MLB Daily Notes - September 14th
A daily automated report of what happened yesterday in Major League Baseball, along with other recent trends and further analysis.
Prop bet trackers:
Pitchers - Yesterday
The National League Cy Young Award race is an interesting one. As far as I’ve heard, it’s mostly down to Justin Steele, Spencer Strider, and Blake Snell. Snell and Strider both pitched yesterday, and they both pitched extremely well.
The arguments I’ve seen on Twitter are about how much consideration to give to ERA in the criteria for judging this. We all know better than to care much about ERA for fantasy purposes, it’s just not nearly as predictive as other stats. However, there should be two different lenses to look through here.
Predictive
Descriptive
Since we are all in this world of fantasy baseball, we want to mostly focus on the predictive stats. The name of the game is to predict the future better than everybody else, but season awards aren’t about that.
To take an extreme, hypothetical:
Pitcher A: 190 IP, 0.00 ERA, 4.50 xFIP
Pitcher B: 190 IP, 4.50 ERA, 0.00 xFIP
You would probably be more interested in drafting Pitcher B next year, but that clearly he didn’t have anywhere near as good of a season as pitcher A did with those 190 scoreless innings.
And isn’t that what the Cy Young Award is about? It is not “who is the best pitcher”, it is “which pitcher was best this year”? And there are different ways to measure that, surely, but I think ERA should be a big factor here. ERA tells you what happened on the field and what the implications were on the pitcher’s team - xFIP/other stats tell you what’s more likely to happen in the future.
So this sets up the comparison between these pitchers:
Blake Snell: 30 GS, 167 IP, 2.43 ERA, 3.65 xFIP
Spencer Strider: 29 GS, 169 IP, 3.73 ERA, 2.92 xFIP
Justin Steele: 27 GS, 159 IP, 2.83 ERA, 3.40 xFIP
Snell has the clear ERA lead, but has the worst xFIP of the group. So the choice is about which stat you think matters more in the context of the Cy Young Award. To me, it’s ERA. A pitcher’s job is to prevent runs - and Snell has done a much better job of that than Strider this year. So that’s my take.
Last night was some of Snell’s best work, giving up just one hit to the Dodgers and only walking one hitter. He fired off six scoreless innings with eight strikeouts and the Padres handily beat the Dodgers - impressive stuff.
As for Strider, it was another lower (by his standards) SwStr% mark of 15.5%, but seven clean innings with just one run allowed and a 9:2 K:BB.
Strider is clearly my SP1 next year as long as he’s healthy, and Snell probably won’t even crack the top 10, but here we are.
Cristopher Sanchez also deserves some respect, big night for him against the Braves of all teams!
7.1 IP, 8 H, 4 ER, 10 K, 1 BB, 21.9% SwStr%
So yeah, four runs - but getting into the eighth inning against the Braves with that K:BB is impressive.
He attacked with the changeup and it was working. This is the kind of start you can have at times when you have such a great changeup, but it’s definitely not a formula for long-term success because if you’re off with the location of the changeup and you don’t have a fallback pitch, you’re in trouble. That’s pretty much the case with Sanchez since his main pitch for the season is a sinker that has a 50% Strike% and a 4.6% SwStr% - not a good situation.
Kyle Harrison had another bad outing, and he’s fallen on some hard times of late after that success in his first two starts.
Over these last three he’s given up 12 earned runs and has just a 13:5 K:BB. His SwStr% is down to 12.9% in the Majors now with a barely above-average 48% Strike%. He’s been barreled up eight times in five outings, which might be some bad luck. Overall, he’s a great long-term guy to have given how he absolutely obliterated minor league hitters for multiple seaosns, but he’s got some adjustments to make to translate that success in the Majors.
