Hunter Greene left early with a groin. We’ll know more today. But it seems unlikely that a groin thing completely derails his season. Maybe he misses a start or two, but you should feel relieved that this wasn’t an arm or shoulder injury.
I have to make fun of someone in the Discord. And I’m allowed to do that, because when I established the Discord - I made sure everybody knew that there would be potentially offensive talk in there. Someone asked me if they should start Dylan Cease against the Yankees. And I said YES. But the guy didn’t listen to me. He didn’t listen to little old me, can you believe it?
Cease struck out nine Yankees in 6.2 innings, giving up just one hit and two walks. Fantastic start. Classic, classic Cease here sucking for three weeks and then ripping off a gem.
He did get hurt and left the game in the seventh, but they are saying it was just “forearm cramping”. So, okay.
Cease is one of those guys where the Blake Snell Rule applies. That rule:
You will get a bad starts, but you’ll get a bunch of elite starts, and at the end of the year the numbers will be good.
Jackson Jobe vs. Chase Dollander could have been an intriguing matchup of youg aces, except that neither guy is an ace. They’re both awful, it would appear. Jobe ruined our little $20 → $200 challenge on the first day. So we’re 0/2 on that. Maybe I should stop doing dumb stuff like that.
Both guys have strikeout rates below 20% and double-digit walk rates. It’s been ugly. There is more to pitching than throwing the ball hard, it turns out!
Shane Baz’s season has gone south. He has now given up 13 earned runs and 17 hits in his last two outings (9 innings). At least that’s a very ERA calculation to figure out.
ERA = (ER*9/IP
ERA = (13*9)/9
ERA = (13*9)/9
ERA = 13.00
Let’s check in on the full profile:
Down to a 15% K-BB% with a very bad 10.7% SwStr% and a mediocre 35% Ball%. He’s also letting the ball get into the air (43% GB%), so nothing looks very good for the Bazinator. I think he’ll continue to be a fringe-worthy guy. I’m not saying cut him in 15-team leagues, and I do think he’s a useful guy in good matchups. I’m sure he’ll have plenty of good outings the rest of the way, but that early-season breakout wasn’t for real.
Yusei Kikuchi finally had a good start.
6 IP, 5 H, 1 R, 6 K, 1 BB
The Strike% went crazy at 59.3%, but it was mostly foul balls and called strikes, as shown by the 12.1% SwStr%. The numbers are still bad for the year with an 11.5% K-BB%, a 46.4% Strike%, and a 36.4% Ball%. But it was good to see some life for Kikuchi. I do think you can let him go in 10 or 12-teamers, but I wouldn’t be giving up on him entirely. I could see Kikuchi getting it together and having a pretty good stretch of starts. Don’t forget about how his 2024 season went.
Kikuchi 2024 Halves
April - June: 4.18 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 24.8% K%, 5.6% BB%
July - Sept: 3.92 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 31.3% K%, 6.4% BB%
Big nine-strikeout day for Ben Brown. His season update:
7 GS, 36.1 IP, 4.95 ERA, 1.65 WHIP, 26.0% K%, 9.5% BB%
So that’s a non-awful K-BB% but awful ratios. That is a formula for a buy-low. However, I don’t think Brown will be consistent enough to deserve any run in a standard league.
But let’s look at some ERA and K-BB% mismatches across the league. If we have to put hard numbers on things, I would say a 15% K-BB% is about as low as you want to go for standard league purposes. Meaning that anybody under that, you probably shouldn’t be dancing with. So let’s make that the minimum and then sort by ERA.
There are eight SPs with K-BB% above 15% and an ERA above 4.50:
E-Rod, man. He is doing some stuff!
Let’s flip it. K-BB% under 15%, ERA under three;
Lots of names there!
I might have to redefine what a “Magic Formula Qualifier” is, because there have been a ton of them most days in the notes:
The criteria is K% under 20% and Brl% above 14%.
An even better quick resource to pick out interesting hitters is that Player Checklist I developed last year. This looks for well-rounded hitters in three areas
→ Power
→ Steals
→ Plate Discipline
It gives a checkmark or an X in seven different categories. Here are the 6+ checkmark hitters going right now:
You will see some surprising names here quite often. Right now, Bo Naylor is the most surprising. Let’s take a quick look at that.
The Good
→ 20% K%
→ 77% Cont%
→ 10.4% Brl%
→ 28% GB%
→ .194 BABIP
The Bad
→ 103.7 EV90
→ .208 xBA
→ 19% LD%
So he is barely earning these checkmarks. None of “The Good” is really aanytihng special, those are all just “decent” numbers, I would say. But we have long known that Naylor has home run and stolen base ability. He had a 20-20 season in the minors a couple of years back. And he is hitting a lot of fly balls, so I think the homers will keep coming at at least a non-awful rate. He’s a decent target in super deep leagues where you need a second catcher.
Jordan Westburg is on the IL, so maybe he won’t be the same guy when he returns. His first few weeks were very poor in the results category, but there were a lot of positive signs. I wouldn’t be giving up on Westburg yet. It sounds like he’ll return next week.
→ xwOBA: .330
→ xBA: .251
→ Brl%: 12.9%
→ EV90: 106.0
He is also a guy with a good amount of speed, so I think there’s a world where Westburg returns and performs at a 25-15 pace the rest of the way out. But it’s no guarantee.
Let’s look at a few hitters crushing at AAA before we end the notes for the day.
155 PA, .341/.422/.615, 6 HR, 12 SB, 23% K%, 11% BB%
It would seem he’s ready to go! The Snakes just don’t have a clear spot for him to play with how well Geraldo Perdomo has been playing. I do think Lawlar will get most of his fantasy value from steals when he does arrive. The raw power isn’t anything special (10.6% Brl%, 103.7 EV90), and the strikeout rate is in the danger zone with a mediocre 77% Contact%. Now, a 23% K% and a 77% Contact% would work just fine in the Majors, but we cannot expect those numbers to translate from AAA to MLB. They’ll both likely get a lot worse. So a guy with a 27% K% and poor EVs isn’t a great bet. But the steals should be there, and the power potential is certainly there. He’s not a Jacob Wilson / Chandler Simpson type by any means.
