Let’s start with some good news. Lance McCullers Jr. went nuclear yesterday.
6 IP, 5 H, 3 ER, 12 K, 1 BB, 17.6% SwStr%, 32.4% Ball%
That gives him 20 strikeouts in his last two starts. So he’s got that going again. The ERA is still a mess because of that disastrous second start he had (0.1 IP, 7 ER).
It’s very good to see McCullers getting a bunch of whiffs and strikeouts. That’s something he was able to do in his prime years, but it came with a bunch of walks and inefficiency. It would seem that he hasn’t fixed his lack of great command with a 12.1% BB% and 39% Ball% in his 18.1 innings. Let’s check on the pitch mix:
A six pitch mix, leading the charge with a slider at 33% usage. We’re always a bit wary of the guys leading their pitch mix with a non-fastball. But 34% usage isn’t out of control. The pitch, until yesterday, wasn’t very good with a 10.7% SwStr% and 43% Ball%.
Let’s just look at these last two starts:
So even in these two, the slider hasn’t generated a high SwStr%. The curveball has done a ton of damage with the 39.5% SwStr% and 68% Strike%. It has hardly been touched at all with a .004 xwOBA. That’s probably just one ball put in play hit weakly onto the ground or something like that. It’s a very good curveball - and that was always his best pitch.
It would seem to me that McCullers is one of these types like Max Meyer, Reese Olson, Ronel Blanco that we have talked a lot about. Good breaking stuff, but no good fastball to keep the results safe and consistent. I think you’ll have some very frustrating outings from McCullers and a poor WHIP. I’m not rushing out to add him. But at least we know that he’s capable of having the huge K outing when things are going well.
The nightmare season for Sandy Alcantara continues. It’s crazy how bad he’s been. I wouldn’t think even like some awful AA pitcher that got shoved into the Majors would do this bad. He has an 8.47 ERA in 51 innings. He’s given up at least four earned runs in eight of 11.
His K% is under 17%, his BB% is above 12%. His JA ERA is 4.65 and the WHIP+ is 2.47.
It’s all very, very bad and things are not getting any better. He got went for one whiff on 71 pitches yesterday. He has no command and no good pitches to throw. It’s not like a death knell for the rest of his career. He can probably get back going, but you can’t roster him in fantasy leagues right now.
Things got worse for Zac Gallen. He hasn’t been quite as bad as Sandy, but it’s ugly. Yesterday, against the Pirates:
5 IP, 6 H, 5 ER, 6 R, 3 K, 3 BB, 12% SwStr%, 37% Ball%
And for the season:
12 GS, 66.2 IP, 5.53 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, 22.6% K%, 11% BB%, 1.4 HR/9
These last four starts have been his worst work. He has failed against the Rockies and Pirates, both at home. So that’s tough to take. The JA ERA is up to 3.90 with a 2.14 WHIP+. Again, none of it is horribly terrible, I do think he’ll pitch better as we go forward, but he just does not have anything near the elite command he used to have - and that’s really what he relied heavily on in those years where he was good.
I’m not sure you cut Gallen in a deep league, but for standard leagues I think it’s fine to bail. The 11.3% SwStr% and 40% Ball%j ust aren’t going to work, and yeah it’s pretty concerning when you can’t even put up a good outing against the Rockies or Pirates.
Drew Rasmussen went six scoreless for the third consecutive start. His ERA is down to 2.33 with a 0.93 WHIP. It seems like there is a hard limit on his pitch count. He finished the sixth inning at 74 pitches and did not come out for the seventh. In the previous start he finished the sixth at 76 pitches.
So they don’t want him to start an innig if he’s over 70 pitches already, or something like that. That only really matters for fantasy if you’re in a quality start league, but even that hasn’t been an issue for him lately since he’s so, so efficient. He’s one of just nine SPs averaging less than five pitches per out recorded.
He has a low BABIP. And I would expect a low BABIP from him, but maybe not quite as low as it’s been.
He’s still filling it up with fastballs. He’s at 88% fastball usage. Maybe it’s not quite fair to call the cutter a fastball. Clearly, Rasmussen is getting it done with deception and great command.
The 21.6% K% and 10.6% SwStr% do make you nervous. I don’t think he’s a “two-something” ERA guy in reality. The JA ERA is 3.35. But I do think he should be pretty close to universally rostered because of the command. His WHIP is going to be very good - and he’s a tough guy to hit, so I think the ERA will be quite good at worst, even if the BABIP stuff does turn around.
Something weird happened with Jackson Jobe. He lost a bunch of velo:
And then the Detroit media was lighting it up because he didn’t talk to reporters after the game. I’m not sure if that’s a significant thing or if some reporter was just offended and being petty on Twitter (many such cases). But it’s possible that Jobe is hurt, or something. But he’s not a super relevant fantasy pitcher at this point, so I guess we don’t care too much about that.
Griffin Canning blew chunks against the White Sox.
3 IP, 4 H, 3 ER, 5 R, 3 K, 4 BB
It wasn’t shocking to me that Canning would have a letdown outing even against a bad team. He’s been good this year, but not as good as the numbers really suggested. And now he’s on two pretty bad outings in a row with eight walks in 5.2 innings. I believe his previous start was cut short by rain, so maybe it’s not super fair tojudge him on that.
But he’s at just a 21.8% K% and a 10.9% BB%. That’s an 11% K-BB%, which is not the kind of thing you want to be on.
