Request Player/Topic For Me to Discuss
I have a new thing to announce today. I’ve cooked up a script to find the biggest differences in expected wOBA and actual wOBA over the last three weeks. Here is what it looks like:
Top 10
George Springer - 77 PA, 0.215 wOBA, 0.33 xwOBA, 0.115 Diff
Keibert Ruiz - 65 PA, 0.296 wOBA, 0.397 xwOBA, 0.101 Diff
Jose Abreu - 72 PA, 0.236 wOBA, 0.322 xwOBA, 0.086 Diff
Nolan Arenado - 76 PA, 0.174 wOBA, 0.244 xwOBA, 0.07 Diff
Adley Rutschman - 78 PA, 0.288 wOBA, 0.357 xwOBA, 0.069 Diff
Myles Straw - 63 PA, 0.194 wOBA, 0.262 xwOBA, 0.068 Diff
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. - 74 PA, 0.374 wOBA, 0.439 xwOBA, 0.065 Diff
Julio Rodriguez - 69 PA, 0.289 wOBA, 0.35 xwOBA, 0.061 Diff
Ryan Mountcastle - 80 PA, 0.319 wOBA, 0.379 xwOBA, 0.06 Diff
Triston Casas - 62 PA, 0.335 wOBA, 0.393 xwOBA, 0.058 Diff
Bottom 10
Cody Bellinger - 75 PA, 0.451 wOBA, 0.313 xwOBA, -0.138 Diff
Jarren Duran - 80 PA, 0.442 wOBA, 0.333 xwOBA, -0.109 Diff
James Outman - 78 PA, 0.395 wOBA, 0.287 xwOBA, -0.108 Diff
Anthony Santander - 72 PA, 0.426 wOBA, 0.321 xwOBA, -0.105 Diff
Corbin Carroll - 60 PA, 0.469 wOBA, 0.366 xwOBA, -0.103 Diff
Thairo Estrada - 82 PA, 0.388 wOBA, 0.287 xwOBA, -0.101 Diff
C.J. Abrams - 59 PA, 0.317 wOBA, 0.218 xwOBA, -0.099 Diff
Leody Taveras - 62 PA, 0.423 wOBA, 0.332 xwOBA, -0.091 Diff
Yandy Diaz - 74 PA, 0.496 wOBA, 0.406 xwOBA, -0.09 Diff
Jeff McNeil - 74 PA, 0.404 wOBA, 0.321 xwOBA, -0.083 Diff
So that is another way in these notes to determine hitters over and underperforming in recent weeks.
It is free today, along with everything else, because every once in awhile I want to put one of these out that shows everything that is available for paid subscribers, but it will go behind the paywall soon.
Last night was the first game of this wood-bat men’s baseball league I joined this year. I haven’t played actual baseball since little league and had never in my life swung a wood bat at a pitch coming from an actual human, so it was an interesting experience. The good news is that it’s a pitch-to-contact situation where pitchers can’t throw junk or really throw as hard as they can, so with some moderate hand-eye coordination you can hang around.
I have enough of that to get by, and I put balls into play in each of my two at-bats. Nobody cares about me talking about my performance, of course, so here’s the story I have to tell.
There is a two-hour time limit and after that you can’t start a new inning. So we were tied 7-7 after the fifth inning, but they don’t do ties. So it went to a tiebreaker, which was that each team picks a pitcher and a hitter to throw and hit three pitches, and whoever hits the most balls into the outfield grass on the fly wins.
So I’m subbed out for the fifth inning since we have 12 players and need to rotate defensively, and the manager of the team comes up to ask me who I think should be the hitter for the tiebreaker. I told him bro I’ve seen two at-bats from all of these people, you have been managing this team for years, obviously, you should pick based on what you know.
And his reply to me, I’m not even making this up, is “Yeah but who has been hot today?”.
Now if you don’t read this blog on a regular basis, you won’t understand the joke here, but man I just about shit my pants. The hotness question follows me everywhere I go. It’s possible this guy is a reader of mine and just pulled off this elaborate troll of me to get me all hot and bothered.
Anyways, I didn’t answer the question and we won in the tiebreaker, and I played fine - I didn’t make a fool of myself which is always the goal with first impressions. But my wrist freaking hurts today those bats are heavy.
Sandy Alcantara had the bounce-back start yesterday with 15 whiffs. It was another strong 13.3% SwStr% and he brought his K% up two points. I talked about him as a guy that had K% (positive) regression coming, and that began yesterday.
I don’t have any Sandy in my leagues because he was too expensive for what the expectation should have been, but the early season performance was flukey and we should expect him to be a top-ten fantasy SP moving forward.
Roansy Contreras kept the Pirates losing streak going and continued to crush my dreams, but he did pop up with 14 whiffs to get his season SwStr% to 12.1%.
The slider is still working well, and it’s good that he’s throwing it more this year, but you can see that the fastball still just isn’t good. A 12.1% SwStr% with a 40% GB% isn’t going to work very well, and he was someone we also identified as over-performing early on. I think he’s a Major League pitcher, but I don’t think he’s a fantasy option at this point, again this is all very sad for me to say. If the Pirates don’t win this series against the Rockies at home I might like cut my left foot off or something.
