MLB Daily Notes: Wednesday, August 31
Introduction / Explanation For New Readers
Last night my home league fantasy team had these starting pitchers going:
Lucas Giolito: 5.1 IP, 5 ER
Spenser Watkins: 4.2 IP, 5 ER
Aaron Nola: 4 IP, 8 ER
Max Fried: 5 IP, 2 ER
Zac Gallen: 7 IP, 0 ER
Matt Manning: 2.1 IP, 7 ER
It’s my fault on Watkins and Manning, those were bad streamers, and I probably should’ve just cut ties with Giolito a few weeks ago as well - but always fun when you rack up 29.2 innings on the day and give up 27 earned runs for an 8.19 ERA in a head-to-head league. The good news is I’m firmly in second and should make the playoffs without much issue, knock on wood.
Gallen’s scoreless inning streak is now up to 34.1 innings. He hasn’t given up a run since August 2nd. I love being in the business of picking very specific date ranges and then showing stats from them, so here are the league’s ERA leaders since August 3rd:
Andrew Heaney toughed it out against the Mets, putting up another insane SwStr% and CSW% rate. He did give up seven hits and two homers between those strikeouts, but it was just another reason to believe Dodgers’ Heaney is an ace, it will be interesting to see where his ADP starts off next season.
Words can hardly describe how bad Matt Manning was last night. He had a 3.0% SwStr% and gave up a .539 xwOBA. I don’t know if those four good starts in a row were the mirage or this last one was, but Manning does get a chance at the Royals this weekend so that will be interesting to see.
Lucas Giolito continued his weirdness, not having a good start but putting up a decent 30.4% K% and an 8.7% BB% with a .378 xwOBA. He gets hit hard and is really inefficient, and he just doesn’t seem to have it like he used to. The fastball isn’t good and the changeup control hasn’t been there this year, I think he’s a fair drop right now - and look I’m probably even several weeks late on that because I bought low on him in July.
I don’t have much else to say, but it’s a good time to check on the K% vs. Brl% scatter plot - we’re looking just after the All-Star Break
Tyler O’Neill, Anthony Santander, Austin Riley, Matt Olson, Rowdy Tellez, Seth Brown all stand out. You can check that plot out with any date range you want on the MLB Dashboard! Let’s get to the rest of the report!
CSW% Leaders - Yesterday
1. Andrew Heaney (LAD): 24.7 SwStr%, 40.0 CSW%
2. Jason Alexander (MIL): 16.9 SwStr%, 39.0 CSW%
3. Aaron Nola (PHI): 18.1 SwStr%, 33.7 CSW%
4. Kevin Gausman (TOR): 17.7 SwStr%, 33.3 CSW%
5. Justin Dunn (CIN): 4.8 SwStr%, 33.3 CSW%
