MLB Daily Notes - September 1st
A daily automated report of what happened yesterday in Major League Baseball, along with other recent trends and further analysis.
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Not much went down yesterday with just four games, so I won’t spend much time here. Spencer Strider had another good start, although it was a bit short of his lofty standards. He earned the daily notes hat trick, but that was pretty easy to do with only seven other pitchers competing with him.
Shout out to Strider for staying healthy and dominant all year long, it’s not an easy thing to do!
Some people might stop short of calling him “dominant” because of his 3.56 ERA which ranks just 16th among SPs with at least 25 starts. And at the end of the day, when you’re talking about describing a season, ERA probably is a bit more important than strikeouts or strikeout-to-walk ratio. The mark of pitching success is not allowing runs, not striking people out. Striking people out is the best way to not allow runs, but when we’re looking backwards, it’s not crazy at all to say that a guy like Blake Snell is more deserving of the Cy Young Award with his 2.60 ERA (although he has currently thrown 10 fewer innings so you’d want to do some adjusting there).
Lance Lynn got pounded by the Braves, but that was somewhat to be expected. The concerning thing is his 7.1% SwStr% over his last two starts. With the Dodgers, he’s now at just an 18.4 K% and a 10.7% SwStr% - not what we want to see. I have no idea what to do with this guy but I’m kind of just stuck with him in the home league, I think. The best thing I could have done was not draft him and then just ignored that he exists, he’s really punished me this year overall.
I don’t have anything else interesting to say, so we’re going to leave it here. Enjoy the notes, and talk to you all later!
Pitchers - Yesterday
Fantasy Points Leaders - Yesterday
1. Spencer Strider (vs. LAD): 23.9 Points
2. Matt Manning (vs. NYY): 19.1 Points
3. Matt Waldron (vs. SF): 15.45 Points
4. Braxton Garrett (vs. WSH): 15.1 Points
5. Jakob Junis (vs. SD): 14.4 Points
6. Clarke Schmidt (vs. DET): 13.11 Points
7. Robert Garcia (vs. MIA): 11.3 Points
8. Pedro Avila (vs. SF): 9.95 Points
9. Sean Manaea (vs. SD): 8.69 Points
10. Beau Brieske (vs. NYY): 8.25 Points
Whiffs Leaders - Yesterday
1. Spencer Strider (ATL): 17 Whiffs (92 Pitches)
2. Matt Manning (DET): 13 Whiffs (81 Pitches)
3. Clarke Schmidt (NYY): 11 Whiffs (94 Pitches)
4. Joan Adon (WSH): 11 Whiffs (84 Pitches)
5. Lance Lynn (LAD): 7 Whiffs (104 Pitches)
6. Robert Garcia (WSH): 6 Whiffs (28 Pitches)
7. Tyler Holton (DET): 6 Whiffs (15 Pitches)
8. Sean Manaea (SF): 5 Whiffs (86 Pitches)
9. Pedro Avila (SD): 5 Whiffs (77 Pitches)
10. Joe Jimenez (ATL): 5 Whiffs (21 Pitches)
Strike% Leaders - Yesterday
1. Spencer Strider (ATL): 52.2 Strike%, 33.7 Ball%
2. Jakob Junis (SF): 51.7 Strike%, 34.5 Ball%
3. Pedro Avila (SD): 50.6 Strike%, 33.8 Ball%
4. Matt Waldron (SD): 50.0 Strike%, 31.6 Ball%