Cade Povich struck out nine, but otherwise had a very bad outing with eight hits and five runs given up. His 2025 profile:
The K% is up from what we saw last year, but the ball rate is bad, the GB% is low, and he’s gotten hit pretty hard. I don’t think Povich is much of a Major League starter. Just another case of a guy not having the fastball needed to hold his own at the highest level.
Noah Cameron is a magician or something. He has the largest ERA vs. JA ERA gap in the league now when you restrict to just 4+ starts.
ERA: 1.05
JA ERA: 4.52
SIERA: 4.71
FIP: 3.77
xFIP: 4.42
A .153 BABIP! That reminded me of the Pitcher BIP Analysis tab on I have on the main dashboard. I whipped this one up early last year, I think. It breaks down a pitcher’s balls in play allowed by the six categorizations that baseball savant gives us.
This also gives me the chance to show the batted ball classification plot again. That shows you in one image what these classifications means.
And then you can compare the pitcher’s performance with the league averages with the “benchmarks” table above.
Click here to see Cameron’s page.
To his credit, he’s generated a lot of soft contact. He’s given up just a 4% Brl% (league = 9%), a 7% solid (league = 6%), and a 20% flare% (league = 24%). Those are the three you want to avoid. He’s generated 24 unders (weak fly balls) and 23 topped (ground balls). You’d expect pretty good results on those types, but not quite to the extent that Cameron has gone.
He’s allowed a .042 AVG on his unders (league = .061) and a .087 average on his topped (league = .172).
But we’re probably going too deep on the guy. The 16.3% K%, 8.2% BB%, and 42.8% Strike% show you that he has not been fooling hitters or managing walks in a super great way, he has just avoided hard contact in an unsustainable way. I’d steer clear of the guy.
Pretty much everybody hates Juan Soto now, as far as I can see. Mets fans are mad about his lack of production, and every other fan is happy to see Soto struggle after signing the crazy contract.
Soto has a .745 OPS on the year with just eight homers. He has slashed .202/.333/.404 in May.
The good news for Mets people, and I guess the bad news for everybody else, is that he has been the unluckiest hitter in the league for the year:
The moving averages:
Soto will be fine, and you should probably see if you can buy low on him right now.
The unluckiest hitters of the last two weeks:
And that’ll wrap up the notes for today. I have an updated top 100 SPs coming out soon, I just need to finish writing it up.
But it’s a nice day to take off. Very short slate of games today, so I’m going to use today to get away from baseball a bit and get some other stuff done.
1. Lance McCullers Jr.
2. Paul Skenes
3. Clarke Schmidt
4. Matthew Boyd
5. Tyler Mahle
6. Landen Roupp
7. Drew Rasmussen
8. Pablo Lopez
9. Freddy Peralta
10. Yusei Kikuchi
11. Zac Gallen
12. George Kirby
13. Kolby Allard
14. Hunter Greene
15. Miles Mikolas
16. Shane Smith
17. Tanner Gordon
18. Clayton Kershaw
19. Cade Povich
20. Jackson Jobe
21. Noah Cameron
22. Trevor Williams
23. Luis Severino
24. Kyle Hart
25. Brayan Bello
26. Griffin Canning
27. Sandy Alcantara
1. Matt Boyd (vs. COL): 31.1 Points
2. Paul Skenes (vs. ARI): 30.61 Points