6. Zac Gallen (ARI): 9.1 SwStr%, 33.0 CSW%
7. Spenser Watkins (BAL): 11.4 SwStr%, 32.9 CSW%
8. Kutter Crawford (BOS): 9.2 SwStr%, 32.9 CSW%
9. Chris Flexen (SEA): 18.0 SwStr%, 32.8 CSW%
10. Daniel Norris (DET): 12.0 SwStr%, 32.0 CSW%
Top Pitcher JA Scores - Yesterday
1. Andrew Heaney - 4.67 IP - 76.25 JA Points
2. Mitch Keller - 6.0 IP - 68.5 JA Points
3. Kevin Gausman - 6.0 IP - 67.0 JA Points
4. Framber Valdez - 8.0 IP - 60.75 JA Points
5. Logan Webb - 5.33 IP - 51.5 JA Points
6. Jason Alexander - 5.0 IP - 51.0 JA Points
7. Zac Gallen - 7.0 IP - 46.0 JA Points
8. Aaron Nola - 4.67 IP - 42.0 JA Points
9. Blake Snell - 5.67 IP - 40.25 JA Points
10. George Kirby - 5.0 IP - 40.0 JA Points
Pitcher JA Scores - Season
1. Spencer Strider (ATL) - 16.0 GS - 55.78 JA Points
2. Shane McClanahan (TB) - 24.0 GS - 51.93 JA Points
3. Corbin Burnes (MIL) - 26.0 GS - 51.66 JA Points
4. Shohei Ohtani (LAA) - 22.0 GS - 50.86 JA Points
5. Dylan Cease (CWS) - 26.0 GS - 49.14 JA Points
6. Gerrit Cole (NYY) - 26.0 GS - 48.61 JA Points
7. Carlos Rodon (SF) - 26.0 GS - 48.08 JA Points
8. Max Scherzer (NYM) - 19.0 GS - 47.14 JA Points
9. Blake Snell (SD) - 18.0 GS - 45.64 JA Points
10. Brandon Woodruff (MIL) - 20.0 GS - 45.24 JA Points
Velo Changes - Yesterday
Erick Fedde's CU velo (23 pitches) UP 2.0mph to 80.2
Jason Alexander's SL velo (19 pitches) UP 1.9mph to 82.8
Matt Manning's SL velo (18 pitches) UP 1.6mph to 85.4
Taijuan Walker's FS velo (27 pitches) DOWN -1.5mph to 87.4
Dakota Hudson's SL velo (19 pitches) DOWN -1.6mph to 86.4
Kutter Crawford's CU velo (12 pitches) DOWN -1.6mph to 78.2
Kutter Crawford's FC velo (26 pitches) DOWN -1.6mph to 87.3
Jesus Luzardo's CU velo (25 pitches) DOWN -1.7mph to 82.1
Jesus Luzardo's FF velo (10 pitches) DOWN -1.9mph to 94.8
George Kirby's SL velo (12 pitches) DOWN -2.0mph to 85.6
Kutter Crawford's FF velo (35 pitches) DOWN -2.0mph to 92.7
Taijuan Walker's SL velo (14 pitches) DOWN -2.0mph to 82.9
Pitch Mix Changes - Yesterday
Blake Snell's FF usage (74.3%) up 20.1 points
Dane Dunning's FC usage (32.6%) up 23.0 points
Daniel Norris's CH usage (44.0%) up 14.8 points
Erick Fedde's SI usage (51.3%) up 11.1 points
Framber Valdez's FC usage (22.1%) up 13.1 points
George Kirby's SI usage (21.5%) up 14.3 points
Jesus Luzardo's SI usage (33.7%) up 11.6 points
Max Fried's CU usage (38.5%) up 17.8 points
Zac Gallen's FC usage (26.1%) up 11.7 points
CSW% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Nick Lodolo - 100 TBF, 43.0% CSW%
Drew Smyly - 92 TBF, 42.1% CSW%
Andrew Heaney - 81 TBF, 36.3% CSW%
Aaron Nola - 110 TBF, 35.7% CSW%
