MLB Daily Notes: Sunday, June 26
Introduction / Explanations for New Readers
The playground is standing up, and I can say that I’m quite enjoying putting it together. Even for a prissy computer boy who writes scripts and reads books in my free time, there’s something so fulfilling and enjoyable about building stuff and working with your hands.
I say all of this until my kids climb on it this week for the first time and it immediately falls apart, killing the entire neighborhood.
Cristian Javier holy cow! 115 pitches, 20 whiffs, no hits, 13 strikeouts, one walk! And good for those two relievers finishing the job for him.
He is still just a two-pitch guy, as you can see here:
That naturally results in some of the bad starts that we’ve seen from him this year, but both of those pitches were working well yesterday. Not a single one of his 30 sliders was put into play.
Full year pitch arsenal breakdown:
The other standout pitcher (to me at least) was Max Fried, who has really ramped up the strikeouts in recent outings.
He had an elite 19% SwStr% yesterday, striking out nine Dodgers. His K% is 27.6% in June, and that hasn’t cost at the expense of the walk rate at all as that mark is 3.9% for the month and 3.7% for the year.
He now has the 16th best K-BB% ratio among qualified SPs. I’ve always been hesitant to hold him as a fantasy ace, but I think he’s probably there now.
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This Isaac Paredes dude keeps hitting the ball, making it seem like that three-homer game a couple of weeks ago might not have been a total fluke. This month he’s hitting .255/.345/.702 with a 9.3% Brl%, a 9.1% K%, and 85% contact%, and seven dingers.
The barrel rate isn’t really one that will ever result in a seven-homer month, so of course, there’s plenty of randomness here. But for the year he’s got a barrel rate above 8% and a contact rate above 80% - putting him in pretty good company.
Only ten hitters this year meet that criteria (Brl% over 8%, Contact% over 80%). They are (ordered by barrel rate)
Will Smith
Brandon Drury
Alejandro Kirk
Mookie Betts
Josh Naylor
Isaac Paredes
Jose Altuve
Anthony Rendon
Tim Anderson
Abraham Toro
One other thing before we go: Blake Snell is terrible and I’m dropping him for Hunter Greene today in my home league, that is unless stupid ass Clint sees this and picks Greene back up before I can get to him (I have to wait until lock for our transaction counter to reset).
Dear Stupid Ass Clint,
Please don’t snipe me on Hunter Greene this morning. We’ve been through a lot, man, do me a solid here. I’m sorry for calling you stupid ass… twice.
Sincerely,
Jon
Okay I’ve gotta go to church and then try to finish this playground, here we go with the notes! Projections are running all day - enjoy your Sundays, friends!
CSW% Leaders - Yesterday
1. Corbin Burnes (MIL): 17.1 SwStr%, 37.1 CSW%
2. Max Fried (ATL): 18.9 SwStr%, 35.8 CSW%
3. Josiah Gray (WSH): 18.1 SwStr%, 35.1 CSW%
4. Corey Kluber (TB): 17.5 SwStr%, 34.9 CSW%
5. Max Castillo (TOR): 14.5 SwStr%, 34.8 CSW%