Julio Urias came in with more velocity yesterday, here’s a screenshot from the “Pitch Logs” tab on the main dashboard:
He struck out only three last night but for the year has an elevated 25.5% K% along with the always-great walk rate of 4.9%.
I am really struggling with Clarke Schmidt, who will be someone to focus on this week. He should make two starts this week and he has been awful this year, which makes it weird that I’m even talking about him.
The reason I’m struggling is that he shows up on the magic formula qualifiers with a 28.7% K%, a 4.6% BB%, and a 45% GB% over the last three weeks. That’s a K-BB% well over 20%, and it’s hard to struggle when you’re doing that, as we always talk about here.
For the year he’s at a 19% K-BB%, so just to try to make my point I’m going to give you the long list of pitchers that have made at least six starts with a K-BB% above 19%, ordered by how many innings they’ve thrown:
Gerrit Cole, Julio Urias, Logan Webb, Framber Valdez, Nathan Eovaldo, Eduardo Rodriguez, Joe Ryan, Pablo Lopez, Zac Gallen, Clayton Kershaw, Kevin Gausman, Luis Castillo, Mitch Keller, Cristian Javier, Alex Cobb, Jose Berrios, Spencer Strider, Jose Berrios, Spencer Strider, Shane McClanahan, Sonny Gray, Lance Lynn, Domingo German, Shohei Ohtani, Zack Wheeler, Chris Sale, Freddy Peralta, Nick Lodolo, Logan Gilbert, Hunter Greene, JP Sears, Jacob deGrom, Reid Detmers, Clarke Schmidt, Matt Strahm, Grayson Rodriguez
If we take all of those pitchers together, they have a 3.57 ERA with a 1.14 WHIP.
Seven of those pitchers have ERAs over 5:
I think with any pitcher with an ERA above 5, we should expect it to come down. ERAs tend to move toward the mean, which would be in the mid-fours. But with these names, I just can’t see how you can really pitch to a 5+ ERA with a K-BB% that good. I’m buying in on all of those names, and I think you can even stream Schmidt this week for the two-starts.
The top 3 hitters on the JA algorithm ranks are all Blue Jays so that’s ridiculous.
Guerrero Jr.
Bichette
Chapman
Smith
Acuna Jr.
Diaz
Pasquantino
Goldschmidt
Reynolds
Kelenic
Maybe that makes me feel a little bit better about the Pirates going 0-6 against the Rays and Blue Jays, but again - if they lose these next two I’m going to lose a foot.
Alright that’ll be it for my writing today. Again, everything is free today - the whole report is available for you all, but tomorrow all of the really interesting stuff goes back behind the paywall, so become a paid subscriber today to get access to that plus all of the other stuff for the rest of the year.
1. Sandy Alcantara (vs. CHC): 27.34 Points
2. Bryce Miller (vs. HOU): 25.7 Points
3. Taijuan Walker (vs. BOS): 25.7 Points
4. Cal Quantrill (vs. MIN): 25.35 Points
5. Yusei Kikuchi (vs. PIT): 20.65 Points
6. Hayden Wesneski (vs. MIA): 20.5 Points
7. Joe Musgrove (vs. LAD): 18.25 Points
8. Ryan Yarbrough (vs. OAK): 16.96 Points
9. Mason Miller (vs. KC): 15.9 Points
10. Tyler Wells (vs. ATL): 14.85 Points
1. Sandy Alcantara (MIA): 15 Whiffs (113 Pitches)
2. Roansy Contreras (PIT): 14 Whiffs (94 Pitches)
3. Joe Ryan (MIN): 13 Whiffs (100 Pitches)