3. Lance McCullers (vs. ATH): 27.9 Points
4. Drew Rasmussen (vs. MIN): 26.3 Points
5. Clarke Schmidt (vs. LAA): 22.5 Points
6. Trevor Williams (vs. SEA): 19.7 Points
7. Tyler Mahle (vs. TOR): 19.3 Points
8. Landen Roupp (vs. DET): 16.8 Points
9. Luis Severino (vs. HOU): 16.5 Points
10. Noah Cameron (vs. CIN): 15.44 Points
1. Lance McCullers Jr. (HOU): 18 Whiffs (102 Pitches)
2. Paul Skenes (PIT): 15 Whiffs (96 Pitches)
3. Freddy Peralta (MIL): 14 Whiffs (108 Pitches)
4. Pablo Lopez (MIN): 13 Whiffs (95 Pitches)
5. Matthew Boyd (CHC): 13 Whiffs (95 Pitches)
6. Clarke Schmidt (NYY): 13 Whiffs (99 Pitches)
7. Tyler Mahle (TEX): 13 Whiffs (92 Pitches)
8. Yusei Kikuchi (LAA): 12 Whiffs (93 Pitches)
9. Landen Roupp (SF): 11 Whiffs (81 Pitches)
10. Zac Gallen (ARI): 11 Whiffs (92 Pitches)
1. Lance McCullers Jr. (HOU): 56.9 Strike%, 32.4 Ball%
2. Matthew Boyd (CHC): 54.7 Strike%, 31.6 Ball%
3. Clarke Schmidt (NYY): 52.5 Strike%, 30.3 Ball%
4. Paul Skenes (PIT): 51.0 Strike%, 30.2 Ball%
5. Kolby Allard (CLE): 50.0 Strike%, 29.0 Ball%
6. Freddy Peralta (MIL): 50.0 Strike%, 36.1 Ball%
7. Miles Mikolas (STL): 50.0 Strike%, 25.0 Ball%
8. Drew Rasmussen (TB): 48.6 Strike%, 33.8 Ball%
9. Tanner Gordon (COL): 48.1 Strike%, 29.1 Ball%
10. Pablo Lopez (MIN): 47.4 Strike%, 33.7 Ball%
11. Trevor Williams (WSH): 46.8 Strike%, 29.9 Ball%
12. Tyler Mahle (TEX): 46.7 Strike%, 35.9 Ball%
13. Shane Smith (CWS): 46.5 Strike%, 44.2 Ball%
14. Cade Povich (BAL): 45.8 Strike%, 41.7 Ball%
15. Brandon Waddell (NYM): 45.7 Strike%, 34.0 Ball%
1. Kyle Hart: 57 Pitches, 14 Outs, 4.07 POUT
2. Drew Rasmussen: 74 Pitches, 18 Outs, 4.11 POUT
3. Trevor Williams: 77 Pitches, 17 Outs, 4.53 POUT
4. Paul Skenes: 96 Pitches, 20 Outs, 4.8 POUT
5. Noah Cameron: 92 Pitches, 19 Outs, 4.84 POUT
6. Tyler Mahle: 92 Pitches, 18 Outs, 5.11 POUT
7. Luis Severino: 92 Pitches, 18 Outs, 5.11 POUT
8. Kolby Allard: 62 Pitches, 12 Outs, 5.17 POUT
9. George Kirby: 78 Pitches, 15 Outs, 5.2 POUT
10. Matthew Boyd: 95 Pitches, 18 Outs, 5.28 POUT
Landen Roupp's SI velo (22 pitches) DOWN -1.5mph to 92.2
Jackson Jobe's SI velo (20 pitches) DOWN -1.8mph to 93.4
Brayan Bello's ST usage (20.8%) up 18.9 points
Brayan Bello's FC usage (11.7%) up 10.9 points
Cade Povich's SI usage (32.3%) up 21.5 points
Freddy Peralta's FF usage (69.4%) up 14.0 points
George Kirby's CU usage (20.5%) up 12.0 points
Hunter Dobbins's SL usage (40.4%) up 12.3 points
Kyle Hart's SL usage (26.3%) up 13.0 points
Trevor Williams's FF usage (54.5%) up 17.5 points
Yusei Kikuchi's SL usage (49.5%) up 21.6 points
Brayan Bello Slider: -20.3%
Davis Martin Cutter: +17.6%
Gavin Williams Cutter: +17.5%
German Marquez Curveball: +17.4%
Walker Buehler Slider: +17.4%
Quinn Priester Cutter: -16.8%
Kyle Freeland Sinker: -16.3%
Brayan Bello Sweeper: +16.0%
Kyle Freeland Curveball: +16.0%
Davis Martin Slider: -15.4%
Ryan Gusto 4-Seam Fastball: -15.3%
Cal Quantrill Sinker: +13.7%
Jack Kochanowicz Changeup: +13.6%
German Marquez Slider: -13.5%
Emerson Hancock Sinker: -13.4%
Cal Quantrill Split-Finger: -13.4%
Luis L. Ortiz Cutter: -13.1%
Jack Kochanowicz 4-Seam Fastball: -13.1%
Merrill Kelly 4-Seam Fastball: -13.0%
Brayan Bello Sinker: +13.0%
Kevin Gausman Split-Finger: +12.6%
Edward Cabrera Sinker: +12.3%
