MLB Daily Notes: Monday, September 19
Introduction / Explanation For New Readers
It is playoff week for me. I played a handful of leagues this year and still could only make myself really pay attention to my home league with my high school friends. It’s a fantastic league and making the playoffs in it is one of my biggest goals in life every year.
I’ve managed to do that again this year, shout out to me, finishing second in the league. That sets me up for a one-week matchup with Stupid Ass Clint, one of my best friends, and if I win that it’s a one-week showdown for the very coveted championship. It’s a 6x6 league:
R, RBI, HR, SB, AVG, OBP, QS, W, SV, ERA, WHIP, K/9
My team looks like this:
C: Varsho
1B: Tellez, Vaughn
2B: Trea Turner, Chris Taylor
SS: Adames
3B: Muncy, David Villar
OF: Judge, Betts, Jimenez, McCarthy, Thompson
UT: OhtaniSP: Verlander, Nola, Fried, Ohtani, Gallen, Lodolo, May, Cobb, Springs, Jon Gray
RP: Doval, Sewald, Hernandez, Leclerc, Taylor Rogers
Stupid Ass Clint’s team:
C: Haase, Murphy
1B: Abreu, Drury
2B: Grissom, Story
3B: J-Ram, Arraez
SS: Kiner-Falefa, Estrada
OF: Springer, Winker, Kwan, Meneses, Friedl, BenintendiSP: Cole, Rodon, Ray, Valdez, McKenzie, Ryan, Sonny Gray, Miley
RP: Diaz, Hader, Robertson, Alexis Diaz
Advantage: ME
I will be providing daily updates whether you like them or not.
Best SP starts of the weekend:
Top K-BB% of the last 3 weeks (3+ GS)
deGrom 41.3%
Lodolo 41.1%
Strider 37.8%
Rodon 28.4%
Gilbert 28.4%
Heaney 28.4%
Cole 28.0%
Javier 27.7%
Gausman 27.5%
Gallen 26.4%
Lynn 26.2%
Bieber 26.2%
Kirby 26.0%
Castillo 25.0%
Snell 24.7%
T Rogers 24.7%
Top JA model hitters of the last 3 weeks
Judge
J Turner
Bichette
Freeman
Suarez
Escobar
Mountcastle
Jimenez
Rodriguez
Perez
Yandy Diaz
Realmuto
Rutschman
Bregman
Trout
Our guy Oneil Cruz has seven bombs over the last three weeks, but don’t get excited - a 41% K% and a 63% Contact%.
He leads the league in K% for the season with a mark of 38.9%, which means he’s done the previously thought impossible - bested Joey Gallo (38.8%) in striking out.
Here’s the rest of the MLB report for you, we’ll have some Monday Night Showdown analysis coming later today! Two games on there so we’ll get two optimal lineups out after our first loss of the year last night as we didn’t pay up for that huge Aaron Jones price tag and crashed and burned because of it.
CSW% Leaders - Yesterday
1. Jacob deGrom (NYM): 19.8 SwStr%, 39.6 CSW%
2. Collin Wiles (OAK): 14.8 SwStr%, 34.4 CSW%
3. Spencer Strider (ATL): 17.9 SwStr%, 34.0 CSW%
4. Jordan Montgomery (STL): 18.0 SwStr%, 34.0 CSW%
5. Vince Velasquez (CWS): 19.4 SwStr%, 33.9 CSW%
