MLB Daily Notes: Tuesday, August 2
Introduction / Explanation For New Readers
I bounced back in a big way on the DFS side of things, winning all of my head-to-heads a day after I lost them all - hope you all did well if you followed the picks!
I was carried by Spencer Strider who went wild again. He had 13 strikeouts on 20 whiffs. His 20.4% SwStr% was second on the night to Jacob deGrom, and he struck out 54% of the hitters he faced. His slider velo was up two miles per hour. For the year his 38.4% K% is the best mark in the league by two full points among pitchers with at least five starts.
SwStr% Leaders, 2022 1. Strider 38.4% 2. Ohtani 36.4% 3. Heaney 35.1% 4. McClanahan 34.5% 5. Javier 33.5%
He’s still all about the four-seamer and slider combination:
But it’s worked marvelously for him. He’s sick. The only question would be about workload, it seems.
deGrom came out of the gate just fine, as we expected, here’s what it looked like:
Still throwing that fastball as hard as anybody, and he wasn’t shy about using the slider either. This is a positive sign, I suppose, since he feels fully confident enough in the arm to throw the hard fastball and the wicked slider, but if I had any deGrom (I don’t), I would be trying to get a safer SP in return for him right now, I just don’t believe the guy’s arm is capable of doing this for a living.
Braxton Garrett actually bested both of those pitchers by the JA scoring system. He did this last night:
That’s five different pitches thrown with 15%+ usage, which you don’t see very often. The slider was (and is) elite. The rest of his stuff is mediocre but maybe it’ll work out for him since he has so many different pitches he can keep hitters off balance with. I like him.
Your bottom five pitchers of the day by the JA scores:
Keegan Thompson (22.1% CSW%
Logan Gilbert (25.8% CSW%
Tyler Anderson (15.1% CSW%)
Reiss Knehr (19.5% CSW%)
Matt Manning (20.5% CSW%)
Two catchers led the JA hitter ranks as Sean Murphy barreled two balls up without getting a homer, and Carson Kelly kept his incredible summer production going with a homer and four batted balls put into the air.
Top JA Hitters Since All Star Break 1. Aaron Judge 2. Yordan Alvarez 3. DJ LeMahieu 4. Adley Rutschman 5. Anthony Rizzo 6. Freddie Freeman 7. Shohei Ohtani 8. Sean Murphy 9. Mookie Betts 10. Jurickson Profar
Plenty of interesting names in the qualifiers below, but Eloy Jimenez has stood out to me. He had a big game yesterday and is now hitting .297/.338/.516 with four homers, a 27.1% Brl% and a 71% Contact% since July 1st. Only he and Austin Riley have gone over a 20% Brl% with a contact rate above 70% over that time.
If we push back to hitters with barrel rates above 15% and contact rates above 70% since July 1st:
1. Eloy Jimenez (27%, 71%) 2. Austin Riley (23%, 77%) 3. Nolan Jones (18%, 77%) 4. JT Realmuto (17%, 78%) 5. Max Muncy (16%, 70%) 6. Darin Ruf (15%, 76%) 7. Rowdy Tellez (15%, 83%)
On to the automated report!