Drew Rasmussen 4-Seam Fastball: +12.2%
Ryan Gusto Cutter: +12.1%
Tarik Skubal - 103 TBF, 38.8% CSW%
Kris Bubic - 99 TBF, 35.1% CSW%
Will Warren - 87 TBF, 35.0% CSW%
Chris Sale - 77 TBF, 34.1% CSW%
Dylan Cease - 69 TBF, 33.7% CSW%
Carlos Rodon - 96 TBF, 33.4% CSW%
Corbin Burnes - 105 TBF, 32.9% CSW%
Paul Skenes - 103 TBF, 32.7% CSW%
Tylor Megill - 83 TBF, 32.6% CSW%
Dustin May - 95 TBF, 32.4% CSW%
Tarik Skubal - 103 TBF, 42.7% K%
Will Warren - 87 TBF, 37.9% K%
MacKenzie Gore - 69 TBF, 36.2% K%
Cade Povich - 68 TBF, 35.3% K%
Dylan Cease - 69 TBF, 34.8% K%
Carlos Rodon - 96 TBF, 34.4% K%
Merrill Kelly - 76 TBF, 32.9% K%
Tylor Megill - 83 TBF, 32.5% K%
Garrett Crochet - 103 TBF, 32.0% K%
Hunter Brown - 95 TBF, 31.6% K%
Tarik Skubal - 103 TBF, 40.8% K-BB%
Will Warren - 87 TBF, 32.2% K-BB%
Dylan Cease - 69 TBF, 30.4% K-BB%
Garrett Crochet - 103 TBF, 28.2% K-BB%
Carlos Rodon - 96 TBF, 28.1% K-BB%
Matthew Boyd - 89 TBF, 28.1% K-BB%
Merrill Kelly - 76 TBF, 27.6% K-BB%
MacKenzie Gore - 69 TBF, 26.1% K-BB%
Robbie Ray - 75 TBF, 25.3% K-BB%
Dustin May - 95 TBF, 25.3% K-BB%
Jose Soriano - 104 TBF, 66.7% GB%
Framber Valdez - 82 TBF, 65.5% GB%
Jack Kochanowicz - 101 TBF, 64.6% GB%
Clay Holmes - 96 TBF, 61.8% GB%
Max Fried - 69 TBF, 61.4% GB%
Andre Pallante - 106 TBF, 60.3% GB%
Logan Webb - 106 TBF, 60.3% GB%
Shane Baz - 70 TBF, 59.2% GB%
Nathan Eovaldi - 80 TBF, 58.5% GB%
David Peterson - 79 TBF, 57.7% GB%
Ben Brown - 65 TBF, 27.7 K%, 3.1 BB%, 46.7% GB%
Charlie Morton - 58 TBF, 29.3 K%, 6.9 BB%, 52.8% GB%
Corbin Burnes - 105 TBF, 27.6 K%, 6.7 BB%, 54.4% GB%
Dustin May - 95 TBF, 31.6 K%, 6.3 BB%, 48.2% GB%
Dylan Cease - 69 TBF, 34.8 K%, 4.3 BB%, 45.2% GB%
Edward Cabrera - 60 TBF, 31.7 K%, 6.7 BB%, 54.1% GB%
Garrett Crochet - 103 TBF, 32.0 K%, 3.9 BB%, 45.5% GB%
Kris Bubic - 99 TBF, 30.3 K%, 7.1 BB%, 46.8% GB%
Max Fried - 69 TBF, 29.0 K%, 7.2 BB%, 61.4% GB%
Merrill Kelly - 76 TBF, 32.9 K%, 5.3 BB%, 53.2% GB%
Mitch Keller - 74 TBF, 27.0 K%, 2.7 BB%, 50.0% GB%
Paul Skenes - 103 TBF, 29.1 K%, 5.8 BB%, 48.5% GB%
Robbie Ray - 75 TBF, 30.7 K%, 5.3 BB%, 45.8% GB%
Slade Cecconi - 45 TBF, 31.1 K%, 4.4 BB%, 44.8% GB%
Yoshinobu Yamamoto - 93 TBF, 28.0 K%, 7.5 BB%, 55.9% GB%
Zack Wheeler - 71 TBF, 31.0 K%, 7.0 BB%, 52.3% GB%
Unluckiest
Kyle Gibson: 16.77 ERA, 5.1 SIERA
Eduardo Rodriguez: 12.94 ERA, 5.07 SIERA
Sandy Alcantara: 10.08 ERA, 4.62 SIERA
Osvaldo Bido: 9.75 ERA, 4.59 SIERA
Aaron Nola: 7.98 ERA, 3.53 SIERA
Ben Brown: 6.75 ERA, 2.71 SIERA
Tanner Houck: 9.0 ERA, 5.0 SIERA
JP Sears: 8.37 ERA, 4.6 SIERA
Zach Eflin: 8.22 ERA, 4.67 SIERA
Jordan Hicks: 6.75 ERA, 3.22 SIERA
Luckiest
Ben Lively: 0.64 ERA, 6.16 SIERA
Bailey Falter: 0.92 ERA, 5.08 SIERA
Andrew Abbott: 0.7 ERA, 4.02 SIERA
Noah Cameron: 1.05 ERA, 4.34 SIERA
Sean Burke: 2.67 ERA, 5.95 SIERA
Kodai Senga: 2.0 ERA, 4.73 SIERA
Ryne Nelson: 1.8 ERA, 4.39 SIERA
Jeffrey Springs: 2.05 ERA, 4.63 SIERA
Tyler Mahle: 2.1 ERA, 4.66 SIERA
Kris Bubic: 0.56 ERA, 3.09 SIERA
Tarik Skubal - +4.9% CSW%, -2.4 BB%
Erick Fedde - +2.1% CSW%, -2.8 BB%
Carlos Rodon - +4.1% CSW%, -2.3 BB%
Trevor Williams - +3.8% CSW%, -2.4 BB%
Matthew Liberatore - +3.0% CSW%, -4.0 BB%
Merrill Kelly - +2.7% CSW%, -2.8 BB%
Mitch Keller - +2.0% CSW%, -3.8 BB%
Dylan Cease - +3.7% CSW%, -4.6 BB%
Ryne Nelson - +2.6% CSW%, -1.5 BB%