6. Gerrit Cole (NYY): 23.4 SwStr%, 33.0 CSW%
7. Johan Oviedo (PIT): 13.1 SwStr%, 32.1 CSW%
8. Nick Pivetta (BOS): 14.4 SwStr%, 32.0 CSW%
9. Yu Darvish (SD): 10.6 SwStr%, 31.9 CSW%
10. Jeffrey Springs (TB): 16.0 SwStr%, 31.9 CSW%
Top Pitcher JA Scores - Yesterday
1. Jacob deGrom - 5.0 IP - 93.0 JA Points
2. Spencer Strider - 6.0 IP - 77.25 JA Points
3. Yu Darvish - 6.0 IP - 70.25 JA Points
4. Jordan Montgomery - 5.0 IP - 61.25 JA Points
5. Framber Valdez - 6.0 IP - 59.5 JA Points
6. Sandy Alcantara - 9.0 IP - 54.75 JA Points
7. Joe Ryan - 7.67 IP - 46.5 JA Points
8. Jeffrey Springs - 5.67 IP - 43.75 JA Points
9. Nick Pivetta - 5.0 IP - 41.5 JA Points
10. Gerrit Cole - 5.0 IP - 37.75 JA Points
Pitcher JA Scores - Season
1. Spencer Strider (ATL) - 20.0 GS - 57.89 JA Points
2. Corbin Burnes (MIL) - 28.0 GS - 52.67 JA Points
3. Shane McClanahan (TB) - 25.0 GS - 51.94 JA Points
4. Carlos Rodon (SF) - 29.0 GS - 50.07 JA Points
5. Shohei Ohtani (LAA) - 25.0 GS - 50.04 JA Points
6. Gerrit Cole (NYY) - 29.0 GS - 48.52 JA Points
7. Dylan Cease (CWS) - 29.0 GS - 48.42 JA Points
8. Max Scherzer (NYM) - 20.0 GS - 46.76 JA Points
9. Brandon Woodruff (MIL) - 24.0 GS - 45.29 JA Points
10. Blake Snell (SD) - 21.0 GS - 45.12 JA Points
Velo Changes - Yesterday
Reid Detmers's SL velo (33 pitches) UP 2.9mph to 88.5
Garrett Hill's FF velo (30 pitches) UP 2.8mph to 94.3
Jason Alexander's SL velo (18 pitches) UP 2.1mph to 83.1
Marco Gonzales's CU velo (13 pitches) UP 1.5mph to 78.0
Jacob deGrom's FF velo (58 pitches) DOWN -1.6mph to 97.6
Jacob deGrom's SL velo (29 pitches) DOWN -1.6mph to 91.3
Vince Velasquez's SL velo (18 pitches) DOWN -1.6mph to 83.3
Cody Morris's CH velo (19 pitches) DOWN -1.7mph to 80.7
Glenn Otto's FF velo (22 pitches) DOWN -1.8mph to 90.5
Cody Morris's FC velo (28 pitches) DOWN -2.1mph to 87.0
Joe Ryan's SL velo (28 pitches) DOWN -2.4mph to 79.8
Pitch Mix Changes - Yesterday
Alek Manoah's SI usage (35.7%) up 11.5 points
Bailey Falter's FF usage (53.9%) up 26.0 points
Collin Wiles's SI usage (20.0%) up 10.5 points
Dean Kremer's SI usage (28.1%) up 22.2 points
Drew Hutchison's SL usage (53.1%) up 16.2 points
Framber Valdez's FC usage (25.3%) up 15.4 points
Garrett Hill's FF usage (54.5%) up 16.8 points
Gerrit Cole's FF usage (62.8%) up 10.8 points
Glenn Otto's FF usage (38.6%) up 14.3 points
Jacob deGrom's FF usage (57.4%) up 11.0 points
Jordan Montgomery's CU usage (36.0%) up 13.7 points
Luis Cessa's FF usage (28.0%) up 12.5 points
Marco Gonzales's FF usage (51.6%) up 15.3 points
Ryan Feltner's SI usage (28.2%) up 10.3 points
Yu Darvish's FC usage (45.7%) up 10.6 points