CSW% Leaders - Yesterday
1. Spencer Strider (ATL): 20.4 SwStr%, 41.8 CSW%
2. Triston McKenzie (CLE): 18.7 SwStr%, 38.5 CSW%
3. Kevin Gausman (TOR): 17.5 SwStr%, 35.9 CSW%
4. Braxton Garrett (MIA): 14.4 SwStr%, 35.6 CSW%
5. Jordan Lyles (BAL): 15.5 SwStr%, 32.7 CSW%
6. Chris Archer (MIN): 19.5 SwStr%, 32.5 CSW%
7. Jacob deGrom (NYM): 22.0 SwStr%, 32.2 CSW%
8. Spencer Howard (TEX): 13.6 SwStr%, 32.1 CSW%
9. Kutter Crawford (BOS): 12.8 SwStr%, 30.9 CSW%
10. Yu Darvish (SD): 15.0 SwStr%, 30.8 CSW%
Top Pitcher JA Scores - Yesterday
1. Spencer Strider - 6.67 IP - 93.25 JA Points
2. Braxton Garrett - 5.67 IP - 81.5 JA Points
3. Kevin Gausman - 8.0 IP - 81.0 JA Points
4. Jordan Lyles - 6.33 IP - 58.0 JA Points
5. Triston McKenzie - 5.67 IP - 55.75 JA Points
6. Jacob deGrom - 4.67 IP - 54.0 JA Points
7. Kutter Crawford - 5.67 IP - 52.5 JA Points
8. Cristian Javier - 6.0 IP - 51.5 JA Points
9. Yu Darvish - 6.0 IP - 51.5 JA Points
10. Chris Archer - 4.33 IP - 49.75 JA Points
Pitcher JA Scores - Season
1. Spencer Strider (ATL) - 12 GS - 56.38 JA Points
2. Shane McClanahan (TB) - 20 GS - 54.15 JA Points
3. Shohei Ohtani (LAA) - 17 GS - 54.11 JA Points
4. Corbin Burnes (MIL) - 21 GS - 53.93 JA Points
5. Dylan Cease (CWS) - 21 GS - 52.1 JA Points
6. Brandon Woodruff (MIL) - 15 GS - 50.26 JA Points
7. Gerrit Cole (NYY) - 21 GS - 48.61 JA Points
8. Carlos Rodon (SF) - 21 GS - 48.05 JA Points
9. Max Scherzer (NYM) - 14 GS - 46.3 JA Points
10. Aaron Ashby (MIL) - 14 GS - 45.7 JA Points
Velo Changes - Yesterday
Spencer Strider's SL velo (36 pitches) UP 2.0mph to 87.7
Jose Suarez's SL velo (24 pitches) UP 1.9mph to 81.6
Logan Gilbert's CU velo (19 pitches) UP 1.6mph to 82.4
Keegan Thompson's FF velo (48 pitches) DOWN -1.5mph to 92.2
Spencer Howard's FF velo (44 pitches) DOWN -1.6mph to 93.1
Keegan Thompson's FC velo (14 pitches) DOWN -1.9mph to 88.2
Bryse Wilson's SL velo (11 pitches) DOWN -2.0mph to 82.0
Drew Rasmussen's FC velo (29 pitches) DOWN -2.6mph to 88.5
Zac Gallen's CH velo (16 pitches) DOWN -2.8mph to 83.8
Pitch Mix Changes - Yesterday
Bryse Wilson's CU usage (27.5%) up 14.4 points
Cole Irvin's CU usage (28.9%) up 10.2 points
Drew Rasmussen's FF usage (51.5%) up 16.0 points
Jameson Taillon's CU usage (25.5%) up 11.5 points
Jose Suarez's CH usage (36.3%) up 10.2 points
Jose Suarez's SL usage (26.4%) up 13.1 points
Jose Urena's SI usage (66.7%) up 11.4 points
Keegan Thompson's FF usage (55.8%) up 10.8 points