Fantasy Points Leaders - Yesterday
1. Blake Snell (vs. LAD): 32.3 Points
2. Spencer Strider (vs. PHI): 32.15 Points
3. Hunter Brown (vs. OAK): 28.05 Points
4. Braxton Garrett (vs. MIL): 27.9 Points
5. Drew Rom (vs. BAL): 26.99 Points
6. Luis Castillo - 622491 (vs. LAA): 25.9 Points
7. Cristopher Sanchez (vs. ATL): 23.09 Points
8. Jordan Montgomery (vs. TOR): 22.75 Points
9. Mike Clevinger (vs. KC): 19.9 Points
10. Joey Lucchesi (vs. ARI): 18.95 Points
Whiffs Leaders - Yesterday
1. Cristopher Sanchez (PHI): 21 Whiffs (96 Pitches)
2. Spencer Strider (ATL): 17 Whiffs (110 Pitches)
3. Luis Castillo (SEA): 15 Whiffs (104 Pitches)
4. Ryan Pepiot (LAD): 14 Whiffs (90 Pitches)
5. Hunter Brown (HOU): 13 Whiffs (78 Pitches)
6. Kyle Gibson (BAL): 13 Whiffs (104 Pitches)
7. Blake Snell (SD): 13 Whiffs (91 Pitches)
8. Drew Rom (STL): 12 Whiffs (93 Pitches)
9. Alec Marsh (KC): 12 Whiffs (74 Pitches)
10. Jameson Taillon (CHC): 12 Whiffs (84 Pitches)
Strike% Leaders - Yesterday
1. Hunter Brown (HOU): 57.7 Strike%, 32.1 Ball%
2. Drew Rom (STL): 55.9 Strike%, 32.3 Ball%
3. Spencer Strider (ATL): 55.5 Strike%, 30.0 Ball%
4. Quinn Priester (PIT): 53.2 Strike%, 27.4 Ball%
5. Alec Marsh (KC): 52.7 Strike%, 32.4 Ball%
6. Mike Clevinger (CWS): 51.2 Strike%, 29.3 Ball%
7. Taj Bradley (TB): 51.2 Strike%, 35.0 Ball%
8. Ryan Pepiot (LAD): 51.1 Strike%, 28.9 Ball%
9. Cristopher Sanchez (PHI): 51.0 Strike%, 28.1 Ball%
10. Luis Castillo (SEA): 51.0 Strike%, 36.5 Ball%
11. Alex Wood (SF): 49.2 Strike%, 30.5 Ball%
12. Jameson Taillon (CHC): 48.8 Strike%, 29.8 Ball%
13. Blake Snell (SD): 47.3 Strike%, 40.7 Ball%
14. Logan Allen (CLE): 46.6 Strike%, 36.4 Ball%
15. Braxton Garrett (MIA): 45.1 Strike%, 39.6 Ball%
Pitcher/Pitch Trends
Quinn Priester pitched last night and had a lot more velocity, but it was in a bulk role, so that’s probably the main reason for that - he knew he only had 3-4 innings to cover. It didn’t go well either, he’s clearly not someone who is relevant for fantasy this year or next unless major changes occur.
Velo Changes - Yesterday
Quinn Priester's SI velo (16 pitches) UP 2.4mph to 95.1
Paul Blackburn's SL velo (15 pitches) UP 2.3mph to 82.9
Taj Bradley's FC velo (18 pitches) UP 2.3mph to 90.9
Paul Blackburn's FC velo (17 pitches) UP 2.1mph to 90.9
Alec Marsh's ST velo (27 pitches) UP 1.9mph to 86.3
Drew Rom's SI velo (19 pitches) UP 1.9mph to 88.8
Quinn Priester's FF velo (14 pitches) UP 1.8mph to 94.5
Cristopher Sanchez's SL velo (11 pitches) UP 1.6mph to 84.2
Cristopher Sanchez's SI velo (38 pitches) UP 1.6mph to 93.6
Eduardo Rodriguez's FF velo (37 pitches) DOWN -1.5mph to 90.8
Connor Phillips's CU velo (15 pitches) DOWN -1.6mph to 81.5
Blake Snell's CH velo (15 pitches) DOWN -1.6mph to 85.3
Pitch Mix Changes - Yesterday
Alec Marsh's ST usage (36.5%) up 30.9 points
Alec Marsh's SI usage (13.5%) up 10.2 points
Alex Wood's CH usage (39.0%) up 10.0 points
Cristopher Sanchez's CH usage (49.0%) up 18.7 points
Dallas Keuchel's CH usage (38.5%) up 13.7 points
Drew Rom's FF usage (53.8%) up 15.6 points
Eduardo Rodriguez's FC usage (35.1%) up 14.7 points
Hunter Brown's FF usage (69.2%) up 23.2 points
Jordan Montgomery's SI usage (64.9%) up 21.8 points
Kyle Gibson's SI usage (41.3%) up 15.7 points
Kyle Gibson's ST usage (30.8%) up 13.1 points
Kyle Harrison's SV usage (34.1%) up 10.5 points
Yusei Kikuchi's CU usage (30.3%) up 12.4 points
Pitch Mix Changes - Last 3 Starts
Bailey Falter 4-Seam Fastball: -21.6%
Bailey Falter Slider: +21.3%
Alex Cobb Split-Finger: +20.8%
Zach Davies Sinker: -17.4%
Reid Detmers Slider: -17.3%
Bryce Miller 4-Seam Fastball: -16.5%
Jack Flaherty Slider: -16.4%
Zach Davies 4-Seam Fastball: +16.2%
Reid Detmers Changeup: +15.5%
Zack Littell Sinker: +15.0%
Wade Miley 4-Seam Fastball: -14.9%
Lucas Giolito Changeup: +14.9%
Kyle Wright 4-Seam Fastball: +14.1%
Seth Lugo Curveball: -13.6%
Tanner Houck Cutter: -13.4%
Kenta Maeda Slider: -13.4%
Hyun Jin Ryu Cutter: +13.4%
Hunter Brown 4-Seam Fastball: +12.7%
Kyle Hendricks Changeup: +12.6%
Colin Rea Sinker: +12.6%
Zack Littell 4-Seam Fastball: -12.6%
Seth Lugo Sinker: +12.5%
Taj Bradley Cutter: -12.2%
Taj Bradley Changeup: +12.1%
Pitchers - Recent Leaders
Mike Clevinger in the second half:
9 GS, 3.29 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 23.5% K%, 5.9% BB%, 12.7% SwStr%
He’s been a little bit lucky, but overall a K-BB% above 17% and an above-average SwStr% makes him someone that sets up nicely as later round SP next year - especially if he gets dealt out of Chicago which would seem like something the Sox would have interest in doing.
