MLB Daily Notes - September 15th
A daily automated report of what happened yesterday in Major League Baseball, along with other recent trends and further analysis.
Got myself up early and went for a jog, and now I’m back home all showered and on the couch typing, and no kids are awake yet. The beautiful sound of silence. It’s a great morning.
Pitcher Review
Tyler Anderson popped off another 20-whiff start. He loves to do that like once every five weeks.
5 IP, 7 H, 4 ER, 4 K, 3 BB, 20.6% SwStr%, 46.4% Strike%
Michael Wacha picked apart the Pirates:
5 IP, 4 H, 1 R, 8 K, 3 BB, 19.4% SwStr%, 54.8% Strike%
I would only use him in very favorable matchups.
Joey Cantillo showed us another spike start:
5 IP, 3 H, 0 R, 6 K, 1 BB, 19.2% SwStr%, 43.6% Strike%, 42.3% Ball%
I would not consider him for a stream.
Jameson Taillon is someone I’ve considered adding. He had a nice start in Coors:
6 IP, 5 H, 2 R, 6 K, 1 BB, 16.5% SwStr%, 47.1% Strike%
He’ll line up next week at home against the Nationals and then probably finish his season the following week in Philadelphia.
Max Scherzer’s return:
4 IP, 5 H, 2 ER, 2 K, 2 BB, 15.1% SwStr%, 46.6% Strike%, 32.9% Ball%
He threw 73 pitches. He’s not very easy to trust as we finish out 2024. He now has just a 22.6% K% on the year but a more encouraging 16% SwStr% and 5.6% BB%.
Justin Verlander is cooked. He stayed at the party too long.
5 IP, 4 H, 2 ER, 2 K, 2 B, 10.1% SwStr%, 46.1% Strike%
His season K% is 18.7% K% and the BB% is up to 7.5% BB%. He has a bad 2.20 WHIP+ and a .771 OPS allowed. It was bound to end. He’s not finishing his career in Adam Wainwright fashion, at least, but clearly the strikeout days are behind him.
And every time you think Gerrit Cole has it all back, he lays an egg.
4.1 IP, 5 H, 7 ER, 2 K, 3 BB, 7.4% SwStr%, 35.3% Strike%
No command at all there. You’re starting him the next two weeks, you have no choice - and the 18.9% K-BB% on the year is still pretty strong even though it’s a far cry from what he usually does.
Some strong upcoming SP schedules for pitchers that may be available:
Griffin Canning (vs. CWS, vs. CWS)
Jack Kochanowicz (vs. CWS, vs. CWS)
Bobby Miller (vs. MIA, vs. COL)
Walker Buehler (vs. ATL, vs. COL)
Andrew Heaney (vs. SEA, vs. SEA)
Martin Perez (vs. CWS, vs. SF)
Luis Gil (vs. OAK, vs. SEA)
Yusei Kikuchi (vs. LAA, vs. SEA)
… and some really brutal schedules coming up for guys you might own:
Logan Webb (vs. KC, vs. ARI)
Bryce Miller (vs. NYY, vs. HOU)
Blake Snell (vs. BAL, vs. ARI)
Michael King (vs. HOU, vs. LAD)
Dylan Cease (vs. HOU, vs. LAD)
DJ Herz (vs. NYM, vs. KC)
Let’s talk about some hitters you can cut ties with as we head into these last two weeks. What I’m looking for are hitters with high recent strikeouts that aren’t making up for it with homers or steals.
The man who inspired this was Triston Casas. Since his return from the IL:
.247/.323/.348, 2 HR, 9.4% Brl%, 36.4% K%, 67% Cont%
If this were the beginning of the season, I’d forgive him. But he’s coming off of that brutal rib injury, so it’s fair to think he’s just not swinging the bat the same. I am going to be in on him next year, but I’m bailing right now.
His teammate Wilyer Abreu also qualifies. He’s had a nice season, but recently:
122 PA, .252/.303/.477, 6 HR, 12.3% Brl%, 32.8% K%, .310 xwOBA
That’s since August 1st. He has just a 7.8% Brl% and .268 xwOBA over the last month. He was never someone you absolutely had to have on your fantasy team, so I don’t think it’s going to hurt us much to drop him.
Logan O’Hoppe is also going through it:
127 PA, .127/.189/.237, 4 HR, 43.3% K%, .280 xwOBA
It's brutal stuff; I’d be looking for a new catcher. But it would have to be someone decent. I’m probably not looking to add a do-nothing player like Keibert Ruiz for him or anything like that.
Tyler O’Neill makes it three Red Sox:
101 PA, .209/.327/.512, 8 HR, 39.6% K%
This is a different situation because he has a high 9.9% Brl% and .354 xwOBA, so the homers are coming in between the strikeouts.
Lane Thomas couldn’t have been much worse immediately after joining Cleveland. He’s been better, but still pretty bad:
138 PA, .230/.290/.405, 4 HR, 6.5% Brl%, 36.2% K%
Strikeouts were never a big problem for him until recently. You’ve probably already dropped him, but if you haven’t - you have my approval.
Adolis Garcia has just been miserable lately and has been pretty mediocre all year.
159 PA, .233/.289/.377, 4 HR, 14.6% Brl%, 32.1% K%, 62% Cont%
There’s so much swing-and-miss in his game. The four homers since August 1st aren’t bad, but I think you can probably find better on the waiver wire.