160 PA, .336/.425/.672, 10 HR, 5 SB, 27.5% K%, 9.4% BB%
The son of Matt Kemp! How about that. The immediately red flag is that K%. And it gets even worse when you see that the contact rate is at 65.5%. So the only way he would have much of a chance at success in the Majors (this year, at least) is if he hits the ball super duper hard. And he does! The EV90 is 108, the max is up there at 113.
He has an 18% Brl% at AAA and has the GB% down there very, very low at 32%. So I do think he could hit some homers in the Majors, but you’re going to see a lot of strikeouts.
.301/.417/.496, 5 HR, 3 SB, 19.4% K%, 17.3% B%
Good to see the K% under 20%, but this guy has just one homer in his last 70+ PAs. He hit two on Opening Day, you might remember, so he hasn’t been doing a ton of round-tripping since then. But at least it has come with a reduction in strikeouts.
His season Brl% is still north of 20%, and the contact rate is okay at 71%. I do think he’ll strike out a lot in his first go at big league pitching. You could have yourself a Nick Kurtz situation here. He’s also hitting a ton of ground balls down there at AAA (51%), which isn’t what you want to see. I’d bet against him being a useful player this year in the Majors for a standard fantasy league.
You know about Bubba Chandler, but it’s Hunter Barco who is having the best pitching season for the Pirates down on the farm.
6 GS, 25.2 IP, 0.00 ERA, 0.70 WHIP, 36.2% K%, 7.4% BB%, 18% SwStr%
ERA isn’t a predictive stat, especially when looking at going from AA to the Majors. But zero is a pretty good number!
Barco is a 6’4’’ left-handed pitcher, and he was just promoted to AAA. So we’ll get some Statcast data on him soon. But I don’t think the Pirates bring him up to the Majors any time soon, if at all this year. But maybe the injury bug will hit them and they’ll have to, I don’t know.
Chandler should be up soon, and after that - it seems like Barco would be their best minor league arm. But the incentive to get him up this year is very, very low for the Pirates front office.
6 GS, 36.1 IP, 1.73 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, 31.7% K%, 5.5% BB%, 18.4% SwStr%
He has been at AAA all year, so we could see him get a call-up any time, I’d say. That doesn’t mean it will be happen, but there’s not much holding him back. He clearly can dominate minor league hitters, there’s not much question about that.
He is a 6’0’’ lefty, and according to his minor league pitcher profile, he has been dominating minor league hitters without even looking at them.
Amazing stuff. Imagine what this guy could do if he was looking in the right direction!
The problem for me is that his fastball averages just 91.1 miles per hour. It might play up significantly above that as a lefty, but it’s tough to get the job done consistently in the Majors with that little fastball velo. We saw this with Cade Povich last year. His minor league numbers were elite, but he hasn’t had much success at all in the Majors. You need a good fastball to be a good MLB pitcher, and it’s hard to have a good fastball when you can’t touch 93+.
The End!
1. Hunter Greene
2. Dylan Cease
3. Jose Berrios
4. Yusei Kikuchi
5. Michael Soroka
6. Robbie Ray
7. Bryan Woo
8. Grant Holmes
9. Valente Bellozo
10. Merrill Kelly
11. Ben Brown
12. Landon Knack
13. Gunnar Hoglund
14. Sonny Gray
15. Max Fried
16. Shane Baz
17. Charlie Morton
18. Cristopher Sanchez
19. Framber Valdez
20. Michael Wacha
21. Mitch Keller
22. Quinn Priester
23. Tanner Houck
24. Chase Dollander
25. Kodai Senga
26. Jackson Jobe
27. Jonathan Cannon
28. Tyler Mahle
29. Logan Allen