CSW% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Tarik Skubal - 71 TBF, 36.0% CSW%
Mike Clevinger - 93 TBF, 35.2% CSW%
Jameson Taillon - 95 TBF, 34.8% CSW%
Logan Gilbert - 103 TBF, 34.4% CSW%
Nick Pivetta - 67 TBF, 34.3% CSW%
Cristopher Sanchez - 95 TBF, 34.1% CSW%
Spencer Strider - 93 TBF, 34.1% CSW%
Bobby Miller - 80 TBF, 33.8% CSW%
Kyle Hendricks - 97 TBF, 33.3% CSW%
Kevin Gausman - 72 TBF, 33.2% CSW%
K% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Freddy Peralta - 84 TBF, 38.1% K%
Tarik Skubal - 71 TBF, 35.2% K%
Kodai Senga - 78 TBF, 34.6% K%
Spencer Strider - 93 TBF, 34.4% K%
Nick Pivetta - 67 TBF, 34.3% K%
Gerrit Cole - 100 TBF, 34.0% K%
Tyler Glasnow - 95 TBF, 33.7% K%
Cole Ragans - 66 TBF, 33.3% K%
Zack Wheeler - 93 TBF, 33.3% K%
Blake Snell - 99 TBF, 33.3% K%
K-BB% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Freddy Peralta - 84 TBF, 33.3% K-BB%
Gerrit Cole - 100 TBF, 32.0% K-BB%
Tyler Glasnow - 95 TBF, 28.4% K-BB%
Tarik Skubal - 71 TBF, 28.2% K-BB%
Zack Wheeler - 93 TBF, 28.0% K-BB%
Nick Pivetta - 67 TBF, 26.9% K-BB%
Kyle Bradish - 72 TBF, 26.4% K-BB%
Jameson Taillon - 95 TBF, 26.3% K-BB%
Justin Steele - 103 TBF, 26.2% K-BB%
Zach Eflin - 92 TBF, 26.1% K-BB%
GB% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Logan Webb - 92 TBF, 63.5% GB%
Wade Miley - 66 TBF, 60.8% GB%
Corbin Burnes - 81 TBF, 60.0% GB%
Framber Valdez - 105 TBF, 59.4% GB%
Pedro Avila - 81 TBF, 59.3% GB%
Brady Singer - 72 TBF, 56.9% GB%
Dean Kremer - 68 TBF, 55.1% GB%
Pablo Lopez - 110 TBF, 54.7% GB%
Andrew Heaney - 81 TBF, 54.7% GB%
Kyle Bradish - 72 TBF, 54.5% GB%
Magic Formula Qualifiers - Pitchers - Last 3 Weeks
David Peterson - 72 TBF, 27.8 K%, 5.6 BB%, 47.8% GB%
Freddy Peralta - 84 TBF, 38.1 K%, 4.8 BB%, 50.0% GB%
Gerrit Cole - 100 TBF, 34.0 K%, 2.0 BB%, 48.4% GB%
Grayson Rodriguez - 68 TBF, 27.9 K%, 7.4 BB%, 44.2% GB%
Jameson Taillon - 95 TBF, 28.4 K%, 2.1 BB%, 49.2% GB%
Justin Steele - 103 TBF, 31.1 K%, 4.9 BB%, 48.5% GB%
Kyle Bradish - 72 TBF, 31.9 K%, 5.6 BB%, 54.5% GB%
Robert Garcia - 53 TBF, 32.1 K%, 5.7 BB%, 60.6% GB%
Tarik Skubal - 71 TBF, 35.2 K%, 7.0 BB%, 52.5% GB%
Tyler Glasnow - 95 TBF, 33.7 K%, 5.3 BB%, 46.6% GB%
Zack Wheeler - 93 TBF, 33.3 K%, 5.4 BB%, 49.1% GB%
Hot Pitcher Tracker - Last 3 Weeks vs. Career
Cristopher Sanchez - +4.3% CSW%, -4.2 BB%
Jameson Taillon - +7.0% CSW%, -3.6 BB%
Mike Clevinger - +7.6% CSW%, -5.4 BB%
Cole Irvin - +3.0% CSW%, -2.4 BB%
Kyle Bradish - +3.7% CSW%, -2.1 BB%
Patrick Corbin - +2.5% CSW%, -2.9 BB%
Nick Pivetta - +5.6% CSW%, -1.9 BB%
Michael King - +2.0% CSW%, -5.7 BB%
Ryan Yarbrough - +4.5% CSW%, -4.2 BB%
