MLB Daily Notes: Thursday, September 1
Introduction / Explanation For New Readers
Dipped my toes in the Fantasy Football advice business yesterday, I was mostly going #ForTheLulz, so check that out if you missed it.
Hey look, Jacob deGrom is at the top of all of the lists. He cost $11,500 against the league’s best offense and put up 33 DraftKings points, striking out nine and walking one over seven innings while giving up a single run. I wonder what this guy should actually cost in DFS. How much better is he than the second-best pitcher in the league?
So far he’s averaged 29.96 DraftKings points per game, the second-best in the league is Max Scherzer at 25.14. I’m not sure if this will be the appropriate way to do it, 29.96 is 19% more than 25.14 - so you could say that deGrom should cost 19% more than Scherzer. Max daddy is usually around $10,500 - so if we take $10,500 * 1.19 we get $12,500. So I guess $11,500 was actually too cheap for this man. It will be fun to see what he costs next time out.
Lance Lynn is also BACK. He had a nifty 18.7% SwStr% with a 33% CSW% and 8 strikeouts to ZERO walks. Joe Musgrove also had one of his better efforts, striking out 11 Giants. Kyle Wright and Patrick Sandoval also looked sharp.
The worst pitchers on the day were Kris Bubic, Mike Minor, Martin Perez, Luke Farrell, and Jordan Lyles.
deGrom and company couldn’t touch MIKE BAUMANN or CARSON SEYMOUR, who both struck out 13 batters. Here are the top pitching efforts from all professional levels last night.
I mean where else do you get useless data like this!?
Gunnar Henderson wasted no time in the bigs, cranking a banger and adding another hit while not striking out.
Shohei Ohtani hit a three-run bomb last night, his 30th of the year. That gives me a reason to talk about him. I decided to see where he ranks in total DraftKings points scored on both side of the ball.
Hitting: 1,144 DraftKings points, 9th most in the league
Pitching: 486 DraftKings points, 15th most in the league
So you could say that he’s currently a top-ten hitter and a top-twenty pitcher at the same damn time! He has done that pitching thing while only starting 21 games, the league leaders are at 27 now. His 4.05 DK/IP is second-most for pitchers with 100+ IP this year. Incredible.
August is over, so let’s hit some August leaders and then get to the rest of the stuff.
Top August Hitters - JA Ranks
Soto
Bregman
Goldschmidt
Arenado
Nootbaar
Muncy
Judge
N Lowe
Diaz
Tellez
Betts
Machado
Murphy
Altuve
Walker
Rutschman
Santander
Lindor
Acuna Jr.
Realmuto
Top OPS of August
Arenado 1.134
Bregman 1.133
Goldschmidt 1.15
N Lowe 1.094
Betts 1.081
Judge 1.063
Walker 1.032
Ohtani 1.028
Arozarena 1.023
Machado 1.001
Harris II .989
Nootbaar .979
Murphy .975
McNeil .973
Jimenez .961
Worst Hitters of August
J Pena
Baez
Wendle