Matt Manning's SL usage (29.5%) up 13.5 points
Reiss Knehr's FF usage (57.1%) up 11.2 points
Spencer Strider's SL usage (36.7%) up 11.2 points
Tyler Anderson's FC usage (32.6%) up 11.3 points
Zac Gallen's FC usage (33.0%) up 20.7 points
CSW% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Shohei Ohtani - 75 TBF, 38.0% CSW%
Gerrit Cole - 76 TBF, 37.1% CSW%
Braxton Garrett - 93 TBF, 36.0% CSW%
Aaron Nola - 80 TBF, 35.5% CSW%
Aaron Ashby - 79 TBF, 35.1% CSW%
Brady Singer - 73 TBF, 34.9% CSW%
Shane McClanahan - 67 TBF, 34.4% CSW%
Brandon Woodruff - 75 TBF, 33.5% CSW%
Jon Gray - 84 TBF, 33.3% CSW%
Kyle Wright - 81 TBF, 33.0% CSW%
K% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Shohei Ohtani - 75 TBF, 45.3% K%
Braxton Garrett - 93 TBF, 39.8% K%
Brady Singer - 73 TBF, 38.4% K%
Carlos Rodon - 95 TBF, 35.8% K%
Gerrit Cole - 76 TBF, 35.5% K%
Reid Detmers - 69 TBF, 34.8% K%
Sandy Alcantara - 78 TBF, 34.6% K%
Kevin Gausman - 93 TBF, 34.4% K%
Yu Darvish - 107 TBF, 33.6% K%
Corbin Burnes - 100 TBF, 32.0% K%
K-BB% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Shohei Ohtani - 75 TBF, 41.3% K-BB%
Braxton Garrett - 93 TBF, 33.3% K-BB%
Gerrit Cole - 76 TBF, 32.9% K-BB%
Kevin Gausman - 93 TBF, 30.1% K-BB%
Carlos Rodon - 95 TBF, 28.4% K-BB%
Yu Darvish - 107 TBF, 28.0% K-BB%
Lance Lynn - 68 TBF, 27.9% K-BB%
Aaron Nola - 80 TBF, 27.5% K-BB%
Brady Singer - 73 TBF, 27.4% K-BB%
Justin Verlander - 78 TBF, 26.9% K-BB%
GB% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Framber Valdez - 84 TBF, 69.1% GB%
Andre Pallante - 68 TBF, 61.7% GB%
Justin Steele - 67 TBF, 60.4% GB%
Carlos Carrasco - 70 TBF, 60.0% GB%
Logan Webb - 98 TBF, 60.0% GB%
Alex Cobb - 76 TBF, 60.0% GB%
Antonio Senzatela - 74 TBF, 58.5% GB%
Nathan Eovaldi - 94 TBF, 58.1% GB%
Zac Gallen - 94 TBF, 56.2% GB%
Jose Urena - 87 TBF, 55.4% GB%
Magic Formula Qualifiers - Pitchers - Last 3 Weeks
Alex Cobb - 76 TBF, 28.9 K%, 3.9 BB%, 60.0% GB%
Braxton Garrett - 93 TBF, 39.8 K%, 6.5 BB%, 48.9% GB%
Merrill Kelly - 73 TBF, 27.4 K%, 2.7 BB%, 51.0% GB%
Hot Pitcher Tracker - Last 3 Weeks vs. Career
Triston McKenzie - +3.6% CSW%, -4.2 BB%
Kyle Wright - +2.4% CSW%, -5.4 BB%
Gerrit Cole - +3.6% CSW%, -3.3 BB%
Merrill Kelly - +2.6% CSW%, -3.4 BB%
Mitch Keller - +3.8% CSW%, -3.5 BB%
Jake Odorizzi - +3.3% CSW%, -2.8 BB%
Andre Pallante - +2.5% CSW%, -1.9 BB%
Lance Lynn - +2.7% CSW%, -5.0 BB%
Pablo Lopez - +3.3% CSW%, -2.3 BB%
Dean Kremer - +2.7% CSW%, -6.2 BB%
Ranger Suarez - +2.8% CSW%, -4.9 BB%