Graham Ashcraft - +8.4% CSW%, -3.1 BB%
Hitters
Multiple Barrels
Matt Wallner (MIN) 3 PA, 3 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
New Max Launch Velos
Brandon Nimmo, Yesterday: 112.0 Previous High: 111.9
Yordan Alvarez, Yesterday: 117.7 Previous High: 117.4
Hardest Hit Balls
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) - 117.7mph - home_run
Juan Soto (SD) - 114.3mph - single
Luis Robert (CWS) - 113.2mph - foul
Matt Wallner (MIN) - 113.0mph - home_run
Cal Raleigh (SEA) - 112.1mph - foul
Brandon Nimmo (NYM) - 112.0mph - field_out
Christian Encarnacion-Strand (CIN) - 111.8mph - single
Austin Riley (ATL) - 110.7mph - home_run
Randy Arozarena (TB) - 110.4mph - field_out
Anthony Santander (BAL) - 110.2mph - double
Last 3 Weeks - wOBA vs. xwOBA Comparison
Top 10
Connor Joe - 62 PA, 0.238 wOBA, 0.321 xwOBA, 0.083 Diff
Ryan McMahon - 75 PA, 0.295 wOBA, 0.372 xwOBA, 0.077 Diff
Ronald Acuna Jr. - 97 PA, 0.457 wOBA, 0.531 xwOBA, 0.074 Diff
Alek Thomas - 60 PA, 0.224 wOBA, 0.296 xwOBA, 0.072 Diff
Nolan Arenado - 67 PA, 0.182 wOBA, 0.251 xwOBA, 0.069 Diff
Mike Tauchman - 65 PA, 0.265 wOBA, 0.327 xwOBA, 0.062 Diff
Adley Rutschman - 80 PA, 0.336 wOBA, 0.397 xwOBA, 0.061 Diff
Christian Walker - 80 PA, 0.271 wOBA, 0.328 xwOBA, 0.057 Diff
Brent Rooker - 67 PA, 0.311 wOBA, 0.361 xwOBA, 0.05 Diff
Yandy Diaz - 70 PA, 0.404 wOBA, 0.449 xwOBA, 0.045 Diff
Bottom 10
Trea Turner - 77 PA, 0.583 wOBA, 0.426 xwOBA, -0.157 Diff
Xander Bogaerts - 76 PA, 0.421 wOBA, 0.283 xwOBA, -0.138 Diff
Davis Schneider - 70 PA, 0.533 wOBA, 0.402 xwOBA, -0.131 Diff
Julio Rodriguez - 75 PA, 0.51 wOBA, 0.391 xwOBA, -0.119 Diff
Mark Canha - 69 PA, 0.437 wOBA, 0.333 xwOBA, -0.104 Diff
Matt Olson - 91 PA, 0.493 wOBA, 0.391 xwOBA, -0.102 Diff
Cedric Mullins II - 60 PA, 0.348 wOBA, 0.251 xwOBA, -0.097 Diff
Jeremy Pena - 84 PA, 0.382 wOBA, 0.289 xwOBA, -0.093 Diff
Mookie Betts - 81 PA, 0.474 wOBA, 0.382 xwOBA, -0.092 Diff
Jeff McNeil - 72 PA, 0.324 wOBA, 0.232 xwOBA, -0.092 Diff
Last 3 Weeks - Brl% Leaders
Kyle Schwarber - 89 PA, 42 BIP, 11 Brls, 26.2 Brl%
Matt Wallner - 67 PA, 31 BIP, 8 Brls, 25.8 Brl%
Nelson Velazquez - 56 PA, 33 BIP, 8 Brls, 24.2 Brl%
Mike Ford - 51 PA, 29 BIP, 7 Brls, 24.1 Brl%
Nolan Gorman - 58 PA, 27 BIP, 6 Brls, 22.2 Brl%
Shea Langeliers - 57 PA, 41 BIP, 9 Brls, 22.0 Brl%
Ronald Acuna Jr. - 97 PA, 83 BIP, 18 Brls, 21.7 Brl%
Davis Schneider - 70 PA, 39 BIP, 8 Brls, 20.5 Brl%
Jake Burger - 74 PA, 50 BIP, 10 Brls, 20.0 Brl%
Nolan Jones - 80 PA, 51 BIP, 10 Brls, 19.6 Brl%
Last 3 Weeks - xwOBA Leaders
Ronald Acuna Jr. - 97 PA, 0.531 xwOBA
Yordan Alvarez - 89 PA, 0.485 xwOBA
Mitch Garver - 75 PA, 0.459 xwOBA