5. Clarke Schmidt (NYY): 48.9 Strike%, 37.2 Ball%
6. Matt Manning (DET): 45.7 Strike%, 38.3 Ball%
7. Sean Manaea (SF): 45.3 Strike%, 43.0 Ball%
8. Lance Lynn (LAD): 41.3 Strike%, 40.4 Ball%
9. Braxton Garrett (MIA): 38.4 Strike%, 34.2 Ball%
10. Joan Adon (WSH): 36.9 Strike%, 40.5 Ball%
Pitcher/Pitch Trends
Velo Changes - Yesterday
Joan Adon's CU velo (19 pitches) DOWN -1.6mph to 79.4
Matt Waldron's KN velo (20 pitches) DOWN -2.1mph to 76.9
Pitch Mix Changes - Yesterday
Joan Adon's CH usage (20.2%) up 10.1 points
Matt Manning's SL usage (46.9%) up 15.4 points
Matt Waldron's SI usage (25.0%) up 17.4 points
Pedro Avila's FF usage (42.9%) up 12.0 points
Sean Manaea's ST usage (24.4%) up 17.6 points
Pitch Mix Changes - Last 3 Starts
Tanner Houck Sinker: +22.9%
Josiah Gray Sinker: +22.8%
Bailey Falter Slider: +19.7%
Jon Gray Slider: +19.4%
Bobby Miller 4-Seam Fastball: +17.8%
Bryce Miller 4-Seam Fastball: -16.7%
Bailey Falter 4-Seam Fastball: -16.4%
Bobby Miller Sinker: -16.1%
J.P. France Curveball: +16.0%
Framber Valdez Changeup: +15.6%
Alex Cobb Split-Finger: +15.5%
Adam Wainwright 4-Seam Fastball: +15.3%
Bryce Miller Sinker: +15.2%
Noah Syndergaard Cutter: -15.0%
Patrick Sandoval Slider: -14.1%
Chris Sale Slider: +13.1%
Jordan Lyles Changeup: +13.1%
Carlos Rodon 4-Seam Fastball: -13.0%
Aaron Nola 4-Seam Fastball: +13.0%
Dakota Hudson Slider: +12.9%
Gavin Williams 4-Seam Fastball: -12.9%
Noah Syndergaard Slider: +12.7%
Trevor Williams 4-Seam Fastball: -12.7%
Charlie Morton Cutter: +12.7%
Lucas Giolito Changeup: +12.5%
Adam Wainwright Sinker: -12.3%
JP Sears Slider: +12.3%
Jordan Lyles 4-Seam Fastball: -12.2%
Patrick Sandoval Sinker: +12.2%
Bryan Woo Cutter: +12.2%
Gavin Williams Slider: +12.1%
Pitchers - Recent Leaders
CSW% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Julio Urias - 77 TBF, 38.4% CSW%
Freddy Peralta - 69 TBF, 34.6% CSW%
Bobby Miller - 72 TBF, 34.6% CSW%
Spencer Strider - 99 TBF, 34.5% CSW%
Dylan Cease - 103 TBF, 34.2% CSW%
Kyle Bradish - 70 TBF, 34.2% CSW%
Charlie Morton - 96 TBF, 34.1% CSW%
Mitch Keller - 79 TBF, 34.0% CSW%
Tarik Skubal - 95 TBF, 33.8% CSW%
Tyler Glasnow - 72 TBF, 33.3% CSW%
K% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Freddy Peralta - 69 TBF, 37.7% K%
Cole Ragans - 95 TBF, 35.8% K%
Charlie Morton - 96 TBF, 34.4% K%
Spencer Strider - 99 TBF, 34.3% K%
Julio Urias - 77 TBF, 33.8% K%
Kyle Bradish - 70 TBF, 32.9% K%
Alec Marsh - 74 TBF, 32.4% K%
Mitch Keller - 79 TBF, 31.6% K%
Andrew Abbott - 79 TBF, 31.6% K%
Chris Sale - 80 TBF, 31.2% K%
K-BB% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Julio Urias - 77 TBF, 32.5% K-BB%
Kyle Bradish - 70 TBF, 28.6% K-BB%
Cole Ragans - 95 TBF, 28.4% K-BB%
Yusei Kikuchi - 68 TBF, 26.5% K-BB%
Justin Steele - 95 TBF, 26.3% K-BB%
Spencer Strider - 99 TBF, 26.3% K-BB%
Freddy Peralta - 69 TBF, 26.1% K-BB%
Mitch Keller - 79 TBF, 25.3% K-BB%
Gerrit Cole - 95 TBF, 24.2% K-BB%
Chris Sale - 80 TBF, 23.8% K-BB%
GB% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Logan Webb - 104 TBF, 60.2% GB%
Cristopher Sanchez - 94 TBF, 60.0% GB%