Aaron Ashby - +3.5% CSW%, -2.7 BB%
Shohei Ohtani - +3.5% CSW%, -5.7 BB%
Spenser Watkins - +2.3% CSW%, -7.3 BB%
Brady Singer - +6.5% CSW%, -1.7 BB%
Erasmo Ramirez - +3.8% CSW%, -2.5 BB%
Multiple Barrels
Jorge Mateo (BAL) 4 PA, 9 Swings, 2 Barrels, 2 HR
Sean Murphy (OAK) 4 PA, 8 Swings, 2 Barrels, 0 HR
Willy Adames (MIL) 5 PA, 7 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Top Hitter JA Scores - Yesterday
1. Sean Murphy - 4.0 PA - 58.0 JA Points
2. Carson Kelly - 4.0 PA - 57.0 JA Points
3. Jorge Mateo - 4.0 PA - 55.0 JA Points
4. Manny Machado - 4.0 PA - 55.0 JA Points
5. Brendan Rodgers - 4.0 PA - 49.0 JA Points
6. Jake Cronenworth - 5.0 PA - 47.0 JA Points
7. Terrin Vavra - 4.0 PA - 46.0 JA Points
8. Josh Donaldson - 4.0 PA - 45.0 JA Points
9. Meibrys Viloria - 4.0 PA - 43.0 JA Points
10. Kolten Wong - 3.0 PA - 40.0 JA Points
Hitter JA Scores - Season
1. Yordan Alvarez (HOU) - 361.0 PA - 157.01 JA Points
2. Aaron Judge (NYY) - 444.0 PA - 140.36 JA Points
3. Juan Soto (WSH) - 432.0 PA - 129.17 JA Points
4. Freddie Freeman (LAD) - 457.0 PA - 116.06 JA Points
5. Alejandro Kirk (TOR) - 341.0 PA - 113.9 JA Points
6. D.J. LeMahieu (NYY) - 414.0 PA - 107.15 JA Points
7. Jose Abreu (CWS) - 440.0 PA - 106.09 JA Points
8. Bryce Harper (PHI) - 271.0 PA - 104.21 JA Points
9. Paul Goldschmidt (STL) - 421.0 PA - 102.14 JA Points
10. Luis Arraez (MIN) - 385.0 PA - 97.77 JA Points
Hardest Hit Balls
C.J. Cron (COL) - 115.1mph - double
Ryan McMahon (COL) - 113.7mph - single
Rafael Devers (BOS) - 113.3mph - double
Jose Abreu (CWS) - 112.7mph - grounded_into_double_play
Gary Sanchez (MIN) - 112.0mph - foul
Anthony Santander (BAL) - 111.8mph - single
Trent Grisham (SD) - 111.7mph - foul
Daniel Vogelbach (NYM) - 111.1mph - nan
Trent Grisham (SD) - 111.1mph - home_run
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) - 110.8mph - home_run
Last 3 Weeks - Brl% Leaders
Aaron Judge - 84 PA, 45 BIP, 17 Brls, 37.8 Brl%
Yordan Alvarez - 49 PA, 28 BIP, 9 Brls, 32.1 Brl%
Austin Riley - 63 PA, 48 BIP, 15 Brls, 31.2 Brl%
Bobby Dalbec - 53 PA, 28 BIP, 8 Brls, 28.6 Brl%
Ramon Laureano - 64 PA, 36 BIP, 9 Brls, 25.0 Brl%
Matt Chapman - 60 PA, 31 BIP, 7 Brls, 22.6 Brl%
Luke Voit - 58 PA, 36 BIP, 8 Brls, 22.2 Brl%
Paul Goldschmidt - 48 PA, 30 BIP, 6 Brls, 20.0 Brl%
J.T. Realmuto - 49 PA, 35 BIP, 7 Brls, 20.0 Brl%
Kyle Schwarber - 65 PA, 36 BIP, 7 Brls, 19.4 Brl%
Last 3 Weeks - xwOBA Leaders
Aaron Judge - 84 PA, 0.596 xwOBA
