MLB Daily Notes - Wednesday, April 13
I’ve added something new to the notes, and I’m calling it “JA scores”. I designed a little algorithm for scoring pitcher & hitter performance, and I’m printing the results here. Every day, you’ll see the top JA scores (Jon Anderson scores if you will) for yesterday’s pitchers and hitters and the season leaders. The season leaders aren’t total sums, they are per pitch (for pitchers) and per PA (for hitters).
I’m not going to tell you how I calculate it, because it’s way cooler if you don’t know. I might even start using the word “proprietary”.
Anyways all of this has once again chopped off the first two hours of my day and I’m once again behind on everything else. Hopefully things get smoother soon as I stabilize this and get all the bugs out of the way. It’s not a very pleasing way to start the day knowing you’re piling up work. I guess I should shut up now and get to it.
CSW% Leaders Yesterday
1. Jesus Luzardo (MIA): 23.7 SwStr%, 44.7 CSW%
2. Andrew Heaney (LAD): 22.4 SwStr%, 37.3 CSW%
3. Alex Cobb (SF): 16.9 SwStr%, 37.3 CSW%
4. Daniel Lynch (KC): 18.5 SwStr%, 35.8 CSW%
5. Rich Hill (BOS): 7.1 SwStr%, 35.7 CSW%
6. Paolo Espino (WSH): 12.7 SwStr%, 34.5 CSW%
7. Zack Wheeler (PHI): 6.2 SwStr%, 32.3 CSW%
8. Yu Darvish (SD): 12.3 SwStr%, 31.6 CSW%
9. Tylor Megill (NYM): 21.1 SwStr%, 31.6 CSW%
10. Chad Kuhl (COL): 17.5 SwStr%, 31.2 CSW%
Luzardo was absolutely filthy last night and should be picked up in all leagues in a freaking hurry. Alex Cobb was also very, very impressive with that 17% SwStr% - that’s really not something we’ve seen from him in the recent past.
Top Pitcher JA Scores - Yesterday
1. Jesus Luzardo - 5.0 IP - 90.3 JA Points
2. Alex Cobb - 5.0 IP - 68.4 JA Points
3. Tylor Megill - 5.33 IP - 49.83 JA Points
4. Patrick Sandoval - 4.0 IP - 46.8 JA Points
5. Andrew Heaney - 4.33 IP - 45.68 JA Points
6. Chad Kuhl - 4.33 IP - 43.13 JA Points
7. Matt Brash - 5.33 IP - 37.78 JA Points
8. Edwin Diaz - 1.0 IP - 34.4 JA Points
9. Nestor Cortes - 4.33 IP - 33.53 JA Points
10. Shane Bieber - 5.33 IP - 30.73 JA Points
Pitcher JA Scores Leaders - Season
1. Carlos Rodon (SF) - 1.0 GS - 104.75 JA Points
2. Jesus Luzardo (MIA) - 1.0 GS - 90.3 JA Points
3. Merrill Kelly (ARI) - 1.0 GS - 70.94 JA Points
4. Alex Cobb (SF) - 1.0 GS - 68.4 JA Points
5. Shohei Ohtani (LAA) - 1.0 GS - 61.57 JA Points
6. Freddy Peralta (MIL) - 1.0 GS - 60.77 JA Points
7. Lucas Giolito (CWS) - 1.0 GS - 59.94 JA Points
8. Dylan Cease (CWS) - 1.0 GS - 58.55 JA Points
9. Patrick Sandoval (LAA) - 1.0 GS - 58.5 JA Points
10. Pablo Lopez (MIA) - 1.0 GS - 58.1 JA Points
Velo Changes
Tylor Megill's CH velo (23 pitches) UP 4.7mph to 90.3
Andrew Heaney's CU velo (31 pitches) UP 3.3mph to 82.7
Patrick Sandoval's CU velo (13 pitches) UP 2.7mph to 81.1