Bobby Miller - 72 TBF, 60.0% GB%
Pedro Avila - 75 TBF, 59.6% GB%
Dakota Hudson - 74 TBF, 57.4% GB%
Alex Cobb - 101 TBF, 57.1% GB%
Framber Valdez - 106 TBF, 56.6% GB%
Kyle Bradish - 70 TBF, 55.8% GB%
David Peterson - 69 TBF, 55.0% GB%
James Paxton - 72 TBF, 54.9% GB%
Magic Formula Qualifiers - Pitchers - Last 3 Weeks
Cole Ragans - 95 TBF, 35.8 K%, 7.4 BB%, 44.4% GB%
Garrett Whitlock - 52 TBF, 28.8 K%, 7.7 BB%, 43.8% GB%
Gerrit Cole - 95 TBF, 29.5 K%, 5.3 BB%, 45.2% GB%
Ian Hamilton - 54 TBF, 31.5 K%, 7.4 BB%, 61.3% GB%
Justin Steele - 95 TBF, 29.5 K%, 3.2 BB%, 46.0% GB%
Kyle Bradish - 70 TBF, 32.9 K%, 4.3 BB%, 55.8% GB%
Michael King - 55 TBF, 29.1 K%, 7.3 BB%, 48.6% GB%
Mitch Keller - 79 TBF, 31.6 K%, 6.3 BB%, 45.8% GB%
Robert Garcia - 57 TBF, 29.8 K%, 5.3 BB%, 47.2% GB%
Tarik Skubal - 95 TBF, 27.4 K%, 6.3 BB%, 54.8% GB%
Tristan Beck - 55 TBF, 27.3 K%, 7.3 BB%, 50.0% GB%
Hot Pitcher Tracker - Last 3 Weeks vs. Career
Mitch Keller - +6.3% CSW%, -2.1 BB%
Julio Urias - +7.9% CSW%, -3.9 BB%
Charlie Morton - +5.4% CSW%, -3.2 BB%
Jordan Montgomery - +2.7% CSW%, -2.1 BB%
Luis Severino - +2.6% CSW%, -2.1 BB%
Kyle Bradish - +5.9% CSW%, -3.5 BB%
Chris Flexen - +3.8% CSW%, -4.1 BB%
Aaron Civale - +6.6% CSW%, -4.2 BB%
Griffin Canning - +5.1% CSW%, -4.5 BB%
Adrian Houser - +8.0% CSW%, -5.9 BB%
Jhony Brito - +5.1% CSW%, -4.8 BB%
Jakob Junis - +2.3% CSW%, -1.9 BB%
Ryan Yarbrough - +6.1% CSW%, -2.2 BB%
Hitters
Multiple Barrels
Austin Riley (ATL) 5 PA, 10 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Jazz Chisholm (MIA) 5 PA, 8 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Hardest Hit Balls
Ronald Acuna Jr. (ATL) - 110.5mph - home_run
Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) - 110.3mph - field_out
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) - 109.7mph - single
Amed Rosario (LAD) - 107.5mph - field_out
Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) - 107.4mph - double
Michael Busch (LAD) - 107.2mph - home_run
Alex Call (WSH) - 107.2mph - field_out
Jesus Sanchez (MIA) - 107.0mph - single
Joc Pederson (SF) - 106.9mph - nan
Michael Harris II (ATL) - 106.9mph - home_run
Last 3 Weeks - wOBA vs. xwOBA Comparison
Top 10
Harrison Bader - 62 PA, 0.165 wOBA, 0.277 xwOBA, 0.112 Diff
Adley Rutschman - 78 PA, 0.284 wOBA, 0.381 xwOBA, 0.097 Diff
Alec Bohm - 76 PA, 0.312 wOBA, 0.408 xwOBA, 0.096 Diff
Jose Ramirez - 65 PA, 0.293 wOBA, 0.377 xwOBA, 0.084 Diff
Juan Soto - 87 PA, 0.302 wOBA, 0.382 xwOBA, 0.08 Diff
Ryan McMahon - 73 PA, 0.322 wOBA, 0.401 xwOBA, 0.079 Diff
Trent Grisham - 61 PA, 0.198 wOBA, 0.277 xwOBA, 0.079 Diff
Andruw Monasterio - 64 PA, 0.21 wOBA, 0.28 xwOBA, 0.07 Diff
Luis Arraez - 74 PA, 0.26 wOBA, 0.322 xwOBA, 0.062 Diff
Ronald Acuna Jr. - 94 PA, 0.394 wOBA, 0.455 xwOBA, 0.061 Diff
Bottom 10
Adam Duvall - 72 PA, 0.514 wOBA, 0.372 xwOBA, -0.142 Diff
Julio Rodriguez - 76 PA, 0.562 wOBA, 0.426 xwOBA, -0.136 Diff
Trea Turner - 76 PA, 0.497 wOBA, 0.371 xwOBA, -0.126 Diff
Mookie Betts - 76 PA, 0.599 wOBA, 0.479 xwOBA, -0.12 Diff