4. Tanner Houck (BOS): 12 Whiffs (74 Pitches)
5. Taijuan Walker (PHI): 11 Whiffs (85 Pitches)
6. Jose Suarez (LAA): 11 Whiffs (74 Pitches)
7. Cal Quantrill (CLE): 11 Whiffs (95 Pitches)
8. Hayden Wesneski (CHC): 10 Whiffs (84 Pitches)
9. Tyler Wells (BAL): 10 Whiffs (96 Pitches)
10. Joe Musgrove (SD): 10 Whiffs (81 Pitches)
1. Roansy Contreras (PIT): 14.9 SwStr%, 33.0 CSW%
2. Tanner Houck (BOS): 16.2 SwStr%, 32.4 CSW%
3. Graham Ashcraft (CIN): 13.5 SwStr%, 30.8 CSW%
4. Jose Suarez (LAA): 14.9 SwStr%, 29.7 CSW%
5. Ryan Feltner (COL): 7.2 SwStr%, 28.9 CSW%
6. Julio Urias (LAD): 7.0 SwStr%, 27.9 CSW%
7. Alex Faedo (DET): 11.1 SwStr%, 27.8 CSW%
8. Hayden Wesneski (CHC): 11.9 SwStr%, 27.4 CSW%
9. Ryan Yarbrough (KC): 9.1 SwStr%, 27.3 CSW%
10. Taijuan Walker (PHI): 12.9 SwStr%, 27.1 CSW%
1. Joe Ryan - 6.0 IP - 159.0 JA Points
2. Sandy Alcantara - 8.0 IP - 130.5 JA Points
3. Tanner Houck - 5.67 IP - 124.0 JA Points
4. Yusei Kikuchi - 6.33 IP - 112.5 JA Points
5. Taijuan Walker - 5.67 IP - 112.0 JA Points
6. Adrian Houser - 4.67 IP - 110.0 JA Points
7. Cal Quantrill - 6.67 IP - 108.5 JA Points
8. Steven Matz - 5.33 IP - 107.5 JA Points
9. Ryan Yarbrough - 5.33 IP - 100.5 JA Points
10. Mason Miller - 6.0 IP - 98.5 JA Points
1. Jacob deGrom (TEX) - 6.0 GS - 125.08 JA Points
2. Nick Lodolo (CIN) - 7.0 GS - 119.12 JA Points
3. Shane McClanahan (TB) - 7.0 GS - 118.31 JA Points
4. Spencer Strider (ATL) - 7.0 GS - 117.06 JA Points
5. Trevor Rogers (MIA) - 4.0 GS - 114.76 JA Points
6. Zack Wheeler (PHI) - 7.0 GS - 110.83 JA Points
7. Jesus Luzardo (MIA) - 7.0 GS - 110.2 JA Points
8. Taylor Clarke (KC) - 1.0 GS - 110.0 JA Points
9. Hunter Greene (CIN) - 7.0 GS - 109.05 JA Points
10. Josiah Gray (WSH) - 7.0 GS - 107.96 JA Points
Jose Suarez's SL velo (14 pitches) UP 2.1mph to 85.6
Julio Urias's FF velo (45 pitches) UP 2.0mph to 94.7
Julio Urias's SV velo (16 pitches) UP 2.0mph to 81.5
Joey Lucchesi's SI velo (23 pitches) UP 1.7mph to 91.2
Julio Urias's CH velo (14 pitches) UP 1.7mph to 87.5
Ryne Nelson's FF velo (49 pitches) UP 1.7mph to 95.6
Julio Urias's FC velo (11 pitches) UP 1.5mph to 87.8
Michael Kopech's FF velo (61 pitches) DOWN -1.5mph to 94.3
Tanner Houck's SI velo (23 pitches) DOWN -1.9mph to 92.0
Michael Kopech's SL velo (24 pitches) DOWN -2.4mph to 82.7
Joe Ryan's ST velo (12 pitches) DOWN -3.1mph to 76.1
Brandon Bielak's SI usage (31.4%) up 24.7 points
Chase Silseth's FC usage (30.6%) up 12.4 points
Gerrit Cole's SL usage (29.5%) up 11.4 points
Hayden Wesneski's SI usage (26.2%) up 10.6 points
Joey Lucchesi's CU usage (38.6%) up 15.8 points
Mason Miller's FC usage (28.6%) up 11.0 points
Ryan Yarbrough's SI usage (53.0%) up 30.1 points
Taijuan Walker's FS usage (54.1%) up 20.5 points
Yusei Kikuchi's CU usage (16.1%) up 13.1 points
Shane McClanahan - 69 TBF, 41.7% CSW%
Spencer Strider - 92 TBF, 38.2% CSW%
Shohei Ohtani - 78 TBF, 35.6% CSW%
Clayton Kershaw - 96 TBF, 33.7% CSW%
Zac Gallen - 67 TBF, 33.4% CSW%
Charlie Morton - 75 TBF, 33.3% CSW%
David Peterson - 71 TBF, 33.2% CSW%
Mitch Keller - 71 TBF, 33.2% CSW%
Luke Weaver - 73 TBF, 33.2% CSW%
