MLB Daily Notes: Tuesday, September 13
Introduction / Explanation For New Readers
Tableau came back up late yesterday and everything was gravy, but now it’s back down again and I can’t refresh any of the reports. I have built my entire empire on Google Colab and Tableau now, so when they are down I’m just a total mess. It’s not a good situation. I need to #BuildMyOwn Tableau, which I can’t do because I’m not nearly that sweet.
So anyways these notes will be LAME again, and the NFL Dashboard will be DELAYED.
Trevor Rogers had a sweet start, and he’s been really good over his last three starts now:
8/31 vs. TB: 6 IP, 5 H, 1 ER, 5 K, 1 BB
9/7 @ PHI: 6 IP, 5 H, 3 ER, 8 K, 0 BB
9/12 vs. TEX: 6.1 IP, 4 H, 2 ER, 9 K, 2 BB
Relying on the SP Roundup Google Sheet now, here are his marks from yesterday:
That’s a fantastic day on the four-seamer and changeup. A 15.7% SwStr% on a fastball is great, and the changeup looked like it did last year. I don’t know how long this will stick around, but he should finish the season with matchups against the Nationals (twice) and Brewers, which are elite matchups for a lefty. I’d consider adding him if he’s available.
Reid Detmers struggled again despite good numbers on the slider.
The four-seamer wasn’t good at all, and when he doesn’t have both the fastball and the slider going it’s not always pretty. He has been a pretty large disappointment for the last month or so after looking so good in July and some of August after the return from the minors. I think he can be dropped in redraft leagues since he’s starting once a week at most and not pitching that well.
Alex Cobb was amazing, because he’s amazing. I hope he amazingly stays amazing for his last three starts because my chips are still on him. He’s definitely been my most-mentioned player of the year, I feel like I know the guy personally.
Josh Jung double-barreled and now has two homers in just 20 ABs in the bigs. However, he has struck out 11 times in 20 plate appearances and his contact rate is egregious at 62%. I would probably not want to use him right now in these crucial fantasy weeks, but we’re talking about 20 PAs here.
I had to pull up FanGraphs to get that data since the Dashboard is down, what a horribly inefficient way to do things - and this is the way I did this writing stuff for years! And all the other fantasy analysts are still doing it this way - going to different pages for every player they want to talk about, disaster!
Come back to me, Tableau, please.
Here’s the rest of the report:
CSW% Leaders - Yesterday
1. Trevor Rogers (MIA): 20.2 SwStr%, 37.1 CSW%
2. Spencer Strider (ATL): 14.7 SwStr%, 34.3 CSW%
3. Ryne Nelson (ARI): 16.0 SwStr%, 33.3 CSW%
4. Braxton Garrett (MIA): 13.8 SwStr%, 32.3 CSW%
5. Framber Valdez (HOU): 15.0 SwStr%, 31.8 CSW%
6. Alex Cobb (SF): 17.0 SwStr%, 31.1 CSW%
7. Javier Assad (CHC): 12.6 SwStr%, 29.5 CSW%
8. Glenn Otto (TEX): 12.2 SwStr%, 26.7 CSW%
9. Mike Minor (CIN): 10.9 SwStr%, 24.8 CSW%