Yandy Diaz - 70 PA, 0.449 xwOBA
Kyle Schwarber - 89 PA, 0.446 xwOBA
Jorge Polanco - 72 PA, 0.426 xwOBA
Trea Turner - 77 PA, 0.426 xwOBA
Yoan Moncada - 65 PA, 0.418 xwOBA
Max Kepler - 75 PA, 0.417 xwOBA
Gleyber Torres - 74 PA, 0.414 xwOBA
Last 3 Weeks - Contact% Leaders
Luis Arraez - 69 PA, 127 Swings, 95.3 Cont%
Nick Madrigal - 62 PA, 99 Swings, 94.9 Cont%
Myles Straw - 53 PA, 89 Swings, 89.9 Cont%
Ryan O'Hearn - 51 PA, 92 Swings, 89.1 Cont%
Ildemaro Vargas - 56 PA, 81 Swings, 88.9 Cont%
Alejandro Kirk - 51 PA, 79 Swings, 88.6 Cont%
Steven Kwan - 90 PA, 156 Swings, 88.5 Cont%
Alex Bregman - 89 PA, 134 Swings, 87.3 Cont%
Nico Hoerner - 89 PA, 133 Swings, 87.2 Cont%
Alex Verdugo - 67 PA, 116 Swings, 87.1 Cont%
Last 10 Days - SB Attempt Leaders
Corbin Carroll - 6 Attempts (6 steals)
Esteury Ruiz - 5 Attempts (4 steals)
Ronald Acuna Jr. - 5 Attempts (3 steals)
Bobby Witt Jr. - 5 Attempts (5 steals)
Nico Hoerner - 5 Attempts (4 steals)
Tommy Pham - 4 Attempts (3 steals)
Elly De La Cruz - 4 Attempts (3 steals)
Ha-Seong Kim - 4 Attempts (4 steals)
Andres Gimenez - 4 Attempts (4 steals)
Last 30 Days - SB Attempt Leaders
Ronald Acuna Jr. - 15 Attempts (11 steals)
Esteury Ruiz - 14 Attempts (12 steals)
Nico Hoerner - 14 Attempts (11 steals)
Corbin Carroll - 13 Attempts (11 steals)
C.J. Abrams - 12 Attempts (12 steals)
Bobby Witt Jr. - 11 Attempts (10 steals)
Elly De La Cruz - 11 Attempts (9 steals)
Tommy Edman - 10 Attempts (9 steals)
Julio Rodriguez - 10 Attempts (8 steals)
Ha-Seong Kim - 10 Attempts (8 steals)
Andres Gimenez - 9 Attempts (8 steals)
Randy Arozarena - 9 Attempts (7 steals)
Magic Formula Qualifiers - Hitters - Last 3 Weeks
Dominic Smith - 61 PA, 16.4 K%, 17.8 Brl%
J.T. Realmuto - 58 PA, 19.0 K%, 14.3 Brl%
Jose Abreu - 61 PA, 11.5 K%, 14.9 Brl%
Juan Soto - 83 PA, 16.9 K%, 14.5 Brl%
Julio Rodriguez - 75 PA, 17.3 K%, 18.3 Brl%
Lars Nootbaar - 53 PA, 18.9 K%, 14.7 Brl%
Luis Rengifo - 53 PA, 13.2 K%, 15.6 Brl%
Masataka Yoshida - 57 PA, 17.5 K%, 14.0 Brl%
Mitch Garver - 75 PA, 14.7 K%, 16.7 Brl%
Ronald Acuna Jr. - 97 PA, 6.2 K%, 21.7 Brl%
Seiya Suzuki - 89 PA, 18.0 K%, 15.2 Brl%
Trea Turner - 77 PA, 18.2 K%, 19.3 Brl%
Yandy Diaz - 70 PA, 14.3 K%, 18.0 Brl%
Yordan Alvarez - 89 PA, 10.1 K%, 18.3 Brl%
Last 30 Days - xwOBA Improvers
Shea Langeliers - 83 PA, +0.134 xwOBA
Marcell Ozuna - 119 PA, +0.119 xwOBA
Eddie Rosario - 97 PA, +0.111 xwOBA
D.J. Stewart - 84 PA, +0.109 xwOBA
Ronald Acuna Jr. - 138 PA, +0.092 xwOBA
Julio Rodriguez - 118 PA, +0.08 xwOBA
Kyle Schwarber - 127 PA, +0.077 xwOBA
Trea Turner - 114 PA, +0.077 xwOBA
Mookie Betts - 108 PA, +0.075 xwOBA
