MLB Daily Notes - September 9th
A daily automated report of what happened yesterday in Major League Baseball, along with other recent trends and further analysis.
It is Monday morning, and I am now an award-winning NFL DFS writing bro (my daughter drew me a picture yesterday and there was a trophy on it - so I took that as an award for my great achievements in NFL DFS yesterday). That means that there are a lot of words to write today, and I am excited about it. But first, baseball!
Pitcher Review
I will cover the important points from Saturday and Sunday here, since I did not spend any time yesterday reviewing Saturday.
But I have to start with Jared Jones. Jared Jones. The man who made me look like a genius twice this year, and in different ways. First, I hyped him up all spring and got him on most of my readers’ fantasy teams just in time for him to be absolutely incredible for two months. And then I traded him for Pablo Lopez just before his season came to a fiery, disastrous halt. But he’s back now, and he had a fantastic outing yesterday about the Nationals.
7 IP, 4 H, 2 ER, 9 K, 0 BB, 16.3% SwStr%, 56.5% Strike%, 26.1% Ball%
The figure I like the most is that 26.1% Ball%.
We wrote last time about how good he was at not throwing balls in the first handful of starts and then how much that had gone the other way. But it came back yesterday and led to a beautiful 9:0 K:BB.
The most interesting thing about the start was the curveball. He threw it:
→ More (31.5%, up from 7.2%)
→ Harder (83.8mph, up from 80.4mph)
That pitch has been okay for him this year (50% Strike%, 41% Ball%, .285 xwOBA), but it was an afterthought until yesterday. He landed it for a strike 59% of the time yesterday and generated a 24.1% SwStr% on it.
I don’t know if it was just a one-day feel kind of thing or a conscious change. Given the bump in velocity, I’d guess it was on purpose, but we won’t know until next time. The fastball velocity was also up a tick, so he had it all going for him yesterday. This is very exciting for ME, since I have him back on my team as I head into the playoffs. He should be owned everywhere, in my opinion.
Andrew Heaney went for eight strikeouts against the Angels; he’ll face the Mariners in both of his next two starts, so he’s a good add for the playoff weeks if you’re in need.
He has a solid 14.6% SwStr%, 52% Strike%, and 33% Ball% on the year. His problem has long been efficiency, but the Rangers this year are willing to let him get up there with the pitch count. This has been his best fantasy season in a long time.
The Ryne Nelson run ended:
4.2 IP, 6 H, 5 ER, 4 K, 2 BB, 10.2% SwStr%, 47.7% Strike%
The Astros will do that to you sometimes. I never put trust in Nelson there, but I did have him “Leaning Start” yesterday, so … crap.
Edward Cabrera had one of those start where he didn’t throw a zillion balls, and that turned into a strong outing:
7 IP, 3 H< 0 R, 6 K, 1 BB, 14.4% SwStr%
He will do that like once a month; there’s no reason to pick him up.
Joe Musgrove got jacked up.
4.1 IP, 8 H, 6 ER, 7 K, 1 BB
That’s still a pretty sweet K:BB and he posted a good 51.4% Strike%. I’d still be starting him from here on out. He’s good.
I do not see many other potential action points for us on the pitching side. By now, you’re probably pretty set and just looking for streaming advice. If you have any specific questions, drop a comment - and I will get back to you.
Hitter Review
Top weekend point scorers (Friday-Sunday):
Horwitz 59
Norby 58
Altuve 57
Pavin Smith 54
E Suarez 53
Yordan 51
Machado 50
Otto Lopez 44
Deluca 44
Schwarber 41
McCray 40
VIentos 39
Semien 39
Crews 39
Walls 38
Plenty of surprising names there, but that’s baseball - anything can happen in a three-day span.
Spencer Horwitz this season:
.278/.361/.474, 12 HR, 9.7% Brl%, 17% K%, 81% Cont%
That’s a pretty darn impressive profile. He’s a great add for OBP leagues (10.2% BB%). He’s been even better since August began:
.281/.362/.553, 8 HR, 10.9% Brl%, 18% K%, 77% Cont%
He’s not a great raw-power bat (his 90th percentile EV is 102.2, and we’re looking for 105+ from true power bats), but he pulls the ball well enough (40%, that’s three points above the league average) and has a very good launch angle profile (94th-percentile sweet spot rate).
He’s a very useful infield addition right now.
We have talked about Connor Norby a few times recently. His line now with the Marlins:
78 PA, .329/.372/.671, 6 HR, 14% Brl%, 29.5% K%, 6.4% BB%, .351 xwOBA, .258 xBA
Impressive stats, no question about it. The .409 BABIP and lack of raw power (102.8 90th-percentile) have me on the sell-side of him, but he’s clearly an option if you’re looking for a bat for these next three weeks.
His teammate Otto Lopez also shows up above.
360 PA, .253/.293/.348, 4 HR, 5% Brl%, 17% K%, 79% Cont%, .313 xwOBA, 16 SB
He scores his fantasy points mostly with his legs, but he had a big weekend with seven hits and a homer.
For how bad the Marlins lineup has been this year, they sure have given us plenty of decent fantasy hitters along the way.