Austin Riley - 63 PA, 0.539 xwOBA
Yordan Alvarez - 49 PA, 0.492 xwOBA
J.T. Realmuto - 49 PA, 0.456 xwOBA
Freddie Freeman - 74 PA, 0.447 xwOBA
Juan Soto - 68 PA, 0.443 xwOBA
D.J. LeMahieu - 82 PA, 0.439 xwOBA
Matt Chapman - 60 PA, 0.413 xwOBA
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. - 65 PA, 0.407 xwOBA
Alec Bohm - 55 PA, 0.406 xwOBA
Last 3 Weeks - Contact% Leaders
Steven Kwan - 81 PA, 130 Swings, 94.6 Cont%
Bryson Stott - 55 PA, 92 Swings, 93.5 Cont%
Luis Arraez - 57 PA, 106 Swings, 92.5 Cont%
Mookie Betts - 83 PA, 142 Swings, 91.5 Cont%
Myles Straw - 65 PA, 99 Swings, 90.9 Cont%
Isiah Kiner-Falefa - 65 PA, 107 Swings, 90.7 Cont%
J.P. Crawford - 67 PA, 117 Swings, 90.6 Cont%
Trent Grisham - 59 PA, 94 Swings, 89.4 Cont%
Joey Wendle - 70 PA, 122 Swings, 89.3 Cont%
Christian Vazquez - 56 PA, 108 Swings, 88.9 Cont%
Magic Formula Qualifiers - Hitters - Last 3 Weeks
Austin Riley - 63 PA, 17.5 K%, 31.2 Brl%
Carlos Correa - 59 PA, 16.9 K%, 14.0 Brl%
J.T. Realmuto - 49 PA, 14.3 K%, 20.0 Brl%
Ketel Marte - 66 PA, 16.7 K%, 14.0 Brl%
Nolan Arenado - 43 PA, 11.6 K%, 14.7 Brl%
Pete Alonso - 66 PA, 15.2 K%, 16.7 Brl%
Rowdy Tellez - 57 PA, 19.3 K%, 17.1 Brl%
Hot Hitter Tracker - Last 7 vs. Career
Bobby Dalbec - +6.3% Contact%, +3.9 mph exit velo, -9.7 Chase%
Teoscar Hernandez - +10.7% Contact%, +3.1 mph exit velo, -4.4 Chase%
J.T. Realmuto - +5.4% Contact%, +3.4 mph exit velo, -15.1 Chase%
Eloy Jimenez - +10.5% Contact%, +5.2 mph exit velo, -5.2 Chase%
Super Ultra Mega Hot Hitters - Last 15 Days
Adley Rutschman - 0.403 xwOBA, 10.0% Brl%, 77.9% Contact%, 18.9% Chase%, 16.7% K%
Anthony Rizzo - 0.414 xwOBA, 16.7% Brl%, 81.5% Contact%, 23.3% Chase%, 10.0% K%
Sean Murphy - 0.405 xwOBA, 17.2% Brl%, 80.0% Contact%, 23.1% Chase%, 15.6% K%
Cold Hitters - Last 2 Weeks
Franmil Reyes - 33.8% Whiff%, 79.3% Weak%, 0.928 Cold Rating
Trey Mancini - 34.8% Whiff%, 72.0% Weak%, 0.919 Cold Rating
Martin Maldonado - 33.3% Whiff%, 75.0% Weak%, 0.907 Cold Rating
Ezequiel Duran - 32.3% Whiff%, 80.6% Weak%, 0.897 Cold Rating
Nick Castellanos - 34.3% Whiff%, 70.3% Weak%, 0.892 Cold Rating
Michael Harris II - 38.6% Whiff%, 68.2% Weak%, 0.884 Cold Rating
Ryan Mountcastle - 32.5% Whiff%, 74.2% Weak%, 0.879 Cold Rating
Jarren Duran - 31.3% Whiff%, 72.0% Weak%, 0.862 Cold Rating
Marcell Ozuna - 32.6% Whiff%, 70.8% Weak%, 0.858 Cold Rating
Tyrone Taylor - 31.4% Whiff%, 71.4% Weak%, 0.857 Cold Rating
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