James Wood has also gotten quite cold.
90 PA, .228/.322/.278, 0 HR, 1.9% Brl%, 28.9% K%, 57% GB%
It’s not crazy at all to cut him in a redraft league. I think he’ll have a pretty great roto fantasy season next year, but he’s so susceptible to these slumps that it’s risky business to use him right now in the most crucial fantasy weeks (that said - the ceiling is high enough to where he could turn it around and win you a week as well). Just consider your replacement.
Have a good Sunday!
Pitcher Reports
Algo SP Ranks - Yesterday
1. Michael Wacha
2. Corbin Burnes
3. Chris Flexen
4. Tyler Anderson
5. Nick Martinez
6. Joey Cantillo
7. Logan Gilbert
8. Jameson Taillon
9. Joe Musgrove
10. Max Scherzer
11. J.T. Ginn
12. Justin Verlander
13. Patrick Corbin
14. Luis Severino
15. Chris Sale
16. Mitch Keller
17. Jack Flaherty
18. Jose Berrios
19. Mason Black
20. Kyle Freeland
21. Valente Bellozo
22. Tobias Myers
23. Kolby Allard
24. Kyle Gibson
25. Gerrit Cole
26. Simeon Woods Richardson
27. Brayan Bello
28. Brandon Pfaadt
Fantasy Points Leaders - Yesterday
1. Corbin Burnes (vs. DET): 31.95 Points
2. Joe Musgrove (vs. SF): 31.7 Points
3. Nick Martinez (vs. MIN): 25.7 Points
4. Patrick Corbin (vs. MIA): 25.1 Points
5. Michael Wacha (vs. PIT): 25.05 Points
6. Joey Cantillo (vs. TB): 24.85 Points
7. Jose Berrios (vs. STL): 23.35 Points
8. Chris Sale (vs. LAD): 23.3 Points
9. Chris Flexen (vs. OAK): 22.45 Points
10. Jameson Taillon (vs. COL): 17.9 Points
Whiffs Leaders - Yesterday
1. Chris Flexen (CWS): 20 Whiffs (99 Pitches)
2. Tyler Anderson (LAA): 20 Whiffs (97 Pitches)
3. Michael Wacha (KC): 18 Whiffs (93 Pitches)
4. Corbin Burnes (BAL): 18 Whiffs (97 Pitches)
5. Logan Gilbert (SEA): 15 Whiffs (97 Pitches)
6. Joey Cantillo (CLE): 15 Whiffs (78 Pitches)
7. Jameson Taillon (CHC): 14 Whiffs (85 Pitches)
8. Jack Leiter (TEX): 14 Whiffs (71 Pitches)
9. Joe Musgrove (SD): 12 Whiffs (91 Pitches)
10. Chris Sale (ATL): 12 Whiffs (96 Pitches)
Strike% Leaders - Yesterday
1. Michael Wacha (KC): 54.8 Strike%, 33.3 Ball%
2. Jack Leiter (TEX): 52.1 Strike%, 36.6 Ball%
3. Joe Musgrove (SD): 51.6 Strike%, 34.1 Ball%
4. Chris Flexen (CWS): 51.5 Strike%, 36.4 Ball%
5. Nick Martinez (CIN): 51.3 Strike%, 28.9 Ball%
6. Mason Black (SF): 49.4 Strike%, 30.4 Ball%
7. Yilber Diaz (ARI): 47.9 Strike%, 32.4 Ball%
8. Logan Gilbert (SEA): 47.4 Strike%, 35.1 Ball%
9. Riley O'Brien (STL): 47.1 Strike%, 39.2 Ball%
10. Jameson Taillon (CHC): 47.1 Strike%, 32.9 Ball%
11. Patrick Corbin (WSH): 46.8 Strike%, 37.2 Ball%
12. Max Scherzer (TEX): 46.6 Strike%, 32.9 Ball%
13. Tyler Anderson (LAA): 46.4 Strike%, 35.1 Ball%
14. Justin Verlander (HOU): 46.1 Strike%, 34.8 Ball%
15. Valente Bellozo (MIA): 45.7 Strike%, 34.8 Ball%
Pitches/Out (POUT) Leaders - Yesterday
1. Tyler Alexander: 57 Pitches, 14 Outs, 4.07 POUT
2. Nick Martinez: 76 Pitches, 18 Outs, 4.22 POUT
3. Kyle Freeland: 95 Pitches, 21 Outs, 4.52 POUT
4. Corbin Burnes: 97 Pitches, 21 Outs, 4.62 POUT
5. Jose Berrios: 97 Pitches, 21 Outs, 4.62 POUT
6. Jameson Taillon: 85 Pitches, 18 Outs, 4.72 POUT
7. Luis Severino: 86 Pitches, 18 Outs, 4.78 POUT
8. Joe Musgrove: 91 Pitches, 18 Outs, 5.06 POUT
9. Mitch Keller: 92 Pitches, 18 Outs, 5.11 POUT
10. Patrick Corbin: 94 Pitches, 18 Outs, 5.22 POUT