Jonny Deluca is a guy I really liked coming into this year as a deep-league bat. The Rays got him in the Glasnow trade, and his minor league numbers were striking. This season between injuries:
318 PA, .214/.278/.345, 21.7% K%, 7.2% BB%, 6 HR, 16 SB
He had a low 4.5% Brl% and a very weak 29% hard-hit rate, so there’s nothing to see here right now. A .409 BABIP and a 21% GB% have propelled him to a .690 SLG in September, but that’s just 30 PAs. He’s someone to watch for next year, but at age 26 - he’s probably not someone we’ll ever view as a must for fantasy purposes.
I think that will do it for today’s daily notes. I want to make these as useful as possible for the next three weeks, but I need to rely on the readers to help me with that. September is a different animal than the other months, so please let me know what kind of daily notes content you would find most useful as we try to bring home these championships.
Pitcher Reports
Algo SP Ranks - Yesterday
1. Jared Jones
2. Miles Mikolas
3. Freddy Peralta
4. Michael Wacha
5. Luis Severino
6. Andrew Heaney
7. Jack Flaherty
8. Julian Aguiar
9. Edward Cabrera
10. Luis Castillo
11. Joe Musgrove
12. Patrick Corbin
13. Gerrit Cole
14. Simeon Woods Richardson
15. Yariel Rodriguez
16. Kyle Freeland
17. Chris Sale
18. Ryne Nelson
19. Jameson Taillon
20. Chris Flexen
21. Spencer Bivens
22. Zack Littell
23. Tanner Bibee
24. Richard Fitts
25. Corbin Burnes
26. Seth Johnson
27. J.T. Ginn
28. Justin Verlander
Fantasy Points Leaders - Yesterday
1. Jared Jones (vs. WSH): 31.35 Points
2. Michael Wacha (vs. MIN): 30.75 Points
3. Jack Flaherty (vs. CLE): 30.09 Points
4. Edward Cabrera (vs. PHI): 29.35 Points
5. Chris Sale (vs. TOR): 25.7 Points
6. Gerrit Cole (vs. CHC): 25.1 Points
7. Andrew Heaney (vs. LAA): 25.1 Points
8. Luis Severino (vs. CIN): 24.81 Points
9. Kyle Freeland (vs. MIL): 23.7 Points
10. Ty Madden (vs. OAK): 23.65 Points
Whiffs Leaders - Yesterday
1. Freddy Peralta (MIL): 18 Whiffs (86 Pitches)
2. Michael Wacha (KC): 16 Whiffs (91 Pitches)
3. Patrick Corbin (WSH): 15 Whiffs (102 Pitches)
4. Jared Jones (PIT): 15 Whiffs (92 Pitches)
5. Luis Severino (NYM): 14 Whiffs (97 Pitches)
6. Jack Flaherty (LAD): 14 Whiffs (92 Pitches)
7. Andrew Heaney (TEX): 14 Whiffs (96 Pitches)
8. Ty Madden (DET): 14 Whiffs (83 Pitches)
9. Edward Cabrera (MIA): 14 Whiffs (97 Pitches)
10. Chris Flexen (CWS): 11 Whiffs (87 Pitches)
Strike% Leaders - Yesterday
1. Miles Mikolas (STL): 57.4 Strike%, 20.4 Ball%
2. Jared Jones (PIT): 56.5 Strike%, 26.1 Ball%
3. Ty Madden (DET): 54.2 Strike%, 30.1 Ball%
4. Luis Severino (NYM): 52.6 Strike%, 32.0 Ball%
5. Andrew Heaney (TEX): 52.1 Strike%, 33.3 Ball%
6. Kyle Freeland (COL): 51.7 Strike%, 28.1 Ball%
7. Gerrit Cole (NYY): 51.5 Strike%, 33.3 Ball%
8. Joe Musgrove (SD): 51.4 Strike%, 29.7 Ball%
9. Chris Sale (ATL): 51.3 Strike%, 37.2 Ball%
10. Zack Littell (TB): 49.4 Strike%, 32.1 Ball%
11. Steven Matz (STL): 48.2 Strike%, 35.7 Ball%
12. Ryne Nelson (ARI): 47.7 Strike%, 34.1 Ball%
13. Michael Wacha (KC): 47.3 Strike%, 36.3 Ball%
14. Tanner Bibee (CLE): 46.8 Strike%, 38.3 Ball%
15. Julian Aguiar (CIN): 46.7 Strike%, 37.8 Ball%
Pitches/Out (POUT) Leaders - Yesterday
1. Richard Fitts: 66 Pitches, 16 Outs, 4.12 POUT
2. Jack Flaherty: 92 Pitches, 22 Outs, 4.18 POUT