Greene
O Cruz
L Taveras
G Perdomo
Y Gurriel
Torres
Allen
Yastrzemski
A Rosario
V Reyes
MA Taylor
France
Top Pitchers of August - JA Ranks
deGrom
Strider
Heaney
Steele
Snell
Lynn
Rodon
Nola
Morton
Ray
Scherzer
Springs
Urias
Castillo
Gausman
Brubaker
Javier
Cole
Cabrera
Bieber
Top K-BB% of August
deGrom 40.6%
Heaney 31.7%
Strider 29.0%
Snell 28.9%
Steele 28.2%
Morton 27.9%
Lynn 27.5%
Verlander 26.7%
Gausman 26.4%
Kirby 25.8%
Nola 25.4%
Castillo 24.6%
Bieber 24.2%
Ray 24.2%
Gallen 23.9%
Worst Pitchers of August
K Thompson
Corbin
Freeland
Davidson
Urena
Winckowski
Ragans
Gilbert
T Alexander
Oller
Bumgarner
Davies
Bubic
Kaprielian
Hutchison
Sears
Bundy
CSW% Leaders - Yesterday
1. Jacob deGrom (NYM): 26.9 SwStr%, 44.1 CSW%
2. Patrick Sandoval (LAA): 20.7 SwStr%, 40.2 CSW%
3. Jovani Moran (MIN): 25.0 SwStr%, 38.5 CSW%
4. Bailey Falter (PHI): 13.3 SwStr%, 36.1 CSW%
5. Ryan Feltner (COL): 11.5 SwStr%, 34.4 CSW%
6. Tyler Anderson (LAD): 8.6 SwStr%, 33.3 CSW%
7. Lance Lynn (CWS): 18.7 SwStr%, 33.0 CSW%
8. Drew Rasmussen (TB): 19.4 SwStr%, 31.9 CSW%
9. Joe Musgrove (SD): 14.3 SwStr%, 31.6 CSW%
10. Mitch White (TOR): 15.2 SwStr%, 31.5 CSW%
Top Pitcher JA Scores - Yesterday
1. Jacob deGrom - 7.0 IP - 82.25 JA Points
2. Lance Lynn - 7.0 IP - 78.0 JA Points
3. Joe Musgrove - 6.67 IP - 71.0 JA Points
4. Patrick Sandoval - 7.0 IP - 60.75 JA Points
5. Jovani Moran - 3.0 IP - 56.25 JA Points
6. Cristian Javier - 5.0 IP - 54.25 JA Points
7. Joe Ryan - 5.0 IP - 51.75 JA Points
8. Freddy Peralta - 5.0 IP - 47.75 JA Points
9. Kyle Wright - 7.0 IP - 45.75 JA Points
10. Michael Wacha - 6.0 IP - 44.0 JA Points
Pitcher JA Scores - Season
1. Spencer Strider (ATL) - 16.0 GS - 55.78 JA Points
2. Shane McClanahan (TB) - 24.0 GS - 51.93 JA Points
3. Corbin Burnes (MIL) - 26.0 GS - 51.66 JA Points
4. Shohei Ohtani (LAA) - 22.0 GS - 50.86 JA Points
5. Dylan Cease (CWS) - 26.0 GS - 49.14 JA Points
6. Carlos Rodon (SF) - 26.0 GS - 48.08 JA Points
7. Gerrit Cole (NYY) - 27.0 GS - 47.51 JA Points
8. Max Scherzer (NYM) - 19.0 GS - 47.14 JA Points
9. Blake Snell (SD) - 18.0 GS - 45.64 JA Points
10. Cristian Javier (HOU) - 20.0 GS - 45.34 JA Points
Velo Changes - Yesterday
Joe Ryan's SL velo (23 pitches) UP 2.3mph to 84.2
Kris Bubic's CU velo (22 pitches) UP 2.0mph to 81.0
Anibal Sanchez's CH velo (21 pitches) UP 1.8mph to 82.2
Patrick Sandoval's FF velo (18 pitches) UP 1.5mph to 94.4
Freddy Peralta's CU velo (23 pitches) DOWN -2.3mph to 73.8
Freddy Peralta's FF velo (39 pitches) DOWN -2.4mph to 90.3
Pitch Mix Changes - Yesterday
Bailey Falter's FF usage (42.2%) up 21.9 points
Freddy Peralta's CU usage (31.1%) up 17.0 points
James Kaprielian's FF usage (67.4%) up 13.2 points
Jordan Lyles's CU usage (32.3%) up 20.5 points
Kyle Wright's SI usage (40.6%) up 18.9 points
Marco Gonzales's FF usage (51.2%) up 15.1 points