30. Simeon Woods Richardson
1. Sonny Gray (vs. PIT): 33.95 Points
2. Dylan Cease (vs. NYY): 29.21 Points
3. Framber Valdez (vs. MIL): 28.75 Points
4. Michael Wacha (vs. CWS): 27.35 Points
5. Max Fried (vs. SD): 26.75 Points
6. Cristopher Sanchez (vs. TB): 25.1 Points
7. Valente Bellozo (vs. LAD): 24.19 Points
8. Robbie Ray (vs. CHC): 22.5 Points
9. Landon Knack (vs. MIA): 22.25 Points
10. Jose Berrios (vs. LAA): 21.5 Points
1. Dylan Cease (SD): 20 Whiffs (89 Pitches)
2. Jose Berrios (TOR): 18 Whiffs (89 Pitches)
3. Hunter Greene (CIN): 16 Whiffs (53 Pitches)
4. Bryan Woo (SEA): 14 Whiffs (100 Pitches)
5. Gunnar Hoglund (OAK): 13 Whiffs (99 Pitches)
6. Robbie Ray (SF): 12 Whiffs (98 Pitches)
7. Ben Brown (CHC): 12 Whiffs (103 Pitches)
8. Grant Holmes (ATL): 12 Whiffs (88 Pitches)
9. Merrill Kelly (ARI): 12 Whiffs (98 Pitches)
10. Framber Valdez (HOU): 12 Whiffs (101 Pitches)
1. Hunter Greene (CIN): 62.3 Strike%, 28.3 Ball%
2. Yusei Kikuchi (LAA): 59.3 Strike%, 23.1 Ball%
3. Michael Soroka (WSH): 53.8 Strike%, 32.1 Ball%
4. Ben Brown (CHC): 53.4 Strike%, 35.9 Ball%
5. Dylan Cease (SD): 52.8 Strike%, 33.7 Ball%
6. Shane Baz (TB): 51.8 Strike%, 28.9 Ball%
7. Sonny Gray (STL): 50.6 Strike%, 32.6 Ball%
8. Merrill Kelly (ARI): 49.0 Strike%, 30.6 Ball%
9. Michael Wacha (KC): 48.8 Strike%, 28.6 Ball%
10. Jose Berrios (TOR): 48.3 Strike%, 38.2 Ball%
11. Robbie Ray (SF): 48.0 Strike%, 35.7 Ball%
12. Max Fried (NYY): 48.0 Strike%, 33.0 Ball%
13. Landon Knack (LAD): 46.7 Strike%, 34.7 Ball%
14. Grant Holmes (ATL): 46.6 Strike%, 34.1 Ball%
15. Valente Bellozo (MIA): 46.1 Strike%, 42.1 Ball%
1. Michael Wacha: 84 Pitches, 21 Outs, 4.0 POUT
2. Sonny Gray: 89 Pitches, 21 Outs, 4.24 POUT
3. Dylan Cease: 89 Pitches, 20 Outs, 4.45 POUT
4. Simeon Woods Richardson: 61 Pitches, 13 Outs, 4.69 POUT
5. Cristopher Sanchez: 85 Pitches, 18 Outs, 4.72 POUT
6. Max Fried: 100 Pitches, 21 Outs, 4.76 POUT
7. Framber Valdez: 101 Pitches, 21 Outs, 4.81 POUT
8. Landon Knack: 75 Pitches, 15 Outs, 5.0 POUT
9. Jonathan Cannon: 90 Pitches, 18 Outs, 5.0 POUT
10. Yusei Kikuchi: 91 Pitches, 18 Outs, 5.06 POUT
Valente Bellozo's FF velo (20 pitches) UP 2.6mph to 92.1
Valente Bellozo's FC velo (26 pitches) UP 2.3mph to 85.7
Hunter Greene's FF velo (30 pitches) UP 2.0mph to 100.0
Tanner Houck's SI velo (38 pitches) UP 1.7mph to 95.5
Sonny Gray's FC velo (10 pitches) UP 1.5mph to 89.2
Logan Allen's FC velo (11 pitches) DOWN -1.8mph to 83.8
Merrill Kelly's SI velo (10 pitches) DOWN -1.8mph to 90.5
Elvin Rodriguez's FC velo (10 pitches) DOWN -2.0mph to 86.0
Bryan Woo's ST usage (20.0%) up 10.8 points
Charlie Morton's FF usage (44.3%) up 14.5 points
Cristopher Sanchez's SI usage (58.8%) up 11.2 points
Grant Holmes's SL usage (44.3%) up 12.8 points
Jonathan Cannon's FF usage (25.6%) up 12.2 points
Jose Berrios's SV usage (42.7%) up 14.4 points
Logan Allen's SI usage (16.5%) up 11.0 points
Max Fried's FF usage (47.0%) up 10.8 points
Merrill Kelly's FF usage (38.8%) up 15.2 points
Merrill Kelly's CU usage (22.4%) up 13.0 points
Quinn Priester's SI usage (57.7%) up 15.2 points
Robbie Ray's CU usage (22.4%) up 10.8 points
Shane Baz's CU usage (39.8%) up 15.3 points
Tyler Mahle's FF usage (68.2%) up 15.8 points
Yusei Kikuchi's SL usage (38.5%) up 12.4 points
Will Warren 4-Seam Fastball: +19.1%
Tanner Houck Sinker: +17.3%
Osvaldo Bido Sinker: +17.0%
Osvaldo Bido Changeup: +16.0%
Grant Holmes Curveball: -15.4%
Osvaldo Bido 4-Seam Fastball: -15.2%
Jose Soriano Sinker: -15.2%
Brad Lord 4-Seam Fastball: -14.9%
Brad Lord Changeup: +14.8%
Chad Patrick 4-Seam Fastball: -14.7%
Jordan Hicks Sinker: -14.7%