3. Jared Jones: 92 Pitches, 21 Outs, 4.38 POUT
4. Michael Wacha: 91 Pitches, 20 Outs, 4.55 POUT
5. Edward Cabrera: 97 Pitches, 21 Outs, 4.62 POUT
6. Spencer Bivens: 63 Pitches, 13 Outs, 4.85 POUT
7. Yariel Rodriguez: 73 Pitches, 15 Outs, 4.87 POUT
8. Kyle Freeland: 89 Pitches, 18 Outs, 4.94 POUT
9. Andrew Heaney: 96 Pitches, 18 Outs, 5.33 POUT
10. Simeon Woods Richardson: 70 Pitches, 13 Outs, 5.38 POUT
Velo Changes - Yesterday
Jared Jones's CU velo (29 pitches) UP 2.7mph to 83.8
Ryne Nelson's FC velo (13 pitches) UP 2.1mph to 90.8
Edward Cabrera's SL velo (12 pitches) UP 2.0mph to 90.7
Patrick Corbin's FC velo (40 pitches) UP 1.9mph to 87.4
Kyle Freeland's SL velo (11 pitches) UP 1.5mph to 86.6
Ryne Nelson's FF velo (56 pitches) UP 1.5mph to 96.3
Edward Cabrera's CH velo (22 pitches) UP 1.5mph to 94.4
Kyle Freeland's CH velo (21 pitches) UP 1.5mph to 86.4
Gerrit Cole's SL velo (10 pitches) DOWN -1.5mph to 87.5
Gerrit Cole's CU velo (21 pitches) DOWN -1.5mph to 81.3
Jameson Taillon's FC velo (26 pitches) DOWN -1.9mph to 85.7
Corbin Burnes's SL velo (13 pitches) DOWN -3.7mph to 83.2
Pitch Mix Changes - Yesterday
Edward Cabrera's FF usage (41.2%) up 13.8 points
Gerrit Cole's FC usage (21.2%) up 11.5 points
J.T. Ginn's CH usage (25.3%) up 10.2 points
Jameson Taillon's SI usage (22.7%) up 12.1 points
Jared Jones's CU usage (31.5%) up 23.0 points
Kyle Freeland's CH usage (23.6%) up 12.0 points
Luis Castillo's SI usage (30.5%) up 12.5 points
Luis Severino's ST usage (24.7%) up 15.2 points
Patrick Corbin's FC usage (39.2%) up 29.9 points
Simeon Woods Richardson's SL usage (45.7%) up 14.9 points
Spencer Bivens's FC usage (20.6%) up 16.1 points
Tanner Bibee's SL usage (37.2%) up 10.3 points
Pitch Mix Changes - Last 3 Starts
Yusei Kikuchi Slider: +22.9%
Edward Cabrera 4-Seam Fastball: +19.3%
Jameson Taillon Sinker: +18.9%
Ty Blach Sinker: -18.2%
Cooper Criswell Sweeper: -18.1%
Edward Cabrera Changeup: -17.7%
Ryan Feltner Slider: -17.3%
JP Sears 4-Seam Fastball: +16.2%
Kutter Crawford Cutter: +15.9%
JP Sears Sweeper: -14.1%
Hunter Brown Sinker: +14.1%
Luis Gil Slider: +13.9%
Logan Webb Sinker: +13.7%
Jack Kochanowicz Sinker: +13.6%
Albert Suarez 4-Seam Fastball: -13.5%
Yusei Kikuchi Curveball: -13.4%
Ryan Pepiot Slider: -13.1%
Jameson Taillon 4-Seam Fastball: -13.0%
Sean Manaea Sinker: +13.0%
Kyle Harrison Slurve: +12.8%
Kyle Freeland Changeup: +12.5%
Valente Bellozo Curveball: +12.3%
Bryan Woo 4-Seam Fastball: -12.2%
Osvaldo Bido 4-Seam Fastball: -12.2%
Walker Buehler Curveball: +12.1%
Albert Suarez Curveball: +12.1%
Bowden Francis Split-Finger: +12.0%
CSW% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Andrew Heaney - 65 TBF, 36.5% CSW%
Sean Manaea - 98 TBF, 35.0% CSW%
Joe Musgrove - 92 TBF, 34.1% CSW%
Michael King - 96 TBF, 33.5% CSW%
Tanner Houck - 98 TBF, 32.8% CSW%
Yusei Kikuchi - 99 TBF, 32.7% CSW%
Gavin Stone - 71 TBF, 32.7% CSW%
Griffin Canning - 68 TBF, 32.5% CSW%
Cristopher Sanchez - 80 TBF, 32.4% CSW%
Tarik Skubal - 73 TBF, 32.3% CSW%
K% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Reynaldo Lopez - 90 TBF, 37.8% K%
Logan Gilbert - 96 TBF, 37.5% K%
Andrew Heaney - 65 TBF, 36.9% K%
Zac Gallen - 68 TBF, 35.3% K%
Cole Ragans - 86 TBF, 34.9% K%
Sean Manaea - 98 TBF, 34.7% K%
Carlos Rodon - 70 TBF, 34.3% K%