Martin Perez's FC usage (36.2%) up 11.8 points
Ryan Feltner's SI usage (27.1%) up 12.6 points
Tyler Anderson's FC usage (33.3%) up 12.0 points
CSW% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Nick Lodolo - 100 TBF, 43.0% CSW%
Drew Smyly - 92 TBF, 42.1% CSW%
Jacob deGrom - 92 TBF, 38.6% CSW%
Andrew Heaney - 81 TBF, 36.3% CSW%
Aaron Nola - 110 TBF, 35.7% CSW%
JT Brubaker - 72 TBF, 35.0% CSW%
Bailey Falter - 69 TBF, 33.6% CSW%
Jakob Junis - 73 TBF, 33.6% CSW%
Patrick Sandoval - 101 TBF, 33.5% CSW%
Charlie Morton - 72 TBF, 33.4% CSW%
K% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Andrew Heaney - 81 TBF, 40.7% K%
Jacob deGrom - 92 TBF, 40.2% K%
Charlie Morton - 72 TBF, 37.5% K%
Robbie Ray - 71 TBF, 33.8% K%
Zac Gallen - 93 TBF, 33.3% K%
Blake Snell - 88 TBF, 33.0% K%
Carlos Rodon - 93 TBF, 32.3% K%
Cristian Javier - 79 TBF, 31.6% K%
Luis Castillo - 76 TBF, 31.6% K%
Lance Lynn - 93 TBF, 31.2% K%
K-BB% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Andrew Heaney - 81 TBF, 38.3% K-BB%
Jacob deGrom - 92 TBF, 38.0% K-BB%
Charlie Morton - 72 TBF, 29.2% K-BB%
Lance Lynn - 93 TBF, 29.0% K-BB%
Drew Rasmussen - 92 TBF, 28.3% K-BB%
Robbie Ray - 71 TBF, 28.2% K-BB%
Aaron Nola - 110 TBF, 28.2% K-BB%
Zac Gallen - 93 TBF, 28.0% K-BB%
Luis Castillo - 76 TBF, 27.6% K-BB%
Blake Snell - 88 TBF, 27.3% K-BB%
GB% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Shane McClanahan - 76 TBF, 68.1% GB%
Framber Valdez - 112 TBF, 67.1% GB%
Logan Webb - 98 TBF, 65.2% GB%
Marcus Stroman - 98 TBF, 64.9% GB%
Alex Cobb - 73 TBF, 64.2% GB%
Max Fried - 76 TBF, 63.8% GB%
Ranger Suarez - 96 TBF, 60.0% GB%
Dakota Hudson - 92 TBF, 60.0% GB%
JT Brubaker - 72 TBF, 59.6% GB%
Shane Bieber - 80 TBF, 58.6% GB%
Magic Formula Qualifiers - Pitchers - Last 3 Weeks
Aaron Ashby - 45 TBF, 28.9 K%, 4.4 BB%, 66.7% GB%
David Peterson - 46 TBF, 28.3 K%, 4.3 BB%, 45.2% GB%
George Kirby - 95 TBF, 27.4 K%, 3.2 BB%, 55.4% GB%
JT Brubaker - 72 TBF, 29.2 K%, 4.2 BB%, 59.6% GB%
Jeffrey Springs - 68 TBF, 27.9 K%, 7.4 BB%, 56.8% GB%
Jordan Montgomery - 97 TBF, 27.8 K%, 3.1 BB%, 48.5% GB%
Kyle Wright - 75 TBF, 28.0 K%, 5.3 BB%, 56.0% GB%
Lance Lynn - 93 TBF, 31.2 K%, 2.2 BB%, 45.8% GB%
Luis Castillo - 76 TBF, 31.6 K%, 3.9 BB%, 53.2% GB%
Ross Stripling - 70 TBF, 27.1 K%, 1.4 BB%, 54.0% GB%
Zac Gallen - 93 TBF, 33.3 K%, 5.4 BB%, 52.6% GB%
Hot Pitcher Tracker - Last 3 Weeks vs. Career
Aaron Nola - +3.0% CSW%, -2.9 BB%
Patrick Sandoval - +2.9% CSW%, -2.7 BB%
Michael Wacha - +3.1% CSW%, -1.7 BB%
Lance Lynn - +4.7% CSW%, -3.9 BB%
Zac Gallen - +3.6% CSW%, -2.7 BB%
Matt Manning - +4.4% CSW%, -4.4 BB%
Spenser Watkins - +2.6% CSW%, -3.2 BB%
Andrew Heaney - +5.9% CSW%, -4.4 BB%
Kyle Gibson - +2.2% CSW%, -2.5 BB%
Jakob Junis - +3.3% CSW%, -5.3 BB%
Luis Castillo - +2.3% CSW%, -4.1 BB%
Dean Kremer - +3.0% CSW%, -4.1 BB%