6. Gerrit Cole (NYY): 17.9 SwStr%, 33.0 CSW%
7. Josh Winckowski (BOS): 6.5 SwStr%, 32.5 CSW%
8. Chris Archer (MIN): 10.3 SwStr%, 32.1 CSW%
9. Miles Mikolas (STL): 10.4 SwStr%, 31.2 CSW%
10. Lance Lynn (CWS): 21.1 SwStr%, 31.2 CSW%
Top Pitcher JA Scores - Yesterday
1. Cristian Javier - 7.0 IP - 107.0 JA Points
2. Max Fried - 6.67 IP - 89.0 JA Points
3. Josiah Gray - 7.0 IP - 77.25 JA Points
4. Corbin Burnes - 7.67 IP - 67.25 JA Points
5. Miles Mikolas - 6.0 IP - 67.0 JA Points
6. Lance Lynn - 6.67 IP - 66.75 JA Points
7. Gerrit Cole - 7.0 IP - 62.5 JA Points
8. JT Brubaker - 5.67 IP - 54.0 JA Points
9. Logan Webb - 6.0 IP - 48.75 JA Points
10. Blake Snell - 5.67 IP - 48.0 JA Points
Pitcher JA Scores - Season
1. Corbin Burnes (MIL) - 15 GS - 55.71 JA Points
2. Dylan Cease (CWS) - 14 GS - 53.89 JA Points
3. Shane McClanahan (TB) - 14 GS - 53.79 JA Points
4. Spencer Strider (ATL) - 5 GS - 52.32 JA Points
5. Freddy Peralta (MIL) - 8 GS - 49.99 JA Points
6. Gerrit Cole (NYY) - 15 GS - 48.15 JA Points
7. Shohei Ohtani (LAA) - 12 GS - 47.24 JA Points
8. Carlos Rodon (SF) - 14 GS - 46.82 JA Points
9. Aaron Ashby (MIL) - 8 GS - 46.64 JA Points
10. Max Scherzer (NYM) - 8 GS - 46.36 JA Points
Velo Changes - Yesterday
Blake Snell's CU velo (24 pitches) UP 2.6mph to 82.3
Alex Faedo's FF velo (44 pitches) UP 1.8mph to 94.4
Antonio Senzatela's SL velo (31 pitches) UP 1.6mph to 87.3
Blake Snell's SL velo (19 pitches) UP 1.6mph to 90.3
Gerrit Cole's CH velo (10 pitches) UP 1.6mph to 91.3
Gerrit Cole's SL velo (17 pitches) UP 1.5mph to 89.6
Spenser Watkins's FF velo (28 pitches) DOWN -1.5mph to 90.6
Spenser Watkins's SL velo (17 pitches) DOWN -1.5mph to 77.6
Spenser Watkins's CU velo (10 pitches) DOWN -1.8mph to 75.8
Yusei Kikuchi's SL velo (27 pitches) DOWN -3.8mph to 83.5
Pitch Mix Changes - Yesterday
Adrian Sampson's FF usage (51.2%) up 25.5 points
Blake Snell's CU usage (25.5%) up 12.7 points
Brad Keller's SL usage (45.2%) up 10.2 points
Chris Bassitt's SI usage (43.3%) up 13.7 points
Corbin Burnes's SL usage (21.9%) up 11.9 points
Corey Kluber's CH usage (22.2%) up 12.8 points
Jared Koenig's FF usage (19.3%) up 12.4 points
Lance Lynn's FF usage (56.9%) up 25.3 points
Mike Minor's FF usage (58.3%) up 15.6 points
Miles Mikolas's FF usage (30.2%) up 10.2 points
CSW% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Charlie Morton - 100 TBF, 38.3% CSW%
Luis Garcia - 92 TBF, 37.0% CSW%
Shane Bieber - 97 TBF, 35.1% CSW%
Corbin Burnes - 99 TBF, 34.8% CSW%
Joe Musgrove - 75 TBF, 34.7% CSW%
Julio Urias - 89 TBF, 34.1% CSW%
Carlos Rodon - 93 TBF, 33.5% CSW%
Shohei Ohtani - 76 TBF, 32.6% CSW%
Gerrit Cole - 92 TBF, 32.5% CSW%
Jon Gray - 98 TBF, 32.3% CSW%
K% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Charlie Morton - 100 TBF, 40.0% K%
Corbin Burnes - 99 TBF, 35.4% K%
Carlos Rodon - 93 TBF, 33.3% K%
Shohei Ohtani - 76 TBF, 32.9% K%
Luis Garcia - 92 TBF, 32.6% K%
Gerrit Cole - 92 TBF, 32.6% K%
Julio Urias - 89 TBF, 32.6% K%
Cristian Javier - 90 TBF, 32.2% K%
Max Fried - 100 TBF, 31.0% K%