Madison Bumgarner's FC velo (41 pitches) UP 2.2mph to 88.3
Alex Cobb's FS velo (36 pitches) UP 2.1mph to 89.6
Tylor Megill's FF velo (45 pitches) UP 2.0mph to 96.7
Spenser Watkins's FF velo (18 pitches) UP 2.0mph to 92.8
Jesus Luzardo's SI velo (12 pitches) UP 1.9mph to 97.0
Yusei Kikuchi's CH velo (13 pitches) UP 1.9mph to 88.1
Alex Cobb's SI velo (43 pitches) UP 1.8mph to 94.5
Jesus Luzardo's FF velo (24 pitches) UP 1.7mph to 97.6
Madison Bumgarner's CU velo (11 pitches) UP 1.6mph to 79.4
Luis Garcia's FF velo (41 pitches) UP 1.5mph to 94.8
Eric Lauer's FF velo (31 pitches) UP 1.5mph to 94.1
Chris Archer's SL velo (29 pitches) UP 1.5mph to 88.7
Shane Bieber's SL velo (27 pitches) DOWN -1.5mph to 84.1
Tyler Alexander's FC velo (15 pitches) DOWN -1.5mph to 84.7
Shane Bieber's FF velo (35 pitches) DOWN -1.6mph to 91.0
Shane Bieber's KC velo (10 pitches) DOWN -1.8mph to 81.3
Chad Kuhl's SL velo (27 pitches) DOWN -1.8mph to 86.4
Zack Wheeler's FF velo (24 pitches) DOWN -2.2mph to 95.0
Luis Garcia's FC velo (19 pitches) DOWN -2.9mph to 83.2
Tyler Mahle's SL velo (15 pitches) DOWN -4.3mph to 82.4
Pitch Mix Changes
Andrew Heaney's CU usage (48.4%) up 25.8 points
Chad Kuhl's SI usage (46.2%) up 34.8 points
Daniel Lynch's SL usage (39.5%) up 10.3 points
Drew Smyly's FC usage (23.5%) up 12.1 points
Eric Lauer's CU usage (24.7%) up 10.2 points
Jesus Luzardo's CU usage (50.0%) up 21.4 points
Jose Quintana's CH usage (38.0%) up 23.4 points
Luis Garcia's FF usage (57.7%) up 15.3 points
Madison Bumgarner's FC usage (53.2%) up 17.4 points
Paolo Espino's SL usage (30.9%) up 14.3 points
Tyler Alexander's SI usage (46.6%) up 26.0 points
Tyler Mahle's FS usage (27.2%) up 11.3 points
Tyler Mahle's FC usage (11.1%) up 10.7 points
Yu Darvish's FF usage (33.3%) up 10.3 points
Yu Darvish's FS usage (19.3%) up 14.5 points
Yusei Kikuchi's SL usage (29.8%) up 10.9 points
Zack Wheeler's SL usage (35.4%) up 10.5 points
CSW% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Nathan Eovaldi - 23 TBF, 38.2% CSW%
Kyle Hendricks - 24 TBF, 37.3% CSW%
Aaron Nola - 23 TBF, 36.8% CSW%
Daniel Lynch - 25 TBF, 35.8% CSW%
Cole Irvin - 25 TBF, 34.1% CSW%
Paolo Espino - 25 TBF, 33.3% CSW%
Tylor Megill - 36 TBF, 33.3% CSW%
German Marquez - 24 TBF, 32.4% CSW%
Tyler Mahle - 38 TBF, 31.5% CSW%
Robbie Ray - 27 TBF, 31.2% CSW%
K% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Tylor Megill - 36 TBF, 30.6% K%
Aaron Nola - 23 TBF, 30.4% K%
Alek Manoah - 23 TBF, 30.4% K%
Nathan Eovaldi - 23 TBF, 30.4% K%
Kyle Hendricks - 24 TBF, 29.2% K%
Tyler Mahle - 38 TBF, 28.9% K%
Daniel Lynch - 25 TBF, 28.0% K%
Paolo Espino - 25 TBF, 28.0% K%
Shane Bieber - 37 TBF, 24.3% K%
German Marquez - 24 TBF, 20.8% K%
