MLB Daily Notes - Monday April 18th

Apr 18, 2022

∙ Paid

It’s week two, and boy I needed week one to be done. I have eight fantasy teams, and here’s where they currently sit in the standings:

Home league with HS friends: 10th of 10

RotoBaller Experts League: 4th of 12

NFBC 50s #1: 9th of 12

NFBC 50s #2: 10th of 12

NFBC 50s #3: 8th of 12

NFBC 50s #4: 10th of 12

NFBC DC: 9th of 15

TGFBI: 9th of 15

So that’s nice. I also had a league-mate in that home league I mentioned read the notes yesterday and then immediately go and pick up Paul Blackburn, who I was planning to pick up right after lock. I was also only able to draft one of my five “My Guys” in that league, as I put those names out for everyone to see, and those players ended up getting drafted well ahead of their ADP in our league. Coincidence? No, I don’t think so!

So that’s what I’ve done to myself. I have sacrificed any edge I had against my friends at the altar of social media clout and financial gain. Will it prove to be worth it? I’ll let you know.

Changes

For paid subs, I’ve added a new sheet that tracks pitch mix changes for 2022 as compared to 2021. It finds all pitches that are either new this year, have significantly added velocity, or significantly added spin. Here’s an example of Andrew Heaney, who stands out big time on this file:

Not the best screenshot, but you can see that’s added a slider this year and raised his velocity on the curveball and his spin rate on the changeup. Spin rates on changeups aren’t very important, but interesting to see nonetheless.

EDIT: I’ve turned this into a Tableau dashboard, where you can just click one button to see all of the new pitches or the pitches with added velo/spin, check out this preview:

Same rule, the dashboard URL will only be given to paid members of the Substack!