Tarik Skubal - 73 TBF, 31.5% K%
Bowden Francis - 74 TBF, 31.1% K%
DJ Herz - 82 TBF, 30.5% K%
K-BB% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Logan Gilbert - 96 TBF, 33.3% K-BB%
Andrew Heaney - 65 TBF, 32.3% K-BB%
Reynaldo Lopez - 90 TBF, 32.2% K-BB%
Tarik Skubal - 73 TBF, 31.5% K-BB%
Sean Manaea - 98 TBF, 30.6% K-BB%
Carlos Rodon - 70 TBF, 27.1% K-BB%
Bowden Francis - 74 TBF, 27.0% K-BB%
Mitch Keller - 98 TBF, 26.5% K-BB%
Cristopher Sanchez - 80 TBF, 26.2% K-BB%
Zack Wheeler - 96 TBF, 26.0% K-BB%
GB% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Framber Valdez - 73 TBF, 69.8% GB%
Max Fried - 101 TBF, 63.4% GB%
Andre Pallante - 78 TBF, 62.1% GB%
Logan Webb - 103 TBF, 61.7% GB%
Pablo Lopez - 81 TBF, 61.4% GB%
Cristopher Sanchez - 80 TBF, 60.0% GB%
Brayan Bello - 75 TBF, 58.5% GB%
Jose Quintana - 96 TBF, 56.9% GB%
Tanner Houck - 98 TBF, 56.2% GB%
Jose Urena - 75 TBF, 55.9% GB%
Magic Formula Qualifiers - Pitchers - Last 3 Weeks
Chris Bassitt - 78 TBF, 28.2 K%, 6.4 BB%, 44.9% GB%
Cristopher Sanchez - 80 TBF, 28.8 K%, 2.5 BB%, 60.0% GB%
David Festa - 58 TBF, 32.8 K%, 6.9 BB%, 45.7% GB%
Gavin Stone - 71 TBF, 29.6 K%, 7.0 BB%, 53.3% GB%
Justin Steele - 47 TBF, 34.0 K%, 4.3 BB%, 58.6% GB%
MacKenzie Gore - 70 TBF, 27.1 K%, 2.9 BB%, 47.9% GB%
Nathan Eovaldi - 77 TBF, 27.3 K%, 7.8 BB%, 48.0% GB%
Patrick Corbin - 99 TBF, 27.3 K%, 6.1 BB%, 49.2% GB%
Ranger Suarez - 56 TBF, 28.6 K%, 7.1 BB%, 61.1% GB%
Reynaldo Lopez - 90 TBF, 37.8 K%, 5.6 BB%, 45.1% GB%
Tarik Skubal - 73 TBF, 31.5 K%, 0.0 BB%, 44.0% GB%
Yusei Kikuchi - 99 TBF, 29.3 K%, 4.0 BB%, 48.5% GB%
SIERA vs. ERA Comp, Last 30 Days
Unluckiest
Taj Bradley: 9.12 ERA, 4.17 SIERA
Brandon Pfaadt: 6.91 ERA, 3.27 SIERA
Zebby Matthews: 7.36 ERA, 3.81 SIERA
Garrett Crochet: 5.4 ERA, 1.9 SIERA
Mitchell Parker: 7.33 ERA, 4.0 SIERA
Miles Mikolas: 6.94 ERA, 3.64 SIERA
Jake Irvin: 7.0 ERA, 4.62 SIERA
Chris Bassitt: 6.0 ERA, 3.65 SIERA
George Kirby: 6.23 ERA, 4.12 SIERA
Max Meyer: 6.67 ERA, 4.6 SIERA
Luckiest
David Peterson: 1.6 ERA, 3.96 SIERA
Beau Brieske: 2.57 ERA, 4.88 SIERA
Hunter Brown: 1.16 ERA, 3.46 SIERA
Valente Bellozo: 4.33 ERA, 6.62 SIERA
Freddy Peralta: 3.0 ERA, 5.27 SIERA
Jack Kochanowicz: 2.84 ERA, 4.95 SIERA
Gerrit Cole: 1.31 ERA, 3.37 SIERA
Pablo Lopez: 1.35 ERA, 3.32 SIERA
Jose Berrios: 1.6 ERA, 3.52 SIERA
Javier Assad: 2.79 ERA, 4.67 SIERA
Hot Pitcher Tracker - Last 3 Weeks vs. Career
Sean Manaea - +6.6% CSW%, -4.0 BB%
Mitch Keller - +2.3% CSW%, -5.0 BB%
Reynaldo Lopez - +2.7% CSW%, -2.4 BB%
Cristopher Sanchez - +3.0% CSW%, -3.0 BB%
Yusei Kikuchi - +3.1% CSW%, -3.9 BB%
Bowden Francis - +2.3% CSW%, -1.6 BB%
Sonny Gray - +2.0% CSW%, -2.8 BB%
Bryan Woo - +3.5% CSW%, -5.2 BB%
Osvaldo Bido - +2.5% CSW%, -2.4 BB%
MacKenzie Gore - +4.3% CSW%, -6.9 BB%
Taj Bradley - +4.5% CSW%, -3.9 BB%
Andrew Heaney - +7.0% CSW%, -2.9 BB%
Jose Urena - +2.6% CSW%, -2.5 BB%
Justin Steele - +6.3% CSW%, -2.5 BB%
Jakob Junis - +2.0% CSW%, -2.9 BB%
Joe Ross - +4.6% CSW%, -5.0 BB%
Hitter Reports
Multiple Barrels
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 4 PA, 10 Swings, 2 Barrels, 0 HR
Connor Norby (MIA) 4 PA, 6 Swings, 2 Barrels, 2 HR
Pavin Smith (ARI) 5 PA, 7 Swings, 3 Barrels, 3 HR
Trey Sweeney (DET) 5 PA, 8 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