K-BB% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Tylor Megill - 36 TBF, 30.6% K-BB%
Aaron Nola - 23 TBF, 30.4% K-BB%
Nathan Eovaldi - 23 TBF, 26.1% K-BB%
Daniel Lynch - 25 TBF, 24.0% K-BB%
German Marquez - 24 TBF, 20.8% K-BB%
Shane Bieber - 37 TBF, 18.9% K-BB%
Tyler Mahle - 38 TBF, 18.4% K-BB%
Kyle Hendricks - 24 TBF, 16.7% K-BB%
Paolo Espino - 25 TBF, 16.0% K-BB%
Max Fried - 26 TBF, 15.4% K-BB%
GB% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Logan Webb - 24 TBF, 75.0% GB%
Aaron Nola - 23 TBF, 66.7% GB%
Nathan Eovaldi - 23 TBF, 64.3% GB%
Dane Dunning - 23 TBF, 62.5% GB%
German Marquez - 24 TBF, 57.9% GB%
Tylor Megill - 36 TBF, 56.0% GB%
Patrick Corbin - 38 TBF, 48.0% GB%
Cole Irvin - 25 TBF, 47.4% GB%
Jordan Lyles - 23 TBF, 44.4% GB%
Tyler Mahle - 38 TBF, 43.5% GB%
Magic Formula Qualifiers - Pitchers - Last 3 Weeks
Aaron Nola - 23 TBF, 30.4 K%, 0.0 BB%, 66.7% GB%
Adam Wainwright - 21 TBF, 28.6 K%, 0.0 BB%, 53.3% GB%
Andrew Heaney - 18 TBF, 27.8 K%, 0.0 BB%, 58.3% GB%
Chris Bassitt - 22 TBF, 36.4 K%, 4.5 BB%, 53.8% GB%
Framber Valdez - 22 TBF, 27.3 K%, 4.5 BB%, 73.3% GB%
Frankie Montas - 22 TBF, 27.3 K%, 4.5 BB%, 46.7% GB%
Justin Steele - 18 TBF, 27.8 K%, 5.6 BB%, 58.3% GB%
Kyle Gibson - 22 TBF, 45.5 K%, 0.0 BB%, 58.3% GB%
Kyle Wright - 21 TBF, 28.6 K%, 4.8 BB%, 46.2% GB%
Matt Brash - 21 TBF, 28.6 K%, 4.8 BB%, 57.1% GB%
Michael Lorenzen - 20 TBF, 35.0 K%, 0.0 BB%, 69.2% GB%
Nathan Eovaldi - 23 TBF, 30.4 K%, 4.3 BB%, 64.3% GB%
Paul Blackburn - 19 TBF, 36.8 K%, 5.3 BB%, 54.5% GB%
Sean Manaea - 22 TBF, 31.8 K%, 4.5 BB%, 57.1% GB%
Taylor Hearn - 21 TBF, 28.6 K%, 4.8 BB%, 61.5% GB%
Tylor Megill - 36 TBF, 30.6 K%, 0.0 BB%, 56.0% GB%
Multiple Barrels
Cedric Mullins II (BAL) 5 PA, 13 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Gavin Lux (LAD) 5 PA, 10 Swings, 2 Barrels, 0 HR
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) 6 PA, 11 Swings, 3 Barrels, 2 HR
Salvador Perez (KC) 4 PA, 6 Swings, 2 Barrels, 2 HR
Seiya Suzuki (CHC) 4 PA, 8 Swings, 2 Barrels, 2 HR
Top Hitter JA Scores - Yesterday
1. Marcell Ozuna - 6.0 PA - 58.5 JA Points
2. Cedric Mullins II - 5.0 PA - 33.0 JA Points
3. Ozzie Albies - 6.0 PA - 32.5 JA Points
4. Max Muncy - 5.0 PA - 30.0 JA Points
5. Tyler Naquin - 4.0 PA - 29.25 JA Points
6. Salvador Perez - 4.0 PA - 29.0 JA Points
7. Juan Soto - 4.0 PA - 29.0 JA Points
8. Seiya Suzuki - 4.0 PA - 29.0 JA Points
9. Ji-Man Choi - 4.0 PA - 28.75 JA Points
10. Gavin Lux - 5.0 PA - 28.5 JA Points
Hitter JA Scores - Season
1. Andrew Vaughn (CWS) - 11.0 PA - 217.27 JA Points
2. Steven Kwan (CLE) - 24.0 PA - 159.58 JA Points
3. Nolan Arenado (STL) - 17.0 PA - 153.53 JA Points
4. Kyle Tucker (HOU) - 19.0 PA - 151.58 JA Points
5. Seiya Suzuki (CHC) - 17.0 PA - 137.06 JA Points
6. Elias Diaz (COL) - 17.0 PA - 132.94 JA Points