Osvaldo Bido Slider: -13.3%
Ryan Pepiot Cutter: -13.1%
Jack Flaherty Curveball: +12.6%
Tanner Houck Split-Finger: -12.6%
Grant Holmes Slider: +12.5%
Erick Fedde Cutter: -12.1%
Tylor Megill - 68 TBF, 36.9% CSW%
Reese Olson - 94 TBF, 34.8% CSW%
Chris Sale - 97 TBF, 34.5% CSW%
Jack Flaherty - 71 TBF, 34.4% CSW%
Jacob deGrom - 86 TBF, 33.9% CSW%
MacKenzie Gore - 92 TBF, 33.6% CSW%
Max Meyer - 69 TBF, 33.5% CSW%
Logan Webb - 102 TBF, 33.4% CSW%
Zack Wheeler - 102 TBF, 32.8% CSW%
Ben Brown - 85 TBF, 32.8% CSW%
MacKenzie Gore - 92 TBF, 39.1% K%
Hunter Greene - 77 TBF, 39.0% K%
Hunter Brown - 71 TBF, 38.0% K%
Zack Wheeler - 102 TBF, 37.3% K%
Tylor Megill - 68 TBF, 36.8% K%
Chris Sale - 97 TBF, 33.0% K%
Andrew Abbott - 79 TBF, 32.9% K%
Joe Ryan - 74 TBF, 32.4% K%
Nathan Eovaldi - 69 TBF, 31.9% K%
Yoshinobu Yamamoto - 68 TBF, 30.9% K%
Zack Wheeler - 102 TBF, 34.3% K-BB%
Hunter Greene - 77 TBF, 33.8% K-BB%
MacKenzie Gore - 92 TBF, 31.5% K-BB%
Hunter Brown - 71 TBF, 31.0% K-BB%
Nathan Eovaldi - 69 TBF, 30.4% K-BB%
Joe Ryan - 74 TBF, 28.4% K-BB%
Chris Sale - 97 TBF, 25.8% K-BB%
Jack Flaherty - 71 TBF, 25.4% K-BB%
Tylor Megill - 68 TBF, 25.0% K-BB%
Logan Webb - 102 TBF, 23.5% K-BB%
Cristopher Sanchez - 84 TBF, 70.8% GB%
Jordan Hicks - 96 TBF, 69.7% GB%
Andre Pallante - 92 TBF, 64.0% GB%
Quinn Priester - 91 TBF, 60.0% GB%
Antonio Senzatela - 70 TBF, 57.9% GB%
Jesus Luzardo - 79 TBF, 57.9% GB%
David Peterson - 96 TBF, 57.7% GB%
Framber Valdez - 102 TBF, 57.5% GB%
Griffin Canning - 88 TBF, 56.1% GB%
Yoshinobu Yamamoto - 68 TBF, 56.1% GB%
Logan Webb - 102 TBF, 29.4 K%, 5.9 BB%, 54.5% GB%
Nathan Eovaldi - 69 TBF, 31.9 K%, 1.4 BB%, 43.5% GB%
Pablo Lopez - 63 TBF, 36.5 K%, 4.8 BB%, 48.6% GB%
Sean Newcomb - 45 TBF, 31.1 K%, 6.7 BB%, 53.6% GB%
Unluckiest
German Marquez: 14.21 ERA, 5.27 SIERA
Connor Gillispie: 11.81 ERA, 4.83 SIERA
Easton Lucas: 10.5 ERA, 4.01 SIERA
Sandy Alcantara: 10.54 ERA, 5.95 SIERA
Kumar Rocker: 8.25 ERA, 3.77 SIERA
Jordan Hicks: 7.62 ERA, 3.98 SIERA
Kyle Freeland: 7.61 ERA, 3.98 SIERA
Chase Dollander: 7.82 ERA, 4.31 SIERA
Antonio Senzatela: 7.66 ERA, 4.31 SIERA
Charlie Morton: 9.26 ERA, 6.36 SIERA
Luckiest
Kodai Senga: 0.94 ERA, 4.37 SIERA
Max Fried: 0.87 ERA, 3.55 SIERA
Miles Mikolas: 2.77 ERA, 5.3 SIERA
Tyler Mahle: 1.5 ERA, 3.94 SIERA
Ben Lively: 2.51 ERA, 4.9 SIERA
David Festa: 1.38 ERA, 3.63 SIERA
Michael King: 1.44 ERA, 3.66 SIERA
AJ Smith-Shawver: 1.96 ERA, 4.12 SIERA
Tyler Anderson: 2.08 ERA, 4.23 SIERA
Yoshinobu Yamamoto: 0.38 ERA, 2.49 SIERA
Zack Wheeler - +3.7% CSW%, -2.7 BB%
Jack Flaherty - +3.4% CSW%, -3.6 BB%
Nathan Eovaldi - +3.0% CSW%, -5.0 BB%
Cal Quantrill - +3.8% CSW%, -1.9 BB%
Tarik Skubal - +3.0% CSW%, -3.0 BB%
JP Sears - +2.2% CSW%, -4.9 BB%
Sean Newcomb - +3.8% CSW%, -5.0 BB%
Dane Myers (MIA) 4 PA, 8 Swings, 2 Barrels, 0 HR
Jackson Merrill (SD) 5 PA, 9 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Juan Soto (NYM) 5 PA, 10 Swings, 3 Barrels, 2 HR
Michael Toglia (COL) 4 PA, 5 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Ryan McMahon (COL) 5 PA, 8 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
TJ Friedl (CIN) 4 PA, 5 Swings, 2 Barrels, 2 HR
Wilyer Abreu (BOS) 4 PA, 15 Swings, 3 Barrels, 2 HR
Oneil Cruz (PIT) - 115.2mph - single
Elly De La Cruz (CIN) - 114.8mph - single
Willson Contreras (STL) - 113.9mph - nan
Junior Caminero (TB) - 112.6mph - single
Corey Seager (TEX) - 112.2mph - field_out
Joc Pederson (TEX) - 111.7mph - double
Christopher Morel (TB) - 110.9mph - field_out
Juan Soto (NYM) - 110.9mph - home_run
Ryan McMahon (COL) - 110.9mph - home_run
Addison Barger (TOR) - 110.8mph - nan
Top 10