Yu Darvish - 72 TBF, 33.1% CSW%
Shohei Ohtani - 78 TBF, 44.9% K%
Spencer Strider - 92 TBF, 43.5% K%
Zac Gallen - 67 TBF, 43.3% K%
Edward Cabrera - 91 TBF, 37.4% K%
Shane McClanahan - 69 TBF, 34.8% K%
Kevin Gausman - 96 TBF, 34.4% K%
Mitch Keller - 71 TBF, 32.4% K%
Clayton Kershaw - 96 TBF, 32.3% K%
JP Sears - 69 TBF, 31.9% K%
MacKenzie Gore - 95 TBF, 31.6% K%
Zac Gallen - 67 TBF, 43.3% K-BB%
Shohei Ohtani - 78 TBF, 37.2% K-BB%
Spencer Strider - 92 TBF, 37.0% K-BB%
Kevin Gausman - 96 TBF, 30.2% K-BB%
Mitch Keller - 71 TBF, 28.2% K-BB%
Eduardo Rodriguez - 97 TBF, 27.8% K-BB%
Shane McClanahan - 69 TBF, 27.5% K-BB%
Clayton Kershaw - 96 TBF, 26.0% K-BB%
David Peterson - 71 TBF, 25.4% K-BB%
Logan Gilbert - 68 TBF, 25.0% K-BB%
Max Fried - 90 TBF, 67.2% GB%
Framber Valdez - 79 TBF, 66.7% GB%
Alex Cobb - 105 TBF, 64.5% GB%
Bryce Elder - 95 TBF, 64.2% GB%
Logan Webb - 108 TBF, 62.3% GB%
Sonny Gray - 94 TBF, 60.3% GB%
Josh Fleming - 72 TBF, 59.6% GB%
Patrick Sandoval - 71 TBF, 57.4% GB%
Brayan Bello - 82 TBF, 57.1% GB%
Brad Keller - 89 TBF, 56.7% GB%
Chris Sale - 96 TBF, 27.1 K%, 4.2 BB%, 43.5% GB%
Clarke Schmidt - 87 TBF, 28.7 K%, 4.6 BB%, 44.6% GB%
David Peterson - 71 TBF, 28.2 K%, 2.8 BB%, 53.1% GB%
Eduardo Rodriguez - 97 TBF, 30.9 K%, 3.1 BB%, 46.9% GB%
Jake Bird - 56 TBF, 28.6 K%, 5.4 BB%, 54.1% GB%
Lance Lynn - 102 TBF, 28.4 K%, 7.8 BB%, 46.2% GB%
Logan Gilbert - 68 TBF, 29.4 K%, 4.4 BB%, 44.4% GB%
Nick Martinez - 62 TBF, 27.4 K%, 6.5 BB%, 53.7% GB%
Shane McClanahan - 69 TBF, 34.8 K%, 7.2 BB%, 47.5% GB%
Yu Darvish - 72 TBF, 27.8 K%, 6.9 BB%, 44.7% GB%
Zac Gallen - 67 TBF, 43.3 K%, 0.0 BB%, 50.0% GB%
Zach Eflin - 64 TBF, 29.7 K%, 3.1 BB%, 61.9% GB%
Eduardo Rodriguez - +3.6% CSW%, -4.1 BB%
Matthew Boyd - +3.4% CSW%, -3.2 BB%
Spencer Strider - +4.4% CSW%, -2.0 BB%
Vince Velasquez - +2.0% CSW%, -2.7 BB%
Patrick Corbin - +2.2% CSW%, -3.0 BB%
Luis Garcia - +2.4% CSW%, -2.0 BB%
Mitch Keller - +6.3% CSW%, -4.8 BB%
Zac Gallen - +4.3% CSW%, -7.2 BB%
Jack Flaherty - +4.8% CSW%, -3.2 BB%
Matt Strahm - +2.9% CSW%, -2.3 BB%
Jake Bird - +6.8% CSW%, -3.0 BB%
Carlos Hernandez - +5.7% CSW%, -3.0 BB%
David Peterson - +3.5% CSW%, -5.5 BB%
Andrew Knizner (STL) 4 PA, 10 Swings, 2 Barrels, 0 HR
Brandon Belt (TOR) 5 PA, 11 Swings, 2 Barrels, 0 HR
Jake Meyers (HOU) 3 PA, 7 Swings, 2 Barrels, 0 HR
Jonathan India (CIN) 3 PA, 3 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Juan Soto (SD) 5 PA, 8 Swings, 2 Barrels, 0 HR
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) 5 PA, 5 Swings, 2 Barrels, 2 HR
Michael Harris II (ATL) 5 PA, 7 Swings, 2 Barrels, 0 HR
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) 5 PA, 9 Swings, 3 Barrels, 3 HR
Willy Adames (MIL) 5 PA, 9 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Corbin Carroll, Yesterday: 113.8 Previous High: 111.1
Top 10
George Springer - 77 PA, 0.215 wOBA, 0.33 xwOBA, 0.115 Diff
Keibert Ruiz - 65 PA, 0.296 wOBA, 0.397 xwOBA, 0.101 Diff
Jose Abreu - 72 PA, 0.236 wOBA, 0.322 xwOBA, 0.086 Diff
Nolan Arenado - 76 PA, 0.174 wOBA, 0.244 xwOBA, 0.07 Diff
Adley Rutschman - 78 PA, 0.288 wOBA, 0.357 xwOBA, 0.069 Diff
Myles Straw - 63 PA, 0.194 wOBA, 0.262 xwOBA, 0.068 Diff