New Max Launch Velos
Pavin Smith, Yesterday: 112.1 Previous High: 110.7
Hardest Hit Balls
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) - 116.7mph - home_run
Pavin Smith (ARI) - 112.1mph - home_run
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) - 111.9mph - double
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) - 111.6mph - single
Rafael Devers (BOS) - 111.2mph - field_out
Eugenio Suarez (ARI) - 111.0mph - home_run
Wilyer Abreu (BOS) - 110.9mph - field_out
Jerar Encarnacion (SF) - 110.6mph - home_run
Joey Bart (PIT) - 110.5mph - home_run
Brandon Nimmo (NYM) - 110.5mph - nan
Last 3 Weeks - wOBA vs. xwOBA Comparison
Top 10
Rafael Devers - 66 PA, 0.2 wOBA, 0.32 xwOBA, 0.12 Diff
Giancarlo Stanton - 67 PA, 0.332 wOBA, 0.439 xwOBA, 0.107 Diff
Rhys Hoskins - 66 PA, 0.238 wOBA, 0.342 xwOBA, 0.104 Diff
Logan O'Hoppe - 56 PA, 0.2 wOBA, 0.298 xwOBA, 0.098 Diff
Jorge Polanco - 61 PA, 0.217 wOBA, 0.297 xwOBA, 0.08 Diff
Michael Conforto - 64 PA, 0.294 wOBA, 0.372 xwOBA, 0.078 Diff
Michael Harris II - 78 PA, 0.254 wOBA, 0.329 xwOBA, 0.075 Diff
Jake Burger - 72 PA, 0.271 wOBA, 0.345 xwOBA, 0.074 Diff
Jorge Soler - 55 PA, 0.226 wOBA, 0.299 xwOBA, 0.073 Diff
Steven Kwan - 83 PA, 0.214 wOBA, 0.281 xwOBA, 0.067 Diff
Bottom 10
Tyler Stephenson - 66 PA, 0.426 wOBA, 0.304 xwOBA, -0.122 Diff
Geraldo Perdomo - 81 PA, 0.371 wOBA, 0.268 xwOBA, -0.103 Diff
Connor Norby - 78 PA, 0.442 wOBA, 0.351 xwOBA, -0.091 Diff
Lane Thomas - 57 PA, 0.357 wOBA, 0.267 xwOBA, -0.09 Diff
Ty France - 68 PA, 0.389 wOBA, 0.3 xwOBA, -0.089 Diff
Pete Crow-Armstrong - 71 PA, 0.404 wOBA, 0.324 xwOBA, -0.08 Diff
Randy Arozarena - 76 PA, 0.363 wOBA, 0.285 xwOBA, -0.078 Diff
Jonny DeLuca - 64 PA, 0.402 wOBA, 0.327 xwOBA, -0.075 Diff
Brent Rooker - 87 PA, 0.433 wOBA, 0.359 xwOBA, -0.074 Diff
Eugenio Suarez - 82 PA, 0.456 wOBA, 0.388 xwOBA, -0.068 Diff
Last 3 Weeks - Brl% Leaders
Giancarlo Stanton - 67 PA, 39 BIP, 15 Brls, 38.5 Brl%
Kyle Schwarber - 89 PA, 47 BIP, 11 Brls, 23.4 Brl%
J.D. Martinez - 56 PA, 30 BIP, 7 Brls, 23.3 Brl%
Shohei Ohtani - 77 PA, 52 BIP, 12 Brls, 23.1 Brl%
Jhonkensy Noel - 56 PA, 32 BIP, 7 Brls, 21.9 Brl%
Kerry Carpenter - 62 PA, 33 BIP, 7 Brls, 21.2 Brl%
Jose Siri - 49 PA, 24 BIP, 5 Brls, 20.8 Brl%
Taylor Ward - 81 PA, 54 BIP, 11 Brls, 20.4 Brl%
Paul DeJong - 57 PA, 30 BIP, 6 Brls, 20.0 Brl%
Francisco Lindor - 84 PA, 61 BIP, 12 Brls, 19.7 Brl%
Last 3 Weeks - xwOBA Leaders
Yordan Alvarez - 72 PA, 0.482 xwOBA
Aaron Judge - 76 PA, 0.463 xwOBA
Jackson Merrill - 77 PA, 0.45 xwOBA
Giancarlo Stanton - 67 PA, 0.439 xwOBA
Jesus Sanchez - 55 PA, 0.438 xwOBA
Francisco Lindor - 84 PA, 0.427 xwOBA
Lawrence Butler - 86 PA, 0.425 xwOBA
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. - 46 PA, 0.424 xwOBA
William Contreras - 76 PA, 0.419 xwOBA
Mookie Betts - 71 PA, 0.411 xwOBA
Last 3 Weeks - Contact% Leaders
Luis Arraez - 83 PA, 159 Swings, 95.6 Cont%
Matt Vierling - 69 PA, 99 Swings, 90.9 Cont%
Sal Frelick - 50 PA, 100 Swings, 90.0 Cont%
Masataka Yoshida - 62 PA, 117 Swings, 89.7 Cont%
Nick Fortes - 46 PA, 77 Swings, 89.6 Cont%
TJ Friedl - 75 PA, 124 Swings, 89.5 Cont%
Geraldo Perdomo - 81 PA, 141 Swings, 89.4 Cont%
Xander Bogaerts - 79 PA, 142 Swings, 88.7 Cont%
Jonah Bride - 73 PA, 122 Swings, 88.5 Cont%
