MLB Daily Notes - Monday, April 11
I’m going to slowly be refining these notes, adding some new stuff and cleaning up some of the current stuff here.
The plan right now is to also develop several Google Sheets with useful and unique data reports that will be updated daily. Requests are welcome as well, any kind of data reports you want to see updated daily - let me know.
I *think* I’m going to keep these notes free, but am going to eventually make the daily projections and these custom data reports (Google Sheets) a paid feature. Probably just a pretty affordable one-time fee and then once I get the payment I’ll add your preferred email address to all of the sheets. That will keep me a bit motivated to keep churning on them, and it will make it worth my daily effort.
So far all of this business has seriously cut into the time I devote to my real job (yes, fantasy writers have real jobs too), so that’s not a great situation. Luckily my boss is in Italy and doesn’t pay much of any attention to me, but it’s gotten a bit stressful trying to get everything done by the end of each day.
Your guys’ buying the projections or just sending a tip or two would mean a lot to me. More to come on all of that!
CSW% Leaders - Yesterday
1. Bryse Wilson (PIT): 9.4 SwStr%, 37.5 CSW%
2. Tanner Houck (BOS): 10.3 SwStr%, 35.9 CSW%
3. Steven Matz (STL): 16.0 SwStr%, 34.7 CSW%
4. Jackson Kowar (KC): 8.5 SwStr%, 32.4 CSW%
5. Corbin Martin (ARI): 13.5 SwStr%, 32.4 CSW%
6. Nabil Crismatt (SD): 17.0 SwStr%, 32.1 CSW%
7. Hunter Greene (CIN): 15.2 SwStr%, 31.5 CSW%
8. Erick Fedde (WSH): 13.8 SwStr%, 31.0 CSW%
9. Freddy Peralta (MIL): 14.8 SwStr%, 30.7 CSW%
10. Carlos Carrasco (NYM): 13.9 SwStr%, 30.6 CSW%
Velo Changes
Marco Gonzales's CU velo (10 pitches) UP 2.3mph to 77.5
Bailey Ober's SL velo (23 pitches) UP 2.1mph to 83.6
Corbin Martin's CU velo (11 pitches) UP 1.8mph to 84.1
Javy Guerra's SL velo (15 pitches) UP 1.6mph to 89.7
Jose Urquidy's FF velo (42 pitches) UP 1.5mph to 94.0
Corey Kluber's FC velo (28 pitches) DOWN -1.5mph to 86.1
Erick Fedde's SI velo (25 pitches) DOWN -1.5mph to 92.4
Bryse Wilson's CH velo (11 pitches) DOWN -1.5mph to 85.3
Carlos Carrasco's SL velo (20 pitches) DOWN -1.5mph to 86.2
Marcus Stroman's SL velo (20 pitches) DOWN -1.5mph to 83.5
Cal Quantrill's SI velo (31 pitches) DOWN -1.6mph to 92.7
Corey Kluber's SI velo (24 pitches) DOWN -1.6mph to 89.1
Freddy Peralta's CH velo (14 pitches) DOWN -1.8mph to 86.3
Michael Kopech's SL velo (21 pitches) DOWN -1.8mph to 82.3
Carlos Carrasco's CU velo (12 pitches) DOWN -2.0mph to 80.3
Mitch White's FF velo (27 pitches) DOWN -2.0mph to 92.4
Erick Fedde's CH velo (12 pitches) DOWN -2.0mph to 85.7
Michael Kopech's FF velo (43 pitches) DOWN -2.0mph to 95.3
Julio Urias's CH velo (15 pitches) DOWN -2.2mph to 84.6
Tyler Wells's SL velo (13 pitches) DOWN -2.4mph to 86.2
Julio Urias's FF velo (23 pitches) DOWN -2.7mph to 91.4
Mitch White's SL velo (22 pitches) DOWN -3.6mph to 82.8
Pitch Mix Changes
Anthony DeSclafani's SI usage (35.1%) up 16.5 points
Bailey Ober's SL usage (29.1%) up 10.7 points
Bryse Wilson's CU usage (23.4%) up 11.9 points