JT Brubaker - 72 TBF, 35.0% CSW%
Charlie Morton - 72 TBF, 33.4% CSW%
Ross Stripling - 70 TBF, 33.2% CSW%
Jakob Junis - 89 TBF, 32.8% CSW%
Framber Valdez - 112 TBF, 32.7% CSW%
Zac Gallen - 93 TBF, 32.7% CSW%
K% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Andrew Heaney - 81 TBF, 40.7% K%
Charlie Morton - 72 TBF, 37.5% K%
Drew Rasmussen - 70 TBF, 34.3% K%
Zac Gallen - 93 TBF, 33.3% K%
Blake Snell - 88 TBF, 33.0% K%
Carlos Rodon - 93 TBF, 32.3% K%
Justin Steele - 90 TBF, 32.2% K%
Justin Verlander - 84 TBF, 32.1% K%
Luis Castillo - 76 TBF, 31.6% K%
Robbie Ray - 98 TBF, 31.6% K%
K-BB% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Andrew Heaney - 81 TBF, 38.3% K-BB%
Drew Rasmussen - 70 TBF, 31.4% K-BB%
Charlie Morton - 72 TBF, 29.2% K-BB%
Justin Verlander - 84 TBF, 28.6% K-BB%
Aaron Nola - 110 TBF, 28.2% K-BB%
Zac Gallen - 93 TBF, 28.0% K-BB%
Luis Castillo - 76 TBF, 27.6% K-BB%
Blake Snell - 88 TBF, 27.3% K-BB%
Carlos Rodon - 93 TBF, 25.8% K-BB%
Ross Stripling - 70 TBF, 25.7% K-BB%
GB% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Shane McClanahan - 76 TBF, 68.1% GB%
Framber Valdez - 112 TBF, 67.1% GB%
Logan Webb - 98 TBF, 65.2% GB%
Marcus Stroman - 98 TBF, 64.9% GB%
Alex Cobb - 73 TBF, 64.2% GB%
Max Fried - 76 TBF, 63.8% GB%
Ranger Suarez - 96 TBF, 60.0% GB%
Dakota Hudson - 92 TBF, 60.0% GB%
JT Brubaker - 72 TBF, 59.6% GB%
Shane Bieber - 80 TBF, 58.6% GB%
Magic Formula Qualifiers - Pitchers - Last 3 Weeks
David Peterson - 46 TBF, 28.3 K%, 4.3 BB%, 45.2% GB%
George Kirby - 95 TBF, 27.4 K%, 3.2 BB%, 55.4% GB%
JT Brubaker - 72 TBF, 29.2 K%, 4.2 BB%, 59.6% GB%
Jeffrey Springs - 89 TBF, 30.3 K%, 7.9 BB%, 50.9% GB%
Jordan Montgomery - 97 TBF, 27.8 K%, 3.1 BB%, 48.5% GB%
Justin Steele - 90 TBF, 32.2 K%, 7.8 BB%, 53.7% GB%
Justin Verlander - 84 TBF, 32.1 K%, 3.6 BB%, 46.3% GB%
Kyle Wright - 72 TBF, 27.8 K%, 4.2 BB%, 55.1% GB%
Lance Lynn - 68 TBF, 30.9 K%, 2.9 BB%, 48.8% GB%
Luis Castillo - 76 TBF, 31.6 K%, 3.9 BB%, 53.2% GB%
Ross Stripling - 70 TBF, 27.1 K%, 1.4 BB%, 54.0% GB%
Zac Gallen - 93 TBF, 33.3 K%, 5.4 BB%, 52.6% GB%
Hot Pitcher Tracker - Last 3 Weeks vs. Career
Aaron Nola - +3.0% CSW%, -2.9 BB%
Dean Kremer - +4.1% CSW%, -4.1 BB%
Zac Gallen - +3.6% CSW%, -2.7 BB%
Matt Manning - +4.4% CSW%, -4.4 BB%
Spenser Watkins - +2.6% CSW%, -3.2 BB%
Andrew Heaney - +5.9% CSW%, -4.4 BB%
Jakob Junis - +3.3% CSW%, -5.3 BB%
JT Brubaker - +4.8% CSW%, -3.5 BB%
Ross Stripling - +4.7% CSW%, -4.7 BB%
Michael Wacha - +4.0% CSW%, -1.8 BB%
Lance Lynn - +4.6% CSW%, -3.3 BB%
Chase De Jong - +4.4% CSW%, -4.0 BB%
Jason Alexander - +2.5% CSW%, -2.6 BB%