Seiya Suzuki - 119 PA, +0.075 xwOBA
Last 30 Days - Brl% Improvers
Trea Turner - 114 PA, +11.1 Brl%
D.J. Stewart - 84 PA, +10.5 Brl%
Shea Langeliers - 83 PA, +8.2 Brl%
Spencer Torkelson - 116 PA, +7.9 Brl%
Yandy Diaz - 111 PA, +7.9 Brl%
Dominic Smith - 85 PA, +7.8 Brl%
Brandon Nimmo - 122 PA, +7.4 Brl%
Yoan Moncada - 93 PA, +6.5 Brl%
Pete Alonso - 113 PA, +6.1 Brl%
Gabriel Arias - 97 PA, +5.8 Brl%
Last 30 Days - Cont% Improvers
Kole Calhoun - 99 PA, +13.6 Cont%
Anthony Santander - 104 PA, +9.9 Cont%
Michael Massey - 102 PA, +9.4 Cont%
Ronald Acuna Jr. - 138 PA, +9.3 Cont%
Shea Langeliers - 83 PA, +9.2 Cont%
Jeremy Pena - 121 PA, +8.8 Cont%
J.D. Davis - 90 PA, +8.3 Cont%
Mitch Garver - 109 PA, +8.2 Cont%
Josh Lowe - 93 PA, +7.4 Cont%
Bobby Witt Jr. - 120 PA, +7.3 Cont%
Last 30 Days - K% Improvers
Mitch Garver - 109 PA, -11.9 K%
Yordan Alvarez - 119 PA, -11.9 K%
Jeremy Pena - 121 PA, -11.8 K%
Kole Calhoun - 99 PA, -11.6 K%
Ronald Acuna Jr. - 138 PA, -11.5 K%
J.D. Davis - 90 PA, -10.5 K%
Tyler O'Neill - 84 PA, -10.3 K%
Shea Langeliers - 83 PA, -9.7 K%
Chas McCormick - 99 PA, -9.6 K%
Josh Lowe - 93 PA, -9.4 K%
Hot Hitter Tracker - Last 7 vs. Career
Anthony Santander - +6.1% Contact%, +5.7 mph exit velo, -13.1 Chase%
Ji Hwan Bae - +7.5% Contact%, +6.4 mph exit velo, -11.4 Chase%
Elehuris Montero - +6.9% Contact%, +6.0 mph exit velo, -3.0 Chase%
J.T. Realmuto - +3.7% Contact%, +6.6 mph exit velo, -9.6 Chase%
Josh Smith - +11.6% Contact%, +5.8 mph exit velo, -3.4 Chase%
Super Ultra Mega Hot Hitters - Last 15 Days
Bryan Reynolds - 0.446 xwOBA, 11.9% Brl%, 75.7% Contact%, 21.2% Chase%, 16.7% K%
Lars Nootbaar - 0.386 xwOBA, 14.7% Brl%, 86.9% Contact%, 11.8% Chase%, 18.9% K%
Matt Olson - 0.402 xwOBA, 16.7% Brl%, 80.8% Contact%, 22.7% Chase%, 14.9% K%
Mitch Garver - 0.421 xwOBA, 11.8% Brl%, 80.5% Contact%, 20.5% Chase%, 15.1% K%
Seiya Suzuki - 0.424 xwOBA, 19.1% Brl%, 80.4% Contact%, 19.1% Chase%, 17.7% K%
Tommy Pham - 0.383 xwOBA, 11.9% Brl%, 80.4% Contact%, 20.8% Chase%, 21.1% K%
Yandy Diaz - 0.455 xwOBA, 20.5% Brl%, 76.5% Contact%, 21.1% Chase%, 15.8% K%
Yordan Alvarez - 0.475 xwOBA, 20.0% Brl%, 82.8% Contact%, 23.0% Chase%, 13.8% K%
Cold Hitters - Last 2 Weeks
Luke Raley - 38.4% Whiff%, 81.0% Weak%, 0.971 Cold Rating
Gabriel Arias - 39.8% Whiff%, 68.8% Weak%, 0.919 Cold Rating
Bryce Harper - 35.3% Whiff%, 72.7% Weak%, 0.915 Cold Rating
Mike Ford - 35.0% Whiff%, 71.4% Weak%, 0.896 Cold Rating
Oswald Peraza - 33.8% Whiff%, 71.0% Weak%, 0.873 Cold Rating
Kyren Paris - 32.5% Whiff%, 71.4% Weak%, 0.864 Cold Rating
Davis Schneider - 36.8% Whiff%, 66.7% Weak%, 0.864 Cold Rating