10. Chris Bassitt (NYM): 2.7 SwStr%, 24.7 CSW%
Top Pitcher JA Scores - Yesterday
1. Alex Cobb - 6.67 IP - 75.0 JA Points
2. Trevor Rogers - 6.33 IP - 61.75 JA Points
3. Spencer Strider - 5.0 IP - 61.5 JA Points
4. Ryne Nelson - 6.0 IP - 49.5 JA Points
5. Framber Valdez - 8.67 IP - 42.75 JA Points
6. Jon Gray - 3.67 IP - 41.75 JA Points
7. Jose Berrios - 6.33 IP - 40.0 JA Points
8. Glenn Otto - 6.0 IP - 39.25 JA Points
9. Dylan Lee - 2.0 IP - 39.0 JA Points
10. Mychal Givens - 2.0 IP - 37.75 JA Points
Pitcher JA Scores - Season
1. Spencer Strider (ATL) - 19.0 GS - 57.58 JA Points
2. Corbin Burnes (MIL) - 27.0 GS - 53.29 JA Points
3. Shane McClanahan (TB) - 24.0 GS - 51.93 JA Points
4. Shohei Ohtani (LAA) - 24.0 GS - 49.94 JA Points
5. Carlos Rodon (SF) - 28.0 GS - 49.37 JA Points
6. Dylan Cease (CWS) - 28.0 GS - 48.5 JA Points
7. Gerrit Cole (NYY) - 27.0 GS - 48.47 JA Points
8. Max Scherzer (NYM) - 20.0 GS - 46.76 JA Points
9. Blake Snell (SD) - 20.0 GS - 45.6 JA Points
10. Lance Lynn (CWS) - 16.0 GS - 45.29 JA Points
Velo Changes - Yesterday
Reid Detmers's SL velo (25 pitches) UP 2.0mph to 87.5
Framber Valdez's FC velo (10 pitches) DOWN -1.8mph to 81.5
Bryse Wilson's FF velo (19 pitches) DOWN -1.9mph to 91.0
Bryse Wilson's SI velo (28 pitches) DOWN -2.3mph to 90.0
Bryse Wilson's CH velo (15 pitches) DOWN -4.3mph to 81.6
Pitch Mix Changes - Yesterday
Alex Cobb's FS usage (57.5%) up 15.1 points
Eduardo Rodriguez's FC usage (47.7%) up 22.3 points
Jose Berrios's CH usage (29.3%) up 15.0 points
CSW% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Andrew Heaney - 91 TBF, 37.6% CSW%
Corbin Burnes - 99 TBF, 36.9% CSW%
Spencer Strider - 100 TBF, 36.3% CSW%
Aaron Nola - 90 TBF, 35.1% CSW%
Gerrit Cole - 82 TBF, 33.8% CSW%
Brandon Woodruff - 99 TBF, 33.2% CSW%
Shane Bieber - 105 TBF, 33.1% CSW%
Lance Lynn - 99 TBF, 32.6% CSW%
Framber Valdez - 121 TBF, 32.3% CSW%
Kevin Gausman - 97 TBF, 32.3% CSW%
K% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Spencer Strider - 100 TBF, 41.0% K%
Carlos Rodon - 88 TBF, 37.5% K%
Gerrit Cole - 82 TBF, 35.4% K%
Andrew Heaney - 91 TBF, 35.2% K%
Zac Gallen - 91 TBF, 34.1% K%
Luis Castillo - 77 TBF, 32.5% K%
Shane Bieber - 105 TBF, 32.4% K%
Lance Lynn - 99 TBF, 32.3% K%
Blake Snell - 86 TBF, 31.4% K%
Aaron Nola - 90 TBF, 31.1% K%
K-BB% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Spencer Strider - 100 TBF, 36.0% K-BB%
Andrew Heaney - 91 TBF, 30.8% K-BB%
Shane Bieber - 105 TBF, 29.5% K-BB%
Carlos Rodon - 88 TBF, 29.5% K-BB%
Gerrit Cole - 82 TBF, 29.3% K-BB%
Lance Lynn - 99 TBF, 29.3% K-BB%
Aaron Nola - 90 TBF, 28.9% K-BB%
Kevin Gausman - 97 TBF, 28.9% K-BB%
Zac Gallen - 91 TBF, 28.6% K-BB%
Luis Castillo - 77 TBF, 28.6% K-BB%
GB% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Alex Cobb - 94 TBF, 62.9% GB%
Ranger Suarez - 90 TBF, 62.5% GB%
Jordan Montgomery - 73 TBF, 61.1% GB%
Framber Valdez - 121 TBF, 59.7% GB%
Brady Singer - 100 TBF, 58.2% GB%