Velo Changes - Yesterday
Kyle Freeland's SL velo (24 pitches) UP 2.3mph to 87.5
Logan Gilbert's CU velo (12 pitches) UP 2.2mph to 83.8
Patrick Corbin's FC velo (25 pitches) UP 1.9mph to 87.5
Chris Sale's CH velo (17 pitches) UP 1.8mph to 88.6
Brandon Pfaadt's ST velo (18 pitches) UP 1.7mph to 86.1
Mitch Keller's ST velo (13 pitches) DOWN -1.6mph to 81.3
Mitch Keller's SI velo (15 pitches) DOWN -1.7mph to 92.0
Valente Bellozo's CU velo (17 pitches) DOWN -1.8mph to 71.9
Mitch Keller's FF velo (24 pitches) DOWN -2.0mph to 92.8
Valente Bellozo's FF velo (35 pitches) DOWN -2.2mph to 86.9
Valente Bellozo's FC velo (18 pitches) DOWN -2.7mph to 80.3
Mitch Keller's SL velo (11 pitches) DOWN -3.1mph to 84.5
Pitch Mix Changes - Yesterday
Jameson Taillon's FC usage (37.6%) up 14.3 points
Joe Musgrove's ST usage (26.4%) up 16.2 points
Kolby Allard's CH usage (32.8%) up 12.9 points
Luis Severino's ST usage (31.4%) up 21.4 points
Luis Severino's SI usage (30.2%) up 13.8 points
Patrick Corbin's FC usage (26.6%) up 16.9 points
Simeon Woods Richardson's CU usage (29.0%) up 20.5 points
Yilber Diaz's SL usage (43.7%) up 15.1 points
Pitch Mix Changes - Last 3 Starts
Emerson Hancock Sinker: +24.5%
Emerson Hancock 4-Seam Fastball: -23.9%
Sean Manaea Sinker: +23.5%
Yusei Kikuchi Slider: +21.8%
Hunter Brown Sinker: +17.0%
Mason Black Sweeper: -16.6%
Ryan Feltner Slider: -16.1%
Walker Buehler Curveball: +15.8%
Ryan Pepiot 4-Seam Fastball: +15.7%
Logan Webb Changeup: -15.6%
JP Sears Sweeper: -15.6%
Kutter Crawford Cutter: +15.2%
Tylor Megill Sinker: +14.6%
Ryan Pepiot Slider: -14.5%
Cooper Criswell Sweeper: -14.1%
Beau Brieske Slider: -13.7%
Shane Baz Slider: -13.5%
Nick Pivetta Sweeper: -13.4%
Albert Suarez 4-Seam Fastball: -13.3%
Zach Eflin Sinker: -13.1%
Taj Bradley Cutter: +12.7%
Logan Webb Sinker: +12.4%
Dean Kremer 4-Seam Fastball: +12.4%
Seth Lugo Cutter: +12.4%
Jameson Taillon Sinker: +12.1%
CSW% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Sean Manaea - 100 TBF, 34.3% CSW%
Tarik Skubal - 73 TBF, 33.8% CSW%
Carlos Rodon - 73 TBF, 33.7% CSW%
Taj Bradley - 69 TBF, 33.3% CSW%
Bryan Woo - 95 TBF, 33.2% CSW%
Aaron Civale - 66 TBF, 32.9% CSW%
Logan Gilbert - 97 TBF, 32.6% CSW%
David Peterson - 75 TBF, 32.4% CSW%
Michael King - 70 TBF, 32.4% CSW%
Jack Flaherty - 91 TBF, 32.4% CSW%
K% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Carlos Rodon - 73 TBF, 38.4% K%
Logan Gilbert - 97 TBF, 37.1% K%
Reynaldo Lopez - 74 TBF, 33.8% K%
Sean Manaea - 100 TBF, 33.0% K%
Cole Ragans - 87 TBF, 32.2% K%
Paul Skenes - 68 TBF, 30.9% K%
Matthew Boyd - 88 TBF, 30.7% K%
Frankie Montas - 95 TBF, 30.5% K%
Chris Bassitt - 80 TBF, 30.0% K%
DJ Herz - 77 TBF, 29.9% K%
K-BB% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Logan Gilbert - 97 TBF, 34.0% K-BB%
Carlos Rodon - 73 TBF, 31.5% K-BB%
Tarik Skubal - 73 TBF, 28.8% K-BB%
Reynaldo Lopez - 74 TBF, 28.4% K-BB%
Matthew Boyd - 88 TBF, 27.3% K-BB%
Chris Bassitt - 80 TBF, 25.0% K-BB%
Sean Manaea - 100 TBF, 25.0% K-BB%
Chris Sale - 97 TBF, 24.7% K-BB%
Sonny Gray - 69 TBF, 24.6% K-BB%
Joe Musgrove - 92 TBF, 23.9% K-BB%
GB% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Framber Valdez - 75 TBF, 72.3% GB%
Max Fried - 104 TBF, 62.5% GB%
Logan Webb - 96 TBF, 61.3% GB%