Manny Machado - 62 PA, 0.33 wOBA, 0.459 xwOBA, 0.129 Diff
Joey Ortiz - 63 PA, 0.156 wOBA, 0.271 xwOBA, 0.115 Diff
Salvador Perez - 66 PA, 0.314 wOBA, 0.421 xwOBA, 0.107 Diff
Michael Conforto - 59 PA, 0.139 wOBA, 0.244 xwOBA, 0.105 Diff
Juan Soto - 90 PA, 0.405 wOBA, 0.506 xwOBA, 0.101 Diff
Nolan Jones - 56 PA, 0.297 wOBA, 0.398 xwOBA, 0.101 Diff
Ceddanne Rafaela - 60 PA, 0.307 wOBA, 0.408 xwOBA, 0.101 Diff
Ty France - 75 PA, 0.33 wOBA, 0.427 xwOBA, 0.097 Diff
Taylor Ward - 65 PA, 0.192 wOBA, 0.284 xwOBA, 0.092 Diff
Andrew Vaughn - 80 PA, 0.246 wOBA, 0.338 xwOBA, 0.092 Diff
Bottom 10
Javier Baez - 57 PA, 0.406 wOBA, 0.292 xwOBA, -0.114 Diff
Hunter Goodman - 71 PA, 0.363 wOBA, 0.265 xwOBA, -0.098 Diff
Andy Pages - 67 PA, 0.442 wOBA, 0.355 xwOBA, -0.087 Diff
Elly De La Cruz - 89 PA, 0.355 wOBA, 0.277 xwOBA, -0.078 Diff
Freddie Freeman - 72 PA, 0.483 wOBA, 0.406 xwOBA, -0.077 Diff
Dansby Swanson - 70 PA, 0.398 wOBA, 0.327 xwOBA, -0.071 Diff
Paul Goldschmidt - 76 PA, 0.372 wOBA, 0.303 xwOBA, -0.069 Diff
TJ Friedl - 87 PA, 0.357 wOBA, 0.291 xwOBA, -0.066 Diff
Mark Vientos - 72 PA, 0.378 wOBA, 0.313 xwOBA, -0.065 Diff
Jacob Wilson - 84 PA, 0.392 wOBA, 0.329 xwOBA, -0.063 Diff
Juan Soto: 46.0 PA, +0.319 xwOBA OE
Shohei Ohtani: 42.0 PA, +0.286 xwOBA OE
Gleyber Torres: 31.0 PA, +0.203 xwOBA OE
Daniel Schneemann: 31.0 PA, +0.194 xwOBA OE
Maikel Garcia: 38.0 PA, +0.186 xwOBA OE
Ryan McMahon: 31.0 PA, +0.175 xwOBA OE
Jake Meyers: 32.0 PA, +0.171 xwOBA OE
Wilyer Abreu: 35.0 PA, +0.17 xwOBA OE
Willson Contreras: 39.0 PA, +0.161 xwOBA OE
Kyle Stowers: 31.0 PA, +0.147 xwOBA OE
Alex Bregman: 34.0 PA, +0.147 xwOBA OE
Kyle Schwarber: 35.0 PA, +0.138 xwOBA OE
Ty France: 38.0 PA, +0.136 xwOBA OE
Riley Greene: 35.0 PA, +0.131 xwOBA OE
Joey Bart: 31.0 PA, +0.126 xwOBA OE
Trevor Story: 30.0 PA, -0.199 xwOBA OE
LaMonte Wade Jr.: 29.0 PA, -0.145 xwOBA OE
Ke'Bryan Hayes: 36.0 PA, -0.143 xwOBA OE
Jesus Sanchez: 29.0 PA, -0.143 xwOBA OE
Hunter Goodman: 32.0 PA, -0.125 xwOBA OE
Angel Martinez: 31.0 PA, -0.124 xwOBA OE
Cedric Mullins II: 33.0 PA, -0.124 xwOBA OE
Chandler Simpson: 32.0 PA, -0.124 xwOBA OE
Michael Harris II: 36.0 PA, -0.122 xwOBA OE
Nick Allen: 30.0 PA, -0.116 xwOBA OE
Ben Williamson: 33.0 PA, -0.113 xwOBA OE
Zach McKinstry: 32.0 PA, -0.108 xwOBA OE
Jackson Chourio: 38.0 PA, -0.107 xwOBA OE
Nolan Arenado: 33.0 PA, -0.105 xwOBA OE
Brooks Baldwin: 29.0 PA, -0.105 xwOBA OE
Oneil Cruz - 84 PA, 44 BIP, 12 Brls, 27.3 Brl%
Shohei Ohtani - 70 PA, 37 BIP, 10 Brls, 27.0 Brl%
Jordan Beck - 64 PA, 39 BIP, 10 Brls, 25.6 Brl%
Daniel Schneemann - 51 PA, 35 BIP, 8 Brls, 22.9 Brl%
Wilyer Abreu - 64 PA, 45 BIP, 10 Brls, 22.2 Brl%
Pete Crow-Armstrong - 69 PA, 55 BIP, 12 Brls, 21.8 Brl%
Taylor Ward - 65 PA, 37 BIP, 8 Brls, 21.6 Brl%
Byron Buxton - 75 PA, 48 BIP, 10 Brls, 20.8 Brl%
Austin Hays - 49 PA, 34 BIP, 7 Brls, 20.6 Brl%
Rafael Devers - 83 PA, 50 BIP, 10 Brls, 20.0 Brl%
Juan Soto - 90 PA, 0.506 xwOBA
Austin Hays - 49 PA, 0.486 xwOBA
Jorge Polanco - 57 PA, 0.486 xwOBA
Shohei Ohtani - 70 PA, 0.481 xwOBA
Aaron Judge - 79 PA, 0.475 xwOBA
Daniel Schneemann - 51 PA, 0.473 xwOBA
Wilyer Abreu - 64 PA, 0.47 xwOBA
Manny Machado - 62 PA, 0.459 xwOBA
Dane Myers - 48 PA, 0.45 xwOBA
Oneil Cruz - 84 PA, 0.441 xwOBA
Isaac Paredes - 72 PA, 115 Swings, 92.2 Cont%
Jacob Wilson - 84 PA, 140 Swings, 92.1 Cont%
Maikel Garcia - 79 PA, 111 Swings, 91.9 Cont%
Alex Verdugo - 74 PA, 116 Swings, 91.4 Cont%
Steven Kwan - 88 PA, 159 Swings, 91.2 Cont%
Xavier Edwards - 86 PA, 137 Swings, 90.5 Cont%
Brendan Donovan - 77 PA, 126 Swings, 90.5 Cont%
Jung Hoo Lee - 76 PA, 132 Swings, 89.4 Cont%