Ross Stripling - +4.7% CSW%, -4.7 BB%
Bailey Falter - +3.3% CSW%, -2.1 BB%
Chase De Jong - +7.8% CSW%, -3.2 BB%
JT Brubaker - +5.0% CSW%, -5.8 BB%
Jason Alexander - +2.5% CSW%, -2.6 BB%
Multiple Barrels
Seiya Suzuki (CHC) 4 PA, 7 Swings, 2 Barrels, 0 HR
Shohei Ohtani (LAA) 4 PA, 8 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Top Hitter JA Scores - Yesterday
1. Nathaniel Lowe - 4.0 PA - 59.0 JA Points
2. Lars Nootbaar - 3.0 PA - 53.0 JA Points
3. Tyler O'Neill - 6.0 PA - 52.0 JA Points
4. Teoscar Hernandez - 4.0 PA - 50.0 JA Points
5. Luis Arraez - 5.0 PA - 49.0 JA Points
6. Jose Altuve - 5.0 PA - 49.0 JA Points
7. Yandy Diaz - 4.0 PA - 44.0 JA Points
8. Paul Goldschmidt - 6.0 PA - 44.0 JA Points
9. Rhys Hoskins - 7.0 PA - 40.0 JA Points
10. C.J. Abrams - 4.0 PA - 38.0 JA Points
Hitter JA Scores - Season
1. Aaron Judge (NYY) - 549.0 PA - 136.61 JA Points
2. Juan Soto (SD) - 537.0 PA - 136.09 JA Points
3. Yordan Alvarez (HOU) - 445.0 PA - 135.46 JA Points
4. Paul Goldschmidt (STL) - 542.0 PA - 111.29 JA Points
5. Freddie Freeman (LAD) - 570.0 PA - 110.81 JA Points
6. Alejandro Kirk (TOR) - 435.0 PA - 105.75 JA Points
7. Bryce Harper (PHI) - 295.0 PA - 104.95 JA Points
8. Yandy Diaz (TB) - 482.0 PA - 103.32 JA Points
9. Alex Bregman (HOU) - 534.0 PA - 99.48 JA Points
10. Will Smith (LAD) - 460.0 PA - 94.78 JA Points
Hardest Hit Balls
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) - 118.4mph - single
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) - 116.0mph - foul
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) - 113.0mph - field_out
Xander Bogaerts (BOS) - 113.0mph - home_run
Harold Ramirez (TB) - 111.8mph - single
Ronald Acuna Jr. (ATL) - 111.4mph - home_run
George Springer (TOR) - 111.2mph - field_out
Trey Mancini (HOU) - 110.9mph - single
Dermis Garcia (OAK) - 110.6mph - home_run
Rafael Ortega (CHC) - 110.4mph - foul
Last 3 Weeks - Brl% Leaders
Michael Massey - 65 PA, 38 BIP, 8 Brls, 21.1 Brl%
Shohei Ohtani - 74 PA, 43 BIP, 9 Brls, 20.9 Brl%
Luke Voit - 59 PA, 35 BIP, 7 Brls, 20.0 Brl%
Nick Pratto - 54 PA, 30 BIP, 6 Brls, 20.0 Brl%
Eugenio Suarez - 67 PA, 36 BIP, 7 Brls, 19.4 Brl%
Keston Hiura - 47 PA, 26 BIP, 5 Brls, 19.2 Brl%
Matt Olson - 83 PA, 65 BIP, 12 Brls, 18.5 Brl%
Teoscar Hernandez - 66 PA, 34 BIP, 6 Brls, 17.6 Brl%
Aaron Judge - 78 PA, 40 BIP, 7 Brls, 17.5 Brl%
Emmanuel Rivera - 69 PA, 46 BIP, 8 Brls, 17.4 Brl%
Last 3 Weeks - xwOBA Leaders
Nathaniel Lowe - 81 PA, 0.461 xwOBA
Albert Pujols - 57 PA, 0.434 xwOBA
Matt Olson - 83 PA, 0.431 xwOBA
Aaron Judge - 78 PA, 0.427 xwOBA
Sean Murphy - 74 PA, 0.426 xwOBA
Yandy Diaz - 77 PA, 0.417 xwOBA
Juan Soto - 70 PA, 0.415 xwOBA
Alex Bregman - 81 PA, 0.414 xwOBA
Michael Harris II - 75 PA, 0.41 xwOBA
Jose Altuve - 77 PA, 0.407 xwOBA
Last 3 Weeks - Contact% Leaders