Pablo Lopez - 85 TBF, 60.7% GB%
Jose Quintana - 95 TBF, 59.7% GB%
Brady Singer - 70 TBF, 58.8% GB%
Mitch Spence - 93 TBF, 57.7% GB%
Marcus Stroman - 95 TBF, 56.3% GB%
Andre Pallante - 76 TBF, 55.8% GB%
MacKenzie Gore - 69 TBF, 55.8% GB%
Magic Formula Qualifiers - Pitchers - Last 3 Weeks
Aaron Ashby - 44 TBF, 34.1 K%, 4.5 BB%, 51.9% GB%
Chris Bassitt - 80 TBF, 30.0 K%, 5.0 BB%, 46.9% GB%
Edward Cabrera - 93 TBF, 28.0 K%, 6.5 BB%, 53.3% GB%
Joey Cantillo - 46 TBF, 37.0 K%, 2.2 BB%, 53.6% GB%
Logan Gilbert - 97 TBF, 37.1 K%, 3.1 BB%, 43.9% GB%
Nick Pivetta - 73 TBF, 28.8 K%, 6.8 BB%, 44.7% GB%
Reynaldo Lopez - 74 TBF, 33.8 K%, 5.4 BB%, 43.2% GB%
Sonny Gray - 69 TBF, 29.0 K%, 4.3 BB%, 45.7% GB%
Tarik Skubal - 73 TBF, 28.8 K%, 0.0 BB%, 44.2% GB%
Yusei Kikuchi - 99 TBF, 27.3 K%, 5.1 BB%, 47.8% GB%
Zack Wheeler - 98 TBF, 29.6 K%, 6.1 BB%, 46.0% GB%
SIERA vs. ERA Comp, Last 30 Days
Unluckiest
Brandon Pfaadt: 10.22 ERA, 3.66 SIERA
Zebby Matthews: 7.97 ERA, 3.94 SIERA
Bobby Miller: 8.28 ERA, 4.66 SIERA
Miles Mikolas: 6.94 ERA, 3.49 SIERA
Taj Bradley: 7.57 ERA, 4.21 SIERA
Justin Verlander: 8.34 ERA, 5.49 SIERA
Garrett Crochet: 4.67 ERA, 1.95 SIERA
Jake Irvin: 6.67 ERA, 4.37 SIERA
Colin Rea: 6.66 ERA, 4.43 SIERA
Logan Webb: 5.59 ERA, 3.45 SIERA
Luckiest
Beau Brieske: 2.4 ERA, 5.55 SIERA
Freddy Peralta: 2.25 ERA, 5.2 SIERA
Jose Quintana: 2.4 ERA, 5.15 SIERA
Michael King: 1.71 ERA, 4.17 SIERA
Bowden Francis: 1.25 ERA, 3.66 SIERA
Pablo Lopez: 0.79 ERA, 3.17 SIERA
Jose Berrios: 1.6 ERA, 3.56 SIERA
Cooper Criswell: 3.86 ERA, 5.64 SIERA
Aaron Civale: 2.63 ERA, 4.4 SIERA
Austin Gomber: 3.0 ERA, 4.75 SIERA
Hot Pitcher Tracker - Last 3 Weeks vs. Career
Logan Gilbert - +4.0% CSW%, -2.0 BB%
Luis Severino - +2.4% CSW%, -1.6 BB%
Alec Marsh - +3.2% CSW%, -3.9 BB%
Austin Gomber - +4.9% CSW%, -3.8 BB%
Yusei Kikuchi - +3.9% CSW%, -5.4 BB%
Seth Lugo - +2.3% CSW%, -3.3 BB%
Cristopher Sanchez - +2.7% CSW%, -2.9 BB%
David Peterson - +3.5% CSW%, -3.2 BB%
Albert Suarez - +2.7% CSW%, -2.1 BB%
Bryan Woo - +2.0% CSW%, -3.8 BB%
Jose Urena - +2.9% CSW%, -2.1 BB%
MacKenzie Gore - +2.1% CSW%, -2.6 BB%
Casey Mize - +5.2% CSW%, -2.6 BB%
Aaron Civale - +3.8% CSW%, -2.1 BB%
Matthew Boyd - +3.3% CSW%, -4.6 BB%
Tylor Megill - +3.8% CSW%, -2.8 BB%
Blake Snell - +5.5% CSW%, -2.5 BB%
Osvaldo Bido - +2.9% CSW%, -5.5 BB%
Reynaldo Lopez - +2.7% CSW%, -5.9 BB%
Matthew Liberatore - +2.7% CSW%, -2.2 BB%
Hitter Reports
Multiple Barrels
Aaron Judge (NYY) 4 PA, 4 Swings, 2 Barrels, 0 HR
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) 4 PA, 9 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Bryce Harper (PHI) 4 PA, 12 Swings, 2 Barrels, 2 HR
Cody Bellinger (CHC) 5 PA, 6 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Jackson Chourio (MIL) 6 PA, 11 Swings, 2 Barrels, 0 HR
Jorge Soler (ATL) 4 PA, 8 Swings, 2 Barrels, 0 HR
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) 4 PA, 10 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Junior Caminero (TB) 4 PA, 7 Swings, 2 Barrels, 0 HR
Pete Alonso (NYM) 4 PA, 4 Swings, 2 Barrels, 0 HR
William Contreras (MIL) 6 PA, 11 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Willy Adames (MIL) 4 PA, 5 Swings, 2 Barrels, 2 HR
New Max Launch Velos
Hardest Hit Balls
Oneil Cruz (PIT) - 117.5mph - single