Ryan Yarbrough - +8.2% CSW%, -2.5 BB%
Edward Cabrera - +4.6% CSW%, -6.1 BB%
Charlie Morton - +3.9% CSW%, -3.6 BB%
Ronel Blanco - +3.9% CSW%, -3.0 BB%
James Wood (WSH) 5 PA, 7 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Josh Bell (WSH) 5 PA, 11 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Luis Garcia (WSH) 5 PA, 9 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Zach Dezenzo (HOU) 4 PA, 6 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
James Wood (WSH) - 113.3mph - home_run
Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) - 112.7mph - nan
James Wood (WSH) - 112.1mph - double
Rafael Devers (BOS) - 112.1mph - single
Seiya Suzuki (CHC) - 111.7mph - double
Connor Wong (BOS) - 111.5mph - field_out
Pete Alonso (NYM) - 111.4mph - double
Heliot Ramos (SF) - 111.4mph - home_run
Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) - 111.0mph - nan
Matt Chapman (SF) - 111.0mph - double
Top 10
Juan Soto - 77 PA, 0.238 wOBA, 0.383 xwOBA, 0.145 Diff
Ben Rice - 57 PA, 0.321 wOBA, 0.454 xwOBA, 0.133 Diff
Luis Rengifo - 56 PA, 0.253 wOBA, 0.367 xwOBA, 0.114 Diff
Yandy Diaz - 64 PA, 0.223 wOBA, 0.334 xwOBA, 0.111 Diff
George Springer - 70 PA, 0.269 wOBA, 0.378 xwOBA, 0.109 Diff
Royce Lewis - 58 PA, 0.185 wOBA, 0.292 xwOBA, 0.107 Diff
Joey Bart - 58 PA, 0.211 wOBA, 0.308 xwOBA, 0.097 Diff
Willson Contreras - 65 PA, 0.277 wOBA, 0.369 xwOBA, 0.092 Diff
Brice Turang - 82 PA, 0.24 wOBA, 0.33 xwOBA, 0.09 Diff
Wyatt Langford - 83 PA, 0.293 wOBA, 0.381 xwOBA, 0.088 Diff
Bottom 10
Jacob Wilson - 72 PA, 0.436 wOBA, 0.338 xwOBA, -0.098 Diff
TJ Friedl - 76 PA, 0.416 wOBA, 0.32 xwOBA, -0.096 Diff
Gabriel Moreno - 60 PA, 0.435 wOBA, 0.341 xwOBA, -0.094 Diff
Heliot Ramos - 72 PA, 0.45 wOBA, 0.367 xwOBA, -0.083 Diff
Jose Ramirez - 72 PA, 0.485 wOBA, 0.404 xwOBA, -0.081 Diff
Isiah Kiner-Falefa - 58 PA, 0.365 wOBA, 0.287 xwOBA, -0.078 Diff
Miguel Andujar - 63 PA, 0.318 wOBA, 0.24 xwOBA, -0.078 Diff
Carlos Narvaez - 64 PA, 0.469 wOBA, 0.392 xwOBA, -0.077 Diff
Rhys Hoskins - 73 PA, 0.406 wOBA, 0.33 xwOBA, -0.076 Diff
Jeremy Pena - 84 PA, 0.388 wOBA, 0.314 xwOBA, -0.074 Diff
Seiya Suzuki: 42.0 PA, +0.183 xwOBA OE
James Wood: 30.0 PA, +0.17 xwOBA OE
Ketel Marte: 32.0 PA, +0.163 xwOBA OE
Gleyber Torres: 37.0 PA, +0.14 xwOBA OE
Tyler Stephenson: 33.0 PA, +0.136 xwOBA OE
Ryan O'Hearn: 43.0 PA, +0.127 xwOBA OE
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: 39.0 PA, +0.123 xwOBA OE
Kyle Tucker: 40.0 PA, +0.122 xwOBA OE
Tyrone Taylor: 29.0 PA, +0.11 xwOBA OE
Oneil Cruz: 40.0 PA, +0.109 xwOBA OE
Jose Ramirez: 36.0 PA, +0.107 xwOBA OE
Elly De La Cruz: 40.0 PA, +0.106 xwOBA OE
Kyle Schwarber: 37.0 PA, +0.104 xwOBA OE
Eric Wagaman: 41.0 PA, +0.102 xwOBA OE
Logan O'Hoppe: 36.0 PA, +0.1 xwOBA OE
Trey Sweeney: 34.0 PA, -0.191 xwOBA OE
Heston Kjerstad: 29.0 PA, -0.181 xwOBA OE
Adolis Garcia: 31.0 PA, -0.14 xwOBA OE
Fernando Tatis Jr.: 40.0 PA, -0.121 xwOBA OE
Tommy Edman: 29.0 PA, -0.113 xwOBA OE
Santiago Espinal: 38.0 PA, -0.111 xwOBA OE
Kyle Manzardo: 29.0 PA, -0.11 xwOBA OE
Willy Adames: 36.0 PA, -0.11 xwOBA OE
Michael Massey: 32.0 PA, -0.108 xwOBA OE
Daulton Varsho: 36.0 PA, -0.106 xwOBA OE
Josh Smith: 34.0 PA, -0.105 xwOBA OE
Luis Arraez: 38.0 PA, -0.105 xwOBA OE
Nathaniel Lowe: 30.0 PA, -0.103 xwOBA OE