Tyler Mahle - 85 TBF, 30.6% K%
K-BB% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Charlie Morton - 100 TBF, 36.0% K-BB%
Luis Garcia - 92 TBF, 29.3% K-BB%
Corbin Burnes - 99 TBF, 27.3% K-BB%
Tyler Mahle - 85 TBF, 27.1% K-BB%
Max Fried - 100 TBF, 27.0% K-BB%
Shohei Ohtani - 76 TBF, 26.3% K-BB%
Carlos Rodon - 93 TBF, 25.8% K-BB%
Aaron Nola - 110 TBF, 25.5% K-BB%
Julio Urias - 89 TBF, 24.7% K-BB%
Gerrit Cole - 92 TBF, 23.9% K-BB%
GB% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Framber Valdez - 99 TBF, 73.0% GB%
Andre Pallante - 79 TBF, 63.3% GB%
Ranger Suarez - 102 TBF, 62.8% GB%
Sandy Alcantara - 121 TBF, 60.6% GB%
Justin Steele - 104 TBF, 60.2% GB%
Mitch Keller - 92 TBF, 59.1% GB%
Joe Musgrove - 75 TBF, 58.5% GB%
Dakota Hudson - 96 TBF, 57.7% GB%
Alex Wood - 81 TBF, 57.6% GB%
Chris Bassitt - 97 TBF, 55.4% GB%
Magic Formula Qualifiers - Pitchers - Last 3 Weeks
Carlos Rodon - 93 TBF, 33.3 K%, 7.5 BB%, 45.5% GB%
Charlie Morton - 100 TBF, 40.0 K%, 4.0 BB%, 50.9% GB%
Chris Bassitt - 97 TBF, 27.8 K%, 5.2 BB%, 55.4% GB%
Max Fried - 100 TBF, 31.0 K%, 4.0 BB%, 50.8% GB%
Shohei Ohtani - 76 TBF, 32.9 K%, 6.6 BB%, 47.8% GB%
Taijuan Walker - 98 TBF, 28.6 K%, 6.1 BB%, 51.6% GB%
Zack Wheeler - 67 TBF, 28.4 K%, 4.5 BB%, 57.8% GB%
Hot Pitcher Tracker - Last 3 Weeks vs. Career
Miles Mikolas - +3.4% CSW%, -1.6 BB%
Zach Davies - +2.7% CSW%, -4.2 BB%
Taijuan Walker - +2.7% CSW%, -1.9 BB%
Luis Garcia - +6.4% CSW%, -4.1 BB%
Charlie Morton - +8.1% CSW%, -6.2 BB%
Patrick Sandoval - +2.2% CSW%, -1.8 BB%
Shane McClanahan - +2.6% CSW%, -2.0 BB%
Kyle Hendricks - +3.1% CSW%, -2.0 BB%
Dylan Cease - +2.5% CSW%, -1.5 BB%
Trent Thornton - +5.3% CSW%, -4.2 BB%
David Peterson - +2.6% CSW%, -1.8 BB%
Multiple Barrels
Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) 3 PA, 8 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Kurt Suzuki (LAA) 4 PA, 10 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Pete Alonso (NYM) 4 PA, 8 Swings, 2 Barrels, 2 HR
Shohei Ohtani (LAA) 4 PA, 8 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Top Hitter JA Scores - Yesterday
1. Isaac Paredes - 5.0 PA - 57.0 JA Points
2. Jose Altuve - 5.0 PA - 56.0 JA Points
3. Jorge Mateo - 4.0 PA - 53.0 JA Points
4. Pete Alonso - 4.0 PA - 51.0 JA Points
5. Bryan De La Cruz - 3.0 PA - 46.0 JA Points
6. Matt Chapman - 4.0 PA - 42.0 JA Points
7. Cal Raleigh - 5.0 PA - 42.0 JA Points
8. Max Kepler - 4.0 PA - 40.0 JA Points
9. Randy Arozarena - 5.0 PA - 39.0 JA Points
10. J.T. Realmuto - 4.0 PA - 37.0 JA Points
Hitter JA Scores - Season
1. Yordan Alvarez (HOU) - 267.0 PA - 146.67 JA Points
2. Alejandro Kirk (TOR) - 227.0 PA - 133.04 JA Points
3. Aaron Judge (NYY) - 301.0 PA - 131.03 JA Points
4. Paul Goldschmidt (STL) - 307.0 PA - 118.31 JA Points
5. Jose Ramirez (CLE) - 280.0 PA - 116.43 JA Points
6. Luis Arraez (MIN) - 257.0 PA - 113.15 JA Points
7. Kyle Tucker (HOU) - 266.0 PA - 109.62 JA Points
8. Will Smith (LAD) - 238.0 PA - 108.74 JA Points
9. Juan Soto (WSH) - 313.0 PA - 107.99 JA Points
10. Taylor Ward (LAA) - 212.0 PA - 107.92 JA Points