Aaron Judge (NYY) - 115.3mph - double
William Contreras (MIL) - 114.1mph - double
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) - 112.6mph - single
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) - 112.3mph - single
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) - 112.1mph - home_run
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) - 111.5mph - home_run
Heliot Ramos (SF) - 111.4mph - field_out
Manny Machado (SD) - 111.2mph - double
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) - 110.8mph - home_run
Last 3 Weeks - wOBA vs. xwOBA Comparison
Top 10
Jake Burger - 75 PA, 0.244 wOBA, 0.34 xwOBA, 0.096 Diff
Juan Soto - 85 PA, 0.318 wOBA, 0.414 xwOBA, 0.096 Diff
Rhys Hoskins - 58 PA, 0.237 wOBA, 0.332 xwOBA, 0.095 Diff
Heliot Ramos - 72 PA, 0.23 wOBA, 0.312 xwOBA, 0.082 Diff
Michael Conforto - 56 PA, 0.248 wOBA, 0.329 xwOBA, 0.081 Diff
Giancarlo Stanton - 66 PA, 0.288 wOBA, 0.368 xwOBA, 0.08 Diff
Jorge Polanco - 66 PA, 0.204 wOBA, 0.28 xwOBA, 0.076 Diff
Nick Castellanos - 77 PA, 0.298 wOBA, 0.373 xwOBA, 0.075 Diff
Aaron Judge - 81 PA, 0.351 wOBA, 0.425 xwOBA, 0.074 Diff
Rafael Devers - 71 PA, 0.244 wOBA, 0.318 xwOBA, 0.074 Diff
Bottom 10
Lane Thomas - 70 PA, 0.419 wOBA, 0.295 xwOBA, -0.124 Diff
Victor Robles - 65 PA, 0.507 wOBA, 0.39 xwOBA, -0.117 Diff
Tommy Edman - 72 PA, 0.393 wOBA, 0.285 xwOBA, -0.108 Diff
Brent Rooker - 86 PA, 0.441 wOBA, 0.345 xwOBA, -0.096 Diff
Tyler Stephenson - 71 PA, 0.314 wOBA, 0.224 xwOBA, -0.09 Diff
Jonny DeLuca - 65 PA, 0.382 wOBA, 0.293 xwOBA, -0.089 Diff
Eugenio Suarez - 73 PA, 0.542 wOBA, 0.455 xwOBA, -0.087 Diff
Tyler Fitzgerald - 63 PA, 0.3 wOBA, 0.218 xwOBA, -0.082 Diff
Nathaniel Lowe - 74 PA, 0.444 wOBA, 0.362 xwOBA, -0.082 Diff
Jose Altuve - 77 PA, 0.373 wOBA, 0.295 xwOBA, -0.078 Diff
Last 3 Weeks - Brl% Leaders
Giancarlo Stanton - 66 PA, 38 BIP, 10 Brls, 26.3 Brl%
Shohei Ohtani - 79 PA, 51 BIP, 13 Brls, 25.5 Brl%
Kyle Schwarber - 81 PA, 48 BIP, 11 Brls, 22.9 Brl%
Luke Raley - 56 PA, 36 BIP, 8 Brls, 22.2 Brl%
Kerry Carpenter - 67 PA, 41 BIP, 9 Brls, 22.0 Brl%
Tyler O'Neill - 79 PA, 37 BIP, 8 Brls, 21.6 Brl%
Taylor Ward - 76 PA, 54 BIP, 11 Brls, 20.4 Brl%
Eugenio Suarez - 73 PA, 50 BIP, 10 Brls, 20.0 Brl%
Ceddanne Rafaela - 53 PA, 31 BIP, 6 Brls, 19.4 Brl%
Juan Soto - 85 PA, 52 BIP, 10 Brls, 19.2 Brl%
Last 3 Weeks - xwOBA Leaders
Yordan Alvarez - 77 PA, 0.465 xwOBA
Eugenio Suarez - 73 PA, 0.455 xwOBA
Paul Goldschmidt - 72 PA, 0.448 xwOBA
Lawrence Butler - 81 PA, 0.433 xwOBA
Kyle Schwarber - 81 PA, 0.432 xwOBA
Jackson Merrill - 69 PA, 0.427 xwOBA
William Contreras - 79 PA, 0.426 xwOBA
Aaron Judge - 81 PA, 0.425 xwOBA
Kerry Carpenter - 67 PA, 0.425 xwOBA
Matt Olson - 81 PA, 0.424 xwOBA
Last 3 Weeks - Contact% Leaders
Luis Arraez - 76 PA, 138 Swings, 94.9 Cont%
Jose Ramirez - 87 PA, 187 Swings, 90.4 Cont%
Geraldo Perdomo - 74 PA, 122 Swings, 90.2 Cont%
Ernie Clement - 70 PA, 119 Swings, 89.1 Cont%
TJ Friedl - 82 PA, 118 Swings, 89.0 Cont%
Sal Frelick - 52 PA, 106 Swings, 88.7 Cont%
Nico Hoerner - 71 PA, 120 Swings, 88.3 Cont%
Nick Fortes - 51 PA, 90 Swings, 87.8 Cont%
Nolan Schanuel - 67 PA, 128 Swings, 87.5 Cont%
Alex Bregman - 59 PA, 102 Swings, 87.3 Cont%
Last 10 Days - SB Attempt Leaders
Victor Robles - 7 Attempts (7 steals)