Yandy Diaz - 69 PA, 112 Swings, 88.4 Cont%
Last 10 Days - SB Attempt Leaders
Jazz Chisholm Jr. - 6 Attempts (6 steals)
Zach Neto - 6 Attempts (6 steals)
Josh Lowe - 5 Attempts (5 steals)
Dylan Crews - 5 Attempts (4 steals)
Jose Ramirez - 5 Attempts (3 steals)
Corbin Carroll - 5 Attempts (5 steals)
Jonny Deluca - 4 Attempts (3 steals)
Jesus Sanchez - 4 Attempts (3 steals)
Willy Adames - 4 Attempts (4 steals)
Shohei Ohtani - 4 Attempts (4 steals)
Brice Turang - 4 Attempts (4 steals)
Blake Perkins - 4 Attempts (3 steals)
Andres Gimenez - 4 Attempts (3 steals)
Isiah Kiner-Falefa - 4 Attempts (3 steals)
Gunnar Henderson - 4 Attempts (3 steals)
Nico Hoerner - 4 Attempts (2 steals)
Lars Nootbaar - 4 Attempts (2 steals)
Last 30 Days - SB Attempt Leaders
Jose Ramirez - 14 Attempts (10 steals)
Shohei Ohtani - 13 Attempts (13 steals)
Josh Lowe - 12 Attempts (12 steals)
Xavier Edwards - 12 Attempts (12 steals)
Andres Gimenez - 11 Attempts (10 steals)
Jonny Deluca - 11 Attempts (8 steals)
Dylan Moore - 10 Attempts (9 steals)
Oneil Cruz - 10 Attempts (10 steals)
Nico Hoerner - 10 Attempts (8 steals)
C.J. Abrams - 10 Attempts (8 steals)
Zach Neto - 10 Attempts (9 steals)
Jazz Chisholm Jr. - 10 Attempts (10 steals)
Magic Formula Qualifiers - Hitters - Last 3 Weeks
Bobby Witt Jr. - 85 PA, 14.1 K%, 16.7 Brl%
Corbin Carroll - 90 PA, 20.0 K%, 14.5 Brl%
Jackson Merrill - 77 PA, 14.3 K%, 19.4 Brl%
Juan Soto - 80 PA, 20.0 K%, 17.0 Brl%
Lawrence Butler - 86 PA, 9.3 K%, 17.6 Brl%
Matt Olson - 79 PA, 16.5 K%, 15.0 Brl%
Spencer Horwitz - 69 PA, 13.0 K%, 15.1 Brl%
Yordan Alvarez - 72 PA, 15.3 K%, 18.2 Brl%
Last 30 Days - xwOBA Improvers
Michael Toglia - 115 PA, +0.109 xwOBA
Cedric Mullins II - 84 PA, +0.098 xwOBA
Francisco Lindor - 125 PA, +0.085 xwOBA
Jackson Chourio - 114 PA, +0.084 xwOBA
Bobby Witt Jr. - 120 PA, +0.083 xwOBA
Jackson Merrill - 109 PA, +0.082 xwOBA
William Contreras - 114 PA, +0.081 xwOBA
Corbin Carroll - 127 PA, +0.079 xwOBA
Giancarlo Stanton - 96 PA, +0.077 xwOBA
Jake Burger - 108 PA, +0.068 xwOBA
Last 30 Days - Brl% Improvers
Giancarlo Stanton - 96 PA, +13.8 Brl%
Kerry Carpenter - 82 PA, +10.9 Brl%
Francisco Lindor - 125 PA, +8.6 Brl%
Corbin Carroll - 127 PA, +8.6 Brl%
Jackson Merrill - 109 PA, +8.4 Brl%
Jackson Chourio - 114 PA, +7.7 Brl%
Wyatt Langford - 107 PA, +7.0 Brl%
Alex Bregman - 82 PA, +7.0 Brl%
George Springer - 105 PA, +6.7 Brl%
Riley Greene - 81 PA, +6.6 Brl%
Last 30 Days - Cont% Improvers
Lawrence Butler - 116 PA, +13.3 Cont%
Bryce Harper - 113 PA, +10.5 Cont%
Shea Langeliers - 100 PA, +10.0 Cont%
Eugenio Suarez - 119 PA, +8.7 Cont%
Jacob Young - 95 PA, +8.4 Cont%
Cedric Mullins II - 84 PA, +8.4 Cont%
Jonny DeLuca - 98 PA, +7.3 Cont%
Matt Vierling - 94 PA, +7.3 Cont%
Lenyn Sosa - 86 PA, +6.9 Cont%
Jorge Soler - 82 PA, +6.7 Cont%
Last 30 Days - K% Improvers
Lawrence Butler - 116 PA, -14.2 K%
Cody Bellinger - 115 PA, -10.9 K%
Michael Busch - 94 PA, -10.3 K%
Eugenio Suarez - 119 PA, -10.2 K%
Cedric Mullins II - 84 PA, -10.0 K%
Gio Urshela - 84 PA, -9.6 K%
Oneil Cruz - 115 PA, -9.5 K%
Jonny DeLuca - 98 PA, -9.4 K%
Matt Vierling - 94 PA, -9.3 K%
Matt Olson - 124 PA, -9.0 K%
Hot Hitter Tracker - Last 7 vs. Career
Andrew Benintendi - +11.3% Contact%, +4.9 mph exit velo, -4.8 Chase%
Xander Bogaerts - +9.0% Contact%, +5.3 mph exit velo, -4.7 Chase%