CSW% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Jacob deGrom - 92 TBF, 39.6% CSW%
Spencer Strider - 98 TBF, 36.5% CSW%
Corbin Burnes - 108 TBF, 36.5% CSW%
Gerrit Cole - 100 TBF, 34.6% CSW%
Aaron Nola - 87 TBF, 33.7% CSW%
Jeffrey Springs - 84 TBF, 33.4% CSW%
Charlie Morton - 72 TBF, 33.1% CSW%
Nick Lodolo - 73 TBF, 32.9% CSW%
Brandon Woodruff - 106 TBF, 32.8% CSW%
Logan Webb - 95 TBF, 32.6% CSW%
K% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Spencer Strider - 98 TBF, 44.9% K%
Jacob deGrom - 92 TBF, 43.5% K%
Nick Lodolo - 73 TBF, 42.5% K%
Carlos Rodon - 81 TBF, 38.3% K%
Gerrit Cole - 100 TBF, 36.0% K%
Blake Snell - 93 TBF, 32.3% K%
Dylan Cease - 75 TBF, 32.0% K%
Zac Gallen - 91 TBF, 31.9% K%
Lance McCullers Jr. - 77 TBF, 31.2% K%
Luis Castillo - 77 TBF, 31.2% K%
K-BB% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Jacob deGrom - 92 TBF, 41.3% K-BB%
Nick Lodolo - 73 TBF, 41.1% K-BB%
Spencer Strider - 98 TBF, 37.8% K-BB%
Carlos Rodon - 81 TBF, 28.4% K-BB%
Gerrit Cole - 100 TBF, 28.0% K-BB%
Kevin Gausman - 102 TBF, 27.5% K-BB%
Luis Castillo - 77 TBF, 27.3% K-BB%
Zac Gallen - 91 TBF, 26.4% K-BB%
Shane Bieber - 107 TBF, 26.2% K-BB%
Lance Lynn - 103 TBF, 26.2% K-BB%
GB% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Framber Valdez - 117 TBF, 62.3% GB%
Alex Cobb - 73 TBF, 62.0% GB%
Ranger Suarez - 87 TBF, 57.1% GB%
Brady Singer - 99 TBF, 56.4% GB%
Luis Castillo - 77 TBF, 54.2% GB%
Nick Lodolo - 73 TBF, 53.8% GB%
Jose Quintana - 88 TBF, 53.6% GB%
Marcus Stroman - 93 TBF, 52.9% GB%
Jose Urena - 97 TBF, 52.1% GB%
Martin Perez - 107 TBF, 51.9% GB%
Magic Formula Qualifiers - Pitchers - Last 3 Weeks
Andrew Heaney - 67 TBF, 32.8 K%, 4.5 BB%, 45.0% GB%
Brandon Woodruff - 106 TBF, 28.3 K%, 5.7 BB%, 48.5% GB%
Carlos Carrasco - 61 TBF, 31.1 K%, 6.6 BB%, 50.0% GB%
Clarke Schmidt - 52 TBF, 28.8 K%, 1.9 BB%, 54.3% GB%
Framber Valdez - 117 TBF, 29.1 K%, 5.1 BB%, 62.3% GB%
George Kirby - 73 TBF, 28.8 K%, 2.7 BB%, 50.0% GB%
Luis Castillo - 77 TBF, 31.2 K%, 3.9 BB%, 54.2% GB%
Nick Lodolo - 73 TBF, 42.5 K%, 1.4 BB%, 53.8% GB%
Paolo Espino - 54 TBF, 29.6 K%, 1.9 BB%, 48.6% GB%
Shane Bieber - 107 TBF, 29.0 K%, 2.8 BB%, 47.9% GB%
Trevor Rogers - 77 TBF, 29.9 K%, 5.2 BB%, 48.0% GB%
Hot Pitcher Tracker - Last 3 Weeks vs. Career
Lance Lynn - +2.5% CSW%, -3.1 BB%
Mitch Keller - +4.2% CSW%, -1.8 BB%
Logan Webb - +2.2% CSW%, -3.5 BB%
Jacob deGrom - +2.8% CSW%, -2.0 BB%
Corbin Burnes - +3.7% CSW%, -1.6 BB%
Andrew Heaney - +7.2% CSW%, -2.4 BB%
Chad Kuhl - +2.7% CSW%, -3.5 BB%
Cristian Javier - +3.3% CSW%, -2.3 BB%
Dylan Bundy - +3.1% CSW%, -4.5 BB%
Corey Kluber - +2.5% CSW%, -5.5 BB%
Paolo Espino - +6.9% CSW%, -3.0 BB%