7. Juan Soto (WSH) - 26.0 PA - 130.77 JA Points
8. Gio Urshela (MIN) - 13.0 PA - 130.77 JA Points
9. Anthony Santander (BAL) - 19.0 PA - 130.0 JA Points
10. Matt Olson (ATL) - 27.0 PA - 130.0 JA Points
Hardest Hit Balls
Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) - 116.2mph - sac_fly
Elias Diaz (COL) - 113.8mph - foul
Juan Soto (WSH) - 112.8mph - single
Eloy Jimenez (CWS) - 112.5mph - field_out
Brandon Lowe (TB) - 112.2mph - home_run
Matt Olson (ATL) - 112.0mph - single
Luis Robert (CWS) - 111.7mph - double_play
Jesse Winker (SEA) - 111.2mph - foul
Javier Baez (DET) - 110.8mph - double
Mike Zunino (TB) - 110.7mph - double
Last 3 Weeks - Brl% Leaders
Seiya Suzuki - 17 PA, 8 BIP, 4 Brls, 50.0 Brl%
Byron Buxton - 22 PA, 13 BIP, 5 Brls, 38.5 Brl%
Joey Gallo - 17 PA, 8 BIP, 3 Brls, 37.5 Brl%
Nolan Arenado - 17 PA, 13 BIP, 4 Brls, 30.8 Brl%
Bobby Dalbec - 17 PA, 7 BIP, 2 Brls, 28.6 Brl%
Chad Pinder - 19 PA, 11 BIP, 3 Brls, 27.3 Brl%
Mitch Haniger - 21 PA, 15 BIP, 4 Brls, 26.7 Brl%
Elias Diaz - 17 PA, 15 BIP, 4 Brls, 26.7 Brl%
Giancarlo Stanton - 21 PA, 15 BIP, 4 Brls, 26.7 Brl%
Salvador Perez - 21 PA, 16 BIP, 4 Brls, 25.0 Brl%
Last 3 Weeks - Contact% Leaders
Steven Kwan - 24 PA, 39 Swings, 100.0 Cont%
Amed Rosario - 23 PA, 38 Swings, 94.7 Cont%
Mike Trout - 19 PA, 32 Swings, 93.8 Cont%
Owen Miller - 17 PA, 40 Swings, 92.5 Cont%
Jake Cronenworth - 25 PA, 38 Swings, 92.1 Cont%
Michael Brantley - 18 PA, 24 Swings, 91.7 Cont%
Austin Nola - 22 PA, 33 Swings, 90.9 Cont%
Mitch Garver - 20 PA, 40 Swings, 90.0 Cont%
Carlos Santana - 19 PA, 39 Swings, 89.7 Cont%
Jose Ramirez - 23 PA, 47 Swings, 89.4 Cont%
Magic Formula Qualifiers - Hitters - Last 3 Weeks
Anthony Rizzo - 21 PA, 14.3 K%, 15.4 Brl%
Brad Miller - 19 PA, 15.8 K%, 14.3 Brl%
D.J. LeMahieu - 17 PA, 17.6 K%, 20.0 Brl%
Elias Diaz - 17 PA, 11.8 K%, 26.7 Brl%
Javier Baez - 20 PA, 20.0 K%, 20.0 Brl%
Jose Abreu - 17 PA, 11.8 K%, 16.7 Brl%
Jose Ramirez - 23 PA, 8.7 K%, 15.8 Brl%
Juan Soto - 26 PA, 7.7 K%, 15.8 Brl%
Jurickson Profar - 17 PA, 17.6 K%, 18.2 Brl%
Luis Robert - 17 PA, 5.9 K%, 20.0 Brl%
Matt Olson - 27 PA, 18.5 K%, 21.4 Brl%
Mike Trout - 19 PA, 15.8 K%, 16.7 Brl%
Nelson Cruz - 22 PA, 18.2 K%, 18.8 Brl%
Nolan Arenado - 17 PA, 17.6 K%, 30.8 Brl%
Salvador Perez - 21 PA, 19.0 K%, 25.0 Brl%
Seth Brown - 20 PA, 15.0 K%, 14.3 Brl%
Tyler O'Neill - 17 PA, 11.8 K%, 15.4 Brl%
Tyler Stephenson - 17 PA, 11.8 K%, 15.4 Brl%
Wander Franco - 22 PA, 13.6 K%, 16.7 Brl%
Wilmer Flores - 17 PA, 11.8 K%, 14.3 Brl%
All projections will be updated throughout the day pulling in updated lineups & re-running projections, bookmark these Google Sheets!
Apr 12 Hitter Projections
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Apr 12 Pitcher Projections
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