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. - 74 PA, 0.374 wOBA, 0.439 xwOBA, 0.065 Diff
Julio Rodriguez - 69 PA, 0.289 wOBA, 0.35 xwOBA, 0.061 Diff
Ryan Mountcastle - 80 PA, 0.319 wOBA, 0.379 xwOBA, 0.06 Diff
Triston Casas - 62 PA, 0.335 wOBA, 0.393 xwOBA, 0.058 Diff
Bottom 10
Cody Bellinger - 75 PA, 0.451 wOBA, 0.313 xwOBA, -0.138 Diff
Jarren Duran - 80 PA, 0.442 wOBA, 0.333 xwOBA, -0.109 Diff
James Outman - 78 PA, 0.395 wOBA, 0.287 xwOBA, -0.108 Diff
Anthony Santander - 72 PA, 0.426 wOBA, 0.321 xwOBA, -0.105 Diff
Corbin Carroll - 60 PA, 0.469 wOBA, 0.366 xwOBA, -0.103 Diff
Thairo Estrada - 82 PA, 0.388 wOBA, 0.287 xwOBA, -0.101 Diff
C.J. Abrams - 59 PA, 0.317 wOBA, 0.218 xwOBA, -0.099 Diff
Leody Taveras - 62 PA, 0.423 wOBA, 0.332 xwOBA, -0.091 Diff
Yandy Diaz - 74 PA, 0.496 wOBA, 0.406 xwOBA, -0.09 Diff
Jeff McNeil - 74 PA, 0.404 wOBA, 0.321 xwOBA, -0.083 Diff
1. Paul Goldschmidt - 5.0 PA - 57.5 JA Points
2. Hanser Alberto - 5.0 PA - 43.0 JA Points
3. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. - 5.0 PA - 41.0 JA Points
4. Michael Harris II - 5.0 PA - 40.0 JA Points
5. Jonathan India - 3.0 PA - 31.0 JA Points
6. Willy Adames - 5.0 PA - 29.0 JA Points
7. Anthony Rizzo - 6.0 PA - 27.5 JA Points
8. Kevin Kiermaier - 5.0 PA - 24.5 JA Points
9. Dylan Carlson - 4.0 PA - 24.5 JA Points
10. Bo Bichette - 5.0 PA - 23.5 JA Points
1. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) - 148.0 PA - 37.03 JA Points
2. Bo Bichette (TOR) - 159.0 PA - 24.15 JA Points
3. Matt Chapman (TOR) - 144.0 PA - 19.31 JA Points
4. Will Smith (LAD) - 90.0 PA - 10.0 JA Points
5. Ronald Acuna Jr. (ATL) - 158.0 PA - 9.37 JA Points
6. Yandy Diaz (TB) - 137.0 PA - 8.47 JA Points
7. Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) - 147.0 PA - 7.89 JA Points
8. Paul Goldschmidt (STL) - 154.0 PA - 6.49 JA Points
9. Bryan Reynolds (PIT) - 142.0 PA - 1.55 JA Points
10. Jarred Kelenic (SEA) - 126.0 PA - -2.7 JA Points
Corbin Carroll (ARI) - 113.8mph - double
Yandy Diaz (TB) - 113.0mph - single
Salvador Perez (KC) - 112.4mph - home_run
Jake Bauers (NYY) - 111.2mph - nan
Max Kepler (MIN) - 111.0mph - field_out
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) - 110.8mph - home_run
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) - 110.7mph - home_run
Carlos Correa (MIN) - 110.5mph - field_out
Ezequiel Duran (TEX) - 110.5mph - home_run
Ian Happ (CHC) - 110.4mph - nan
Matt Chapman - 80 PA, 45 BIP, 12 Brls, 26.7 Brl%
Randy Arozarena - 80 PA, 50 BIP, 12 Brls, 24.0 Brl%
Paul Goldschmidt - 81 PA, 59 BIP, 14 Brls, 23.7 Brl%
Max Muncy - 65 PA, 34 BIP, 7 Brls, 20.6 Brl%
Patrick Wisdom - 72 PA, 34 BIP, 7 Brls, 20.6 Brl%
Jack Suwinski - 70 PA, 34 BIP, 7 Brls, 20.6 Brl%
Brent Rooker - 74 PA, 39 BIP, 8 Brls, 20.5 Brl%
Sean Murphy - 73 PA, 46 BIP, 9 Brls, 19.6 Brl%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. - 74 PA, 57 BIP, 11 Brls, 19.3 Brl%
Mike Trout - 77 PA, 52 BIP, 10 Brls, 19.2 Brl%
Masataka Yoshida - 81 PA, 0.459 xwOBA
Jonah Heim - 69 PA, 0.458 xwOBA
Max Muncy - 65 PA, 0.457 xwOBA
Sean Murphy - 73 PA, 0.457 xwOBA
Paul Goldschmidt - 81 PA, 0.447 xwOBA