Clarke Schmidt - +6.9% CSW%, -7.8 BB%
Jose Suarez - +4.6% CSW%, -6.4 BB%
Justin Lawrence - +2.1% CSW%, -9.0 BB%
Multiple Barrels
A.J. Pollock (CWS) 5 PA, 8 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Aaron Judge (NYY) 6 PA, 8 Swings, 5 Barrels, 2 HR
Eloy Jimenez (CWS) 5 PA, 7 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Jake Cave (MIN) 4 PA, 5 Swings, 3 Barrels, 1 HR
Juan Soto (SD) 5 PA, 4 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Luis Rengifo (LAA) 4 PA, 10 Swings, 2 Barrels, 2 HR
Oneil Cruz (PIT) 4 PA, 7 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Tommy Pham (BOS) 6 PA, 13 Swings, 2 Barrels, 0 HR
Willy Adames (MIL) 5 PA, 11 Swings, 2 Barrels, 0 HR
Top Hitter JA Scores - Yesterday
1. Aaron Judge - 6.0 PA - 124.0 JA Points
2. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. - 5.0 PA - 64.0 JA Points
3. Yu Chang - 5.0 PA - 58.0 JA Points
4. Dylan Moore - 4.0 PA - 57.0 JA Points
5. Juan Soto - 5.0 PA - 55.0 JA Points
6. Willy Adames - 5.0 PA - 53.0 JA Points
7. Luis Rengifo - 4.0 PA - 52.0 JA Points
8. Jake Cave - 4.0 PA - 51.0 JA Points
9. Eloy Jimenez - 5.0 PA - 50.0 JA Points
10. Tommy Pham - 6.0 PA - 48.0 JA Points
Hitter JA Scores - Season
1. Yordan Alvarez (HOU) - 498.0 PA - 149.0 JA Points
2. Aaron Judge (NYY) - 610.0 PA - 148.72 JA Points
3. Juan Soto (SD) - 595.0 PA - 133.24 JA Points
4. Freddie Freeman (LAD) - 625.0 PA - 120.19 JA Points
5. Paul Goldschmidt (STL) - 605.0 PA - 109.55 JA Points
6. Alejandro Kirk (TOR) - 482.0 PA - 103.32 JA Points
7. Alex Bregman (HOU) - 594.0 PA - 101.48 JA Points
8. Yandy Diaz (TB) - 541.0 PA - 101.37 JA Points
9. Adley Rutschman (BAL) - 401.0 PA - 91.77 JA Points
10. Luis Arraez (MIN) - 547.0 PA - 90.97 JA Points
Hardest Hit Balls
Aaron Judge (NYY) - 115.4mph - field_out
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) - 113.0mph - double
Eloy Jimenez (CWS) - 112.5mph - home_run
Jose Siri (TB) - 112.0mph - single
Aaron Judge (NYY) - 111.8mph - double
Gary Sanchez (MIN) - 111.7mph - single
Aaron Judge (NYY) - 111.6mph - home_run
Aaron Judge (NYY) - 111.3mph - single
Oneil Cruz (PIT) - 111.0mph - double
Adolis Garcia (TEX) - 110.8mph - single
Last 3 Weeks - Brl% Leaders
Aaron Judge - 76 PA, 46 BIP, 16 Brls, 34.8 Brl%
Yordan Alvarez - 57 PA, 43 BIP, 13 Brls, 30.2 Brl%
Ryan Mountcastle - 67 PA, 48 BIP, 13 Brls, 27.1 Brl%
Oneil Cruz - 83 PA, 45 BIP, 12 Brls, 26.7 Brl%
Dermis Garcia - 53 PA, 23 BIP, 6 Brls, 26.1 Brl%
J.T. Realmuto - 62 PA, 42 BIP, 10 Brls, 23.8 Brl%
Shohei Ohtani - 71 PA, 47 BIP, 11 Brls, 23.4 Brl%
Eugenio Suarez - 61 PA, 45 BIP, 10 Brls, 22.2 Brl%