Jeremy Pena - +5.1% Contact%, +3.8 mph exit velo, -3.4 Chase%
Josh Bell - +4.1% Contact%, +8.7 mph exit velo, -11.9 Chase%
Jared Triolo - +7.8% Contact%, +5.9 mph exit velo, -3.7 Chase%
Jurickson Profar - +3.2% Contact%, +6.0 mph exit velo, -4.9 Chase%
Super Ultra Mega Hot Hitters - Last 15 Days
Andrew Benintendi - 0.408 xwOBA, 11.1% Brl%, 83.3% Contact%, 18.4% Chase%, 15.1% K%
Juan Soto - 0.437 xwOBA, 21.1% Brl%, 83.0% Contact%, 19.8% Chase%, 20.7% K%
Lawrence Butler - 0.473 xwOBA, 22.6% Brl%, 85.2% Contact%, 21.5% Chase%, 11.1% K%
Manny Machado - 0.417 xwOBA, 12.0% Brl%, 81.2% Contact%, 20.0% Chase%, 9.8% K%
Mookie Betts - 0.431 xwOBA, 10.0% Brl%, 80.5% Contact%, 22.0% Chase%, 13.2% K%
Wyatt Langford - 0.395 xwOBA, 17.1% Brl%, 78.9% Contact%, 18.9% Chase%, 20.0% K%
Cold Hitters - Last 2 Weeks
David Peralta - 32.1% Whiff%, 84.0% Weak%, 0.896 Cold Rating
Trevor Larnach - 36.8% Whiff%, 70.0% Weak%, 0.876 Cold Rating
Colton Cowser - 38.4% Whiff%, 69.6% Weak%, 0.875 Cold Rating
Daz Cameron - 30.8% Whiff%, 81.0% Weak%, 0.867 Cold Rating
Jackson Holliday - 38.8% Whiff%, 67.9% Weak%, 0.863 Cold Rating
Triston Casas - 33.8% Whiff%, 72.0% Weak%, 0.861 Cold Rating
Orlando Arcia - 34.8% Whiff%, 70.0% Weak%, 0.85 Cold Rating
Jose Caballero - 30.5% Whiff%, 77.8% Weak%, 0.845 Cold Rating
Rafael Devers - 36.9% Whiff%, 67.7% Weak%, 0.844 Cold Rating
Travis d'Arnaud - 39.3% Whiff%, 66.7% Weak%, 0.842 Cold Rating
Minor League Reports
Top Minor League Hitting Performances - Yesterday
Bobby Seymour (TB): 3/5, 3R, 3HR, 8RBI, 0SB, 52FPts
Josh Palacios (PIT): 3/3, 3R, 1HR, 5RBI, 0SB, 38FPts
Niko Goodrum (BAL): 3/5, 2R, 2HR, 5RBI, 0SB, 37FPts
Yordys Valdes (CLE): 3/3, 3R, 1HR, 2RBI, 1SB, 35FPts
Chandler Simpson (TB): 3/4, 3R, 0HR, 0RBI, 3SB, 32FPts
Brayden Taylor (TB): 3/4, 1R, 1HR, 5RBI, 0SB, 32FPts
Michael Perez (ARI): 3/5, 2R, 2HR, 2RBI, 0SB, 31FPts
Brett Sullivan (SD): 3/5, 3R, 1HR, 1RBI, 0SB, 31FPts
BJ Murray Jr. (CHC): 1/3, 3R, 0HR, 0RBI, 3SB, 30FPts
Joey Meneses (WSH): 3/5, 3R, 1HR, 2RBI, 0SB, 30FPts
Top Minor League Pitching Performances - Yesterday
Chad Patrick (MIL): 0 Pitches, 6IP, 1H, 0ER, 8K, 1BB, 32FPts
Jonathan Pintaro (NYM): 0 Pitches, 6IP, 2H, 0ER, 7K, 1BB, 29FPts
Blas Castano (SEA): 0 Pitches, 6IP, 2H, 2ER, 8K, 1BB, 27FPts
Antonio Santos (CHC): 0 Pitches, 5IP, 3H, 0ER, 6K, 1BB, 24FPts
Chase Solesky (WSH): 0 Pitches, 6IP, 2H, 2ER, 7K, 1BB, 21FPts
Cam Schlittler (NYY): 0 Pitches, 4IP, 6H, 1ER, 9K, 1BB, 21FPts
Riley Thompson (CHC): 0 Pitches, 6IP, 8H, 2ER, 8K, 0BB, 20FPts
James Hicks (HOU): 0 Pitches, 4IP, 1H, 0ER, 6K, 1BB, 19FPts
Kohl Drake (TEX): 0 Pitches, 5IP, 1H, 1ER, 6K, 2BB, 19FPts
C.J. Culpepper (MIN): 0 Pitches, 4IP, 2H, 0ER, 6K, 1BB, 19FPts
AA-AAA OPS Leaders
Keston Hiura (AAA - LAA) 364 PA 0.943 OPS
Deyvison De Los Santos (AAA - MIA) 532 PA 0.938 OPS
Jason Vosler (AAA - SEA) 484 PA 0.934 OPS
Edwin Rios (AAA - CIN) 372 PA 0.917 OPS
Colby Thomas (AAA - OAK) 519 PA 0.906 OPS
Willie MacIver (AAA - COL) 369 PA 0.904 OPS
Cooper Hummel (AAA - HOU) 395 PA 0.901 OPS
Pedro Leon (AAA - HOU) 498 PA 0.9 OPS
Eguy Rosario (AAA - SD) 365 PA 0.896 OPS
Johnathan Rodriguez (AAA - CLE) 455 PA 0.895 OPS
Jordan Diaz (AAA - OAK) 436 PA 0.891 OPS
Dalton Rushing (AAA - LAD) 451 PA 0.888 OPS