Luis Arraez - 80 PA, 132 Swings, 93.9 Cont%
Nick Madrigal - 72 PA, 128 Swings, 93.8 Cont%
Isaac Paredes - 50 PA, 83 Swings, 90.4 Cont%
Jose Iglesias - 64 PA, 112 Swings, 90.2 Cont%
Steven Kwan - 81 PA, 121 Swings, 90.1 Cont%
Ildemaro Vargas - 61 PA, 105 Swings, 89.5 Cont%
Brendan Donovan - 64 PA, 94 Swings, 89.4 Cont%
Tony Kemp - 74 PA, 128 Swings, 88.3 Cont%
J.P. Crawford - 56 PA, 100 Swings, 88.0 Cont%
Mark Canha - 56 PA, 92 Swings, 88.0 Cont%
Magic Formula Qualifiers - Hitters - Last 3 Weeks
Albert Pujols - 57 PA, 15.8 K%, 16.3 Brl%
Emmanuel Rivera - 69 PA, 17.4 K%, 17.4 Brl%
Jose Altuve - 77 PA, 16.9 K%, 15.1 Brl%
Juan Soto - 70 PA, 14.3 K%, 15.9 Brl%
Matt Olson - 83 PA, 14.5 K%, 18.5 Brl%
Mookie Betts - 78 PA, 15.4 K%, 15.8 Brl%
Nathaniel Lowe - 81 PA, 17.3 K%, 16.7 Brl%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. - 85 PA, 10.6 K%, 16.7 Brl%
Hot Hitter Tracker - Last 7 vs. Career
Bo Bichette - +5.4% Contact%, +3.1 mph exit velo, -8.4 Chase%
Seiya Suzuki - +6.2% Contact%, +3.5 mph exit velo, -5.6 Chase%
Manny Machado - +9.3% Contact%, +5.7 mph exit velo, -5.5 Chase%
Hunter Renfroe - +7.9% Contact%, +3.5 mph exit velo, -4.0 Chase%
Josh Bell - +7.4% Contact%, +5.3 mph exit velo, -14.8 Chase%
Ha-Seong Kim - +5.8% Contact%, +7.0 mph exit velo, -3.1 Chase%
Brian Anderson - +10.7% Contact%, +3.1 mph exit velo, -7.7 Chase%
Eugenio Suarez - +9.7% Contact%, +5.7 mph exit velo, -9.1 Chase%
Nelson Cruz - +3.2% Contact%, +3.9 mph exit velo, -3.7 Chase%
William Contreras - +5.1% Contact%, +10.4 mph exit velo, -3.1 Chase%
Super Ultra Mega Hot Hitters - Last 15 Days
Corey Seager - 0.419 xwOBA, 13.3% Brl%, 80.2% Contact%, 21.6% Chase%, 10.5% K%
Josh Bell - 0.389 xwOBA, 14.7% Brl%, 79.3% Contact%, 17.9% Chase%, 18.5% K%
Lars Nootbaar - 0.396 xwOBA, 15.2% Brl%, 81.3% Contact%, 18.7% Chase%, 12.7% K%
Manny Machado - 0.402 xwOBA, 13.6% Brl%, 79.1% Contact%, 21.1% Chase%, 16.1% K%
Matt Olson - 0.418 xwOBA, 15.9% Brl%, 79.2% Contact%, 25.0% Chase%, 12.5% K%
Sean Murphy - 0.408 xwOBA, 12.8% Brl%, 78.8% Contact%, 24.4% Chase%, 16.1% K%
Seiya Suzuki - 0.408 xwOBA, 14.0% Brl%, 83.8% Contact%, 20.3% Chase%, 15.5% K%
Cold Hitters - Last 2 Weeks
Paul DeJong - 40.8% Whiff%, 82.4% Weak%, 0.993 Cold Rating
Javier Baez - 39.4% Whiff%, 75.0% Weak%, 0.957 Cold Rating
P.J. Higgins - 35.6% Whiff%, 78.3% Weak%, 0.948 Cold Rating
Seth Brown - 32.9% Whiff%, 75.0% Weak%, 0.888 Cold Rating
Amed Rosario - 32.5% Whiff%, 75.0% Weak%, 0.886 Cold Rating
Jeremy Pena - 38.2% Whiff%, 68.8% Weak%, 0.865 Cold Rating
Jose Barrero - 28.3% Whiff%, 78.3% Weak%, 0.857 Cold Rating
Josh Donaldson - 34.6% Whiff%, 69.2% Weak%, 0.848 Cold Rating
Trea Turner - 33.6% Whiff%, 71.4% Weak%, 0.844 Cold Rating
Jon Berti - 37.2% Whiff%, 66.7% Weak%, 0.834 Cold Rating
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