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. - 74 PA, 0.439 xwOBA
Adolis Garcia - 78 PA, 0.438 xwOBA
Ronald Acuna Jr. - 81 PA, 0.431 xwOBA
Nick Castellanos - 76 PA, 0.422 xwOBA
Kris Bryant - 71 PA, 0.417 xwOBA
Luis Arraez - 66 PA, 133 Swings, 93.2 Cont%
Geraldo Perdomo - 53 PA, 91 Swings, 91.2 Cont%
Alec Burleson - 49 PA, 79 Swings, 91.1 Cont%
Keibert Ruiz - 65 PA, 107 Swings, 90.7 Cont%
Myles Straw - 63 PA, 108 Swings, 90.7 Cont%
Alejandro Kirk - 52 PA, 84 Swings, 90.5 Cont%
Nico Hoerner - 96 PA, 178 Swings, 89.3 Cont%
Steven Kwan - 77 PA, 135 Swings, 88.9 Cont%
Masataka Yoshida - 81 PA, 114 Swings, 88.6 Cont%
Isaac Paredes - 67 PA, 121 Swings, 88.4 Cont%
Esteury Ruiz - 8 Attempts (6 steals)
Cody Bellinger - 5 Attempts (5 steals)
Ji Hwan Bae - 5 Attempts (4 steals)
Raimel Tapia - 5 Attempts (4 steals)
Jon Berti - 4 Attempts (2 steals)
Wander Franco - 4 Attempts (3 steals)
Jonathan India - 4 Attempts (3 steals)
Bobby Witt Jr. - 4 Attempts (3 steals)
Taylor Walls - 4 Attempts (4 steals)
Esteury Ruiz - 17 Attempts (15 steals)
Ji Hwan Bae - 14 Attempts (12 steals)
Jazz Chisholm Jr. - 12 Attempts (11 steals)
Ronald Acuna Jr. - 12 Attempts (11 steals)
Nico Hoerner - 12 Attempts (10 steals)
Cody Bellinger - 10 Attempts (9 steals)
Wander Franco - 9 Attempts (6 steals)
Jorge Mateo - 9 Attempts (7 steals)
Bobby Witt Jr. - 9 Attempts (7 steals)
Thairo Estrada - 9 Attempts (7 steals)
Corbin Carroll - 9 Attempts (7 steals)
Ke'Bryan Hayes - 8 Attempts (5 steals)
Jon Berti - 8 Attempts (6 steals)
Anthony Volpe - 8 Attempts (8 steals)
Starling Marte - 8 Attempts (6 steals)
Shohei Ohtani - 8 Attempts (5 steals)
Victor Robles - 8 Attempts (7 steals)
Whit Merrifield - 8 Attempts (7 steals)
Adolis Garcia - 78 PA, 17.9 K%, 17.0 Brl%
Christian Walker - 74 PA, 18.9 K%, 16.4 Brl%
Jonah Heim - 69 PA, 13.0 K%, 15.4 Brl%
Ketel Marte - 72 PA, 16.7 K%, 15.4 Brl%
Ozzie Albies - 78 PA, 15.4 K%, 14.8 Brl%
Paul Goldschmidt - 81 PA, 19.8 K%, 23.7 Brl%
Sean Murphy - 73 PA, 19.2 K%, 19.6 Brl%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. - 74 PA, 16.2 K%, 19.3 Brl%
Zach McKinstry - 51 PA, 19.6 K%, 17.6 Brl%
Jonah Heim - 99 PA, +0.152 xwOBA
Sean Murphy - 112 PA, +0.133 xwOBA
Zach McKinstry - 66 PA, +0.129 xwOBA
Matt Chapman - 115 PA, +0.126 xwOBA
Jarred Kelenic - 110 PA, +0.125 xwOBA
Brent Rooker - 105 PA, +0.12 xwOBA
Randal Grichuk - 31 PA, +0.1123 xwOBA
Anthony Rendon - 102 PA, +0.099 xwOBA
Randy Arozarena - 120 PA, +0.099 xwOBA
Ezequiel Duran - 77 PA, +0.099 xwOBA
Andrew Knizner - 35 PA, +16.3 Brl%
Matt Chapman - 115 PA, +15.6 Brl%
Sean Murphy - 112 PA, +13.8 Brl%
Randy Arozarena - 120 PA, +11.9 Brl%
Edmundo Sosa - 74 PA, +11.3 Brl%
Brent Rooker - 105 PA, +11.3 Brl%
Jack Suwinski - 93 PA, +11.1 Brl%
Jacob Stallings - 45 PA, +10.6 Brl%
Trent Grisham - 106 PA, +10.4 Brl%
Josh Smith - 61 PA, +10.1 Brl%
Brad Miller - 33 PA, +14.5 Cont%
Javier Baez - 98 PA, +12.6 Cont%
Will Smith - 62 PA, +10.0 Cont%
Jonathan India - 124 PA, +9.5 Cont%
Ke'Bryan Hayes - 116 PA, +8.7 Cont%
George Springer - 119 PA, +8.1 Cont%
Alec Bohm - 119 PA, +8.0 Cont%
Owen Miller - 54 PA, +7.9 Cont%