Dylan Crews - 6 Attempts (6 steals)
Jose Ramirez - 5 Attempts (5 steals)
Andres Gimenez - 5 Attempts (4 steals)
Jazz Chisholm Jr. - 4 Attempts (2 steals)
Elly De La Cruz - 4 Attempts (2 steals)
Xavier Edwards - 4 Attempts (4 steals)
Jose Caballero - 4 Attempts (3 steals)
Jose Tena - 4 Attempts (4 steals)
Marcus Semien - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Dairon Blanco - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Noelvi Marte - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Nolan Schanuel - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Wyatt Langford - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Romy Gonzalez - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Josh Lowe - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Maikel Garcia - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Zack Gelof - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Trevor Story - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Last 30 Days - SB Attempt Leaders
Jose Ramirez - 16 Attempts (12 steals)
Shohei Ohtani - 12 Attempts (12 steals)
Victor Robles - 12 Attempts (12 steals)
Andres Gimenez - 11 Attempts (9 steals)
Oneil Cruz - 10 Attempts (10 steals)
Josh Lowe - 10 Attempts (10 steals)
Jazz Chisholm Jr. - 10 Attempts (8 steals)
Jonny Deluca - 10 Attempts (7 steals)
Elly De La Cruz - 9 Attempts (5 steals)
Cedric Mullins - 9 Attempts (8 steals)
Dairon Blanco - 9 Attempts (8 steals)
C.J. Abrams - 9 Attempts (7 steals)
Dylan Crews - 9 Attempts (8 steals)
Jose Caballero - 9 Attempts (8 steals)
Magic Formula Qualifiers - Hitters - Last 3 Weeks
Bobby Witt Jr. - 86 PA, 15.1 K%, 16.4 Brl%
Jackson Chourio - 78 PA, 17.9 K%, 18.2 Brl%
Jackson Merrill - 69 PA, 17.4 K%, 15.1 Brl%
Lawrence Butler - 81 PA, 16.0 K%, 19.0 Brl%
Manny Machado - 80 PA, 13.8 K%, 15.6 Brl%
Matt Olson - 81 PA, 16.0 K%, 14.3 Brl%
Michael Harris II - 80 PA, 20.0 K%, 17.5 Brl%
Paul Goldschmidt - 72 PA, 18.1 K%, 17.9 Brl%
Taylor Ward - 76 PA, 17.1 K%, 20.4 Brl%
Wyatt Langford - 76 PA, 19.7 K%, 17.0 Brl%
Yordan Alvarez - 77 PA, 14.3 K%, 17.7 Brl%
Last 30 Days - xwOBA Improvers
Luke Raley - 91 PA, +0.117 xwOBA
Cedric Mullins II - 90 PA, +0.108 xwOBA
Victor Robles - 91 PA, +0.101 xwOBA
Corbin Carroll - 118 PA, +0.095 xwOBA
Francisco Lindor - 121 PA, +0.093 xwOBA
Michael Toglia - 109 PA, +0.085 xwOBA
Jackson Chourio - 116 PA, +0.082 xwOBA
Miguel Rojas - 83 PA, +0.081 xwOBA
Bobby Witt Jr. - 121 PA, +0.079 xwOBA
Lars Nootbaar - 95 PA, +0.078 xwOBA
Last 30 Days - Brl% Improvers
Giancarlo Stanton - 94 PA, +10.4 Brl%
Corbin Carroll - 118 PA, +10.0 Brl%
Francisco Lindor - 121 PA, +9.7 Brl%
Tyler O'Neill - 96 PA, +9.7 Brl%
Jackson Chourio - 116 PA, +9.3 Brl%
Luke Raley - 91 PA, +8.3 Brl%
Wyatt Langford - 107 PA, +8.1 Brl%
Brandon Marsh - 87 PA, +8.0 Brl%
Ceddanne Rafaela - 88 PA, +7.4 Brl%
Pete Crow-Armstrong - 99 PA, +6.8 Brl%
Last 30 Days - Cont% Improvers
Lawrence Butler - 112 PA, +9.3 Cont%
Bryce Harper - 114 PA, +9.2 Cont%
Xander Bogaerts - 108 PA, +8.6 Cont%
Jacob Young - 92 PA, +8.1 Cont%
Jonny DeLuca - 92 PA, +7.6 Cont%
Cedric Mullins II - 90 PA, +7.4 Cont%
Jake McCarthy - 114 PA, +7.0 Cont%
Shea Langeliers - 101 PA, +6.3 Cont%
Geraldo Perdomo - 111 PA, +6.1 Cont%
Eugenio Suarez - 109 PA, +6.1 Cont%