Mike Yastrzemski: 34.0 PA, -0.103 xwOBA OE
Ben Williamson: 31.0 PA, -0.101 xwOBA OE
Oneil Cruz - 58 PA, 27 BIP, 9 Brls, 33.3 Brl%
Cal Raleigh - 76 PA, 43 BIP, 12 Brls, 27.9 Brl%
Riley Greene - 81 PA, 44 BIP, 11 Brls, 25.0 Brl%
Matt Olson - 74 PA, 46 BIP, 11 Brls, 23.9 Brl%
Shohei Ohtani - 87 PA, 60 BIP, 14 Brls, 23.3 Brl%
Will Benson - 55 PA, 39 BIP, 9 Brls, 23.1 Brl%
James Wood - 71 PA, 44 BIP, 10 Brls, 22.7 Brl%
Nick Kurtz - 58 PA, 36 BIP, 8 Brls, 22.2 Brl%
Ketel Marte - 72 PA, 56 BIP, 12 Brls, 21.4 Brl%
Miguel Vargas - 73 PA, 58 BIP, 12 Brls, 20.7 Brl%
Ketel Marte - 72 PA, 0.486 xwOBA
Will Smith - 62 PA, 0.479 xwOBA
Shohei Ohtani - 87 PA, 0.474 xwOBA
Will Benson - 55 PA, 0.473 xwOBA
Ben Rice - 57 PA, 0.454 xwOBA
Kyle Schwarber - 79 PA, 0.452 xwOBA
Rafael Devers - 89 PA, 0.449 xwOBA
James Wood - 71 PA, 0.444 xwOBA
Ezequiel Tovar - 52 PA, 0.429 xwOBA
Bryce Harper - 77 PA, 0.423 xwOBA
Luis Arraez - 79 PA, 149 Swings, 95.3 Cont%
Chase Meidroth - 77 PA, 114 Swings, 93.0 Cont%
Jacob Wilson - 72 PA, 113 Swings, 91.2 Cont%
Steven Kwan - 67 PA, 110 Swings, 90.9 Cont%
Chandler Simpson - 63 PA, 108 Swings, 89.8 Cont%
Nick Allen - 60 PA, 104 Swings, 89.4 Cont%
Sal Frelick - 74 PA, 136 Swings, 89.0 Cont%
Nico Hoerner - 76 PA, 134 Swings, 88.8 Cont%
Isaac Paredes - 84 PA, 133 Swings, 88.7 Cont%
Javier Sanoja - 51 PA, 88 Swings, 88.6 Cont%
Chandler Simpson - 8 Attempts (7 steals)
Matt Shaw - 5 Attempts (5 steals)
Bobby Witt Jr. - 5 Attempts (4 steals)
Jose Caballero - 5 Attempts (5 steals)
Francisco Lindor - 5 Attempts (4 steals)
Trea Turner - 5 Attempts (4 steals)
Jorge Mateo - 5 Attempts (5 steals)
Caleb Durbin - 4 Attempts (3 steals)
Luis Robert - 4 Attempts (4 steals)
Chase Meidroth - 4 Attempts (3 steals)
Jordan Beck - 4 Attempts (2 steals)
Gunnar Henderson - 4 Attempts (3 steals)
Kameron Misner - 4 Attempts (4 steals)
Chandler Simpson - 15 Attempts (13 steals)
Bobby Witt Jr. - 14 Attempts (12 steals)
Luis Robert - 12 Attempts (11 steals)
Jose Caballero - 11 Attempts (10 steals)
Jose Ramirez - 11 Attempts (9 steals)
Trea Turner - 10 Attempts (8 steals)
Maikel Garcia - 9 Attempts (7 steals)
David Hamilton - 9 Attempts (8 steals)
Chase Meidroth - 8 Attempts (7 steals)
Elly De La Cruz - 8 Attempts (6 steals)
Jackson Chourio - 8 Attempts (7 steals)
Victor Scott II - 8 Attempts (7 steals)
Francisco Lindor - 8 Attempts (7 steals)
Dansby Swanson - 75 PA, 18.7 K%, 15.1 Brl%
Josh Palacios - 48 PA, 18.8 K%, 14.7 Brl%
Ketel Marte - 72 PA, 11.1 K%, 21.4 Brl%
Luis Garcia - 50 PA, 12.0 K%, 14.3 Brl%
Miguel Vargas - 73 PA, 13.7 K%, 20.7 Brl%
Will Benson - 55 PA, 18.2 K%, 23.1 Brl%
Kyle Stowers - 108 PA, +0.122 xwOBA
Will Smith - 92 PA, +0.119 xwOBA
Daniel Schneemann - 84 PA, +0.118 xwOBA
Gleyber Torres - 117 PA, +0.111 xwOBA
Miguel Vargas - 110 PA, +0.101 xwOBA
Ryan McMahon - 110 PA, +0.101 xwOBA
Gavin Sheets - 99 PA, +0.092 xwOBA
Jake Meyers - 106 PA, +0.091 xwOBA
Dansby Swanson - 110 PA, +0.091 xwOBA
Kyle Schwarber - 114 PA, +0.089 xwOBA
Oneil Cruz - 97 PA, +14.3 Brl%
Riley Greene - 116 PA, +12.7 Brl%
Gavin Sheets - 99 PA, +11.6 Brl%
Yoan Moncada - 80 PA, +11.1 Brl%
Taylor Ward - 115 PA, +10.9 Brl%
Kyle Stowers - 108 PA, +10.6 Brl%
Pete Crow-Armstrong - 115 PA, +10.2 Brl%
Daulton Varsho - 92 PA, +10.1 Brl%
George Springer - 99 PA, +9.3 Brl%