Shohei Ohtani - 123 PA, +7.9 Cont%
Gleyber Torres - 114 PA, +7.5 Cont%
Brad Miller - 33 PA, -20.3 K%
Javier Baez - 98 PA, -14.7 K%
James McCann - 48 PA, -14.2 K%
Tucupita Marcano - 52 PA, -11.8 K%
Luis Garcia - 96 PA, -11.8 K%
Nick Gordon - 58 PA, -11.7 K%
Will Smith - 62 PA, -11.6 K%
Joey Bart - 55 PA, -11.1 K%
Ke'Bryan Hayes - 116 PA, -10.5 K%
Shohei Ohtani - 123 PA, -10.4 K%
Luis Garcia - +10.0% Contact%, +3.9 mph exit velo, -17.1 Chase%
Salvador Perez - +8.1% Contact%, +6.9 mph exit velo, -4.6 Chase%
Hunter Renfroe - +5.6% Contact%, +3.7 mph exit velo, -7.6 Chase%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. - +12.2% Contact%, +5.5 mph exit velo, -5.4 Chase%
Ian Happ - 0.389 xwOBA, 11.4% Brl%, 76.5% Contact%, 19.5% Chase%, 18.5% K%
LaMonte Wade Jr. - 0.465 xwOBA, 14.7% Brl%, 79.2% Contact%, 12.3% Chase%, 17.3% K%
Masataka Yoshida - 0.541 xwOBA, 16.3% Brl%, 89.7% Contact%, 16.8% Chase%, 5.2% K%
Max Kepler - 0.4 xwOBA, 14.3% Brl%, 83.1% Contact%, 22.4% Chase%, 20.4% K%
Nathaniel Lowe - 0.415 xwOBA, 14.3% Brl%, 75.9% Contact%, 24.4% Chase%, 22.4% K%
Ronald Acuna Jr. - 0.453 xwOBA, 14.6% Brl%, 79.0% Contact%, 19.1% Chase%, 13.8% K%
Joey Gallo - 38.7% Whiff%, 81.0% Weak%, 0.986 Cold Rating
Andrew McCutchen - 40.0% Whiff%, 72.7% Weak%, 0.937 Cold Rating
Nolan Gorman - 34.2% Whiff%, 78.3% Weak%, 0.933 Cold Rating
Michael Conforto - 34.4% Whiff%, 75.0% Weak%, 0.92 Cold Rating
Jorge Soler - 34.8% Whiff%, 74.2% Weak%, 0.914 Cold Rating
Alek Thomas - 32.8% Whiff%, 77.3% Weak%, 0.899 Cold Rating
James Outman - 49.4% Whiff%, 69.6% Weak%, 0.893 Cold Rating
Nick Maton - 35.1% Whiff%, 69.6% Weak%, 0.849 Cold Rating
Joey Wiemer - 33.3% Whiff%, 70.4% Weak%, 0.843 Cold Rating
Trea Turner - 30.4% Whiff%, 74.3% Weak%, 0.842 Cold Rating
Pedro Leon (HOU): 4/6, 4R, 2HR, 5RBI, 0SB, 48FPts
Grae Kessinger (HOU): 5/7, 3R, 2HR, 5RBI, 0SB, 45FPts
Bligh Madris (HOU): 3/6, 3R, 2HR, 2RBI, 0SB, 37FPts
Kyren Paris (LAA): 1/2, 3R, 1HR, 1RBI, 3SB, 37FPts
Korey Lee (HOU): 6/7, 4R, 0HR, 2RBI, 0SB, 34FPts
Chris Owings (PIT): 4/5, 2R, 1HR, 3RBI, 0SB, 31FPts
Weston Wilson (PHI): 2/3, 2R, 1HR, 5RBI, 0SB, 31FPts
Korey Holland (CLE): 3/3, 1R, 1HR, 3RBI, 0SB, 31FPts
Jared Oliva (LAA): 2/3, 2R, 2HR, 2RBI, 0SB, 30FPts
Devin Mann (LAD): 2/3, 2R, 1HR, 4RBI, 0SB, 29FPts
Eury Perez (MIA): 6IP, 2H, 1ER, 9K, 2BB, 31FPts
Chayce McDermott (BAL): 5IP, 2H, 2ER, 9K, 1BB, 27FPts
Connor Phillips (CIN): 5IP, 3H, 2ER, 9K, 2BB, 22FPts
Bruce Zimmermann (BAL): 6IP, 5H, 3ER, 9K, 2BB, 21FPts
Spencer Arrighetti (HOU): 5IP, 3H, 1ER, 5K, 2BB, 20FPts
Caleb Boushley (MIL): 5IP, 4H, 1ER, 7K, 1BB, 20FPts
James Kaprielian (OAK): 5IP, 3H, 0ER, 3K, 0BB, 19FPts
Keaton Winn (SF): 4IP, 4H, 0ER, 6K, 1BB, 18FPts
Jordan Wicks (CHC): 5IP, 0H, 0ER, 4K, 1BB, 18FPts
Andrew Abbott (CIN): 5IP, 7H, 3ER, 9K, 1BB, 18FPts
Phillip Evans (AAA - ARI) 130 PA 1.215 OPS
Mike Ford (AAA - SEA) 134 PA 1.167 OPS
Christopher Morel (AAA - CHC) 134 PA 1.155 OPS
Nolan Jones (AAA - COL) 133 PA 1.123 OPS
Buddy Kennedy (AAA - ARI) 131 PA 1.121 OPS
Mark Vientos (AAA - NYM) 132 PA 1.12 OPS
Matt McLain (AAA - CIN) 143 PA 1.115 OPS
Luken Baker (AAA - STL) 137 PA 1.107 OPS
