MLB Daily Notes: Saturday, June 25
Introduction / Explanations for New Readers
Yesterday was a weird day. Basically, everyone sucked yesterday.
On the offensive side, we saw just 1,458 DraftKings points scored across 1,090 plate appearances. That rate of 1.34 DraftKings points scored per PA was the third-lowest of the season.
It was also the tenth-lowest home run rate of the year as just 22 homers were hit over across 15 games.
Starters were good yesterday, but it wasn’t like insane either. Only Urias and Aschcraft went above 30 DraftKings points, with Nola and Hendricks joining as the only pitchers above 25. Seems like the bullpens just dominated. Strange stuff.
Swingset update:
Kids have good imaginations, right? I can probably just stop here?
Welcome back, Edward Olivares! He double-donged in his return from the IL, and he’s been awesome this season. He was on an early edition of my “Breakout Hitters” series on RotoBaller, and for the year he’s done this:
.395/.439/.658
12.2% K%
4.9% BB%
81% Contact%
12.1% Barrel%
He can steal bags to boot, so yeah this guy has all the makings of a fantasy stud (although hey take it easy we haven’t even seen 50 PAs from him). I’d pick him up where he’s available - and he’s a great guy to blow your FAAB load on.
Jeffrey Springs also pitched great, as he tops the CSW% leaderboard with an elite 37.3% mark against the Pirates. Some long balls hurt his box score line a bit (7 hits, 3 ER), but all-in-all it was another encouraging start for the lefty (I hope the Rays see it that way as well).
My guy Alex Cobb also had another impressive 14% SwStr% and fine 30% CSW%, but once again didn’t have the box score results. BABIP did him no favors once again, and they took him out after just 80 pitches - crushing our strikeout prop bet. I know that several of my friends lost 80% or more of their net worth on that bet, so I think I’ll have some roommates in my basement here pretty soon as I bring them in off the street when they inevitably get evicted from their homes.
As for the Roe Vs. Wade decision yesterday…
No I’m just kidding let’s get to the notes!!!
CSW% Leaders - Yesterday
1. Jeffrey Springs (TB): 16.7 SwStr%, 37.3 CSW%
2. Julio Urias (LAD): 21.3 SwStr%, 37.2 CSW%
3. Alek Manoah (TOR): 7.5 SwStr%, 34.0 CSW%
4. Aaron Nola (PHI): 18.4 SwStr%, 32.7 CSW%
5. Luis Severino (NYY): 15.8 SwStr%, 30.5 CSW%
6. Alex Cobb (SF): 13.8 SwStr%, 30.0 CSW%
7. Taijuan Walker (NYM): 15.2 SwStr%, 29.3 CSW%
8. Dylan Bundy (MIN): 8.3 SwStr%, 28.3 CSW%
9. Kyle Hendricks (CHC): 12.1 SwStr%, 27.5 CSW%
10. Zack Greinke (KC): 9.5 SwStr%, 27.4 CSW%
Top Pitcher JA Scores - Yesterday
1. Aaron Nola - 6.33 IP - 70.0 JA Points
2. Julio Urias - 6.0 IP - 68.25 JA Points
3. Jeffrey Springs - 6.0 IP - 63.25 JA Points
4. Graham Ashcraft - 8.0 IP - 59.0 JA Points
5. Luis Severino - 6.0 IP - 53.25 JA Points
6. Mitch Keller - 5.0 IP - 45.25 JA Points
7. Alek Manoah - 6.67 IP - 41.25 JA Points