Seth Brown - 69 PA, 39 BIP, 8 Brls, 20.5 Brl%
Ryan McMahon - 57 PA, 35 BIP, 7 Brls, 20.0 Brl%
Last 3 Weeks - xwOBA Leaders
Yordan Alvarez - 57 PA, 0.575 xwOBA
Aaron Judge - 76 PA, 0.558 xwOBA
Justin Turner - 62 PA, 0.471 xwOBA
Eloy Jimenez - 78 PA, 0.462 xwOBA
Eduardo Escobar - 74 PA, 0.459 xwOBA
Freddie Freeman - 73 PA, 0.45 xwOBA
Bo Bichette - 94 PA, 0.442 xwOBA
Ryan Mountcastle - 67 PA, 0.434 xwOBA
Shohei Ohtani - 71 PA, 0.423 xwOBA
Carlos Santana - 54 PA, 0.417 xwOBA
Last 3 Weeks - Contact% Leaders
Yuli Gurriel - 66 PA, 110 Swings, 94.5 Cont%
Tony Kemp - 67 PA, 100 Swings, 94.0 Cont%
Steven Kwan - 90 PA, 144 Swings, 92.4 Cont%
Luis Arraez - 77 PA, 154 Swings, 92.2 Cont%
Isiah Kiner-Falefa - 65 PA, 92 Swings, 91.3 Cont%
Santiago Espinal - 54 PA, 98 Swings, 89.8 Cont%
Myles Straw - 67 PA, 98 Swings, 89.8 Cont%
Jeff McNeil - 82 PA, 154 Swings, 87.7 Cont%
Ildemaro Vargas - 65 PA, 120 Swings, 86.7 Cont%
Yandy Diaz - 67 PA, 95 Swings, 86.3 Cont%
Magic Formula Qualifiers - Hitters - Last 3 Weeks
Anthony Santander - 78 PA, 19.2 K%, 14.3 Brl%
Bo Bichette - 94 PA, 9.6 K%, 14.3 Brl%
Eduardo Escobar - 74 PA, 17.6 K%, 17.9 Brl%
Eloy Jimenez - 78 PA, 17.9 K%, 19.3 Brl%
Eugenio Suarez - 61 PA, 18.0 K%, 22.2 Brl%
Freddie Freeman - 73 PA, 13.7 K%, 14.3 Brl%
Garrett Cooper - 66 PA, 19.7 K%, 15.2 Brl%
J.T. Realmuto - 62 PA, 19.4 K%, 23.8 Brl%
Justin Turner - 62 PA, 14.5 K%, 17.8 Brl%
Ryan Mountcastle - 67 PA, 16.4 K%, 27.1 Brl%
Yordan Alvarez - 57 PA, 12.3 K%, 30.2 Brl%
Hot Hitter Tracker - Last 7 vs. Career
Jose Abreu - +3.8% Contact%, +3.1 mph exit velo, -3.1 Chase%
Aaron Judge - +8.4% Contact%, +3.4 mph exit velo, -3.6 Chase%
Michael Harris II - +8.0% Contact%, +3.9 mph exit velo, -4.0 Chase%
Willy Adames - +15.6% Contact%, +4.3 mph exit velo, -5.3 Chase%
Cedric Mullins II - +9.4% Contact%, +3.7 mph exit velo, -3.7 Chase%
Super Ultra Mega Hot Hitters - Last 15 Days
Gleyber Torres - 0.387 xwOBA, 15.0% Brl%, 80.2% Contact%, 23.9% Chase%, 21.1% K%
Cold Hitters - Last 2 Weeks
Tyler O'Neill - 42.6% Whiff%, 82.4% Weak%, 0.993 Cold Rating
Chas McCormick - 34.9% Whiff%, 76.2% Weak%, 0.937 Cold Rating
Triston Casas - 33.9% Whiff%, 77.8% Weak%, 0.936 Cold Rating
Austin Hedges - 36.2% Whiff%, 70.8% Weak%, 0.888 Cold Rating
Jose Barrero - 41.1% Whiff%, 68.4% Weak%, 0.885 Cold Rating
Josh Donaldson - 31.7% Whiff%, 73.1% Weak%, 0.874 Cold Rating
C.J. Cron - 32.9% Whiff%, 70.8% Weak%, 0.859 Cold Rating
Lars Nootbaar - 29.0% Whiff%, 73.9% Weak%, 0.85 Cold Rating
Matt Olson - 28.0% Whiff%, 74.1% Weak%, 0.829 Cold Rating
Ian Happ - 27.7% Whiff%, 75.0% Weak%, 0.825 Cold Rating
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