Corbin Carroll - 123 PA, +9.3 Brl%
Wilyer Abreu - 106 PA, +11.3 Cont%
Max Muncy - 107 PA, +10.7 Cont%
Brent Rooker - 124 PA, +10.0 Cont%
Paul Goldschmidt - 106 PA, +9.8 Cont%
Luis Urias - 105 PA, +9.0 Cont%
Jake Meyers - 106 PA, +8.6 Cont%
Julio Rodriguez - 110 PA, +8.4 Cont%
Heliot Ramos - 105 PA, +8.4 Cont%
Brandon Lowe - 102 PA, +7.9 Cont%
Daniel Schneemann - 84 PA, +7.9 Cont%
Daniel Schneemann - 84 PA, -14.3 K%
Julio Rodriguez - 110 PA, -13.2 K%
Paul Goldschmidt - 106 PA, -12.3 K%
Max Muncy - 107 PA, -11.4 K%
Joey Bart - 89 PA, -10.9 K%
Jake Meyers - 106 PA, -10.8 K%
Jackson Holliday - 113 PA, -10.6 K%
Wilyer Abreu - 106 PA, -10.3 K%
Drew Waters - 90 PA, -9.5 K%
Miguel Vargas - 110 PA, -9.3 K%
Joc Pederson: +3.7
C.J. Abrams: +2.72
Bo Bichette: +2.67
Nolan Arenado: +2.2
Andrew Benintendi: +1.95
Jorge Polanco: -2.4
Xavier Edwards: -2.18
Nick Castellanos: -2.15
Josh Bell: -2.12
Drake Baldwin: -2.0
Jesus Sanchez - +6.4% Contact%, +5.0 mph exit velo, -6.0 Chase%
Bo Bichette - +6.4% Contact%, +4.2 mph exit velo, -11.7 Chase%
Seiya Suzuki - +5.9% Contact%, +7.3 mph exit velo, -6.1 Chase%
Cody Bellinger - +6.9% Contact%, +3.3 mph exit velo, -5.8 Chase%
Otto Lopez - +13.5% Contact%, +4.1 mph exit velo, -11.9 Chase%
Keibert Ruiz - +4.7% Contact%, +4.5 mph exit velo, -13.5 Chase%
Will Benson - +4.6% Contact%, +6.1 mph exit velo, -5.2 Chase%
Jo Adell - +19.5% Contact%, +3.1 mph exit velo, -3.6 Chase%
Max Muncy - +9.5% Contact%, +6.2 mph exit velo, -4.1 Chase%
Brendan Donovan - +3.4% Contact%, +4.3 mph exit velo, -4.9 Chase%
Brent Rooker - 0.403 xwOBA, 11.1% Brl%, 79.4% Contact%, 21.4% Chase%, 13.3% K%
Christian Walker - 0.391 xwOBA, 18.6% Brl%, 81.4% Contact%, 16.0% Chase%, 19.3% K%
Gleyber Torres - 0.415 xwOBA, 18.8% Brl%, 80.2% Contact%, 11.1% Chase%, 16.4% K%
Max Muncy - 0.406 xwOBA, 16.2% Brl%, 81.1% Contact%, 21.3% Chase%, 11.3% K%
Seiya Suzuki - 0.463 xwOBA, 19.5% Brl%, 80.6% Contact%, 13.2% Chase%, 20.0% K%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. - 0.453 xwOBA, 15.6% Brl%, 84.1% Contact%, 14.4% Chase%, 6.7% K%
Mark Vientos - 38.7% Whiff%, 76.2% Weak%, 0.97 Cold Rating
Tyler Soderstrom - 39.8% Whiff%, 68.8% Weak%, 0.904 Cold Rating
Jorge Soler - 32.3% Whiff%, 73.3% Weak%, 0.895 Cold Rating
George Springer - 32.9% Whiff%, 72.0% Weak%, 0.89 Cold Rating
Willy Adames - 31.5% Whiff%, 73.3% Weak%, 0.883 Cold Rating
Adolis Garcia - 37.5% Whiff%, 68.0% Weak%, 0.882 Cold Rating
J.T. Realmuto - 33.3% Whiff%, 70.4% Weak%, 0.88 Cold Rating
Fernando Tatis Jr. - 30.7% Whiff%, 72.2% Weak%, 0.864 Cold Rating
Gabriel Arias - 52.9% Whiff%, 65.0% Weak%, 0.861 Cold Rating
Trey Sweeney - 28.6% Whiff%, 79.3% Weak%, 0.854 Cold Rating
Shay Whitcomb (HOU): 4/5, 3R, 3HR, 5RBI, 0SB, 49FPts
Rudy Martin (KC): 4/5, 0R, 0HR, 4RBI, 3SB, 35FPts
Samad Taylor (SEA): 3/6, 3R, 1HR, 4RBI, 1SB, 35FPts
Seth Brown (OAK): 2/4, 2R, 2HR, 4RBI, 0SB, 34FPts
Spencer Packard (SEA): 3/5, 2R, 1HR, 6RBI, 0SB, 32FPts
Tommy Troy (ARI): 2/4, 2R, 2HR, 3RBI, 0SB, 32FPts
Cole Young (SEA): 5/6, 2R, 0HR, 2RBI, 1SB, 32FPts
Anthony Seigler (MIL): 4/6, 3R, 0HR, 0RBI, 1SB, 30FPts
Euribiel Angeles (OAK): 2/3, 2R, 0HR, 2RBI, 2SB, 30FPts
Bobby Dalbec (MIL): 3/5, 2R, 1HR, 4RBI, 0SB, 30FPts
Cade Cavalli (WSH): 70 Pitches, 5IP, 3H, 0ER, 10K, 1BB, 32FPts