8. Taijuan Walker - 5.67 IP - 41.0 JA Points
9. Kyle Hendricks - 7.0 IP - 39.5 JA Points
10. Merrill Kelly - 6.0 IP - 37.0 JA Points
Pitcher JA Scores - Season
1. Corbin Burnes (MIL) - 14 GS - 56.78 JA Points
2. Dylan Cease (CWS) - 14 GS - 53.89 JA Points
3. Shane McClanahan (TB) - 14 GS - 53.79 JA Points
4. Spencer Strider (ATL) - 5 GS - 52.32 JA Points
5. Freddy Peralta (MIL) - 8 GS - 49.99 JA Points
6. Gerrit Cole (NYY) - 14 GS - 48.45 JA Points
7. Shohei Ohtani (LAA) - 12 GS - 47.24 JA Points
8. Carlos Rodon (SF) - 14 GS - 46.82 JA Points
9. Aaron Ashby (MIL) - 8 GS - 46.64 JA Points
10. Max Scherzer (NYM) - 8 GS - 46.36 JA Points
Velo Changes - Yesterday
German Marquez's SL velo (24 pitches) UP 3.1mph to 89.7
Zack Greinke's CU velo (11 pitches) UP 2.4mph to 73.7
German Marquez's CU velo (21 pitches) UP 2.1mph to 88.5
Graham Ashcraft's SL velo (21 pitches) UP 1.9mph to 87.6
Zack Greinke's FF velo (35 pitches) UP 1.7mph to 90.2
Aaron Nola's SI velo (27 pitches) UP 1.6mph to 93.5
Julio Urias's CH velo (22 pitches) UP 1.5mph to 87.1
Jeffrey Springs's CH velo (19 pitches) DOWN -1.5mph to 80.0
MacKenzie Gore's FF velo (62 pitches) DOWN -1.8mph to 93.3
Cole Irvin's SI velo (13 pitches) DOWN -1.8mph to 88.6
Cole Irvin's FF velo (19 pitches) DOWN -1.9mph to 89.0
Zack Greinke's SL velo (12 pitches) DOWN -2.0mph to 81.7
Pitch Mix Changes - Yesterday
Adrian Houser's SL usage (26.5%) up 14.4 points
German Marquez's SI usage (32.7%) up 14.5 points
Graham Ashcraft's FC usage (66.3%) up 20.5 points
Ian Anderson's CH usage (48.9%) up 17.3 points
Jeffrey Springs's SL usage (45.1%) up 23.4 points
Justin Verlander's FF usage (62.7%) up 13.3 points
Luis Severino's SL usage (30.5%) up 12.2 points
MacKenzie Gore's SL usage (26.8%) up 13.2 points
Mitch Keller's SI usage (33.3%) up 17.7 points
Paolo Espino's CU usage (37.1%) up 14.0 points
Rony Garcia's SI usage (24.7%) up 14.4 points
Zack Greinke's FF usage (41.7%) up 11.8 points
Zack Greinke's FC usage (20.2%) up 15.2 points
CSW% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Charlie Morton - 100 TBF, 38.3% CSW%
Julio Urias - 89 TBF, 34.1% CSW%
Carlos Rodon - 93 TBF, 33.5% CSW%
Luis Garcia - 123 TBF, 33.5% CSW%
Dylan Cease - 87 TBF, 32.9% CSW%
Jon Gray - 98 TBF, 32.3% CSW%
Nick Martinez - 83 TBF, 32.0% CSW%
Jordan Montgomery - 101 TBF, 31.9% CSW%
Yu Darvish - 84 TBF, 31.8% CSW%
Kyle Wright - 106 TBF, 31.6% CSW%
K% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Charlie Morton - 100 TBF, 40.0% K%
Luis Severino - 94 TBF, 38.3% K%
Dylan Cease - 87 TBF, 36.8% K%
Spencer Strider - 81 TBF, 34.6% K%
Carlos Rodon - 93 TBF, 33.3% K%
Julio Urias - 89 TBF, 32.6% K%
Zack Wheeler - 93 TBF, 30.1% K%
Tyler Mahle - 111 TBF, 28.8% K%
Daniel Lynch - 91 TBF, 28.6% K%
Taijuan Walker - 98 TBF, 28.6% K%
K-BB% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Charlie Morton - 100 TBF, 36.0% K-BB%
Luis Severino - 94 TBF, 29.8% K-BB%
Carlos Rodon - 93 TBF, 25.8% K-BB%
Aaron Nola - 110 TBF, 25.5% K-BB%
