NYM) 38 IP 29.2% K-BB
Mitch Bratt (AA - TEX) 41 IP 26.9% K-BB
Jackson Wolf (AAA - SD) 45 IP 25.3% K-BB
Ian Seymour (AAA - TB) 50 IP 24.9% K-BB
Tyler Uberstine (AAA - BOS) 39 IP 23.8% K-BB
Luis Morales (AAA - OAK) 48 IP 23.7% K-BB
Duncan Davitt (AA - TB) 48 IP 23.5% K-BB
Tekoah Roby (AA - STL) 35 IP 23.3% K-BB
Bubba Chandler (AAA - PIT) 43 IP 23.2% K-BB
Jack Wenninger (AA - NYM) 46 IP 23.1% K-BB
Jacob Misiorowski (AAA - MIL) 56 IP 22.3% K-BB
Brandon Walter (AAA - HOU) 41 IP 22.0% K-BB
Cam Schlittler (AA - NYY) 48 IP 21.0% K-BB
Wilber Dotel (AA - PIT) 39 IP 21.0% K-BB
Gabe Mosser (AA - PHI) 41 IP 20.8% K-BB
Robby Snelling (AA - MIA) 38 IP 20.7% K-BB
Trenton Denholm (AA - CLE) 34 IP 20.7% K-BB
Will Sanders (AA - CHC) 44 IP 20.5% K-BB
Trey Supak (AA - TEX) 35 IP 20.5% K-BB
Aaron Davenport (AAA - CLE) 41 IP 20.5% K-BB
Clarke Schmidt (31.0% Owned): Projected 6.27IP 2.56ER 7.33SO 2.43BB 20.58FPts
Noah Cameron (22.5% Owned): Projected 6.16IP 2.5ER 5.66SO 1.98BB 16.95FPts
Cade Povich (2.0% Owned): Projected 6.42IP 2.99ER 5.35SO 2.05BB 15.35FPts
Carlos Santana - 30 PA, 1.283 OPS
Nick Kurtz - 31 PA, 1.147 OPS
Carlos Narvaez - 33 PA, 1.075 OPS
Josh Palacios - 27 PA, 0.995 OPS
Nolan Schanuel - 40 PA, 0.991 OPS
Jesus Sanchez - 41 PA, 0.986 OPS
Alec Burleson - 28 PA, 0.97 OPS
Adam Frazier - 36 PA, 0.956 OPS
Miguel Vargas - 39 PA, 0.929 OPS
Tyler Stephenson - 33 PA, 0.899 OPS
Jasson Dominguez CF (44.0% Owned): Projected 0.74R 0.2HR 0.73RBI 1.21SO 0.58BB 0.17SB 9.53FPts
J.P. Crawford SS (9.5% Owned): Projected 0.81R 0.15HR 0.58RBI 0.92SO 0.62BB 0.05SB 9.05FPts
Trent Grisham CF (38.0% Owned): Projected 0.8R 0.21HR 0.67RBI 1.28SO 0.59BB 0.06SB 8.85FPts
Agustin Ramirez C (24.0% Owned): Projected 0.69R 0.18HR 0.47RBI 0.71SO 0.4BB 0.14SB 8.63FPts
Spencer Horwitz 1B (5.5% Owned): Projected 0.62R 0.13HR 0.7RBI 0.81SO 0.56BB 0.04SB 8.42FPts
Drake Baldwin C (16.0% Owned): Projected 0.65R 0.18HR 0.54RBI 0.88SO 0.38BB 0.02SB 8.32FPts
Masyn Winn SS (45.5% Owned): Projected 0.63R 0.14HR 0.55RBI 0.91SO 0.31BB 0.11SB 8.31FPts
Connor Norby 2B (12.0% Owned): Projected 0.57R 0.21HR 0.64RBI 1.1SO 0.27BB 0.08SB 8.3FPts
Chase Meidroth 2B (28.5% Owned): Projected 0.65R 0.09HR 0.46RBI 0.7SO 0.85BB 0.14SB 8.3FPts
Marcelo Mayer SS (19.5% Owned): Projected 0.56R 0.18HR 0.63RBI 1.17SO 0.46BB 0.08SB 8.23FPts