CSW% Leaders

1. Nestor Cortes (NYY): 17.0 SwStr%, 38.6 CSW%

2. Andrew Heaney (LAD): 18.0 SwStr%, 37.1 CSW%

3. Matt Brash (SEA): 10.6 SwStr%, 35.3 CSW%

4. Alex Wood (SF): 9.2 SwStr%, 34.5 CSW%

5. Yu Darvish (SD): 16.7 SwStr%, 33.3 CSW%

6. Alek Manoah (TOR): 20.2 SwStr%, 33.3 CSW%

7. Bruce Zimmermann (BAL): 18.7 SwStr%, 33.3 CSW%

8. Elieser Hernandez (MIA): 16.5 SwStr%, 31.9 CSW%

9. Vince Velasquez (CWS): 12.9 SwStr%, 31.8 CSW%

10. Martin Perez (TEX): 10.4 SwStr%, 31.3 CSW%

Top Pitcher JA Scores - Yesterday

1. Nestor Cortes - 5.0 IP - 88.75 JA Points

2. Andrew Heaney - 6.0 IP - 72.25 JA Points

3. Alek Manoah - 6.0 IP - 61.0 JA Points

4. Elieser Hernandez - 6.0 IP - 60.75 JA Points

5. Yu Darvish - 6.67 IP - 57.0 JA Points

6. Bruce Zimmermann - 5.0 IP - 45.25 JA Points

7. Michael Wacha - 5.0 IP - 43.75 JA Points

8. Jimmy Herget - 2.0 IP - 43.25 JA Points

9. Cristopher Sanchez - 3.33 IP - 38.5 JA Points

10. Martin Perez - 3.67 IP - 38.5 JA Points

Pitcher JA Scores - Season

1. Nestor Cortes (NYY) - 2.0 GS - 69.64 JA Points

2. Shane McClanahan (TB) - 2.0 GS - 67.22 JA Points

3. Carlos Rodon (SF) - 2.0 GS - 61.88 JA Points

4. Josh Fleming (TB) - 1.0 GS - 61.5 JA Points

5. Freddy Peralta (MIL) - 2.0 GS - 61.31 JA Points

6. Dylan Cease (CWS) - 2.0 GS - 61.17 JA Points

7. Andrew Heaney (LAD) - 2.0 GS - 58.19 JA Points

8. Kyle Wright (ATL) - 2.0 GS - 57.16 JA Points

9. Kyle Gibson (PHI) - 2.0 GS - 56.89 JA Points

10. Kevin Gausman (TOR) - 2.0 GS - 54.96 JA Points

Velo Changes

Bailey Ober's CU velo (13 pitches) UP 1.9mph to 77.0

Cristopher Sanchez's SL velo (22 pitches) UP 1.9mph to 85.3

David Peterson's CH velo (13 pitches) UP 1.9mph to 85.8

Yu Darvish's SL velo (13 pitches) UP 1.5mph to 83.1

David Peterson's SL velo (24 pitches) UP 1.5mph to 83.6

Spencer Strider's SL velo (21 pitches) DOWN -1.5mph to 83.9

Humberto Castellanos's SI velo (18 pitches) DOWN -1.5mph to 88.9

Zack Wheeler's CU velo (11 pitches) DOWN -1.6mph to 79.9

Alek Manoah's SI velo (18 pitches) DOWN -1.6mph to 91.3

Tyler Mahle's FS velo (21 pitches) DOWN -1.6mph to 84.8

Michael Wacha's FF velo (22 pitches) DOWN -1.6mph to 92.1

Patrick Corbin's SL velo (29 pitches) DOWN -1.7mph to 79.0

Bruce Zimmermann's CU velo (11 pitches) DOWN -1.7mph to 80.1

Matt Brash's SL velo (29 pitches) DOWN -1.8mph to 83.9

Aaron Civale's FF velo (13 pitches) DOWN -1.8mph to 89.6

Aaron Civale's CU velo (18 pitches) DOWN -1.8mph to 75.1

Patrick Corbin's SI velo (26 pitches) DOWN -2.1mph to 90.5

Nestor Cortes's SL velo (16 pitches) DOWN -2.1mph to 75.3

Patrick Corbin's FF velo (33 pitches) DOWN -2.2mph to 90.0

Aaron Civale's SI velo (12 pitches) DOWN -2.2mph to 89.5

Zack Wheeler's SL velo (14 pitches) DOWN -2.2mph to 89.3

Austin Gomber's SL velo (23 pitches) DOWN -2.3mph to 82.8

Aaron Civale's FC velo (21 pitches) DOWN -2.3mph to 85.3

Michael Wacha's CH velo (24 pitches) DOWN -2.6mph to 84.2

Zack Wheeler's FF velo (25 pitches) DOWN -2.7mph to 94.4

Chris Mazza's FC velo (21 pitches) DOWN -2.8mph to 83.9

Zack Wheeler's SI velo (16 pitches) DOWN -3.0mph to 93.7

Andrew Heaney's SL velo (41 pitches) DOWN -3.5mph to 81.0

Drew Smyly's CU velo (30 pitches) DOWN -4.1mph to 74.7