Julio Urias - 89 TBF, 24.7% K-BB%
Zack Wheeler - 93 TBF, 24.7% K-BB%
Tyler Mahle - 111 TBF, 24.3% K-BB%
Luis Garcia - 123 TBF, 23.6% K-BB%
Spencer Strider - 81 TBF, 23.5% K-BB%
Carlos Carrasco - 92 TBF, 22.8% K-BB%
GB% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Framber Valdez - 99 TBF, 73.0% GB%
Andre Pallante - 97 TBF, 63.9% GB%
Ranger Suarez - 102 TBF, 62.8% GB%
Sandy Alcantara - 121 TBF, 60.6% GB%
Justin Steele - 104 TBF, 60.2% GB%
Mitch Keller - 92 TBF, 59.1% GB%
Dakota Hudson - 96 TBF, 57.7% GB%
Alex Wood - 81 TBF, 57.6% GB%
Zack Wheeler - 93 TBF, 55.9% GB%
Logan Webb - 97 TBF, 54.5% GB%
Magic Formula Qualifiers - Pitchers - Last 3 Weeks
Carlos Rodon - 93 TBF, 33.3 K%, 7.5 BB%, 45.5% GB%
Charlie Morton - 100 TBF, 40.0 K%, 4.0 BB%, 50.9% GB%
Chris Bassitt - 71 TBF, 31.0 K%, 7.0 BB%, 56.8% GB%
Max Fried - 74 TBF, 29.7 K%, 4.1 BB%, 51.0% GB%
Shohei Ohtani - 76 TBF, 32.9 K%, 6.6 BB%, 47.8% GB%
Taijuan Walker - 98 TBF, 28.6 K%, 6.1 BB%, 51.6% GB%
Zack Wheeler - 93 TBF, 30.1 K%, 5.4 BB%, 55.9% GB%
Hot Pitcher Tracker - Last 3 Weeks vs. Career
Charlie Morton - +7.2% CSW%, -3.5 BB%
Taijuan Walker - +2.7% CSW%, -1.9 BB%
Luis Garcia - +6.4% CSW%, -4.1 BB%
Miles Mikolas - +3.5% CSW%, -1.7 BB%
Zach Davies - +3.0% CSW%, -4.0 BB%
Shane McClanahan - +2.6% CSW%, -2.0 BB%
Shane Bieber - +3.3% CSW%, -4.2 BB%
Kyle Hendricks - +3.1% CSW%, -2.0 BB%
Dylan Cease - +2.5% CSW%, -1.5 BB%
David Peterson - +2.6% CSW%, -1.8 BB%
Trent Thornton - +3.0% CSW%, -5.6 BB%
Multiple Barrels
Edward Olivares (KC) 3 PA, 6 Swings, 2 Barrels, 2 HR
Francisco Lindor (NYM) 4 PA, 11 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Mike Trout (LAA) 3 PA, 5 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Top Hitter JA Scores - Yesterday
1. Cavan Biggio - 4.0 PA - 67.0 JA Points
2. Mike Trout - 3.0 PA - 66.0 JA Points
3. Edward Olivares - 3.0 PA - 54.0 JA Points
4. Alejandro Kirk - 4.0 PA - 53.0 JA Points
5. Adam Frazier - 5.0 PA - 52.0 JA Points
6. Francisco Lindor - 4.0 PA - 51.0 JA Points
7. Christian Yelich - 5.0 PA - 51.0 JA Points
8. Ryan Jeffers - 3.0 PA - 49.0 JA Points
9. Eugenio Suarez - 5.0 PA - 47.0 JA Points
10. Tyrone Taylor - 4.0 PA - 46.0 JA Points
Hitter JA Scores - Season
1. Yordan Alvarez (HOU) - 263.0 PA - 153.16 JA Points
2. Aaron Judge (NYY) - 297.0 PA - 134.41 JA Points
3. Alejandro Kirk (TOR) - 223.0 PA - 133.63 JA Points
4. Jose Ramirez (CLE) - 276.0 PA - 120.87 JA Points
5. Paul Goldschmidt (STL) - 303.0 PA - 116.17 JA Points
6. Taylor Ward (LAA) - 207.0 PA - 113.04 JA Points
7. Luis Arraez (MIN) - 252.0 PA - 112.22 JA Points
8. Juan Soto (WSH) - 309.0 PA - 109.26 JA Points
9. Will Smith (LAD) - 234.0 PA - 108.21 JA Points
10. Kyle Tucker (HOU) - 262.0 PA - 107.79 JA Points
Hardest Hit Balls
Matt Vierling (PHI) - 112.1mph - single
Mike Trout (LAA) - 111.8mph - triple
Eric Hosmer (SD) - 111.5mph - double
Josh Naylor (CLE) - 111.4mph - field_out
Shohei Ohtani (LAA) - 111.3mph - single
Javier Baez (DET) - 111.0mph - home_run