Bryse Wilson's SL usage (17.2%) up 12.2 points
Cal Quantrill's SL usage (44.7%) up 38.5 points
Carlos Carrasco's CU usage (16.7%) up 11.9 points
Hyun Jin Ryu's CU usage (24.3%) up 11.6 points
Javy Guerra's SI usage (72.7%) up 18.3 points
Marco Gonzales's CH usage (34.4%) up 14.3 points
Marcus Stroman's FF usage (12.7%) up 10.1 points
Mitch White's SL usage (42.3%) up 24.1 points
Nabil Crismatt's FF usage (28.3%) up 15.2 points
Steven Matz's SL usage (20.0%) up 11.9 points
Tarik Skubal's CH usage (27.8%) up 15.4 points
Tyler Wells's CH usage (22.2%) up 11.8 points
Zach Eflin's SI usage (51.6%) up 10.1 points
CSW% Leaders - Season
Carlos Rodon - 20 TBF, 41.6% CSW%
Shohei Ohtani - 19 TBF, 41.2% CSW%
Joe Musgrove - 22 TBF, 39.2% CSW%
Pablo Lopez - 19 TBF, 39.2% CSW%
Nathan Eovaldi - 23 TBF, 38.2% CSW%
Kyle Gibson - 22 TBF, 37.8% CSW%
Bryse Wilson - 17 TBF, 37.5% CSW%
Kyle Hendricks - 24 TBF, 37.3% CSW%
Shane McClanahan - 19 TBF, 36.8% CSW%
Aaron Nola - 23 TBF, 36.8% CSW%
K% Leaders - Season
Carlos Rodon - 20 TBF, 60.0% K%
Shohei Ohtani - 19 TBF, 47.4% K%
Kyle Gibson - 22 TBF, 45.5% K%
Merrill Kelly - 17 TBF, 41.2% K%
Dylan Cease - 20 TBF, 40.0% K%
Shane McClanahan - 19 TBF, 36.8% K%
Joe Musgrove - 22 TBF, 36.4% K%
Chris Bassitt - 22 TBF, 36.4% K%
Logan Gilbert - 20 TBF, 35.0% K%
Justin Verlander - 20 TBF, 35.0% K%
K-BB% Leaders - Season
Carlos Rodon - 20 TBF, 50.0% K-BB%
Kyle Gibson - 22 TBF, 45.5% K-BB%
Shohei Ohtani - 19 TBF, 42.1% K-BB%
Joe Musgrove - 22 TBF, 36.4% K-BB%
Tylor Megill - 18 TBF, 33.3% K-BB%
Chris Bassitt - 22 TBF, 31.8% K-BB%
Aaron Nola - 23 TBF, 30.4% K-BB%
Logan Gilbert - 20 TBF, 30.0% K-BB%
Merrill Kelly - 17 TBF, 29.4% K-BB%
Adam Wainwright - 21 TBF, 28.6% K-BB%
GB% Leaders - Season
Marcus Stroman - 19 TBF, 76.9% GB%
Noah Syndergaard - 20 TBF, 75.0% GB%
Logan Webb - 24 TBF, 75.0% GB%
Framber Valdez - 22 TBF, 73.3% GB%
Hyun Jin Ryu - 17 TBF, 72.7% GB%
Aaron Nola - 23 TBF, 66.7% GB%
Nathan Eovaldi - 23 TBF, 64.3% GB%
Zach Davies - 21 TBF, 62.5% GB%
Jackson Kowar - 21 TBF, 62.5% GB%
Dane Dunning - 23 TBF, 62.5% GB%
Magic Formula Qualifiers - Pitchers
Aaron Nola - 23 TBF, 30.4 K%, 0.0 BB%, 66.7% GB%
Adam Wainwright - 21 TBF, 28.6 K%, 0.0 BB%, 53.3% GB%
Chris Bassitt - 22 TBF, 36.4 K%, 4.5 BB%, 53.8% GB%
Framber Valdez - 22 TBF, 27.3 K%, 4.5 BB%, 73.3% GB%
Frankie Montas - 22 TBF, 27.3 K%, 4.5 BB%, 46.7% GB%
Justin Steele - 18 TBF, 27.8 K%, 5.6 BB%, 58.3% GB%
Kyle Gibson - 22 TBF, 45.5 K%, 0.0 BB%, 58.3% GB%
Kyle Wright - 21 TBF, 28.6 K%, 4.8 BB%, 46.2% GB%
Nathan Eovaldi - 23 TBF, 30.4 K%, 4.3 BB%, 64.3% GB%
Sean Manaea - 22 TBF, 31.8 K%, 4.5 BB%, 57.1% GB%
Tylor Megill - 18 TBF, 33.3 K%, 0.0 BB%, 58.3% GB%
Multiple Barrels - Yesterday
Byron Buxton (MIN) 5 PA, 12 Swings, 2 Barrels, 2 HR
Gary Sanchez (MIN) 4 PA, 12 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Jose Abreu (CWS) 5 PA, 11 Swings, 2 Barrels, 0 HR
Jose Ramirez (CLE) 5 PA, 8 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Nelson Cruz (WSH) 4 PA, 7 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Travis d'Arnaud (ATL) 4 PA, 7 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Hardest Hit Balls - Yesterday