MJ Melendez - 31.7% Whiff%, 72.7% Weak%, 0.862 Cold Rating
Jeimer Candelario - 28.8% Whiff%, 77.8% Weak%, 0.836 Cold Rating
Brendan Rodgers - 33.3% Whiff%, 66.7% Weak%, 0.812 Cold Rating
Minor Leagues
Top Minor League Hitting Performances - Yesterday
Wyatt Langford (TEX): 2/3, 2R, 2HR, 3RBI, 0SB, 34FPts
Devonte Brown (TOR): 3/4, 2R, 2HR, 2RBI, 0SB, 31FPts
Brewer Hicklen (PHI): 3/5, 2R, 1HR, 3RBI, 0SB, 30FPts
Matt Kroon (PHI): 3/5, 2R, 1HR, 2RBI, 1SB, 29FPts
Ryan Bliss (SEA): 1/3, 1R, 1HR, 4RBI, 1SB, 29FPts
Jacob Melton (HOU): 3/5, 1R, 1HR, 3RBI, 1SB, 29FPts
Dylan Beavers (BAL): 2/4, 1R, 1HR, 3RBI, 1SB, 28FPts
David Calabrese (LAA): 1/3, 2R, 1HR, 1RBI, 1SB, 27FPts
Jonatan Clase (SEA): 2/4, 1R, 0HR, 1RBI, 2SB, 27FPts
Nathan Hickey (BOS): 2/4, 3R, 0HR, 4RBI, 0SB, 26FPts
Top Minor League Pitching Performances - Yesterday
Garrett Stallings (BAL): 80 Pitches, 7IP, 3H, 1ER, 7K, 1BB, 29FPts
Spencer Bivens (SF): 77 Pitches, 6IP, 2H, 0ER, 6K, 2BB, 27FPts
Mick Abel (PHI): 88 Pitches, 5IP, 3H, 1ER, 8K, 3BB, 25FPts
Mason Montgomery (TB): 85 Pitches, 6IP, 1H, 0ER, 5K, 4BB, 24FPts
Eric Cerantola (KC): 75 Pitches, 5IP, 2H, 0ER, 7K, 0BB, 24FPts
Jack Perkins - 678022 (OAK): 0 Pitches, 6IP, 4H, 1ER, 6K, 2BB, 19FPts
Pierson Ohl (MIN): 83 Pitches, 5IP, 3H, 0ER, 5K, 1BB, 19FPts
Jose Chacin (NYM): 82 Pitches, 6IP, 5H, 1ER, 3K, 0BB, 18FPts
Jimmy Robbins (TOR): 35 Pitches, 2IP, 0H, 0ER, 4K, 1BB, 17FPts
A.J. Blubaugh (HOU): 59 Pitches, 4IP, 1H, 0ER, 5K, 2BB, 17FPts
AA-AAA OPS Leaders
Michael Busch (AAA - LAD) 436 PA 1.029 OPS
Austin Shenton (AAA - TB) 531 PA 1.005 OPS
Blake Dunn (AA - CIN) 356 PA 0.991 OPS
Jared Young (AAA - CHC) 363 PA 0.99 OPS
Coby Mayo (AAA - BAL) 565 PA 0.965 OPS
Troy Johnston (AAA - MIA) 557 PA 0.964 OPS
Trey Cabbage (AAA - LAA) 433 PA 0.963 OPS
TJ Hopkins (AAA - CIN) 373 PA 0.962 OPS
Keston Hiura (AAA - MIL) 367 PA 0.96 OPS
Colton Cowser (AAA - BAL) 355 PA 0.955 OPS
Coco Montes (AAA - COL) 468 PA 0.954 OPS
Jacob Hurtubise (AAA - CIN) 403 PA 0.951 OPS
Bobby Dalbec (AAA - BOS) 484 PA 0.946 OPS
Trenton Brooks (AAA - SF) 487 PA 0.937 OPS
Colt Keith (AAA - DET) 539 PA 0.932 OPS
Michael Stefanic (AAA - LAA) 440 PA 0.931 OPS
Ivan Herrera (AAA - STL) 355 PA 0.929 OPS
Matt Kroon (AAA - PHI) 388 PA 0.928 OPS
Vaughn Grissom (AAA - ATL) 424 PA 0.928 OPS
Tristin English (AAA - ARI) 403 PA 0.924 OPS
AA-AAA Pitching K-BB% Leaders
Jackson Wolf (AA - PIT) 119 IP 20.8% K-BB
Tobias Myers (AA - MIL) 131 IP 20.8% K-BB
Dominic Hamel (AA - NYM) 118 IP 20.7% K-BB
Mason Black (AAA - SF) 113 IP 20.2% K-BB
Brant Hurter (AA - DET) 118 IP 20.1% K-BB
Robert Gasser (AAA - MIL) 135 IP 19.6% K-BB
Kai-Wei Teng (AAA - SF) 116 IP 19.3% K-BB