Last 30 Days - K% Improvers
Lawrence Butler - 112 PA, -12.5 K%
Jonny DeLuca - 92 PA, -10.8 K%
Josh Jung - 109 PA, -10.8 K%
Parker Meadows - 112 PA, -10.6 K%
Michael Busch - 99 PA, -10.0 K%
Cody Bellinger - 116 PA, -9.9 K%
Brenton Doyle - 97 PA, -9.1 K%
Cedric Mullins II - 90 PA, -8.3 K%
Victor Robles - 91 PA, -8.2 K%
Garrett Mitchell - 82 PA, -8.2 K%
Hot Hitter Tracker - Last 7 vs. Career
Jonathan Aranda - +17.2% Contact%, +5.5 mph exit velo, -8.3 Chase%
Nolan Schanuel - +8.5% Contact%, +5.8 mph exit velo, -11.7 Chase%
Super Ultra Mega Hot Hitters - Last 15 Days
Eugenio Suarez - 0.479 xwOBA, 21.6% Brl%, 75.8% Contact%, 24.6% Chase%, 20.8% K%
Wyatt Langford - 0.381 xwOBA, 13.2% Brl%, 76.9% Contact%, 17.8% Chase%, 22.8% K%
Cold Hitters - Last 2 Weeks
Mike Siani - 39.4% Whiff%, 76.0% Weak%, 0.982 Cold Rating
Mickey Moniak - 39.3% Whiff%, 69.2% Weak%, 0.9 Cold Rating
Trevor Larnach - 36.2% Whiff%, 70.6% Weak%, 0.891 Cold Rating
Tyler Stephenson - 35.5% Whiff%, 70.8% Weak%, 0.887 Cold Rating
Griffin Conine - 33.3% Whiff%, 73.7% Weak%, 0.883 Cold Rating
MJ Melendez - 32.6% Whiff%, 73.9% Weak%, 0.882 Cold Rating
Colton Cowser - 31.9% Whiff%, 73.9% Weak%, 0.867 Cold Rating
Bryan De La Cruz - 29.9% Whiff%, 74.1% Weak%, 0.837 Cold Rating
Luis Robert - 34.8% Whiff%, 68.6% Weak%, 0.837 Cold Rating
Brenton Doyle - 34.9% Whiff%, 67.7% Weak%, 0.836 Cold Rating
Minor League Reports
Top Minor League Hitting Performances - Yesterday
Abimelec Ortiz (TEX): 5/6, 4R, 2HR, 5RBI, 0SB, 47FPts
Logan Davidson (OAK): 4/4, 2R, 1HR, 5RBI, 0SB, 41FPts
Ben Rice (NYY): 3/3, 3R, 2HR, 3RBI, 0SB, 39FPts
Myles Straw (CLE): 3/4, 3R, 1HR, 2RBI, 1SB, 35FPts
Josh Palacios (PIT): 3/4, 1R, 1HR, 3RBI, 1SB, 35FPts
Josh Hatcher (TEX): 3/4, 4R, 1HR, 2RBI, 0SB, 34FPts
Trevor Hauver (TEX): 3/4, 2R, 1HR, 4RBI, 0SB, 32FPts
Alejandro Osuna (TEX): 4/6, 3R, 1HR, 1RBI, 0SB, 29FPts
Victor Labrada (SEA): 3/5, 1R, 0HR, 1RBI, 3SB, 28FPts
Elijah Dunham (NYY): 1/3, 1R, 1HR, 2RBI, 2SB, 28FPts
Top Minor League Pitching Performances - Yesterday
George Klassen (LAA): 79 Pitches, 6IP, 0H, 0ER, 12K, 1BB, 40FPts
Isaac Coffey (BOS): 99 Pitches, 5IP, 2H, 0ER, 10K, 3BB, 33FPts
Trent Baker (STL): 69 Pitches, 5IP, 1H, 0ER, 9K, 0BB, 32FPts
Randy Vasquez (SD): 0 Pitches, 6IP, 2H, 0ER, 8K, 2BB, 31FPts
Cam Schlittler (NYY): 89 Pitches, 5IP, 4H, 1ER, 9K, 2BB, 27FPts
Will Johnston (OAK): 74 Pitches, 5IP, 3H, 1ER, 10K, 0BB, 27FPts
Ian Mejia (ATL): 80 Pitches, 6IP, 4H, 0ER, 5K, 2BB, 24FPts
Humberto Castellanos (ARI): 84 Pitches, 6IP, 4H, 2ER, 7K, 1BB, 24FPts
Matthew Thompson (CHC): 84 Pitches, 5IP, 2H, 0ER, 6K, 3BB, 24FPts
Carlos Tavera (BAL): 69 Pitches, 5IP, 0H, 0ER, 7K, 2BB, 24FPts
AA-AAA OPS Leaders
Johnathan Rodriguez (AAA - CLE) 477 PA 0.932 OPS
Jason Vosler (AAA - SEA) 493 PA 0.932 OPS
Deyvison De Los Santos (AAA - MIA) 559 PA 0.921 OPS
Edwin Rios (AAA - CIN) 395 PA 0.913 OPS
CJ Alexander (AAA - OAK) 384 PA 0.912 OPS
Colby Thomas (AAA - OAK) 543 PA 0.911 OPS
Dalton Rushing (AAA - LAD) 476 PA 0.898 OPS
Pedro Leon (AAA - HOU) 515 PA 0.895 OPS
Jordan Diaz (AAA - OAK) 436 PA 0.891 OPS
Eguy Rosario (AAA - SD) 380 PA 0.889 OPS
Cooper Hummel (AAA - HOU) 416 PA 0.889 OPS
Matt Koperniak (AAA - STL) 484 PA 0.881 OPS
Taylor Trammell (AAA - NYY) 377 PA 0.88 OPS