Michael McGreevy (STL): 94 Pitches, 6IP, 6H, 1ER, 9K, 1BB, 29FPts
Brody Hopkins (TB): 88 Pitches, 5IP, 3H, 0ER, 8K, 2BB, 28FPts
Jagger Haynes (SD): 75 Pitches, 6IP, 1H, 0ER, 6K, 3BB, 27FPts
Dylan Ray (ARI): 85 Pitches, 7IP, 3H, 2ER, 6K, 1BB, 25FPts
Nate Garkow (TOR): 49 Pitches, 3IP, 1H, 0ER, 8K, 2BB, 24FPts
Tommy Henry (ARI): 94 Pitches, 6IP, 5H, 1ER, 6K, 0BB, 24FPts
Samuel Aldegheri (LAA): 0 Pitches, 4IP, 0H, 0ER, 7K, 2BB, 23FPts
Dan Wirchansky (SEA): 0 Pitches, 5IP, 4H, 0ER, 7K, 0BB, 22FPts
Connor Gillispie (MIA): 88 Pitches, 6IP, 2H, 0ER, 4K, 3BB, 22FPts
Otto Kemp (AAA - PHI) 228 PA 1.027 OPS
Ryan Ritter (AAA - COL) 223 PA 1.004 OPS
C.J. Kayfus (AAA - CLE) 182 PA 0.99 OPS
Tim Elko (AAA - CWS) 145 PA 0.988 OPS
Jac Caglianone (AAA - KC) 212 PA 0.986 OPS
Roman Anthony (AAA - BOS) 222 PA 0.978 OPS
Corey Julks (AAA - CWS) 158 PA 0.978 OPS
Anthony Seigler (AAA - MIL) 165 PA 0.97 OPS
Cam Devanney (AAA - KC) 153 PA 0.957 OPS
Samad Taylor (AAA - SEA) 194 PA 0.956 OPS
Chad Stevens (AAA - LAA) 182 PA 0.953 OPS
RJ Schreck (AA - TOR) 145 PA 0.95 OPS
Carlos Mendoza (AA - DET) 149 PA 0.948 OPS
Jonathon Long (AAA - CHC) 197 PA 0.947 OPS
Kyler Fedko (AA - MIN) 171 PA 0.944 OPS
Trenton Brooks (AAA - SD) 209 PA 0.941 OPS
Yohendrick Pinango (AA - TOR) 182 PA 0.931 OPS
Shay Whitcomb (AAA - HOU) 225 PA 0.925 OPS
Max Anderson (AA - DET) 168 PA 0.917 OPS
Sam Hilliard (AAA - COL) 180 PA 0.91 OPS
Jonah Tong (AA - NYM) 38 IP 29.2% K-BB
Ian Seymour (AAA - TB) 55 IP 26.9% K-BB
Mitch Bratt (AA - TEX) 41 IP 26.9% K-BB
Jackson Wolf (AAA - SD) 45 IP 25.3% K-BB
Tyler Uberstine (AAA - BOS) 39 IP 23.8% K-BB
Luis Morales (AAA - OAK) 48 IP 23.7% K-BB
Duncan Davitt (AA - TB) 48 IP 23.5% K-BB
Tekoah Roby (AA - STL) 35 IP 23.3% K-BB
Bubba Chandler (AAA - PIT) 43 IP 23.2% K-BB
Jack Wenninger (AA - NYM) 46 IP 23.1% K-BB
Jacob Misiorowski (AAA - MIL) 56 IP 22.3% K-BB
Brandon Walter (AAA - HOU) 41 IP 22.0% K-BB
Trent Sellers (AA - NYY) 36 IP 21.8% K-BB
Wilber Dotel (AA - PIT) 39 IP 21.0% K-BB
Cam Schlittler (AA - NYY) 48 IP 21.0% K-BB
Gabe Mosser (AA - PHI) 41 IP 20.8% K-BB
Trenton Denholm (AA - CLE) 34 IP 20.7% K-BB
Robby Snelling (AA - MIA) 45 IP 20.6% K-BB
Trey Supak (AA - TEX) 35 IP 20.5% K-BB
Aaron Davenport (AAA - CLE) 41 IP 20.5% K-BB
AJ Smith-Shawver (43.0% Owned): Projected 5.55IP 2.7ER 4.96SO 2.52BB 13.57FPts
Shane Baz (39.5% Owned): Projected 5.77IP 2.55ER 4.22SO 1.91BB 12.86FPts
Ryan Gusto (3.0% Owned): Projected 5.01IP 2.46ER 4.08SO 2.12BB 11.54FPts
Carlos Santana - 30 PA, 1.358 OPS
Nick Kurtz - 27 PA, 1.349 OPS
Ryan O'Hearn - 44 PA, 1.221 OPS
Jesus Sanchez - 41 PA, 1.072 OPS
Adam Frazier - 33 PA, 1.051 OPS
Carlos Narvaez - 34 PA, 1.041 OPS
Tyler Stephenson - 33 PA, 1.031 OPS
Mike Tauchman - 27 PA, 0.968 OPS
Gavin Sheets - 38 PA, 0.956 OPS
Sal Frelick - 40 PA, 0.938 OPS
Brandon Lowe 2B (38.0% Owned): Projected 0.7R 0.22HR 0.6RBI 1.14SO 0.44BB 0.06SB 8.9FPts
Josh Lowe LF (35.5% Owned): Projected 0.69R 0.15HR 0.52RBI 1.25SO 0.37BB 0.15SB 8.71FPts
Julio Rodriguez CF (0.0% Owned): Projected 0.63R 0.16HR 0.58RBI 1.63SO 0.32BB 0.12SB 8.55FPts
Chandler Simpson SS (23.0% Owned): Projected 0.53R 0.01HR 0.53RBI 0.46SO 0.38BB 0.47SB 8.51FPts
Drake Baldwin C (15.5% Owned): Projected 0.66R 0.18HR 0.55RBI 0.88SO 0.38BB 0.02SB 8.36FPts