Carlos Rodriguez (AA - MIL) 123 IP 19.2% K-BB
Cade Povich (AAA - BAL) 115 IP 19.0% K-BB
Jack Cushing (AA - OAK) 121 IP 18.9% K-BB
Ty Madden (AA - DET) 114 IP 18.8% K-BB
Rhett Kouba (AAA - HOU) 124 IP 18.6% K-BB
Richard Fitts (AA - NYY) 146 IP 18.2% K-BB
Keider Montero (AAA - DET) 100 IP 18.2% K-BB
Jacob Lopez (AAA - TB) 97 IP 18.2% K-BB
Domingo Robles (AA - ATL) 121 IP 18.2% K-BB
Alan Rangel (AAA - ATL) 118 IP 17.8% K-BB
Blayne Enlow (AAA - MIN) 93 IP 17.8% K-BB
Walker Powell (AA - CHC) 116 IP 17.6% K-BB
Jared Jones (AAA - PIT) 115 IP 17.5% K-BB
Schedules & Streamers
Toughest Upcoming Hitter Schedules - Next 7 Days
TOR - 113.6 Opposing SP Stuff+
TEX - 111.4 Opposing SP Stuff+
BAL - 107.3 Opposing SP Stuff+
KC - 104.7 Opposing SP Stuff+
DET - 102.9 Opposing SP Stuff+
Softest Upcoming Hitter Schedules - Next 7 Days
MIA - 73.0 Opposing SP Stuff+
SF - 80.7 Opposing SP Stuff+
SD - 81.1 Opposing SP Stuff+
CIN - 82.5 Opposing SP Stuff+
MIL - 83.1 Opposing SP Stuff+
Today's SP Streamer Picks
Reese Olson (9.0% Owned): Projected 5.52IP 2.59ER 5.89SO 2.05BB 15.32FPts
Ben Lively (3.0% Owned): Projected 5.01IP 2.2ER 5.17SO 1.17BB 14.32FPts
Kenta Maeda (27.5% Owned): Projected 4.71IP 2.1ER 4.68SO 0.99BB 13.6FPts
OPS Leaders - Last 2 Weeks - LOW OWNED HITTERS
Edward Olivares - 32 PA, 1.4 OPS
Mike Yastrzemski - 27 PA, 1.394 OPS
J.D. Davis - 29 PA, 1.214 OPS
Andy Ibanez - 28 PA, 1.203 OPS
Aaron Hicks - 32 PA, 1.174 OPS
Jack Suwinski - 32 PA, 1.172 OPS
Matt Vierling - 27 PA, 1.134 OPS
Cavan Biggio - 31 PA, 1.109 OPS
Robbie Grossman - 30 PA, 1.086 OPS
Elehuris Montero - 35 PA, 1.043 OPS
Today's Hitter Streamer Picks
Estevan Florial CF (0.0% Owned): Projected 1.75R 0.2HR 1.16RBI 1.23SO 0.44BB 0.18SB 12.78FPts
Wilyer Abreu RF (1.5% Owned): Projected 1.18R 0.15HR 1.35RBI 1.08SO 0.51BB 0.09SB 10.74FPts
Joc Pederson OF (13.0% Owned): Projected 0.84R 0.23HR 1.0RBI 0.78SO 0.52BB 0.03SB 10.27FPts
Anthony Volpe SS (44.0% Owned): Projected 1.14R 0.13HR 1.18RBI 1.09SO 0.3BB 0.16SB 10.03FPts
Ceddanne Rafaela 3B (3.5% Owned): Projected 1.11R 0.17HR 1.15RBI 0.98SO 0.14BB 0.12SB 10.03FPts
Austin Wells C (1.5% Owned): Projected 1.11R 0.12HR 1.3RBI 0.96SO 0.36BB 0.06SB 9.99FPts
Mike Yastrzemski CF (10.0% Owned): Projected 0.98R 0.22HR 0.69RBI 1.01SO 0.54BB 0.04SB 9.93FPts
Trevor Story 2B (20.0% Owned): Projected 1.06R 0.13HR 1.11RBI 1.11SO 0.27BB 0.16SB 9.71FPts
Wilmer Flores 3B (45.5% Owned): Projected 0.84R 0.2HR 0.88RBI 0.62SO 0.42BB 0.0SB 9.67FPts
LaMonte Wade Jr. RF (10.0% Owned): Projected 0.76R 0.19HR 0.79RBI 0.75SO 0.52BB 0.03SB 8.99FPts
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