Kyle Wright - +2.0% CSW%, -4.4 BB%
Multiple Barrels
Jose Altuve (HOU) 5 PA, 12 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Mark Canha (NYM) 4 PA, 7 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Nick Pratto (KC) 5 PA, 7 Swings, 2 Barrels, 2 HR
Top Hitter JA Scores - Yesterday
1. Nick Pratto - 5.0 PA - 78.0 JA Points
2. Kolten Wong - 4.0 PA - 56.0 JA Points
3. Sean Murphy - 5.0 PA - 52.0 JA Points
4. Ty France - 4.0 PA - 47.0 JA Points
5. Aaron Judge - 5.0 PA - 44.0 JA Points
6. Anthony Rizzo - 4.0 PA - 44.0 JA Points
7. Gavin Sheets - 5.0 PA - 44.0 JA Points
8. Jose Altuve - 5.0 PA - 44.0 JA Points
9. Julio Rodriguez - 5.0 PA - 43.0 JA Points
10. Salvador Perez - 5.0 PA - 42.0 JA Points
Hitter JA Scores - Season
1. Juan Soto (SD) - 532.0 PA - 137.82 JA Points
2. Aaron Judge (NYY) - 545.0 PA - 137.32 JA Points
3. Yordan Alvarez (HOU) - 445.0 PA - 135.46 JA Points
4. Freddie Freeman (LAD) - 566.0 PA - 112.37 JA Points
5. Paul Goldschmidt (STL) - 536.0 PA - 109.25 JA Points
6. Alejandro Kirk (TOR) - 431.0 PA - 106.08 JA Points
7. Bryce Harper (PHI) - 289.0 PA - 104.08 JA Points
8. Yandy Diaz (TB) - 478.0 PA - 100.5 JA Points
9. Alex Bregman (HOU) - 529.0 PA - 100.42 JA Points
10. Will Smith (LAD) - 456.0 PA - 96.58 JA Points
Hardest Hit Balls
Austin Riley (ATL) - 114.5mph - single
Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) - 114.0mph - single
Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) - 113.5mph - force_out
Oneil Cruz (PIT) - 112.6mph - double
Gary Sanchez (MIN) - 111.6mph - home_run
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) - 111.5mph - double
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) - 111.4mph - foul
Jose Siri (TB) - 111.4mph - home_run
Seth Brown (OAK) - 109.9mph - grounded_into_double_play
Oscar Gonzalez (CLE) - 109.8mph - foul
Last 3 Weeks - Brl% Leaders
Michael Massey - 65 PA, 39 BIP, 8 Brls, 20.5 Brl%
Nick Pratto - 54 PA, 30 BIP, 6 Brls, 20.0 Brl%
Matt Olson - 83 PA, 66 BIP, 13 Brls, 19.7 Brl%
Teoscar Hernandez - 62 PA, 31 BIP, 6 Brls, 19.4 Brl%
Evan Longoria - 49 PA, 31 BIP, 6 Brls, 19.4 Brl%
Aaron Judge - 78 PA, 42 BIP, 8 Brls, 19.0 Brl%
Shohei Ohtani - 74 PA, 42 BIP, 8 Brls, 19.0 Brl%
Eugenio Suarez - 66 PA, 32 BIP, 6 Brls, 18.8 Brl%
Albert Pujols - 56 PA, 43 BIP, 8 Brls, 18.6 Brl%
Oneil Cruz - 61 PA, 27 BIP, 5 Brls, 18.5 Brl%
Last 3 Weeks - xwOBA Leaders
Albert Pujols - 56 PA, 0.489 xwOBA
Matt Olson - 83 PA, 0.45 xwOBA
Aaron Judge - 78 PA, 0.45 xwOBA
Rowdy Tellez - 64 PA, 0.443 xwOBA
Vinnie Pasquantino - 46 PA, 0.443 xwOBA
Nathaniel Lowe - 82 PA, 0.431 xwOBA