Carlos Perez - 542208 (AAA - OAK) 436 PA 0.878 OPS
Roman Anthony (AAA - BOS) 508 PA 0.876 OPS
Tirso Ornelas (AAA - SD) 518 PA 0.876 OPS
Trenton Brooks (AAA - SF) 385 PA 0.873 OPS
Tim Tawa (AAA - ARI) 591 PA 0.872 OPS
Gustavo Campero (AAA - LAA) 429 PA 0.868 OPS
Andrew Navigato (AAA - DET) 496 PA 0.866 OPS
AA-AAA Pitching K-BB% Leaders
Bubba Chandler (AAA - PIT) 114 IP 22.3% K-BB
Brandon Young (AAA - BAL) 105 IP 21.7% K-BB
Ian Seymour (AAA - TB) 140 IP 21.7% K-BB
Noah Cameron (AAA - KC) 124 IP 21.6% K-BB
Thomas Harrington (AAA - PIT) 109 IP 21.4% K-BB
Troy Melton (AA - DET) 100 IP 20.7% K-BB
Will Warren (AAA - NYY) 104 IP 20.0% K-BB
Robinson Pina (AAA - PHI) 124 IP 19.8% K-BB
Mason Barnett (AA - OAK) 133 IP 19.8% K-BB
Isaac Coffey (AA - BOS) 113 IP 19.7% K-BB
Aaron Brown - 676345 (AAA - HOU) 105 IP 19.4% K-BB
Chayce McDermott (AAA - BAL) 97 IP 19.3% K-BB
Drew Parrish (AA - ATL) 111 IP 18.9% K-BB
Tyler Stuart (AAA - WSH) 122 IP 18.8% K-BB
Brett Kerry (AA - LAA) 143 IP 18.8% K-BB
Brandon Birdsell (AAA - CHC) 125 IP 18.1% K-BB
Carson Ragsdale (AAA - SF) 117 IP 18.1% K-BB
Joander Suarez (AAA - NYM) 128 IP 17.9% K-BB
Alex Pham (AA - BAL) 119 IP 17.8% K-BB
Carson Palmquist (AAA - COL) 116 IP 17.5% K-BB
Schedules & Streamers
Toughest Upcoming Hitter Schedules - Next 7 Days
SEA - 114.4 Opposing SP Stuff+
BAL - 113.9 Opposing SP Stuff+
BOS - 110.6 Opposing SP Stuff+
LAA - 110.1 Opposing SP Stuff+
MIA - 108.4 Opposing SP Stuff+
Softest Upcoming Hitter Schedules - Next 7 Days
STL - 80.4 Opposing SP Stuff+
CWS - 81.8 Opposing SP Stuff+
ATL - 86.1 Opposing SP Stuff+
SF - 86.2 Opposing SP Stuff+
CHC - 88.3 Opposing SP Stuff+
Today's SP Streamer Picks
Andrew Heaney (36.0% Owned): Projected 4.94IP 2.16ER 6.22SO 1.58BB 16.53FPts
David Festa (18.0% Owned): Projected 4.81IP 2.17ER 5.18SO 1.59BB 14.44FPts
JP Sears (35.0% Owned): Projected 5.64IP 2.64ER 4.79SO 1.03BB 14.25FPts
OPS Leaders - Last 2 Weeks - LOW OWNED HITTERS
Luke Raley - 39 PA, 1.194 OPS
Victor Robles - 33 PA, 1.159 OPS
Parker Meadows - 43 PA, 1.09 OPS
Andrew McCutchen - 26 PA, 1.021 OPS
Otto Lopez - 42 PA, 1.02 OPS
Jared Triolo - 30 PA, 1.005 OPS
Jonathan Aranda - 31 PA, 0.97 OPS
Michael Toglia - 36 PA, 0.955 OPS
Andrew Vaughn - 29 PA, 0.95 OPS
Jake Fraley - 35 PA, 0.946 OPS
Today's Hitter Streamer Picks
Charlie Blackmon RF (6.0% Owned): Projected 0.77R 0.12HR 0.56RBI 0.7SO 0.39BB 0.06SB 8.53FPts
Luis Garcia SS (1.0% Owned): Projected 0.58R 0.13HR 0.67RBI 0.49SO 0.31BB 0.12SB 8.37FPts
Dylan Crews OF (40.0% Owned): Projected 0.68R 0.13HR 0.53RBI 0.84SO 0.35BB 0.18SB 8.34FPts
Wenceel Perez 2B (3.0% Owned): Projected 0.59R 0.12HR 0.59RBI 0.84SO 0.32BB 0.14SB 8.3FPts
Spencer Horwitz 1B (39.0% Owned): Projected 0.57R 0.18HR 0.59RBI 0.57SO 0.25BB 0.04SB 8.27FPts
Nolan Jones 3B (40.0% Owned): Projected 0.63R 0.14HR 0.6RBI 1.07SO 0.44BB 0.09SB 8.12FPts
Austin Wells C (41.0% Owned): Projected 0.58R 0.17HR 0.74RBI 0.84SO 0.41BB 0.04SB 8.05FPts
Brandon Lowe 2B (37.0% Owned): Projected 0.6R 0.21HR 0.49RBI 0.91SO 0.4BB 0.06SB 8.02FPts
Matt Vierling CF (26.0% Owned): Projected 0.65R 0.15HR 0.45RBI 0.85SO 0.31BB 0.05SB 7.98FPts
Michael Toglia RF (25.0% Owned): Projected 0.62R 0.19HR 0.61RBI 1.16SO 0.38BB 0.05SB 7.95FPts
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