Jake Burger (CWS) - 111.0mph - double
Trevor Story (BOS) - 110.4mph - single
Oneil Cruz (PIT) - 110.1mph - single
Carlos Santana (KC) - 110.1mph - field_out
Last 3 Weeks - Brl% Leaders
Mike Trout - 64 PA, 34 BIP, 10 Brls, 29.4 Brl%
Joey Gallo - 55 PA, 22 BIP, 6 Brls, 27.3 Brl%
Christian Bethancourt - 48 PA, 34 BIP, 9 Brls, 26.5 Brl%
Giancarlo Stanton - 71 PA, 40 BIP, 10 Brls, 25.0 Brl%
Aaron Judge - 82 PA, 56 BIP, 14 Brls, 25.0 Brl%
Ryan Mountcastle - 76 PA, 54 BIP, 13 Brls, 24.1 Brl%
Jazz Chisholm - 72 PA, 34 BIP, 8 Brls, 23.5 Brl%
Adam Duvall - 69 PA, 39 BIP, 9 Brls, 23.1 Brl%
Kyle Schwarber - 92 PA, 53 BIP, 12 Brls, 22.6 Brl%
Jake Burger - 64 PA, 40 BIP, 9 Brls, 22.5 Brl%
Last 3 Weeks - Contact% Leaders
Nico Hoerner - 70 PA, 117 Swings, 90.6 Cont%
Luis Arraez - 74 PA, 133 Swings, 90.2 Cont%
J.P. Crawford - 82 PA, 142 Swings, 90.1 Cont%
Isiah Kiner-Falefa - 61 PA, 98 Swings, 89.8 Cont%
Adam Frazier - 73 PA, 135 Swings, 89.6 Cont%
Alex Bregman - 79 PA, 106 Swings, 89.6 Cont%
Steven Kwan - 65 PA, 100 Swings, 89.0 Cont%
Michael Brantley - 74 PA, 108 Swings, 88.0 Cont%
Tony Kemp - 61 PA, 97 Swings, 87.6 Cont%
Yandy Diaz - 73 PA, 130 Swings, 86.9 Cont%
Magic Formula Qualifiers - Hitters - Last 3 Weeks
Alejandro Kirk - 71 PA, 11.3 K%, 17.3 Brl%
Anthony Rizzo - 83 PA, 16.9 K%, 14.5 Brl%
Cavan Biggio - 52 PA, 19.2 K%, 15.6 Brl%
Corey Seager - 79 PA, 16.5 K%, 15.5 Brl%
Josh Bell - 77 PA, 19.5 K%, 17.3 Brl%
Matt Olson - 81 PA, 18.5 K%, 16.4 Brl%
Max Muncy - 56 PA, 19.6 K%, 14.3 Brl%
Rafael Devers - 73 PA, 15.1 K%, 16.7 Brl%
Ronald Acuna Jr. - 82 PA, 19.5 K%, 19.0 Brl%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. - 89 PA, 15.7 K%, 15.9 Brl%
Will Smith - 74 PA, 10.8 K%, 14.5 Brl%
Yordan Alvarez - 72 PA, 12.5 K%, 21.2 Brl%
Hot Hitter Tracker - Last 7 vs. Career
Brendan Rodgers - +7.1% Contact%, +8.7 mph exit velo, -12.1 Chase%
Jonathan Schoop - +7.0% Contact%, +4.4 mph exit velo, -6.5 Chase%
Daniel Vogelbach - +11.0% Contact%, +4.8 mph exit velo, -6.3 Chase%
Jared Walsh - +7.1% Contact%, +4.7 mph exit velo, -13.6 Chase%
Alex Kirilloff - +12.5% Contact%, +3.5 mph exit velo, -4.2 Chase%
Austin Nola - +6.4% Contact%, +8.2 mph exit velo, -4.4 Chase%
Tim Anderson - +11.4% Contact%, +3.1 mph exit velo, -3.4 Chase%
Cold Hitters - Last 2 Weeks
Max Stassi - 38.7% Whiff%, 73.9% Weak%, 0.937 Cold Rating
Joey Gallo - 47.1% Whiff%, 71.4% Weak%, 0.93 Cold Rating
Tomas Nido - 41.1% Whiff%, 72.0% Weak%, 0.929 Cold Rating
Manuel Margot - 36.5% Whiff%, 73.9% Weak%, 0.916 Cold Rating
George Springer - 40.2% Whiff%, 71.4% Weak%, 0.91 Cold Rating
Gary Sanchez - 33.9% Whiff%, 77.3% Weak%, 0.908 Cold Rating
Randy Arozarena - 34.1% Whiff%, 75.9% Weak%, 0.906 Cold Rating
Michael Chavis - 31.6% Whiff%, 76.5% Weak%, 0.883 Cold Rating
Ezequiel Duran - 32.6% Whiff%, 75.0% Weak%, 0.882 Cold Rating
Michael A. Taylor - 31.9% Whiff%, 71.4% Weak%, 0.841 Cold Rating
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