Hardest Hit Balls
Shohei Ohtani (LAA) - 118.0mph - home_run
Starling Marte (NYM) - 113.3mph - single
Aaron Judge (NYY) - 112.9mph - force_out
Michael Harris II (ATL) - 112.7mph - double
Joey Gallo (NYY) - 112.4mph - field_out
Jack Suwinski (PIT) - 112.4mph - home_run
Ketel Marte (ARI) - 112.1mph - nan
Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) - 111.0mph - home_run
Rafael Devers (BOS) - 110.9mph - single
Luis Robert (CWS) - 110.9mph - double
Last 3 Weeks - Brl% Leaders
Joey Gallo - 55 PA, 24 BIP, 7 Brls, 29.2 Brl%
Mike Trout - 64 PA, 37 BIP, 10 Brls, 27.0 Brl%
Jazz Chisholm - 72 PA, 37 BIP, 9 Brls, 24.3 Brl%
Christian Bethancourt - 53 PA, 37 BIP, 9 Brls, 24.3 Brl%
Ryan Mountcastle - 78 PA, 54 BIP, 13 Brls, 24.1 Brl%
Aaron Judge - 82 PA, 55 BIP, 13 Brls, 23.6 Brl%
Luke Voit - 91 PA, 51 BIP, 12 Brls, 23.5 Brl%
Adam Duvall - 68 PA, 36 BIP, 8 Brls, 22.2 Brl%
Shohei Ohtani - 78 PA, 53 BIP, 11 Brls, 20.8 Brl%
Gary Sanchez - 59 PA, 39 BIP, 8 Brls, 20.5 Brl%
Last 3 Weeks - Contact% Leaders
Luis Arraez - 75 PA, 138 Swings, 91.3 Cont%
J.P. Crawford - 83 PA, 142 Swings, 90.1 Cont%
Isiah Kiner-Falefa - 58 PA, 91 Swings, 90.1 Cont%
Nico Hoerner - 70 PA, 117 Swings, 89.7 Cont%
Adam Frazier - 70 PA, 130 Swings, 89.2 Cont%
Keibert Ruiz - 61 PA, 124 Swings, 88.7 Cont%
Alex Bregman - 79 PA, 105 Swings, 88.6 Cont%
Steven Kwan - 66 PA, 101 Swings, 88.1 Cont%
Yandy Diaz - 70 PA, 126 Swings, 87.3 Cont%
Jose Ramirez - 73 PA, 138 Swings, 87.0 Cont%
Magic Formula Qualifiers - Hitters - Last 3 Weeks
Alejandro Kirk - 70 PA, 12.9 K%, 16.3 Brl%
Jorge Alfaro - 54 PA, 18.5 K%, 16.7 Brl%
Josh Bell - 76 PA, 17.1 K%, 17.3 Brl%
Matt Olson - 80 PA, 20.0 K%, 15.5 Brl%
Rafael Devers - 73 PA, 13.7 K%, 16.3 Brl%
Ronald Acuna Jr. - 81 PA, 19.8 K%, 19.3 Brl%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. - 88 PA, 15.9 K%, 16.1 Brl%
Will Smith - 77 PA, 10.4 K%, 15.4 Brl%
Yordan Alvarez - 72 PA, 16.7 K%, 19.6 Brl%
Hot Hitter Tracker - Last 7 vs. Career
Andrew Benintendi - +13.2% Contact%, +3.4 mph exit velo, -13.7 Chase%
Brendan Rodgers - +9.1% Contact%, +9.4 mph exit velo, -6.8 Chase%
Daniel Vogelbach - +8.5% Contact%, +4.5 mph exit velo, -3.3 Chase%
Rafael Devers - +8.4% Contact%, +5.7 mph exit velo, -17.6 Chase%
Austin Nola - +6.4% Contact%, +8.2 mph exit velo, -4.4 Chase%
Tim Anderson - +11.4% Contact%, +3.1 mph exit velo, -3.4 Chase%
Cold Hitters - Last 2 Weeks
George Springer - 44.0% Whiff%, 73.9% Weak%, 0.957 Cold Rating
Max Stassi - 37.3% Whiff%, 77.3% Weak%, 0.957 Cold Rating
Ezequiel Duran - 34.2% Whiff%, 80.0% Weak%, 0.939 Cold Rating
Gary Sanchez - 32.8% Whiff%, 73.9% Weak%, 0.881 Cold Rating
Jake Burger - 36.6% Whiff%, 69.6% Weak%, 0.874 Cold Rating
Alek Thomas - 31.8% Whiff%, 72.2% Weak%, 0.842 Cold Rating
Evan Longoria - 35.7% Whiff%, 68.0% Weak%, 0.841 Cold Rating
Eduardo Escobar - 32.6% Whiff%, 70.8% Weak%, 0.835 Cold Rating
Randy Arozarena - 37.2% Whiff%, 66.7% Weak%, 0.829 Cold Rating
Michael Chavis - 29.2% Whiff%, 74.3% Weak%, 0.823 Cold Rating
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