Anthony Santander - 61 PA, 0.427 wOBA, 0.308 xwOBA, -0.119 Diff
Bryce Harper - 71 PA, 0.57 wOBA, 0.455 xwOBA, -0.115 Diff
Josh Rojas - 57 PA, 0.42 wOBA, 0.309 xwOBA, -0.111 Diff
Kerry Carpenter - 75 PA, 0.462 wOBA, 0.355 xwOBA, -0.107 Diff
Nolan Jones - 73 PA, 0.368 wOBA, 0.264 xwOBA, -0.104 Diff
Ezequiel Duran - 68 PA, 0.342 wOBA, 0.249 xwOBA, -0.093 Diff
Last 3 Weeks - Brl% Leaders
Brandon Belt - 55 PA, 25 BIP, 6 Brls, 24.0 Brl%
Spencer Torkelson - 80 PA, 46 BIP, 11 Brls, 23.9 Brl%
D.J. Stewart - 60 PA, 35 BIP, 8 Brls, 22.9 Brl%
Kyle Schwarber - 78 PA, 41 BIP, 9 Brls, 22.0 Brl%
Daniel Vogelbach - 59 PA, 32 BIP, 7 Brls, 21.9 Brl%
Jorge Soler - 58 PA, 37 BIP, 8 Brls, 21.6 Brl%
Luis Robert - 58 PA, 38 BIP, 8 Brls, 21.1 Brl%
Bryce Harper - 71 PA, 48 BIP, 10 Brls, 20.8 Brl%
Shohei Ohtani - 72 PA, 44 BIP, 9 Brls, 20.5 Brl%
Marcell Ozuna - 84 PA, 61 BIP, 12 Brls, 19.7 Brl%
Last 3 Weeks - xwOBA Leaders
Marcell Ozuna - 84 PA, 0.5 xwOBA
Mookie Betts - 76 PA, 0.479 xwOBA
Ronald Acuna Jr. - 94 PA, 0.455 xwOBA
Bryce Harper - 71 PA, 0.455 xwOBA
Max Kepler - 63 PA, 0.435 xwOBA
Eddie Rosario - 64 PA, 0.432 xwOBA
Kyle Schwarber - 78 PA, 0.428 xwOBA
Julio Rodriguez - 76 PA, 0.426 xwOBA
D.J. Stewart - 60 PA, 0.42 xwOBA
Yordan Alvarez - 79 PA, 0.416 xwOBA
Last 3 Weeks - Contact% Leaders
Luis Arraez - 74 PA, 127 Swings, 90.6 Cont%
Ildemaro Vargas - 69 PA, 103 Swings, 90.3 Cont%
Ha-Seong Kim - 89 PA, 142 Swings, 89.4 Cont%
Steven Kwan - 71 PA, 140 Swings, 89.3 Cont%
Ty France - 84 PA, 138 Swings, 88.4 Cont%
Keibert Ruiz - 64 PA, 110 Swings, 88.2 Cont%
Tommy Edman - 74 PA, 118 Swings, 88.1 Cont%
Jeff McNeil - 87 PA, 171 Swings, 87.7 Cont%
Brice Turang - 63 PA, 109 Swings, 87.2 Cont%
Justin Turner - 70 PA, 124 Swings, 87.1 Cont%
Last 10 Days - SB Attempt Leaders
Ronald Acuna Jr. - 7 Attempts (6 steals)
Randy Arozarena - 6 Attempts (5 steals)
C.J. Abrams - 5 Attempts (5 steals)
Elly De La Cruz - 5 Attempts (4 steals)
Michael Harris II - 4 Attempts (3 steals)
Corbin Carroll - 4 Attempts (4 steals)
Jose Ramirez - 4 Attempts (4 steals)
Noelvi Marte - 4 Attempts (4 steals)
Esteury Ruiz - 4 Attempts (4 steals)
Shohei Ohtani - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
George Springer - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Jose Caballero - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Will Brennan - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Geraldo Perdomo - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Tommy Pham - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Tommy Edman - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Harrison Bader - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Gunnar Henderson - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Christian Yelich - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Francisco Lindor - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Matt McLain - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Kyle Tucker - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Rafael Ortega - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Ryan McKenna - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Dairon Blanco - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Dylan Moore - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Last 30 Days - SB Attempt Leaders