Luis Castillo - 77 TBF, 56.2% GB%
Marcus Stroman - 93 TBF, 55.3% GB%
Max Fried - 90 TBF, 54.7% GB%
Jose Urena - 86 TBF, 53.8% GB%
Martin Perez - 102 TBF, 53.6% GB%
Magic Formula Qualifiers - Pitchers - Last 3 Weeks
Brandon Woodruff - 99 TBF, 30.3 K%, 6.1 BB%, 45.2% GB%
Corbin Burnes - 99 TBF, 27.3 K%, 6.1 BB%, 45.3% GB%
Drew Rasmussen - 68 TBF, 33.8 K%, 1.5 BB%, 50.0% GB%
Framber Valdez - 121 TBF, 28.9 K%, 7.4 BB%, 59.7% GB%
George Kirby - 79 TBF, 27.8 K%, 1.3 BB%, 53.6% GB%
Justin Lawrence - 49 TBF, 32.7 K%, 4.1 BB%, 54.8% GB%
Luis Castillo - 77 TBF, 32.5 K%, 3.9 BB%, 56.2% GB%
Nick Lodolo - 97 TBF, 30.9 K%, 4.1 BB%, 49.2% GB%
Shane Bieber - 105 TBF, 32.4 K%, 2.9 BB%, 47.1% GB%
Trevor Rogers - 70 TBF, 31.4 K%, 4.3 BB%, 51.1% GB%
Hot Pitcher Tracker - Last 3 Weeks vs. Career
Spencer Strider - +3.6% CSW%, -3.2 BB%
Lance Lynn - +4.7% CSW%, -3.0 BB%
Andrew Heaney - +7.0% CSW%, -2.5 BB%
Aaron Nola - +2.4% CSW%, -2.5 BB%
Corbin Burnes - +3.8% CSW%, -1.5 BB%
George Kirby - +2.3% CSW%, -1.7 BB%
Spenser Watkins - +3.2% CSW%, -2.7 BB%
Ross Stripling - +2.3% CSW%, -1.8 BB%
Bailey Falter - +2.0% CSW%, -4.7 BB%
Paolo Espino - +4.0% CSW%, -3.4 BB%
Chad Kuhl - +3.6% CSW%, -4.6 BB%
Corey Kluber - +2.7% CSW%, -5.7 BB%
Adam Oller - +4.9% CSW%, -3.2 BB%
Sean Manaea - +2.1% CSW%, -4.0 BB%
Jose Suarez - +3.2% CSW%, -4.4 BB%
Multiple Barrels
Josh Jung (TEX) 8 PA, 17 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Top Hitter JA Scores - Yesterday
1. Aristides Aquino - 4.0 PA - 56.0 JA Points
2. Marcus Semien - 5.0 PA - 47.0 JA Points
3. Diego Castillo - 3.0 PA - 44.0 JA Points
4. Bo Bichette - 4.0 PA - 39.0 JA Points
5. Bryan Reynolds - 5.0 PA - 38.0 JA Points
6. Yordan Alvarez - 5.0 PA - 35.0 JA Points
7. Eduardo Escobar - 4.0 PA - 34.0 JA Points
8. Mookie Betts - 5.0 PA - 32.0 JA Points
9. Seiya Suzuki - 4.0 PA - 30.0 JA Points
10. Taylor Ward - 4.0 PA - 30.0 JA Points
Hitter JA Scores - Season
1. Aaron Judge (NYY) - 587.0 PA - 140.44 JA Points
2. Yordan Alvarez (HOU) - 476.0 PA - 139.66 JA Points
3. Juan Soto (SD) - 568.0 PA - 132.89 JA Points
4. Freddie Freeman (LAD) - 611.0 PA - 118.63 JA Points
5. Paul Goldschmidt (STL) - 580.0 PA - 112.62 JA Points
6. Alejandro Kirk (TOR) - 474.0 PA - 103.29 JA Points
7. Alex Bregman (HOU) - 569.0 PA - 102.36 JA Points
8. Yandy Diaz (TB) - 518.0 PA - 102.01 JA Points
9. Luis Arraez (MIN) - 527.0 PA - 90.93 JA Points
10. Will Smith (LAD) - 495.0 PA - 90.83 JA Points
Hardest Hit Balls
Yandy Diaz (TB) - 113.2mph - single
JJ Bleday (MIA) - 111.8mph - foul
Riley Greene (DET) - 111.8mph - single
Jose Barrero (CIN) - 111.4mph - foul
Adolis Garcia (TEX) - 111.3mph - double
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) - 110.1mph - single
Eric Haase (DET) - 109.7mph - single
Michael Harris II (ATL) - 109.6mph - field_out
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) - 109.5mph - double
Michael Harris II (ATL) - 109.3mph - single
Last 3 Weeks - Brl% Leaders
Aaron Judge - 74 PA, 42 BIP, 11 Brls, 26.2 Brl%