Miles Mastrobuoni - 49 PA, 79 Swings, 88.6 Cont%
Geraldo Perdomo - 85 PA, 146 Swings, 88.4 Cont%
Maikel Garcia - 6 Attempts (6 steals)
Luis Robert - 6 Attempts (5 steals)
Shohei Ohtani - 5 Attempts (4 steals)
C.J. Abrams - 5 Attempts (3 steals)
Matt McLain - 5 Attempts (5 steals)
Zach Neto - 5 Attempts (4 steals)
Dane Myers - 5 Attempts (4 steals)
Elly De La Cruz - 4 Attempts (3 steals)
Oneil Cruz - 4 Attempts (3 steals)
Bobby Witt Jr. - 4 Attempts (3 steals)
Bo Bichette - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Masyn Winn - 3 Attempts (1 steals)
Brandon Lockridge - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Jose Ramirez - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Victor Scott II - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Chandler Simpson - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Dylan Crews - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Geraldo Perdomo - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Luisangel Acuna - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Jacob Young - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
David Hamilton - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Joseph Ortiz - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Luis Garcia - 671277 - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Xavier Edwards - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
TJ Friedl - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Romy Gonzalez - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Luis Robert - 18 Attempts (14 steals)
Elly De La Cruz - 15 Attempts (12 steals)
Maikel Garcia - 12 Attempts (8 steals)
Jarren Duran - 11 Attempts (8 steals)
Bobby Witt Jr. - 11 Attempts (8 steals)
Pete Crow-Armstrong - 10 Attempts (8 steals)
Oneil Cruz - 9 Attempts (8 steals)
Luisangel Acuna - 9 Attempts (8 steals)
Shohei Ohtani - 9 Attempts (8 steals)
Brice Turang - 9 Attempts (6 steals)
Zach Neto - 8 Attempts (7 steals)
Victor Scott II - 8 Attempts (7 steals)
TJ Friedl - 8 Attempts (7 steals)
Jose Caballero - 8 Attempts (6 steals)
C.J. Abrams - 8 Attempts (6 steals)
Jose Ramirez - 8 Attempts (7 steals)
Trea Turner - 8 Attempts (5 steals)
Xavier Edwards - 8 Attempts (6 steals)
Alex Bregman - 81 PA, 14.8 K%, 14.0 Brl%
Andrew McCutchen - 74 PA, 14.9 K%, 15.1 Brl%
Austin Wells - 59 PA, 16.9 K%, 15.2 Brl%
Ceddanne Rafaela - 60 PA, 16.7 K%, 17.4 Brl%
Daniel Schneemann - 51 PA, 19.6 K%, 22.9 Brl%
Jorge Polanco - 57 PA, 7.0 K%, 19.6 Brl%
Juan Soto - 90 PA, 13.3 K%, 17.5 Brl%
Kyle Schwarber - 79 PA, 19.0 K%, 14.0 Brl%
Manny Machado - 62 PA, 17.7 K%, 20.0 Brl%
Matt Olson - 79 PA, 19.0 K%, 14.3 Brl%
Max Kepler - 71 PA, 19.7 K%, 14.3 Brl%
Pete Crow-Armstrong - 69 PA, 17.4 K%, 21.8 Brl%
Rhys Hoskins - 67 PA, 17.9 K%, 17.4 Brl%
Riley Greene - 77 PA, 15.6 K%, 18.6 Brl%
Ryan O'Hearn - 54 PA, 18.5 K%, 17.9 Brl%
Salvador Perez - 66 PA, 12.1 K%, 15.1 Brl%
Spencer Torkelson - 74 PA, 18.9 K%, 14.3 Brl%
Trent Grisham - 52 PA, 19.2 K%, 19.4 Brl%
Ty France - 75 PA, 14.7 K%, 16.4 Brl%
Wilyer Abreu - 64 PA, 18.8 K%, 22.2 Brl%
Pete Crow-Armstrong - 106 PA, +0.117 xwOBA
Manny Machado - 99 PA, +0.113 xwOBA
Pete Alonso - 131 PA, +0.102 xwOBA
Maikel Garcia - 113 PA, +0.099 xwOBA
Jonathan Aranda - 88 PA, +0.095 xwOBA
Geraldo Perdomo - 122 PA, +0.091 xwOBA
Ty France - 115 PA, +0.09 xwOBA
Kyle Stowers - 100 PA, +0.089 xwOBA
Salvador Perez - 105 PA, +0.086 xwOBA
James Wood - 134 PA, +0.082 xwOBA
Pete Crow-Armstrong - 106 PA, +13.1 Brl%
Oneil Cruz - 108 PA, +12.1 Brl%
Christopher Morel - 83 PA, +11.5 Brl%
Kyle Stowers - 100 PA, +10.3 Brl%
Cal Raleigh - 113 PA, +9.2 Brl%
Andrew Vaughn - 114 PA, +8.7 Brl%