Julio Rodriguez - 15 Attempts (11 steals)
C.J. Abrams - 14 Attempts (13 steals)
Ronald Acuna Jr. - 13 Attempts (11 steals)
Randy Arozarena - 11 Attempts (8 steals)
Esteury Ruiz - 11 Attempts (10 steals)
Corbin Carroll - 10 Attempts (8 steals)
Nico Hoerner - 10 Attempts (8 steals)
Bobby Witt Jr. - 10 Attempts (9 steals)
Dairon Blanco - 10 Attempts (8 steals)
Ha-Seong Kim - 9 Attempts (7 steals)
Shohei Ohtani - 8 Attempts (6 steals)
TJ Friedl - 8 Attempts (7 steals)
Jose Caballero - 8 Attempts (7 steals)
Jose Ramirez - 8 Attempts (8 steals)
Elly De La Cruz - 8 Attempts (6 steals)
Francisco Lindor - 8 Attempts (7 steals)
Chris Taylor - 8 Attempts (7 steals)
Michael Harris II - 8 Attempts (7 steals)
Magic Formula Qualifiers - Hitters - Last 3 Weeks
Bryce Harper - 71 PA, 15.5 K%, 20.8 Brl%
Christian Walker - 81 PA, 18.5 K%, 16.4 Brl%
Eddie Rosario - 64 PA, 14.1 K%, 14.3 Brl%
Jorge Polanco - 73 PA, 19.2 K%, 17.0 Brl%
Julio Rodriguez - 76 PA, 15.8 K%, 15.0 Brl%
Kyle Tucker - 76 PA, 11.8 K%, 16.1 Brl%
Marcell Ozuna - 84 PA, 15.5 K%, 19.7 Brl%
Mitch Garver - 70 PA, 18.6 K%, 17.8 Brl%
Mookie Betts - 76 PA, 11.8 K%, 15.8 Brl%
Ronald Acuna Jr. - 94 PA, 8.5 K%, 14.5 Brl%
Sean Murphy - 47 PA, 17.0 K%, 17.2 Brl%
Trea Turner - 76 PA, 18.4 K%, 16.1 Brl%
Last 30 Days - xwOBA Improvers
Max Kepler - 97 PA, +0.121 xwOBA
Marcell Ozuna - 120 PA, +0.106 xwOBA
Eddie Rosario - 87 PA, +0.096 xwOBA
Mookie Betts - 121 PA, +0.095 xwOBA
Ty France - 114 PA, +0.09 xwOBA
James Outman - 98 PA, +0.082 xwOBA
Alec Bohm - 116 PA, +0.08 xwOBA
Bryce Harper - 113 PA, +0.079 xwOBA
Julio Rodriguez - 112 PA, +0.076 xwOBA
Ke'Bryan Hayes - 106 PA, +0.073 xwOBA
Last 30 Days - Brl% Improvers
Spencer Torkelson - 117 PA, +12.9 Brl%
Max Kepler - 97 PA, +8.6 Brl%
Bryce Harper - 113 PA, +8.3 Brl%
J.P. Crawford - 82 PA, +8.1 Brl%
Mookie Betts - 121 PA, +8.0 Brl%
Trea Turner - 117 PA, +7.6 Brl%
D.J. LeMahieu - 91 PA, +7.5 Brl%
Nolan Jones - 109 PA, +7.3 Brl%
Luis Robert - 88 PA, +6.6 Brl%
Gabriel Arias - 81 PA, +6.5 Brl%
Last 30 Days - Cont% Improvers
Kole Calhoun - 87 PA, +13.2 Cont%
Michael Massey - 106 PA, +12.2 Cont%
Brice Turang - 95 PA, +12.2 Cont%
Yainer Diaz - 92 PA, +9.8 Cont%
Mike Moustakas - 92 PA, +9.7 Cont%
Tyler O'Neill - 84 PA, +8.5 Cont%
Eloy Jimenez - 86 PA, +8.1 Cont%
Seiya Suzuki - 85 PA, +7.6 Cont%
Ronald Acuna Jr. - 138 PA, +7.4 Cont%
Cody Bellinger - 112 PA, +7.3 Cont%
Last 30 Days - K% Improvers
Kole Calhoun - 87 PA, -13.1 K%
Michael Massey - 106 PA, -11.5 K%
Brice Turang - 95 PA, -11.0 K%
Cody Bellinger - 112 PA, -10.9 K%
Jake Burger - 108 PA, -10.3 K%
Bobby Witt Jr. - 118 PA, -9.8 K%
Drew Waters - 83 PA, -9.6 K%
Ian Happ - 117 PA, -9.3 K%
Ronald Acuna Jr. - 138 PA, -8.9 K%
Alec Bohm - 116 PA, -8.7 K%
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