Shohei Ohtani (LAA) - 119.1mph - double
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) - 117.9mph - home_run
Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) - 116.8mph - single
Miguel Sano (MIN) - 116.6mph - foul
Carlos Correa (MIN) - 113.4mph - home_run
Nate Lowe (TEX) - 113.0mph - field_out
C.J. Cron (COL) - 113.0mph - home_run
Bryce Harper (PHI) - 112.7mph - field_out
Joey Gallo (NYY) - 112.5mph - field_out
Trey Mancini (BAL) - 111.1mph - double
Brl% Leaders - Season
Seiya Suzuki - 13 PA, 5 BIP, 2 Brls, 40.0 Brl%
Byron Buxton - 13 PA, 8 BIP, 3 Brls, 37.5 Brl%
Giancarlo Stanton - 13 PA, 8 BIP, 3 Brls, 37.5 Brl%
Joey Gallo - 13 PA, 6 BIP, 2 Brls, 33.3 Brl%
Rhys Hoskins - 12 PA, 6 BIP, 2 Brls, 33.3 Brl%
Miguel Sano - 12 PA, 6 BIP, 2 Brls, 33.3 Brl%
Teoscar Hernandez - 12 PA, 3 BIP, 1 Brls, 33.3 Brl%
Aaron Judge - 14 PA, 10 BIP, 3 Brls, 30.0 Brl%
Nolan Arenado - 13 PA, 10 BIP, 3 Brls, 30.0 Brl%
Nick Castellanos - 12 PA, 7 BIP, 2 Brls, 28.6 Brl%
Contact% Leaders - Season
Eloy Jimenez - 13 PA, 18 Swings, 100.0 Cont%
Steven Kwan - 14 PA, 19 Swings, 100.0 Cont%
Amed Rosario - 13 PA, 21 Swings, 100.0 Cont%
Jake Cronenworth - 16 PA, 25 Swings, 96.0 Cont%
Myles Straw - 15 PA, 23 Swings, 95.7 Cont%
Michael Brantley - 13 PA, 17 Swings, 94.1 Cont%
Austin Nola - 13 PA, 15 Swings, 93.3 Cont%
Mike Trout - 15 PA, 29 Swings, 93.1 Cont%
Seiya Suzuki - 13 PA, 12 Swings, 91.7 Cont%
Josh Harrison - 13 PA, 23 Swings, 91.3 Cont%
Magic Formula Qualifiers - Hitters
Anthony Rizzo - 13 PA, 7.7 K%, 22.2 Brl%
Austin Meadows - 12 PA, 16.7 K%, 14.3 Brl%
Austin Riley - 17 PA, 5.9 K%, 16.7 Brl%
Brad Miller - 13 PA, 7.7 K%, 18.2 Brl%
Jean Segura - 12 PA, 8.3 K%, 20.0 Brl%
Jose Abreu - 13 PA, 7.7 K%, 20.0 Brl%
Jose Ramirez - 13 PA, 15.4 K%, 20.0 Brl%
Josh Harrison - 13 PA, 7.7 K%, 16.7 Brl%
Juan Soto - 16 PA, 12.5 K%, 16.7 Brl%
Jurickson Profar - 13 PA, 15.4 K%, 25.0 Brl%
Kyle Tucker - 15 PA, 6.7 K%, 14.3 Brl%
Luis Robert - 13 PA, 0.0 K%, 15.4 Brl%
Matt Olson - 17 PA, 17.6 K%, 27.3 Brl%
Mike Trout - 15 PA, 20.0 K%, 20.0 Brl%
Nolan Arenado - 13 PA, 15.4 K%, 30.0 Brl%
Ryan Mountcastle - 12 PA, 8.3 K%, 18.2 Brl%
Salvador Perez - 12 PA, 16.7 K%, 20.0 Brl%
Tyler O'Neill - 13 PA, 7.7 K%, 20.0 Brl%
Tyler Stephenson - 13 PA, 7.7 K%, 20.0 Brl%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. - 12 PA, 16.7 K%, 22.2 Brl%
Wander Franco - 12 PA, 16.7 K%, 20.0 Brl%
Yordan Alvarez - 16 PA, 0.0 K%, 14.3 Brl%
All projections will be updated throughout the day pulling in updated lineups & re-running projections, bookmark these Google Sheets!
Apr 11 Hitter Projections
Click here to view projections
Top HR Projections
Mike Trout 0.48
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.41
Pete Alonso 0.40
Shohei Ohtani 0.39
Hunter Renfroe 0.39
George Springer 0.39
Andrew McCutchen 0.35
Matt Olson 0.33
Marcell Ozuna 0.33
Kyle Schwarber 0.32
Apr 11 Pitcher Projections
Click here to view projections
Top K Projections
Alek Manoah 6.0
Michael Wacha 5.2
Elieser Hernandez 5.1
Austin Gomber 5.0
Alex Wood 4.9
Ranger Suarez 4.9
Luis Patino 4.9
BruceZimmermann 4.8
Huascar Ynoa 4.8
Taijuan Walker 4.7