Gustavo Campero (AAA - LAA) 410 PA 0.885 OPS
Luke Ritter (AAA - NYM) 517 PA 0.881 OPS
Roman Anthony (AAA - BOS) 486 PA 0.88 OPS
Carlos Perez - 542208 (AAA - OAK) 415 PA 0.879 OPS
Ryan Noda (AAA - OAK) 447 PA 0.877 OPS
Jamie Westbrook (AAA - BOS) 368 PA 0.876 OPS
Matt Koperniak (AAA - STL) 471 PA 0.871 OPS
Trenton Brooks (AAA - SF) 365 PA 0.871 OPS
AA-AAA Pitching K-BB% Leaders
Thomas Harrington (AAA - PIT) 102 IP 22.3% K-BB
Shane Smith (AAA - MIL) 90 IP 22.1% K-BB
Brandon Young (AAA - BAL) 100 IP 21.9% K-BB
Bubba Chandler (AAA - PIT) 108 IP 21.5% K-BB
Ian Seymour (AAA - TB) 134 IP 21.4% K-BB
Yilber Diaz (AAA - ARI) 104 IP 21.3% K-BB
Noah Cameron (AAA - KC) 118 IP 21.2% K-BB
Troy Melton (AA - DET) 100 IP 20.7% K-BB
Robinson Pina (AAA - PHI) 119 IP 19.8% K-BB
Mason Barnett (AA - OAK) 126 IP 19.6% K-BB
Aaron Brown - 676345 (AAA - HOU) 101 IP 19.6% K-BB
Will Warren (AAA - NYY) 99 IP 19.3% K-BB
Chayce McDermott (AAA - BAL) 97 IP 19.3% K-BB
Isaac Coffey (AA - BOS) 108 IP 19.1% K-BB
Drew Parrish (AA - ATL) 111 IP 18.9% K-BB
Tyler Stuart (AAA - WSH) 122 IP 18.8% K-BB
Brett Kerry (AA - LAA) 138 IP 18.6% K-BB
Brandon Birdsell (AAA - CHC) 123 IP 18.5% K-BB
Carson Ragsdale (AAA - SF) 114 IP 18.4% K-BB
Lachlan Wells (A - PHI) 91 IP 18.2% K-BB
Schedules & Streamers
Toughest Upcoming Hitter Schedules - Next 7 Days
BAL - 114.3 Opposing SP Stuff+
TEX - 109.7 Opposing SP Stuff+
KC - 109.0 Opposing SP Stuff+
SD - 107.3 Opposing SP Stuff+
SEA - 107.3 Opposing SP Stuff+
Softest Upcoming Hitter Schedules - Next 7 Days
ARI - 88.4 Opposing SP Stuff+
STL - 88.5 Opposing SP Stuff+
CWS - 88.6 Opposing SP Stuff+
MIN - 90.4 Opposing SP Stuff+
SF - 91.3 Opposing SP Stuff+
Today's SP Streamer Picks
David Festa (16.0% Owned): Projected 4.84IP 2.18ER 5.6SO 1.55BB 15.5FPts
Reid Detmers (11.0% Owned): Projected 5.76IP 2.74ER 5.58SO 2.23BB 14.66FPts
Nick Martinez (18.0% Owned): Projected 5.33IP 2.57ER 5.13SO 1.06BB 13.93FPts
OPS Leaders - Last 2 Weeks - LOW OWNED HITTERS
Spencer Horwitz - 31 PA, 1.415 OPS
Seth Brown - 35 PA, 1.067 OPS
Lars Nootbaar - 35 PA, 1.057 OPS
Luke Raley - 28 PA, 1.049 OPS
Nick Fortes - 26 PA, 1.045 OPS
Brayan Rocchio - 27 PA, 1.016 OPS
Mickey Moniak - 30 PA, 0.979 OPS
Ty France - 41 PA, 0.965 OPS
Victor Robles - 34 PA, 0.941 OPS
Rowdy Tellez - 26 PA, 0.93 OPS
Today's Hitter Streamer Picks
Ryan Jeffers C (41.0% Owned): Projected 0.79R 0.19HR 0.56RBI 1.16SO 0.46BB 0.04SB 8.7FPts
Rob Refsnyder RF (1.0% Owned): Projected 0.7R 0.11HR 0.71RBI 0.95SO 0.46BB 0.06SB 8.56FPts
Tommy Pham LF (4.0% Owned): Projected 0.65R 0.14HR 0.47RBI 1.17SO 0.5BB 0.12SB 8.16FPts
Austin Wells C (33.0% Owned): Projected 0.6R 0.17HR 0.76RBI 0.74SO 0.45BB 0.04SB 8.14FPts
Ryan O'Hearn 1B (30.0% Owned): Projected 0.62R 0.11HR 0.65RBI 0.66SO 0.36BB 0.04SB 8.05FPts
Carlos Santana 1B (19.0% Owned): Projected 0.56R 0.14HR 0.66RBI 0.84SO 0.55BB 0.05SB 7.94FPts
Romy Gonzalez SS (0.0% Owned): Projected 0.58R 0.15HR 0.65RBI 1.15SO 0.17BB 0.15SB 7.89FPts
Spencer Horwitz 1B (12.0% Owned): Projected 0.55R 0.14HR 0.57RBI 0.71SO 0.46BB 0.04SB 7.83FPts
Andrew McCutchen LF (6.0% Owned): Projected 0.55R 0.15HR 0.67RBI 0.94SO 0.57BB 0.05SB 7.8FPts
Brooks Lee SS (10.0% Owned): Projected 0.53R 0.14HR 0.57RBI 0.71SO 0.31BB 0.06SB 7.65FPts
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