Corbin Carroll - 126 PA, +8.2 Brl%
Taylor Ward - 102 PA, +8.1 Brl%
Pavin Smith - 85 PA, +7.7 Brl%
Ty France - 115 PA, +7.0 Brl%
Mike Yastrzemski - 101 PA, +10.2 Cont%
Shea Langeliers - 99 PA, +10.1 Cont%
Tyler Soderstrom - 118 PA, +9.2 Cont%
Xavier Edwards - 124 PA, +8.3 Cont%
Teoscar Hernandez - 90 PA, +8.3 Cont%
William Contreras - 108 PA, +8.2 Cont%
Josh Jung - 97 PA, +8.0 Cont%
Edouard Julien - 86 PA, +8.0 Cont%
Junior Caminero - 105 PA, +7.3 Cont%
Wilyer Abreu - 100 PA, +7.1 Cont%
Teoscar Hernandez - 90 PA, -14.3 K%
Shea Langeliers - 99 PA, -13.7 K%
Mickey Moniak - 85 PA, -11.9 K%
Kerry Carpenter - 90 PA, -10.6 K%
Enmanuel Valdez - 86 PA, -10.3 K%
Mike Yastrzemski - 101 PA, -9.5 K%
Kyle Schwarber - 119 PA, -8.9 K%
Mark Vientos - 106 PA, -8.5 K%
Paul Goldschmidt - 112 PA, -8.0 K%
Gleyber Torres - 94 PA, -7.8 K%
Joc Pederson: +3.2
Bo Bichette: +3.07
C.J. Abrams: +2.33
Nolan Arenado: +2.3
Keibert Ruiz: +2.18
Jorge Polanco: -2.45
Xavier Edwards: -2.28
Miguel Andujar: -1.97
George Springer: -1.95
Nick Castellanos: -1.85
Juan Soto - +6.4% Contact%, +4.8 mph exit velo, -7.1 Chase%
Kyle Schwarber - +15.2% Contact%, +5.8 mph exit velo, -4.1 Chase%
Byron Buxton - +5.7% Contact%, +5.3 mph exit velo, -4.3 Chase%
Xavier Edwards - +7.1% Contact%, +6.8 mph exit velo, -8.3 Chase%
Jake Meyers - +7.3% Contact%, +7.9 mph exit velo, -21.5 Chase%
William Contreras - +7.8% Contact%, +3.6 mph exit velo, -3.8 Chase%
Joey Bart - +11.3% Contact%, +6.0 mph exit velo, -8.6 Chase%
Dane Myers - +4.5% Contact%, +3.4 mph exit velo, -5.1 Chase%
Hunter Goodman - +9.1% Contact%, +5.0 mph exit velo, -14.4 Chase%
Bo Naylor - +4.9% Contact%, +6.1 mph exit velo, -5.2 Chase%
Alex Bregman - 0.455 xwOBA, 19.5% Brl%, 80.4% Contact%, 21.0% Chase%, 17.5% K%
Andrew McCutchen - 0.387 xwOBA, 15.8% Brl%, 78.0% Contact%, 22.0% Chase%, 16.7% K%
Brandon Nimmo - 0.39 xwOBA, 11.4% Brl%, 84.9% Contact%, 20.0% Chase%, 10.9% K%
Cody Bellinger - 0.381 xwOBA, 15.8% Brl%, 84.9% Contact%, 23.0% Chase%, 11.8% K%
Gleyber Torres - 0.469 xwOBA, 17.9% Brl%, 84.1% Contact%, 20.4% Chase%, 8.2% K%
Jonathan India - 0.375 xwOBA, 11.4% Brl%, 77.2% Contact%, 11.3% Chase%, 20.4% K%
Juan Soto - 0.566 xwOBA, 25.0% Brl%, 86.2% Contact%, 8.9% Chase%, 14.1% K%
Lars Nootbaar - 0.376 xwOBA, 13.6% Brl%, 91.2% Contact%, 11.3% Chase%, 14.3% K%
Ty France - 0.456 xwOBA, 20.0% Brl%, 77.6% Contact%, 24.8% Chase%, 15.3% K%
Pavin Smith - 43.4% Whiff%, 78.6% Weak%, 0.976 Cold Rating
Matt Mervis - 47.1% Whiff%, 76.9% Weak%, 0.97 Cold Rating
Lawrence Butler - 47.7% Whiff%, 75.0% Weak%, 0.964 Cold Rating
Jo Adell - 31.5% Whiff%, 78.9% Weak%, 0.913 Cold Rating
Christian Yelich - 29.0% Whiff%, 83.9% Weak%, 0.89 Cold Rating
Michael Conforto - 31.6% Whiff%, 71.4% Weak%, 0.888 Cold Rating
Kameron Misner - 37.5% Whiff%, 66.7% Weak%, 0.883 Cold Rating
Brayan Rocchio - 28.6% Whiff%, 80.0% Weak%, 0.879 Cold Rating
Luis Rengifo - 32.0% Whiff%, 67.9% Weak%, 0.87 Cold Rating
Elly De La Cruz - 28.2% Whiff%, 80.0% Weak%, 0.866 Cold Rating
Ethan Workinger (nan): 3/4, 3R, 2HR, 5RBI, 0SB, 41FPts
John Rave (KC): 3/5, 3R, 2HR, 3RBI, 0SB, 37FPts
Joey Loperfido (TOR): 3/4, 2R, 1HR, 4RBI, 1SB, 35FPts
Keaton Anthony (PHI): 4/5, 1R, 1HR, 5RBI, 0SB, 35FPts
Carson Williams (TB): 2/5, 2R, 2HR, 2RBI, 1SB, 33FPts
Viandel Pena (WSH): 3/4, 2R, 1HR, 4RBI, 0SB, 33FPts
Gavin Cross (KC): 2/4, 2R, 2HR, 4RBI, 0SB, 32FPts
Micah Pries (CLE): 2/4, 2R, 2HR, 4RBI, 0SB, 32FPts
Jarred Kelenic (ATL): 3/4, 1R, 1HR, 2RBI, 0SB, 31FPts
Ryan Vilade (STL): 2/3, 3R, 0HR, 3RBI, 1SB, 31FPts
Rorik Maltrud (CLE): 80 Pitches, 5IP, 2H, 0ER, 9K, 2BB, 31FPts