Jo Adell (AAA - LAA) 139 PA 1.082 OPS
Eddy Alvarez (AAA - MIL) 111 PA 1.045 OPS
Heston Kjerstad (AA - BAL) 103 PA 1.044 OPS
Jorge Bonifacio (AA - KC) 103 PA 1.044 OPS
Keston Hiura (AAA - MIL) 117 PA 1.042 OPS
Josh Palacios (AAA - PIT) 97 PA 1.031 OPS
Alfonso Rivas (AAA - SD) 107 PA 1.028 OPS
Ryan Bliss (AA - ARI) 108 PA 1.022 OPS
Jorbit Vivas (AA - LAD) 120 PA 1.019 OPS
Brian O'Keefe (AAA - SEA) 108 PA 1.018 OPS
Zack Collins (AAA - CLE) 141 PA 1.015 OPS
Kevin Padlo (AAA - LAA) 107 PA 1.011 OPS
Andrew Abbott (AAA - CIN) 30 IP 43.2% K-BB
Emmet Sheehan (AA - LAD) 24 IP 36.5% K-BB
Cristian Mena (AA - CWS) 25 IP 35.0% K-BB
Pat Monteverde (AA - MIA) 31 IP 32.7% K-BB
Nick Frasso (AA - LAD) 26 IP 30.1% K-BB
Sean Hunley (AA - TB) 24 IP 29.7% K-BB
Ben Brown (AAA - CHC) 25 IP 29.3% K-BB
Coleman Crow (AA - LAA) 24 IP 29.0% K-BB
Eury Perez (AA - MIA) 31 IP 28.2% K-BB
Tobias Myers (AA - MIL) 30 IP 27.2% K-BB
Connor Phillips (AA - CIN) 27 IP 26.8% K-BB
Anthony Veneziano (AA - KC) 32 IP 26.7% K-BB
Gavin Williams (AAA - CLE) 24 IP 25.3% K-BB
Sawyer Gipson-Long (AA - DET) 24 IP 25.0% K-BB
Richard Fitts (AA - NYY) 27 IP 23.9% K-BB
Allan Winans (AAA - ATL) 31 IP 23.8% K-BB
Jesse Scholtens (AAA - CWS) 26 IP 23.6% K-BB
Chayce McDermott (AA - BAL) 25 IP 23.3% K-BB
Blayne Enlow (AA - MIN) 26 IP 23.2% K-BB
Justin Jarvis (AA - MIL) 28 IP 23.0% K-BB
HOU - 111.5 Opposing SP Stuff+
TB - 109.6 Opposing SP Stuff+
KC - 106.7 Opposing SP Stuff+
TOR - 106.1 Opposing SP Stuff+
LAA - 103.5 Opposing SP Stuff+
PIT - 79.6 Opposing SP Stuff+
CLE - 81.8 Opposing SP Stuff+
MIL - 82.0 Opposing SP Stuff+
CWS - 82.6 Opposing SP Stuff+
PHI - 83.4 Opposing SP Stuff+
Tanner Bibee (32.0% Owned): Projected 5.57IP 2.4ER 6.69SO 1.67BB 18.04FPts
Miles Mikolas (37.5% Owned): Projected 5.77IP 2.81ER 5.09SO 1.34BB 13.53FPts
Jake Irvin (0.0% Owned): Projected 5.27IP 2.62ER 5.26SO 2.12BB 12.99FPts
Marcell Ozuna - 28 PA, 1.255 OPS
Leody Taveras - 27 PA, 1.171 OPS
Ezequiel Tovar - 34 PA, 1.11 OPS
LaMonte Wade Jr. - 34 PA, 1.095 OPS
Randal Grichuk - 31 PA, 1.076 OPS
Ryan Noda - 34 PA, 1.034 OPS
Nick Pratto - 36 PA, 0.976 OPS
TJ Friedl - 31 PA, 0.973 OPS
Chris Taylor - 28 PA, 0.972 OPS
Lane Thomas - 33 PA, 0.916 OPS
LaMonte Wade Jr. RF (14.5% Owned): Projected 0.7R 0.18HR 0.46RBI 0.87SO 0.5BB 0.05SB 8.16FPts
Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B (36.5% Owned): Projected 0.62R 0.08HR 0.41RBI 0.78SO 0.37BB 0.16SB 7.98FPts
Harrison Bader CF (23.0% Owned): Projected 0.56R 0.14HR 0.59RBI 0.8SO 0.2BB 0.16SB 7.91FPts
Jesse Winker LF (14.5% Owned): Projected 0.65R 0.14HR 0.52RBI 0.74SO 0.63BB 0.0SB 7.83FPts
Joc Pederson OF (20.0% Owned): Projected 0.57R 0.17HR 0.63RBI 0.88SO 0.37BB 0.04SB 7.81FPts
Luis Garcia SS (5.5% Owned): Projected 0.56R 0.13HR 0.45RBI 0.8SO 0.13BB 0.05SB 7.58FPts
J.D. Davis 3B (22.5% Owned): Projected 0.58R 0.15HR 0.59RBI 1.27SO 0.4BB 0.01SB 7.57FPts
Esteury Ruiz LF (36.0% Owned): Projected 0.57R 0.07HR 0.37RBI 1.16SO 0.26BB 0.3SB 7.55FPts
Evan Longoria 3B (0.5% Owned): Projected 0.53R 0.19HR 0.56RBI 1.01SO 0.36BB 0.01SB 7.49FPts
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