Pitch Mix Changes

Adam Oller's SI usage (52.0%) up 21.6 points

Alek Manoah's SL usage (41.7%) up 14.1 points

Andrew Heaney's SL usage (46.1%) up 45.9 points

Bruce Zimmermann's CH usage (41.3%) up 15.5 points

Cristopher Sanchez's SL usage (33.8%) up 19.1 points

Drew Smyly's FC usage (25.0%) up 13.3 points

Humberto Castellanos's SL usage (23.9%) up 16.8 points

Jose Quintana's CH usage (32.9%) up 17.0 points

Jose Urquidy's CU usage (18.6%) up 11.2 points

Jose Urquidy's FC usage (14.3%) up 14.0 points

Martin Perez's CU usage (25.4%) up 16.8 points

Matt Brash's FF usage (52.9%) up 17.6 points

Nestor Cortes's FC usage (40.9%) up 17.0 points

Spencer Strider's SL usage (34.4%) up 10.3 points

Tyler Mahle's FS usage (28.8%) up 12.6 points

Wil Crowe's SL usage (38.0%) up 13.0 points

CSW% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks

Shane McClanahan - 38 TBF, 39.2% CSW%

Carlos Rodon - 45 TBF, 38.0% CSW%

Andrew Heaney - 40 TBF, 37.2% CSW%

Kevin Gausman - 45 TBF, 36.2% CSW%

Paul Blackburn - 38 TBF, 36.1% CSW%

Pablo Lopez - 40 TBF, 36.1% CSW%

Shohei Ohtani - 39 TBF, 36.0% CSW%

Kyle Gibson - 43 TBF, 35.8% CSW%

Joe Musgrove - 45 TBF, 35.6% CSW%

Hunter Greene - 42 TBF, 34.9% CSW%

K% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks

Carlos Rodon - 45 TBF, 46.7% K%

Andrew Heaney - 40 TBF, 40.0% K%

Shane McClanahan - 38 TBF, 39.5% K%

Dylan Cease - 41 TBF, 39.0% K%

Kyle Gibson - 43 TBF, 37.2% K%

Shohei Ohtani - 39 TBF, 35.9% K%

Kyle Wright - 42 TBF, 35.7% K%

Merrill Kelly - 38 TBF, 34.2% K%

Carlos Carrasco - 38 TBF, 34.2% K%

Justin Verlander - 47 TBF, 31.9% K%

K-BB% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks

Carlos Rodon - 45 TBF, 37.8% K-BB%

Kyle Wright - 42 TBF, 33.3% K-BB%

Andrew Heaney - 40 TBF, 32.5% K-BB%

Carlos Carrasco - 38 TBF, 31.6% K-BB%

Joe Musgrove - 45 TBF, 31.1% K-BB%

Kevin Gausman - 45 TBF, 31.1% K-BB%

Kyle Gibson - 43 TBF, 30.2% K-BB%

Shohei Ohtani - 39 TBF, 28.2% K-BB%

Dylan Cease - 41 TBF, 26.8% K-BB%

Shane McClanahan - 38 TBF, 26.3% K-BB%

GB% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks

Framber Valdez - 39 TBF, 73.9% GB%

Ranger Suarez - 38 TBF, 69.0% GB%

Noah Syndergaard - 43 TBF, 68.6% GB%

Kyle Freeland - 46 TBF, 63.6% GB%

Aaron Ashby - 41 TBF, 62.5% GB%

Logan Webb - 52 TBF, 61.0% GB%

Matt Brash - 42 TBF, 60.9% GB%

Paul Blackburn - 38 TBF, 59.3% GB%

Aaron Nola - 40 TBF, 59.1% GB%

German Marquez - 47 TBF, 57.9% GB%

Magic Formula Qualifiers - Pitchers - Last 3 Weeks

I raised the minimum TBF for this so now we’re restricting the list a bit.

Aaron Nola - 40 TBF, 30.0 K%, 7.5 BB%, 59.1% GB%

Andrew Heaney - 40 TBF, 40.0 K%, 7.5 BB%, 50.0% GB%

Chris Bassitt - 44 TBF, 31.8 K%, 6.8 BB%, 46.2% GB%

Joe Musgrove - 45 TBF, 31.1 K%, 0.0 BB%, 45.2% GB%

Josh Fleming - 30 TBF, 36.7 K%, 3.3 BB%, 72.2% GB%

Kyle Gibson - 43 TBF, 37.2 K%, 7.0 BB%, 45.8% GB%

Kyle Wright - 42 TBF, 35.7 K%, 2.4 BB%, 45.8% GB%

Luis Severino - 35 TBF, 31.4 K%, 5.7 BB%, 52.4% GB%

Tylor Megill - 36 TBF, 30.6 K%, 0.0 BB%, 56.0% GB%

Multiple Barrels

J.D. Martinez (BOS) 4 PA, 10 Swings, 2 Barrels, 0 HR

Ryan McMahon (COL) 4 PA, 7 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR

Top Hitter JA Scores - Yesterday

1. Brandon Drury - 3.0 PA - 30.5 JA Points

2. Francisco Lindor - 4.0 PA - 29.25 JA Points

3. Ryan McMahon - 4.0 PA - 28.75 JA Points

4. Ty France - 4.0 PA - 28.5 JA Points

5. Rafael Devers - 4.0 PA - 25.75 JA Points

6. Bryce Harper - 5.0 PA - 22.5 JA Points

7. Xander Bogaerts - 4.0 PA - 22.0 JA Points

8. Wilmer Flores - 4.0 PA - 22.0 JA Points

9. Will Smith - 4.0 PA - 21.5 JA Points

10. Riley Adams - 4.0 PA - 21.25 JA Points

Hitter JA Scores - Season

1. Jose Ramirez (CLE) - 40.0 PA - 122.75 JA Points

2. Nolan Arenado (STL) - 35.0 PA - 121.71 JA Points

3. Matt Olson (ATL) - 49.0 PA - 103.47 JA Points

4. Owen Miller (CLE) - 33.0 PA - 100.61 JA Points

5. Seiya Suzuki (CHC) - 33.0 PA - 96.36 JA Points

6. Juan Soto (WSH) - 50.0 PA - 90.8 JA Points

7. Alex Verdugo (BOS) - 35.0 PA - 90.29 JA Points

8. Francisco Lindor (NYM) - 43.0 PA - 84.88 JA Points

9. Steven Kwan (CLE) - 37.0 PA - 77.3 JA Points

10. Gavin Lux (LAD) - 33.0 PA - 71.52 JA Points

Hardest Hit Balls

Pete Alonso (NYM) - 111.6mph - home_run

Julio Rodriguez (SEA) - 111.5mph - field_out

Xander Bogaerts (BOS) - 111.2mph - double

Brandon Drury (CIN) - 110.8mph - foul

Maikel Franco (WSH) - 110.7mph - double

Franmil Reyes (CLE) - 110.6mph - foul

Willie Calhoun (TEX) - 110.4mph - double

Randal Grichuk (COL) - 110.3mph - field_out

Eric Hosmer (SD) - 110.2mph - foul

Albert Pujols (STL) - 109.9mph - home_run

Last 3 Weeks - Brl% Leaders

Seiya Suzuki - 33 PA, 17 BIP, 6 Brls, 35.3 Brl%

Jo Adell - 31 PA, 16 BIP, 5 Brls, 31.2 Brl%

Giancarlo Stanton - 40 PA, 26 BIP, 8 Brls, 30.8 Brl%

Aaron Judge - 41 PA, 25 BIP, 7 Brls, 28.0 Brl%

Ji-Man Choi - 30 PA, 15 BIP, 4 Brls, 26.7 Brl%

Jose Abreu - 37 PA, 23 BIP, 6 Brls, 26.1 Brl%

Eugenio Suarez - 37 PA, 21 BIP, 5 Brls, 23.8 Brl%

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. - 39 PA, 27 BIP, 6 Brls, 22.2 Brl%

Joey Gallo - 35 PA, 18 BIP, 4 Brls, 22.2 Brl%

Pete Alonso - 45 PA, 32 BIP, 7 Brls, 21.9 Brl%

Last 3 Weeks - Contact% Leaders

Steven Kwan - 37 PA, 57 Swings, 94.7 Cont%

Yandy Diaz - 35 PA, 53 Swings, 92.5 Cont%

Amed Rosario - 39 PA, 62 Swings, 90.3 Cont%

Austin Nola - 37 PA, 51 Swings, 90.2 Cont%

Jeff McNeil - 38 PA, 64 Swings, 89.1 Cont%

Owen Miller - 33 PA, 73 Swings, 89.0 Cont%

Starling Marte - 41 PA, 73 Swings, 89.0 Cont%

Jose Ramirez - 40 PA, 71 Swings, 88.7 Cont%

Alejandro Kirk - 31 PA, 47 Swings, 87.2 Cont%

Myles Straw - 44 PA, 61 Swings, 86.9 Cont%

Magic Formula Qualifiers - Hitters - Last 3 Weeks

Anthony Rizzo - 41 PA, 17.1 K%, 15.4 Brl%

Brandon Crawford - 30 PA, 16.7 K%, 21.7 Brl%

Gavin Lux - 33 PA, 18.2 K%, 15.0 Brl%

Jeremy Pena - 32 PA, 15.6 K%, 20.0 Brl%

Jose Ramirez - 40 PA, 5.0 K%, 17.6 Brl%

Luis Robert - 37 PA, 8.1 K%, 15.2 Brl%

Marcell Ozuna - 46 PA, 10.9 K%, 15.0 Brl%

Mike Trout - 37 PA, 16.2 K%, 16.7 Brl%

Nolan Arenado - 35 PA, 11.4 K%, 19.2 Brl%

Pete Alonso - 45 PA, 20.0 K%, 21.9 Brl%

Rowdy Tellez - 30 PA, 20.0 K%, 14.3 Brl%

Tommy Edman - 31 PA, 16.1 K%, 17.4 Brl%

Next Week’s Hitter Projections - FREE

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