Kohl Drake (TEX): 79 Pitches, 6IP, 0H, 0ER, 6K, 2BB, 28FPts
Ixan Henderson (STL): 76 Pitches, 6IP, 3H, 0ER, 8K, 0BB, 27FPts
Chen Zhong-Ao Zhuang (OAK): 76 Pitches, 6IP, 5H, 0ER, 6K, 0BB, 26FPts
CJ Van Eyk (TOR): 87 Pitches, 7IP, 4H, 1ER, 6K, 2BB, 26FPts
Jacob Watters (TB): 78 Pitches, 5IP, 4H, 0ER, 5K, 2BB, 21FPts
Cam Schlittler (NYY): 95 Pitches, 6IP, 3H, 1ER, 7K, 4BB, 21FPts
Carson Whisenhunt (SF): 84 Pitches, 7IP, 7H, 2ER, 7K, 1BB, 20FPts
Trent Baker (MIN): 84 Pitches, 5IP, 1H, 0ER, 6K, 3BB, 20FPts
Roansy Contreras (BAL): 38 Pitches, 3IP, 1H, 0ER, 5K, 0BB, 20FPts
Otto Kemp (AAA - PHI) 160 PA 1.097 OPS
Tim Elko (AAA - CWS) 130 PA 1.084 OPS
C.J. Kayfus (AAA - CLE) 104 PA 1.071 OPS
Carson McCusker (AAA - MIN) 113 PA 1.065 OPS
Corey Julks (AAA - CWS) 100 PA 1.054 OPS
Willie MacIver (AAA - OAK) 99 PA 1.045 OPS
Peyton Wilson (AAA - KC) 121 PA 1.04 OPS
Jordan Lawlar (AAA - ARI) 155 PA 1.034 OPS
Jac Caglianone (AA - KC) 132 PA 1.007 OPS
Kristian Robinson (AA - ARI) 119 PA 1.001 OPS
Jose Ramos - 682947 (AA - LAD) 112 PA 0.999 OPS
Joe Mack (AAA - MIA) 105 PA 0.999 OPS
Moises Ballesteros (AAA - CHC) 132 PA 0.998 OPS
Cooper Kinney (AA - TB) 106 PA 0.984 OPS
Carter Kieboom (AAA - LAA) 100 PA 0.977 OPS
Ryan Fitzgerald (AAA - MIN) 119 PA 0.976 OPS
Kyler Fedko (AA - MIN) 100 PA 0.968 OPS
Dalton Rushing (AAA - LAD) 115 PA 0.962 OPS
Ryan Ward (AAA - LAD) 148 PA 0.955 OPS
Yonathan Perlaza (AAA - SD) 135 PA 0.941 OPS
Jackson Wolf (AA - SD) 25 IP 29.4% K-BB
Duncan Davitt (AA - TB) 25 IP 29.0% K-BB
Hunter Barco (AA - PIT) 25 IP 28.8% K-BB
Bubba Chandler (AAA - PIT) 28 IP 28.0% K-BB
Jack Wenninger (AA - NYM) 24 IP 27.6% K-BB
Nathan Wiles (AAA - ATL) 25 IP 26.8% K-BB
Ian Seymour (AAA - TB) 36 IP 26.2% K-BB
Alex Pham (AA - BAL) 23 IP 26.0% K-BB
Jose Fleury (AA - HOU) 28 IP 25.7% K-BB
Ixan Henderson (AA - STL) 25 IP 25.3% K-BB
George Klassen (AA - LAA) 25 IP 25.2% K-BB
Gabe Mosser (AA - PHI) 24 IP 25.0% K-BB
Tyler Uberstine (AA - BOS) 24 IP 25.0% K-BB
Shane Drohan (AAA - BOS) 26 IP 25.0% K-BB
Robby Snelling (AA - MIA) 26 IP 24.7% K-BB
Logan Henderson (AAA - MIL) 26 IP 24.0% K-BB
Trey Supak (AAA - TEX) 25 IP 23.7% K-BB
Joe Boyle (AAA - TB) 26 IP 23.5% K-BB
Mitch Bratt (AA - TEX) 25 IP 23.2% K-BB
Henry Baez (AA - SD) 26 IP 22.3% K-BB
Sean Guenther (0.0% Owned): Projected 5.08IP 2.29ER 5.32SO 1.32BB 15.23FPts
Ryan Pepiot (44.5% Owned): Projected 5.62IP 2.56ER 5.11SO 2.48BB 14.24FPts
Tanner Gordon (0.0% Owned): Projected 5.43IP 2.62ER 4.7SO 1.43BB 13.2FPts
Daniel Schneemann - 31 PA, 1.298 OPS
Dane Myers - 28 PA, 1.286 OPS
Jake Meyers - 32 PA, 1.25 OPS
Tyrone Taylor - 32 PA, 1.183 OPS
Ryan McMahon - 31 PA, 1.172 OPS
Ryan O'Hearn - 29 PA, 1.072 OPS
Trey Sweeney - 33 PA, 1.024 OPS
Carlos Santana - 37 PA, 0.981 OPS
Ryan Jeffers - 30 PA, 0.974 OPS
Julio Rodriguez - 36 PA, 0.934 OPS
Zach Neto SS (45.0% Owned): Projected 0.75R 0.19HR 0.52RBI 1.31SO 0.19BB 0.17SB 8.88FPts
Pavin Smith RF (17.0% Owned): Projected 0.62R 0.17HR 0.66RBI 1.12SO 0.71BB 0.04SB 8.39FPts
Joc Pederson OF (3.5% Owned): Projected 0.63R 0.17HR 0.73RBI 0.88SO 0.43BB 0.05SB 8.35FPts
Andy Pages RF (38.5% Owned): Projected 0.62R 0.18HR 0.71RBI 0.95SO 0.2BB 0.04SB 8.26FPts
Christopher Morel CF (16.5% Owned): Projected 0.63R 0.2HR 0.58RBI 1.41SO 0.43BB 0.07SB 8.14FPts
Josh Smith P (16.0% Owned): Projected 0.74R 0.09HR 0.5RBI 0.92SO 0.39BB 0.09SB 8.08FPts
Justyn-Henry Malloy 3B (0.0% Owned): Projected 0.69R 0.17HR 0.52RBI 1.3SO 0.41BB 0.05SB 8.06FPts
Andy Ibanez 3B (0.0% Owned): Projected 0.55R 0.11HR 0.66RBI 0.7SO 0.19BB 0.07SB 7.93FPts
Trevor Larnach LF (4.5% Owned): Projected 0.61R 0.14HR 0.54RBI 1.0SO 0.46BB 0.04SB 7.87FPts