Alex Bregman - 81 PA, 0.43 xwOBA
Juan Soto - 70 PA, 0.423 xwOBA
Sean Murphy - 75 PA, 0.411 xwOBA
Michael Harris II - 76 PA, 0.398 xwOBA
Last 3 Weeks - Contact% Leaders
Luis Arraez - 80 PA, 132 Swings, 93.9 Cont%
Nick Madrigal - 75 PA, 132 Swings, 93.9 Cont%
Jose Iglesias - 65 PA, 112 Swings, 91.1 Cont%
Isaac Paredes - 53 PA, 94 Swings, 90.4 Cont%
Steven Kwan - 81 PA, 121 Swings, 90.1 Cont%
Austin Nola - 49 PA, 81 Swings, 90.1 Cont%
Brendan Donovan - 59 PA, 88 Swings, 89.8 Cont%
Ildemaro Vargas - 61 PA, 105 Swings, 89.5 Cont%
J.P. Crawford - 55 PA, 98 Swings, 88.8 Cont%
Tony Kemp - 75 PA, 130 Swings, 88.5 Cont%
Magic Formula Qualifiers - Hitters - Last 3 Weeks
Albert Pujols - 56 PA, 14.3 K%, 18.6 Brl%
Emmanuel Rivera - 69 PA, 18.8 K%, 17.8 Brl%
Juan Soto - 70 PA, 15.7 K%, 15.9 Brl%
Matt Olson - 83 PA, 13.3 K%, 19.7 Brl%
Nathaniel Lowe - 82 PA, 19.5 K%, 14.8 Brl%
Rowdy Tellez - 64 PA, 18.8 K%, 17.1 Brl%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. - 81 PA, 11.1 K%, 17.6 Brl%
Hot Hitter Tracker - Last 7 vs. Career
Bo Bichette - +3.3% Contact%, +6.4 mph exit velo, -7.1 Chase%
Carlos Correa - +3.9% Contact%, +3.7 mph exit velo, -4.2 Chase%
Christian Yelich - +4.7% Contact%, +3.9 mph exit velo, -4.0 Chase%
Manny Machado - +11.1% Contact%, +4.0 mph exit velo, -6.6 Chase%
Josh Bell - +8.7% Contact%, +4.4 mph exit velo, -12.9 Chase%
Jonathan India - +10.5% Contact%, +5.0 mph exit velo, -3.2 Chase%
Ha-Seong Kim - +3.5% Contact%, +7.0 mph exit velo, -5.2 Chase%
Jeimer Candelario - +4.5% Contact%, +4.5 mph exit velo, -8.7 Chase%
Super Ultra Mega Hot Hitters - Last 15 Days
Alex Bregman - 0.375 xwOBA, 11.9% Brl%, 81.3% Contact%, 16.7% Chase%, 10.7% K%
Corey Seager - 0.403 xwOBA, 10.9% Brl%, 83.0% Contact%, 22.6% Chase%, 8.8% K%
Josh Bell - 0.385 xwOBA, 13.9% Brl%, 77.0% Contact%, 19.1% Chase%, 16.4% K%
Manny Machado - 0.4 xwOBA, 11.6% Brl%, 80.4% Contact%, 18.6% Chase%, 15.8% K%
Cold Hitters - Last 2 Weeks
Paul DeJong - 47.3% Whiff%, 81.2% Weak%, 0.995 Cold Rating
Javier Baez - 40.8% Whiff%, 75.0% Weak%, 0.956 Cold Rating
Amed Rosario - 34.9% Whiff%, 80.8% Weak%, 0.949 Cold Rating
Jeremy Pena - 40.2% Whiff%, 71.9% Weak%, 0.924 Cold Rating
Aristides Aquino - 34.4% Whiff%, 76.2% Weak%, 0.92 Cold Rating
Jose Barrero - 34.9% Whiff%, 75.0% Weak%, 0.916 Cold Rating
P.J. Higgins - 32.9% Whiff%, 76.0% Weak%, 0.892 Cold Rating
Jon Berti - 35.1% Whiff%, 70.0% Weak%, 0.852 Cold Rating
Seth Brown - 33.3% Whiff%, 70.8% Weak%, 0.845 Cold Rating
Emmanuel Rivera - 33.8% Whiff%, 70.4% Weak%, 0.844 Cold Rating
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