Ryan Mountcastle - 76 PA, 51 BIP, 13 Brls, 25.5 Brl%
Oneil Cruz - 68 PA, 43 BIP, 10 Brls, 23.3 Brl%
Shohei Ohtani - 78 PA, 50 BIP, 11 Brls, 22.0 Brl%
Mike Trout - 74 PA, 50 BIP, 11 Brls, 22.0 Brl%
Eugenio Suarez - 73 PA, 48 BIP, 10 Brls, 20.8 Brl%
Eloy Jimenez - 69 PA, 49 BIP, 10 Brls, 20.4 Brl%
Justin Turner - 68 PA, 51 BIP, 10 Brls, 19.6 Brl%
Tyler O'Neill - 76 PA, 48 BIP, 9 Brls, 18.8 Brl%
Bo Bichette - 91 PA, 66 BIP, 12 Brls, 18.2 Brl%
Last 3 Weeks - xwOBA Leaders
Aaron Judge - 74 PA, 0.502 xwOBA
Eduardo Escobar - 54 PA, 0.5 xwOBA
Eloy Jimenez - 69 PA, 0.492 xwOBA
Justin Turner - 68 PA, 0.458 xwOBA
Bo Bichette - 91 PA, 0.455 xwOBA
Yordan Alvarez - 54 PA, 0.454 xwOBA
Yandy Diaz - 73 PA, 0.454 xwOBA
Freddie Freeman - 83 PA, 0.438 xwOBA
Nathaniel Lowe - 83 PA, 0.436 xwOBA
Tyler O'Neill - 76 PA, 0.423 xwOBA
Last 3 Weeks - Contact% Leaders
Isiah Kiner-Falefa - 64 PA, 89 Swings, 93.3 Cont%
Yuli Gurriel - 70 PA, 114 Swings, 92.1 Cont%
Nick Madrigal - 52 PA, 82 Swings, 91.5 Cont%
Steven Kwan - 86 PA, 139 Swings, 91.4 Cont%
Luis Arraez - 79 PA, 146 Swings, 91.1 Cont%
Nicky Lopez - 49 PA, 94 Swings, 90.4 Cont%
Nico Hoerner - 73 PA, 120 Swings, 90.0 Cont%
Yandy Diaz - 73 PA, 114 Swings, 89.5 Cont%
Santiago Espinal - 48 PA, 94 Swings, 89.4 Cont%
Tony Kemp - 71 PA, 113 Swings, 89.4 Cont%
Magic Formula Qualifiers - Hitters - Last 3 Weeks
Bo Bichette - 91 PA, 16.5 K%, 18.2 Brl%
Bobby Witt Jr. - 75 PA, 14.7 K%, 16.7 Brl%
Cal Raleigh - 56 PA, 19.6 K%, 15.4 Brl%
Eduardo Escobar - 54 PA, 13.0 K%, 18.2 Brl%
Eloy Jimenez - 69 PA, 15.9 K%, 20.4 Brl%
J.T. Realmuto - 60 PA, 20.0 K%, 15.0 Brl%
Justin Turner - 68 PA, 13.2 K%, 19.6 Brl%
Luke Voit - 80 PA, 20.0 K%, 14.3 Brl%
Tyler O'Neill - 76 PA, 19.7 K%, 18.8 Brl%
Yordan Alvarez - 54 PA, 11.1 K%, 17.9 Brl%
Hot Hitter Tracker - Last 7 vs. Career
Garrett Cooper - +3.1% Contact%, +3.2 mph exit velo, -5.3 Chase%
Taylor Ward - +6.8% Contact%, +4.1 mph exit velo, -7.1 Chase%
Christian Walker - +14.4% Contact%, +3.5 mph exit velo, -5.0 Chase%
Yandy Diaz - +9.8% Contact%, +7.0 mph exit velo, -8.9 Chase%
Tony Kemp - +5.4% Contact%, +3.8 mph exit velo, -5.2 Chase%
Super Ultra Mega Hot Hitters - Last 15 Days
Eugenio Suarez - 0.394 xwOBA, 17.9% Brl%, 77.0% Contact%, 18.0% Chase%, 15.7% K%
Cold Hitters - Last 2 Weeks
J.D. Davis - 41.2% Whiff%, 75.0% Weak%, 0.976 Cold Rating
Emmanuel Rivera - 37.1% Whiff%, 77.3% Weak%, 0.968 Cold Rating
JJ Bleday - 34.6% Whiff%, 73.1% Weak%, 0.916 Cold Rating
Mitch Haniger - 35.0% Whiff%, 72.7% Weak%, 0.915 Cold Rating
Michael Chavis - 29.9% Whiff%, 76.0% Weak%, 0.891 Cold Rating
Jose Barrero - 29.8% Whiff%, 75.0% Weak%, 0.876 Cold Rating
Oswaldo Cabrera - 31.6% Whiff%, 71.4% Weak%, 0.858 Cold Rating
Nick Allen - 29.5% Whiff%, 72.4% Weak%, 0.841 Cold Rating
Bryce Harper - 35.4% Whiff%, 68.2% Weak%, 0.841 Cold Rating
Gilberto Celestino - 26.2% Whiff%, 88.0% Weak%, 0.83 Cold Rating
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